Sie sind auf Seite 1von 15

The Globalization of Economic evolution of the major international monetary

regimes, including the gold standard, the


Relations Bretton Woods system and European monetary
integration. The third section discusses trade
István Benczes relations and trade policies, with a special focus
on the unilateral trade regime of the late
In the past 30 years, the term ‘globalization’ nineteenth and early twentieth centuries and
has earned considerable credit in the social the multilateral regime of the post-World War II
sciences and has also gone into common use in era.
public debates. Nevertheless, there is hardly
any consensus on either its precise meaning, or WHAT IS ECONOMIC GLOBALIZATION?
its determining forces or consequences. Held et
According to one of the most often cited
al. (1999) offer a convenient starting point for
definitions, [e]conomic globalization is a
any discussion on globalization by claiming that
historical process, the result of human
it ‘may be thought of initially as the widening,
deepening and speeding up of worldwide innovation and technological progress. It refers
to the increasing integration of economies
interconnectedness in all aspects of
around the world, particularly through the
contemporary social life’ (1999: 2). ‘Aspects’
movement of goods, services, and capital across
can refer to ‘political, technical and cultural, as
borders. The term sometimes also refers to the
well as economic’ features (Giddens, 1999: 10),
movement of people (labor) and knowledge
implying that globalization is best thought of as
(technology) across international borders. (IMF,
a multidimensional phenomenon.
2008)
Consequently, approaching globalization from a
The phenomenon can thus have several
purely economic perspective is ‘ … a categorical
interconnected dimensions, such as (a) the
mistake. That said, few discussions of
globalization can, or do, ignore its economic globalization of trade of goods and services; (2)
the globalization of financial and capital
foundations’ (McGrew, 2008: 280). This chapter
markets; (3) the globalization of technology and
has been written within the spirit of such an
communication; and (4) the globalization of
approach. Without doubt, economic
production.
globalization does not constitute the whole
story of contemporary globalization, but in What makes economic globalization distinct
order to fully understand its meaning and from internationalization is that while the latter
implication, the economic dimension, as one of is about the extension of economic activities of
the major driving forces of the process of nation states across borders, the former is
globalization, requires special attention. ‘functional integration between internationally
dispersed activities’ Dicken (2004: 12). That is,
Following a short introduction, the first section
is dedicated to the clarification of the definition, economic globalization is rather a qualitative
transformation than just a quantitative change.
origin and consequences of economic
If, however, globalization is indeed a ‘complex,
globalization. As the two main fields of
economic globalization have been finance and indeterminate set of processes operating very
unevenly in both time and space’ (Dicken, 2004:
trade, the second section discusses the
xv), a more substantive definition for economic conceive the state as the main shelter from the
globalization is required than the one offered perverse effects of a free market economy. It is,
by the IMF (2008). The definition provided by therefore, misleading to assume that
Szentes (2003: 69) befits the purposes of this globalization has relegated the nation state and
particular chapter: ‘In economic terms its policies to an obsolete or irrelevant status;
globalisation is nothing but a process making governments instead ‘are acting as the
the world economy an “organic system” by midwives of globalization’ (Brodie, 1996: 386).
extending transnational economic processes Even liberals recognize that economic openness
and economic relations to more and more has increased vulnerability, also admitting that
countries and by deepening the economic states (national economic policies and the
interdependencies among them.’ structure of domestic institutions) are not
influenced uniformly by globalization (Milner
The main advantage of the above definition is and Keohane, 1996).
that although it does not deny the relevance of
the ‘international’, ‘regional’ or ‘national’ levels, As new actors appear on the stage of political
it refuses the assumption that the nation (state) and cultural globalization (such as the United
is the only unit of analysis and that current Nations (UN) or non-governmental
trends in the world economy are simply the organizations (NGOs)), economic globalization
redesign of the external relations of interacting produces its own new entrants as well. In all
nations. Instead, it claims that economic probability the major players of presentday
activities and processes (production in global economy are the transnational
particular) can be interpreted only in a global corporations (TNCs). For some, contemporary
context, i.e. in an integrated world economy. globalization is equated primarily with TNCs,
the main driving forces of economic
To what extent is the nation state still a relevant globalization of the last 100 years, accounting
(f)actor is a major topic of current debates. For for roughly two-thirds of world export (Gereffi,
hyperglobalists such as Ohmae (1995), states 2005).1 On the other hand, for realists, TNCs
ceased to exist as primary economic still represent national interest (Gilpin, 2001),
organization units in the wake of a global while others (such as representatives of the
market. People are consuming highly dependency school) are liable to identify TNCs
standardized global products and services with the means through which the rich can
produced by global corporations in a borderless exploit the poor. What is important to note is
world. Globalization transforms the national that TNCs are constantly evolving: as economic
economy into a global one where ‘there will be integration is becoming more intensive,
no national products or technologies, no production disintegrates as a result of the
national corporations, no national industries’ outsourcing activity of multinationals (Feenstra,
(Reich, 1991: 3). 1998). This move induced Gereffi (1999) to
On a more balanced account, Boyer and Drache develop the concept of global commodity
admit that ‘[g]lobalization is redefining the role chains, an idea that reflects upon the increasing
of the nation state as an effective manager of importance of global buyers in a world of
the national economy’ (1996: 1), but refuse the dispersed production.
hypothesis of uniform state policies and
IS ECONOMIC GLOBALIZATION A NEW remarkable achievements were overshadowed
PHENOMENON? by the breathtaking technological advances and
organization methods of the British Industrial
Just as there is no single definition of Revolution.3 From the early 1800s, following
globalization, there is no consensus on its the Napoleonic wars, the industrial revolution
origin, either. Yet, if we accept that economic spread to Continental Europe and North
globalization is a process that creates an America, too.
‘organic system’ of the world economy, it seems
reasonable to look beyond the last 30 years or The economic nationalism of the seventeenth
so. The question necessarily arises how far we and eighteenth centuries, coupled with
should look back. Gills and Thompson (2006: 1) monopolized trade (such as the first
very wittily suggest that globalization processes multinational corporations, the British and the
‘have been ongoing ever since Homo sapiens Dutch East India Companies, established in
began migrating from the African continent 1600 and 1602, respectively) did not favour,
ultimately to populate the rest of the world. however, international economic integration.
Minimally, they have been ongoing since the The total number of ships sailing to Asia from
sixteen-century’s connection of the Americas to major European countries rose remarkably
Afro-Eurasia’. between 1500 and 1800 (in numbers: 770 in the
sixteenth, 3,161 in the seventeenth and 6,661 in
Frank and Gills (1993: 3) also call for a broader the eighteenth century; Maddison, 2001), but
outlook, and located the origin of globalization world export to world GDP did not reach more
in the (very) distant past: ‘the existence of the than 1 to 2 per cent in that period (Held et al.,
same world system in which we live stretches 1999). If global economy did exist in this period,
back at least 5,000 years’. The best known then it was only in the sense of ‘trade and
example of archaic globalization is the Silk exchange, rather than production’ (Gereffi,
Road, which connected Asia, Africa and Europe. 2005: 161). Countries were mostly self-
Adopting Fernand Braudel’s innovative concept sufficient and autarkic, the UK and the
of ‘long duration’, i.e. a slow-moving, ‘almost Netherlands being the only exceptions (though
imperceptible’ (1973: 22) framework for long-distance trade concentrated mostly on
historical analysis, world-systems analysts luxury goods).
identify the origins of modernity and
globalization with the birth of sixteenth century The real break-through came only in the
longdistance trade. nineteenth century. The annual average
compound growth rate of world trade saw a
When Adam Smith wrote his magnum opus, An dramatic increase of 4.2 per cent between 1820
inquiry into the nature and causes of the wealth and 1870, and was still relatively high, at 3.4 per
of nations (1776), he considered the discovery cent between 1870 and 1913 (Maddison, 2001).
of America by Christopher Columbus in 1492 By 1913, trade equalled to 16–17 per cent of
and the discovery of the direct sea route to world income, thanks to the transport
India by Vasco de Gama in 1498 as the two revolution: steamships and railroads reduced
greatest achievements in human history.2 In transaction costs and bolstered both internal
the course of a couple of decades these and international exchange (Held et al., 1999).
The relatively short period before World War I population lives on less than US$1.25 (in
(that is, 1870 to 1913) is often referred to as the purchasing power parity) a day, has been
‘golden age’ of globalization, characterized by especially marginalized by globalization.
relative peace, free trade and financial and
Nevertheless, whereas at the beginning of the
economic stability (O’Rourke and Williamson,
1999). nineteenth century countries were moreor-less
homogenous (i.e. poor and agrarian), by the
The structural transformation of the Western start of contemporary globalization countries
world was, therefore, both a cause and an became highly stratified (Baldwin and Martin,
effect of intensified economic integration. By 1999). The ratio of the richest region’s GDP per
the second half of the nineteenth century, the capita to that of the poorest was only 1.1 in
division of labour entwined modern world 1000, 2 in 1500 and still only 3 in 1820. It
economy. Consequently, sceptics of widened to 5 in 1871 and stood at 9 at the
globalization, such as Hirst and Thompson outbreak of World War I. In 1950 it climbed to
(2002), recognize the origin of globalization in 15 and peaked at 18 at the turn of the new
this particular era and argue that in some millennium (Maddison, 2003).
respects (especially with regard to labour
mobility), nineteenth century world economy Why are less developed regions unable to catch
up with developed ones – as predicted by
was even more integrated than the present.
standard economic theories such as the
CONVERGENCE VERSUS DIVERGENCE neoclassical Solow growth model? Bairoch
(1993) argues that while in the developed part
Contemporary globalization is, however, of the world, industrial revolution and
considered to be a myth (Bairoch, 1993) not just intensified international relations reinforced
because it is not without precedents. More growth and development on an unprecedented
concerns have been raised with regard to its scale (as compared to the previous era), the
impact on the worldwide distribution of rest of the world did not manage to capitalize
income. Those in support of economic on these processes. Reflecting upon the division
globalization emphasize its ability to foster of labour between developed and developing
universal economic growth and development. countries in the nineteenth century, Bairoch
Dollar and Kraay (2002) argue that only non- claimed that ‘the industrialisation of the former
globalizer countries failed to reduce absolute led to the de-industrialisation of the latter’
and relative poverty in the last few decades. On (1998: 11).
the other hand, countries that have embraced
globalization (proxied by trade openness) have The structural deficiencies of the world
benefited from openness considerably.5 economy are heavily emphasized by the
Consequently, ‘the problem […] is not that socalled structuralists. Structuralism is a ‘cluster
there is too much globalization, but that there is of theories which emerged in the 1950s, 1960s
far too little’ (Wolf, 2004: xvii). On a more and 1970s … [and] share the idea that North
balanced account, the World Bank (2002) claims and South are in a structural relationship one to
that globalization can indeed reduce poverty another; that is that both areas are part of a
but it definitely does not benefit all nations. structure that determines the pattern of
SubSaharan Africa, where roughly half of the relationships that emerges’ (Brown, 2001: 197).
The best known critical approach to the bureaucrats. Globalization, the product of the
prevailing social division of labour and global long process of capitalist development, is,
inequalities is offered by worldsystems analysis, therefore, nothing new for world-system
which claims that capitalism under globalization analysts; it is simply the relabelling of old ideas
reinforces the structural patterns of unequal and concepts (Arrighi, 2005).
change. According to Wallerstein, capitalism, ‘a
historical social system’ (1983: 13), created the INTERNATIONAL MONETARY SYSTEMS
dramatically diverging historical level of wages
According to Krasner (1983:2), regimes can be
in the economic arena of the world system.
thought of as all the ‘implicit and explicit
Thus, growing inequality, along with economic
principles, norms, rules, and decision making
and political dependence, are not independent
procedures around which actors’ expectations
at all from economic globalization.
converge’. Consequently, an international
Accordingly, underdevelopment (i.e. a monetary system or regime (IMS) ‘refers to the
persistent lack of economic growth and rules, customs, instruments, facilities, and
development, together with impoverishment organizations for effecting international
and even malnutrition) is not the initial stage of payments’ (Salvatore, 2007: 764). In the liberal
a historical and evolutionary unilinear tradition, the main task of an IMS is to facilitate
development process (as predicted by Rostow, cross-border transactions, especially trade and
1960), but a consequence of colonialism and investment. An international monetary system
imperialism. But while for Hobson (1902/2005) is, however, more than just money or
imperialism was a kind of ‘conscious policy’ currencies; it also reflects economic power and
adopted by leading capitalist nations, interests, as ‘money is inherently political, an
Wallerstein and his followers identified integral part of “high politics” of diplomacy’
imperialism as the product of the world (Cohen, 2000: 91).
capitalist system which has perpetuated
THE GOLD STANDARD
unequal exchange.
The origins of the first modern-day IMS dates
The modern capitalist system is unique in the
back to the early nineteenth century, when the
sense that it created political structures that
UK adopted gold mono-metallism in 1821. Half
guaranteed an endless appropriation and
a century later, in 1867, the European nations,
accumulation of surpluses from the poor (or the
as well as the United States, propagated a
periphery) to the emerging (or the
deliberate shift to gold at the International
semiperiphery) and – in particular – the
Monetary Conference in Paris. Gold was
advanced industrialized (or the core) countries.
believed to guarantee a non-inflationary, stable
It is, however, not just that the periphery is
economic environment, a means for
dependent on the core: the latter’s
accelerating international trade (Einaudi, 2001).
development is also conditioned on the former.
Following Prussia’s victory over France in 1872,
The link between these groups is provided via
Germany joined the new regime. France
trade and financial transactions, and is
decided to do so six years later. With the joining
organized by a dense web of businessmen,
of the United States in 1879, the gold standard
merchants, financial entrepreneurs and state
became the international monetary regime by
1880. Following the joining of Italy (1984) and that the role of a properly designed IMS ‘is to
Russia (1897), roughly 70 per cent of the lend order and stability to foreign exchange
nations participated in the gold standard just markets, to encourage the elimination of
before the outbreak of World War I (Meissner, balance-of-payments problems, and to provide
2005). access to international credits in the event of
disruptive shocks’. The regime was indeed able
In practice, the gold standard functioned as a to create stability; it also helped nations to
fixed exchange rate regime, with gold as the restore equilibrium in their current accounts
only international reserve. Participating and provided an almost unlimited access to
countries determined the gold content of world finance.
national currencies, which in turn defined fixed
exchange rates (or mint parities) as well. The outbreak of World War I brought an end to
Consequently, ‘common adherence to gold the classical gold standard. Participating nations
convertibility … linked the world together gave up convertibility and abandoned gold
through fixed exchange rates’ (Bordo and export in order to stop the depletion of their
Rockoff, 1996: 3). Monetary authorities were national gold reserves. Although the UK did
obliged to exchange their national currencies attempt a return to the gold standard at pre-
for gold at the official exchange rate without war price levels in 1925, it did not finally
limits on international markets. succeed. The overvalued pound sterling and the
emergence of new rivals, especially the United
One of the main strengths of the system was States and France, reduced the competitiveness
the tendency for trade balance to be in of the UK substantially. As opposed to the pre-
equilibrium. Balanced positions were ensured
World War I era, the UK could not finance its
by the automatic price-specie flow mechanism, current account deficit by capital inflow
which assumed a passive change in money anymore; therefore, it had no other choice but
supply and a full flexibility in internal prices. to abandon the gold standard once and for all in
David Hume (1752) was the first to elaborate on
1931.
this mechanism by developing his quantitative
theory of money. Accordingly, as a deficit Indeed, the 1930s became the darkest period
nation’s gold reserves diminished of modern economic history. Competitive
09_Steger(since its import was financed by devaluations, along with tough capital controls
gold), its general price level started to decline as and the imposition of (prohibitive) tariffs,
well, which restored its competitiveness on induced a race to the bottom which culminated
international markets. The price that such in a devastating drop of international
countries had to pay for the automatic transactions. The negative spiral of the 1930s
adjustment mechanism was the loss of provided historical evidence to the close
autonomy in monetary policy. In practice, it also relationship between exchange rate policy and
meant that deficit nations were enforced to trade measures (Eichengreen and Irwin, 2009).
initiate serious deflationary policies. The change from the gold standard to
competitive devaluations and floating was,
In order to assess whether the gold standard however, more than a simple shift from one
was successful, a good reference point is financial regime to another. In Karl Polányi’s
offered by Eichengreen (1996: 1), who claims
(1944) views, the deep structural changes of the Delegates also agreed on the establishment of
time, which were partly the causes and also the two international institutions. The International
consequences of universal suffrage (labourers Banks for Reconstruction and Development
managed to influence domestic politics), made (IBRD) became responsible for post-war
the governments reluctant to defend a pegging reconstruction, while the explicit mandate of
system at any cost. In the classical gold the International Monetary Fund (IMF) was to
standard regime, deflationary policies were promote international financial cooperation and
endorsed without much hesitation. After World buttress international trade. The IMF was
War I, however, labourers became more and expected to safeguard the smooth functioning
more successful in preventing incumbents from of the gold-exchange standard by providing
adopting welfare reducing austerity measures. short-term financial assistance in case of
temporary balance of payments difficulties.
THE BRETTON WOODS SYSTEM
AND ITS DISSOLUTION As opposed to Keynes’s plan of a new
international clearing union, the Bretton Woods
The dramatic consequences of the beggar- system did not prevent countries from running
thyneighbour policies of the inter-war period large and persistent deficits (or surpluses) in
and the wish to return to peace and prosperity their balance of payments. Although nations
impelled the allied nations to start negotiations were allowed to correct the official exchange
about a new international monetary regime in rate in order to eliminate deficits (hence the
the framework of the United Nations Monetary name, adjustable peg system), adjustments did
and Financial Conference in Bretton Woods, not happen frequently. The UK, for instance,
New Hampshire (US), in July 1944. Delegates of was put under constant pressure by speculators
44 countries managed to agree on adopting an to devaluate its currency (it did so only once in
adjustable peg system, the gold-exchange 1967). Abstention from devaluations that were
standard. The US dollar was the only believed to be humiliating triggered investors to
convertible currency of the time, so the United relocate their capital outside Britain.
States committed itself to sell and purchase
gold without restrictions at US$35 dollar an The US’s situation was unique, however. During
ounce. All other participating but non- the first few years of the new regime, the
convertible currencies were fixed to the US country managed to maintain a surplus in its
dollar. The goldexchange standard was not the balance of payments. As soon as Europe
only competing idea on the table, however. The regained its pre-World War II economic power,
British economist, John Maynard Keynes, the external position of the United States
proposed ambitious reforms for the post-war turned into a persistent deficit as a natural
era and recommended the creation of an consequence of becoming an international
international clearing union, a kind of global reserve currency. Nevertheless, by the mid-
bank, along with the introduction of a new unit 1960s, the dollar became excessively
of account, the ‘bancor’ (Keynes, 1942/1969). overvalued vis-à-vis major currencies. As a
Nevertheless, the United States insisted on its response, foreign countries started to deplete
own plan and branded the British proposal as a the US gold reserves. Destabilizing speculations,
serious blow to national sovereignty. fed by the huge balance of payments and trade
deficit, along with inflationary pressures, forced The 1990s saw the triumph of the neoliberal,
the United States to abandon the gold- pro-market Washington Consensus. Its
exchange standard on 15 August, 1971. programme points were advocated and
disseminated by the major international
Although industrialized countries were keen to
financial institutions.8 The IMF used these
return to some kind of a controlled exchange points as part of its adjustment requirements
rate mechanism under the so-called (or conditionalities) in exchange for financial
Smithsonian Agreement (a de facto assistance. Several countries, especially the so-
dollarstandard) in December 1971, neither the called emerging markets such as Mexico, Brazil
devaluation of the US currency (and the or the East Asian tigers, deregulated their
revaluation of the partners’ currencies), nor the financial sectors and fully liberalized capital
dollar’s non-convertibility to gold managed to transactions from the late 1980s onwards.
stabilize world finances. In early 1973, Reforms, however, were not supplemented by
industrialized countries decided to float their strengthened domestic supervision or
currencies and intervene in financial markets monitoring. Additionally, thesecurrencies were
only in case of drastic short-term fluctuations. pegged to the US dollar, which happened to
Longer-term prices of currencies were appreciate substantially during the 1990s and
determined by demand and supply forces caused a loss in the price competitiveness of
exclusively. This shift in exchange rate policy emerging markets. The unregulated and free
was acknowledged by the Jamaica Accords in flow of capital, the huge current account
1976. deficits and the soft pegging regimes made
Managed floating, however, did not perform these economies highly vulnerable, resulting in
any better, either; in fact, advanced countries a financial crisis that first hit Mexico in 1994 and
had to interfere on a few occasions in order to reached East Asia in 1997–8.
avoid calamity. In 1985 for instance, G7 The Washington Consensus and its freemarket
countries agreed on a substantial devaluation of ideology has been criticized by many right from
the US dollar under the Plaza Agreement, as a its conception. Stiglitz (2002) blamed the IMF
result of an increasing pressure of domestic US and its rigid conditionalities for the failed
manufacturers and agrarians to restore their development performance of the periphery. His
competitiveness on world markets. Two years main argument was that free-market policies
later, in 1987, the Louvre Accord was drawn up such as liberalization or privatization could not
in order to defend the dollar from further deliver the expected results in an environment
devaluation on the markets. While the United of imperfect or incomplete markets and
States might have benefited from these globally inadequate or missing institutions. From a
coordinated actions, one of the main losers was wider perspective, Wallerstein (2005)
evidently Japan. The appreciation of the yen commented the change of economic thinking of
proved to be disastrous for the Japanese the late 1980s and early 1990s by arguing that
economy, which faced a decade-long struggle in ‘development was suddenly out. Globalization
the 1990s as a partial consequence of the arrived in its wake … Now, the way to move
‘dollar politics’ (see Destler and Henning, 1989). forward was not to import-substitute but to
export-orient productive activities. Down not
only with nationalized industries but with regime, the European Monetary System (EMS)
capital transfer controls; up with transparent, in 1979. The EMS was a unique system, since
unhindered flows of capital’ (2005: 1265). neither the US dollar, nor gold could play a role
in the stabilization process of exchange rates.
EUROPEAN MONETARY INTEGRATION Instead, a symmetric adjustable peg
arrangement, the European Exchange Rate
In the post-World War II era, the United States
Mechanism, was created (Gros and Thygesen,
originally wanted to implement the
1998).
Morgenthau Plan, which intended to downsize
the German economy into a pastoral and The success of the EMS and the total
agricultural one. As a response to the USSR’s abolishment of capital controls by the end of
push for communism in Eastern Europe and the the 1980s opened the way for Jacques Delors,
rise of socialist and communist parties in the then President of the European Commission, to
West, the plan, however, became quickly propose a radical leap forward in European
abandoned, and the United States started to economic integration. With the support of both
advocate an economically and militarily strong late French President Francois Mitterrand and
Germany and Western Europe. The United German Chancellor Helmut Kohl, the
States activated its post-war reconstruction foundations of a new European Economic and
programme, the Marshall Plan, in 1948, which Monetary Union (EMU) were laid down in the
was administered by the Organization for Maastricht Treaty in 1992. By 1999, the
European Economic Cooperation, the member states of the EMU abandoned their
predecessor of the Organization for Economic national currencies and delegated monetary
Cooperation and Development (OECD). The policy onto a supranational level, administered
miraculous growth performance of Western by the European Central Bank (ECB), whose
Europe prompted a closer cooperation on a primary goal has been the maintenance of price
regional level, resulting finally in the European stability. The first ten years of the EMU were an
Coal and Steel Community in 1951.9 This was evident success for participating countries:
followed by the signing of the Rome Treaty in trade and capital transactions increased;
1957, which established the European economies became more integrated;
Economic Community (EEC), and was the first macroeconomic stability was restored and the
major step towards an ‘ever closer union’. euro became the second most widely used
reserve currency (European Commission, 2008).
The original six founding members
(Germany, France, Italy, Netherlands, Belgium The global financial and economic crisis
and Luxembourg) aimed at the creation of a of 2008–9, however, posed dramatic challenges
common market, where goods, services, capital for the European Union (EU). The euro-area is
and labour moved freely. Originally, the suffering from serious design flaws. The ECB is
European six did not plan any direct not a lender of last resort, that is, it cannot bail
cooperation in the field of finance or exchange out individual countries which have lost their
rate policies. The collapse of the Bretton Woods monetary authority (that is, they cannot
system, however, placed the EEC under devaluate their currency or reduce domestic
pressure, and member countries eventually interest rates in case of troubles). The EU is not
agreed on setting up a regional monetary
a fiscal union either; therefore, it does not have 1995). According to Ricardo (1817), a country
any specific means to fix financial difficulties on such as England could benefit from voluntary
a community level. Yet, the financial and trade even if its trading partner (which in the
economic crisis, which culminated in an EU- original example was Portugal) was more
wide sovereign debt crisis by late 2009, has effective in producing both wine and clothing.
demonstrated that the troubles of some England should specialize in the production of
member states can easily undermine the the good with less disadvantage and let
stability of the whole zone; contagion has Portugal produce the other product. The appeal
become a real threat. As a response to the of the theory is that every single nation must
crisis, the EU enacted a three-pillar financial have a comparative (that is, relative) advantage
rescue programme in 2010, comprising the in something irrespective of its initial
following: (1) the European Financial Stability conditions.
Mechanism, (2) the European Financial Stability
Facility; and (3) the financial assistance of the But trade is not without politics. Alexander
IMF. Since the three-pillar system was designed Hamilton and Friedrich List recognized quite
for a temporary period only, the EU has decided early on (i.e. in the late eighteenth and early
to activate its own permanent rescue facility, nineteenth century, respectively) that voluntary
the European Stability Mechanism, from 2013 trade can have very different distributional
effects and it can also hinder the long-term
onwards.
development prospects of the country
The critics of the Eurozone have always producing the lower value added (i.e.
underlined the fact that EMU would never be agricultural) products. A temporary retreat from
able to qualify for a well-functioning and stable international trade can thus be beneficial for
monetary zone without a common budget of the less effective nation. In his so-called ‘infant
the size of federal countries such as the United industry argument’, List (1841/1928) did not
States (Feldstein, 1997). The future of the EMU oppose the Ricardian comparative advantage
depends on the willingness of member states to theory; but he did warn that trade patterns
agree on more fundamental changes in the should not be considered as static. Instead, by
governance of the Eurozone. One of the most temporarily restricting the free flow of goods, a
promising ideas is to develop the current national industry can be established, thereby
structure into a fiscal union, supported by a fostering long-term economic growth and
pan-European banking supervision. These political power. In the realist and
innovations may lay down the foundations of a (neo)mercantilist school, protection is, in fact,
political union as well in the distant future. still a natural way of securing national
objectives (Gilpin, 2001).
INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND TRADE POLICIES
Reformist and radical (new left and
The late Nobel-laureate economist, Paul
neoMarxian) theorists, such as Emmanuel
Samuelson, was once asked if he could name (1972) or Amin (1976), argued, however, that
one proposition which he considered as both unequal exchange is a fundamental and
valid and non-trivial in the social sciences. systemic distinguishing characteristic of modern
Samuelson famously referred to David Ricardo’s world economy.11 The social division of labour
comparative advantage theory (Samuelson,
contributes to the economic development of UNILATERAL TRADE ORDER
the core and hinders development at the
periphery. By grasping the leading role in the In seventeenth and eighteenth century Europe
transformation of the world economy, Europe, international trade was basically a means to
and later on its Western offshoots, managed to accumulate surplus (gold reserves) in the
gain control of the rest of the world, creating a balance of payments by stimulating export and
unique and unfair global division of labour restricting import. The mercantilist era of the
(Wallerstein, 1974, 1980).12 Core economies time was best characterized, therefore, as a
‘have had [thus] the best of two worlds, both as zero-sum game on the global level. Trade and
consumers of primary commodities and as trade policies served the interest of monarchs
producers of manufactured articles, whereas from Portugal to England, who financed wars
the underdeveloped countries had the worst of and consolidated authority over domestic
both worlds, as consumers of manufactures and constituents with the help of accumulated gold
as producers of raw materials’ (Singer, 1964: stocks.
167).13 According to Amin (1993), if the world
The surge of international trade arrived only
economy is such that it benefits core countries
with Europe’s industrial revolution and the
at the expense of the periphery, the latter
consequent repeal of the British Corn Laws in
should adopt protectionism in its extreme form
1846 in particular. Industrialists triumphed over
of de-linking, i.e. a total breaking up of the ties
landowners and farmers, opening the way for
between the subordinated developing
further industrialization in Britain. The so-called
economies and the core.
Cobden-Chevalier treaty of 1860 allowed the UK
International trade can trigger tensions not just and France to specialize in commodities based
between nations, but also within a particular on their respective comparative advantages and
country. Gains from trade within a country will to achieve further advances in industrialization.
affect the relative well-being of its citizens, Voluntary trade also helped to avoid the
especially producers and consumers, eruption of an abrupt war between the two
differently, who will, therefore, either support countries (Dunham, 1930).15 Several other
or oppose trade. Based on the Stolper– bilateral trade agreements followed suit across
Samuelson theorem, which claims that Europe, each built upon the so-called most-
international trade benefits the domestically favoured nation (MFN) principle, which stated
abundant factor of production (land, labour or that any negotiated reciprocal tariff reductions
capital) and weakens the scarce factor, between two parties should be extended to all
Rogowski (1990) managed to demonstrate how other trading partners without conditions.
the owners of the locally abundant factor of Overall average tariffs declined from 16.3 per
production increase their political power and cent (1859) to 6.3 per cent (1875) in Britain,
influence as well. Consequently, the coalitions from 11.8 per cent to 6.5 per cent in France,
of potential losers of trade provide permanent from 7.1 per cent to 2.5 per cent in Germany
source for a strong advocacy of protectionism and from 7.3 per cent to 3.6per cent in Austria-
from the least developed countries to the most Hungary (Lampe, 2008). Europe witnessed the
advanced economies, including the EU or the emergence of a sort of multilateral system of
United States. bilateral agreements, giving birth to the ‘first
common market’ in the second half of the The enactment of the US Reciprocal Trade
nineteenth century (Marsh, 1999). Agreements Act in 1934 eventually put a stop to
any further decline in international trade. The
The era, however, was not without conflicts Act allowed the president to determine trade
and interruptions to free trade (Findlay and
policies and also eased the pressure put on the
O’Rourke, 2007). The United States adopted a Congress for protection. In practice, the Act was
highly protective import substitution a return to the principle of MFN and it provided
industrialization with tariffs on manufacturing a solid base for a renewed international trade
goods, averaging at 45 per cent. From the 1860s
regime following World War II.
onwards, France, the Scandinavian countries
and to a lesser extent even the UK enacted a MULTILATERALISM: FROM THE GATT TO
few protectionist measures as a response to the THE WTO
inflow of cheap agricultural products from the
overseas territories and the industrialization While the United States was reluctant to take a
efforts of catching-up countries like Germany leadership role after World War I, this was
and the United States. Nevertheless, neither the naturally not the case two-and-a-half decades
prevailing unilateral trade regime, nor the later. The dollar became a world currency,
hegemonic position of the UK was threatened. backed by two-thirds of the world’s gold
Britain remained powerful enough both in reserve in 1950 (Green, 1999). The United
economic and military terms; it could also rely States was the largest aid donor, mostly in the
on the vast reserves of its colonies, especially form of the Marshall Plan. Due to the total
India (Arrighi and Silver, 2003). collapse of the European and Japanese
manufacturing industries, the global role of US
World War I, however, was a dramatic blow to manufacturing increased substantially,
free trade. Protectionism, in turn, was accounting for 60 per cent of the world’s total
detrimental to development, peace and stability in 1950, while its export amounted to one-third
(Ruggie, 1982). Two rounds of World Economic of the world’s total (Branson et al., 1980).
Conferences in 1927 and 1933 failed to deliver
tariff reductions and exchangerate stabilization As opposed to the pre-World War I regime of
because of the unwillingness of the United non-institutionalized unilateralism, the new
States to take the role of the hegemon as a trade regime was more or less a liberal,
successor of a weakened Great Britain. multilateral rules-based system backed by a
Domestic politics in the United States evidently solid legal approach to trade relations (Winham,
turned against restrictions-free trade as a 2008). According to Ruggie (1982), it was a
consequence of the Great Depression of 1929– compromise between the extreme liberal
33. The Smoot-Hawley Act of 1930 increased international regime of the long nineteenth
tariffs to record-high levels in the United States. century and the economic nationalism of the
Retaliation was the rational response from inter-war period.
trading partners and international trade
Originally, the new international trade regime
dropped by one- to two-thirds as a
should have been steered by the International
consequence (Irwin, 1998).
Trade Organization (ITO), which was originally
conceived as one of the three pillars of the
Bretton Woods system (the other two being the (including manufacturing capacities) based on
IMF and the IBRD). Although the United States principles other than comparative advantage.
played an undisputable role in creating the ITO, By the early 1980s, intra-industry or even inter-
a series of vetoes in the US Congress blocked its company trade has become the determining
formation. In place of a unique trade feature of the international division of labour
organization, nations committed to a world of (Dunning, 1990.) The pervasive influence of
lowered tariffs decided to coordinate their TNCs resulted in a change in the politics of
actions under the auspices of the General trade. According to Held and McGrew (2001:
Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT). 325), ‘it is global corporate capital, rather than
states, which exercises decisive influence over
The GATT exerted influence via a series of the organization, location and distribution of
multilateral trade negotiations (or rounds). The economic power and resources’ in the
first five rounds concentrated on tariff cuts contemporary world economy.
exclusively (see Table 9.1). From 1964 onwards,
the scope of trade negotiations experienced a The Uruguay Round extended multilateral rules
slow but steady expansion. The creation of the to new issues and sectors, such as agriculture
European Economic Community in 1957 (which culminated in a bitter dispute between
enforced the United States to adopt the Trade the United States and the EU). Furthermore, it
Expansion Act of 1962 and to call for a new invited a large number of developing countries
round, the so-called Kennedy Round. The result to participate in trade negotiations, and it also
was an across-the-board cutting (replacing the created a new and more efficient dispute
previous practice of item-by-item cuts) and settlement mechanism (Walter and Sen, 2009).
reduction of non-tariff barriers, especially that The major outcomes of the trade negotiations
of anti-dumping measures (Evans, 1971). In the were the agreements on trade-related
1970s, the Tokyo Round proceeded with the investment measures (TRIMs), trade in services
same extended mandate, and, besides tariff (GATS) and traderelated aspects of intellectual
cuts, it also adopted a series of codes of property rights (TRIPs). The agreements were
conduct, such as the subsidies code or the advocated by major advanced countries and
government procurement code (Deardorff and targeted mostly developing nations with huge
Stern, 1983). service market potential (especially in finance
and telecommunication).
The most famous multilateral trade
negotiations were carried out under the After almost 50 years of rules-based trade
Uruguay Round between 1986 and 1994. While negotiations, the Uruguay Round gave birth to a
earlier trade negotiations proved to be ‘real’ international trade institution, the World
successful in reducing tariffs, a series of other Trade Organization. The WTO was launched on
punitive measures (namely non-tariff barriers) 1 January 1995 and has become an official
were imposed by countries. Also, the pattern of forum for trade negotiations. As opposed to the
international trade changed dramatically. Trade GATT, it is a formally constituted organization
gravitated to multi- or transnational with legal personality.
corporations, which tried to optimize their
operations worldwide by allocating resources Although the developing countries represented
a unified front for a new round of trade
negotiations in Seattle, 1999, the ministerial an outward-oriented development strategy,
conference closed without reaching concrete most of the developing countries did not
results. Nevertheless, Seattle demonstrated the manage to integrate into the post-World War II
strength of NGOs and anti-globalization trading system successfully. On the one hand,
movements, which protested not only in favour they followed an inward-looking, import-
of the disadvantaged and less-developed substitution industrialization strategy, which did
countries but also against the current status not favour trade openness (Findlay and
quo of world affairs – including the dominance O’Rourke, 2007). On the other hand, advanced
of the US economy, the selfish interest of large economies were also reluctant to open their
multinational corporations and the assumed markets to commodities such as textile or
discriminatory workings of the WTO. agriculture products in which developing
countries had a natural comparative advantage.
Expectations were once again on the rise in
Doha in 2001. The quasi-official Doha Round The first major change in this state of affairs
could have become a round on economic happened in 1964, when the United Nations
development, but the positions of the opposing Conference on Trade and Development
parties were so rigid that it eventually failed to (UNCTAD) was established with the joint effort
meet expectations. Developing nations insisted of the developing world. The aim of UNCTAD
on the correct and full implementation of the was to promote trade and cooperation between
Uruguay Agreement (especially in the sphere of the developing and the developed nations. A
agriculture), while the United States tried to decade later plans for a new international
keep labour and environmental issues on the economic order were laid down, with the
agenda, and the EU wished to negotiate and multiple objectives of providing preferential
codify competition and investment policies. access to advanced countries’ markets,
None of the following ministerial conferences renegotiating debt, establishing international
could reach a real breakthrough.17 The commodity agreement (to stabilize primary
stalemate between the two major camps, product prices),18 providing transfer of
however, pushed developing countries to unite technology, and increasing aid substantially
and strengthen their positions within the WTO (Salvatore, 2007). Nevertheless, the two oil
by forming a pressure group called the Group of crises and the consequent slowing down of
20 (G20). The unprecedented coalition accounts economic activity in the developed nations
for almost two-thirds of the world’s population swept these initiatives away. Instead, advanced
and onequarter of global agricultural export countries adopted highly protective measures
(Narlikar and Tussie, 2004). (both tariffs and non-tariff measurements) in
order to cushion the negative effects of the
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES AND economic stagnation of the 1980s.
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
The change in the behaviour of developing
Developing nations did not participate actively countries arrived with the Uruguay Round.
in multilateral trade negotiations for a relatively Originally, the round was meant to be a grand
long time. Apart from the socalled East Asian bargain between developed and developing
newly industrializing countries, which adopted economies (Ostry, 2002). The former were
expected to open their markets, especially to widely at the onset of their own development.
agricultural and textile products, whereas the It is hypocritical, therefore, to enforce
latter accepted the new regulation on developing countries to fully liberalize their
intellectual property rights and services. While trade and financial sector.
developing countries have opened up their
service markets, their export of agricultural All in all, the current trade regime and
products is still blocked by advanced nations. especially its main propagator, the WTO, is
Agriculture has a share of one-third to a half of heavily criticized for ‘a striking asymmetry.
the total economic output in most developing National boundaries should not matter for
countries. Without the liberalization of trade flows and capital flows but should be
agriculture, it is simply impossible for clearly demarcated for technology flows and
developing nations to fully integrate into the labor flows … This asymmetry … lies at the heart
global economy. of inequality in the rules of the game for
globalization’ (Nayyar, 2002: 158).
By quantifying the gains from the round,
Harrison et al. (1997) argued that the aggregate DISCUSSION QUESTIONS
welfare gains were between US$100 (in the 1 Why did the Bretton Woods System collapse
short run) and US$170 billion (in the long run) in the 1970s?
annually. Developing countries, however, might
have easily found themselves on the losers’ side 2 In what ways is market globalism embedded
– at least in the short term. Hertel et al. (1998) in contemporary global economic relations?
have also acknowledged that Africa is a
3 To what degree has intergovernmental
potential loser of the Uruguay Round. Khor
cooperation to limit exchange rate volatility
(1995) thus views the WTO as the means by
enabled the globalization of finance?
which industrialized countries can gain access
to the markets of developing countries.

In fact, a number of criticisms have been voiced


with regard to the current trade regime. Wade
(2003), for example, has condemned the three
major trade agreements, i.e. the TRIMS, the
GATS and the TRIPS, for constraining the
available set of industrial policies for
development to such an extent that
development ladder of developing economies
had been practically kicked away. DiCaprio and
Amsden (2004) regard the WTO as a logical
consequence of the Washington Consensus
approach to development, which considers
domestic interventions highly distortive and
ineffective. Stiglitz (2002) argues that today’s
advanced economies applied such ‘distortions’

Das könnte Ihnen auch gefallen