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INTEGRANTES:

Mamani Catunta Luis Fernando


Choquechambi Condori Yerson Olmer

PROYECTO DE DISEÑO Y CONSTRUCCION DE UN PARQUE EOLICO


ORGANIZACIÓN Y GESTIÓN DE PROYECTOS Y OBRAS - PRÁCTICAS
Herramientas para la evaluación económica de proyectos
DATOS PRINCIPALES

CARACTERIZACIÓN DEL PARQUE EÓLICO


Modelo MADE Serie 800 AE 59
Nº Aerogeneradores 20.00
Potencia Unitaria (Kw) 800.00
Potencia Total del Parque (Kw) 16,000.00
Horas viento equivalentes (h) 2,470.00
Producción anual (kwh) 39,520,000.00
Precio de venta Kwh – Año 0 S/. 0.06
Aumento del precio de venta 1.40%
Gastos Operativos anuales S/. 320,000.00
Incremento costes anuales 2.00%

PERIODOS DE AMORTIZACIÓN
Amortización Obra Civil 20 años
Amortización Equipos 12 años
CCION DE UN PARQUE EOLICO
YECTOS Y OBRAS - PRÁCTICAS
n económica de proyectos
CIPALES

COSTES TOTALES
Coste aerogeneradores S/. 12,600,000.00
Instalación eléctrica S/. 1,150,000.00
Obra civil + Varios S/. 1,650,000.00
Inversión inicial S/. 15,400,000.00
Valor Residual S/. -

PRECIOS ÍNDICE (€/Kw instalado)


Coste aerogeneradores S/. 787.50
Instalación eléctrica S/. 71.88
Obra civil S/. 103.13
Precio Indice Instalación S/. 962.50
PROYECTO DE DISEÑO Y CONSTRUCCION DE UN PARQUE EOLICO
ORGANIZACIÓN Y GESTIÓN DE PROYECTOS Y OBRAS - PRÁCTICAS
Herramientas para la evaluación económica de proyectos
COSTES FINANCIEROS

NECESIDADES DE FINANCIACIÓN Se trata de un contrato privado a


negociar, y por tanto dependerá de
Inversión Total 100% S/. 15,400,000 nuestra posición de fuerza para
conseguir mejores condiciones.
Recurso Propios 25% S/. 3,850,000
Recursos Ajenos 75% S/. 11,550,000

CONDICIONES DEL PRÉSTAMO OTROS ASPECTOS


Principal S/. 11,550,000
Cuota anual
Duración (años) 10.00
Tipo interés (%) 4.55%
Comisión apertura 0.75% S/. 86,625 Estos costes se suman a los
Gastos Tramitación S/. 1,000.00 financieros del primer año

Comisión Cancelación Parcial 0.00%


Comisión cancelación total 0.00%

Amortización Modelo Italiano: la amoritización del principal es constante

CUADRO DE AMORTIZACIONES

Año Anualidad C. Intereses C. Amortización Cap. Vivo

0 S/. 11,550,000.00

1 S/. 1,680,525 S/. 525,525 S/. 1,155,000 S/. 10,395,000

2 S/. 1,627,973 S/. 472,973 S/. 1,155,000 S/. 9,240,000

3 S/. 1,575,420 S/. 420,420 S/. 1,155,000 S/. 8,085,000

4 S/. 1,522,868 S/. 367,868 S/. 1,155,000 S/. 6,930,000

5 S/. 1,470,315 S/. 315,315 S/. 1,155,000 S/. 5,775,000

6 S/. 1,417,763 S/. 262,763 S/. 1,155,000 S/. 4,620,000


7 S/. 1,365,210 S/. 210,210 S/. 1,155,000 S/. 3,465,000

8 S/. 1,312,658 S/. 157,658 S/. 1,155,000 S/. 2,310,000

9 S/. 1,260,105 S/. 105,105 S/. 1,155,000 S/. 1,155,000

10 S/. 1,207,553 S/. 52,553 S/. 1,155,000 S/. 0

Amortización (modelo italiano)


1800000

1600000

1400000

1200000
Anualidad Pagada

1000000

800000

600000

400000

200000

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Amortización (modelo italiano)
1800000

1600000

1400000

1200000
Anualidad Pagada

1000000

800000

600000

400000

200000

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Amortización Modelo Francés: la cuota pagada es constante en el tiempo

CUADRO DE AMORTIZACIONES
Año Anualidad C. Intereses C. Amortización Cap. Vivo
0 11,550,000.00 €

1 S/. 1,463,266 S/. 525,525 S/. 937,741 S/. 10,612,259

2 S/. 1,463,266 S/. 482,858 S/. 980,408 S/. 9,631,851

3 S/. 1,463,266 S/. 438,249 S/. 1,025,017 S/. 8,606,834

4 S/. 1,463,266 S/. 391,611 S/. 1,071,655 S/. 7,535,179

5 S/. 1,463,266 S/. 342,851 S/. 1,120,415 S/. 6,414,763

6 S/. 1,463,266 S/. 291,872 S/. 1,171,394 S/. 5,243,369

7 S/. 1,463,266 S/. 238,573 S/. 1,224,693 S/. 4,018,676

8 S/. 1,463,266 S/. 182,850 S/. 1,280,416 S/. 2,738,260

9 S/. 1,463,266 S/. 124,591 S/. 1,338,675 S/. 1,399,585

10 S/. 1,463,266 S/. 63,681 S/. 1,399,585 S/. 0

Amortización Modelo Francés

14000

12000
Amortización Modelo Francés

14000

12000

10000 Amortización
8000 Intereses

6000

4000

2000

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Periodos
UE EOLICO
ÁCTICAS
os

a de un contrato privado a
r, y por tanto dependerá de
posición de fuerza para
uir mejores condiciones.

pal es constante

Cap. Amortizado

S/. 1,155,000

S/. 2,310,000

S/. 3,465,000

S/. 4,620,000

S/. 5,775,000

S/. 6,930,000
S/. 8,085,000

S/. 9,240,000

S/. 10,395,000

S/. 11,550,000
nte en el tiempo

Cap. Amortizado

S/. 937,741

S/. 1,918,149

S/. 2,943,166

S/. 4,014,821

S/. 5,135,237

S/. 6,306,631

S/. 7,531,324

S/. 8,811,740

S/. 10,150,415

S/. 11,550,000
10
Año Inversion Producción Precio prima

Soles MWh c€/kWh


2010 S/. 15,400,000
2011 39520 6.28
2012 39520 6.37
2013 39520 6.46
2014 39520 6.55
2015 39520 6.64
2016 39520 6.73
2017 39520 6.83
2018 39520 6.92
2019 39520 7.02
2020 39520 7.12
2021 39520 7.22
2022 39520 7.32
2023 39520 7.42
2024 39520 7.52
2025 39520 7.63
2026 39520 7.74
2027 39520 7.85
2028 39520 7.96
2029 39520 8.07
2030 39520 8.18
Analisis del VAN en función del Int
Interes Inicial
Intervalos crecimiento

Caso 1
Caso 2
Caso 3
Caso 4
Caso 5
Caso 6
Caso 7
Caso 8
Caso 9
Caso 10
Caso 11
Caso 12
Caso 13
Caso 14
Caso 15
Caso 16
Caso 17
Caso 18
Caso 19
Caso 20
PROYECTO DE DISEÑO Y CONSTRUCCION DE UN
ORGANIZACIÓN Y GESTIÓN DE PROYECTOS Y OBR
Herramientas para la evaluación económica de
INDICADORES ECONÓMICOS

Cuenta de Resu

Gastos (inc. Gastos Margen Operativo


Ingresos Costes Financieros
generales) Bruto

Soles Soles Soles Soles

S/. 2,482,093 S/. 320,000 S/. 2,162,093 S/. 613,150


S/. 2,516,842 S/. 326,400 S/. 2,190,442 S/. 472,973
S/. 2,552,078 S/. 332,928 S/. 2,219,150 S/. 420,420
S/. 2,587,807 S/. 339,587 S/. 2,248,221 S/. 367,868
S/. 2,624,037 S/. 346,378 S/. 2,277,658 S/. 315,315
S/. 2,660,773 S/. 353,306 S/. 2,307,467 S/. 262,763
S/. 2,698,024 S/. 360,372 S/. 2,337,652 S/. 210,210
S/. 2,735,796 S/. 367,579 S/. 2,368,217 S/. 157,658
S/. 2,774,097 S/. 374,931 S/. 2,399,166 S/. 105,105
S/. 2,812,935 S/. 382,430 S/. 2,430,505 S/. 52,553
S/. 2,852,316 S/. 390,078 S/. 2,462,238
S/. 2,892,248 S/. 397,880 S/. 2,494,369
S/. 2,932,740 S/. 405,837 S/. 2,526,902
S/. 2,973,798 S/. 413,954 S/. 2,559,844
S/. 3,015,431 S/. 422,233 S/. 2,593,198
S/. 3,057,647 S/. 430,678 S/. 2,626,969
S/. 3,100,454 S/. 439,291 S/. 2,661,163
S/. 3,143,861 S/. 448,077 S/. 2,695,784
S/. 3,187,875 S/. 457,039 S/. 2,730,836
S/. 3,232,505 S/. 466,180 S/. 2,766,326
nalisis del VAN en función del Interés considerado
cial 0%
crecimiento 2% Variación de
Coste Capital VAN 25000000
0% S/. 19,942,122
2% S/. 13,368,900 20000000
4% S/. 8,395,298
6% S/. 4,577,525
15000000
8% S/. 1,605,848
10% S/. -738,535
12% S/. -2,612,031 10000000
14% S/. -4,127,754

VAN
16% S/. -5,368,438 5000000
18% S/. -6,395,275
20% S/. -7,254,010 0
22% S/. -7,979,208 0 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08
24% S/. -8,597,251
-5000000
26% S/. -9,128,476
28% S/. -9,588,711
30% S/. -9,990,391 -10000000
32% S/. -10,343,369
34% S/. -10,655,524 -15000000
36% S/. -10,933,203
38% S/. -11,181,565
CONSTRUCCION DE UN PARQUE EOLICO
ÓN DE PROYECTOS Y OBRAS - PRÁCTICAS
a evaluación económica de proyectos
ADORES ECONÓMICOS

Cuenta de Resultados

Amortización Equipos (12 Amortización Obra Beneficio antes de Cuota Impuestos


años) Civil (20 años) Impuestos (35%)

Soles Soles Soles Soles

S/. 1,145,833 S/. 82,500 S/. 320,610 S/. 112,213


S/. 1,145,833 S/. 82,500 S/. 489,137 S/. 171,198
S/. 1,145,833 S/. 82,500 S/. 570,397 S/. 199,639
S/. 1,145,833 S/. 82,500 S/. 652,020 S/. 228,207
S/. 1,145,833 S/. 82,500 S/. 734,010 S/. 256,903
S/. 1,145,833 S/. 82,500 S/. 816,371 S/. 285,730
S/. 1,145,833 S/. 82,500 S/. 899,109 S/. 314,688
S/. 1,145,833 S/. 82,500 S/. 982,226 S/. 343,779
S/. 1,145,833 S/. 82,500 S/. 1,065,728 S/. 373,005
S/. 1,145,833 S/. 82,500 S/. 1,149,619 S/. 402,367
S/. 1,145,833 S/. 82,500 S/. 1,233,904 S/. 431,867
S/. 1,145,833 S/. 82,500 S/. 1,266,035 S/. 443,112
S/. 82,500 S/. 2,444,402 S/. 855,541
S/. 82,500 S/. 2,477,344 S/. 867,070
S/. 82,500 S/. 2,510,698 S/. 878,744
S/. 82,500 S/. 2,544,469 S/. 890,564
S/. 82,500 S/. 2,578,663 S/. 902,532
S/. 82,500 S/. 2,613,284 S/. 914,649
S/. 82,500 S/. 2,648,336 S/. 926,918
S/. 82,500 S/. 2,683,826 S/. 939,339
Variación del VAN en función del coste del capital
0

0
0 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.1 0.12 0.14 0.16 0.18 0.2 0.22 0.24 0.26 0.28 0.3 0.32 0.34 0.36 0.38

0
Coste del Capital (%)
Beneficio neto Depreciación activos fijos Flujo Neto Caja
después impuestos

Soles Soles Soles


-15400000.00
S/. 208,396 S/. 1,228,333 S/. 1,436,730
S/. 317,939 S/. 1,228,333 S/. 1,546,272
S/. 370,758 S/. 1,228,333 S/. 1,599,091
S/. 423,813 S/. 1,228,333 S/. 1,652,146
S/. 477,106 S/. 1,228,333 S/. 1,705,440
S/. 530,641 S/. 1,228,333 S/. 1,758,975
S/. 584,421 S/. 1,228,333 S/. 1,812,754
S/. 638,447 S/. 1,228,333 S/. 1,866,780
S/. 692,723 S/. 1,228,333 S/. 1,921,057
S/. 747,253 S/. 1,228,333 S/. 1,975,586
S/. 802,038 S/. 1,228,333 S/. 2,030,371
S/. 822,923 S/. 1,228,333 S/. 2,051,256
S/. 1,588,862 S/. 82,500 S/. 1,671,362
S/. 1,610,274 S/. 82,500 S/. 1,692,774
S/. 1,631,954 S/. 82,500 S/. 1,714,454
S/. 1,653,905 S/. 82,500 S/. 1,736,405
S/. 1,676,131 S/. 82,500 S/. 1,758,631
S/. 1,698,634 S/. 82,500 S/. 1,781,134
S/. 1,721,418 S/. 82,500 S/. 1,803,918
S/. 1,744,487 S/. 82,500 S/. 1,826,987
TIR (%) 9.32%
Pay-Back 12 años
Interés para VAN 4.00%
VAN 8,395,298.12 €
0.34 0.36 0.38
FNC Actualizado (cálculo del Flujo Neto Caja Acumulado
VAN)

Soles Soles n
S/. -15,400,000 S/. -15,400,000 0
S/. 1,381,471 S/. -14,018,529 1
S/. 1,429,615 S/. -12,588,914 2
S/. 1,421,586 S/. -11,167,327 3
S/. 1,412,262 S/. -9,755,066 4
S/. 1,401,747 S/. -8,353,319 5
S/. 1,390,143 S/. -6,963,175 6
S/. 1,377,544 S/. -5,585,631 7
S/. 1,364,038 S/. -4,221,593 8
S/. 1,349,709 S/. -2,871,884 9
S/. 1,334,635 S/. -1,537,249 10
S/. 1,318,890 S/. -218,359 11
S/. 1,281,209 S/. 1,062,850 12
S/. 1,003,776 S/. 2,066,626 13
S/. 977,535 S/. 3,044,161 14
S/. 951,975 S/. 3,996,136 15
S/. 927,081 S/. 4,923,217 16
S/. 902,834 S/. 5,826,051 17
S/. 879,218 S/. 6,705,269 18
S/. 856,216 S/. 7,561,485 19
S/. 833,813 S/. 8,395,298 20
S/. 8,395,298

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