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An understanding of past and current market behavior will help identify expected future
market changes and innovations. Data authenticity and methods used for analysis will determine
the accuracy of the projections. This will impact on short and long-term business planning and the
ability of a business to be competitive because they understand the circumstances surrounding a
trend or development.
Analysis results can be used to develop predictions - suspected trends or developments—
things which might not have occurred yet – forecasts.
Data sources
Data for trend analysis will be industry specific and can come from numerous sources.
It might be collected as a result of surveys but it is wise to take advantage of published industry
research and trend reports and to regularly follow publications and influencers in the industry.
These, and links to them, can be found on the Internet and will apply to a range of industry sectors.
Quantitative and qualitative data will contribute to planning for commercial success in
international markets and a wide range of analytics/ analytical tools are available to help with
analysis and evaluation.
Quantitative research is structured and relies on numbers: how much, how many, how often.
Quantifiable information allows numerical analysis of the strength of a trend and provides a
common vehicle for communication and a sound and reasonable exploration of issues, problems,
improvements or feasibility projections. Where decision making is the intention, quantified data
can be used to measure the potential of alternative marketing strategies and determine relationships
between situations or events, based on comparisons of sets of figures.
Qualitative research focuses on how people feel, their ideas and opinions: what they think and
why they make choices. Generally it consists of descriptive statements about events that have
happened or subjective descriptions of beliefs, values, needs, expectations and concepts such as
value and quality. It includes opinions or comments by customers/ consumers on a product or
service provided, future plans or even visions of what an organization might become. Although
these things are not easily measurable, the data is valid and combines with quantitative information
to give a full picture of a situation.
Information derived from qualitative data on its own is not all that useful for trend analysis,
but when combined with the results of quantitative data the analysis can be very informative. It
helps analysts understand the emotional reactions of people to products, brands, specific
companies, services etc.
Both forms of research should be conducted when analyzing trends. Statistical analysis -
evidence based on numerical calculation, plus evidence related to ideas and opinions - can offer a
snapshot of the existing market and identify the trends and developments that will assist in
planning for business development and growth.
Survey questions based on multiple choice, rank in order and measurements such as frequency
can be used to collect data, so too can observations (of quantity, frequency etc.), number based
focus group results, product test results and retail audits (to determine brand share).
Data can be collected via desk research, from government organisations, media companies,
industry bodies, other research organisations or from university databases. The Internet and tools
such as Google analytics can contribute to the collection of data in Australia and from overseas
sources. The Internet can be used to identify competitors, competitor offerings and competitor
success. Information collected from reputable sources can help determine where the market is and
how it can be accessed. Secondary data sources, for example interviews with key trade buyers
(here and overseas) and surveys of consumers or end users of products and services can contribute
to trend analysis.
Other situations that will impact on international business activity can include:
changes or advances in technology
demographic trends, including population growth or even decline in some areas
ecological/ environmental trends
economic trends (local, regional, national, international)
Political conditions and government activities including changes to interest rates,
deregulation, policy changes etc.
Industrial trends
other political events such as wars, internal conflicts, forthcoming elections, changes of
government
social and cultural factors- changes in attitudes, opinions, expectations
Businesses should be constantly scanning the market and collecting data that will enable
identification of conditions that offer opportunities and contribute to business performance
reviews. They must systematically investigate the growth and the composition of their
international markets to determine what things will influence (trends and developments) the
purchasing behaviors of the markets.
To fully investigate a market, and develop trend analyses, surveys can be conducted.
Consumers can be divided into groups. It is both a physical and cost impossibility to survey the
whole market, therefore market segmentation is necessary.
Segments divide the market into distinct groups of buyers on the basis of needs,
characteristics or behavior—commonly shared characteristics—to determine what types of
consumers will be most receptive to a particular product or marketing message. When conducting
research with an international focus the particular needs, characteristics and behaviors of the
market segment in terms of cultural differences, demographics and psychographics that are
specific to the culture of the market segment need to be explored.
Segmentation groups together potential customers with like preferences and needs.
Analysis
Once data has been collected and collated (made into meaningful sets) it can be analyzed
in terms of similarities and variations—identification of relationships and meaning.
Both quantitative and qualitative analysis procedures might be followed.
‘Besides the usual descriptive data analysis methods, there are a number of other techniques
which can be used in analyzing market potential. "Usual" methods include univariate methods
(mean, median, mode, standard deviation), bivariate methods (regression, correlation, cross
tabulations), and multi variate methods (including multiple regression, cluster analysis, multiple
factor indices and multidimensional scaling).
Industrial growth patterns: may give an insight into market demand. Statistics can be
obtained from in country sources.
Income elasticity measurements: Describe the relationship between demand for goods and
changes in income. This could, for example, show what could happen to the demand for
basic agricultural products, if income rises. In theory, it should decline.
Regional lead-lag analysis predicts what could happen to the pattern of demand in a
considered country based on the pattern of demand in a leading country. If Zimbabwe, for
example, introduces a new form of tobacco drying, it is likely the other tobacco producing
countries around it will do the same.
When it is difficult to obtain data, resourceful ways are needed to estimate demand. One
of these methods is analogy. There are two ways of using this technique, one is by cross
sectional comparison, the other by time series analysis. Cross sectional analysis assumes
that a factor which correlates with demand in country A could be translated to country B.
Time analysis is a similar technique but adds the time dimension, very similar to the
estimate of the stage in the international life cycle. One USA chemical company found that
soup consumption was the only reliable index forecasting sales in Asia. There are
limitations to the analysis. These include whether the two countries can really be compared,
whether technical or social developments have led to a leapfrogging of the product under
consideration, and whether the difference between potential and actual demand (which
could depend on other factors like price, adaptability etc.) may subsume analogy.
Comparative analysis: Comparative analysis, say between countries on intracompany,
intercompany, national - subnational markets can be useful for estimating potential
demand. It is not unreasonable, say, to compare Zambia and Tanzania.
Cluster analysis: Computer packages exist to cluster similarities and differences between
countries which may show factors which could be common and therefore potential markets.
Such packages include multidimensional or clustering techniques.
Multiple Factor Indices: MFIs indirectly measure potential demand, using variables that
either intuition or statistical analysis suggest can be closely correlated with the potential
demand for the product under review. Variables should be restricted to those which relate
to product demand and these may be GNP, net national income or total population. In
assessing the demand for coffee appliances, for example, an index which includes coffee
drinkers and type of coffee consumed would be useful.
Regression analysis: A very useful and powerful tool. The procedure selects the
independent variable that accounts for the most variance in the dependent variable, then
the variable that accounts for the remaining variance etc. Often multiple regression is
needed as a single variable will not do. Predictions are often made on market demand for
products based on what would happen if GNP were increased. As seen earlier, an increase
in GNP could be good for luxury or durable goods but not basic commodities. However,
high GNP per capita, may be a good predictor of, say, exotic high value horticultural
produce, out of season produce or technological advanced agricultural machinery’.
When reviewing business performance –pricing, positioning, distribution, market share and
market percentage plus sales/ profitability – cultural, legal and ethical constraints should be taken
into consideration.
These include both the Australian and the country specific legal and ethical expectations with
regard to the behaviors and activities of business organisations:
cultural expectations and influences
ethical business principles
legislation and regulations relating to import/ export activities and to the operation of
businesses in specific countries or under specific governments
fair trade
protection of vulnerable people, including children
non-exploitation of vulnerable people
social responsibilities
responsibility with regard to environmental issues
societal expectations
Taking all of these things into consideration the question to be answered is: How well is the
organization performing in its international markets, in relation to the variables identified?
Once established a business must have one eye on the competition at all times, and constantly
assess their own performance against that of competitors. They must know where they stand in the
marketplace and know the market positioning of competitors.
Market positioning strategies are intended to make the product/ service on offer attractive and
wanted—the preferred product/ service that offers perceived value for money and a range of
identifiable consumer benefits. To ensure suitable positioning and on-going sales it is necessary to
know what competitors are doing, what customers are buying, what customers want to buy; and to
improve the organization’s products/ services and support performance at a higher level than that
of competitors.
Monitoring the performance of existing and potential competitors in the home or the
international market can include watching corporate share prices, reading annual reports, assessing
market share, and collecting data about the number and type of customers serviced by a competitor.
Where possible, monitoring the profitability and sales in units or dollars of competitors will be
valuable. The business must understand where it and its competitors are positioned in the market
in order to determine how much of a threat competitors are.
Threats or opportunities
Organisations operating on the international stage must gather competitive intelligence that
will give them the opportunity to strategically position what they have to offer. Some of this
information can be gathered online, from news articles, industry journals, analyst reports, the
company’s website, marketing collateral, and company reports. Alternatively it might be necessary
to commission professional, industry-based research. Visiting a proposed or a current export
destination in person and attending networking events and trade shows can also provide data
collection opportunities.
Information, intelligence and advance warning can come from a variety of sources that include:
the World Trade Organization (WTO)
government publications
government agencies– home or overseas
the Internet
face book and other social media
Internet advertising sites
organizational R&D
research papers – national/ international research
market intelligence– research conducted by the company or by commercial services
television, movies, radio, other media
networking contacts
social contacts
forecasts
universities
magazines and promotional materials
Other sources can include:
competitor advertisements
web pages
analysis of current consumer behavior - with a view to predicting future behaviors
use of:
o media tracking technologies
o beacons, or iBeacons - small tracking devices
o Near Field Communication (NFC)
o click through counts
‘The World Trade Organization (WTO) serves as the regulatory foundation for
international trade. As the preeminent world trade negotiating forum, the WTO also is the number
one “clearinghouse” for companies wanting global trade information and trade agreement
management. It also functions as the prime arbiter for international business disputes’.
(www.business.com)
It is, therefore a prime source of information about what companies need to do when
operating internationally.
Companies might:
analyze past and current trends in the market environment in order to predict new
developments
Collaborate with customers/ consumers to identify emerging needs.
consult with customers and employees for ideas on improving processes, products and
services both internally and externally
seek advice from business advisors
collaborate with local and international researchers
develop strategic plans that promote innovation as a key business process
identify new products and services introduced by competitors and innovate to improve
them or to out compete
consider changes to company infrastructure that will allow it to take advantage of new
ideas, in order to:
o develop and market new products, services
o use technology to identify new markets
focus on innovation because innovative companies are more competitive and more able to
capture increased market share
Legal, ethical and environmental constraints
Consideration must be given to legislation. Australian laws will have an impact on the ways
in which Australian-based companies do business. The legislation and protocols relevant to the
international setting in which organisations conduct business and structure their marketing will
also, necessarily, have specific impacts.
Before undertaking international business ventures the organization must understand their
obligations under International Commercial Law, as well as their obligations under the legislation
relevant to the countries in which they do, or in which they intend to, operate.
They will need advice from government agencies, trade organisations/peak industry bodies
and from their own legal representatives.
Australian legislation
In Australia national, state and territory legislation exists to protect:
customers/consumers
the community
suppliers
the environment
intellectual property (IP)
These laws are intended, at national, state and territory levels, to promote fair trading (for
businesses and consumers) and to encourage competition. They also outline the rights of
businesses and business owners when conflicts arise. The Australian Competition and Consumer
Commission (ACCC) oversees fair trading practices.
Import/ export
Australian legislation, regulation and standards place specific requirements on import/
export activities.
Import businesses must be aware of laws and of government regulations. They must know
what imports are acceptable and which might be seized by the Australian Department of
Immigration and Border Protection.
Exporters need to know the risks associated with exporting - foreign exchange, political,
shipping, quarantine. They will need industry specific information for different international
markets. This will include information about the legislating relevant to sending, marketing and
selling goods overseas. Austrade, state and territory governments and Australian Border Security
can provide information on import/ export requirements or provide contact details for expert
advice.
International legislation
Organisations setting up their businesses in international markets must comply with
International Commercial Law - the legislation, regulations, rules, conventions, treaties, and
commercial customs or usages that govern international commercial or business transactions.
Legislation in other countries will determine what can be marketed, how it can be marketed
and how businesses are allowed to operate in their jurisdiction.
Ethics
Customers in the international market will look for both product and company suitability.
This relates to ethics and to the values and norms held by the society within which the business is
marketing.
Marketing that is linked to social causes can lead to an opportunity for growth and
differentiation. Businesses can promote the link between causes and products to develop a point
of difference that matters to people.
While it is incumbent on businesses to operate within the ethical constraints of the country
in which they are working it is also important that they do not take advantage in countries where
ethical standards are low and exploitation and/or corruption are allowed.
‘Some of the most common ethical issues in international business include outsourcing,
working standards and conditions, workplace diversity and equal opportunity, child labor, trust
and integrity, supervisory oversight, human rights, religion, the political arena, the environment,
bribery and corruption. Businesses trading internationally are expected to fully comply with
federal and state safety regulations, environmental laws, fiscal and monetary reporting statutes and
civil rights laws.
Cultural considerations can … make or break a company conducting business globally.
Every culture and nation has its own history, customs, traditions and code of ethics. Cultural
barriers include language, which often means a company must rely on translators when speaking
to business contacts and customers. Gender can be an issue in countries where women do not have
the same rights as men. Religious holidays and other cultural events can prohibit trade at certain
times. Acting in accordance with ethical and cultural values is crucial for a multinational company
to win clients’ support and business and to achieve a competitive advantage in a particular market’.
(online.uttyler.edu)
Work conditions
Businesses operating in international markets can face the dilemma of complying with the
work standards of their home country versus the lack of such rights for employees in the host
countries. They need to make a determination on how they will operate and determine what human
rights policies they can apply. Policies brought by companies from, in particular, Westernized
countries will not always be well received.
Outsourcing production jobs to overseas, usually third world, operations with substantially
lower labor costs can be beneficial in terms of competitiveness. The company can provide lower-
priced products to customers. This creates social and ethical issues, including the issues
surrounding child labor that must be faced. Some companies, importing from those operators will
simply turn a blind eye to what is happening. Those who create their own operations base overseas
need to consider whether they can justify complying with poor safety regulations and the
expectation that people will work long hours for little return. Some companies will see the need to
spend less money on safety and on wages as an opportunity, however this can have negative
impacts on the company image and brand. Compromise might be necessary.
Human rights
In an attempt to establish global standards for human rights related to business activities,
the United Nations created a set of Guiding Principles on Business and Human Rights.
The environment
Impact on the environment is another ethical issue faced by western businesses in the
international arena. Most countries are concerned about the environment but legislation and
expectations will differ in each country. Western countries might try to implement the standards
they have dealt with in their home country, but in a country where environmental regulations are
less strict they might choose to take advantage of more lax environmental requirements. This could
mean that they need to spend less money and be less caring about the environment. This is an
ethical dilemma that could be faced by any company setting up overseas.
Business practices
Business practices that are illegal or frowned upon in one country can often be allowed,
tolerated or even expected in foreign countries. Before negotiating entrance into international
markets organisations must know what business practices are acceptable.
‘…. companies that enter global markets with an established code of ethics have a better
chance of achieving a positive international image that results in a stronger market share and higher
profits.
The list of social and ethical issues and marketing ethics in foreign trade that companies
face in the global stage is long and complex. Each country is different in culture, laws, politics,
workers' rights, child labor and diversity. A company considering a foreign operation must
carefully examine all of these issues before making a commitment’. (smallbusiness.chron.com)
Intellectual property
Not all countries have the same restrictions and the same ethical attitude towards
intellectual property. It can be tempting for organisations importing from or operating within the
international market to support copying, knockoffs or theft of intellectual property. Any company
doing this must be aware of the legislation and the ethical expectations with regard to such matters
in their home country.
Understanding cultural differences can make the difference between success and failure in
a global market. Each nation has its own distinct customs, history, traditions and code of ethics.
Religion
Business practices and social customs that would be common and accepted in a Christian-
dominated country might be considered offensive and totally unacceptable in other countries, for
example Islamic or Buddhist countries. Methods of negotiation and the types of products and
services that can be sold can be influenced by religion. In order to comply with their ethical
responsibilities businesses must understand the role and depth of a religion's influence on business
practices.
Foreign Governments
Being on top of the political winds in a host country is necessary to be allowed to operate
or run the risk of having the company's assets, plant and equipment confiscated. What will happen
if a new party takes over?
‘[Western] companies have more freedom to operate and, ultimately, they have a legal
system to pursue for protection and recourse. However, some foreign governments can just decide
to seize a company's properties at a whim, and there is nothing the company can do about it’.
(smallbusiness.chron.com)
Additional Reading
Video Links
Nestlé: 150 Years of Food Industry Dominance
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MYGZZKTA2qI
The marketing insider's tips for 2019
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O3MC4JCu4vM
Web Links
The Tremendous Impact of AI on Social Media Marketing
https://www.renderforest.com/blog/ai-for-social-media-marketing
Market Research Techniques: Primary and Secondary Market Research
https://www.cleverism.com/market-research-techniques-primary-secondary/
Additional Reading
Video Links
Nestlé: 150 Years of Food Industry Dominance
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MYGZZKTA2qI
The marketing insider's tips for 2019
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O3MC4JCu4vM
Web Links
The Tremendous Impact of AI on Social Media Marketing
https://www.renderforest.com/blog/ai-for-social-media-marketing
Market Research Techniques: Primary and Secondary Market Research
https://www.cleverism.com/market-research-techniques-primary-secondary/
Check your knowledge
True or False statements. Answer True (T) or False (F).
True False
1. Business organisations operating here or overseas must be constantly
aware of threats and opportunities.
2. It is only political trends that must be constantly monitored.
3. It is only Australian legislation that must be complied with when
operating in international markets.
4. Organisations with a strong code of ethics do not need to comply with the
ethical requirements of a host country.
5. Trend analysis supports understanding of market maturity so can identify
their position within the market and gauge future market potential.
6. The internet can supply all the information that is needed to conduct a
competitor analysis.
7. In Australia bribery is an accepted aspect of doing business.
8. Differences relating to religion, culture, language and environmental
concerns will all affect organisations that operate overseas.
Multiple choice questions. Select the answer you think is correct.
1. For a business ethical dilemmas can relate to:
a. Child labour and work conditions.
b. Where people live.
c. How many children labourers have.
d. None of the above.
2. Innovative companies tap sources of intelligence for advance warning of new products/
services, technology or markets to:
a. Develop new loss evading products.
b. Show everyone how clever they are.
c. Stay ahead of competitors and achieve a market advantage.
d. Keep up with market trends.