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2018 4th International Conference on Computing Sciences

Twitter Sentiment Analysis of Real-time Customer


Experience Feedback for Predicting Growth of Indian
Telecom Companies
Sandeep Ranjan1, Sumesh Sood2, Vikas Verma3*
1
Research Scholar, Inder Kumar Gujral Punjab Technical University, Kapurthala, India and Assistant Professor, Lyallpur
Khalsa College of Engineering, Jalandhar, ersandeepranjan@yahoo.com
2
Inder Kumar Gujral Punjab Technical University, Kapurthala
3
Lovely Professional University, Phagwara, India, vikas.verma@lpu.co.in

services, products and events. Social networks are helping


Abstract— Corporations have always desired prompt businesses grow and make profits around the globe [4]. It
customer experience feedback about their products for helps them advertise their upcoming services and products
amending current pricing and policies to stay ahead of at much lower cost compared to traditional marketing
their competitors. A positive customer experience can be models and maintain a close relationship with customers.
created by analyzing customer sentiments and acting on Upcoming festivals, music albums, movies, sporting events
them promptly. Social networks like Twitter represent and new product releases create a buzz among the general
collective intelligence and opinion of the general public public much ahead of the release and this can be gauged
and hence can be harnessed for real-time feedback. They through social network responses related to them [3]. Thus,
have evolved as a resource for extracting sentiments for social networks are finding their way in business models as
applications in various fields. Sentiment analysis can be they are helpful in recognizing new opportunities and
used to obtain the overall customer experience of a large threats.
customer base on a real time. In this research, a total of Users have long friend lists, and they participate in
153,651 distinct tweets for Twitter handle of 5 popular discussions of mutual interest. This way a lively, complex
telecom brands in India: Aircel, Bharti Airtel, Idea and enormous network of relationships evolves on a social
Cellular, Reliance Jio and Vodafone India were network where influences are created depending upon the
extracted for five months to develop a prediction model number and nature of ties among entities. For each and
for telecom subscriber addition using the sentiment every popular event or opinion shared by the users there can
score. The results were validated statistically using be a large number of connected responses by other users.
correlation analysis. Positive customer sentiments about This leads to an accumulation of a huge collection of text
the brand which they prefer is reflected by higher data posted on social networks, which represents the
growth rate of new subscribers added with that brand in collective wisdom of the general public.
the study period. The sentiment analysis results can be Corporations spend a huge amount of money and time
used by managements to take timely actions for on brand monitoring and collection of real-time customer
improving the future customer experience and avoiding experience feedback to keep a watch on their sales and
customer churn. revenues. Most of the traditional methods of monitoring and
Keywords- Social network, text mining, customer feedback have a huge cost involved with them and have
experience, sentiment analysis, opinion mining. latency issues. The feedback results are summarized and
presented to competent authorities of higher management
I. INTRODUCTION
after a delay of a few days to a couple of weeks from the
The world is getting more and more interconnected both actual start of the feedback gaining process. Within this
economically and socially thanks to the recent span, market scenarios and equations get changed. The
advancements in the Internet and networking technologies delayed planning can lead to drop in market position and
[1]. There has been a remarkable rise in the last few years in further corrective actions occur after a further lag of time.
the number of Internet users. Around 4.1 billion people have Sales figures for Fast Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG),
access to the Internet representing about half of the global telecom service providers, box office collections, etc.,
population and this number has been growing at an which are dependent on a large consumer population spread
enormous rate since the year 2000, primarily due to the on a vast geographic area are difficult to be monitored day
smartphone revolution in the telecom sector [2]. People in and day out.
create their own content, share videos, images or repost
other user’s content [3]. This content is related to the user’s The paper proposes a model for predicting the growth of
social activities and personal experiences about different Indian Telecom Companies in terms of subscriber addition

978-1-5386-8025-4/18/$31.00 ©2018 IEEE 166


DOI 10.1109/ICCS.2018.00035
by analyzing sentiments from tweets posted on their Twitter user opinions from across the globe. With the growth of
handles. This paper has been organized as follows: Section social media websites, the size of the opinion dataset has
2 of the covers the review of the related work. Section 3 grown enormously that it can no longer be manually parsed
covers the dataset creation. Section 4 covers the process of to generate an inference leading to the evolution of
pre-processing, community detection, sentiment analysis sentiment analysis processes using specialized software.
and the proposed model of prediction. Sentiment analysis software or sentiment analysis
systems use natural language processing (NLP) for
II. RELATED WORK processing text articles to identify the underlying
relationships [23]. Sentiment analysis focuses on how
A. Social Networks sentiments are expressed in a text and also if the sentiment
points to a positive (favorable) opinion or a negative
The diffusion of information on social media is at an (unfavorable) opinion on the subject in question [24].
enormous scale and real-time analysis techniques focus on it Therefore the analysis focuses on capturing expressions
to provide predictive inferences [5]. People prefer the social with sentiments, their polarity and relationship with the
network endorsement of brand over other types of subject. Consider an expression “A is taller than B”. Here
endorsements [6], [7]. Social networks provide electronic the sentiment “taller” signifies a positive sentiment for A
word of mouth option to the public, which influences them but a negative sentiment for B. Social media sentiment
more and its measurement is also feasible [8], [9]. analysis consists of three processes: fetching data, analyzing
Researchers discuss how people seek opinions from others the data and finally presenting meaningful interpretations of
be it everyday chores or national elections emphasizing the the data [25]. The work presents an overview of more than
need for opinion mining. Respondents may not be 50 articles on Twitter sentiment analysis and discussed
comfortable with the traditional feedback methods or in popular methods for opinion retrieval, irony detection and
some cases don’t have time for feedback surveys. tracking sentiment over time [26]. Open issues in sentiment
Respondents may not report their true opinions while filling analysis like multilingual content, data sparsity, use of deep
written questionnaires, but they let out their feelings on learning, lack of benchmarks and multidisciplinary research
social networks when they like or dislike certain brands and were discussed.
companies. In the research carried out, social network
sentiment analysis has been used to provide a solution to Figure 1 describes the lexical analysis of a phrase of the
this problem. Social network data can be fetched real-time given text. The tokens representing an entity or a concept
and requires less time and effort to summarize and lead to are identified and are given due weight in determining
conclusions. positive or negative opinion. Here the tokens “ABC” and
“DEF” represent entities, “better” and “lower” help in
Twitter is one of the most popular social network comparing the identified entities ABC and DEF; and “33”
websites. It is a microblogging service that lets registered and “55” are used in assigning numerical values to weights.
users Tweet (post) their views on any topic [10], [11]. It has
become a popular mode of sharing one’s views about
current trends and events. The ‘following and being
followed’ relationship on Twitter does not require
reciprocation as is the case with many other social
networking websites. Twitter was selected for mining user
opinions as it has millions of registered users who every day
more than 500 million Tweets and also that the tweets are
made available to the general public using APIs within
specified rate limits [12]. Twitter uses Open Authentication
(OAuth) for APIs requesting information from it [13]. The Figure 1. Text lexical analysis
crawled data includes pairs of userids, tweet, the relation
between userids, relationship date, hashtags in Tweet etc. Sentiment analysis process comprises of identifying the
polarity of user-defined concepts and entities by letting
B. Sentiment Analysis users define their own dictionary, imparting flexibility to be
Sentiment analysis is the process of analyzing opinions and applied to any scenario. Additionally, it determines if the
views of authors about a particular entity [19], [20]. The given text being processed is subjective or objective. It is
main objective of the sentiment analysis process is to also checked if the text contains some distinctive text
identify opinions, identify their sentiments and classify the keywords at a global level, giving additional information
polarity [21], [22]. It is one of the fastest evolving research about the reliability of the polarity.
areas in computer science. The decision making of
individuals is affected by the opinions formed by collective Social media has emerged as a platform for brand
reviews from others. This decision making has shifted from managers to generate and work on brand specific content
a few personal references to a huge number of social media [27]. Sentiment analysis can be applied to automate

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categorization of Tweets as neutral, positive or negative. In This information is of great use for governments and
recent years, the trend of sharing health-related issues on corporate managers to assess the general public’s opinion
social networks has increased analyzing user posted content and capture experience feedback. Current trends, marketing
has come up as a challenge in semantic analysis [28]. promotions and media release get quick attention and the
Adverse Drug Reactions (ADRs) which are a leading cause user feedback can be accessed and monitored on a real-time
of deaths in patients admitted in hospitals. Patients on their basis.
own reported on social media about ADRs on social media.
Twitter and other forums focusing on Spanish respondents a. DATASET CREATION
were explored by the TrendMiner project to monitor the
content related to drugs and related reactions. Social In the research, tweets for #aircel, #airtelindia,
networks are vast repositories of public created data that #ideacellular, #reliancejio, #vodafonein the Twitter handles
contain information representing a general mood about for the Telecomm companies, were extracted on a daily
brands and events [26]. In the airline industry, collecting basis from 1st March 2017 to 31st July 2017. This period is
feedback from customers is an important task for which the selected for research as Reliance Jio had announced to start
conventional methods are inefficient and incorrect [29]. The charging its customers for all its services from 1st April,
study created a dataset of 107,866 for the major airlines in 2017 (though actual charging of services started on 15 th
North America. Tweets were labeled as positive, negative April). This could be a real test for Reliance Jio to analyze if
and neutral for the segregation process. the general public is inclined towards its services or not
Performance of various sentiment classification amidst the presence of operators like Aircel, Bharti Airtel,
approaches was compared to develop an ensemble Idea Cellular and Vodafone India which were operating for
approach. As per the study, in the airline industry, many years in the past. The combined sentiment of the
sentiment-analysis and classification is accurate enough to general public needed to be compared to check if the
be used for customer satisfaction investigation [30]. The general public is showing interest towards the new entrant
researchers used social media opinion mining to Poland’s Reliance Jio or existing market leaders, when all of them
2010 political crisis discussion dataset containing a high were now offering mobile services at similar competitive
conflict level and deep polarization [31]. The study also tariffs.
analyzed the relation between online sentiment and its
impact on Java Governing Board’s open sourcing decision The number of tweets extracted on a particular instance is
of Java. restricted by the Twitter rate limiting. During the said
The researchers studied the application of sentiment period, 18,457 tweets for #aircel, 37,546 tweets for
analysis process in economic and financial modeling and #airtelindia, 14,592 tweets for #ideacellular, 51,478 tweets
concluded that Tweet sentiment analysis is one of the best for #reliancejio and 31,578 tweets for #vodafonein were
methods to automate the sentiment analysis process [32]. extracted. Then, the filter was applied to this dataset on the
They proposed to develop an ontology-based method for Tweet column containing Tweet content to remove
segmenting individual Tweet rather than treating each duplicate tweets generated from retweets. As a result,
Tweet as a single expression being assigned a sentiment distinct tweets for #aircel, #airtelindia, #ideacellular,
score. The research suggested that a brand’s social network #reliancejio, #vodafonein were 4045, 7674, 5346, 10,591
is an effective way of attracting consumers and attaching and 7894 respectively. The tweets in an individual dataset of
them emotionally to the brand [33]. Also, existing #aircel, #airtelindia, #ideacellular, #reliancejio, #vodafonein
consumer’s bonding with the brand is reflected in the have each other’s mention in some cases where the user
brand’s social network on different social network websites. wants to compare them in terms of different parameters like
Sentiment analysis helps organizations to scrutinize social network usage charges, coverage, call drops, Internet speed
media content on a real-time basis and act accordingly [34]. etc. Figure 2 shows a snapshot of dataset of #reliancejio
Sentiment analysis of social media can help in picking dataset.
promising stocks for better returns.
b. DATASET PROCESSING
III. RESEARCH METHOD This process discards the incomplete, incorrect or
irrelevant data. Tweets contain advertisement links of
Social networks have become a valuable source of
different companies involved in paid marketing, and other
knowledge in the form of sentiments for a number of sectors
irrelevant data. Many users post tweets in Non-English
such as public opinion management, brand building
language text which cannot be used in the general text
customer relationship management [35]. Social networks
processing or Natural Language Processing. It is required to
allow APIs to query them for a particular keyword generally
remove such data from the dataset. This module identifies
superseded by # (hashtag). As most of the social networks
and removes the unwanted data and the cleaned data are
have users of the order of millions, any current news item,
passed to the next module.
trend, product, organization or service is flooded with
numerous user opinions on them.

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A. COMMUNITY DETECTION research used Python libraries to detect communities in the
datasets by using the betweenness centrality measure of
Popular tweets attract user attention and get shares, retweets
network graphs. The betweenness centrality of a node v,
and responses. Multiplicity of edges amongst nodes leads to
BC(v) is defined as:
community evolution and growth. The communities are the
channels for online word of mouth propagation. The

Figure 2 Snapshot of the tweets for #reli ancejio

Semantic analysis was performed on each of the Similarly positive opinion Tweets (P and P+) have +1 and
hashtag's datasets to classify the Tweets into five levels of +2 weights. A sentiment dictionary is a critical part of
polarity N+, N, NEU, P and P+. N+ and N represent a sentiment analysis to recognize the sentiment tokens in any
negative polarity generated for a negative opinion in the document [36]. This dictionary contains words, phrases,
text, whereas P and P+ represent positive polarity. NEU related concepts and sentiment polarity and valuable
polarity is generated for neutral opinion or when the polarity information used to identify certain significant phrases from
cannot be calculated. Table I shows weights assigned to the the source and establish agreements and weight for them.
standard polarities. NEU category of polarities Tweets Table II shows the custom dictionary created for performing
contains neutral opinion about the concept or entity and sentiment analysis of the Tweet datasets. Some of the most
hence they have been given a 0 (zero) weight. Negative influential keywords for describing opinion about likes and
opinion Tweets (N and N+) have been given -1 and -2 dislikes for a telecom brand have been included in this
weight depending upon the magnitude of negative opinion. dictionary to capture the essence of user comments.

TABLE I. POLARITY AND WEIGHTS


Polarity N+ N NEU P P+
Weight -2 -1 0 1 2

TABLE II. SENTIMENT ANALYSIS DICTIONARY

Keyword App Call drop Cost Kbps Mbps Network coverage Port to Signal Support
Type Entity Concept Concept Concept Concept Concept Concept Entity Concept

Figure 3 describes the overall architecture of the Table III data and figure 4 show the polarity distribution
sentiment analysis based prediction model for monthly for tweets of #aircel, #airtelindia, #ideacellular, #reliancejio,
subscriber addition of Telecomms. The sentiment analysis #vodafonein for the base month March, 2017. It is evident
was separately performed on datasets of distinct tweets of that there are a significant number of Tweets with polarity
#aircel, #airtelindia, #ideacellular, #reliancejio, value 0. These are the neutral sentiment Tweets for which
#vodafonein. The sentiment score of a particular Tweet is positive or negative sentiment could not be determined. The
calculated by multiplying its identified polarity with the frequency of neutral sentiment does not contribute to the
weight assigned to that polarity. The total sentiment score of overall sentiment score.
a hashtag is obtained by summing up the score of all tweets
and the following results were obtained.

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Web

www.coai.com www.twitter.com

Subscriber monthly addition data Telecom hashtag tweets

Text preprocessing and cleaning

Natural Language Processing

Ontology assignment

Sentiment Analysis

Subscriber addition prediction

Validation (Correlation Analysis)

Figure 3 Sentiment based subscriber addition data prediction architecture

TABLE III. Polarity distribution for Hashtags for March 2017


Hashtag N+ N NEU P P+ Total tweets
#aircel 641 728 650 1187 839 4045
#airtelindia 1178 1252 897 2245 2102 7674
#ideacellular 947 474 1127 1875 923 5346
#reliancejio 921 621 1458 5189 2402 10591
#vodafonein 1315 947 874 2187 2571 7894

Figure 4. Sentiment count for positive and negative tweets of #aircel, #airtelindia, #ideacellular, #reliancejio, #vodafonein

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Figure 4 shows the number of positive and negative in the Telecomm field. It is a reflection of respondent’s
sentiment tweets for #aircel, #airtelindia, #ideacellular, individual experience about the brand in terms of different
#reliancejio, #vodafonein. For #airtelindia and #vodafonein, parameters based on different issues related to mobile
the number of negative sentiment is greater than the positive network service and pricing. This affects their bonding with
sentiment and hence the overall score of #airtelindia and the brand they are using or the decision making for the
#vodafonein is negative. The overall sentiment score of brand to which they want to switch over to.
#reliancejio is positive as the positive sentiment count is Table V shows the month wise overall sentiment score
greater than the negative sentiment count. Sentiment count for the study duration. Table VI shows the month wise
without weight or polarity does not carry the essence of the subscriber addition data. The data for the number of
dataset. Sentiment score is calculated by multiplying subscribers added each month for Aircel, Bharti Airtel, Idea
number of tweets having a particular polarity with the Cellular, Reliance Jio and Vodafone India was downloaded
weight of that polarity. from the website of the Cellular Operators Association of
Table IV data shows that the overall sentiment score of India [37]. The data for the March month has been used as
#aircel, #airtelindia, #ideacellular, #reliancejio, #vodafonein base data. The difference of sentiment score of an operator
is 855, 2841, 1353, 7530 and 3752 respectively.. The score and its previous month sentiment score gives the growth
indicates that the general public has a comparatively rate percentage.
stronger positive opinion about Reliance Jio, the new entrant
TABLE IV. TELECOMM SENTIMENT SCORES FOR MARCH 2017
Polarity → N+ N NEU P P+
Total
Weight (W) → -2 -1 0 1 2

No of tweets for 641 728 650 1187 839 4045


#aircel (AC) →
(W*AC) → -1282 -728 0 1187 1678 855

No of tweets for 1178 1252 897 2245 2102 7674


#airtelindia (AT) →
(W*A) → -2356 -1252 0 2245 4204 2841
No of tweets for 947 474 1127 1875 923 5346
#ideacellular (I) →
(W*A) → -1894 -474 0 1875 1846 1353
No of tweets for 921 621 1458 5189 2402 10591
#reliancejio (R) →
(W*R) → -1842 -621 0 5189 4804 7530
No of tweets for 1315 947 874 2187 2571 7894
#vodafonein (V) →
(W*V) → -2630 -947 0 2187 5142 3752

TABLE V. TELECOMM TWEET COMMUNITY SENTIMENT SCORE (PREDICTED GROWTH RATE)


APRIL MAY JUNE JULY
Growth Growth Growth Growth
March Sentiment Sentiment Sentiment Sentiment
rate rate rate rate
Base Score Score Score Score
(%) (%) (%) (%)
#aircel 855 850 -0.35 855 0.35 851 -0.47 847 -0.47

#airtelindia 2841 2871 1.06 2895 0.84 2916 0.73 976 -66.53
#ideacellular 1,353 1347 -0.44 1350 0.22 1351 0.07 1334 -1.26
#reliancejio 7,530 10722 42.39 11676 8.90 12868 10.21 1554 -87.92

#vodafonein 3752 3767 0.40 3788 0.56 3806 0.48 3779 -0.71

TABLE VI. TELECOMM MONTHLY SUBSCRIBER DATA (ACTUAL GROWTH RATE)


APRIL MAY JUNE JULY
Growth Growth Growth Growth
Subscriber Subscriber Subscriber Subscriber
March Base rate rate rate rate
Addition Addition Addition Addition
(%) (%) (%) (%)
Aircel 90,899,868 -339427 -0.4 173091 0.2 -410128 -0.5 (391,321) -0.4
Bharti
273648383 2853044 1.0 2098006 0.8 2047884 0.7 602771 0.2
Airtel
Idea
195,368,847 683858 0.4 190043 0.1 35541 0.0 -2320480 -1.2
Cellular
Reliance
72,157,644 30683394 42.5 9309227 9.1 11213605 10.0 5216737 4.2
Jio
Vodafone
209062866 756637 0.4 1131435 0.5 988424 0.5 -1389854 -0.7
India

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TABLE VII. MONTH-WISE PREDICTED AND ACTUAL GROWTH RATE: CORRELATION ANALYSIS
(a) (b)
APRIL MONTH MAY MONTH
Predicted Actual Predicted Actual
growth rate growth rate growth rate growth rate
(%) (%) (%) (%)
Predicted Pearson Predicted Pearson .949
1 .993 1
growth Correlation growth Correlation
rate (%) rate (%) Significant
Significant .025
.0001 value
value
Number of Number of
5 5 5 5
companies
companies
Actual Pearson Actual Pearson
.993 1 .924 1
growth Correlation growth Correlation
rate (%) rate (%) Significant
Significant .025
.0001 value
value
Number of Number of
5 5
5 5 companies
companies

(c) (d)
JULY MONTH
JUNE MONTH
Predicted Actual
Predicted Actual
growth rate growth rate
growth rate growth rate
(%) (%)
(%) (%)
Predicted Pearson
Predicted Pearson 1 .893
1 .865 growth Correlation
growth Correlation
rate (%) Significant
rate (%) Significant .041
.058 value
value
Number of Number of
5 5 5 5
companies companies
Actual Pearson Actual Pearson
.865 1 .893 1
growth Correlation growth Correlation
rate (%) rate (%) Significant
Significant .041
.058 value
value
Number of Number of
5 5 5 5
companies companies

IV. VALIDATION OF RESULTS


The experimental results obtained from the proposed sentiment analysis of Twitter hashtag datasets of Indian
model were validated by applying correlation analysis. Telecomm operator handles successfully predicted the
Correlation analysis was carried out on the month wise growth rate of the Telecomm operators in terms of
predicted growth rate (sentiment score growth rate %) and subscriber addition. Online word of mouth helps formation
actual growth rate (subscriber addition growth rate %) for of dense network communities and affects both existing and
the operators using IBM SPSS 24. The results are shown in prospective customers of a brand. Custom dictionary based
Table VII (a), (b), (c) and (d). The calculated correlation sentiment analysis of community datasets is used to obtain
between the two tested variables is within the significance the overall sentiment score which forms the basis of growth
limits validating the results of the prediction model. The rate prediction.
Twitter sentiment score obtained from the dataset The predicted growth rate and actual growth rate show a
communities which is the online word of mouth representing high degree of correlation validating the prediction model.
wisdom of the crowds accurately predicts the popularity and The results were consistent for all the four months of study
success of the Telecomm operators. The success of duration. Reliance Jio was the biggest gainer amongst the
Telecomm operators is reflected in the month wise operators in terms of the sentiment score as well as
subscriber addition data. subscriber addition. The addition of a large number of new
subscribers to a company’s subscriber base can be seen as
CONCLUSION customer churn of subscribers shifting away from other
companies which failed to monitor the customer sentiment
Monitoring customer sentiments for real-time customer and act in time to prevent it.
experience feedback is a crucial task for planning and
maintaining their business models for competitive success A positive sentiment score of a company is an indicator
and survival. The research experiment used Twitter mining of the brand preference of the public and a negative
and community sentiment analysis to fetch real-time sentiment score indicates customer dissatisfaction or
sentiments of the masses. During the test period, the inclination towards any other company which is better
proposed model using sentiment score obtained from

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