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Binomial Experiment
The trials are independent; that is, the outcome on one trial does not affect the outcome on other
trials.
Consider the following statistical experiment. You flip a coin 2 times and count the number of times the
coin lands on heads. This is a binomial experiment because:
The trials are independent; that is, getting heads on one trial does not affect whether we get
heads on other trials.
Notation
b(x; n, P): Binomial probability - the probability that an n-trial binomial experiment results
in exactly x successes, when the probability of success on an individual trial is P.
Binomial Distribution
A binomial random variable is the number of successes x in n repeated trials of a binomial experiment.
The probability distribution of a binomial random variable is called a binomial distribution.
Suppose we flip a coin two times and count the number of heads (successes). The binomial random
variable is the number of heads, which can take on values of 0, 1, or 2. The binomial distribution is
presented below.
0 0.25
1 0.50
2 0.25
The binomial probability refers to the probability that a binomial experiment results
in exactly xsuccesses. For example, in the above table, we see that the binomial probability of getting
exactly one head in two coin flips is 0.50.
Given x, n, and P, we can compute the binomial probability based on the binomial formula:
Binomial Formula. Suppose a binomial experiment consists of n trials and results in x successes. If the
probability of success on an individual trial is P, then the binomial probability is:
Example 1
Suppose a die is tossed 5 times. What is the probability of getting exactly 2 fours?
Solution: This is a binomial experiment in which the number of trials is equal to 5, the number of successes
is equal to 2, and the probability of success on a single trial is 1/6 or about 0.167. Therefore, the binomial
probability is:
Solution:
Here, n = 20, n - k = 5, k = 20 - 5 = 15
When we substitute these values in the formula for Binomial distribution we get,
= 0.0000034 (approximately)
Thus the required probability is 0.0000034 approximately.
Solution:
Sample question: “60% of people who purchase sports cars are men. If 10 sports car owners are
randomly selected, find the probability that exactly 7 are men.”
Step 1:: Identify ‘n’ and ‘X’ from the problem. Using our sample question, n (the number of randomly
selected items — in this case, sports car owners are randomly selected) is 10, and X (the number you
are asked to “find the probability” for) is 7.
Step 2: Figure out the first part of the formula, which is:
n! / (n – X)! X!
Step 3: Find “p” the probability of success and “q” the probability of failure. We are given p = 60%, or .6.
therefore, the probability of failure is 1 – .6 = .4 (40%).
Step 4: Work the next part of the formula.
pX
= .67
= .0.0279936
Set this number aside while you work the third part of the formula.
Step 5: Work the third part of the formula.
q(.4 – 7)
= .4(10-7)
= .43
= .0.064
Step 6: Multiply the three answers from steps 2, 4 and 5 together.
120 × 0.0279936 × 0.064 = 0.215.
1. A l l f i v e p e o p l e a r e s t i l l l i v i n g .
2. A t l e a s t t h r e e p e o p l e a r e s t i l l l i v i n g .
3. E x a c t l y t w o p e o p l e a r e s t i l l l i v i n g .
use?
the target exactly three times? What is the probability that he hits
returning the ball 10 times. Calculate the expected value and the
wear seat belts. In addition, it has been observed that the two
2. C a l c u l a t e t h e p r o b a b i l i t y t h a t a t l e a s t o n e o f t h e d r i v e r s
checked has committed at least one of the two offenses.
events?
1. N o n e o f t h e f i v e p a t i e n t s e x p e r i e n c e s i d e e f f e c t s .
3. W h a t i s t h e a v e r a g e n u m b e r o f p a t i e n t s t h a t t h e l a b o r a t o r y
should expect to experience side effects if they choose 100
patients at random?
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