CONFIDENTIAL MEMORANDUM

TO: DAVID BOSSIE

CITIZENS UNITED POLITICAL VICTORY FUND

FROM: TONY FABRIZIO, DAVID LEE AND TRAVIS TUNIS

RE: NH STATEWIDE GOP PRIMARY VOTER SURVEY – KEY FINDINGS

DATE: AUGUST 13, 2019

Fabrizio, Lee & Associates recently completed a survey of 400 likely 2020 GOP Primary Voters
statewide in New Hampshire.1 What follows are the key findings:

BOTTOM LINE: Corey Lewandowski would enter the race as the GOP front-
runner – leading the field by double digits due to his stronger personal ratings. He
could clearly see his lead expand even further with an endorsement from President
Trump, who is extremely popular with these GOP voters.

Þ President Trump is extremely popular with these NH GOP Primary Voters:

“Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?” (PROBE:
Strongly/Somewhat)

Total
Total Approve 83
Total Disapprove 15
Strongly Approve 66
Somewhat Approve 17
Somewhat Disapprove 5
Strongly Disapprove 10
DK/Ref 14
Net GOP +/- -1

1
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates conducted a survey of 400 likely 2020 GOP Primary Voters statewide in New Hampshire
on behalf of the Citizens United Political Victory Fund between August 11 – 12, 2019. All interviews were conducted
by trained professional interviewers via phone from a list of known GOP Primary Voters with the sample split evenly
between landline and cell phone respondents. The sample was stratified to reflect voter turnout in past statewide
GOP primaries. The margin of error for this survey sample is +/-4.9% at the 95% confidence interval.

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 Þ Lewandowski starts with superior ratings and leads the GOP field out of the gate

• Superior Name ID and Image:

TOTAL TOTAL No Never

FAV UNFAV Opinion Heard Of
Corey Lewandowski 37 16 16 32
Don Bolduc 16 3 17 64
Bill O’Brien 16 10 18 55

• Superior Vote Consideration Score:

TOTAL Don’t
TOTAL Re-
NOT Know
CONSIDER fused
CONSIDER Enough
Corey Lewandowski 45 18 35 2
Don Bolduc 25 19 54 3
Bill O’Brien 30 22 46 2

• Currently best positioned ideologically for GOP Primary electorate:

CONSER- MODE- LIB- DK/Ref

VATIVE RATE ERAL
Corey Lewandowski 45 8 3 45
Don Bolduc 19 8 4 70
Bill O’Brien 23 8 5 64

• And leads the current GOP field by double digits out of the gate though nearly half
are still undecided:

“If the Republican Primary for U.S. Senate were held today and the candidates were,
(RANDOMIZE) Don Bolduc, Corey Lewandowski, Bill O’Brien or Bryant “Corky” Messner,
for who would you vote?”

TOTAL
Corey Lewandowski 30
Don Bolduc 11
Bill O’Brien 10
Bryant “Corky” Messner 1
Undecided 49

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 Þ The President’s endorsement would be a huge boost to any GOP Primary contender
-- not only draining current support from opponents, but also swaying undecideds.

“If you knew that President Trump strongly endorsed and supported a candidate in the
Republican Primary for U.S. Senate, would you be MORE or LESS likely to vote for that
candidate? If it wouldn’t impact your vote, just say so. (PROBE: Much/Somewhat)”

CL
TOTAL Voters DB BO GOP
Voters Voters Undecideds
TOTAL MORE LIKELY 50 64 47 44 43
TOTAL LESS LIKELY 10 0 10 10 15
Much more likely to vote for the 31 42 32 20 26
candidate
Somewhat more likely to vote for 19 22 16 24 17
the candidate
Somewhat less likely to vote for the 3 - 6 6 3
candidate
Much less likely to vote for the 7 - 4 4 12
candidate
Wouldn’t impact my vote 36 36 43 35 35
DK/Refused (DO NOT READ) 4 1 - 8 7

Key Demographics:

Political Party:

Republican (CONTINUE) 70
Democrat (TERMINATE) -
Independent (CONTINUE) 30
Other (DO NOT READ) (TERMINATE) -
Refused (DO NOT READ) (TERMINATE) -

Ideology:

CONSERVATIVE 67
MODERATE 25
LIBERAL 4
DK/Refused (DO NOT READ) 4

Age:

18-44 12
45-54 16
55-64 26
65+ 42
Refused 4

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Gender:

MALE 53
FEMALE 47
Female, working woman 20
Female, homemaker 21
Female/Refused (DO NOT READ) 6

DMA:

BOSTON, MA DMA 83
Hillsborough Co. 29
Rockingham Co. 25
Merrimack Co. 12
Rest of DMA 17
BURLINGTON, VT DMA 9
PORTLAND, ME DMA 8

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