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Background of the paper
• Europe 2020:
realising a smart, sustainable and inclusive growth which would
facilitate the transition to a green economy in the longer term
• Two approaches:
– Decoupling transport growth from GDP growth This presentation
– Alternative measures for prosperity growth Next presentation
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Outline of the presentation
• Defining decoupling
• Trends of (de)coupling in the EU
• Drivers of decoupling freight transport
• Drivers of decoupling passenger transport
• Decoupling in the EU, US and Asia
• Policy implications
• Conclusions
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Defining decoupling
• Decoupling indicator
– Strong vs. weak decoupling
– In our paper: decoupling tkm/pkm from GDP
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Trends of (de)coupling: freight transport
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Trends of (de)coupling: passenger transport
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Trends of (de)coupling: air transport
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Drivers of decoupling freight transport
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Dematerialisation of the economy
• Economic restructuring
– Shift to a service-based economy
– Net impact on decoupling depends on size of leakage effect
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Reduction of spatial range of material flows
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Optimisation of transport organisation
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Conclusions decoupling freight transport
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Drivers of decoupling passenger transport
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A changing consumption pattern
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Digitisation
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Urban redensification
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Increased transport efficiency
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Conclusions decoupling passenger
transport
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Decoupling in the EU, US and Asia (1)
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Decoupling in the EU, US and Asia (2)
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Decoupling in the EU, US and Asia (3)
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Policy implications
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Conclusions
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Discussion
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