Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
c o m
FUTURE
ENERGY
SCARCITY
Can the Markets Survive?
FEATURE
INTERVIEW WITH
JEFF RUBIN
Former Chief Economist for
the CIBC & Author of Why
Your World Is About To Get
A Whole Lot Smaller
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EDITOR’S NOTE
E D I TO R ’ S N O T E
EDITOR-IN-CHIEF David Alexander
I
STAFF WRITERS David Tal
t seems somewhat anticlimactic to have the Winter 2010 Edition Hyungsub Moon
Saif Qureshi
of the Arbitrage come out when it’s distinctly NOT winter. Pawan J. Shamdasani
Nicki Mossavar-Rahmani
Nonetheless, the Arbitrage is back, better and fatter than ever. Luis Marquez
Jessica Vitullo
For this issue, we’ve explored the topic of energy and re-
PROOFREADER Peter Parker
source scarcity. And to start this topic off with a bang, we’ve been
fortunate enough to land a feature interview with Jeff Rubin, for- PRODUCTION COORDINATOR David Alexander
mer Chief Economist for the CIBC and current bestselling author of GRAPHICS DESIGNERS Andrea Barros
Luis Ernesto Rojas Gonzalez
Why Your World Is About To Get A Whole Lot Smaller. For thirty min- Akil Worrell
Courtney Bellemore
utes, we discussed his views on Peak Oil and general energy scarcity Alina Klinaeva
David Tal
issues—topics which if you don’t know much about, trust me, you’ll Rustem Safin
You can say the same for the content, where similar to the
SALES & MARKETING David Alexander
Economist magazine, the Arbitrage will be expanding the breadth
of its content beyond its finance focus, to include such sections as: CONTACT Arbitrage.Query@nfsa.ca
Industry, Business and Politics, Canada and World. These new sec-
Founded October 31, 2008
tions will be supported by Arbitrage’s expanded writing team, one
The NFSA ARBITRAGE is a publication of the NFSA, published
that is increasingly hitting its stride. every quarter. Entire contents are property of the NFSA ©
In all, the Arbitrage is growing and will continue to grow 2009.
into the foreseeable future. We are always looking for new talent Electronic versions of the NFSA ARBITRAGE are available free
of charge at www.nfsa.ca, but can be purchased as a sub-
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There is an assumption many on this Earth share—one that says the
world revolves around money. It doesn’t. It revolves around oil. Cheap
oil. And without it, the gears that run this current globalized economy
will come screeching to a halt.
Over the last few decades, ever since M. King Hubbert made his seminal
1956 speech to a gathering of the Petroleum Association of America, in
San Antonio, there have been some who have warned about a time when
the demand for petroleum will outpace supply, i.e. when we need more
oil than we can produce. Unfortunately, today’s experts predict that this
E
future is soon upon us.
And this future has a name: peak oil.
While our politicians shy away from discussing it and much of the
mainstream media still barely cover it, peak oil remains a reality. The
fact is oil is a finite resource (i.e. it won’t last forever). Over the past
three decades, there have been fewer and fewer oil field discoveries
made every year (ASPO). And many geological reports are also beginning
to indicate a steady decline in the absolute quantity of petroleum extracted
from the world’s largest oil producing states (World Energy Outlook 2004).
Altogether, many geologists and former oil industry employees are predicting
BY DAVID TAL, STAFF WRITER that within the next decade, production of oil will peak and oil shortages
DESIGNED BY ANDREA BARROS will begin to become commonplace. This will have serious social and
economic repercussions—effects that will need urgent legislative and
technologically innovative measures to overcome.
This visualization was first published by Good Magazine (in association with Andrew Price) on July 14,
2008. A purveyor of all things good, uplifting and informative, the NFSA recommends visiting Good's
website, www.good.is, to learn about them and subscribe to their good works and Good Magazine.
This visualization was first published by Good Magazine. A purveyor of all things good, uplifting and
informative, the NFSA recommends visiting Good's website, www.good.is, to learn about them and
subscribe to their good works and Good Magazine.
FUTURE
FORECASTING
This visualization was created by Jess Bachman and was first published by www.WallStats.com. A graphic
designer that makes complex information look simple through presenting it visually. To see more of his
work, check out his work at www.WallStats.com.
Canadian Banks VS
The World
Why Canadian Banks Survived
Unscathed
fat, we humbly kept on trucking. In the past decade, American and Freddie Mac, government-
It would eventually take a global banks have not gone through sponsored enterprises, which
financial crisis to show the world any deregulation, nor has there heavily provided funding for
that prudence and conservatism been any further regulation in subprime mortgages that set off
were actually positive attributes Canada. Subprime mortgages the melt down.
for a banking system. While still accounted for seven per Another contributing factor to
many countries’ financial footing cent of the Canadian market. the stability and cohesiveness
crumbled beneath them, ours Although American banks were of Canadian banks came when
barely had a few cracks. Here’s a normally more leveraged, higher North American banks became
look at what made us ask; Really? capital ratios would not have free to own other financial
A global financial melt down, eh? necessarily made things better institutions. In Canada, the Big
You don’t say … . due to the American banks’ strong Five swallowed up most of the
Well, credit must be given to reliance on securitization (selling large investment houses. Major
the firm and uncompromising mortgages to third parties). This banks in America did likewise,
Canadian regulatory system, was done to get these toxic assets with the exception that each
considered the most conservative off their books, in order to not subsidiary of an American bank
in the world. Based on the Basel have them counted against their would be subjected to a different
Capital Accord in 1988, banks were capital. And so, further regulation regulatory authority, depending
required to hold no less than four might have encouraged even more on its classification (insurance
dollars in “tier 1 capital” (common securitization. company, investment bank, or
equity, published reserves and In some respects, Canadian commercial bank). In Canada they
equivalents) for every $100 they banks are not as regulated as all adhered to the OSFI to oversee
lent out. The regulators in the their American counterparts. For and regulate the whole entity.
U.S. considered a six per cent example, Canadian banks do not Instead of destabilizing the banks,
ratio more appropriate, while have to adhere to the American the brokers’ absorption into the
Canada took it a notch further, Community Reinvestment Act, banks stabilized the banks. This
setting theirs at seven per cent. which forces American banks was unlike the Lehman Brothers or
In reality we have been operating to extend mortgages to low- Bear Stearns, which did not have
with 10 per cent, much greater income households. This in turn an overseer with deep pockets or
than the regulatory standard. brings down their usual leading strict regulation to prevent them
This was not simply a case of standards. We also do not have from collapse.
deregulation vs. regulation. the equivalent of Fannie Mae Furthermore, it was Canada’s
EVENTS: If you are an NFSA affiliate or sponsor interested in promoting your finance/business related
event for free in our upcoming issue, please contact: Arbitrage.Query@nfsa.ca
David Alexander
Editor-In-Chief INTERVIEW: If you are a finance student of merit, or a professor or industry professional related to
the finance industry, and you are willing to graciously lend your time to be interviewed for one of
Do not trust the ARBITRAGE’s future columns, please contact: Arbitrage.Query@nfsa.ca
people. They are OTHER QUERIES, contact: Arbitrage.Query@nfsa.ca
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PARCHED EARTH
The Coming Age of Freshwater Scarcity
enda in h
geted for freshwater exploita- swap with high leverage: the detailed the specific challenges
tion. Linda diebel from the negative effects spread like water scarcity will bring. he ar-
rece nt on uma
toronto Star published an article water rings in a pond. Since gues that we could expect an-
in 2008 on a study by the Polaris freshwater is heavily used in nual losses equivalent to the
ModerN Society iN its current on the de- institute (a public policy group) various industrial, commercial entire grain crops of india and
and reported about how unfa- and agricultural production, the the United States combined if
ntly w n c
form cannot exist without oil. cline. in
As such, the oft-discussed possi- short, the vorable terms in trade long-run equilibrium price level the water consumption contin-
bility of dwindling oil supplies is
natural agreements under NAFtA of ‘water-intensive’ products ues the current trend.
t ae i i
considered a doomsday scenario process that have contributed to will rise. Food is one of them. Since agriculture is an ex-
for the global economy. Markets produces freshwater growing exploita- tremely water-intensive indus-
rise and fall and fortunes are cannot support the ever- tion of canadian Food VoLAtiLity try, representing 70% of
r. liza
made and lost as the price of oil increasing consumption by our freshwater to in 2009, the economist rec- freshwater use worldwide, the
fluctuates. civilization. sis suit U.S. ognized the pending water crisis price level of agricultural prod-
v
t
ha
it’s hard to believe that there While the availability of oil is inter- in an article titled “A water ucts in the long run could be-
I t
was a time not too long ago a modern concern, access to can be warning.” the article discussed come highly unstable.
e t’s ion ha
when oil availability was a con- freshwater has been crucial to summa- a study by the Sri Lanka- combined with increasing price
tw
venience and not a necessity. every human civilization. Be- rized as a based international levels for petroleum and raw
Many decades later it creates a tween 6000 and 4000 Bce, four problem of Water Manage- materials, there is potential for
o s
dichotomy for every modern so- of the world’s ancient civiliza- unchecked ex- ment in- cost-push inflations. this fur-
ciety. excessive usage of crude
oil is harmful to the environ-
tions emerged along nearby
a rt
rivers. the tigris and euphrates
nl y r b
cess. Just as the
e
global recession was
e
ther intensifies disparities of
standards of living between the
st
e
caused by excessive developed and developing
l
ment, endangering the living rivers in iraq, the indus river in
standards of humanity.
yet the current standard of
Pakistan, the Nile in egypt and
the yellow river in china pro-
ed to at i v n
risk-taking in the financial
industry, the water crisis has
countries, as rises in food
price affects the poor
take it ely
living of entirely is dependent vided access to one of the most been caused by an excessive more regressively
on the availability of relatively essential elements to human usage of freshwater, far beyond
cheap oil. While we are paying life: freshwater. what natural processes can sus-
fo r
much attention to this crucial Back in 2010, we are one step tain in the long term.
element, which could lead to closer to ‘peak water’ with no ests.
ecological catastrophe, another clear solution to the growing StreSSeS According to
granted.
key resource is dwindling and scarcity of freshwater for regional population growth diebel, the canadian gov-
few are taking notice. Now is earth’s 6.8 billion (and counting) that is disproportional to the ernment agreed to clauses
the time to ask: can humanity inhabitants. if oil fuels the con- supply of regional water has cre- within NAFtA that require
survive without water? veniences of modern life, water ated water ghettos where the canada to allow a defined level
fuels the essence of life itself. average person has very poor ac- of water export regardless of a
the hiStory While not blatantly obvious to cess to clean, drinkable water. domestic shortage. this cer-
on a planet covered with some, it is arguably one of the For example, with explosive tainly brings up political discus-
water, it’s easy to have a com- most serious social and eco- population growth and an ex- sions on water as a political and
placent attitude. in fact, nomic problems, one that re- tremely limited freshwater sup- economic commodity among na-
through the water cycle, the quires urgent attention from ply, drinking water is a costly tions.
total amount of water on earth politicians, industrialists, envi- necessity in many parts of it is easy to see that industri-
remains constant. But under ronmentalists, economists and Africa. Meanwhile, canada is alized and developing countries
heavy pressure from population even investment bankers. blessed with massive supplies of all face a problem of freshwater
growth and industrialization, Like the recent financial cri- freshwater that its small popu- management and without a
the availability of freshwater is sis of 2008-2009, the water cri- lation could
exhaust. never
With reasonably
these massive doubt rapidly developing coun-
Pranavan Ganeshalingam
YIC Member & Arbitrage
Contributor
www.yorkinvestmentclub.com
Industry Overview
Energy is the backbone of
modern industrial society, enabling
us not only to light our homes and
drive our kids to school, but to
power factories and heat offices,
creating jobs and wealth. Until
recently, most Canadians took
it for granted that there would
always be an ample, affordable
supply.
In reality, energy can be extremely
volatile. For example, a string
of hurricanes that extensively
damaged American oil production there is only one way for prices to energy sources, such as nuclear
facilities in the Gulf of Mexico in go: up. power, solar energy, wind power,
the late summer of 2005 showed However, market turbulence is biomass and harnessing the energy
how volatile the market can be: not just limited to oil. Increasingly, of tides. Technological advances
gasoline prices spiked across the natural gas and electricity prices in all those fields are beginning to
continent, hitting as high as $1.39 are under pressure. Most new make these options less costly and
per litre in the wake of hurricane homes in Canada rely on natural more reliable, although obstacles
Katrina. That storm knocked out gas for heat, and in electricity- still remain.
much of the United States’ drilling hungry Ontario, the province Despite relatively bearish natural
capacity in the Gulf of Mexico and is relying more on natural gas gas fundamentals, North American
left southern refineries unable to to produce power as it slowly natural gas prices continued their
turn crude oil into gasoline and relieves its dependence on coal- recovery and are hovering around
home heating fuel for extended fired generators. $5/GJ. Natural gas continues to
periods. Facts and fears left As a result, Canada is slowly trade at a significant discount
some gas stations in Canada and becoming a net importer of natural relative to crude oil. In a prepared
the U.S. critically short of fuel, a gas. This was evident during the statement accompanying the
reminder that the long line-ups for summer of 2005, which was one of National Energy Board’s (NEB)
fuel from the 1970s could return. the hottest on record in much of Winter Outlook, the NEB noted
Add to that an ever-increasing the country. The high demand for that owing to robust inventories of
demand for oil from the world’s electricity placed the electricity natural gas going into the heating
two most populous nations—India grid under pressure in Ontario, season, Canadians should expect
and China—and you have a recipe which forced the province to buy to see wholesale prices between
for volatility. power from the United States at a $4-$5.50/MMBtu.
If you ask ten oil industry rate much higher than what it was Factors putting upward pressure
experts how much oil is left in the capable of charging. on natural gas prices are the
world, you might get ten different In addition, rising prices declining supply as well as the
answers. Nobody knows for sure. have persuaded governments, improving economic outlook.
What they do know is that as the businesses and consumers to Pushing back down on prices will
world’s supply of oil is depleting, take a renewed interest in other be the record natural gas storage
inventory, as well as the potential sulphur diesel and aviation fuel. Brampton Networks (electricity
for more liquefied natural gas *After a period of low and distributor to urban areas). Hydro
(LNG) imports coming into North relatively stable prices during the One Telecom markets the group’s
America if the prices move higher. 1990s, crude oil prices have risen fibre-optic capacity (broadband)
In response to low prices this in recent years in international to businesses, and Hydro One
year, producers reduced drilling markets. This has resulted in Remote Communities supplies
activity and shut in some gas energy to 20 remote areas in
production. Canadian production Ontario.
is down, as are exports to the US.
However, the impact on North Competitive Landscape for Hydro
American production will likely be One Inc.
dampened owing to rapid growth Demand depends heavily on
from the US unconventional the health of the US economy,
supply. including corporate profits and
local government budgets.
Industry Relevance in Canada The profitability of individual
*Canada’s proven oil reserves companies depends on accurate
are second only to Saudi Arabia’s. project bids and efficient
At the end of 2006, Canada’s operations. Large companies
remaining established reserves have advantages in their ability
amounted to 179 billion barrels, to engage in multiple projects
of which more than 95 per cent simultaneously and in many types
are in the form of crude bitumen of construction. Small companies
in oil sands. can compete effectively by
*Crude oil production has been Image sourced from Kent.ac.uk specializing, working in a
increasing fairly steadily during limited geography, or serving as
the last two decades. While increased revenues for Canadian subcontractors on larger projects.
conventional resources continued producers and higher prices for Average annual revenue per
to account for more than half of Canadian consumers. industry worker is $290,000
crude oil production, most of the *In coming years, the Canadian oil
production growth in recent years sector will be dominated by the Article first published in the YIC
has come from oil sands. pace of oil sands development. Newsletter.
*Canada is a net exporter of crude New pipeline and refining
oil. Domestic oil is exported capacity will also be required to
from the western provinces while accommodate supply and market
the eastern provinces import requirements.
international oil. In 2006, exports
reached $38 billion and imports Company in the Spotlight
amounted to $23 billion. Hydro One Inc.
*Canada has an extensive network It’s not the one and only, but
of pipelines carrying crude oil to Hydro One is by far the largest
domestic refineries. The three power supplier in Ontario,
main refining centers in Canada Canada. Through its subsidiaries,
are in Edmonton (Alberta), Sarnia this crown corporation transmits
(Ontario) and Montreal (Quebec). and distributes electricity to
*Oil is the most important energy 1.3 million residential and
source used in Canada, ahead of commercial customers (including
natural gas and electricity. Over municipal utilities) in Ontario. Its
two-thirds of the refined petroleum primary utility subsidiaries are
products sold in Canada are used Hydro One Networks (transmission
for transportation: gasoline, low- and distribution) and Hydro One
ENERGY GOES
GREEN
Ontario’s Latest Green
Initiative; Is It All It’s Cracked
Up To Be?
The Future
of Natural Gas
It’s Supply and it’s Impact
NATURAL GAS SHOULD be familiar generation. Some of the common (1) the weather, as people require
to most homeowners—it’s one uses for gas include cooking, heating in the winter; and (2) the
of the more common sources of heating (also cooling but this is economic climate: since industries
energy (and bills!). But have you less common), fuelling automobiles require less electricity and heating
ever wondered where this resource and for generating electricity. during a recession.
comes from, what it’s used for and In fact due to new technology, In the long run though, demand
how long we’ll be able to use it more electricity is expected to be is expected to grow for several
before it runs out? This article will produced from natural gas in the reasons. First, electricity
describe natural gas, its present and future—in 2009 alone, over 50% of generation is likely to increase
future in the global marketplace the new electricity generation in not only because the population
and how it will affect us Canadians. the U.S. came from natural gas. is growing, but also because the
Natural gas is one of the cleanest, Moreover, while coal is the cheaper electricity consumed per person is
safest and most useful fossil fuels source of energy, it’s also the most increasing as we use more consumer
out there and, luckily for us, it environmentally damaging, and goods, such as electronics. Second,
has many uses and is found in vast as a result of the environmental the demand for natural gas will grow
quantities all over the world. Most regulations duly placed upon coal, if any climate change legislation is
reserves of gas can be found with the electricity industry views natural passed that promotes natural gas,
other fossil fuels, such as in oil gas as the cleaner alternative. as it’s a low emissions fuel. (Also, it
fields or coal beds. These reserves Currently reserves are still high is more efficient during electricity
are then processed and delivered but, unfortunately for us, natural generation, meaning that more
to our homes through an extensive gas (like other fossil fuels) is a electricity is produced per unit of
network of pipes, which are non-renewable resource and its electricity.) Next, advancements
operated by local gas companies. formation usually takes millions of in natural gas technologies will
We years. So unless scientists figure increase demand (i.e. the future
use out a way to speed this process or may see new natural gas appliances
this one don’t mind waiting, it becomes enter the market). Also, several
important for us to try and figure industries require onsite electricity
out how long we have until this generation because they cannot
resource runs out. afford to have a loss of power and it
is likely that this trend of distributed
The Score: generation will grow.
Several companies, geologists and Finally, the automobile sector
environmental groups have created currently uses very little natural
estimates for gas reserves, but none gas, but in the future, demand for
are precise since no one actually gas powered vehicles could increase
knows how much gas there is until if some form of government climate
it’s extracted. Accordingly, a lot of change legislation is introduced.
estimation or “guesstimation” is That said, there remain many
done. Yet overall, the consensus barriers to the widespread use of
is that as of January 1, 2009, total natural gas in automobiles, which
world proven reserves (these are makes it difficult to speculate on
likely to be recovered) of gas are the future of this sector.
estimated to be around 6,254 Tcf Forecasts:
(trillions of cubic feet), with 41% in As the demand for natural gas
the Middle East, 32% in Eurasia and increases, the gas industry will have
4.5% in North America. to increase its production in order
Accompanying this estimate, is to meet this demand. In 2000, total
that most forecasts predict that the world production of gas was 2422.3
demand for natural gas will steadily billion cubic metres and grew by
increase in the future due to the 4.3%.
expected general economic and Demand for natural gas will always
population growth. In fact, from exist unless we find an energy source
1975 to 2005, gas consumption has with better qualities, but eventually
pure form of natural gas in various almost doubled. gas reserves will start running low
sectors, such as residential, Some short-term factors that and companies will not be able to
industry, commercial and electricity affect demand for natural gas are: produce enough. The concept of
peak gas refers to the period where gas reserves, researchers have problems have resulted in very
natural gas will reach its peak estimated that we have 60- 70 little international trade in natural
production level and from then years until we start running in to gas and any trade that is done is
on will continuously decline until trouble. On another note, although usually within regions (e.g. in North
there is possible none remaining. In this article is not meant to provide America, all of Canada’s natural gas
case you are starting to panic, the financial advice, investing for the exports goes to the U.S).
good news is that current reserves long term on natural gas might The importance of this
are high and “estimates” of these not be a bad idea since increasing characteristic of the market is
reserves continue to grow because demand and decreasing supply will that countries without enough
of improvements in exploration and lead to higher prices. gas reserves will be impacted
technology. Impact: sooner and more severely from gas
In the past decades the revised Now that you have understood the shortages. So how will this affect
additions of reserves have exceeded importance of copper, it’s time to Canada?
the production of gas due to major understand the real market and how According to some estimates,
discoveries in Russia, Middle we will be affected. Unlike some peak production of gas has already
East, Netherlands and Indonesia. other commodities, natural gas occurred as producers are struggling
However, the number of new gas exists within regional marketplaces to keep output high. However,
discoveries is in a decreasing trend, instead of the global marketplace. according to another study, the
which means that future production This is because it is difficult and North American peak in production
could grow at a slower rate (see currently not cost effective to is expected to be around 2013,
100 Year Gas Demand Graph). Also, transport natural gas all over the after which production will fall.
these discoveries are being made world and thus trade is limited. The substitute for production is to
in deeper levels of land, in greater Some ways in which natural gas import gas, but with the technology
depths in the ocean or are further can be transported is pipelines or that we have today, importing
away from where markets are tankers of LNG (liquefied natural liquefied natural gas is too difficult
located (meaning that in order for gas), but both of these have their and requires new infrastructure
these sources to remain profitable, problems. For example, with which is very capital extensive. The
the private or government sector pipelines there are various legal other option is through pipeline,
will have to continue enhancing its and logistical problems that come but it is unlikely that the U.S. will
technology). into play because the projects export its own gas to us because of
In all, with our current level of span wide areas of land. These its own requirements.
This visualization was first published by the Circle fo Blue. Circle of Blue is the international network of
experts who report and present the information necessary to respond to the global freshwater crisis. It's a
nonprofit affiliate of the water, climate and policy think tank, the Pacific Institute.
SiNce the 20th century, coal has laid the plained by better data collec-
tion from more thorough surveys
groundwork for remarkable and ground- and not by the amount
breaking developments; from new forms of
of coal produced. Altogether,
production to new inventions and discover- global coal reserves have seen a
ies, transforming the economy that we live 60% drop in 25 years.
the second study, “the Fu-
in today and making it one of the most im- ture of coal,” prepared by the
portant non-renewable energy sources. institute for energy (iFe) sup-
ports the conclusions reached by
coal accounts for more than fecting living standards for bil- the first study and expands on
a quarter of the world’s primary lions. them. Specifically, the three
energy needs, provides 40 per- “Peak coal” refers to a period additional conclusions this study
cent of the world’s electricity when the global coal production presented were: (1) “world
and powers two-thirds of steel rate reaches its maximum, after proven reserves (i.e. the re-
production worldwide. World which, the rate of production serves that are economically re-
consumption of coal is growing undergoes permanent decline. coverable at current economic
at an outstanding pace, fuelled this theory has recently been and operating conditions) of
by the increase in demand from supported by prominent re- coal are decreasing fast;” (2) sumption and dwindling supplies electricity rates and, thus, on all power its frantic industrial
china and india as their search studies. in particular, “the bulk of coal production and of high grade coal will add pres- manufacturing and service-re- growth and generate electricity,
economies rapidly expand. two european studies, that were exports is getting concentrated sure to world coal prices. Also, lated business activity. china builds a new coal-fired
coal gasification and coal-to- conducted in 2007, suggest within a few countries and mar- in most countries, coal recovery china and india are the two station almost every week.
liquids plants are being built at world supplies of coal are in the ket players, which creates the will incur higher production key players in the future of coal. they plan to triple generating
alarming rates as a result of a decline. risk of market imperfections;” costs, leading to an increase in india, for one, is the world’s capacity by 2030.
rise in the use of lower-quality the first study, “coal: Re- and (3) “coal production costs the global price of coal—since third largest coal producer, but What is the solution to mini-
fuels, that is, a gaseous or liquid sources and Future Production,” are steadily rising all over the international coal prices are still is now also seeking more coal mize the effects of “Peak coal?”
fuel converted from coal. this released by the energy Watch world, due to the need to de- related to production costs. for itself through increased im- coal-dependant countries, es-
surge in coal demand will lead Group (eWG) in Germany, con- velop new fields, increasingly this rise in the price of coal ports. pecially china, are advised to
to devastating consequences in cluded that coal production difficult geological conditions will also reduce the relative gap Meanwhile, china is currently reduce their consumption of
a decade or two as we approach globally could peak in 15 years. and additional infrastructure between coal and oil and natu- the world’s primary consumer of coal now on a pro-active basis
“Peak coal” on a global level, this was based on a thorough costs associated with the ex- ral gas prices. As a result, these coal and has become a net coal (since declines in production are
driving up coal prices and af- analysis of reserve revisions for ploitation of new fields.” three energy markets will be- importer as of 2007. it will have expected to occur regardless) to
several nations. Since 1986, Should we worry? come more inter-connected, to continue importing more coal prevent shortages and price
these nations have experienced the answer is yes, as peak possibly developing into a global due to the lower energy content volatility in the future. A failure
significant downgrades in coal coal translates to higher coal market of hydrocarbons. in par- of its own coal resources, de- to act now will only mean
resources after updating their prices in the future. ticular, financial investors pleting Asian supplies in the greater economic hardships
reserves estimates. the down- how? should beware the impact high coming years and radically up- once the peak arrives.
ward revisions are best ex- Well, for one, increased con- coal prices will have on global setting the market. in fact, to
40 Arbitrage | Winter 2010 | NFSA.ca NFSA.ca | Winter 2010 | Arbitrage 41
POLITICS AND BUSINESS
WHO INFLUENCES
WHO?
Politics And Business: Where Is
The Boundary?
NFSA.ca||Winter
NFSA.ca Winter2010
2010||Arbitrage
Arbitrage 42
3
POLITICS AND BUSINESS POLITICS AND BUSINESS
The Arbitrage is expanding the number of sections it will cover from here on. One such section will be This visualization was created by David McCandless & Stefanie Posavec and was first published by the
called 'POLITICS AND BUSINESS' and it will cover those issues where business and politics most affect each websites InformationIsBeautiful.net & ItsBeenReal.co.uk. Both are extremely talent designers, the former
other. For those new to politics, below is a simplified version of the basics relating to political thought. in the realm of inforgraphics and the later in the realm of contemporary art. Check them out!
THE WORLD NEED has played its part in the depletion humanity. The crisis has allowed for
of our water supply. Most of the the investment and development
NOT THIRST earth’s fresh water comes from of sustainable energy. In economic
Freshwater Shortage: A Global
the polar ice caps and glaciers and terms, it is the financial as well
Problem
with rising temperatures, we can as the environmental future. In
expect the total disappearance of the same way oil was, there is
Luis G. Marquez, Staff Writer our main water supply within a few huge potential for investment
decades. and employment with sustainable
IN THE YEAR 1800, there were
Therefore, it is not simply energy.
approximately 978 million people
enough for our government to One type of sustainable energy
living in the world. Two hundred
acknowledge that there is a water that has recently been introduced
years later, that figure rose to
is desalination. It is
around more than 6
several processes that
billion people. With the
remove excess salt and
increase in the number
other minerals from
of people comes an
water. The Middle East
increased demand for
region has extensively
freshwater, a renewable
used desalination,
but limited resource.
given its relative water
Many national
scarcity.
governments and
Although largely more
i n t e r n a t i o n a l
expensive than using
organizations have not
rivers and reservoirs,
taken the freshwater
desalination is at the
crisis seriously. In an
very least a short-term
article written by Richie
solution to the water
Mogwai for Orato.com,
crisis. 71% of the Earth
the United Nations (UN)
is covered in water, but
has stated that the world The New Hydrological Temples of Modern India only 3% of that water is
maybe on the verge of (Photo by: M. Henley/PANOS.)
fresh water. With such
seeing its first water war,
crisis on a global scale. Certain figures, is it imperative that we
with the first opponents being
measures and policies need to be should be able to gain access to
India and Pakistan with their thirst
made immediately. the rest of the 97% of water that
for water within the disputed
For example, more of our tax encompasses the Earth. At the
Kashmir region. Yet still, the Food
dollars should be invested in very least, it should release much
and Agriculture Organization of
developing sustainable energy in pressure from our freshwater
the United Nations (FAO) as even
order to reduce the continual use supply.
stated that there is no global water
and production of coal-burning, gas This issue is not longer the
crisis.
or nuclear power infrastructure. concern of one or two countries,
Although FAO made such a
Simultaneously the UN needs or even a region. It is now the
statement, it does acknowledge
to take measure to ensure that responsibility of very nation,
that by 2030, one in five developing
everyone, especially those residing of very person living on this
countries will face water shortage.
in developing countries have access planet. We have but two options.
California water officials have
to safe drinking water. In the last Either we establish cooperative
also expressed great concern with
decade, global coverage rose from measures that will not only
their water supply. They predict
77% to 82%, meaning that nearly ensure our own survival, but will
that by 2020, the region will face
1 billion gained access to drinking enable us to progress financially,
a shortfall nearly as great as it
safe water. However, another 1.1 technologically, politically,
consumed today.
billion people still lack access. economically and socially, or we
Despite putting the blame on
Despite the severity, the global can destroy ourselves through our
population increase, it should not
water crisis should not simply be own selfish acts
be surprising that global warming
seen as a potential disaster for
A Heavy Government Hand produce an environment that will competitive by forcing them to
and the Future of Innovation allow the private sector to lead us use their energy resources more
out of this Peak Oil mess. cost effectively (thus reducing
Curing the Peak their operating costs).
Oil Disease The Basics Similar initiatives can be
A Holistic Approach to To start they can get serious about implemented in domestic buildings
Addressing Peak Oil limiting the amount of carbon and their construction. First, the
that industry consumes (either government can enact stricter and
through oil-derived electricity greener building standards that
usage or direct oil consumption reduce energy usage in every new
David Tal, Staff Writer through transport of goods or the house or building that is built.
production of petroleum-based This will have the secondary
AFTER READING THIS issue’s feature goods, i.e. plastics), possibly benefits of increasing the demand
article, it should be clear now the through a cap and trade program for green building materials,
very real challenges the forcing its suppliers to
coming age of Peak Oil increase the capacity of
will present. In all, Peak their plants, which will
Oil is a disease, one that eventually bring down the
will infect the modern cost of green materials
world, cause a great and in turn make building
amount of disruption greener homes cheaper.
and, if nothing is done As well, since (initially)
about it, can lead to the these new standards will
gradual disintegration of mean that all new homes
society as we know it. will cost more (due to the
We saw a glimpse of this more expensive building
when on April 12th, 2008, materials used), most
the government of Haiti new home owners will
collapsed due to wide- opt to purchase their next
scale riots brought upon homes closer to the city,
by skyrocketing food inside more affordable
prices, caused by the apartment buildings
skyrocketing cost of gas. instead of stand-alone
So what can the homes (reducing the
world do (especially expansion of economically
industrialized nations) to unsustainable sprawl).
try and avoid this same As well, all new buildings
fate? Here a holistic can be required to equip
approach is needed. Peak their parking spaces
Oil will affect—directly with electricity outlets
and indirectly—every to more seamlessly
aspect of society; thus, accommodate the
the solutions acted upon must be or outright caps on emissions that coming reality of plug-in electric
many and work in unison toward will get progressively tougher bi- vehicles. And for the homes that
the aim of reducing our energy annually. This will have the side already exist, subsidies can be
consumption (and in turn, our benefits of reduced CO2 emissions offered to homeowners to retrofit
carbon footprint, which is great that damage the environment, their homes with energy efficient
for the environment as well). The will produce green jobs by appliances, lighting, furnaces,
following are suggestions that, in retrofitting the old infrastructure insulation, etc.
this writer’s opinion, need to be of industrial buildings and make As for the transportation
enacted by the government to each participating company more industry (which uses nearly 70%
of the petroleum produced), amounts of petroleum energy sure that less petroleum is used in
governments must enact legislation to mine uranium), as the cost of the production and transportation
that forces car companies to these sources of energy will only of food and will have the added
produce zero-carbon emitting increase the further into the peak benefit of producing healthier
vehicles (electric cars) by a certain oil age we enter. As well, this new food for the masses while
date and thereafter, annually energy transition will generate providing struggling farmers with
increase the total percentage of millions of jobs that will alleviate an increased income.
those vehicle’s production until the unemployment peak oil will
all vehicles in production become bring. The Gravy
zero-carbon emitting. And while And as for food production, the All these actions and more can
this may be a more impossible government will need to enact be implemented (especially in
requirement to ask of transport policies to ensure that all food the support of the Third World),
trucks, cargo ships and airlines, is grown organically, i.e. without but overall, the best way to fight
the government can enact the use of petroleum based against peak oil is to invest in
subsidies into research innovation, in human
of energy saving designs ingenuity, that will
and technology that can create the technologies
increase the efficiency of humanity needs to break
these transport mediums. out of our dependency
Together, such legislation on petroleum. As of now,
can substantially reduce present patent laws do
the amount of petroleum a good job of protecting
used on an annual basis, the interests of inventors
while at the same time, and the companies that
work to reduce man- support them. They have
made global warming. also played a large role
With respect to energy in the process of wealth
production, just like the creation across the world.
governments did with the But though my research,
first national railroads, I have found many
highways and satellites, commentators saying that
they must take the lead the world is approaching a
by investing in the wide gridlock in the advance of
scale implementation innovation. Specifically,
of alternative energies there is a drag on the
(eventually encouraging speed of progress in
the private sector to innovation and that drag
follow). Recent studies comes from the patents
have revealed that the themselves.
existing technologies For example, let us
of solar, wind, hydro, assume that today a
wave and especially scientist has found the cure
geothermal can easily satisfy the fertilizers and pesticides. As for aids or cancer or Parkinson’s,
full energy needs of the planet well, further regulation will be but the production of that cure is
if only their use were scaled up. required forcing grocery stores to dependant on ten ingredients that
Doing this will eliminate our need buy their packaged food, meats come from medical patents owed
on relying on energy from burning and produce locally (as much as by ten different pharmaceutical
petroleum, coal (which uses large possible), instead of importing companies. Will that scientist ever
amounts petroleum to transport them from across the country or be able to convince each of those
coal from the mines to the plant) internationally. Implementing ten, competitive pharmaceutical
and nuclear (which also uses huge both these measures will make companies to allow him to use
NFSA Recap of
Networking Night with
TD Bank
Rustem Safin, Contributor
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ENTREPRENEURISM IN A CLICK
What it takes to be an entrepreneur
and why now is the best time to
BECOME ONE
BY DAVID TAL,
STAFF WRITER & GRAPHIC DESIGNER
balance with my business, how to man- likely question one might ask is, could say, “the costs seem to high. load free design tools like Blender or
It’s scary out there. Graduating age into my schedule.” “Where do I begin?” Starting a business, running a business,Google’s SketchUp to create 3D ren-
“You see, for entrepreneurs, you During the discussion with Professor nowadays only the big corporations can derings of their product, then purchase
from university, students would have to do everything, because usually Kerr, he pointed out that a good place do that. How can I compete?” online the manufacturing equipment
when you first start out, you don’t to start is through networking. “Suc- This mindset would have been per- (which have fallen in price from the
hope to whatever belief system have the capital to hire anybody. … cess in entrepreneurship is as much fectly valid and common only ten years hundred thousands to a few thousand,
Those things, how to manage your who you know as what you know or ago. For many, the costs of starting e.g. MakerBot) they would need to
they holds dear that they’ll be time, you’re not born with them. It how innovative you are. On two sides, one’s own business, competing with build their products at home or in their
takes time to learn.” it helps you with getting the resources the ‘big boys’ were staggering, not to rented space.
able to land a job within their In the end though, Moshe confirmed you need to get your venture off the mention the sheer amount of industry The latter is the approach Moshe is
that, for him, the pros outweighed the ground … and also, at the market in- or legal knowledge one would need to currently taking with his new venture,
chosen profession, to finally cons. “Entrepreneurship is my life.” terface, networking exposes you to dif- obtain to ensure their business lasted Up Entertainment. Started over a year
The conversation then shifted to the ferent channels, new potential past the first few years. But something ago, Moshe invented a new television
start their adult lives in qualities a young professional needs to customers. arose this past decade, something screen system for condo elevators that
succeed as an entrepreneur. “Gener- “All things together, it’s usually the which acted as a game-changer: the In- will show video and advertisements to
earnest. “But what if that doesn’t ally, I would say (you need to) have well-connected person who wins the ternet Revolution. riders, but do so wirelessly instead of
dedication, persistence, discipline, game versus the in- using long
happen?” they might wonder. adaptiveness and awareness. Things dividual without You have to keep up on the market, know who your bundles of
are always changing in the market connections.” competitors are and if they make a mistake, know how to c a b l e ,
“What are my options?” place. You have to be prepared for un- Kerr went on to
capitalize on it. which is the
certain situations. And you have to be explain how, in industry
alert. You have to keep up on the mar- terms of lack of funding, there are also It seems quaint to say this now, es- standard.
getting into one stream of work and ket, know who your competitors are a variety of modest funding grants and pecially with how comfortable many He programmed the software him-
For many soon-to-be-graduates, the
staying in that work until retirement, and if they make a mistake, know how loans offered by the government for Gen Nexters are with the Internet. But self and, with a business partner, con-
answer to this existential query is
those days are long gone.” to capitalize on it.” young entrepreneurs (that is, if you that’s the point! When one thinks structed a several prototypes of the
weighing more and more on their col-
But Moshe added that above all else, can’t get funding from family, friends, about it, the Internet—and the Infor- screens, which were later installed (as
lective minds. And even with the
So what options are there? For “I think that it is very important for en- the bank, etc). Moreover, the impor- mation Age it helped foster—has com- a trial run) in a number of smaller GTA
economy crawling out of a recession,
some, taking action, taking command trepreneurs to be okay with failure, tance is pressed for those students who pletely democratized almost every condos. With their success, Moshe has
finding work—any work—remains a
of one’s life to create one’s own oppor- because it’s there all the time. You fail lack experience, to “weave (entrepre- aspect of starting a new venture. And already contacted a Chinese manufac-
bloodsport. They will be competing
tunities feels like a welcome refuge and you have to stand up and keep on neurship) into their education and for those Gen Nexter’s, currently in turing company to produce more of
with thousands of other new graduates
from the thought of having to rely on going.” choice of part time employ- their 20s, they’re the first generation these elevator screens at much lower
and hundreds of thousands of other
the whims of external employers. This ment, (to expose them) to grow up with it, to know how to use costs. If all goes well, he plans to soon
adult professionals for the jobs they
mindset is entrepreneurship at its If that last point to the entrepreneur- it intuitively. shift his business into full operation,
want.
heart and many young professionals hasn’t scared ial landscape (as So why pay huge sums of money to installing custom screens in condo ele-
Pile on to this the fact that since the
are viewing this profession/lifestyle as prospective early as possi- market one’s product or service on tel- vators throughout the GTA.
1980s, since the rise of globalization,
a viable option upon graduation. entrepre- ble).” evision or in newspapers, when one In all, never before has it cost so lit-
cost cutting trends have changed the
One such individual is Moshe Lok- neurs off, can do so for free (or next to free) on- tle or been so easy to not only start
rules of the game. Specifically, such
shin, President of the Entrepreneurship t h e n “But line (e.g. Ebay or SparkFun) and in a one’s own business, but make it survive
movements as downsizing (reducing or-
Society at York. Growing up in Israel, t h e still,” much more targeted way? and even grow globally. The only thing
ganizational size either through the
Moshe developed a strong background next one Why shell out thousands in consul- stopping most from doing so is the will-
number of employees or the number or
in computers, so much so that at 17 he tancy costs, when one can access ingness to take risks and invest their
breadth of departments); delayering
decided to start his own business. To reams of industry, legal, regulatory, time to pursue those opportunities
(restructuring the organization to pos-
his surprise (and a great deal of luck he pricing, logistical information, etc, for they see in front of them.
sess fewer levels of bureaucracy); out-
adds), his business, M.n.B. Computers free online. For Moshe, there’s one thing he
sourcing (getting rid of organizational
Ltd, grew over three years to generate Why invest millions of dollars in would tell a young counterpart inter-
functions to instead purchase them
annual sales of approximately 3.5 mil- owning manufacturing plants, ware- ested in trying entrepreneurship,
from external specialists); and casual-
lion Shekels (950,000 CAN). houses, shipping fleets, etc, when one “(It’s) a lifestyle, not just a career. So
ization of work (part-time, flex-time,
Sitting down with him, we discussed can organize online the outsourcing of what do have to improve most? Your-
temp work, volunteer, etc) have led to
the lifestyle of the entrepreneur. a product’s complete production to self. I am constantly trying to develop
a complete shift in how most view the
Sure it provides the satisfaction of foreign countries like China (e.g. Al- myself, looking for what I’m good at
concept of work.
striking it out on your own and, if ibaba.com: business-to-business mar- and what are my weaknesses and try-
Summarizing this shift, Professor Jon
you’re successful, a great deal of ketplace), have it stored in a nearby ing to improve on them.
Kerr, a lecturer and coordinator of the
wealth, but is it for everybody? warehousing company, accept pay- “There is no stop. You can always
management area in the School of Ad-
Moshe grinned. Then with a Russ- ments for products online (e.g. pay- be better, always continue, always im-
ministrative Studies in the Faculty of
ian accent confessed, “(When I first pal.com), then deliver one’s prove, always explore other opportu-
Liberal Arts and Professional Studies,
started out) I had to sacrifice—ini- products anywhere in the world (e.g. nities. It’s like a never ending
stated, “The employment environment
tially it was a girlfriend, then friends, government or premium mail carri- marathon ”
today is fundamentally different than
my high school grades were lower, all ers)?
the environment 30, 40, 50 years ago.
the things that I didn’t know how to Even for those archetypal, DIY
The idea of getting out of university,
garage inventors, they can now down-
START NOW
Lucy Edwards
Senior Analyst
British Columbia Investment
Management Corporation
FOLLOW UP
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David Alexander
Editor-In-Chief INTERVIEW: If you are a finance student of merit, or a professor or industry professional related to
the finance industry, and you are willing to graciously lend your time to be interviewed for one of
Do not trust the ARBITRAGE’s future columns, please contact: Arbitrage.Query@nfsa.ca
people. They are OTHER QUERIES, contact: Arbitrage.Query@nfsa.ca
capable of LEGAL NOTE: All letters or pictures submitted may be published by the NFSA ARBITRAGE, unless ex-
greatness. pressly forbidden by the sender. Names will be withheld on request. ARBITRAGE cannot be held re-
sponsible for the return of unsolicited material. All submissions may be edited for punctuation,
Stanislaw Lem grammar, style and length. Not all material may be published.
SArAh Prevette is a serial entrepreneur in the classic sense of the
Sprouter
term. upon graduating from school, soon after founded the online ven-
ture, Sprouter, of which this feature article discusses. however, she is
also the founder of a variety of other ventures, including: redWire (an
online collaboration tool facilitating knowledge exchange between start-
ups and business leaders), Social Mastermind (a volunteer run initiative
pairing social media luminaries with charities to help causes build online
market share) and regular networking events, such as Wired Wednesday,
Sprout up and Break Out Camp.
A talk with Sarah Prevette
How did you come up with the idea cilitate new business creation -
MAny StudentS in university dream of landing a nice job when they graduate. for Sprouter? they just tend to lack effective vis- A recessionary global economy
they want a job that will offer a great starting salary, a job where professional de- Sprouter was born to overcome ibility. I'm continually amazed at means tighter budgets, longer sales
the traditional isolation of entre- the plethora of initiatives geared cycles and a climate of fearful un-
velopment is encouraged and recognized and a job that provides them with self- preneurs and create an instant, specifically at students. I would certainty. But, like with most is-
satisfaction. plug-in network of support. Start- strongly recommend researching sues, there lies opportunity for a
Other students meanwhile dream of having their own business. they want to be up founders leverage Sprouter for opportunities and speaking with resourceful individual offering a
their own boss, they want to make their own hours and want to be rewarded for advice, inspiration and real time timely solution. Products posi-
not-for-profit organizations like the
feedback on their business. Canadian Youth Business Founda- tioned to save money for example,
everything they do. tion (CYBF.CA) might particularly prosper in a re-
these students want to be entrepreneurs. Do you have any advice to give Uni- cessionary environment.
versity students who are interested What lessons have you learned It's worth noting that at the same
While many students dream of money and the ones who can offer systemic culture of striving to be
in start-ups? that the economy has
owning their own successful busi- advice to aspiring entrepreneurs. "number two"—a propensity to join
ness, few of them venture out to For you see, a business owner was larger companies, climb the corpo- I'd recommend that [t]here lies opportunity for a resourceful taken a hit, technol-
do so because of the risks involved. also once a student who was think- rate ladder and achieve success anyone interested in individual offering a timely solution. ogy becomes cheaper
and the cost of start-
It is a fact that 80% of new busi- ing of an idea and how to market through direct reports and an exec- start-ups first gain ex-
nesses close within the first year. that idea. On Wednesday Novem- utive title reporting to the presi- perience working at someone else's from running your own ing your own business has lessens.
And with an economy still recover- ber 26 2009, Sarah Prevette, the dent. start-up. The culture, uncertainty business/what advice can you give It is an unprecedented time in his-
and hectic pace of a new business now? tory to start your own company—
ing from an ugly recession, the founder of Sprouter (a website that The more visibility we can lend
chances that a student will take a “enables collaboration and net- to innovation and innovators, to is not for everyone—try it on first Start-ups are ongoing evolutions: leverage free online tools, tap into
risk and open up a business is very working between entrepreneurs new start-ups, the more we will en- and see how it fits before commit- constant iterations, tiny refine- online networks of support and ac-
unlikely. globally”), came to New College to courage entrepreneurship as a vi- ting your life to it. ments and adjustments to pre-laid tively engage with your market.
Still, some do find a passion in speak to students. She had a won- able career choice. Internship can be an incredible plans. Aim to fail early. Establish
foot in the door and beneficial to what your minimal viable product The advice that Sarah shared
working for themselves and being derful presentation where she an-
both parties—the student and the is and push to bring it to market as with us was definitely invaluable
the one to make the important de- swered questions, as well as gave What was your inspiration to be-
cisions. As a result, they begin to students a chance to talk to her come an entrepreneur? start-up. Resources are hard to fast as possible. Get feedback be- and aspiring entrepreneurs should
execute their brilliant idea and face to face. She taught them im- I was incredibly fortunate to have come by in the early days of a com- fore you even establish a proto- play close attention to what she is
open up shop. While some do not portant lessons such as toughening had the opportunity to gain experi- pany and a willing (unpaid) worker type—build your product around saying, as good advice on starting
make it to their fiscal year, some go up, especially in face of failure. ence in a start-up while still a stu- is happily accepted in most places. true, established needs. Embrace your own business is hard to come
above and beyond. I also had the privilege of getting dent. Learning first-hand under an The intern benefits from hands on failure as a process of progression, by these days.
York University students have the a chance to interview her. Here is exceptionally charismatic and vi- experience and the entrepreneur i.e. strive to fail early, fail often
privilege of getting to meet and what she said: sionary entrepreneur was a great through having an extra set of and commit to constant evaluation. Laksh vig, Contributor
hear successful individuals speak initiation. Being submersed in an hands to help. Establish your key metrics, build a
and share their success stories at How did you come up with the idea environment that fostered ongoing dashboard and hold yourself ac-
events and conferences. Many of of being an entrepreneur, as entre- innovation, had a culture of un- Many people (especially students) countable for the numbers.
them are from large corporations preneurship is not a well-publi- yielding passion and an ongoing want to run a business but are un-
and well-established businesses. cized profession and as it can be a sense of urgency was intoxicating. able to come up with the start up What, in your opinion, are the ad-
Who York students do not often get ‘risky business to enter into’? It was that first experience that funds needed. What advice do you vantages (or disadvantages) of as-
to meet are the business owners Entrepreneurship has tradition- gave me the desire and confidence have for students in this position? piring entrepreneurs starting up a
themselves: the ones who took the ally not been an actively promoted to pursue my own ideas. A number of programs, loans and business during a recessionary eco-
risks, invested all of their time and profession. In Canada, there is a grants exist that are meant to fa- nomic climate?
W
e all want success, to graduate from school with our options unhindered
by obstacles, big or small. And for those interested in pursuing a career
in finance, the potential for that success can be mind-boggling. We’ve
all read stories of those big names, those market tycoons we all hope to fol-
low, with their seven-figure plus salaries, generous stock options, private jets
and exclusive parties.
These things and more are all possible to you. But on this winding, yellow
brick road of life, there are many forks in the road—choices that if made
poorly, may pull you away from your ultimate goals. To protect yourself, to
ensure that the choices you make are the right ones for you and your dreams,
we at the NFSA Arbitrage have developed the NFSA Career Planner.
In this second edition, we will outline what the financial industry is, but
this time, the particular field we will be focusing on is: Wealth Management.
Over the next several pages, we will briefly explain the field of wealth man-
agement, some of the top jobs within it, the specific designations and educa-
tion one would need to pursue a career in this field, the key skills and
attributes need, salary ranges for each main job and the key duties/respon-
sibilities one would expect to carry out in this field.
In all, it is our hope that by reviewing the information inside this NFSA Ca-
reer Planner, planning out your financial career will become that much easier,
helping you to make the right turns along life’s yellow brick road until you
reach the point where the world will become yours for the taking ... .
[NOTE: Following this edition of the Arbitrage, all further Career Planners
will be released separately from the Arbitrage between each issue. This is
in line with the Arbitrage’s future growth strategy.]
CAREER PLANNER
T
his is a doozie of a question. Depending on whom you ask, you’ll be sure to hear a variety
of answers. But essentially, finance is the management of money or other assets. Excit-
ing! Well, for those who don’t quite share our level of enthusiasm, bare in mind that
money and how it’s managed is what determines much of how the world works. The better an
understanding you have of money, and the rules that regulate it (finance and accounting), the
more power you will have to determine your own future.
Intrigued? We hope so. Because the next several pages will try to answer the second
half of your question: what is the financial industry? To be clear, this is like asking what is
food industry or the entertainment industry. The finance industry, just like these two exam-
ples, can be very ambiguous, as it covers so many different fields, from business consulting to
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money & wealth management to commercial banking and even insurance. For the purposes
of this first edition of the NFSA Career Planner, we will be focusing only on the investment
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banking industry, since (from our experience) it tends to be the most popular amongst finance
graduates.
But not to worry, in later editions of the Arbitrage, the NFSA Career Planner will slowly
expand to cover the many other fields within the financial industry and, in so doing, we hope
to do our part in supporting our readership in their future career ambitions.
The finance industry has enabled Canada to be one of the most attractive places to conduct
business, as well as to invest. Canada possesses the following characteristics that have help
create such a great environment: a relatively stable political environment, stable economic
trends, skilled and productive labour force, moderate taxation, and not overly regulated trade
barriers, fiscal and monetary policies. Consequently, the finance industry provided Canada
with a capital market that is one of the most sophisticated and efficient in the world. This in-
dustry runs on the basis of the flow of capital and financial instruments. The following is an
informal order, dictated by this flow of capital, which categorizes the affected parties of in-
dividuals in the Canadian society.
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Financial Intermediaries:
These organizations are the parties that offer all sorts of services to users of capital to help
them manage and invest it. They act as a bridge between the investors and the capital mar-
The Basics
kets. Some can also act as brokers for their clients or as investment dealers or both, in primary
and secondary securities markets.
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Capital Markets:
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*Stock Exchanges. These are auction markets where buyers and sellers of securities trade with
each other, they include: Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX), TSX Venture Exchange, Bourse de Mon-
treal, Winnipeg Commodity Exchange (WCE), Canadian Trading and Quotation System (CNQ)
*Over-the-counter (OTC) markets. They are the unlisted equity markets that are also dealer
markets. They consist of a network of dealers who trade with each other, where these dealers
act as market makers as only the dealers’ bid and ask quotations are entered. Many of these
markets are privately owned, computerized networks that match orders. These trading sys-
tems are mostly owned by private brokerage firms. Most bonds and money market securities
trade in these OTC markets. Three of the most popular OTC electronic trading systems: Can
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Deal, CBID, CanPX.
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and notify their members of the securities that they need to deliver in order to balance their
accounts.
Government Regulation:
Securities Commissions (in Ontario, it’s the Ontario Securities Commission), are official gov-
ernment agencies that are responsible for overseeing and supervising the self-regulatory or-
ganizations, as well as regulating the Canadian securities industry. These activities fall under
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provincial jurisdiction; thus, the securities commissions are provincial government agencies.
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They delegate the authority to make procedures and regulations that governs the financial in-
stitutions and capital markets to these self-regulatory bodies.
Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) is the regulatory body for
all the federally regulated financial institutions. It does not oversee the Canadian securities
industry.
Canada Deposit Insurance Corporation (CDIC) is a federal crown corporation that insures
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eligible deposits up to $100,000 per depositor in each of its member institutions.
T
he most important step in deciding upon a career path is self-reflection. Understanding
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both who you are and what you want when it comes to work, to life, it can seem trivial—
but, for most, these can be the toughest questions to answer. Statistics show that most
individuals in this current market place will likely switch jobs, and even whole careers, be-
tween four to ten times over the course of their lives. So take comfort, at least, in the knowl-
edge that you’re not alone in your uncertainty about what you want to do with the rest of
your life.
But even if you are one of the lucky few who know exactly what career they want to
strive for right at this very moment, there are a few things to consider: (1) you may start your
favoured job and soon after find that you hate it, (2) an amazing job opportunity might arise
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that may pull you into a different field, (3) life may kick you in the butt and you may never
reach that favoured career, (4) life may kick you in the butt really hard and yank you out of
your favoured job, i.e. recession, downsizing, etc, and (5) you may work in your favoured job
for a few years and then find that life has introduced you to completely new interests that
you would like to pursue. These possibilities, and many more, are what career advisors call
life.
No matter what you plan for your future, your life will always take you in directions
that you would never have imagined. Thus, while choosing a career may be difficult, or maybe
even unrealistic in this day-and-age, you can at least gauge what underlying needs drive you
and plan from there. Below are a number of categories we at the Arbitrage put together to
help you in this self-reflectionary process. Ask yourself the questions below and compare them
to the job descriptions that will follow. By doing this, we hope the fog in front of your career
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*Abilities: What abilities do you have to contribute and which ones do you want to improve
on?
*Opportunities for growth: What future opportunities are you hoping to achieve? How high up
the corporate ladder do you hope to climb over the course of your career?)
*Prestige and Recognition: How much respect and popularity does your ego need [i.e. if a lot,
lot, then chose an occupation that commands a great deal of respect and popularity from your
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peers, co-workers and the general public]? What level of authority do you envision your ideal
position possessing in regards to your team, your division and your firm?
*Work & Team Environment: What kind of surroundings are you most comfortable working
within?
*Characteristics of Personalities: Do you feel that the qualities of your personality allow you
to meet and exceed the demands of your ideal job?
*The Objective of the Job: Does the purpose of your desired career align with the core orga-
nizational goals of your ideal company, as well as your own career expectations and objectives?
Will your desired career allow you to achieve a sense of accomplishment when reflecting on
your job on a daily basis?
*Responsibilities & Duties: Do you believe that you will be passionate and enthusiastic about
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the responsibilities and tasks you will likely carry out on a daily basis?
*Salary Levels: What is your target salary range that you hope to aspire to over the course of
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your career?
W
hat is Wealth Management?
[The following description of Wealth Management was sourced from WiseGeek.com]
“Wealth management is a financial service concept that emerged as a specific offering
during the decade of the 1990’s. Generally, firms that offer a wealth management package
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provide a wide range of financial services to their clients that will include such basic elements
as estate planning, asset management, and even private banking options. The use of a wealth
management service can be helpful when an individual has amassed a large amount of assets
and needs assistance in managing all of them effectively.
“In the best examples of wealth management, the client will be able to take advantage of
a wide range of services that can include the management of everything from the mundane
daily task of balancing the (chequebook) to long range planning for a trust or estate. One of
the more popular aspects of a wealth management package is managing investments and man-
aging the tax planning that is associated with the task. The financial service can also be helpful
for people who are just beginning to amass a large number of assets, and would rather spend
time dealing with other issues than managing finances.
“Because wealth management is a form of private banking services, persons wishing to enter
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the field usually prepare by obtaining educational credentials that are directly connected to
financial disciplines. A wide range of professionals may be involved in the extension of wealth
management services. Attorneys, certified public accountants, insurance professionals and
brokers may all be involved in providing services to wealth management clients. In recent
years, accredited courses and seminars on wealth management have become more common
as the demand for this type of service has increased.
“The services included with a wealth management package will often include management
of the investment portfolio, with brokers empowered to buy and sell on behalf of the client.
Attorneys will help to structure family corporations, trusts, and other components that can
make estate planning more complete. When it comes to taxes, a wealth management service
will also prepare all reports and returns, offer advice to the client on tax elements involved
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with various aspects of the estate, and in general provide advice that is in the best interests
of the client.”
The following are general descriptions of the five basic divisions within an average investment
banking institution. Within each will be an outline of some of the main job positions that em-
body each said division, in addition to the general accountabilities & duties, key skill require-
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ments, estimated range of salary, education, certification & licenses, and additional informa-
tion that are generally necessitated by each position.
When reading these overviews, please consider them as a kind of realistic job preview that
will help prepare you for making the career choices of your future. These overviews are by
no means definitive and will likely be out of date within another few months (as the financial
industry tends to evolve quite regularly), thus while we recommend using this guide to aid in
your career choices, we also recommend reviewing secondary sources before you make your
final decision.
Keeping this, as well as your self-reflection answers, in mind, we hope you find the following
career planner section quite eye opening.
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*Education, Certification
& Licenses
*Additional Information
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FINANCIAL PLANNERS
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Financial planners and wealth managers help individuals plan their financial futures. How are
you going to cover your retirement needs? What do you have to do today to put your children
through college? This work can be personally and financially rewarding and requires excellent
interpersonal skills. A good financial planner understands investments, taxes, estate planning
issues and knows how to listen. This work can be done within a company such as IDS Financial
Services or by yourself, as a sole proprietorship.
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Administrative Assistant:
EARNINGS
*$25,000 to $35,000 a year
REQUIREMENTS
*University degree or college diploma
*Computer skills
RESPONSIBILITIES
*Providing administrative support for senior advisors, including faxing, photocopying, and mail-
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ing.
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Beginning Financial Planner
EARNINGS
*$35,000 to $45,000 a year
REQUIREMENTS
*Experience in the field
RESPONSIBILITIES
*Providing administrative support for senior advisors, including faxing, photocopying, and mail-
ing; doing some preparation of financial plan reports.
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Assistant Consultant
EARNINGS
*$40,000 to $55,000 a year
REQUIREMENTS
*Skills and experience
*Completion of financial planning courses
RESPONSIBILITIES
*Preparing complete financial plan reports from notes by senior financial consultants.
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EARNINGS
*$55,000 to $80,000 a year
REQUIREMENTS
*Ability to work independently with clients
*Certified Financial Planner (CFP) designation recommended
RESPONSIBILITIES
*Taking on direct responsibility for clients; meeting with and advising clients; managing junior
planners.
Vice-President
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EARNINGS
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*Assess clients' financial needs for retirement, tax and estate planning.
*Formulate financial plans and solutions to fulfill client objectives.
*Implement financial plans that are monitored and reviewed regularly.
*Stay informed on current investment products and changes in the markets and tax laws.
*Provide comprehensive wealth management advice, including guidance on investment and
portfolio management issues, to high net worth clients.
*Refer to, or consult with, tax, legal and estate planning specialists as needed.
*Prospect for new clients and build an established business.
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A good financial planner understands investments, taxes, estate planning issues and
knows how to listen. In order to be effective, financial planners must be familiar with
legal restrictions and laws concerning retirement plans, tax shelters, insurance, and
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trusts. They must be skilled at working with numbers and budgets and be able to un-
derstand complicated financial and legal documents. In addition, they should be ar-
ticulate, persuasive, and have some decent selling ability. To make it in financial
planning you need to know the details of various investments, tax law, estate planning
strategies and you need to be good at marketing yourself and listening to your cus-
tomers.
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The median salary for financial planners job rankings issue was $70,000 in 2008. People
that work for companies earn somewhat less and franchisees do the worst. The salary
distribution in this business is highly skewed.
Bear in mind, of course, that it takes a number of years to build a strong clientele
so that in the early days money will not flow quickly into a practice.
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The Basics
If you're thinking about becoming a financial planner, you should have at least a bach-
elors degree in a business related area. An MBA can be helpful but is not required at
all.
To receive professional accreditation, they are expected to first complete financial
planning courses such as those leading to CSI's Financial Management Advisor Designa-
tion, which are the Canadian Securities Course (CSC), the Professional Financial Plan-
ning Course (PFPC) and the Wealth Management Techniques (WMT) course.
Financial planners are increasingly called on to have the CFP (Certified Financial
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Planner) designation. To become a CFP, you must past an exam approved by the CFP
Board of Standards which covers over 175 topics in investing and financial planning.
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Today, there are approximately 59,000 CFP's. The number has more than doubled in
the last decade.
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U. S. News and World Report listed the position of financial planner as one of the twenty
hottest professions for the future. They note that the entry of baby-boomers into middle age
with a bewildering array of investment choices will make financially planning a really hot pro-
fession in the future. This said, financial planners interviewed recently point out that getting
a solo practice going as a financial planner today can be difficult and highly competitive.
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resentatives and many Insurance Sales Agents may also become licensed to sell mutual funds.
As with Investment Advisors, Mutual Fund Sales Representatives are expected to build their
own clientele and serve investors' investment, retirement and estate planning needs. Unlike
Investment Advisors, who are licensed to deal in stocks and bonds in addition to mutual funds,
Mutual Fund Sales Representative are only licensed to advise on and sell mutual fund invest-
ment products.
JUNIOR ANALyST
EARNINGS
*$50,000 to $100,000 a year
REQUIREMENTS
*Bachelor’s degree in commerce, economics, or a related field
RESPONSIBILITIES
*Mathematical modeling; performing statistical analyses; note-taking; basic researching.
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SENIOR ANALyST
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EARNINGS
*$100,000 to $200,000 a year
REQUIREMENTS
*3 to 6 years of experience
*Further commerce-related education, such as an MBA
*Possibly certified as a CFA (Chartered Financial Analyst)
RESPONSIBILITIES
*More dealing with clients and company management; possibly specializing in a specific sec-
tor (for example, telecommunications).
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PORTFOLIO MANAGER
EARNINGS
*$150,000 to $1,000,000 a year
REQUIREMENTS
*At least 5 years of experience as a senior analyst
*Proven track record of good investment picks
RESPONSIBILITIES
*Much more responsible for selling the fund to potential investors; performing less analyses;
directing analysts.
EARNINGS
*$1,000,000 a year or more
REQUIREMENTS
*10 or more years of experience
RESPONSIBILITIES
*Directing all analysts and portfolio managers within department; motivating and evaluating
staff; handling other management responsibilities; directing philosophy of investment strategy
of company.
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The Basics
# Build a book of business and open accounts for new clients.
# Analyze client needs and recommend mutual funds best suited to investment, retirement
and estate planning goals.
# Receive and execute orders to buy or sell mutual fund units.
# Provide clients with account information and performance report
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New Mutual Fund Sales Representatives are usually paid a salary. Commission or fee-based
compensation is usually phased-in after the first year. New representatives can earn between
$30,000 and $50,000. More experienced representatives can earn $150,000 or more.
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To become registered as a Mutual Fund Sales Representative, a candidate must first fulfill pro-
ficiency requirements set out by industry regulators. One way is to complete CSI's Investment
Funds in Canada (IFC) Course or CSI's Canadian Securities Course (CSC). A 90-day training
program must also be completed.
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InveSTmenT aDvISoR
Investment Advisors (IAs) work for investment dealers that trade in securities -- the largest
firms in Canada are owned by banks, but there are also a number of independent ones. This
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job puts you face-to-face with investors, so you must be registered with securities regulators
to be able to provide investment advice and buy and sell investment products including
stocks, bonds and mutual funds.
Investment advisors buy and sell many different types of investments (bonds, mutual funds,
options, and term deposits) for their clients. They may be self-employed, or they may work in
banks or other large financial institutions.
istrative duties.
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kets.
*Monitor stock market and industry trends likely to affect clients' investments.
*Meet with clients, by phone or in person, to discuss these trends.
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*Advise clients on the products or services that suit their needs and objectives.
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*Arrange purchase or sale of stocks, bonds and other investment products on behalf of in-
vestors.
*Prospect, build and retain a client base.
*Stay up-to-date on current investment products and markets
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Income varies greatly, depending on the number and type of clients advisors have, where they
work, and the value of commissions they receive. Investment advisors may earn as little as
$30,000 a year or upwards of $150,000.
The Canadian Securities Institute (CSI) reports that most investment advisors can earn at
least $100,000 after 3 to 5 years. However, it is important to note that annual earnings are
closely linked to the rise and fall of markets and the strength of the economy.
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Most IAs have earned a university or a college degree. Before they can become registered to
provide investment advice to clients, IAs must meet proficiency requirements set out by se-
curities regulators. These include completion of CSI's Canadian Securities Course (CSC), the
Conduct and Practices Handbook Course (CPH), plus the 90-day Investment Advisor Training
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Course (IAT). Within 30 months of approval for registration, IAs must also complete CSI's Wealth
Management Essentials Course (WME).
IAs must meet continuing education (CE) requirements throughout their careers to maintain
registration. Many choose to complete CSI's Derivatives Market Specialist Program or the Cana-
dian Insurance Course (CIC), allowing them to apply for additional licensing to deal in options,
futures or life insurance, and offer broader services to clients.
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N
ow that you have a somewhat clearer understanding of the various divisions and career
opportunities within finance (and investment banking in particular), we hope that you
apply the self-knowledge that you developed in the Self*Reflection section to select a
field in finance that best suits you. If one of those fields lies in the pages you just looked
through, then you should now have at least a somewhat better idea as to what duties you may
need to prepare for and what levels of education you may need to obtain to reach your career
ambitions in that said field.
To this end, the next and final section of this career planner will provide you with more in-
formation regarding the various designations that exist in the financial industry and the various
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processes to attain each designation. To learn what designation is best for you, refer to the
Education, Certification & licences section of your chosen field to see which ones best suit
your chosen career path.
It is our hope that upon perusing the information below (alongside the information you just
reviewed) you will have a more complete understanding about what your future holds in store
and how you can claim it!
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The Basics
ote: Some of these designations are available in both Canada and the US, while others
are only offered in the US. Who knows where your career will take you, so we figured
we would stay safe and offer information on designations from both sides of the border.
Those with the CFP® designation have demonstrated competency in all areas of finance related
to financial planning. Candidates complete studies on over 100 topics, including stocks, bonds,
taxes, insurance, retirement planning and estate planning. The program is administered by
the Certified Financial Planner Board of Standards Inc. In addition to passing the CFP certifi-
cation exam, candidates must also complete qualifying work experience and agree to adhere
to the CFP Board's code of ethics and professional responsibility and financial planning stan-
dards. (Definition sourced from www.investopedia.com/)
For more information, see: http://www.fpsc.ca/
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As the name implies, an individual with this certification has demonstrated his or her expert-
ise in mutual funds and the mutual fund industry. These individuals often advise clients on
which funds to invest in and, depending on whether or not they have their license, they will
buy and sell funds for clients. The Institute of Business & Finance (IBF), provides training for
the CFS, and the course focuses on a variety of mutual fund topics, including portfolio theory,
dollar*cost averaging and annuities. (Definition sourced from www.investopedia.com/)
tion to successful completion of an exam on areas of financial planning, including income tax,
insurance, investment and estate planning, candidates are required to have a minimum of
three years experience in a financial industry position. (Definition sourced from www.in-
vestopedia.com/)
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Given by the Investment Counsel Association, this is a designation which CFA charter holders
who are currently registered investment advisors can study for. The focus of the CIC program
is portfolio management. In addition to proving their high level expertise in portfolio man-
agement, these individuals must also adhere to a strict code of ethics and provide character
reference letters. (Definition sourced from www.investopedia.com/)
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tion, which signifies a high level of consulting expertise. The Investment Management Con-
sultants Association offers the CIMA courses. (Definition sourced from
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www.investopedia.com/)
For more information, see: http://www.imca.org/
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designation is awarded by the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants to those
who have taken additional training and already have a CFP designation. (Definition sourced
from www.investopedia.com/)
For more information, see: http://www.aicpa.org/
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Chartered Accountant (CA):
Being a Chartered Accountant is a valuable designation to put beside your name regardless
of your career path, but by combing a Charter Accountant designation alongside your finan-
cial degree (and other financial designations and certifications) is a killer combination in the
eyes of just about any employer in this competitive market place.
To obtain this designation, you will have had to complete all the appropriate university
courses (or equivalent training), before being admitted into the CA training program where
you will take part in a kind of multiyear apprenticeship. Specifically, you will gain work ex-
perience in a CA Training Office under the supervision of experienced CAs. As well, during
your training you will be continually assessed on your development by CA board represen-
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tatives, before finally submitting to a three day Uniform Evaluation (UFE) to gauge your knowl-
edge and place you on the next step to your CA designation.
For more information, see: http://www.cica.ca/index.aspx
Similar to a CA, a CMA is a valuable asset to place in your Cv. CMAs focus primarily on man-
agerial accounting and are usually often found in industry. Following university graduation,
CMA candidates write a two*day CMA Entrance Examination that tests business knowledge,
analytical thinking and written communication.
If you pass, you enter through series of successive phases in the CMA Strategic Lead-
ership Program that will take 24 months to complete and include substantial practical work
experience in the field. A final examination and assessment take place at the end of this pro-
gram before one attains their CMA designation.
For more information, see: http://www.cma-canada.org/
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ing. While not as prestigious as the other accounting designations, the CGA offers practical
tools for those interested in the accounting field. Attaining this designation is much more
flexible than the other accounting designation and can be started while attending university.
For more information, see: http://www.cga-ontario.org/
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Training
business.sfu.ca/mfrm Learning
Global Asset and Wealth www.conestogac.on.ca UBC Finance Club
Management MBA http:// E-mail: ubcfinanceclub@gmail.
business.sfu.ca/gawm George Brown College com
www.georgebrown.ca www.ubcfinance.com
University of Toronto
Rotman Commerce Georgian College Brock University
E-mail: rotmancommerce.info@ www.georgianc.on.ca Business Students’ Association
utoronto.ca E-mail: admin@brockbsa.com
www.rotmancommerce.utoronto. Humber College www.brockbsa.com
ca/site3.aspx www.humber.ca Finance & Investment
Group (BFIG)
University of Toronto at Loyalist College E-mail: president@brockfinance.
Mississauga Department of www.loyalistcollege.com com
Management www.brockfinance.com
E-mail: mgt.utm@utoronto. Mohawk College of Applied Arts
ca wwwl.utm.utoronto.ca/ and Technology University of Calgary
management www.mohawkcollege.ca Commerce Undergraduate
Master of Management & Society
Professional Accounting Program Seneca College E-mail: cus@ucalgary.ca
www.utoronto.ca/mmpa www.senecac.on.ca www.ucalgary.ca/-cus
www.ific.ca Yukon
INVESTOR SERVICES www.gov.yk.ca/depts/community
News Organizations and
Advice for Investors Publications
www.adviceforinvestors.com
Canada Newswire STOCK EXCHANGES
BigCharts www.newswire.ca
www.bigcharts.com The American Stock Exchange
Canoe (Canadian Online Explorer) www.amex.com
Canadian Financial Network www.canoe.ca
www.canadianfinance.com CBOE
www.cboe.com
Globeinvestor
www.globeinvestor.com PROVINCIAL SECURITIES CNQ
ADMINISTRATORS www.cnq.ca
Investorwords
www.investorwords.com Alberta Bourse de Montreal
www.albertasecurities.com www.m-x.ca
Investopedia
www.investopedia.com British Columbia Nasdaq
www.bcsc.bc.ca www.nasdaq.com
Iunits
www.iunits.com Manitoba New York Stock Exchange
www.msc.gov.mb.ca www.nyse.com
National Financial Services
Network Ontario Toronto Stock Exchange
www.nfsn.com www.osc.gov.on.ca www.tsx.ca