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8-2010

Restaurant Profitability Management: The


Evolution of Restaurant Revenue Management
Gary Thompson
Cornell University School of Hotel Administration, gmt1@cornell.edu

Follow this and additional works at: https://scholarship.sha.cornell.edu/articles


Part of the Hospitality Administration and Management Commons

Recommended Citation
Thompson, G. M. (2010). Restaurant profitability management: the evolution of restaurant revenue management. Cornell Hospitality
Quarterly, 51(3), 308-322. doi:10.1177/1938965510368653

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Restaurant Profitability Management: The Evolution of Restaurant
Revenue Management
Abstract
While the term restaurant revenue management was defined in this journal in 1998, the history of
publications in the Cornell Hospitality Quarterly (CHQ) related to managing restaurant profitability spans
nearly fifty years. Of the 160 published articles related to restaurant profitability, more than one-quarter have
appeared in the CHQ, which is more than three times that of any other journal. This article presents a new,
decision-based framework for restaurant profitability, which expands on the earlier revenue-focused
framework. The existing CHQ articles are categorized using the framework, and the gaps are used as the basis
for identifying a large number of worthwhile, but as yet unanswered research questions related to restaurant
profitability.

Keywords
restaurant revenue management, restaurant customer preferences, restaurant profitability management

Disciplines
Hospitality Administration and Management

Comments
Required Publisher Statement
© Cornell University. Reprinted with permission. All rights reserved.

This article or chapter is available at The Scholarly Commons: https://scholarship.sha.cornell.edu/articles/736


 2010 CORNELL UNIVERSITY
DOI: 10.1177/1938965510368653
Volume 51, Issue 3    308-322

Restaurant Profitability
Management
The Evolution of Restaurant
Revenue Management

by GARY M. THOMPSON

T
While the term restaurant revenue management was welve years ago in this journal, Professor Sheryl
defined in this journal in 1998, the history of publica- Kimes and her coauthors (1998) first coined the
tions in the Cornell Hospitality Quarterly (CHQ) related term restaurant revenue management (RRM).
to managing restaurant profitability spans nearly fifty According to Kimes and her coauthors, RRM is the
years. Of the 160 published articles related to restau- application of yield management to restaurants, where
rant profitability, more than one-quarter have appeared the classic definition of yield management was given
in the CHQ, which is more than three times that of any
by Smith, Leimkuhler, and Darrow (1992) as “sell[ing]
other journal. This article presents a new, decision-
based framework for restaurant profitability, which
the right inventory item to right customer at right time
expands on the earlier revenue-focused framework. at right price.”
The existing CHQ articles are categorized using the Though the term restaurant revenue management is
framework, and the gaps are used as the basis for relatively recent, papers on related topics stretch back
identifying a large number of worthwhile, but as yet to 1961. Across the years, the Cornell Hospitality Quar-
unanswered research questions related to restaurant terly (CHQ), largely under its earlier name of the Cornell
profitability. Hotel and Restaurant Administration Quarterly, has
been the main outlet for RRM-related research. Indeed,
Keywords:  restaurant revenue management; res- a thorough literature search on topics related to RRM
taurant customer preferences; restaurant identified 160 articles in peer-reviewed journals (a full
profitability management bibliography is available from the author), of which 43,

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Exhibit 1:
Number of Restaurant Revenue Management (RRM)–Related Articles Published in
the Cornell Hospitality Quarterly, by Year

0
1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

or 26.7 percent, have appeared in the CHQ. jump in the number of RRM-related articles
The next four highest-quantity outlets were that occurred in the late 1990s. The volume
the Journal of Foodservice Business Research, of papers published since 1998 suggests that
with 14 articles (8.7 percent); the Journal the topic of RRM has resonated, certainly
of Hospitality and Tourism Research, with with the academic community. There is evi-
12 articles (7.5 percent); the International dence that the topic can improve practice,
Journal of Hospitality Management, with too. For example, Kimes (2004) reports on
11 articles (6.8 percent); and the Interna- a restaurant that was able to increase its peak
tional Journal of Contemporary Hospitality revenue by approximately 30 percent, pri-
Management, with 8 articles (5.0 percent). marily by changing its mix of tables to better
Kimes et al.’s seminal 1998 article seemed match the customer mix.
to have provided a catalyst for RRM-related My goals in this article are threefold.
work. I am aware of only sixteen RRM- First, I wish to bring cohesion to the RRM-
related articles published in the CHQ prior related work that has been done to this point.
to 1998, while twenty-six RRM-related In doing so, I will focus on work published
papers appeared in the CHQ after 1998. in the CHQ, befitting its dominance as an
Exhibit 1, which displays a chart of the num- outlet for RRM-related material. Second,
ber of RRM-related articles published in the I introduce a different and, I believe, broader
CHQ by year, clearly shows the sustained way of looking at RRM, which uses a

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decision-based framework focusing on res- Kimes and Wirtz (2002) examined the
taurant profitability, rather than on restaurant degree of customer acceptance of different
revenue. Third, I wish to identify hanging demand-related pricing policies, finding the
research questions related to restaurant prof- least acceptance of different prices based
itability, so that the next decade of work on on table location. Kimes and Robson (2004)
the topic might continue to expand on work used a fast casual restaurant to examine how
performed to this point. the characteristics of where customers were
The structure of this article is as follows. seated affected the amount of money they
I first provide an overview of the literature spent, finding, among other things, that cus-
related to RRM, focusing on the themes that tomers tend to spend more if they are at a
exist. I then present my decision-based bigger table. McGuire and Kimes (2006)
framework for restaurant profitability man- used a survey to explore customers’ sensitiv-
agement, classify the relevant articles pub- ity toward different reservations policies,
lished in the CHR using the framework, and finding that customers were least favorable
identify hanging research questions. toward VIP-based seating policies.
Strategic levers. According to the most
Literature Review prolific RMM author, there are two strategic
In the review of the literature, I will focus levers for applying RRM: price and meal
primarily on two areas: the emergent themes duration (Kimes 2004). Price management
in the literature and the “strategic levers” of involves such things as “offer[ing] different
RRM. I discuss each below. menu prices based on customers’ willingness
Emergent themes. The RRM literature can to dine (or make reservations) during slack
be viewed from the perspective of emergent times . . . [through such actions as] happy
themes. There are two dominant themes: hour, early-bird specials and restricted-use
capacity management and customer experi- coupons” (Kimes 2004, 52). Restaurants can
ences. A large component of capacity man- also offer higher-priced meals during higher
agement deals with the mix of tables in demand periods and such things as “daypart
restaurants. The rationale for focusing on pricing, day-of-week pricing, and price pre-
the mix of tables is simple: by better match- miums or discounts for different party sizes,
ing capacity to demand, a restaurant increases tables and customer types” (Kimes 2004, 52).
its effective capacity. To investigate that Kimes and Wirtz (2002) found that custom-
proposition (Thompson 2002), I examined ers were generally accepting of differential
whether is it preferable to have smaller tables pricing across days and across day parts
that can be combined together to seat larger within days and of promotions.
parties or to have a mix of table sizes, and Duration management includes refining
I found that a mix of table tends to perform the definition of duration, reducing the uncer-
better, other than for small restaurants. In a tainty of arrival, reducing the uncertainty
follow-up paper (Thompson 2003), I attemp­ of duration, and reducing the time between
ted to identify the positioning of the combin- meals (Kimes 2004). Kimes (2004) gives a
able tables that yields the revenue maximizing nice example of an RRM implementation
layout. Kimes (2004) reported on an RRM process, which includes how these specific
implementation where changing the table aspects of duration can be evaluated and
mix was a big driver of a restaurant’s increased managed.
revenue. There are several shortcomings of the
Kimes and her coauthors have done much strategic lever view of RRM. First, the focus
of the work related to customer experiences. on duration can be misleading for many

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restaurants. A large simulation study showed affected by a restaurant’s location and


that reducing dining duration increases rev- its concept, among other things.
enue only by about one-quarter of that •• Party composition. All parties of the
expected (Thompson 2009). A big factor same size are not equivalent. Party
affecting the amount of revenue bump composition can vary, for example, by
age, gender, and family relationships.
achieved for a given reduction in dining
For example, a party of four compris-
duration was the number of table turns the ing two adults and two children will be
restaurant was experiencing during its peak significantly different from a party of
periods. Moreover, there can be a significant four on a business meal.
challenge in reducing duration without mak- •• Items purchased. Another aspect of
ing customers feel rushed. Duration as a customer demand is the particular items
lever, then, tends to apply best when the res- purchased, for example, the number of
taurant is already achieving a high number courses; consumption of specials, wine,
of turns—quick-service restaurants (QSRs), or other alcoholic beverages; in-house,
for example, would be the ideal environ- delivery, or pick-up ordering; and pur-
ment in which to reduce duration. A second chases of ancillary items, such as
and more problematic limitation is suggested branded T-shirts or food items.
•• Meal duration. The meal duration is
by the term restaurant revenue management
affected by the characteristics of the
itself, which is a focus on revenue, rather customer—for example, the party com-
than profitability. Third, restaurateurs have position—as well as by the restaurant’s
a greater range of decisions that affect concept, size, staffing, and nature of
profitability than just duration-related and the service.
pricing-related. Those decisions range from •• Time dependency. All of the customer
short-term to long-term. For these reasons, demand characteristics listed above can
I will next present a new framework, based vary across time. The implication of
on the decisions restaurateurs face. this is that the demand characteristics
must be forecast, rather than simply
A Decision-Based Framework assuming a static customer demand,
for the most profitable planning and
for Restaurant Profitability control of the restaurant operations.
Management
Before identifying the decision-based The decision-based framework of restau-
framework, it may be helpful to identify char- rant profitability management (RPM) con-
acteristics of customer demand that are rel- tains decisions that affect demand (typically
evant to managing restaurant profitability: strategic and marketing decisions) and
operations. I will next consider the demand-
•• Number of parties. The number of par-
affecting decisions. The decisions listed
ties is a typical demand measure in a
restaurant. The number of parties com- below are not meant to be an exhaustive list
monly is tracked by arrival (or reserva- of all the options in each category, but rather
tion time). It is affected by many are meant to be representative:
decisions, such as the location of the
restaurant and its concept. •• Location(s). This decision concerns
•• Party size. The party size is another where the restaurant (or restaurants)
important demand characteristic. For should be located. For example, whether
example, a party of four will place dif- it would be in a strip mall or standalone
ferent demands on the restaurant than location. When multiple restaurants are
will a party of one. The mix is also to be cited, cannibalization effects can

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come into play, depending on the size •• Promotions. Promotions include such
of the restaurant. things as two-for-one appetizers in a
•• Size and size flexibility. The size refers happy hour or for senior citizens or cou-
to the decision regarding the seating pons offering a special or discount.
capacity of the restaurant. Size flexibil- •• Operating hours. The decision about
ity relates to the ability to increase the operating hours involves the particular
seating capacity at certain times, such days and meal periods during which
as patio seating. the restaurant will be open.
•• Concept. The choice of a concept (e.g., •• Menu. There are many decisions
American, Italian, Moroccan, Thai, related to menus, including the total
Peruvian) can have a large impact on number of items on the menu, the par-
customer demand, particularly as ticular food and drink items offered,
regards competition. the portion sizes, and menu design.
•• Brand or independent. This decision is •• Reservations and overbooking. Reserva-
whether the restaurant is run as part of tions and overbooking decisions deter-
chain or brand or as an independent. mine how customers will be handled:
•• Colocation. Colocation, which is also whether only walk-ins will be taken;
known as cobranding, refers to two or whether reservations will be allowed for
more different restaurant concepts, or all parties at all times, or only for certain
brands, operating in the same location. size parties or on certain days and times;
This phenomenon is seen with some whether a nonrefundable deposit is
regularity in QSRs, for example. required for reservation; whether to
•• Décor and amenities. Decisions on accept call-ahead reservations; and, if
décor and amenities include such reservations are taken, the ways in which
things as lighting, music, valet park- customers can make the reservations
ing, and smoking or nonsmoking (i.e., in-person, by telephone, or online).
sections. •• Layout design. The particular mix of
•• Market segment. The market segment tables in the restaurant can influence
decision addresses whether the restau- the effective seating capacity and affect
rant is, for example, a QSR, fast casual, customer demand by making it practi-
or full service. cal (or impractical) to serve certain
•• Quality level. The decision about the party sizes. Layout design would also
quality level relates to the market seg- include such things as whether tables
ment decision. However, even within are anchored or can be moved and the
the same segment there are differing flexibility inherent in the design that
levels of quality. would allow the restaurant to accom-
•• Service level and service design. modate particular customers.
Within a segment, there are service- •• Training. I include training-related
level-related decisions, such as regard- decisions under demand-affecting
ing the number and type of staff, decisions, because the staff’s ability to
self-serve components, and payment deliver on the concept clearly has an
structure (cash, credit cards). Service effect on long-term customer demand.
design options include such things as •• Retailing. Retailing decisions relate to
allowing take-out orders, having a bar, ancillary sales of restaurant-branded
or providing catering services. or related items such as T-shirts or spe-
•• Pricing. Pricing decisions involve set- cialty food items.
ting the prices for all menu items. Prices
may vary by day of the week, by day Other factors that affect customer demand
part, or even from day to day if new are not directly connected to the restaurant,
menus are printed daily. including the following:

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•• Demographics. The general demo- used metrics include mean absolute


graphics of the local community can forecasting error, mean absolute per-
affect demand, particularly if the res- centage forecasting error, and mean
taurant’s concept, service level, and forecast error.
market segment are such that the res- •• Methods. This decision involves select-
taurant draws customers primarily ing an appropriate forecasting method.
from the local community. There is no reason why the same
•• Previous experiences. This factor rep- method has to be selected for all the
resents the effect of the restaurant’s demand characteristics being selected.
customers’ previous experiences at the Food and beverage outlets in lodging
restaurant. properties may also have the advantage
•• Reputation. This factor captures the of creating demand forecasts using
general buzz about a restaurant, includ- information about the properties’ fore-
ing diners’ comments available online. cast occupancy.
•• Ratings. There are various sources that •• Managerial adjustments. The decisions
rate restaurants. Some customers regu- related to managerial adjustments of
larly consult rating services when decid- forecasts are whether such adjustments
ing which restaurants to patronize. should they be allowed; whether to cre-
ate blended forecasts, by combining the
I next identify the operations-related historical-based forecasts with manage-
decisions facing restaurateurs. I will sepa- rial forecasts; and, if so, how to perform
rate these into forecasting-related decisions, the blending.
planning decisions, and control decisions
and identify each below. Planning decisions. Operations planning
Forecasting decisions. Forecasting deci- decisions are those made in advance, and
sions relate to forecasting or predicting what typically are affected by the forecasts of
will happen in the future. Forecasts are com- customer demand. The decisions include
monly made using some combination of a the following:
prediction based on historical data and a
prediction based on managers’ knowledge, •• Data management. As a planning deci-
experience, and intuition. sion, data management mainly involves
the choice of the type of point-of-sale
•• What to forecast. The specific demand (POS) system used, if any. Small res-
characteristics that need to be forecast taurants may eschew a POS, using
should be identified. Any demand char- manual tickets instead, but that choice
acteristic that affects planning and that may limit the data available for analy-
varies over time should be forecast. sis and decision making.
•• Planning intervals. This decision •• Reservation and seating policies. Res-
involves identifying the appropriate ervations policies include, for example,
time interval over which to track the when and for which customers reserva-
demand characteristics being forecast. tions would be taken, whether call-
It may be appropriate to track certain ahead reservations are accepted and for
characteristics by day part or meal which customers, and whether online
period (such as dining duration), while reservations or ordering can occur.
other characteristics, such as arrivals, Seating policies cover the rules used to
may need to be tracked using much determine which party is assigned to a
shorter intervals. just-freed table or which table is given
•• Performance criteria. This is the choice to a just-arriving party.
of the metrics by which forecasting •• Equipment. Equipment as a planning
methods will be judged. Commonly decision would represent the planned

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deployment of equipment over time. of a busy restaurant, then, might decide


For example, in a QSR, the number of only to seat parties of four or fewer
cashier tills staffed could range from people at peak times.
one to several, depending on the fore-
cast of customer demand. Control decisions. Control decisions are
•• Table mixes. The table mix planning the decisions restaurateurs make in real time.
decision is the configuration of tables They are constrained, in part, by the planning
in the restaurant, with the goal of having decisions. The control decisions include the
its capacity match demand. The mix
following:
need not be static but could vary from
day part to day part, or even within day •• Staffing. Real-time staffing decisions
parts, for example, if large parties were include sending employees home early,
only seated early or late in a meal period. calling additional employees in to work,
•• Service levels. Service-level planning or sending people or recalling people
decisions relate to the level of service from breaks.
to be provided to customers, based on •• Table assignments. Real-time table
various metrics. For example, a service assignment decisions involve determin-
standard in a full-service restaurant ing which of the waiting parties gets
might be that customers’ drinks are assigned to a newly free table, or which
delivered within three minutes of their of the free tables gets assigned to a newly
being ordered. While the standards arrived party. In the latter case, for exam-
could be static, they may vary by day ple, the assignment could be based on
part; with tighter standards for lunch the smallest table that fits, or the table
or pretheatre customers, for example. size that historically has yielded the most
•• Staffing and process. The staffing plan- revenue for that particular party size.
ning decision is the number of staff that •• Station assignments. Station assign-
will be needed, by day part (or shorter ment real-time decisions include deter-
periods). The process decision relates to mining which of the wait staff will
how the staff will perform the work. For cover a party newly assigned to a table.
example, at slow times, QSR cashiers •• Accept or reject specific parties. The
may take and fill customer orders; while real-time decisions about rejecting or
at peak times there may be separate staff accepting a specific party relate to walk-
to fill the orders taken by the cashiers. in parties: should they be seated, placed
•• Raw materials. Raw-materials-related on a wait list, or turned away?
planning decisions include purchasing, •• Food preparation. Food preparation
supply chain, and inventory manage- decisions in real time can relate to
ment. For example, deciding which, if whether items are prepared in the order
any, ingredients should be purchased in which they were received or whether
or stored frozen rather than fresh. some degree of batch preparation
•• Stations. Stations are the table assign- should be used.
ments of wait staff, commonly seen in
fast-casual and full-service restaurants.
The stations may vary across meal peri-
Classifying the Literature into
ods, depending on the service require- the Decision-Based Framework
ments of customers. for Restaurant Profitability
•• Cherry picking. Cherry picking is the
plan as to which customers to accept and
Management
which should be rejected. For example, The decision-based framework for RPM
in many restaurants, smaller parties presented above can be used to classify the
take less time to dine than larger parties RPM-related literature that has appeared in
and spend more per person. A manager the CHQ. I do this in Exhibit 2. Exhibit 2

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Exhibit 2:
Classification of Restaurant Profit Management (RPM)–Related Articles Published
in the Cornell Hospitality Quarterly, Based on the Decision Issues Addressed
Category Decision References
Overview N/A Schmeid 1973 [O]; Sill 1991 [O]; Kimes et al.
1998 [O]; Robson 1999 [O]; Quain,
Sansbury, and LeBruto 1999 [O]; Kimes
2008 [O]
Metrics N/A Schmeid 1973 [O]; Pavesic 1985 [C]; Hayes
and Huffman 1985 [O]; Bayou and Bennett
1992 [S]; Kimes et al. 1998 [O]; Thompson
and Sohn 2009 [C,M]
Marketing Location Knutson, Elsworth, and Beck 2006 [S]; Parsa
et al. 2005 [S]
Size and size Quain, Sansbury, and LeBruto 1999 [O]; Parsa
flexibility et al. 2005 [A]
Concept Parsa et al. 2005 [S]
Brand or Kim and Kim 2004 [S]; Parsa et al. 2005 [A]
independent
Colocation Boone 1997 [S]a
Décor and Robson 1999 [O]; Susskind and Chan 2000 [S]
amenities
Market segment Swinyard and Struman 1986 [C]
Quality level Stevens, Knutson, and Patton 1995 [S]; Susskind
and Chan 2000 [S]; Oh 2000 [S]; Lynn 2001
[E,S]; Sulek and Hensley 2004 [S]; Gupta,
McLaughlin, and Gomez 2007 [S]
Service level and Fitzsimmons and Maurer 1991 [S]; Sill 1991
design [O]; Field, McKnew, and Kiessler 1997 [C];
Susskind and Chan 2000 [S]; Sulek and
Hensley 2004 [S]; Quain, Sansbury, and
LeBruto 1999 [O]; Knutson, Elsworth, and
Beck 2006 [S]; Gupta, McLaughlin, and
Gomez 2007 [S]
Pricing Kreul 1982 [S]; Carmin and Norkus 1990 [C,E];
Sill 1991 [O]; Kelly, Kiefer, and Burdett 1994
[C]; Cotter and Snyder 1996 [S]; Lewis and
Shoemaker 1997 [S];b Kimes et al. 1998 [O];
Oh 2000 [S];c Naipaul and Parsa 2001 [E];
Kimes and Wirtz 2002 [S]; Susskind,
Reynolds, and Tsuchiya [S];c Knutson,
Elsworth, and Beck 2006 [S]; Gupta,
McLaughlin, and Gomez 2007 [S]
Promotions Schmeid 1973 [O]; Kimes et al. 1998 [O];
Taylor and Long-Tolbert 2002 [S]; Quain,
Sansbury, and LeBruto 1999 [O]; Susskind,
Reynolds, and Tsuchiya 2004 [S];c Knutson,
Elsworth, and Beck 2006 [S]; Wansink et al.
2006 [E]c

(continued)

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Exhibit 2:  (continued)


Category Decision References
Operating hours Sill 1991 [O]
Menu Schmeid 1973 [O]; Kreul 1982 [S]; Pavesic 1985
[C]; Hayes and Huffman 1985 [O]; Sill 1991 [O];
Bayou and Bennett 1992 []; Quain, Sansbury,
and LeBruto 1999 [O]; Wansink, Painter, and
Van Ittersum 2001 [E];c Knutson, Elsworth, and
Beck 2006 [S]; Wansink et al. 2006 [E]c
Marketing Reservations and Sill 1991 [O]; Kimes et al. 1998 [O]; Quain,
overbooking Sansbury, and LeBruto 1999 [O]; McGuire
and Kimes 2006 [S]; Kimes 2008 [O]
Layout design Robson 1999 [O]; Kimes and Robson 2004 [C]
Training Schmeid 1973 [O]; Sill 1991 [O]; Kimes 2004 [C]
Retailing
Operations: What to forecast Sill 1991 [O]; Kimes et al. 1998 [O]
Forecasting
Planning intervals
Performance
criteria
Methods
Managerial
adjustments
Operations: Data management
Planning
Reservation and
seating policies
Equipment Avery 1961 [O]; Schmeid 1973 [O]; Sill 1991;
Sill and Decker 1999 [C]
Table mixes Schmeid 1973 [O]; Thompson 2002 [M,E];
Thompson 2003 [M,E]; Kimes 2004 [C]
Service levels Fitzsimmons and Maurer 1991 [S]
Staffing and Sill 1991 [O]; Sill and Decker 1999 [C]; Kimes
process 2004 [C]; Choi, Hwang, and Park 2009 [C];
Thompson 2009 [M]
Raw materials
Stations Sill 1991 [O]
Cherry picking
Operations: Staffing
Control adjustments
Table assignments Quain, Sansbury, and LeBruto 1999 [O]
Station
assignments
Accept/reject
specific parties
Food preparation
Note: Regarding the type of studies, A, C, E, O, M and S refer respectively to archival data, case study, experiment, opinion
piece, simulation experiment and survey.
a. Hotel-restaurant colocation.
b. In hotels.
c. One restaurant.

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includes two additional categories of arti- to find a location for the concept. How-
cles: articles that mainly provide an over- ever, there are also situations where one
view of some aspect of RPM and those already has a location in mind and the
that focus on RPM metrics. In addition, decision is to find the best concept for
Exhibit 2 classifies each article based on the location. Research that could ben-
efit this decision would attempt to iden-
the type of methodology it employs: studies
tify the characteristics of the market,
using archival data, case studies, experi- location, and competition that affect the
ments, opinion pieces, simulation experi- profitability of a particular concept.
ments, and surveys. For example, is it best to be the first of
Exhibit 2 can be a useful tool for think- a concept in an area? Is profitability
ing about where the field of RPM would related to consumers’ general aware-
benefit from additional research. Certainly ness of a concept? (In other words, is
any empty cells are candidates for research. there an advantage or disadvantage with
However, any cells where the articles have a relatively unknown concept?)
been primarily case studies and opinion •• Colocation. There have been no studies
pieces would also benefit from more on restaurant colocation. Relevant
broadly-defined investigations. The next research could identify the conditions
under which profitability increases
section talks about those hanging research
under colocation and identify the
questions. requirements for successful colocation.
For example, is colocation more profit-
Hanging Research Questions able when kitchen facilities can be
Given that research related to RPM has shared? When space is at a premium?
been published in the CHQ for nearly fifty When the market segments of the indi-
years, there are a surprisingly large number vidual restaurants are similar? When
of worthwhile research questions that remain the individual restaurant’s concepts are
unanswered. Here is a list of the questions narrowly defined?
and topics that I feel are the most relevant: •• Pricing. Only a single case study has
been published that examines the sen-
•• Location. There is little guidance in the sitivity of customer demand to pricing
literature related to evaluating restau- changes (Kelly, Kiefer, and Burdett
rant location decisions. For example, 1994). While the authors of the paper
research could investigate, perhaps formed a company with the purpose of
based on existing outlets of one or more consulting with the restaurant industry
chain restaurants, the factors that affect regarding optimal pricing decisions,
the profitability of a location, such as suggesting the importance of the con-
accessibility, foot or vehicular traffic cept, no broad-based follow-up studies
counts, proximal demand generators, have been reported. Thus, interesting
and the location of competitors. research questions would include,
•• Size. No definitive studies have been Which menu items tend to be the most
performed related to identifying the useful for driving profitability? In
ideal size of a restaurant. While the size which market segments can pricing
and location decisions are often com- have the largest affect on profitability?
mingled, managers would benefit from Are there market- or facility-based
studies addressing how size affects res- limitations of using pricing changes to
taurant profitability. drive profitability?
•• Concept. The location and size ques- •• Price discounting timing. There have
tions identified above assume that a been a number of instances where price
concept exists and that one is looking discounting has been advocated as a

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tool that can drive revenue in off-peak could lead to the question, What are the
periods. Depending on the timing of conditions under which reservations
the discounts, however, peak revenues should be offered? If reservations are
can be affected. Thus, a research ques- to be offered, what is the ideal mix of
tion relates to identifying the ideal tim- reservations to walk-ins? What are the
ing restrictions and the nature of the benefits of taking reservations online?
discounts, to best drive a restaurant’s In addition, there are a number of ques-
profitability. tions related to wait lists for walk-in
•• Up-selling timing. Up-selling is the pro- customers: What affects the waiting
cess of trying to increase a party’s check tolerances of walk-in customers? How
size, by pushing such things as specials, should waiting time be estimated?
desserts, and coffee. A hanging research Should the wait estimates quoted to
question is when such actions should customers be biased or unbiased?
best be done so that the restaurant’s •• Layout design. To date, the effects of
overall profitability increases. restaurant layout on customer spending
•• Discounting versus up-selling. The have been examined only for a limited
question for discounting versus up- number of specific restaurants. Expand-
selling is whether both of these actions ing the number and type of restaurants
belong in a restaurateur’s tool kit or examined would be useful for establish-
whether one action tends to dominate ing more broadly applicable guidelines
the other. for restaurateurs.
•• Operating hours. I am aware of no sci- •• Retailing. Since no study has examined
entific study that examines the ideal retailing in restaurants, there are a num-
operating hours for restaurants. For ber of unanswered questions: What are
example, intuition would suggest that if the advantages and disadvantages of
there is a queue when the restaurant retailing? How much space should be
opens, then the owners should consider allocated to retailing? What items should
opening earlier. However, if the longer be offered? Should the retail items be
operating hours yield little increase in offered online? Under what conditions
the table turns, then profitability will does retailing offer a useful approach for
decline. In other words, the operating driving restaurant profitability?
hours effect could be similar to what I •• Forecasting. Considering how little has
observed in the study on reducing dining been done related to forecasting in res-
duration (Thompson 2009), where the taurants, researchers largely have a
revenue bump was much smaller than blank slate. Some questions that come
expected and greatly affected by the to mind include, Which aspects of cus-
length of the peak demand period. An tomer demand should be forecast?
interesting study, then, would attempt to What is the appropriate length of plan-
identify the conditions under which res- ning intervals for tracking and forecast-
taurateurs should lengthen (or shorten) ing demand? (As an example, in the
their restaurants’ operating hours. context of scheduling employees, see
•• Reservations. There are a number of Thompson 1998.) What metrics and
hanging questions related to reserva- methods are currently used by the res-
tions. To date only a single study, from taurant industry to track forecast accu-
one restricted geographical location, racy? Which methods should be used?
has examined customers’ reactions to How frequently do model parameters
different restaurant reservation policies. need to be updated? How frequently
So the first task would be to conduct a should the choice of a forecasting
broader study of customer reactions to method be reevaluated? Do managers’
different reservations policies. That changes to forecasts actually improve

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forecast accuracy? In lodging settings, from local sourcing? How does the res-
can occupancy information be used to taurant concept affect the ability for
improve the accuracy of restaurant local sourcing? What are the most effec-
demand forecasts? tive relationships to develop with sup-
•• Data management. While anecdotal pliers? Is it more profitable to vertically
evidence suggests that most restaurants integrate and grow the restaurant’s own
use some form of POS, there are hold- produce or other items? Which drives
outs. An empirical study linking restau- profitability more, local or organic?
rant profitability to POS usage would •• Stations. Other than the opinions of Sill
be helpful. (1991), nothing has been written on the
•• Equipment. The only writing on man- issue of stations in full-service restau-
aging restaurant equipment to drive rants. As such, there are a number of
profitability has been the prescriptive interesting questions related to stations:
guidelines of Sill (1991). It would be What is the ideal station size? What
interesting to see what practices are in factors affect the ideal station size?
use in the industry, to establish the How does the ideal station size vary
validity of Sill’s ideas. depending on whether the wait staff
•• Table mixes. While a number of studies share table assignments? Does the ideal
have examined issues related to restau- station size vary with the level of
rant table mixes, there remain inter- demand? Is the ideal station size dif-
esting unanswered questions. The first ferent in restaurants using only reser-
concerns the accuracy of the naïve vations versus only walk-ins?
table mix calculations (first defined in •• Customer cherry picking. To my
Thompson 2002). Second, in the stud- knowledge, the issue of customer
ies on table combinability, there was cherry picking has not been addressed
an assumption of conservation of seats, in the literature. Possible research
so that, for example, combining two questions include, What are customers’
2-tops yielded a 4-top. Thus, relaxing reactions to cherry picking? How does
that assumption could show a stronger the choice of a rule for assigning parties
benefit of allowing combinable tables. to tables result in implicit cherry pick-
Third, the earlier studies on com- ing of parties? Should cherry picking
binability assumed that only tables to be applied and, if so, with what party
the left or right of a table could be com- sizes and what timing restrictions?
bined. Allowing a greater degree of •• Real-time staffing adjustments. Real-
combinability may also show a stron- time staffing adjustments are designed
ger benefit of using combinable tables. to ensure that the actual service level
•• Raw materials. Because I am aware of and labor cost matches that planned.
no restaurant-specific articles related to The real-time control actions are use-
inventory management, there is, again, ful, in that actual demand only rarely
an open slate for researchers. For exam- matches that forecast, and because
ple, surveys could be used to establish employees commonly fail to perform
how restaurateurs manage purchasing, as scheduled (they are tardy or absent,
supply chains, and inventory, with the for example). In an earlier article
goal of establishing best practices. This (Thompson 1999), I discussed real-time
area would seem to particularly relevant control of labor schedules, but not in a
with the movement toward local sourc- restaurant-specific context. Restaurant-
ing and reducing the carbon footprint specific real-time staffing-adjustment
of operations. Some possible questions questions include, What practices are
are as follows: In which market seg- used in restaurants for real-time staffing
ments are there profitability benefits control? What is the relative importance

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FOOD-SERVICE MANAGEMENT RESTAURANT PROFITABILITY MANAGEMENT

of customer service and labor cost in la carte item? At one extreme, the batch
driving the control actions? How do size would the number of the specific
restaurateurs determine when such con- items in each party’s order. At the other
trol actions are necessary? extreme, which could apply in a restau-
•• Real-time table assignments. Real-time rant with fixed seating, would be a batch
table assignments should have the effect size equal to the sum of the specific item
of driving profitability. Evidence sug- across all the parties’ orders. While
gests that parties may spend more when batching offers kitchen efficiency, it can
seated at a larger table (Kimes and reduce food and service quality if the
Robson 2004), yet assigning a party to batches become too large. A similar
a larger than necessary table could mean issue exists for buffet restaurants, and
forgoing a larger overall revenue from that is the size of food pan. Larger pans
a later-arriving party. Thus, relevant may allow more efficiency from the
research questions related to table perspective of preparation but also
assignments include, What is the best- result in more spoilage, particularly
performing static rule: assigning an toward the end of the meal periods.
available table to the largest party that Another real-time food preparation
fits; the longest-waiting, right-sized decision is how to best handle stock-
party; or the party with the largest outs. No study has yet been done regard-
blended value of size and waiting time? ing customers’ reactions to stock-outs.
What blended assignment rules work
best? How should contextual consider- Conclusions
ations (table size, location) best be con- This is an exciting time to be a person
sidered when assigning parties to tables? with research interests related to increasing
•• Real-time station assignments. The issue restaurant profitability. Despite a history
of real-time station assignments has
stretching back nearly fifty years, there are
as yet received no attention. Relevant
research questions include, Is there any a surprising number of important and unan-
advantage of having dynamic, rather swered questions. These questions are not
than static, station assignments? How just those that might interest an academic
do the decisions of table assignments but those that can make a difference to the
and station assignments interact? performance of individual restaurants and
•• Real-time accept or reject decisions. to the restaurant industry as a whole.
The issue of real-time accept or reject In its history, the CHQ has published more
decisions relates to applying cherry than one-quarter of the RPM-related articles,
picking in real time. For example, it more than three times the amount of any
may be the restaurant’s policy to accept other journal. My personal hopes are that the
parties of more than six people, but CHQ continues to be the dominant outlet for
perhaps a party of eight would be seated
RPM-related work and that the research
if the restaurant were slower than nor-
mal. As such, interesting research ques- questions I have presented in this article can
tions would involve identifying the stimulate additional work in the area.
practices currently used in the industry
and conducting experiments to develop References
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Gary M. Thompson, Ph.D., is a professor of operations management at the Cornell University School of
Hotel Administration (gmt1@cornell.edu). He thanks the students in the restaurant revenue management
course in the School of Hotel Administration at Cornell University for providing feedback on the preliminary
outline for this article.

322    Cornell Hospitality Quarterly AUGUST 2010

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