12-Nov-2018

FX
Closing Price Change (Day) Change (MTD) Change (YTD) Closing Price Change (Day) Change (MTD) Change (YTD)

USD Index 96.9050 0.19% -0.23% 5.19% USD-ASIA Index 103.8900 -0.29% 0.64% -5.37%

USD-CNH 6.9480 0.10% -0.38% 6.66% USD-INR 72.4950 -0.70% -1.97% 13.50%

USD-JPY 113.8300 -0.21% 0.79% 1.01% JPY-INR 0.6369 -1.27% -2.57% 12.19%

GBP-USD 1.2972 0.69% -1.61% 4.00% GBP-INR 94.3834 -0.85% -0.11% 9.40%

EUR-USD 1.1336 0.24% -0.21% 5.57% EUR-INR 82.2900 -1.09% -1.96% 7.52%
* Changes are for USD against the other currency, FCY against the INR in other cases

Rates
Closing Price Change (Day) Change (MTD) Change (YTD) Closing Price Change (Day) Change (MTD) Change (YTD)

India 10 YR GSEC (Generic) 7.76% -3.60 -9.00 43.70 Implied USD-INR Frwd (1 Mth) 4.10% / 24.75 0.72 -40.59 -22.43

India 5 YR OIS 7.37% -7.00 -9.50 62.00 Implied USD-INR Frwd (1 Yr) 4.04% / 292.75 -5.40 -17.46 -33.77

US Treasury (10 YR) 3.18% -5.54 3.84 77.65 USD IRS (5 YR) 3.17% -4.47 4.36 92.56

German Bund (10 YR) 0.41% -5.00 2.20 -1.73 EUR IRS (5 YR) 0.21% -1.60 1.90 6.30

Japan Treasury (10 YR) 0.12% -0.20 -0.60 7.30 JPY IRS (5 YR) 0.11% -0.75 -1.63 0.75
* Changes are values in basis points

Equities & Commodities

Closing Price Change (Day) Change (MTD) Change (YTD) Closing Price Change (Day) Change (MTD) Change (YTD)

Brent (ICE;USD/bbl.) 70.18 -0.67% -7.01% 4.95% NIFTY 10,585.20 0.52% 1.91% 0.52%

WTI (NYM;USD/bbl.) 60.19 -0.79% -7.84% -0.38% S&P 2,781.01 -0.92% 2.55% 4.02%

Copper (CMX;USD/lb) 268.45 -1.88% 0.96% -18.66% DAX 11,529.16 0.02% 0.71% -10.75%

Gold (CMX;USD/t oz.) 1,208.60 -1.35% -0.53% -7.69% NIKKEI 22,250.25 -1.05% 1.50% -2.26%

1. Dollar strength continues post FOMC spurred by a stronger-than-expected PPI print on Friday with DXY at 97.00. Treasuries rallied as well however U.S. equities fell, led by a slump in tech shares
levels. US markets are closed today, Veteran’s day holiday

2. USDINR has opened higher today at 72.72 given the dollar strength. We expect the pair to trade sideways today due to absence of cash activity on account of US holiday

3. GBP opened weaker in early Asia trading today over a report that four U.K. ministers are on the brink of resigning over Prime Minister. UK Q3 GDP met expectations, while business investment
fell sharply according to data releases on Friday. EURUSD also edged down to 1.1325 levels with additional pressure given standoff between Italy and EU over budget

4. Oil prices rose by a percent after Saudi Arabia announced supply cuts by 0.5 million barrels per day in December after a slump in oil prices in October. Major Asian indices including the local
equities trade cautiously in green

Key Data Today

Time (IST) Country Event Previous Consensus
14:30 Italy Industrial Output s.a. (MoM) 1.7%
17:30 India Manufacturing Output 4.6%
17:30 India Industrial Output 4.3% 4.3%
 FX Commodity Equity
% USD against the CCY (YTD) % Change (YTD) % Change (YTD)

INR 13.50%
S&P
WTI -0.38%
JPY 1.01% 4.02%

EUR 5.57% DOW 5.14%

BRENT 4.95%
GBP 4.00%
CAC -3.87%
CNH 6.66%
GOLD -7.69%
MYR 3.27% DAX -10.75%

PHP 6.10%
PLATINUM -8.37% NIKKEI -2.26%
TWD 3.37%

IDR 8.18% HANG SENG -14.43%

SILVER -17.53%
KRW 5.38%
SHANGHAI
RUB 15.88%
-21.42%
COPPER-18.66%
3.23%
BRL 12.75% SENSEX

MXN 2.43%
ALUMINUM -13.63%
NIFTY 0.52%
ZAR 15.95%

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