Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
by
Sameer Agrawal (173190008)
Hitesha Nemade (173194002)
Abhijit Tomar (13D100031)
3 Data Collection 9
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List of Figures
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Abstract
India’s health care system policies were designed years ago. In due course of time, there
has been several disparities that have emerged which can be attributed to different lifestyles,
cultures, weather, demography, etc. Structure and Evolution of health care system in India
is studied.
Data available on government websites is exploited and few statistical analysis is conducted
to develop some interesting inferences. An attempt is also made to develop some OR model
to allocate health care sector budget, specifically related to tertiary health care system, under
certain assumptions.
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Chapter 1
Health system and policies determine how the health care services are determined and uti-
lized. Current Health policies and systems have evolved from the “Bhore Committee Re-
port”, 1946 (for more details, refer to [2], as well as the influence of the Alma Ata Declaration
of Health for All by the Year 2000. Although the first national population program was an-
nounced in 1951, the first National Health Policy of India (NHP) got formulated only in
1983 with its main objective of providing primary health care to all by 2000. [1]
Indian health care system is based on the recommendation of three-tiered health-care sys-
tem. In three-tier health-care system, the primary level refers to the primary health care
which included care for mother and child which included family planning, immunization,
treatment of common diseases or injuries, providing essential facilities, health education,
prevention of locally endemic diseases, etc. Secondary level refers to second level of health
care in which patients from primary health care are referred to specialists in higher hospitals
for treatment. In Tertiary Health care (third level of health system), specialized consultative
care is provided usually on referral from primary and secondary medical care which includes
Specialized Intensive Care Units, advanced diagnostic support services and specialized med-
ical personnel. [3]
Three-tier health care system was implemented to ensure everybody receives access to pri-
mary care independent of their individual socioeconomic conditions. However, lack of ca-
pacity of public health systems to provide access to quality care resulted in a simultaneous
evolution of the private health-care systems with a constant and gradual expansion of pri-
vate health-care services. Private health-care systems concentrated in Urban India and on
secondary and tertiary health-care services.[1]
India has mixed health-care which includes public and private health-care service providers.
India’s health system was designed several years ago, when expectations from health-care
systems were quite different. In due course of time, there has been several disparities that
have emerged which can be attributed to different lifestyles, cultures, weather, demography,
etc. The old approach to national health policies and programme is increasingly inappropri-
ate. The content of national health policy needs to be more specific, pertaining to specific
states and regions, considering the disparities eg. fertility rate, HIV epidemic etc.
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Public Health care System in India
Public health care system is designed as three tier system based on population norms. Com-
ponents of three tier systems are as follows:
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2. Care for small and sick newborns
Currently there are 722 district hospitals, 4833 CHCs, 24 049 PHCs and 148 366 SCs in
the country.[1]
Below figure summarizes Indian Public Health Standard (IPHS) norms, which decides the
distribution of health-care infrastructure as well the resources needed at each level of care.
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Chapter 2
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Chapter 3
Data Collection
Data for performing statistical analysis and OR analysis was collected from different au-
thorized government websites such as censusindia.gov.in, indiastat.com, pbplanning.gov.in,
niti.gov.in, mohfw.gov.in, etc. Data that we collected include:
• Cases and deaths numbers for the respective states for various diseases like AIDS,
Cancer, Gonococcal Infection, Hepatitis, Diabetes, etc. are collected for the year 2011
and 2016.
For this type of data collection, we made data scrapping code to automate the process
of going to different web-pages of the same website like a human navigator and saving
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it under a different file name in our systems.Basically it was done for data collection
for different diseases.Code is named ’dataScrapper.py’ and attached with the report.
• Latitudes and longitudes of each district are listed in the excel sheet by automating
the collection and and its saving in the given excel file. The code has been made in
Python 3.6. (lat lon.py)
• Total revenue and capital for Medical and Public Health data for each state is collected
from ’HEALTH SECTOR FINANCING BY CENTRE AND STATEs/UTs IN INDIA’
by Ministry of Home and Family Welfare. Average exponential yearly Growth Rate of
the respective state (1991-2001 and 2001-11) has been collected from ’SIZE, GROWTH
RATE AND DISTRIBUTION OF POPULATION’ report of Census India.
• ’Per Capita income at current prices’ data of different states is collected, to define the
notion of ’Richer states’.
• Average Maximum and Minimum temperature data is noted. The average of both high
and low temperatures is taken to define the notion of ’Hotter States’
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Chapter 4
Hypothesis testing was conducted on different claims and relevant inferences were drawn
from the data available, using R software.
1. Claim: There is no correlation between deaths due to AIDS and sex ratio of a state.
H0: No or very slight correlation between deaths due to AIDS and sex ratio of a state
H1: Deaths due to AIDS and sex ratio of a state are corelated
Analysis:
• t = 1.3954
• df = 34
• p-value = 0.1719
• 95% confidence interval: -0.1037287 0.5214059
• Sample Estimates: cor = 0.2327384
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2. Claim: There is no correlation between deaths due to Diabetes and sex ratio of a
state.
H0: No or very slight correlation between deaths due to Diabetes and sex ration of a
state
H1: Deaths due to diabetes and sex ratio of state are co-related
Analysis:
• t = 1.2401
• df = 34
• p-value = 0.2234
• 95% confidence interval: -0.129359 0.502230
• Sample Estimates: cor = 0.2080173
• t = -2.839
• df = 34
• p-value = 0.007583
• 95% confidence interval: -0.6699450 0.1275725
• Sample Estimates: cor = -0.4377607
Inference: As p-value is (> 0.05), there is no enough evidence to support null Hy-
pothesis. Incidence of cancer and literacy rate are negatively co-relation (r = -0.4377)
• t = -1.3334
• df = 34
• p-value = 0.1913
• 95% confidence interval: -0.5138259 0.1139604
• Sample Estimates: cor = -0.2229
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Inference: As p-value (> 0.05), there is no enough evidence to support alternative
Hypothesis. Therefore, Incidence of AIDS and literacy rate have some negative co-
relation (r = -0.2229).
5. Claim: Ratio of cases:deaths for Cancer is not related to public healthcare spending
H0: No or very slight correlation between deaths of cancer and public healthcare
spending
H1: Deaths for cancer is co-related with public healthcare spending
Analysis:
• t = 0.038158
• df = 34
• p-value = 0.9697
• 95% confidence interval: -0.3226856 0.3343608
• Sample Estimates: cor = 0.0065
• t = -8.823
• df = 35.068
• p-value = 1.985e-10
• 95% confidence interval: -5.355960 -3.352372
• Sample Estimates: mean of x = 0.1156879; mean of y = 4.4698544
Inference: As p-value is (> 0.05), there is no enough evidence to support null Hy-
pothesis. Therefore, there is an increasing co-relation in deaths due to AIDs in year
2011 and year 2016.
• t = 6.4409
• df = 34
• p-value = 2.318e-7
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• 95% confidence interval: 0.5457094 0.8603324
• Sample Estimates: cor = 0.7413349
Inference: As p-value is (> 0.05), there is no enough evidence to support null Hy-
pothesis. Therefore, there is a strong positive co-relation in amount of public spending
on health care and incidence of AIDS (r = 0.7413349)
8. Claim: Cancer incidence in states has no relation to sex ratio
H0: No or very slight co-relation between incidence of cancer and sex ratio
H1: Incidence of cancer in states and sex ratio are co-related
Analysis:
• t = 0.67205
• df = 34
• p-value = 0.5061
• 95% confidence interval: -0.2224038 0.4269725
• Sample Estimates: cor = 0.114498
Inference: As p-value is (> 0.05), there is no enough evidence to support alternative
Hypothesis. Therefore, there is very slight co-relation in incidence of cancer and sex
ratio (r = 0.114498)
9. Claim: Gonococcal infection / Malaria incidence in states is not related to population
growth rate
H0: No corelation between Gonococcal infection / Malaria incidence in states and
population growth rate
H1: Gonococcal infection/Malaria incidence in states and population growth rate are
co-related
Analysis:
• t = -0.75666
• df = 34
• p-value = 0.4545
• 95% confidence interval: -0.4386758 0.2086715
• Sample Estimates: cor = -0.1286864
Inference: As p-value is (> 0.05), there is no enough evidence to support alternative
Hypothesis. Therefore, there is very slight negative co-relation in incidence of cancer
and sex ratio (r = -0.1286)
10. Claim: Number of deaths due to Hepatitis is similar over the years
H0: No or very slight corelation between number of deaths due to Hepatitis over the
years
H1: Number of deaths due to Hepatitis over the years are co-related
Analysis:
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• t = 1.0088
• df = 64.564
• p-value = 0.3168
• 95% confidence interval: -5.089954 15.478843
• Sample Estimates: mean of x = 14.388889; mean of y = 9.19444
• t = -1.0083
• df = 34
• p-value = 0.2841
• 95% confidence interval: -0.4829001 0.1543685
• Sample Estimates: cor = -0.1834
12. Claim: Incidence of Diabetes is not related to per capita income of the state
H0: No or very slight corelation between incidence of diabetes and per capita income
of the state
H1: Incidence of Diabetes and per capita income of the state are co-related
Analysis:
• t = -0.21336
• df = 34
• p-value = 0.8323
• 95% confidence interval: -0.3607686 0.2955190
• Sample Estimates: cor = -0.03656
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13. Claim: Incidence of Cancer is not related to per capita income of the state
H0: No or very slight corelation between incidence of cancer and per capita income of
the state
H1: Incidence of Cancer and per capita income of the state are co-related
Analysis:
• t = -2.127
• df = 34
• p-value = 0.04075
• 95% confidence interval: -0.6033057 -0.0159552
• Sample Estimates: cor = -0.3426
Inference:As p-value os (> 0.05), there is no enough evidence to support null Hy-
pothesis. Therefore, there is negative co-relation between incidence of cancer and per
capita income of the state (r = -0.3426).
14. Claim: Healthcare spending in a state is not correlated with literacy rate of the state
H0: No or very slight co-relation between Healthcare spending and literacy rate of the
state
H1: Health care spending and literacy rate are co-related
Analysis:
• t = -1.6514
• df = 34
• p-value = 0.1079
• 95% confidence interval: -0.55164243 0.06155484
• Sample Estimates: cor = -0.2724915
textbfAnalysis:
• t = -0.099655
• df = 34
• p-value = 0.9212
• 95% confidence interval: -0.3436945 0.3132058
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• Sample Estimates: cor = -0.017088
16. Claim: Females are more in states with large Urban population
H0: No or very slight corelation between number of females in state and large urban
population
H1: Females and Large urban population are co-related
Analysis:
• t = 27.929
• df = 34
• p-value ¡ 2.2e-16
• 95% confidence interval: 0.9586667 0.9892766
• Sample Estimates: cor = 0.9788937
Inference: As p-value is (> 0.05), there is no enough evidence to support null Hy-
pothesis. Therefore, there is strictly positive co-relation between number of females in
state and large urban population (r = 0.9788937).
17. Claim: Average Annual temperature of a state has no relation to population growth
rate
H0: No or very slight co-relation between average annual temperature of state and
population of the state
H1: Average annual temperature and population of the state are co-related
Analysis:
• t = -0.14433
• df = 34
• p-value = 0.8861
• 95% confidence interval: -0.3504312 0.3062814
• Sample Estimates: cor = -0.024744
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• t = -3.2544
• df = 34
• p-value = 0.002572
• 95% confidence interval: -0.7032876 -0.1891006
• Sample Estimates: cor = -0.4873586
Inference: As p-value is (> 0.05), there is no enough evidence to support null Hypoth-
esis. Therefore, there is negative co-relation between Rural population and literacy rate
of the state (r = -0.48735).
19. Claim: Avg annual state temperature has no relation to per capita income of the state
H0: No or very slight co-relation between Avg annual state temperature and per capita
income of the state
H1: Average annual state temperature and per capita income of the state are co-related
Analysis:
• t = 0.90288
• df = 34
• p-value = 0.3729
• 95% confidence interval: -0.184807 0.458505
• Sample Estimates: cor = 0.1530194
20. Claim: The population growth rate states has no correlation with literacy rate
H0: No or very slight co-relation between population growth rate and literacy rate of
the state
H1: Population growth rate and literacy rate of the state are co-related
Analysis:
• t = -1.0346
• df = 34
• p-value = 0.3082
• 95% confidence interval:-0.4759241 0.1631979
• Sample Estimates: cor = -0.1747049
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Chapter 5
Data used for developing OR model for the pan India locations of Specialized Care centers
(Regional Cancer Care center,RCC) and Tertiary Care Centers (TCC) are as follows:
• Total population and its further bifurcation into males & females, and further into
rural & urban district wise, collected from ”censusindia.gov.in”
• Latitude and longitude of each district, using a ”python program” (lat lon.py)
• Budget allocated to union government is calculated from GDP. 1.6% of GDP is al-
located to health care sector. Out of the total budget alloted to health care sector,
0.6% is spend on building infrastructure required for health care (0.6% is taken from
authentic report)
• Plot facility location (RCC and TCC) on map of India using district coordinates
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– Where and what type of facilities should be located?
• PHC and District Hospitals are established and maintained by State Government
• If a TCC is covering a particular region, then RCC should not be placed near
Optimization Model
Let,
Objective function:
sum over i (u i + v i)*population[0, i], where i = ith district
• Forecasted optimal location of RCCs and TCCs are plotted on pan India map
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Figure 5.1: Optimal Locations in 2016
Table 5.1: For 2016, Data for Number of SCs, PHCs and DHs
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Table 5.1 – Continued from previous page
No of DHs No of PHCs No of SCs States
0.0 49.0 263.0 Arunachal Pradesh
1.0 73.0 345.0 Nagaland
1.0 111.0 505.0 Manipur
0.0 41.0 129.0 Mizoram
2.0 146.0 681.0 Tripura
2.0 117.0 597.0 Meghalaya
20.0 1246.0 6740.0 Assam
61.0 3668.0 15640.0 West Bengal
22.0 1322.0 6315.0 Jharkhand
28.0 1674.0 8785.0 Odisha
15.0 933.0 4533.0 Chhattisgarh
48.0 2911.0 13239.0 Madhya Pradesh
40.0 2427.0 8738.0 Gujarat
0.0 9.0 15.0 Daman and Diu
0.0 14.0 46.0 Dadra and Nagar Haveli
73.0 4421.0 15441.0 Maharashtra
23.0 1413.0 5431.0 Telangana
33.0 1979.0 8733.0 Andhra Pradesh
39.0 2367.0 9057.0 Karnataka
0.0 57.0 137.0 Goa
0.0 2.0 3.0 Lakshadweep
22.0 1333.0 4372.0 Kerala
48.0 2890.0 9362.0 Tamil Nadu
1.0 61.0 125.0 Puducherry
0.0 14.0 58.0 Andaman and Nicobar Islands
Table 5.2: For 2021, Data for Number of SCs, PHCs and DHs
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Table 5.2 – Continued from previous page
No of DHs No of PHCs No of SCs States
0.0 22.0 113.0 Sikkim
0.0 50.0 264.0 Arunachal Pradesh
1.0 73.0 345.0 Nagaland
1.0 112.0 509.0 Manipur
0.0 41.0 130.0 Mizoram
2.0 147.0 685.0 Tripura
2.0 118.0 604.0 Meghalaya
21.0 1251.0 6795.0 Assam
61.0 3686.0 15741.0 West Bengal
22.0 1332.0 6381.0 Jharkhand
28.0 1688.0 8843.0 Odisha
15.0 940.0 4580.0 Chhattisgarh
49.0 2934.0 13361.0 Madhya Pradesh
41.0 2447.0 8816.0 Gujarat
0.0 9.0 15.0 Daman and Diu
0.0 14.0 47.0 Dadra and Nagar Haveli
74.0 4449.0 15555.0 Maharashtra
23.0 1425.0 5473.0 Telangana
33.0 1989.0 8780.0 Andhra Pradesh
40.0 2387.0 9123.0 Karnataka
0.0 57.0 138.0 Goa
0.0 2.0 3.0 Lakshadweep
22.0 1335.0 4381.0 Kerala
48.0 2912.0 9429.0 Tamil Nadu
1.0 62.0 127.0 Puducherry
0.0 14.0 58.0 Andaman and Nicobar Islands
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Figure 5.3: Number of SCs in 2016
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Figure 5.5: Number of PHCs in 2016
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Figure 5.7: Number of DHs
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Bibliography
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Corporation: CA, USA, 2008
Available at: https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/occasional papers/2008/RAND OP212
[5] Dheepa Rajan, Helene Barroy, Karin Stenberg, Budgeting for health
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chapter8-eng.pdf?sequence=11
[6] http://nhm.gov.in/nhm/nrhm/guidelines/indian-public-health-standards.html
[7] https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/12917266
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