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Inflation Targeting
in South Africa
Growing
Growing consensus...
consensus...
4,5
4.5
Inflation
Inflation targeting
targeting in
in South
South Africa
Africa
6%
3%
Advantages
Advantages of
of inflation
inflation targeting
targeting
SA PPI:
Imported goods
PPI: Domestically
Exchange rate: Rand price of
produced goods
foreign exchange
CPIX: Goods
SA PPI:
Imported goods
Crude
oil -
rand
Petrol -
rand
Export
Export price
price developments
developments may
may also
also affect
affect the
the exchange
exchange rate
rate and
and inflation
inflation process
process
Prices
Prices of
of South
South African
African non -gold commodity
non-gold commodity exports
exports
Rand
<
US
dollar
>
Exchange
Exchange rate
rate and
and SARB’s
SARB’s International
International Liquidity
Liquidity Position
Position
Forex
Forexintervention
interventionin
in1998;
1998;neutrality
neutrality in
in 2001.
2001. Currently
Currently aa structura
structurall reserve
reserve
strengthening
strengtheningstrategy
strategy
No forex
intervention
Forex
intervention
CPIX
CPIX is
is targeted,
targeted, not
not asset
asset prices
prices
Houses
Bonds
Shares
Money-
market
investments
All
All in
in all,
all, interest
interest rate
rate volatility
volatility has
has been
been
reduced
reduced under
under inflation
inflation targeting
targeting
Inflation
targeting
era
Conclusion
Conclusion
Greater transparency
Broader decision making
CPIX
CPI