PVB

PVB Sales UnemploymBank Loan Single Units Multi-Units

2001 27,512 3.90 9.50 274 74
2001 45,798 4.23 8.62 374 87
2001 76,968 4.40 7.34 341 88
2001 43,858 4.83 6.57 285 81
2002 30,580 5.53 5.16 293 76
2002 53,198 5.70 4.75 386 89
2002 88,704 5.83 4.75 361 98
2002 51,590 5.73 4.75 319 84
2003 35,372 5.87 4.45 304 71
2003 57,840 5.83 4.25 406 84
2003 93,388 6.13 4.24 412 99
2003 58,906 6.13 4.00 377 95
2004 39,382 5.87 4.00 345 80
2004 75,219 5.67 4.00 456 84
2004 122,868 5.57 4.00 440 92
2004 54,996 5.43 4.42 370 90
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.8495695431
R Square 0.7217684085
Adjusted R Square 0.6205932844
Standard Error 15882.1257667383
Observations 16

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 4 7.2E+09 1.8E+09 7.133852 0.004371
Residual 11 2.77E+09 2.52E+08
Total 15 9.97E+09

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

Intercept 93901.72461427 177432.1 0.529226 0.607163 -296624 484427.2 -296624
Unemployment -31828.0249345874 22946.65 -1.387044 0.19289 -82333.26 18677.21 -82333.26
Bank Loan -12795.1276137736 9499.04 -1.346992 0.205077 -33702.37 8112.117 -33702.37
Single Units 129.7983689086 117.8821 1.101086 0.29437 -129.6584 389.2551 -129.6584
Multi-Units 1859.8943315172 691.0914 2.691242 0.020983 338.8124 3380.976 338.8124

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation Predicted PVB Sales Residuals

Standard Residuals
1 21415.6486517706 6096.351 0.44824
2 59181.8320822371 -13383.83 -0.984059
3 67874.1231883476 9093.877 0.668636
4 43688.9087585072 169.0912 0.012433
5 31189.3365333997 -609.3365 -0.044802
6 67337.8922254633 -14139.89 -1.039649
7 76588.2453284575 12115.75 0.890822
8 48280.9956865124 3309.004 0.243298
9 21750.195469346 13621.8 1.001556
10 62788.2150949917 -4948.215 -0.363822
11 82044.9640769634 11343.04 0.834008
12 73133.274466398 -14227.27 -1.046074
13 49568.7850044532 -10186.79 -0.748993
14 77781.586266298 -2562.586 -0.188417
15 93724.1190839772 29143.88 2.142832
16 79830.8780828777 -24834.88 -1.826008
Upper 95.0%
484427.2
18677.21
8112.117
389.2551
3380.976
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.337299
R Square 0.113771
Adjusted R -0.208494
Standard E 137.7695
Observatio 16

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 4 26803.03 6700.758 0.353035 0.83667
Residual 11 208784.7 18980.43
Total 15 235587.8

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
Intercept 284.3032 1539.135 0.184716
Unemploym 69.85952 199.0507 0.350963
Bank Loan 28.42064 82.39941 0.344913
Single Unit 0.023828 1.022568 0.023302
Multi-Units -5.046836 5.994872 -0.841859
P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%
0.856813 -3103.309 3671.916 -3103.309 3671.916
0.732245 -368.2481 507.9671 -368.2481 507.9671
0.736664 -152.9392 209.7805 -152.9392 209.7805
0.981826 -2.226829 2.274486 -2.226829 2.274486
0.417794 -18.24146 8.147787 -18.24146 8.147787

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation
Predicted Fire Sales
Residuals
Standard Residuals
1 459.8145 -189.8145 -1.608887
2 394.9595 195.0405 1.653183
3 364.2965 -112.2965 -0.951836
4 406.5838 90.41624 0.766377
5 440.8371 23.16287 0.196331
6 377.5298 117.4702 0.99569
7 340.8272 29.17282 0.247272
8 403.4961 153.5039 1.301115
9 469.536 71.46399 0.605736
10 398.3448 -47.34484 -0.4013
11 343.4589 -12.45892 -0.105603
12 355.9913 -218.9913 -1.856193
13 412.3022 -127.3022 -1.079026
14 380.7878 -36.78785 -0.311818
15 333.1407 26.85931 0.227662
16 344.0937 37.90629 0.321298
Fire

Fire Sales UnemploymBank LoanSingle Uni Multi-Units

270 3.90 9.50 274 74
590 4.23 8.62 374 87
252 4.40 7.34 341 88
497 4.83 6.57 285 81
464 5.53 5.16 293 76
495 5.70 4.75 386 89
370 5.83 4.75 361 98
557 5.73 4.75 319 84
541 5.87 4.45 304 71
351 5.83 4.25 406 84
331 6.13 4.24 412 99
137 6.13 4.00 377 95
285 5.87 4.00 345 80
344 5.67 4.00 456 84
360 5.57 4.00 440 92
382 5.43 4.42 370 90