Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Internet of Things
J. ZINSLI, Seeq, San Leandro, California
conditions as one focused point on the heat-up rates that are potentially separate in target temperatures or the duration of
trend. During startup or shutdown con- from brittle fracture pressure require- coke drum cycles.
ditions, that point may vary significantly. ments. This data can be used along with With traditional analytics tools such as
To maintain integrity, it is important to advanced analytics software to identify spreadsheets, reliability engineers usually
ensure that this point will always remain drum cycles, calculate the rate of tem- rely on process engineers to identify the
above the MAT line. perature change for each cycle and trend times/durations of each cycle. As new cy-
As shown on the right side of FIG. 2, a those aggregated rates to determine when cles occur, someone must be responsible
SME can use advanced analytics software and if they change over time. for documenting each cycle and its associ-
to create a piecewise function for this line, This same approach can be used to ated parameters, and then disseminating
which now becomes an inferred variable immediately identify when a heat-up or that information.
calculated as a function of the vessel’s cooldown was faster than recommend- Rather than passing off spreadsheets or
pressure. This allows plant personnel to ed. Identifying these deviations can updating spreadsheets manually with new
track operation in real time by observ- dictate what operational adjustments information, advanced analytics software
ing—and alarming, as required—this must be made to meet desired vessel life, can be used to facilitate ongoing documen-
inferred signal, which varies based on the and to drive inspection schedules in re- tation and sharing of cycle information.
measured pressure variable. sponse to deviations.
Analyzing coke drum cycles is an area Predicting heat exchanger perfor-
Protecting coke drums. Like vessels, where reliability and process engineers mance. Process engineers are often re-
coke drums experience temperature fluc- must often collaborate. Reliability engi- sponsible for justifying maintenance on
tuations on a regular basis. Metallurgists neers may be interested in the heat cycles, fixed equipment. In advance of a planned
or vessel vendors can identify acceptable while process engineers may be interested outage, these engineers are tasked with
identifying the heat exchangers to be ser-
viced. The goal is to minimize maintenance
costs and outage time while ensuring that
successful operations can be carried out
until the next planned downtime.
To do this, process engineers must
transform historical data into a forecast of
reasonable expectations. This is usually
done through the application of first-prin-
ciples equations to calculate heat transfer
coefficients based on historic temperatures
and flowrates. Fluid properties from equip-
ment data sheets or historical lab data may
also be included in these calculations.
FIG. 2. Advanced analytics software was used to create an inferred variable (blue line on chart The result of these calculations is a
on the right) based on pressure, which can be tracked to ensure it stays within acceptable limits. model representing how the heat trans-
fer coefficient is expected to change over
time. This usually requires the data and
raw calculations to be filtered first to cre-
ate an accurate model, often referred to as
data cleansing.
SMEs can perform data cleansing with
traditional spreadsheet tools, but this is a
cumbersome and time-consuming pro-
cess. For example, a SME may need to re-
move data if an instrument was out of ser-
vice for some time, or if an earlier process
outage occurred where the calculations do
not apply. Using advanced analytics soft-
ware to perform this cleansing can sim-
plify and streamline the task of refreshing
a heat exchanger end-of-run forecast.
Once the appropriate data is identified
and cleansed, the decay of the heat trans-
fer coefficient can be accurately modeled
based on time in service and other appli-
FIG. 3. This analysis uses cleansed data to predict the end of run for a heat exchanger, cable variables, such as target temperature
allowing maintenance to be scheduled only as required.
or anticipated flowrate (FIG. 3).
60JULY 2019 | HydrocarbonProcessing.com
The Industrial Internet of Things
This model can be used to project the els will instead be based on narrower els developed by SMEs, supporting data-
heat transfer coefficient decay into the subsets of data. For example, the process driven decisions across the enterprise.
future to determine when the exchanger engineer will likely create low- and a high-
will fail to meet its required heat transfer severity models, and use each model as Cutting operating expenses. Ad-
rate. This information can then be used to needed to meet operational goals. vanced analytics software can also be used
predict heat exchanger performance and Advanced analytics software empow- to reduce operating expenses. Most pro-
schedule maintenance only as needed. ers engineers to create multiple models cess plants have a planning engineer or
and then combine them into one model other individual responsible for communi-
Modeling success. Process engineers representative of operations at any point cating intermediate or utility requirements
are actively engaged in monitoring prod- in time. While process engineers will gen- to service providers on a routine basis.
uct quality and yields, so they must closely erate these models and use them to un- These are often referred to as nominations
observe operating conditions. Many pro- derstand specific situations, such as how and can be applied to electricity, natural
cess units can produce different grades of the catalyst may be degrading over time, gas, hydrogen or other utilities or interme-
products when parameters are adjusted. others in the organization can also benefit diates purchased by the plant from a third-
For example, increasing reforming sever- from their detailed efforts. party provider, such as an electric utility.
ity can result in lower liquid volume yield Since this new model will be of inter- These nominations are necessary for
but high-octane product, and these types est to many different experts within an service providers to plan and adjust their
of operations will sometimes be neces- organization, collaboration and knowl- operations appropriately. For example, a
sary to meet product specifications. edge sharing help increase efficiency. For natural gas utility must plan pipeline op-
To anticipate how much an operation- instance, operations planning personnel erations and supply to allow for required
al target must be adjusted, a SME is often must understand these models to provide amounts of natural gas deliveries. Com-
asked to create a model for the process. appropriate guidance to meet product mercial contracts typically require a pro-
Carrying this reformer example further, requirements, or to evaluate the plant’s cess plant to consume some percentage of
it is possible—but not likely—that one capability to make new products (FIG. 4). the nomination, with a penalty charged for
model for reformate yield can encompass Using advanced analytics software with either over or under consumption of the
the wide array of inputs. built-in sharing functionality allows others nominated volume.
In most cases, the most accurate mod- within the organization to access the mod- To minimize operating costs in envi-
48 TH TURBOMACHINERY &
35 TH PUMP SYMPOSIA
REGISTER TODAY!
T P S .TA M U . E D U | # T P S 2 0 19 # T U R BO P U MP 1 9
ronments where production, and there- often be combined to more closely rep- historical and planned data.
fore utilities consumption varies widely, resent operations and produce the most Another advantage of creating the mod-
planning engineers must combine their accurate results. el with advanced analytics software is the
knowledge of planned operations in the While the model is based on historical highly visual nature of reviewing the results
short term with current and historic ac- data, it must be applied to current and ex- and determining when to retrain or adjust
tual consumption. pected future data to provide an appropri- the model (FIG. 5). While this kind of activ-
This can be done by using advanced ate look ahead to anticipated operations. ity can be carried out with traditional tools,
analytics software to create a model for Traditional tools would require manually model refinement is more complicated
intermediate consumption, using process copying and pasting both recent histori- with those approaches and can lead to lag-
historian data from past operations. Data cal and planned data into a spreadsheet as ging when adjusting for error.
variables may include flowrates, tempera- part of this analysis. Using advanced ana- Depending on the size of these lagging
tures and other process parameters from lytics software that can connect to various corrections and the accuracy of the tradi-
many units. Much like the reformer mod- data sources, an SME can skip these data tional models, these lagging nomination
el mentioned here, multiple models must access steps to quickly and simply view errors can cost operators millions of dol-
lars annually. Advanced analytics software
improves the quality and timeliness of
models, allowing plant personnel to more
accurately predict utility requirements.