Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
NASDAQ: PCLN
BUY
RATING SINCE 07/13/2010
A+ A A- B+ B B- C+ C C- D+ D D- E+ E E- F TARGET PRICE $2,547
Annual Dividend Rate Annual Dividend Yield Beta Market Capitalization 52-Week Range Price as of 7/13/2017
NA NA 1.41 $95.4 Billion $1,305-$1,951 $1,941
Sector: Consumer Goods & Svcs Sub-Industry: Internet & Direct Marketing Retail Source: S&P
Weekly Price: (US$) SMA (50) SMA (100) 1 Year 2 Years
PCLN BUSINESS DESCRIPTION
The Priceline Group Inc. provides online travel and 2,600
TARGET
TARGET
TARGET PRICE
TARGETPRICE $2,547.17
PRICE$2,547.17
PRICE $2,547.17
$2,547.17
restaurant reservation, and related services. 2,400
RECOMMENDATION
We rate PRICELINE GROUP INC (PCLN) a BUY. This is driven by a number of strengths, which we believe
should have a greater impact than any weaknesses, and should give investors a better performance
opportunity than most stocks we cover. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its
24.41 solid stock price performance, revenue growth, largely solid financial position with reasonable debt levels by
43.80 185.65 most measures, expanding profit margins and good cash flow from operations. Although the company may
PCLN Ind Avg S&P 500 harbor some minor weaknesses, we feel they are unlikely to have a significant impact on results.
HIGHLIGHTS
EPS ANALYSIS¹ ($) Investors have apparently begun to recognize positive factors similar to those we have mentioned in this
report, including earnings growth. This has helped drive up the company's shares by a sharp 44.97% over the
past year, a rise that has exceeded that of the S&P 500 Index. Regarding the stock's future course, although
almost any stock can fall in a broad market decline, PCLN should continue to move higher despite the fact
that it has already enjoyed a very nice gain in the past year.
Q1 7.47
Q1 6.36
PCLN's revenue growth trails the industry average of 25.3%. Since the same quarter one year prior, revenues
Q3 23.41
Q4 10.00
Q2 11.60
Q3 10.13
Q4 13.47
rose by 12.6%. Growth in the company's revenue appears to have helped boost the earnings per share.
Q2 9.94
Q1 9.11
The debt-to-equity ratio is somewhat low, currently at 0.77, and is less than that of the industry average,
2015 2016 2017 implying that there has been a relatively successful effort in the management of debt levels. To add to this,
NA = not available NM = not meaningful
PCLN has a quick ratio of 1.94, which demonstrates the ability of the company to cover short-term liquidity
needs.
1 Compustat fiscal year convention is used for all fundamental
data items.
The gross profit margin for PRICELINE GROUP INC is currently very high, coming in at 96.48%. It has increased
from the same quarter the previous year. Along with this, the net profit margin of 18.83% significantly
outperformed against the industry average.
Net operating cash flow has increased to $380.62 million or 10.53% when compared to the same quarter last
year. Despite an increase in cash flow, PRICELINE GROUP INC's cash flow growth rate is still lower than the
industry average growth rate of 26.70%.
This report is for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither TheStreet Ratings nor any other party guarantees its accuracy Report Date: July 16, 2017 PAGE 1
or makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Redistribution is prohibited without the express written consent of TheStreet Ratings. Copyright(c) 2006-2016. All rights reserved.
July 16, 2017
NASDAQ: PCLN
Hanover Direct. The top 50 companies account for approximately 60% of total industry revenue. The catalog
FA
retail sector consists of mail order, television and catalog channels while internet retail includes all services
VO
JD NFLX through online channels. Demand is driven by consumer spending, which ties the profitability of companies to
RA
BL
EXPE AMZN
PCLN
Over the past five years, the industry pattern has shifted from catalog to internet sales. Internet sales have
QVCB QVCA been the driver for overall health of the internet & catalog industry as internet use has increased to over 70%
TRIP
of US households. The evolution of secure user interfaces and the increased convenience of online shopping
Revenue Growth (TTM)
are expected to drive growth in the coming quarters. In order to increase online sales, companies offer
reduced prices, free shipping and more variety. Although the broader retail industry is expected to remain
sluggish during the recovery from the US economic slowdown, the internet will help drive sales.
UN
FA
VO
-60%
US online retail has evolved from a fledgling industry to a mature, mainstream, and integrated industry with
RA
B
multiple offline channels. However, the next phase of e-commerce growth will require retailers to innovate
LE
LVNTA
-300% 100% and invest in technologies that optimize the connection between online and offline elements. Failure to
EBITDA Margin (TTM) address risks associated with payment methods, credit card fraud and other consumer fraud could hamper
Companies with higher EBITDA margins and sales growth.
revenue growth rates are outperforming companies
with lower EBITDA margins and revenue growth Catalog retailing has witnessed a dynamic shift in its business model from call-centers to websites. Many
rates. Companies for this scatter plot have a market catalog retailers have adapted their operations to the web as a result of a change in customer preferences.
capitalization between $4.6 Billion and $478.3 Billion. Companies such as L.L. Bean and Lands’ End have succeeded with this strategy while also maintaining their
Companies with NA or NM values do not appear. catalog operations. By doing so, they provide services to traditional catalog shoppers and enjoy a web
operation that helps keep fixed-costs down while attracting new customers. Catalogs are currently driving
*EBITDA – Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and
Amortization. more than half of internet sales.
REVENUE GROWTH AND EARNINGS YIELD The catalog industry shows a trend of sustained growth in multi-channel retailing. The two main channels,
namely direct-to-consumer (DTC) and store, will emerge from the convergence of catalog and internet sales.
60%
CTRP The industry is expected to experience higher sales growth in the direct-to-consumer segment.
FA
VO
NFLX
RA
AMZN
PCLN Ticker Company Name Price ($) Cap ($M) Earnings TTM ($M) TTM ($M)
QVCA PCLN PRICELINE GROUP INC 1,940.70 95,370 43.80 11,014.29 2,216.19
QVCB
TRIP NFLX NETFLIX INC 158.21 68,189 208.17 9,509.57 337.24
VIPS VIPSHOP HOLDINGS LTD -ADR 11.33 5,750 22.66 8,581.24 299.95
Revenue Growth (TTM)
RA
-2.5% LVNTA20% CTRP CTRIP.COM INTL LTD 56.17 29,413 936.17 3,005.56 50.75
Earnings Yield (TTM) EXPE EXPEDIA INC 152.90 21,123 78.01 9,058.34 304.32
Companies that exhibit both a high earnings yield QVCB LIBERTY INTERACTV CP QVC GRP 23.36 10,400 23.36 10,175.00 474.00
and high revenue growth are generally more QVCA LIBERTY INTERACTV CP QVC GRP 23.02 10,400 23.02 10,175.00 474.00
attractive than companies with low revenue growth The peer group comparison is based on Major Internet & Direct Marketing Retail companies of comparable size.
and low earnings yield. Companies for this scatter
plot have revenue growth rates between -57.9% and
53.6%. Companies with NA or NM values do not
appear.
This report is for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither TheStreet Ratings nor any other party guarantees its accuracy Report Date: July 16, 2017 PAGE 2
or makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Redistribution is prohibited without the express written consent of TheStreet Ratings. Copyright(c) 2006-2016. All rights reserved.
July 16, 2017
NASDAQ: PCLN
TheStreet Ratings' stock model projects a stock's total return potential over a 12-month period including both
price appreciation and dividends. Our Buy, Hold or Sell ratings designate how we expect these stocks to
perform against a general benchmark of the equities market and interest rates. While our model is
quantitative, it utilizes both subjective and objective elements. For instance, subjective elements include
expected equities market returns, future interest rates, implied industry outlook and forecasted company
earnings. Objective elements include volatility of past operating revenues, financial strength, and company
cash flows.
Our model gauges the relationship between risk and reward in several ways, including: the pricing drawdown
as compared to potential profit volatility, i.e.how much one is willing to risk in order to earn profits; the level of
acceptable volatility for highly performing stocks; the current valuation as compared to projected earnings
growth; and the financial strength of the underlying company as compared to its stock's valuation as
compared to projected earnings growth; and the financial strength of the underlying company as compared
to its stock's performance. These and many more derived observations are then combined, ranked, weighted,
and scenario-tested to create a more complete analysis. The result is a systematic and disciplined method of
selecting stocks.
This report is for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither TheStreet Ratings nor any other party guarantees its accuracy Report Date: July 16, 2017 PAGE 3
or makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Redistribution is prohibited without the express written consent of TheStreet Ratings. Copyright(c) 2006-2016. All rights reserved.
July 16, 2017
NASDAQ: PCLN
During the same period, stockholders' equity ("net worth") has increased by 19.42% from the same quarter last
14.09 74.05 E 85.62 E year. The key liquidity measurements indicate that the company is unlikely to face financial difficulties in the
Q2 FY17 2017(E) 2018(E) near future.
STOCKS TO BUY: TheStreet Quant Ratings has identified a handful of stocks that can potentially TRIPLE in the
INCOME STATEMENT next 12-months. To learn more visit www.TheStreetRatings.com.
Q1 FY17 Q1 FY16
Net Sales ($mil) 2,419.40 2,148.12
EBITDA ($mil) 639.89 623.19
EBIT ($mil) 556.46 550.32
Net Income ($mil) 455.62 374.42
BALANCE SHEET
Q1 FY17 Q1 FY16
Cash & Equiv. ($mil) 5,371.11 3,383.64
Total Assets ($mil) 21,994.25 18,334.55
Total Debt ($mil) 8,284.66 6,321.20
Equity ($mil) 10,811.02 9,052.37
PROFITABILITY
Q1 FY17 Q1 FY16
Gross Profit Margin 96.48% 94.01%
EBITDA Margin 26.44% 29.01%
Operating Margin 23.00% 25.62%
Sales Turnover 0.50 0.52
Return on Assets 10.07% 14.13%
Return on Equity 20.49% 28.63%
DEBT
Q1 FY17 Q1 FY16
Current Ratio 2.15 2.45
Debt/Capital 0.43 0.41
Interest Expense 55.72 46.89
Interest Coverage 9.99 11.74
SHARE DATA
Q1 FY17 Q1 FY16
Shares outstanding (mil) 49 50
Div / share 0.00 0.00
EPS 9.11 7.47
Book value / share 219.83 182.37
Institutional Own % NA NA
Avg Daily Volume 487,203 400,185
2 Sum of quarterly figures may not match annual estimates due to
use of median consensus estimates.
This report is for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither TheStreet Ratings nor any other party guarantees its accuracy Report Date: July 16, 2017 PAGE 4
or makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Redistribution is prohibited without the express written consent of TheStreet Ratings. Copyright(c) 2006-2016. All rights reserved.
July 16, 2017
NASDAQ: PCLN
TheStreet Ratings is a division of TheStreet, Inc., which is a publisher. This research report contains opinions and is provided
for informational purposes only. You should not rely solely upon the research herein for purposes of transacting securities or
other investments, and you are encouraged to conduct your own research and due diligence, and to seek the advice of a
qualified securities professional, before you make any investment. None of the information contained in this report constitutes,
or is intended to constitute a recommendation by TheStreet Ratings of any particular security or trading strategy or a
determination by TheStreet Ratings that any security or trading strategy is suitable for any specific person. To the extent any of
the information contained herein may be deemed to be investment advice, such information is impersonal and not tailored to the
investment needs of any specific person. Your use of this report is governed by TheStreet, Inc.'s Terms of Use found at
http://www.thestreet.com/static/about/terms-of-use.html.
This report is for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither TheStreet Ratings nor any other party guarantees its accuracy Report Date: July 16, 2017 PAGE 5
or makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Redistribution is prohibited without the express written consent of TheStreet Ratings. Copyright(c) 2006-2016. All rights reserved.