ENERGY STRATEGY

NEW

OF UKRAINE TILL 2035:

SECURITY, ENERGY EFFICIENCY, COMPETITIVE ABILITY

Brief description

Victor Logatskiy, Leading Expert, Energy Programmes, Razumkov Centre, Kyiv, Ukraine
 Energy Sector of Ukraine at a Glance in 2016

THE STRUCTURE AND CAPACITY OF THE ЕNERGY SECTOR OF UKRAINE (2016)* Ukrainian energy sector
in key estimations:
FUEL ELECTRIC POWER INDUSTRY
• Ranks in the top 10 in
NATURAL
OIL COAL
BIOMASS
NUCLEAR THERMAL HYDRO
Europe
GAS TO FUEL

Proven reserves: Proven Reserves: Installed capacity of 15 Installed capacity

• Ranks in top 30 in the
Installed capacity:
1104 bcm reserves
(incl. HGL):
33873 mt Av ai lable
resources:
power units (reactors):
13835 MW-e (25%)
including cogeneration
plants: 34314 MW-e
6221 MW-e (11%) World
250 mt Production: 33 mt o.e. (62%)
Producti on:
20 bcm
Producti on:
2,2 mt
41 mt
(33 mt - energy Used: 2,5 mt o.e.
Electri ci ty production: Electri ci ty production: Electri ci ty production: • Occupies ~ 30% of national
81 mMW h (52%) 63,2 mMW h (41%) 9,1 mMW h (6%)
coal incl.)
economy
NATURAL GAS CRUDE OIL • Provides transportation
TRANSPOR- TRANSPOR- POWER ELECTRICITY
REFINERY NON-HYDRO RES ~ 20% of annual EU natural
TATION AND TATION AND NETWORK
STORAGE STORAGE gas consumption
Transit capacity: Output capacity: Design capacity Installed capacity Length of main power • Requires adaptation to new
140 bcm/year 56,3 mt/year (crude oil) of RES power stati ons: transmission lines:
of 6 biggest 962 MW-e (2%) 29190 km challenges, market
Total length of main gas Total length of main refineries:
pipelines: 38550 km oil pipel ines: 4767 km 51,1 mt/year Including: 136 basic substations wi th total conditions and
transformation capacity of
Natural gas compressor
stations: 72
Oil pumping stations:
51
- Solar – 458 MW-e 78632 MVA. modernization, and state
Underground natural gas Reservoir parks: 11
- Wind – 439 MW-e Length of electrical distribution policy for development
In oper ati on: only 1 grids: about 1 mi llion km
storage faci lities: 12 with with total stor age
from 6 biggest - Biomass fi red – 65 MW-e
31 bcm of storage working capacity of 1083
about 200 thousand 6-150 kV
capacity thousand cm
Crude oil and HGL local transformer substations.
Total length of natural gas processed: 2,5 mt
Sea oi l ter minal
distribution networ ks: Electri ci ty production: Electri ci ty transportation:
Pivdenny with total
367000 km handling capacit y of
1,6 mMW h (1%) 153 mMW h
New Energy Strategy
14,5 mt/year
Natural gas tr ansit: Export of electricity:
82 bcm (growt h 22% Crude oil t ransit: 4 mMW h (91% in EU)
from 2015 year) 15,2 mt * Razumkov Centre’s analysis

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Hierarchical Structure of the New Energy Strategy of Ukraine
tIll 2035: the goals, tasks, mechanisms and algorithms

Legend: Goals Tasks Mechanisms Algorithms * Source: Razumkov Centre’s presentation

3
 Temporal Vector: the Main Phases of the Energy Strategy

Till 2035
Till 2025
Till 2020

Energy Optimization Ensuring

Sector and Sustainable
Innovative Energy
Reforms Development Development
Phase 1

Phase 2

Phase 3
on the basis of the Energy Adjusting the
of EU Infrastructure energy policy in
Legislation EU-Ukraine line with the
Implemen- Energy European and
tation Markets global
Integration tendencies

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Phase 1. Energy Sector Reforms: Key Tasks

Completion of the implementation of the 3rd EU

Energy Package; modern energy markets formation

Institutional reforming of the state energy

companies and integration to ENTSO-G

Increasing of domestic natural gas production

Progressive decreasing of GDP energy intensity

Increasing of the RES share and investments in

regard to Emissions Reduction National Action Plan

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Phase 2. Optimization and Innovative Development
of the Energy Infrastructure: Key Tasks

Integration to ENTSO-E

Modernisation of the energy grids infrastructure,

smart-grids implementation
Development of heating infrastructure depending on
local resources and regional specifics
Country’s achievement to self-provision
with natural gas from domestic production
Follow-up increasing of the RES share and investments
in regard to Emissions Reduction National Action Plan

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Phase 3. Ensuring Sustainable Energy
Development: Key Tasks

Innovative development and CHP plants and NPP

construction instead of disposal or obsolete units

Extensive implementation of smart-grids and

client-oriented networks
Adaptation of the gas transportation system to the
actual demands of the all-European gas market

Increasing domestic natural gas production

Follow-up increasing of the RES share up to 25% of

GES and investments to further emissions reduction

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 Forecast of the Structure of the Primary Energy Supply
mln. t.o.e. 120
% 30
120 100
Heat and Heat and Heat and Heat and Heat and
Heat and Heat and Heat and Heat and Heat and
geothermal; 1 geothermal; 0,6 geothermal; 0,6 geothermal; 1,1 geothermal; 1,6 geothermal; 2,1
geothermal; 0,5 geothermal; 0,5 geothermal; 1,5 geothermal; 2,0 Solar and wind; Solar and wind; Solar and wind;
Solar and wind; Solar and wind;
1,2 2,4 5,5
Solar and wind; 10 0,1 10,4
Hydro; 1,1 Hydro; 1,2 Hydro; 1,1 Hydro; 1,1 Hydro; 1,0
100 96 100 25 25
Solar and wind; 0,1 Solar and wind; 1 Solar and wind; 2 Solar and wind; 5 Hydro; 1
95 2,2
4,9
Hydro; 1 6,9
Hydro; 1
2 Hydro; 1 8,8
Hydro; 1
25,5
80 6 8 80 11,5 20
23,0 4 91 11 29,3
29,7
90,1 90 32,2
17
24 11,6
28 27 25,0
60 24 60 15
10,5 87 11,5
9,2
85 8,2
9,5 12 7,3
8 7,5 7 28,9
40 26 40 29,3 10

82
8 31,0
24 30,8
27 28 29 30,2
80
20 20 5
4
27
18 30 22
14 13 12 16,1 14,3 12,5
0 75 0 0
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
Coal Natural gas Oil products Coal Natural gas Oil products
Nuclear Biofuels and wastes Solar and wind Nuclear Biofuels and wastes Solar and wind
Hydro * Термальна енергія
Heat довкілля та скидні ресурси техногенного
and geothermal Total походження Hydro Heat and geothermal - RES

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 Strategy’s Benchmark Indicators

A. Energy Efficiency Approaching 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

GDP energy intensity (t.o.e. /’000 $PPP 2005) 0,28 0,20 0,18 0,15 0,13

Losses share in electricity grids (%) >12 10 9 8 <7,5

B. Expansion of the RES 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

RES share in the Total Primary Energy

4 8* 12 17 25
Supply (%)

* RES share in the final energy consumption is estimated 11% of the total final energy consumption in 2020.

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Thank you for your attention!

01015, Кyiv, Lavrska street 16,

Telephone: + 38 0442011198
Facsimile: + 38 0442011199
http://www.razumkov.org.ua

victor.logatskiy@razumkov.org.ua
victor.logatskiy@gmail.com