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THE ECONOMIC TIMES SHOULD YOU BUY
OR HIRE A CAR?
P12
www.etwealth.co | Ahmedabad, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Mumbai, New Delhi, Pune | September 23-29, 2019 | 28 pages | `8
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HOW
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LONG IS
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LONG TERM?
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HOW LONG IS
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LONG TERM? Don’t look at equity investments as short-term gambits. For equities to
be rewarding, one needs to remain invested for at least 7-10 years.
By Narendra Nathan class over the long term. The question is, schemes (AUM of more than `1,000 crore) panicking though,” says Santhosh Joseph,
how long is long-term? For tax purposes, generating negative returns even after Founder & Managing Partner, Germinate
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he cut in corporate tax rate holding equity and equity funds for a pe- three years (see table), investors are won- Wealth Solutions. The continued faith
triggered the biggest one-day riod of one year is long-term—too short a dering what exactly does long term mean. of retail investors becomes apparent
rise in the Sensex on Friday. time frame for a volatile asset class. Till a when one studies the collection figures of
Investors who were thinking of few years ago, most investors considered Wait and watch mutual funds. SIP investments in equity
exiting must now be reviewing three years as long term and expected The choppy markets have got investors funds remain strong (see chart). But ex-
their plans. However, this one-day rally good returns from their equity invest- concerned, but there is no widespread perts are worried about the incremental
should not be the reason to stay invested in ments in that time. However, the recent panic yet. “Most investors are waiting for flow. “Investors are continuing with their
equities. It is well known that equities gen- correction has torpedoed these dreams. a recovery. With 2-3 year returns turning SIPs, but the incremental money is getting
erate better returns than any other asset With SIPs in several large-sized equity negative, a small number of investors are invested somewhere else,” says Gajendra
cover story
The Economic Times Wealth September 23-29, 2019 03
3-year SIPs in some big equity funds Kothari, MD & CEO, Etica Wealth
Advisors. This means investors
on the risk profile of the investor,
only for 10-year goals. Equity al-
have given low or negative returns are not topping their equity in-
vestments even after significant
location is usually restricted to
50% for goals that fall between 7
price cuts. No one is in a hurry to and 10 years,” says Melvin Joseph,
LARGE-CAP start new SIPs either. While the Founder, Finvin Financial
SCHEME NAME AUM (` CR) 3-YEAR SIP RETURNS (%) possibility of investors stopping Planners. Please note the years
their SIPs altogether if the market mentioned above is the goal pe-
Franklin India Bluechip Fund 6,577 0.16 slides further is high, it would not riod and not actual equity holding
be the right thing to do. “You start- period, which will be slightly less
DSP Top 100 Equity Fund 2,317 2.37 CAT ed an SIP to benefit from volatile because investors should shift
AVG
Aditya Birla SL Frontline Equity Fund 20,094 2.70 RETURN markets. So don’t stop your SIPs from equity to debt as the goal ap-
because the markets are volatile,” proaches.
JM Large Cap Fund 2,482 3.58 4.05% says Suresh Sadagopan, Founder,
Reliance Large Cap Fund 11,819 3.87
Ladder7 Financial Advisories. Consider the present
While a theoretical definition of
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MID-CAP Redefining long term long term is fine, investors should
Let us continue with the original also consider the present situa-
Aditya Birla SL Midcap Fund 2,174 -5.57
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debate. Since equity is expected tion. In other words, while there
to outperform debt over a 5-year is no fixed definition for long
Sundaram Mid Cap Fund 5,420 -5.16 CAT horizon, increasing the definition term—the time fter which one can
AVG
SBI Magnum Midcap Fund 3,290 -5.16 RETURN of long term to 5 years seems a get guaranteed high returns from
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logical move. However, chart top- equities—investors can generate
UTI Mid Cap Fund 3,422 -4.47 -2.27% ping returns on 5-year holdings decent returns if they manage
have been delivered by long dura- their equity portfolio according to
L&T Midcap Fund 4,905 -2.79
tion gilt and debt funds (see chart). market situations. “To make mon-
was the first equity mutual fund situations. For example, we can
Kotak Small Cap Fund 1,144 -3.39 -4.52% in India (see chart). Similarly, in- reduce the long term definition
vesting in SIPs continuously for 5 from 7 to 5 years now because
HDFC Small Cap Fund 8,209 -0.97
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years does not guarantee positive the correction phase has already
MULTI-CAP returns. Five-year SIPs in Sensex completed 21 months from the
have also generated negative re- January 2018 peak. This correc-
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Franklin India Equity Fund 10,317 -0.01 turns in the past (see chart). tion won’t be apparent if you have
From a pure asset allocation been tracking only benchmark
L&T Equity Fund 2,561 1.04 CAT
perspective, long-term should be indices like Sensex and Nifty. The
AVG
IDFC Multi Cap Fund 5,186 1.04 defined as 7-10 years because that correction at the broader market
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RETURN
matches the Indian equity market level has been steep. “Sensex
Reliance Multi Cap Fund 9,403 1.77 3.65% cycle. For example, several stock and Nifty are driven by just 5-10
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market peaks—1992, 2000, 2008 stocks. But with 65% of the stocks
Aditya Birla SL Equity Fund 10,653 2.21
and 2018—have happened at these falling by more than 50%, the
ELSS intervals. “I recommend aggres- broader market saw a steep cor-
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7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000 3,497
3,000
Aug 2016 Aug 2017 Aug 2018 Aug 2019
Source: AMFI
cover story
04 The Economic Times Wealth September 23-29, 2019
On a point to point basis, debt funds have beaten equities over 5-year horizons
Category average returns (CAGR in %) 1-year 3-year 5-year 10-year
20.31
18.85
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GILT DEBT EQUITY DEBT EQUITY EQUITY DEBT EQUITY DEBT EQUITY
with 10 year Long Mid-cap Dynamic Large & Small-cap Medium to Multi-cap Floater ELSS
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duration duration bond mid-cap long duration
-4.14
-5.30 -5.08
-9.16
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Data as on Sep 16 | Sorted on the basis of 5 year returns | Source: Value Research
-12.35
Correction is good
Investors have several positive factors to
look forward to now and a negative return
is one of them. “Markets after a large fall
Holding for 5 years is no guarantee of positive returns
50
UTI Mastershare 5-year rolling returns (% CAGR)
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are always better than markets at a peak. 2 Nov 2007
40
When it moves up, you will get higher re-
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bad news. However, long-term investors
have to consider all corrections, triggered
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gold like the plague two years ago but are
chasing them now. “People should chase their
financial goals and not absolute returns,” says
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Suresh Sadagopan, Founder, Ladder7 Financial
Advisories. The overall change happening
in society is the next reason. “Just like we
do everything in an instant now, we expect
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Historical investment returns also to come in a short time,”
says Santhosh Joseph, Founder & Managing
< 0% 0 to 10% 10 to 20% >20% Partner, Germinate Wealth Solutions.
EQUITY MULTI
YEAR GILT FUNDS GOLD ETFS LIQUID FUNDS
CAP FUNDS
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2010 21.02 4.78 21.68 5.45 ried away by returns from gold and debt. changed in 2009 and equity gained 85% and
However, chasing historical returns is a debt lost 7%. Sell the asset class that has
-23.92 6.45 30.76 7.37
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2011 bad idea for any asset class. The rise in long generated very high returns and shift to
duration debt funds is because of falling one that has underperformed.
2012 34.14 10.94 10.93 9.60 yield. Since the chance of a big fall in yield The benefit of such a strategy is that it
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from current levels is remote, 20% returns will help you control greed and fear. “Since
2013 5.72 3.36 -14.11 9.21 from debt are unlikely in future. these shifts are tax incidents, rebalancing
should be done only at decent intervals
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2014 52.02 16.97 0.83 9.04 Time it automatically like annually or during life events like job
While timing based on fundamentals and change, addition of a new member in the
2015 2.03 6.17 -8.02 8.26
market sentiments are the way to go, it may family, etc,” says Amol Joshi, Founder,
2016 3.76 15.50 10.54 7.48 not be possible for most investors to do so. PlanRupee Investment Services. Another
This is because investors, who eagerly wait way is to fix bands and rebalance it when it
2017 36.74 2.58 2.90 6.53 for corrections, usually don’t invest when crosses the bands. For instance, if equity
the correction actually happens. They tend allocation is fixed at 50%, rebalance it only
2018 -6.58 6.73 6.65 6.82 to panic when the noise turns negative when it crosses 60% or 40%.
during bear markets. Rule-based dynamic
2019 -1.67 9.00 22.31 4.82 asset allocation funds work best for them. Book regular profits
“Dynamic asset allocation funds will be Finally, long-term investing doesn’t mean
2019 value is y-t-d (absolute and not annualised) | Note: Only MFs that completed 12 years considered for
calculating category average return | Source: ACE MF; Compiled by ETIG Database useful for investors who are not so famil- that you can leave your portfolio un-
iar. The valuation based shifting between touched for decades. In addition to regular
in global crude oil prices (see page 8). ket correction is still continuing, bringing equity and debt is automatic,” says Rego. reviews and rebalancing as part of asset al-
their valuation below the large-cap peers. Having a pre-determined asset alloca- location mentioned above, equity investors
Valuations getting reasonable “We shifted from mid-caps to large-caps in tion ratio and rebalancing it at regular also have to do tax-based churning now.
The fall in valuation is another reason 2018 and are slowly moving back to mid and intervals is the next option. Asset classes Since the long-term capital gain is tax-free
why experts believe that it is a good time small-caps now,” says Rego. don’t move together and the loss in one only up to `1 lakh per annum, investors
to enter the market. You need to consider Investors could wonder why the defini- category will be balanced out by another need to keep booking that regularly. To
stocks from the broader market and not tion of long-term is being kept at 5 and not category. Long duration gilt and debt funds make sure your asset allocation doesn’t
just a handful of stocks that are quoting at 3 years when factors are becoming favour- have generated annual returns of 18.85% change, shift from one equity or balanced
obscene valuations. “Barring a few stocks, able. “The cut and the recovery were sharp and 20.31% during the past one year (see fund to another equally good equity or bal-
the broader market is valued reasonably in 2009, but fall is slow this time and recov- chart). Similarly, gold has generated an anced fund. This way you can keep booking
now and investors could make reasonable ery is also taking time,” says Kothari. absolute return of 22.31% on year to date profit and maintain the desired allocation.
returns if they buy now and hold patiently (see table). This kind of differential per-
for 5 plus years,” says Naren. Don’t overestimate debt, gold formances took place several times in the
While the benchmark indices are being Just as people got carried away by equity past. For instance, equities lost 53% in Please send your feedback to
etwealth@timesgroup.com
propped up by 5-10 stocks, the broader mar- returns in 2017, they are now getting car- 2008, while debt gained by 23%. The scale
guest column
06 The Economic Times Wealth September 23-29, 2019
T
he ferocity with which the stock
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markets have risen in response
to the corporate tax cuts is un-
DHIRENDR A KUMAR
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CEO, VALUE RESE ARCH precedented. Whether these tax
cuts have the desired impact on
the economy remains to be seen, but those
money investors who had given up on the markets
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mysteries and moved out have surely been caught out
badly. This shows that equity sentiment
can turn very sharply, rapidly and trying
to keep up with it is a fool’s errand. There
playing their
folios in its DHFL-exposed schemes. After
the default by Altico Capital, exposed
schemes of UTI and Reliance MF activated
the side-pocketing provision. But not many
fund houses are keen to invoke this provi-
cards right?
sion. Experts say this is due to prickly
conditions imposed by the regulator. One
requires the fund house to provide a 30-day
exit window for existing investors, given
that segregation in portfolio is deemed as
a change in fundamental attributes of the
scheme. Fund companies fear mass flight
Existing investors have taken a hit
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of assets when market sentiments are al-
with debt funds failing to protect ready weak. Another provision requires
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performance incentives of associated fund
their interests after credit events. managers to be curtailed. This has put off
fund houses from opting for side-pocketing.
GETTY IMAGES
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Light at the end of the tunnel
After a period of uncertainty, debt funds
that witnessed rating downgrades or
defaults in their holdings are seeing dues
A
year since the IL&FS blowout, to recover dues. For bonds maturing after The wide divergence in the actions of total dues. DSP Mutual Fund got back its
multiple defaults and credit rat- September, the fund house will wait it out. debt funds has been jarring. “There has dues of `150 crore from DHFL, resulting in
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ing downgrades have wiped out After DHFL defaulted on interest pay- been no structure to the actions, leaving a “complete recovery” for commercial pa-
a chunk of returns of multiple ments in June, fund houses marked down investors confused,” says Bala. Even the pers held in various schemes. These funds
debt funds. Some of these funds the value of the bad assets, as per law. This extent of mark-downs in case of the same had earlier marked down the value of these
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have started getting back their dues, result- affected existing investors in exposed borrower has varied. Says Azeez, “Funds securities, resulting in a drop in NAV. With
ing in recovery of net asset value (NAV). schemes. But it also opened doors for bar- have not been on the same page in dealing dues recovered, NAVs are also inching up.
But the response of the fund houses to these gain hunters waiting to take advantage of with the issue. Lack of unanimity in deci- Fund houses have been caught on the
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episodes has been varied. Have debt funds the lower NAVs. Fresh investors got the sion left investors with little clarity.” wrong foot too often. High dependence on
played their cards right? Or have they been opportunity to take part in any subsequent external credit ratings and lack of in-house
toying with the interest of investors? recovery in NAV, diluting the benefit for Ignoring the trump card research have left debt funds scrambling.
Two prominent credit episodes were the existing investors. “Some fund houses put Amidst all this, the new side-pocketing pro- Having burnt their fingers, fund houses
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defaults by DHFL and Essel (Zee) Group. In existing investors’ assets at risk of dilu- vision—designed to protect existing inves- are becoming more conscious of risks. “It
both cases, affected debt funds took differ- tion, and inadvertently encouraged short- tors—has largely been ignored. Barring a has been a learning experience for fund
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ent paths to cope. The mid-April default in termism,” says Vidya Bala, Co-founder, few, none of the fund houses activated this managers,” points out Bala. “Many fund
Essel left fixed maturity plans (FMP) from Redwood Research. mechanism. It involves splitting the debt houses are now introducing internal alert
Kotak and HDFC Mutual Funds exposed. To prevent any dilution, some fund hous- fund into two— a new fund containing the mechanisms for credit deterioration, en-
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Kotak gave back unit holders partial mon- es restricted fresh inflows into schemes rotten eggs and the existing fund compris- suring better portfolio liquidity and shun-
ey on maturity of these schemes, with the holding troubled assets. Others imposed ing the cleaner portfolio. Since this cleaner ning concentrated exposure.” More credit
promise of repaying the remaining amount high exit loads on incoming investors, to fund is not plagued by the troubled asset, it events cannot be ruled out in future. How
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upon recovery of dues from Essel group. deter speculation. However, these meas- is protected from large-scale redemptions. debt funds respond to them will show how
HDFC MF gave unit holders the option to ures couldn’t prevent value erosion for Investors who hold on to units of the origi- much the funds have really learnt from
roll over or extend the maturity by another existing investors. Feroze Azeez, Deputy nal scheme do not have to worry about their this experience. Fund houses are now con-
year or redeem partially upon maturity. CEO, Anand Rathi Wealth Management, quality, liquid assets being sold off or NAV sidering giving Essel more time to repay
It later turned out that the funds had says, “Investors who stayed back got short- declining further. Those who redeem can remaining dues, despite the regulator’s
entered into a standstill agreement with changed. As the good quality assets got sold be assured of realising fair value for the objections to such standstill pacts.
Essel, where they agreed not to sell the off, the portfolio was left saddled with more cleaner fund. In the event of any recovery
pledged shares and give promoters time till bad assets as a proportion of the scheme’s in the side-pocket, investors can later sell
Please send your feedback to
September to clear dues. HDFC MF even- corpus.” In many debt funds, the rotten their allotted units at fair value. This ben- etwealth@timesgroup.com
tually decided to buy the stressed bonds apples took up more than 25-30% of the efit is only available for investors who held
Some debt funds continue to feel the pinch Few funds have started recovering dues
Exposure to defaulting and downgraded companies have affected returns. After a period of uncertainty, debt funds have recouped some of the dues.
BOI AXA Tata PGIM PGIM Ultra BOI AXA Motilal Sundaram Edelweeiss Invesco UTI
Credit Corporate Short Term Short Short Term Oswal Ultra Short Term Corporate India Credit Credit AMOUNT TOTAL
Risk Bond Maturity Term Income Short Term Credit Risk Bond Risk Risk RECOVERED AMOUNT
AMC ISSUER (` CR) DUE (` CR) % RECOVERED
Brace for
fallout of the
Saudi strikes
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India imports more than 80% of its oil
oil.
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The tension in the Middle East will push
up the country’s oil bill.
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IMAGES: GETTYIMAGES
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by Sanket Dhanorkar Prices to soar US strategic oil reserves and other OPEC ally US and Iran, which is blamed for the
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Global crude oil prices had been benign for (Organisation of Petroleum Exporting attack. If this pans out, oil supplies will take
A
major drone attack on two Saudi the past few weeks, weighed down by sur- Countries) economies stepping in to raise a hit. “Any further escalation in geopoliti-
Arabian oil facilities last week plus inventory in the face of weak demand. production would alleviate the supply con- cal tensions may add to global oil supply
spooked markets across the But the production halt in one of the world’s ditions to some extent. woes given the lack of buffer in Saudi’s
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globe. The attack set off huge major oil producing nations is likely to send Even if supplies resume partially, the significant spare production capacity,”
fires that disrupted over half crude prices soaring in the near term. The threat of further attacks will keep oil prices say analysts Tarun Lakhotia and Hemang
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of the kingdom’s oil supply. It became the attacks have impacted around 5.7 million artificially higher going ahead. “The con- Khanna of Kotak Securities. “With the
single biggest oil supply disruption in his- barrels per day of crude production—trans- cern that important Saudi oil facilities are US accusing the Iranian government of
tory, topping the production hit caused by lating into a significant 6% hit on global oil now vulnerable to attacks would increase orchestrating the attack and Iran in turn
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the Iranian Revolution in 1979 and Iraq’s supplies. The country’s surplus capacity of the geopolitical risk premium on oil pric- threatening war, further destabilising
invasion of Kuwait in 1990. With oil supplies around 2 million bpd has also been affected es,” argues Sabri Hazarika, research ana- the region at large and impacting future
taking a hit and tensions escalating in the significantly. It will take a few weeks to lyst at Emkay Global Financial Services. supplies, oil prices are expected to remain
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region, repercussions are going to be felt in get the facilities operational and restore The unprecedented attack also raises the firm,” says Pritam Kumar Patnaik, Head,
India too. production. It is hoped that activation of spectre of a full-blown war between Saudi Commodities, Reliance Commodities.
Attacks on the Saudi oil facilities have topped the biggest oil disruptions in history
The production halt in one of the world’s major oil producing nations is likely to send crude prices soaring in the near term.
EVENT AND YEAR
High crude prices will push up oil bill... crude oil to India.
The immediate impact of the Saudi
spillover effect of rising oil price on the ru-
pee may also push local gold prices further
Threat of further attacks will keep oil prices artificially higher going ahead. attack would be downward pressure on north. Gold prices have been on the uptick
100 Indian equities. Historically, crude oil for a while now, as tensions over the US-
prices have had a negative correlation with China trade war, spread of negative bond
61.17
69.14 domestic equities. Investor sentiment is yields and slowing growth have turned
80
already fragile over the crippling slowdown investors risk averse.
in the economy. A spurt in oil imports will
60 create fiscal imbalances and weigh heavily Debt
on the local currency. Increased risk aver- The likely spike in oil prices has nega-
40 sion and weaker rupee will make foreign tive implications for the bond markets as
portfolio investors wary, keeping flows well. Bond markets have been buoyant
into domestic equities muted in the near in anticipation of RBI cutting rates in the
20
term. The extent of impact will depend on near future on the back of benign inflation
how long oil prices remain elevated. HDFC and slowing growth. However, rising oil
0 Brent crude ($ per barrel) Securities in a note points out that it should prices are likely to upset the fiscal math
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17 Jun 2019 17 Sep 2019 not be taken as a trend that will persist over and possibly create inflationary pressures
several months. “Further action on crude in the economy. This may prevent the RBI
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prices will be a function of how quickly the from cutting rates immediately or to the
... and uncertainty will be good for gold... full capacity is restored and how coordi- extent anticipated, which will affect bond
Escalation in tension in the Middle East will keep demand for gold high. nated the global effort is to release strategic prices and keep yields elevated. “While a
reserves,” the note says. rate cut was widely expected by the RBI at
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41000 Spot gold price (` per 10 gram)
38,400 The spike in crude oil prices, even if tem- their next meeting in early October, crude
porary, will be negative for downstream oil now throws a bit of a monkey wrench into
39000 marketing companies (OMC) like HPCL, that calculus,” says Sunil Sharma, Chief
BPCL and IOC. “We do not rule out a possi- Investment Officer, Sanctum Wealth
37000
35000 33,450
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bility of moderation in marketing margins
on auto fuels—a $10/bbl rise in global crude
and product prices may require OMCs to
increase retail price of diesel and gasoline
Management. The yield on 10-year govern-
ment bond inched up to 6.75% initially and
is now hovering around 6.7%. With rise in
bond yields, experts caution against bet-
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by `5-6 per litre in the following fortnight,” ting heavily on longer duration strategy.
33000 say Kotak Securities analysts. Sharma indicates that a diversified portfo-
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air turbine fuel price while paint and bat- Please send your feedback to
RBI may not cut rates immediately, leading to yields remaining elevated. tery makers may see input costs rise. On etwealth@timesgroup.com
10 the other hand, higher crude prices may be
6.93 positive for upstream PSUs such as ONGC,
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6.72
8 Oil India and GAIL. These will see higher
realisations on every litre of crude oil they
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4
Gold
2 The attack on Saudi oil assets is likely to
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T
he capital goods sector has ance for some of these players expects 10-
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Capital Goods index and the Sensex. capital goods sector. The volumes of the
The BSE Capital Goods has underper- segment are growing in double digits for
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formed the Sensex by 2.9% in the past the past two years and the ongoing elec-
one year, by 12.4% in past three years trification programme and T&D capex
and by 20.5% in past five years. (Central & State) along with growth in
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The reasons for this underper- infrastructure and metros will continue
GETTYIMAGES
formance include lack of demand for to fuel growth for the EEI. On the other
the large scale equipment, increase hand, a report by ICICI Direct expects
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in stalled or abandoned projects that that there will be a pick-up in order in-
were in implementation, very few new flows in the capital goods sector from the
projects, and weak capex cycle of both third quarter onwards. Increased order
government and the private sector. In inflows will be due to the expected strong- KEC INTERNATIONAL POTENTIAL
addition, weak consumption activity er tendering pipeline across infrastruc-
in the economy and liquidity pressures ture, T&D and power segments. Also, the UPSIDE
10-year Current 1-yr target
have also negatively affected the pros-
pects of the sector.
revenue and profitability growth of the
established players are expected to re-
Current PE
11.4
average PE
23.8
price (`)
250
price (`)
354
41.8%
The capital goods sector play a signifi- main steady for 2019-20 due to the strong
cant role in employment generation and present order backlog.
AN INFRASTRUCTURE EPC player ANALYSTS’ RECOMMENDATIONS
economic growth. Due to the reluctance Even after the recent bounceback, with a presence across the power
of the private sector, government capex some capital good players are available at transmission and distribution, BUY 27 HOLD 2 SELL 1
is necessary to kickstart the investment compelling valuations in terms of their railways, smart infrastructure,
activity. Such government expenditure PE multiples. We have selected seven cables and solar segments. Its
fell 28% in the first quarter of 2019-20. companies whose PE multiples, based on strong diversified order book across
KEC INTERNATIONAL BSE CAPITAL GOODS
However, recent data on the government their future 12-month blended forward segments and geographies, steady
capex has ignited hope for the revival of earnings, are at a reasonable discount operating performance, better BSE SENSEX
the capital goods sector. relative to their past five-year and 10-year execution capacity and growth 97
According to a report by SBI Cap historical averages. These seven com- recovery in T&D segment are 100
Securities, the capital expenditure panies reported an year-on-year growth key growth catalysts. Moreover, 18 Sept 2018
of the government has significantly of 11% in aggregate consolidated sales orders from the railways for track
picked up in the month of July 2019 and and 25% growth in operating profits in laying, signalling, OHE and station
stood at approximately `45,000 crore. the June 2019 quarter. Comparatively, building are likely to see traction
This translates into a year-on-year the BSE Capital Goods index aggregate in 2019-20. Also, the government’s
growth rate of 83%, bolstered mainly sales and operating profit grew at -1.7% long term capex targets will help the 92
by a pickup in road and defence sectors. and -9.3% respectively during the same company to improve its sales and
margins going forward. 82
The report also highlights the strong period. Let us look at the inancial of these
order books of some players which will seven companies in detail: 17 Sept 2019
stocks
The Economic Times Wealth September 23-29, 2019 11
Current
19.8
1-yr target
16.6%
Current 1-yr target RECOMMENDATIONS 97
100 BSE SENSEX price (`) price (`)
price (`) price (`) 18 Sept 2018
BUY 8 HOLD 2 108 126
1,314 1,661
ANALYSTS’ RECOMMENDATIONS
ANALYSTS’ RECOMMENDATIONS 92
BUY 35 HOLD 2 SELL 2 BUY 22 HOLD 1 SELL 2
SELL 0
67
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17 Sept 2019
A MANUFACTURER OF electrical and telecommunication cables, BHARAT ELECTRONICS BSE CAPITAL GOODS
LARSEN & TOUBRO BSE CAPITAL GOODS lighting products, electrical accessories, switchgear, fans and water
BSE SENSEX
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BSE SENSEX heaters, Finolex Cables is in a sweet spot. A report by Firstcall 124
Research says its electrical cables segment is likely to get a boost
from the government’s rural and infrastructure push. On the other 100
97 18 Sept 2018
100 hand, government’s focus on Digital India and its ambitious Bharat
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18 Sept 2018 Net initiative will improve the prospects of the communication
cables segment. 97
98 KEI INDUSTRIES
Current 10-year Current
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1-yr target
POTENTIAL
UPSIDE
92
18.2%
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92 PE average PE price (`) price (`)
17 Sept 2019
17 Sept 2019 15.8 43.3 467 552
A NAVRATNA PSU, it is engaged in the design,
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A CONGLOMERATE WITH a presence in over ANALYSTS’ KEI INDUSTRIES BSE CAPITAL GOODS manufacture and supply of electronics products
RECOMMENDATIONS & systems for the defense requirements.
30 countries, it addresses critical needs BSE SENSEX 119
of key sectors, including infrastructure, Operational excellence, superior R&D, improved
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construction, defence, hydrocarbons, heavy BUY 12 HOLD 0 100 order execution, higher cash flows, and better
18 Sept 2018
engineering, power and shipbuilding among 97 working capital management are the key
others. JP Morgan is bullish on the stock due positives for the company. In addition, the focus
.m
and EBITDA margins. The profitability is likely range of cabling solutions. AnandRathi is bullish on the company
to improve due to the sale proceeds from real due to its leading position in institutional cables, strong earnings beneficiary of the government’s reforms in the
estate monetisation (e.g. Hyderabad metro real growth and improved balance sheet. Strong order book of Rs 4,530 defence sector and its healthy order book provide
strong revenue visibility going forward.
tp
estate). Even in a tough macro environment, crore offers robust revenue assurance in 2019-20. The brokerage
L&T has won a larger share in the limited big house expects that the cables segment mix of EHV cables, retail and
order opportunities. Sebi’s nod to the share exports will aid margin expansion in the future and its ability to Current PE is based on future 12-month blended forward earnings.
ht
BEML POTENTIAL
KALPATARU POWER TRANSMISSION POTENTIAL
UPSIDE UPSIDE
10-year Current 1-yr target 10-year Current 1-yr target
Current PE
22.7
average PE
54.5
price (`)
814
price (`)
1,107
35.9%
Current PE
13.6
average PE
29.2
price (`)
453
price (`)
548
21.1%
THIS MINIRATNA CATEGORY-1 PSU has ANALYSTS’ RECOMMENDATIONS A DIVERSIFIED CONGLOMERATE, ANALYSTS’ RECOMMENDATIONS
three major business verticals: mining & Kalpataru is engaged in the
BUY 4 HOLD 0 SELL 0 BUY 17 HOLD 1 SELL 1
construction, defence and rail and metro. global power transmission and
According to a report by Antique Stock infrastructure EPC space. ICICI
Broking, the metro rail projects will con- Direct believes that the strong order
tinue to provide large scale opportunities BEML BSE CAPITAL GOODS BSE SENSEX book with good traction in non- KALPATARU POWER TRANSMISSION
to the company as both the Centre and T&D business (railways, pipeline),
BSE CAPITAL GOODS BSE SENSEX
the states have stepped up their efforts improved subsidiary performance 139
towards increasing the metro network 100 and operating leverage gains
18 Sept 2018 106
not just in big cities but also in tier II and are likely to support consistent 100
tier III cities. In addition, BEML’s mining growth. Moreover, diversification 18 Sept 2018
and construction business is expected to in international T&D markets
remain steady given robust Coal India would provide good opportunities. 97
capex outlook for 2019-20. The company The returns ratios are expected to
expects to drive margin expansion 92 improve because of the company’s
through operating leverage, cost cutting strategy to monetise non-core
97 92
measures and other operational excel- assets and sales proceeds from the
lence initiatives. 17 Sept 2019 transmission assets. 17 Sept 2019
learn & keep
12 The Economic Times Wealth September 23-29, 2019
Without surge and ` 1 lakh Without surge and `6.3 lakh With surge, ` 1.5 lakh With surge, ` 3.7 lakh
without chauffeur with chauffeur without chauffeur with chauffeur
in 3 years, if you in 3 years, if you in 3 years, if you in 3 years, if you
YOU SAVE HIRE YOU SAVE HIRE YOU SAVE OWN YOU SAVE HIRE
a car a car a car a car
ET WEALTH Personal satisfaction Ease of taking trips Instant access Safer for women
If you own The sheer pleasure of Dealing with an emergency or taking You have a car at your disposal at all Given the cases of misconduct
ANALYSIS a car... buying and driving one's driving vacations are much easier to times, without the hassle of booking, by cab drivers, it’s safer for
Hiring an Uber is cheaper own car is incomparable. deal with if you have your own car. waiting or cancellation. women to drive on their own.
than buying a car, with
or without a chauffeur.
However, owning a car is
a better option if you are Dealing with traffic snarls Better use of time No need for navigation
If you hire The biggest benefit of a cab is that Hiring a car, if you don't have a chauffeur, If your sense of direction is non-existent,
impacted by surge pricing. you don't have to drive yourself out of means plenty of time at hand to catch up it is easier to leave the complicated routes
Here are some other pros & a cab...
frequent traffic jams and bottlenecks. with office mails and make calls. to the driver, particularly in metros.
cons of both the options.
financial planning
14 The Economic Times Wealth September 23-29, 2019
rs
for the excesses and the lack of jobs across
the spectrum. The gig economy, where
pe
every paying job is a risky contract, is not
their making, they argue. They see it as a
response to the excesses of the capitalist
and consumerist economic models. The
pa
leaning of a significant number of millen-
nials to somewhat socialistic models stems
from their view that this inequality needs
serious correction.
IMAGES BAZAAR
pessimism is about aging and being afflict-
ed with some disease that needs money and
.m
L
ast week, the hashtag paying off loans. They disapprove of the con- core problem. There isn’t any other easy so-
//t
#MillennialRetirementPlans was servative approach of baby boomers, though lution to an uncertain future. Not the strin-
trending on Twitter. The tweets many of them think they may fall back on gent saving that kills, or the erratic saving
s:
offered humour, pragmatism and a inheritance or their parents’ incomes if all that is indisciplined, but a small and per-
range of emotions. It was interest- else fails. The primary marker for the mil- sistent saving as a habit. The modern times
ing to see the need to break away from norms lennials are that they are not in the formal are not easy, and the millennials’ stories
tp
of the earlier generations. The young were workforce by choice; they like the gig econ- about uncertain jobs are real. How would
persistent in pointing out that what worked omy instead. Working wherever their skill you solve a problem you do not control?
earlier won’t work now. Maybe, maybe not. is sought, or starting small businesses that It is the nature of economic cycles to not
ht
Should we be in charge of our retirement may or may not work, is how their work life reveal the trends until we are well into
UMA SHASHIK ANT
IS CHAIRPER SON, CENTRE
or let the government provide retirement pans out. They increasingly don’t own homes it. The conservative baby boomers would
FOR INVES TMENT benefits and social security? This debate is and cars, for they find loans burdensome. not have imagined themselves on top of
EDUC ATION AND LE ARNING old, and we have lived through the cycles of They blame the older generations for putting a wealth pile. If they did, they would not
one school dominating the other. The baby them through expensive but useless educa- have been so frugal. Gen X would not have
boomers (born 1946-64) broke away from tion and for advocating savings and owning taken loans, spends and job changes with
handouts and expected their governments to assets, when their income itself isn’t stable. abandon, if they knew their jobs will get
only provide the framework for retirement What would an educated generation that redundant. The confused milliennials do
security. The focus moved from benefit to works hard, but finds the amount of uncer- not know how their creative solutions to
contribution. People began to save early, tainty they have to deal with is too high do? uncertainty, their determination to set the
The distaste for invest without touching the corpus, and al- Retirement would be the last thing on their wrong right, will make a better world for
savings is to my lowed it to grow and fund their retirement. minds. The traditional answer to an uncer- everyone. While we argue for what we see
Generation X (born 1965-1980) stepped into tain future was savings. The baby boomers as effects and consequences, we discount
mind the core
their work lives during the period of boom denied themselves the luxuries to save for what we do in action to enable change.
problem. There
and bust, making money or losing jobs into the future. They saw the savings as their in- That one ground rules remain unchal-
isn’t any other
their adulthood. They were the consumerist surance against unexpected events. lenged through this churn—the precious
easy solution to an
generation. They got themselves into debt The millennials do not have that world merit of our little savings that have been
uncertain future. Not
for homes and used credit cards happily, and view. They do not divide their work lives invested to protect us when in trouble.
the stringent saving lived with the confidence of finding a job to into compartments. The idea that you would The millennials need not kill themselves
that kills, or the do through their lives. They worried when earn, save and retire seems not just staid, but to save; but holding back on one spend a
erratic saving that is conversations turned to retirement, felt difficult to pull off in their times. Their view day will go a long way. Put aside the cost of
indisciplined, but a guilty about not doing enough, but hoped to of their finances revolves around the balance one meal a day, you will be surprised how
small and persistent begin to save sooner than later. They wished between spending and earning. Since they it grows with time. Old fashioned, but im-
saving as a habit. the government offered some social security. are currently struggling to get past this basic mensely doable.
The millennials (born 1981-96) are not sure equation of comfort, their ability to have a
what the long term holds. Many joke about long term view is limited. Many remain pes-
Please send your feedback to
not living long enough, or spending half simistic about their future, their longevity, etwealth@timesgroup.com
their lives finding a job and the other half their retirement and their wealth.
financial planning
The Economic Times Wealth September 23-29, 2019 15
Types of assignment
rs
There are two types of
assignment:
pe
Conditional assignment:
This is done when the insured
wishes to pass benefits of the policy
to a relative in case of early death
pa
or certain conditions. The rights of
the policyholder are restored once
the conditions are fulfilled.
Absolute assignment: This is done
Notice of assignment
GETTY IMAGES
e/
N
Namita is a systematic amita should know that returns investments tends to beat the inflation num-
In case of conditional assignment,
from investments can only be bers. The ability of equity to earn a higher re-
//t
protect her investments from invest them in assets and earn a return that
does not have any spe- high risks by using a sound process, and earn is higher. The business risk is compensated Proof of income.
cific financial goals, but market returns on her investments. by the risk premium on equity investments Self attested copy of
tp
The easiest thing to do while trying to available only to equity investors. Namita photo ID and address proof.
is keen to ensure that estimate returns is to look at the past return will find that in the Indian scenario, the Self attested copy of PAN card.
her money grows. For records and form expectations on this basis. average long-term return from investing sys-
ht
investing regularly, she When it comes to equity, the returns can be vol- tematically has been about 14-16%. This will
finds it easy to use the SIP atile. But what Namita will notice is that if she come down only if inflation comes down. Fees and stamp duty
diversifies her investment, so that she holds a The return from equity will also be subject If the assignment is
route. However, she is con- basket of equity shares; invests over a period of to short-term ups and downs. Therefore, made by endorsement
cerned about the returns, time; and ensures that she stays invested for the Namita should not expect to earn a steady on the policy document,
not sure if they are good long term across market cycles, her return is return every year but expect the ups and it is exempt from the stamp duty.
enough. Is there a way she likely to be close to the long-term average. Using downs, which tend to average out over time. However, in case of a separate
SIPs, she is already following this process. Since her investment plan is designed to re- deed, stamp duty is payable.
can estimate her returns? The long-term average return from equity duce her risks, she should do well.
Content on this page is courtesy Centre for Investment Education and Learning (CIEL). Acceptance
Contributions by Girija Gadre, Arti Bhargava and Labdhi Mehta. If the insurance company
decides to register the
assignment, it will record the
smart things to know Secondary market participants assignment and inform the assignor.
On paying a fee, the assignee can
obtain an acknowledgement.
1
2
Stock exchange
4
is a platform Issuers are compa- Investors open Right to reject
for listing nies that list their demat accounts The insurer has a right
securities, securities on the with members of to reject if it believes
discovering All stock market stock exchange the depositories,
3 5
that the assignment
their price, trades are after meeting Clearing Corporation called depository is not bona fide or against the
trading conducted through listed criteria and enables settlement participants interest of the policyholder or
securities the members of the signing the listing of funds or money to hold their public interest or for the purpose
and sharing exchange, called agreement with the and securities securities and of trading the insurance policy.
information. brokers for a fee or exchange. (HDFC between buyer and settle their
(BSE and NSE) ‘brokerage’. Bank, RIL) seller (NSCCL, ICCL). trades.
family finance
16 The Economic Times Wealth September 23-29, 2019
by Riju Mehta
How to invest for goals
rs
Portfolio
S
hravan I. is a 32-year-old soft- INVESTMENT
FUTURE COST (`) / RESOURCES
pe
ware engineer from Tamil Nadu GOAL NEEDED
CURRENT VALUE TIME TO ACHIEVE USED
and gets a monthly salary of ASSET (`/MONTH)
(`)
`89,500. He stays with his home-
maker wife in a rented house.
Emergency fund 7.1 lakh Cash, FD, P2P loan -
Real estate 60 lakh
pa
After considering his household expens-
Buying a car 8.5 lakh / 3 yrs - 30,000
es, rent and insurance premium, he is left Cash 2.8 lakh
with a surplus of `32,308. His portfolio, Vacation 3.5 lakh / 5 yrs Cash -
Debt
worth `1.8 crore, comprises real estate in
the form of three plots of land worth `60
lakh, debt worth `40.6 lakh and equity
worth `83 lakh. His goals include building
a contingency corpus, buying a car and
PPF
EPF
Fixed deposits
17.5 lakh
16.9 lakh
3 lakh
_e
Buying a house
Future child’s
education
70 lakh / 5 yrs
Mutual funds
-
-
m
a house, taking a vacation, saving for his Future child’s
future child’s education and wedding, and Others (P2P loan) 3.2 lakh 2.7 crore / 25 yrs Mutual funds -
wedding
nj
Annual return assumed to be 12% for equity and 8% for debt funds. Inflation assumed to be 7%.
deposit and P2P loan, which should be
invested in an ultra short duration fund.
Shravan wants to buy a car worth `8.5
LIABILITIES CURRENT VALUE (`)
Insurance portfolio
lakh after three years and can amass the
Home loan -
//t
EXISTING SUGGESTED
EXISTING
amount by starting an SIP of `30,000 in an Total liability - MONTHLY MONTHLY
INSURANCE COVER SUGGESTIONS
equity savings fund. For his goal of tak- PREMIUM PREMIUM
(`)
(`) (`)
s:
has been allocated to both these goals. Term plan - - Buy `1 crore plan 833
Shravan also wants to buy a house worth
`70 lakh in five years, for which he can sell Traditional
- - - -
ht
plan
his plots to get the desired amount.
For the education of his future child in
Cash flow Ulips - - -
18 years, Shravan has estimated a need EXISTING SUGGESTED
of `1.7 crore. For this, he can assign a por- (`) (`) TOTAL - - `1 crore 833
tion of his mutual fund corpus, which will
help amass the required amount in the Income 89,500 89,500 Health insurance
specified time. For the child’s wedding
in 25 years, he wants `2.7 crore, and can Employer’s 7.5 lakh 2,025 - -
Outflow
allocate the remaining mutual fund cor-
pus for this goal. For retirement, he will 1,000
Household Buy `10 lakh family
need `8.3 crore in 23 years as he wants to 55,167 55,167 Own - - + 2,025
expenses floater plan
retire at 55 years. For this, he can assign (existing)
his PPF, EPF, PMS and remaining mu- Insurance 2,025 4,191 TOTAL 7.5 lakh 2,025 `17.5 lakh 3,025
tual fund corpus. No fresh investment is premium
needed for this goal. Critical illness Buy `25 lakh
Shravan has no life insurance, and a Investment - 30,000 & accident - - accident 333
`7.5 lakh family floater plan for health disability disability plan
insurance, which has been provided by Total outflow 57,192 89,500 TOTAL - - - 333
his employer. Maalde suggests he buy a
`1 crore term plan, which will cost him Insurance cost - 2,025 - 4,191
`833 a month in premium. For health in-
Surplus 32,308 142
Premiums are indicative and could vary for different insurers.
surance, he should buy a `10 lakh family
floater plan, which will cost him `1,000 a
month in premium. He should also pur-
FINANCIAL PLAN BY
Write to us Looking for a professional to analyse your investment
portfolio? Write to us at etwealth@timesgroup.com with
chase a `25 lakh accident disability plan
at a monthly premium of `333. This should
PANKAAJ MAALDE for expert ‘Family Finances’ as the subject. Our experts will study
your portfolio and offer objective advice on where and
take care of his insurance needs.
CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER
advice how much you need to invest to reach your goals.
SMART STATS
The Economic Times Wealth
September 23-29, 2019
In This Section
MUTUAL FUNDS - P18
LOANS AND DEPOSITS - P20
Apar Industries 1 1 537.95 19.71 48.41 15.10 1.71 1.75 0.31 1.11 0.92 10 4.90
1 Fast growing stocks
KEC International 2 2 250.45 23.48 28.24 13.28 2.65 1.07 0.48 1.48 0.93 30 4.70
Top 5 stocks with the highest
JK Cement 3 3 1019.95 20.58 63.78 27.75 2.92 0.98 0.32 1.06 0.87 22 4.64
expected revenue % growth
HG Infra Engineering 4 4 189.35 32.76 38.70 9.62 1.85 0.26 0.24 2.09 0.70 13 5.00 over the previous year
Gujarat Gas 5 7 169.00 33.90 78.52 27.54 5.23 0.59 0.40 1.35 1.02 28 4.61 Sterlite
rs
Technologies 40
Aurobindo Pharma 6 5 606.20 30.44 25.04 15.00 2.55 0.40 0.56 1.39 1.04 36 4.64
Engineers India 7 6 109.35 26.61 25.94 18.69 2.94 3.66 0.79 1.61 0.75 18 4.39 Gujarat Gas 34
pe
Zensar Technologies 8 8 214.85 20.23 24.03 3.10 2.50 1.30 0.14 1.70 1.18 16 4.63 PI Industries 33
DB Corp 9 9 135.80 5.76 27.01 8.82 1.29 7.35 0.27 1.27 1.31 16 4.19 HG Infra
Engineering 33
Ipca Laboratories 10 10 947.90 21.69 42.11 26.94 3.84 0.32 0.64 1.16 0.53 26 4.42
pa
Aurobindo
Bharat Heavy Electricals 11 11 47.40 9.66 37.99 17.07 0.54 4.11 0.49 1.79 1.37 34 3.06 30
Pharma
Ahluwalia Contracts India 12 22 310.05 21.65 32.36 17.75 2.83 0.09 0.55 1.47 0.82 16 4.81
Century Plyboards India 13 14 135.30 15.25 42.23 20.34 3.10 0.72 0.48 1.75 1.11 19 4.53
2 Least expensive stocks
UltraTech Cement
Parag Milk Foods
14
15
13
12
3866.30
155.65
25.75
22.56
76.08
24.13
43.59
10.91
3.74
1.59
0.29
0.47
_e
0.61
0.47
1.27
1.74
1.35
0.83
40
15
4.13
4.40
Top 5 stocks with the lowest
price-earnings ratio
m
Rallis India 16 21 161.15 17.86 27.75 20.22 2.44 1.52 0.73 1.12 0.43 19 3.89 Zensar
Technologies 3.10
Allcargo Logistics 17 15 98.65 14.96 15.36 10.08 1.22 3.49 0.48 1.37 0.91 10 4.70
Jagran
Sun Pharmaceutical 18 24 411.15 20.19 44.60 36.88 2.37 0.66 0.84 1.70 0.94 43 3.54 7.61
nj
Prakashan
Oberoi Realty 19 23 526.90 21.16 41.25 23.14 2.39 0.38 0.51 1.76 1.38 25 4.04 NTPC 7.96
Alkem Laboratories 20 16 1866.75 17.77 37.64 29.71 4.15 0.84 0.80 0.82 -0.15 18 4.61
e/
Redington
India 8.18
Power Grid Corp of India 21 20 201.15 10.33 11.57 8.37 1.78 4.12 0.64 0.94 0.53 28 4.32
Ashok
Redington India 22 17 104.45 15.25 15.76 8.18 1.04 3.15 0.53 1.82 0.58 10 4.70 Leyland 8.29
.m
NBCC India 23 38 34.00 24.28 31.91 16.32 4.05 3.39 0.52 2.31 2.41 14 4.07
HeidelbergCement India 24 26 184.80 12.91 39.00 18.98 3.58 2.13 0.49 1.61 1.70 15 4.47
3 Best PEGs
//t
NTPC 25 27 121.70 13.52 4.83 7.96 1.10 4.48 1.03 1.10 0.89 26 4.85
Top 5 stocks with the least
Larsen & Toubro 26 30 1300.70 19.61 17.37 20.50 2.93 1.37 1.19 0.99 0.98 39 4.64 price-earnings to growth ratio
Jagran Prakashan 27 28 65.90 5.76 17.32 7.61 1.04 4.26 0.41 1.60 0.79 14 4.36 HG Infra
s:
Apar Industries
Engineering
Emami 28 19 310.70 13.92 83.60 46.53 6.80 1.27 0.55 1.46 0.97 34 4.26
Grasim Industries 29 18 699.90 16.52 49.87 25.95 0.82 1.00 0.87 1.51 1.41 12 4.58
tp
Ashok Leyland 38 39 58.40 17.81 11.19 8.29 1.97 5.20 0.74 1.73 1.19 49 3.24 Ashok Leyland 5.20
NTPC 4.48
Hexaware Technologies 39 35 376.25 24.17 21.37 19.10 4.41 2.37 1.09 1.33 0.38 28 3.79 Jagran
Prakashan 4.26
Jubilant Life Sciences 40 46 522.60 7.87 22.69 13.95 1.70 0.86 0.60 1.65 1.35 13 4.77 Power Grid
Corp of India 4.12
Adani Ports & SEZ 41 40 361.90 19.76 25.37 18.83 3.08 0.05 0.73 1.61 1.62 24 4.75
Mahanagar Gas 42 42 828.80 7.27 16.06 14.97 3.41 2.39 0.93 1.08 0.67 27 4.48
5 Least risky
Cipla/India 43 44 452.05 13.50 25.50 24.05 2.45 0.65 0.94 1.07 0.62 42 3.60
Top 5 stocks with the lowest
PI Industries 44 -- 1250.80 33.26 39.53 42.18 7.58 0.31 1.06 1.17 0.65 24 4.21 downside risk
Mphasis 45 41 967.55 18.32 11.91 17.23 3.43 2.74 1.19 1.24 0.99 33 4.30 Power Grid
Corp of India Larsen & Toubro
HCL Technologies 46 43 1049.55 21.52 7.96 14.27 3.39 0.76 1.53 1.21 0.45 49 4.12
Thermax 47 45 998.40 11.50 56.42 34.58 3.95 0.70 0.67 1.19 0.59 32 2.78
0.82 0.94 0.95 0.99 1.04
SRF 48 -- 2702.45 20.01 39.94 24.28 3.77 0.47 0.62 1.41 1.38 17 3.82
Ramco Cements 49 48 707.45 20.22 39.94 30.76 3.68 0.42 0.77 1.07 1.33 27 3.52
Alkem CCL Products Torrent
Torrent Pharmaceuticals 50 49 1702.10 12.79 47.64 66.33 6.12 1.02 1.40 1.04 0.59 33 4.27 Laboratories India Pharmaceuticals
LAGGARDS LEADERS
ET Wealth collaborates with Value Research to identify the top-performing Equity: Large-cap 5-year returns
funds across categories. Equity funds and equity-oriented hybrid funds are
3.22 10.43
ranked on 3-year returns while debt-oriented hybrid and income funds are Principal Nifty 100 Equal Weight Mirae Asset Large Cap Fund
ranked on 1-year returns. 4.02 9.93
Baroda Large Cap Quant Focused Fund
rs
Mirae Asset Large Cap Fund 13946.19 -5.28 -4.04 -1.4 9.58 10.43 1.75 11.8% DSP Top 100 Equity Reliance ETF Junior BeES
Sundaram Select Focus Fund 972.51 -4.85 -1.93 -1.29 9.55 7.13 2.38 THE 3-YEAR
HDFC Index Fund 467.63 -5.94 -3.41 -1.18 9.38 7.17 0.3 RETURN
pe
Canara Robeco Bluechip Equity Fund 220.65 -4.98 -2.09 -0.62 7.83 7.69 2.65 OF AXIS
HDFC Top 100 Fund 16842.38 -9.28 -6.53 -2.14 7.57 6.59 1.88
BLUECHIP IS
THE HIGHEST
Equity: Multi-cap 5-year returns
Edelweiss Large Cap Fund 155.04 -5.31 -2.18 -4.7 7.33 7.95 1.99 IN ITS
CATEGORY. 3.28 13.02
pa
ICICI Prudential Bluechip Fund 21672.64 -6 -4.11 -4.39 7.33 7.86 1.78
Reliance Large Cap Fund 11819.31 -9.65 -9.33 -6.76 7.05 7.83 1.86 Taurus Starshare (Multi Cap) Motilal Oswal Multicap 35
Motilal Oswal Focused 25 Fund 1059.55 -4.28 -0.7 -2.28 6.54 8.72 2.25 3.37 11.46
JM Core 11 Fund 49.56 -4.03 -6.35 -2.52 6.47 9.3 — LIC MF Multicap Axis Focused 25
SBI Bluechip Fund
21483.76
7759.44
-6.11
-3.71
-2.62
-2.77
-2.18
0.78
5.1
11.25
_e
8.54
15.27
1.89
1.88
11.3%
3.94
Union Multi Cap
HDFC Focused 30
4.2
10.83
SBI Magnum Multicap
10.82
Kotak Standard Multicap
m
Sundaram Large and Mid Cap Fund 720.99 -5.45 -4.41 -4.51 9.21 9.75 2.6
Invesco India Growth Opportunities Fund 1658.8 -3.85 -4.27 -4.1 8.64 9.64 2.07 THE 3-YEAR 4.84 10.55
LIC MF Large & Mid Cap Fund 509.41 -2.36 -1.15 -2.77 8.5 — 2.77
RETURN OF
MIRAE ASSET ICICI Prudential Focused Tata Retirement Savings
nj
Canara Robeco Emerging Equities Fund 4668.59 -7.8 -7.32 -8.73 7.39 11.64 2.07
EMERGING
Kotak Equity Opportunities Fund 2487.55 -5.25 -3.91 -1.41 6.61 9.38 2.17 BLUECHIP IS
THE HIGHEST
Principal Emerging Bluechip Fund 2057.33 -6.54 -6.91 -11.42 5.68 10.57 2.09
Equity: Mid-cap 3-year returns
e/
IN ITS
EQUITY: MULTI-CAP CATEGORY.
Axis Focused 25 Fund 7841.41 -3.84 0.45 -4.05 10.65 11.46 2.03 -1.97 10.25
.m
Parag Parikh Long Term Equity Fund 2066.68 -1.13 0.2 -0.18 10.55 10.5 2.08 SBI Magnum Midcap Axis Midcap Fund
Tata Retirement Savings Fund 632.32 -4.48 -3.89 -4.85 8.7 10.55 2.45
-1.02 6.14
SBI Focused Equity Fund 5127.07 -4.35 -1.16 0.03 8.59 10.47 2.09
PGIM India Midcap Opportunities Invesco India Mid Cap Fund
Edelweiss Multi Cap Fund 417.73 -7.07 -4.9 -5.04 8.31 — 2.48
Kotak Standard Multicap Fund 25381.36 -6.1 -3.35 -0.96 8.17 10.82 1.75 0.2 5.89
//t
SBI Magnum Multicap Fund 7549.36 -4.47 -1.61 -0.5 7.66 10.83 2.07 UTI Mid Cap Fund L&T Midcap Fund
Motilal Oswal Multicap 35 Fund 12693.11 -5.49 -4.63 -5.63 7.05 13.02 1.76 0.46 5.7
Quant Active Fund* 6.27 -7.4 -7 -8.72 6.27 8.64 2.48
s:
Aditya Birla Sun Life Mid Cap Tata Midcap Growth Fund
Aditya Birla Sun Life Equity Fund 10652.87 -4.95 -5.42 -6.16 5.81 9.37 1.96
Franklin India Focused Equity Fund 7981.32 -9.29 -6.21 -1.54 5.72 8.76 1.85
0.64 5.22
Motilal Oswal Midcap 100 DSP Midcap Fund
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ICICI Prudential Multicap Fund 3990.54 -6.61 -5.65 -7.61 5.08 8.41 2.08
Exchange Traded
EQUITY: MID-CAP
Axis Midcap Fund 2819.12 -1.63 -0.64 -1.72 10.25 9.73 2.17 Equity: Small-cap 3-year returns
ht
L&T Midcap Fund 4905.48 -6.31 -8.38 -12.8 5.89 10.39 2 10.3%
DSP Midcap Fund 5920.68 -3.52 -3.68 -4.56 5.22 10.37 1.95 THE 3-YEAR
RETURN OF
-6.48 10.98
Kotak Emerging Equity Scheme 4469.53 -5.23 -4.48 -5.75 5.12 11.18 2.04
AXIS MID- Quant Small Cap Fund SBI Small Cap Fund
Franklin India Prima Fund 6694.33 -5.35 -6.86 -6.79 4.31 9.73 1.88
CAP FUND IS -2.99 9.48
HDFC Mid-Cap Opportunities Fund 20943.79 -7.47 -9.23 -11.68 3.08 8.86 1.85
THE HIGH-
EST IN ITS Sundaram Small Cap Fund Axis Small Cap Fund
EQUITY: SMALL-CAP CATEGORY. -1.45 7.86
SBI Small Cap Fund 2413.24 -2.55 -3.68 -9.47 10.98 15.21 2.31
Aditya Birla Sun Life Small Cap HDFC Small Cap Fund
Axis Small Cap Fund 885.44 0.38 6.7 7.01 9.48 11.28 2.48
HDFC Small Cap Fund 8208.77 -9.17 -12.75 -15.16 7.86 9.95 2.1 -1.35 6.93
Reliance Small Cap Fund 7491.46 -7.25 -8.74 -15.89 6.93 10.35 2.19 Union Small Cap Fund Reliance Small Cap Fund
L&T Emerging Businesses Fund 5638.54 -6.78 -11.1 -17.16 6.92 11.06 2.02 -1.14 6.92
EQUITY: VALUE-ORIENTED DSP Small Cap Fund L&T Emerging Businesses Fund
Kotak India EQ Contra Fund 818.74 -5.72 -4.71 -4.66 9.19 8.48 2.58
Invesco India Contra Fund 3991.92 -6.52 -7.59 -7.07 8.57 10.17 1.9
Tata Equity PE Fund 5208.24 -5.68 -6.88 -9.78 7.12 9.32 1.9 Hybrid: Aggressive 5-year returns
L&T India Value Fund 7633.41 -7.89 -6.98 -10.11 5.25 9.57 1.88
EQUITY: TAX-SAVING
0.98 10.2
JM Equity Hybrid Fund Tata Retirement Savings Fund
Mirae Asset Tax Saver Fund 2305.59 -4.44 -2.92 -0.54 12.18 — 2.02
4.33 9.64
Axis Long Term Equity Fund
JM Tax Gain Fund
19236.11
30.64
-3.01
-3.66
0.77
-0.97
-1.41
0.1
9.41
8.29
10.76
9.19
1.76
—
12.2% PGIM India Hybrid Equity Fund SBI Equity Hybrid Fund
Motilal Oswal Long Term Equity Fund 1389.39 -3.99 -4.22 -6.5 8.08 — 2.15 THE 3-YEAR
RETURN OF 4.64 8.77
Tata India Tax Savings Fund 1814.81 -6.47 -3.31 -0.52 7.59 10.67 2.12
MIRAE ASSET LIC MF Equity Hybrid Fund ICICI Prudential Equity & Debt Fund
DSP Tax Saver Fund 5482.26 -3.42 -1.84 0.58 6.96 9.69 1.88 TAX SAVER
Aditya Birla Sun Life Tax Relief 96 8561.62 -4.57 -6.87 -10.38 6.77 10.05 2.07 FUND IS THE 5.06 8.7
Invesco India Tax Plan 859.03 -5.98 -5.75 -6.91 6.65 8.94 2.35 HIGHEST IN Baroda Hybrid Equity Fund Canara Robeco Equity Hybrid Fund
IDFC Tax Advantage (ELSS) Fund 1876.67 -8.87 -8.41 -10.64 6.56 8.29 2.15
ITS CATEGORY. 5.54 8.66
Kotak Tax Saver 895.56 -7.3 -3.53 -1.55 6.52 9.37 2.4 Shriram Hybrid Equity Fund HDFC Hybrid Equity Fund
Quant Tax Plan* 9.36 -7.71 -6.93 -9.76 5.03 11.07 2.48
ANNUALISED RETURNS IN % AS ON 18 SEPTEMBER 2019.
smart stats
The Economic Times Wealth September 23-29, 2019 19
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SIP: SYSTEMATIC % ANNUALISED RETURNS
HYBRID: CONSERVATIVE (DEBT-ORIENTED) INVESTMENT PLAN AS ON 18 SEPTEMBER 2019
ICICI Prudential Regular Savings Fund 1639.51 0.17 2.12 7.19 7.67 9.27 1.94 7.2%
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Tata Retirement Savings Fund 130.42 -0.45 1.2 4.41 6.05 7.95 2.23 THE 1-YEAR
Top 5 MIPs
Indiabulls Savings Income Fund
Aditya Birla Sun Life Regular Savings Fund
18.86
2003.6
-1.21
-0.72
1.2
1.15
4.3
1.64
8
4.57
—
8.36
2.22
1.86
RETURN OF
ICICI PRU REG-
2 Top 5 MIP schemes based on
UTI Regular Savings Fund 2379.01 -0.08 -1.85 -0.1 5.12 7.25 1.79
ULAR SAVINGS
FUND IS THE 3-year SWP returns
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SBI Magnum Children's Benefit Fund 62.31 -1.29 -2.21 -0.48 8.32 10.21 2.26
HIGHEST IN ITS
CATEGORY. Indiabulls Savings Income
DEBT: MEDIUM- TO LONG-TERM
IDFC Bond Fund Income Plan 673.28 3.35 7.98 15.5 7.71 9.09 1.89 7.88
ICICI Prudential Bond Fund 3318.48 3.09 6.17 11.84 6.92 8.82 1.08
SBI Magnum Income Fund
DEBT: MEDIUM-TERM
SBI Magnum Medium Duration Fund
1204.3
1841.93
2.81
2.99
6.54
6.03
11.84
11.56
7.62
8.68
_e8.85
9.27
1.47
1.09
ICICI Prudential Regular Savings
DEBT: SHORT-TERM
Axis Short Term Fund 2153.68 3.83 5.21 10.29 7.46 8.15 0.9
10.3% Canara Robeco Conservative Hybrid
THE 1-YEAR 5.56
e/
HDFC Short Term Debt Fund 8487.64 2.75 5.09 10.13 7.72 8.39 0.4
RETURN OF
Baroda Short Term Bond Fund* 297.92 2.24 4.89 9.34 7.91 8.43 1.29 AXIS SHORT SWP: SYSTEMATIC % ANNUALISED RETURNS
Franklin India Short Term Income Plan 13155.95 1.32 2.36 8.35 8.18 8.61 1.49 TERM FUND WITHDRAWAL PLAN AS ON 18 SEPTEMBER 2019
IS THE HIGH-
.m
Indiabulls Short Term Fund 67.78 1.23 3.61 8.13 7.03 7.95 1.48
EST IN ITS
BNP Paribas Short Term Fund 120.69 4.04 2.77 7.55 6.63 7.61 1.19
CATEGORY.
DEBT: DYNAMIC BOND
SBI Dynamic Bond Fund 1126.07 3.56 9.1 14.94 8.21 9.51 1.66 3 Multi Cap Cash holdings
//t
PGIM India Dynamic Bond Fund 41.37 2.95 7.81 14.13 8.58 9.69 1.28
Kotak Dynamic Bond Fund 790.76 2.48 6.43 13.47 8.36 9.26 1.08
21.48
ICICI Prudential All Seasons Bond Fund 2779.93 2.52 6.02 10.62 7.83 9.82 1.32
s:
Franklin India Dynamic Accrual Fund 3981.43 1.46 3.07 9.11 8.29 9.43 1.68 17.76 17.34
16.17
DEBT: CORPORATE BOND 14.71
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HDFC Corporate Bond Fund 12910.11 2.89 5.9 11.75 8.01 8.82 0.45
Aditya Birla Sun Life Corporate Bond Fund 16274.98 2.52 5.34 10.88 7.89 8.74 0.39
Franklin India Corporate Debt Fund 1033.42 1.21 4.29 10.37 8.21 8.75 0.87
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Kotak Corporate Bond Fund 2447.6 2.67 5.11 10.18 8.1 9.23 0.59 Expense as on 31 August 2019
* : Expense as on before 31 August 2019
ICICI Prudential Corporate Bond Fund 9002.07 2.64 5.25 10.14 7.56 8.34 0.56
Returns as on 18 September 2019
Reliance Prime Debt Fund 1139.9 2.75 3.98 8.64 7.31 8.03 0.71
Assets as on 31 August 2019 Kotak HDFC ICICI Pru- Shriram ITI Multi
All equity funds ranked on 3-year returns. Debt funds ranked on 1-year returns. Rating as on 31 August 2019 Focused Retirement dential Multi- Cap Fund
Equity Savings Retire- cap
Did not find your fund here? Fund Fund ment
Log on to www.wealth.economictimes.com for an exhaustive list. % AS ON 31 AUGUST 2019
Next 22.5% Tax planning: Offer tax rebate under Section 80C.
(Not covered 0.11
15.84%
Middle 35% in ETW Funds International: More than 65% of assets invested abroad.
Next 22.5% 100 listing) Income: Average maturity varies according to objective.
Bottom 10% Gilt: Medium- and long-term; invest in gilt securities.
Fixed-income funds less than 18 months old and equity funds Equity-oriented: Average equity exposure more of the total AUM of
less than three years old have been excluded. This ensures than 60%. the equity funds was
that all the funds have existed long enough to be tracked for
consistency of performance. Given the focus on long-term
Debt-oriented aggressive: Average equity exposure invested in small-cap
between 25-60%. Canara IDFC Cash L&T Axis Mirae As-
investing, liquid funds, short-term funds and FMPs are not stocks in the month of Robeco Fund Liquid Liquid set Cash
Debt-oriented conservative: Average equity exposure
part of the list. For the same reason, we have considered only
less than 25%.
August 2019, compared Liquid Fund Fund Manage-
the growth option of funds that reinvest returns instead of
to 18.1% in August 2018. ment
offering dividends that increase the NAV of funds. Arbitrage: Seek arbitrage opportunities between equity
Despite these rigorous filters, the list includes 2/3 funds of and derivatives. % AS ON 31 AUG 2019
% EXPENSE RATIO IS CHARGED ANNUALLY.
each category to maximise choice from the best funds. Asset allocation: Invest fully in equity or debt as per
METHODOLOGY OF TOP 100 FUNDS ON
The fund categories are: market conditions. WWW.WEALTH.ECONOMICTIMES.COM
loans and deposits
20 The Economic Times Wealth September 23-29, 2019
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TENURE: 2 YEARS Marginal Cost of funds-based Lending
Rate (MCLR) is a benchmark lending HDFC Bank 8.60 7 September 2019
IDFC First Bank 8.00 11,717
AU Small Finance Bank 7.87 11,687 rate designated by RBI and replaces IOB 8.60 10 August 2019
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RBL Bank 7.75 11,659 the base rate.
DCB Bank 7.50 11,602
Lakshmi Vilas Bank 7.50 11,602
Top banks for 6 months Top banks for 3 years
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TENURE: 3 YEARS
DCB Bank 8.00 12,682 BANK NAME MCLR (%) WITH EFFECT FROM BANK NAME MCLR (%) WITH EFFECT FROM
AU Small Finance Bank 8.00 12,682
State Bank Of India 8.00 10 September 2019 State Bank Of India 8.35 10 September 2019
Lakshmi Vilas Bank
IDFC First Bank
RBL Bank
TENURE: 5 YEARS
7.50
7.50
7.50
12,497
12,497
12,497
Central Bank Of India
1 September 2019
Punjab National Bank
1 September 2019
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AU Small Finance Bank 7.77 14,693 Union Bank Of India 8.20 1 September 2019 Axis Bank 8.60 18 September 2019
DCB Bank 7.75 14,678
Allahabad Bank 8.25 14 August 2019 HDFC Bank 8.70 7 September 2019
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TENURE: 5 YEARS
AU Small Finance Bank 8.27 15,057 Post office deposits Interest (%)
Minimum
invt. (`)
Maximum investment (`) Features
Tax
benefits
DCB Bank 8.25 15,043
IDFC First Bank 8.00 14,859 Senior Citizens' Savings Scheme 8.60 1,000 15 Lakh 5-year tenure, minimum age 60 80C
RBL Bank 8.00 14,859 Sukanya Samriddhi Yojana 8.40 250 1.50 Lakhs One account per girl child 80C
Bandhan Bank 8.00 14,859
Public Provident Fund 7.90 500 1.50 Lakhs p.a. 15-year tenure, tax-free returns 80C
Top five tax-saving bank FDs 5-year NSC VIII Issue 7.90 100 No Limit No TDS 80C
Interest What `10,000 Time deposit 6.90-7.70 200 No Limit Available in 1, 2, 3, 5 years 80C#
TENURE: 5 YEARS AND ABOVE rate (%) will grow to
AU Small Finance Bank 7.77 14,693 Post Office Monthly Income Single 4.5 Lakhs 5-year tenure, monthly returns Nil
7.60 1,500
DCB Bank 7.75 14,678 Scheme Joint 9 Lakhs 5-year tenure, monthly returns Nil
IDFC First Bank 7.75 14,678
Kisan Vikas Patra 7.60 1,000 No Limit Can be encashed after 2.5 years Nil
Indusind Bank 7.50 14,499
Recurring deposits 7.20 10 No Limit 5-year tenure Nil
RBL Bank 7.50 14,499
Savings account 4.00 20 No Limit `10,000 interest tax free Nil
ALL DATA SOURCED FROM ECONOMIC TIMES INTELLIGENCE GROUP
(ETIGDATABASE@TIMESGROUP.COM) Data as on 19 Sept 2019 # Benefit available only for 5-year deposit
non-traditional investments
The Economic Times Wealth September 23-29, 2019 21
ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENT
RETURNS MONITOR
The scope and attractiveness of alternative investments is increasing. Here’s a weekly tracker of returns from such investments. But don’t
compare these with returns from traditional investments since the proportion and purpose of alternative investments is vastly different.
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CHANGE
X I WEEK -0.58% I WEEK 0.62% I WEEK -0.01% I WEEK 0%
X I YEAR -3.25%
Overall Diamond Index is based on
I YEAR 26.04%
The S&P GSCI Precious Metals Index
_e I YEAR -2.91%
The Liv-ex Fine Wine 50 Index tracks
I YEAR 28.49%
The Krugerrand Coin index represents
m
actual transactions from 20 different comprises gold (91.33%) & silver (8.67%) daily price movement of the most the denomination of a 22 carat gold
market players and reflects price & provides a benchmark for investment heavily traded commodities in the wine bullion coin weighing one troy ounce
movements in the global diamond performance in the precious metals market. It includes only the 10 most that is listed for trading on the
nj
market. The index is updated daily. commodity markets. It is updated daily. recent vintages and is updated daily. Johannesburg Stock Exchange.
e/
MARKET 1-WEEK (%) 1-MTH (%) 1-MONTH AVG 1-MONTH AVG MKT CAP MARKET 1-WEEK (%) 1-MTH (%) 1-MTH AVG 1-MONTH AVG MKT CAP
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STOCK PRICE (`) CHANGE CHANGE VOL (LAKH) VOL CHG (%) (`CR) STOCK PRICE (`) CHANGE CHANGE VOL (LAKH) VOL CHG (%) (`CR)
Andhra Cement 3.73 0.54 101.62 0.56 47.72 109.48 BT Syndicate 8.74 -8.00 -1.80 0.28 47,709.14 89.76
ht
Nitin Fire Protection Ind. 0.61 19.61 69.44 0.17 47.79 17.83 Econo Trade (India) 6.02 -11.86 -43.74 0.13 17,253.35 11.24
Noida Toll Bridge Co. 5.73 -1.21 68.53 0.26 79.89 106.69 Swagruha Infrastructure 6.29 4.66 15.41 0.03 3,058.04 43.09
Mercantile Ventures 7.23 -5.24 68.53 0.02 17.80 80.92 Satkar Finlease 1.87 14.72 8.72 0.04 2,661.11 41.21
Soma Textiles & Ind. 4.28 7.81 65.25 0.04 -41.78 14.14 Safal Herbs 1.85 17.09 37.04 0.28 1,977.72 18.50
Balurghat Technologies 8.00 -4.76 60.64 0.07 246.84 14.56 Frontier Informatics 2.90 9.85 11.54 0.04 1,854.00 14.79
Energy Development Co. 7.49 21.20 54.43 0.04 -24.80 35.58 Ravi Kumar Distilleries 6.94 -1.98 -7.34 0.04 1,171.05 16.66
Sintex Plastics Tech. 5.33 15.12 48.47 2.77 -3.39 336.32 Amrapali Industries 4.11 0.00 19.83 0.06 1,044.28 21.13
Ansal Housing 6.10 10.11 46.63 0.14 203.97 36.23 Gold Line Int Finvest 1.80 -9.09 -25.00 0.03 1,027.75 93.78
RattanIndia Power 1.69 -6.63 43.22 4.38 83.19 499.05 Global Offshore Services 8.51 34.65 37.48 0.26 1,019.97 21.05
THE STOCKS HAVE BEEN SELECTED USING THE FOLLOWING FILTERS: PRICE LESS THAN `10, ONE-MONTH AVERAGE VOLUME GREATER THAN OR EQUAL TO 1 LAKH AND MARKET
CAPITALISATION GREATER THAN OR EQUAL TO `10 CRORE. DATA AS ON 14 AUGUST 2019. SOURCE: ETIG DATABASE AND BLOOMBERG.
pick of the week
22 The Economic Times Wealth September 23-29, 2019
B
harat Heavy Electricals Limited (BHEL), the start in thermal plant additions will only help companies
second largest company from the heavy electric like BHEL to bag big orders.
Fundamentals
equipments sector, is a clear victim of the ongo- Despite its bleak medium-term outlook, analysts are get- CONSENSUS
ACTUAL
ESTIMATE
ing trouble in the power sector and the resultant ting bullish on this counter mostly because of its very valu-
2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21
postponement of new power generation projects. ation, triggered by its continuous price fall. For example,
Revenue (` cr) 27,864.84 29,367.85 32,167.50 32,250.00
No wonder it has reported revenue fall during the last five BHEL has underperformed the Sensex and ET Capital Goods
years, and the first quarter of 2018-19 was no exception. Its Index by 33% each during the last one year (See Chart ). While Ebitda (` cr) 1,968.88 2,137.93 2,378.60 2,237.00
net sales for the quarter fell by 24% y-o-y and 56% q-o-q. Since its price to book value is placed at just 0.54 times, the dividend Net profit (` cr) 434.57 1,010.27 1,401.40 1,390.40
some of the factors for this fall (ie yield is placed at 4.22%. Other valu- EPS (`) 1.18 2.78 3.85 3.99
tight liquidity, land availability ation parameters are also at com-
issues, local agitations against big Analysts’ views fortable levels (eg – EV/Sales is only Valuations DIVIDEND
rs
PBV PE YIELD (%)
projects, etc) are medium term in at just 0.5 times). Though BHEL Bharat Heavy Electricals 0.54 19.61 4.22
nature, these may weigh on future 9 9 is a good long-term bet, investors
ABB India 6.99 50.68 0.36
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execution and sales also. Hold need to stagger their purchase in
Buy Siemens 5.31 42.55 0.57
Incremental order inf low to this counter, because the technical
Cummins India 3.67 23.11 2.99
BHEL is also low owing to weak factors are also negative now and
Bharat Electronics 2.76 13.02 3.26
capacity additions happening in therefore, the ongoing downward
pa
the power sector. Though around spiral may continue for some more
16GW of orders is in the pipeline, time. Latest brokerage calls TARGET
the final award is getting delayed- RECO DATE RESEARCH HOUSE ADVICE PRICE (`)
This delay in order inflow has also Select ion Methodolog y: We 19 Sep ’19 Macquarie Neutral 60
pulled down the order book/sales
ratio to 3.6 times as on 30 June,
compared to 4.1 times a year ago.
Though the situation will remain
16
Sell
equipments sector looks bright be- favourite of analysts. ing weights to each of them (5 for SENSEX
cause the domestic power demand strong buy, 4 for buy, 3 for hold, 97.23
1
100 MARKET PRICE: `47.45
is increasing faster than the capacity additions, which even- 2 for sell and 1 for strong sell) and any improvement in
e/
tually will take the country to a power deficit situation in the consensus analyst rating indicates that the analysts are
next five to seven years. The Centre ’s pet projects like 100% getting more bullish on the stock. To make sure that we
rural electrification, introduction of electric vehicles, etc pick only companies with decent analyst coverage, this
.m
are the factors boosting domestic electricity consumption. search will be restricted to stocks with at least 10 ana-
Since this increased demand cannot be met by renewable lysts covering it. You can see similar consensus analyst 63.61
(hydro, solar or wind) energy sources, coal-based power gen- rating changes during the last one week in ETW 50 table. 19 SEP 2018 BHEL ET CAPITAL GOODS 19 SEP 2019
eration capacity has to increase in coming years. Any kick- —Narendra Nathan
//t
Bharat Heavy Electricals compared with ET Capital Goods. Stock price and index values
normalised to a base of 100. Source: ETIG and Bloomberg.
s:
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Remain constructive on Dishman owing to strong visibility on order book, 15 plus late phase 3
Dishman Carbogen HDFC Sec Buy 172 350 104 molecules, expanded development capacity, its work on new molecules and favorable currency.
Second quarter is likely be robust and match or better than fourth quarter of 2018-19 (the best
Inox Leisure Nirmal Bang Buy 298 432 45 ever). This is in sharp contrast to second quarter of 2018-19 which was weakest that year.
Kajaria Ceramics’ revenue muted in Jul-Aug 2019, due to weak consumer sentiment and floods
Kajaria Ceramics Jefferies India Buy 535 720 35 across regions; expect its revenue and margin traction to revive from second half of 2019-20.
Company aims to improve its efficiency which may help it clock higher margin in nomination-based
Bharat Electronics Motilal Oswal Buy 104 127 22 orders. Another plan is to increase proportion of services in revenue.
Demerger of consumer business provides base business of Tata Chem at `301 / share. Increasing
Tata Chem ICICI Direct Buy 568 690 22 contribution from nutrition is also expected to drive group return ratios and thereby valuations.
Be positive on Blue Star due to improving margin profile, healthy balance sheet, improving return
Blue Star Reliance Sec Buy 720 829 15 ratios and improving market share.
Downgraded to 'reduce' because divestment of Ankleswar assets will impact 2020 earnings (ie
Sanofi India IDBI Cap Reduce 5,666 5,470 -3 cross transfer of certain products from Ankleshwar and Goa may affect operations).
QA
your queries
The Economic Times Wealth September 23-29, 2019 23
&
I bought a single premium Ulip in I am 50 and have taken early
November 2013 for `10 lakh. The retirement. I have `60 lakh invested
sum assured was `12.50 lakh. I in the stock market and I will be
surrendered the policy in July getting `1.5 crore in retirement
2019 and received `15.40 lakh as benefits. I want to know how I should Since the
surrender value (Less TDS @ 1 %). invest this corpus to generate a `2.1 crore
Do I have to pay tax on the entire For policies monthly post-tax income of `1.1 lakh. corpus will
maturity proceeds? I have not purchased Our panel of experts will I live in my own house. Both my be catering
claimed Sec 80 (C) benefits in the after 1
year of investment. I am in the April 2012,
answer questions related to spouse and I have medical and term
cover. I have property worth `65 lakh
to your
30% tax slab. if the any aspect of personal to take care of my teenage daughter’s
monthly
expenses,
premium
paid on the
finance. If you have a query, education and marriage expenses. I
pay insurance premium of capital
rs
policy is less than 10% of the sum assured, the mail it to us right away. approximately `1 lakh per annum. preservation
is primary.
amount received on maturity is exempt from
You require a
tax. This exemption is allowed under Section 10
pe
post-tax monthly income of around `1.1 lakh per
(10D) of the Income Tax Act. In your case, since
the premium is more than 10% of the sum
QUESTION OF THE WEEK month, which means a yearly sum of `13.2 lakh.
This translates to pre-tax returns of around 9%,
assured, the maturity proceeds will be taxable.
which is hard to find in the low-risk product basket.
pa
You will have to declare the net maturity
My father will retire from his Given that you are 50, you are ineligible for
proceeds (total maturity proceeds less sum of
all premiums paid) in your tax return. This
government job next December. government schemes for pensioners. One of the
He will get around `60 lakh in best ways for you to manage your monthly income
should be added to your income under the head
would be to invest your corpus in liquid funds or
‘Income from other sources’
and charged to tax at your
applicable slab rate.
_e
retiral benefits. How should he
invest this money to generate a
monthly income of `30,000,
while keeping the principal
ultra-short duration funds from two different fund
houses and opt for a systematic withdrawal plan
(SWP). Such funds can earn around 7% pre-tax
m
returns and the monthly amount can be fixed as per
intact? He also wants to build an your need. Taking the SWP route will offer you three
Shubham Agrawal emergency fund and invest in benefits: a) it will reduce your tax liability since the
nj
Senior Taxation Advisor, mutual funds. Please advise. principal portion of withdrawal does not attract any
TaxFile.in tax; b) initially the capital gains will be taxed as per
your tax slab and after three years, the same will be
e/
for less than `2 lakh. What Scheme (SCSS). It is the safest investment capital invested can grow to cater to
will be the tax implications? Since the house inflation going forward.
option for retirees and offers 8.6% per an-
was purchased
num, payable quarterly. He can contribute
s:
three decades
`4.5 lakh in the Post Office Monthly In-
ago, the gain will be considered as long term Prableen Bajpai
come Scheme at 7.6 % per annum. As you
capital gains (LTCG). You can consider the Founder, Managing Partner,
tp
want to keep the principal intact, it is ad- FinFix Research & Analytics
market value of the property as on 1 April
visable to save `15.5 lakh in Senior Citizen
2001 as its cost, which would be further
Fixed Deposit and earn 7.3% to 7.5%. Also,
indexed by applying the index for 2019-20.
ht
ZEBRONICS FLYBOT
PEACE BEAT
Even though these are the Flybot is a new entrant and
cheapest, the Zebronics true a relatively unknown brand
wireless earbuds impress with in this space but their budget
their overall performance. They
`2,599 earbuds are great. Both the
offer secure comfortable fit and are earbuds and the charging case
water-resistant. Its charging case is `2,219 are compact making it easier
capable of recharging the earbuds to carry along. Also, these
three times, giving you a total of are amongst the cheapest
10 hours+ usage. You get a multi- to offer Bluetooth 5.0
function button on both earbuds connectivity. Audio quality is
for control. It can work in paired great—bass heavy output with
or individual mode and also has good clarity. You get voice
rs
voice assistant support. The glossy assistant support, IP X5 sweat
finish on the charging case is a bit resistance, secure fit and a
of an issue but for the price we can battery life of more than 24
pe
ignore this. hours.
pa
Best true _e
wireless
m
earbuds on
nj
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`3,799 `4,490
a budget
.m
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demand deep thumping bass from their tonnes of features on a budget. You get USB
headphones. The earbuds are compact in size
so they don’t stick out too much during use were only available for a premium, Type-C port, Bluetooth 5.0 connectivity,
wireless charging support as well as voice
ht
The prices mentioned are taken from e-commerce websites and are subject to change
tax optimiser
The Economic Times Wealth September 23-29, 2019 25
D
elhi-based doctor
Ashish Ranjan pays a
high tax even though
his salary is quite tax
friendly. Taxspanner
INCOME
estimates that Ranjan can reduce FROM EMPLOYER
rs
his tax by almost `50,000 if he opts
for the NPS benefit given by his
pe
company and buys medical insur- ACTIONS
ance for himself and his family. INCOME HEAD CURRENT SUGGESTED TO TAKE
Saving for retirement is critical
for Ranjan because his contribu- Basic salary 13,01,520 13,01,520
pa
tion to the Provident Fund is not Reduce this
House rent allowance 11,10,720 9,80,568 taxable portion of
too big. Ranjan invests in the NPS
the pay package.
under Sec 80CCD(1b) but should
increase this by opting for the NPS Telephone and internet 8,000 8,000
benefit under Section 80CCD(2d).
Up to 10% of the basic salary put in
NPS is tax deductible. If his compa-
ny puts `10,846 (10% of his basic sal-
Newspapers and periodicals
Entertainment allowance
_e 12,000
60,000
12,000
60,000
m
ary) in NPS every month, his tax Driver salary 9,600 9,600
will reduce by about `40,600. But
nj
this will also reduce his monthly Food coupons 26,400 26,400
take-home pay by about `7,500.
Ranjan should opt for an aggres- Training 60,000 60,000
e/
employee and the family is fully Contribution to NPS under Sec Up to 10% of basic
0 1,30,152
covered for medical expenses. 80CCD(2d) salary put in NPS is
tax deductible.
Even so, Ranjan should consider TOTAL 26,09,840 26,09,840
taking a critical illness cover for
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roughly `7,800.
He should also take sufficient
life insurance cover. A term insur- Interest income 2,600 0 Shift to debt funds
tp
Readers’ response, online and in print, to ET Wealth stories has been enlightening.
We pick some that add information and perspective to our articles from previous issues.
This is in reference to the cover The common tendency is to ignore the
story, ‘Active or passive: Which efforts the individual concerned put in
fund strategy works better?’ The to earn that windfall. You notice a
point about underperformers
causing damage to the index was
Stay away from similar attitude in those who have
inherited family wealth. This wealth
well illustrated through the chart.
Investors should heed the data which funds now created by the previous generation by
straightforward means and maintained
shows very clearly how stocks give This refers to the cover story, or increased through the efforts of the
muted returns after inclusion in the ‘Active or passive: Which fund inheritors needs to be preserved and
index. strategy works better?’ If the invested so that it can grow.
Balaji S. Vijay P. Srinivasan
economy as a whole does not
perform, there is no point in
The article, ‘How to work the new loan investing in equity mutual funds, I look forward to the Wealth Whines
rate landscape’, was well written. section. About the article, ‘Should you take
whether passive or active.
rs
Banks earn from net interest margins a home loan jointly with your spouse?’ I
Vilas Save
and fees. World over, banks and strongly feel it is not a good idea. Should
insurance companies are run by the the couple split, the money and asset
pe
rules and rarely fail. They do go sharing can become messy, especially if
through phases when they encounter one spouse bore the EMI burden.
headwinds, but even then they are one Gauri Gupta
of the last institutions to collapse when insurance programme. This will linked to staying fit and driving safely was
pa
an economy runs into trouble. ensure people pay their taxes. If quality very informative and useful. The initiatives This refers to the article, ‘An area close
Manohar Lal healthcare is made available at a nominal by the insurance companies are akin to to work and play’. This was a very well-
cost by the government, people will at least indirect compensation for positive summarised piece on the Mumbai
This refers to the article, ‘Stay know their money is being used for a good behaviour. suburb. Metro has improved
fit, drive safe to keep insurance
premiums low’. The government
should make efforts to bring every
citizen under one common health
welfare programme.
K.K.
Good social infrastructure is the key draw of this south Kolkata suburb.
HOT SPOT
.m
HIGHLIGHTS
Sangali Rabindrapally Consumer preference by
Garia-
Keya Bagan
Colony
New Raipur budget segment (`)
Phase-1
Patuli
Aurobindo
Residential micro-market, well-connected with prominent
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South End
Upanagari hospitals, restaurants and shopping complexes 20%
10-20 lakh
Bansdroni Block H
13%
Garden
PRICE RANGE Block F Key hospitals are Rabindranath Tagore International 29% Others
Bidhanpally Kanungo Park
tp
Saradamani
M
Baliya 3 BHK
Park
ain
33% 55%
4 BHK
Distance from: Schools 15+
20+ Hospitals
Hospitals12+
16+ Restaurants
Restaurants10+
20+
Airport: 25
38 km Railway
Railway
station:
station:
15 km
45 km NH-34: 0 km Banks 14+
20+ Grocery
GroceryStores
Stores12+
20+ Petrol
PetrolPumps
Pumps10+
9+
Consumer preference by
VALUES covered area (sq ft)
PROPERTIES AVAILABLE SECTORS Price Rental 2%
(`/sq ft) (`/month) 9% 750-1,000
1 BHK: 490 (sq ft) 1,000-1,250
3 BHK: 1,220 Garia 2,900-4,900 10,000-16,500 17%
17 lakh (avg) 45% 500-750
` (sq ft) 1,250-1,500
Bansdroni 3,000-4,800 9,800-17,000 27%
53
Others
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direct or indirect losses caused because of readers’ reliance on the same in making any specific or other decisions. Readers are EDITOR: Babar Zaidi (Responsible for selection of news under PRB Act). © Reproduction in whole or in part without written permission of the publisher is prohibited. All rights
recommended to make appropriate enquiries and seek appropriate advice before making any specific or other decisions. reserved. RNI No.: MAHENG/2014/57046. VOLUME 06 NO. 38
THE ECONOMIC TIMES How long
is long
term?
P2
www.etwealth.co | Ahmedabad, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Mumbai, New Delhi, Pune | September 23-29, 2019 | 28 pages | `8
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