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Quality Modeling
Dan Dix
All4 Inc.
NCASI 2011 Northern Regional
W
Wausau, WI
NO2 NAAQS
Old Nitrogen Dioxide (NO2) NAAQS
• Annual: 100 µg/m3 (53 ppb) (Maximum
Annual Concentration)
New NO2 NAAQS
• 1-Hour NAAQS: 188 µg/m3 (100 ppb) (3-Year
Average of the 98th Percentile of Daily
Maximum 1-hour Concentrations
Annuall NAAQS Still iin Pl
A Place
Annual PSD Increment Still in Place
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NO2 Air Quality Modeling Requirements
AERMOD
188 µg/m3 (100 ppb): 5-Year Average of
th 98th Percentile
the P til off Daily
D il MMaximum
i 1
1-
hour Concentrations with National
Weather Service (NWS) Data
188 µg/m3 (100 ppb): 98th Percentile of
Dailyy Maximum 1-hour Concentrations
with 1-year of Onsite Data
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PSD Air Quality Modeling Approach
If Project-Related Emissions are Greater
than SIL, Multi-Source NAAQS analysis
required
All Facility-Wide NO2 Emission Rates Must be
Modeled at their Potential-to-Emit Emission
Rate
All Local Sources within 50km + Significant
Impact Area (SIA)
Background Concentrations
(Startup/Shutdown)
US. EPA Released in Latest Guidance
Memorandum
Form of the Standard Does Not Warrant
Assuming Continuous Operation for Intermittent
Emissions (Case-by-Case Basis)
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Other Accepted NO2 AQM Techniques
Tiering Approach for NO2 provided in
Latest Guidance Memorandum
Tier I – Assume Full Conversion of NOX to
NO2 (1g/m3 = 1g/m3)
Tier II – Use 0.8 as Default Ambient Ratio
(1g/m3 = 0.8 g/m3)
Tier III – Plume Volume Molar Ratio Method
(PVMRM) or Ozone Limiting Method (OLM)
Will Become More Important to Collect
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What Does All This Mean?
Much more difficult to meet new standards
Will need to consider shutting down sources or
controlling source.
New guidance adds some flexibility for
assessing NO to NO2 chemistry
New guidance adds some flexibility for
incorporating background concentrations
New guidance on intermittent sources is very
important and benificial
Recommendations
If at all possible get below the SIL for PSD
project
Complete
p exploratory
p y NAAQS modeling g to
determine current impacts for long range
planning at facilities (“What if” Scenarios)
Watch out for
Low wind speeds
Distance to “property
property line”
line
Impacts greater than plume can travel
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Questions?
Dan Dix
ddix@all4inc com
ddix@all4inc.com
All4 Inc.
2393 Kimberton Road
P.O. Box 299
Kimberton, PA 19442
610.933.5246 x18
www.all4inc.com
www.enviroreview.com
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