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pred Y = 2,44 + 1,04X

X Y X2 Y2 X.Y Y pred Err Err2 Err - Err Seb


1 3 1 9 3 3,48 -0.48
2 5 4 25 10 4,52 0,48 0,2704 -1
4 7 16 49 28 6,6 0.4 0,16
6 8 36 64 48 8,68 -0.68 0,4624
7 10 49 100 70 9,72 0.28 0,0784
jml
Err - Err seb2
SUMMARY OUTPUT
X Resid
Regression Statistics 1
Multiple R 0.979909
0.5

Residuals
R Square 0.960221
0
Adjusted R 0.946962
0 1 2
Standard E 0.622237 -0.5
Observatio 5 -1

ANOVA f hitung
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 28.03846 28.03846 72.41722 0.003408
Residual 3 1.161538 0.387179
Total 4 29.2

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept 2.446154 0.561872 4.353578 0.022389 0.658026 4.234281 0.658026 4.234281
X 1.038462 0.122031 8.509831 0.003408 0.650105 1.426818 0.650105 1.426818

RESIDUAL OUTPUT PROBABILITY OUTPUT

ObservationPredicted Y Residuals
Standard Residuals Percentile Y
1 3.484615 -0.48462 -0.89931 10 3
2 4.523077 0.476923 0.885037 30 5
3 6.6 0.4 0.742289 50 7
4 8.676923 -0.67692 -1.25618 70 8
5 9.715385 0.284615 0.528167 90 10
X Residual Plot
1
0.5
Residuals

0
0 1 2 3
Normal
4 5
Probability
6 7 8
Plot
-0.5
12
-1 10
8
6 X Column G
4
Y

2
0
10 30 50 70 90
Sample Percentile
x y x2 y2 x.y ypred err err2 err-errseb
1 3
2 5
4 7
6 8
7 10
(err-errseb)2
SUMMARY OUTPUT
x2 Resid
Regression Statistics 10
Multiple R 0.944798
5

Residuals
R Square 0.892643
0
Adjusted R 0.8497
40 45 5
Standard E 3.539572 -5
Observatio 8 -10

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 2 520.8571 260.4286 20.78677 0.003776
Residual 5 62.64286 12.52857
Total 7 583.5

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept -20.75 17.62842 -1.17708 0.292141 -66.0653 24.56529 -66.0653 24.56529
x2 1.857143 0.557108 3.333542 0.020698 0.425051 3.289234 0.425051 3.289234
x3 -1.57143 1.671324 -0.94023 0.390268 -5.8677 2.724846 -5.8677 2.724846

RESIDUAL OUTPUT PROBABILITY OUTPUT

ObservationPredicted y Residuals
Standard Residuals Percentile y
1 62.96429 -0.96429 -0.32234 6.25 52
2 51.53571 0.464286 0.155202 18.75 58
3 63.25 4.75 1.58784 31.25 58
4 72.53571 -0.53571 -0.17908 43.75 62
5 75.53571 2.464286 0.823767 56.25 68
6 57.39286 0.607143 0.202957 68.75 72
7 63.53571 -5.53571 -1.85049 81.25 74
8 75.25 -1.25 -0.41785 93.75 78
x2 Residual Plot
10
5
Residuals

0
40 45 50 55 60 65
-5
-10
x2
Normal Probability Plot
100
80
60
40
20 Column G
0
y

25 75 2 5 7 5 25 7 5 25 7 5
6 . 1 8 . 31 . 43 . 56 . 68 . 8 1 . 93 .

Sample Percentile
y pred = -20.75 + 1.857X1 + -1.571X2

x2 x3 y (x2)2 (x3)2 y2 x2.x3.y ypred


51 7 62 2601 49 3844 22134 62.96
44 6 52 1936 36 2704 13728 51.532
52 8 68 2704 64 4624 28288 63.246
57 8 72 3249 64 5184 32832 72.531
62 12 78 3844 144 6084 58032 75.532
48 7 58 2304 49 3364 19488 57.389
53 9 58 2809 81 3364 27666 63.532
61 11 74 3721 121 5476 49654 75.246

error =y pred-y sesungguhnya


err err2 err-errseb (err-errseb)2
-0.96 0.9216
0.468 0.219024 1.428 2.039184
4.754 22.60052 4.286 18.369796
-0.531 0.281961 -5.285 27.931225
2.468 6.091024 2.999 8.994001
0.611 0.373321 -1.857 3.448449
-5.532 30.60302 -6.143 37.736449
-1.246 1.552516 4.286 18.369796
61.72139 116.8889

dw hit = 1.8938152167
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics 12.3033143819 0.0812789114


Multiple R 0.9584993941
R Square 0.9187210886
Adjusted R Squar 0.8943374151
Standard Error 6.0600963074
Observations 14

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 3 4151.11589888 1383.70529963 37.6777146064 9.2713894E-06
Residual 10 367.247672552 36.7247672552
Total 13 4518.36357143

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%


Intercept 18.702059128 6.8453545704 2.732080411 0.021117865 3.4496587196
X1 0.3802802568 0.312130952 1.2183356197 0.251059562 -0.3151908412
X2 1.4185745412 0.7203775218 1.9692098912 0.0772457737 -0.1865265962
X3 0.5330586753 1.3998010967 0.3808102998 0.7113088164 -2.5858925199

RESIDUAL OUTPUT PROBABILITY OUTPUT

Observation Predicted Y Residuals Standard Residuals Percentile


1 61.5785620847 1.2214379153 0.2298071555 3.5714285714
2 65.7398509882 -0.7398509882 -0.1391990939 10.7142857143
3 62.1403938376 1.7596061624 0.3310606965 17.8571428571
4 66.6412727885 0.8587272115 0.1615650336 25
5 73.6729565034 -2.3729565034 -0.4464593552 32.1428571429
6 84.3000271202 -7.7000271202 -1.4487198305 39.2857142857
7 99.7936634309 -13.493663431 -2.5387622008 46.4285714286
8 93.172532438 2.527467562 0.4755298028 K788788 53.5714285714
9 92.1243251341 6.1756748659 1.1619209264 60.7142857143
10 99.2899982939 1.0100017061 0.1900265385 67.8571428571
11 96.7401298588 6.4598701412 1.2153907811 75
12 104.936823212 3.9631767879 0.7456509847 82.1428571429
13 110.715487079 -2.2154870795 -0.4168323067 89.2857142857
14 108.85397723 2.5460227699 0.4790208681 96.4285714286
X1 Residual Plot
10
5 X2 Residual Plot

Residuals
0 10
-5 40 50
5 60 70 X380Residual
90 Plot
100

Residuals
-10 0 10
-15 -5 15 520 25 X1
30 Line
35 Fit Plot
40

Residuals
-10 0 X1 150
-15 -5 3 4 5 6 7 X2
8 Line
9 F1
100
-10 X2 150
50 X3

Y
-15
100
0 X3 150
5050 60 70 80 90 1

Y
40
100
0 X1 150
50 25

Y
Upper 95% Lower 95,0% Upper 95,0% 15 20 30
100
33.9544595364 3.4496587196 33.9544595364 0 X2
3 4 50

Y
1.0757513548 -0.3151908412 1.0757513548 5
3.0236756787 -0.1865265962 3.0236756787 0
3.6520098704 -2.5858925199 3.6520098704 0

BABILITY OUTPUT

Y
62.8
63.9
65
67.5
71.3
76.6
86.3
95.7
98.3
100.3
103.2
108.5
108.9
111.4
lot
dual Plot
X1
0 Line
35 Fit Plot
40

6 7 X2
8 Line
9 Fit
10 Plot
11
Y
0
X3 Line Fit Plot
Predicted Y
0
X3 150 Y
0 60 70 80 90 100 Normal Probability Plot Predicted Y
100
0 X1 150 Y
50 25 Predicted Y
Y

15 20 30 35 40
100
0 X2
3 4 50
Y

5 6 7 8 9 10 11
0 X3
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Sample Percentile
YPRED = 18.70206 +

Y X1 X2 X3 Y2 (X1)2 (X2)2 (X3)2


1936 62.8 43.41 17.1 3.96 3943.84 1884.428 292.41 15.6816
1937 65 46.44 18.65 5.48 4225 2156.674 347.8225 30.0304
1938 63.9 44.35 17.09 4.37 4083.21 1966.923 292.0681 19.0969
1939 67.5 47.82 19.28 4.51 4556.25 2286.752 371.7184 20.3401
1940 71.3 51.02 23.24 4.88 5083.69 2603.04 540.0976 23.8144
1941 76.6 58.71 28.11 6.37 5867.56 3446.864 790.1721 40.5769
1945 86.3 87.69 30.29 8.96 7447.69 7689.536 917.4841 80.2816
1946 95.7 76.73 28.26 9.76 9158.49 5887.493 798.6276 95.2576
1947 98.3 75.91 27.91 9.31 9662.89 5762.328 778.9681 86.6761
1948 100.3 77.62 32.3 9.85 10060.09 6024.864 1043.29 97.0225
1949 103.2 78.01 31.39 7.21 10650.24 6085.56 985.3321 51.9841
1950 108.9 83.57 35.61 7.39 11859.21 6983.945 1268.072 54.6121
1951 108.5 90.59 37.58 7.98 11772.25 8206.548 1412.256 63.6804
1952 111.4 95.47 35.17 7.42 12409.96 9114.521 1236.929 55.0564
JML 70099.48 11075.25 734.1111
dw= 1.298159
0.3802802568 + 1.418575 + 0.5330586753

Y*X1*X2*X3 YPRED err err2 err-errseb (err-errseb)2


184603.837968 61.57856 1.221438 1.491911 0 0
308506.9572 65.73985 -0.73985 0.547379 -1.9612889035 3.8466541628
211649.8582845 62.14039 1.759606 3.096214 2.4994571506 6.2472860477
280670.59548 66.64127 0.858727 0.737412 -0.9008789509 0.8115828842
412558.8709312 73.67296 -2.37296 5.630923 -3.2316837149 10.4437796332
805269.2731902 84.30003 -7.70003 59.29042 -5.3270706168 28.377681356
2053847.2875648 99.79366 -13.4937 182.079 -5.7936363108 33.5662217014
2025345.4616736 93.17253 2.527468 6.388092 16.0211309929 256.676638293
1938929.5376213 92.12433 6.175675 38.13896 3.6482073039 13.3094165321
2476927.66733 99.29 1.010002 1.020103 -5.1656731598 26.6841791941
1822034.3304408 96.74013 6.45987 41.72992 5.4498684352 29.7010659605
2394940.3110567 104.9368 3.963177 15.70677 -2.4966933534 6.2334777007
2947607.581926 110.7155 -2.21549 4.908383 -6.1786638674 38.1758871857
2775417.9131812 108.854 2.546023 6.482232 4.7615098494 22.671976046
20638309.4838483 1219.7 6.39E-14 367.2477 1.3245848546 476.745846697

2.25
3.18

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