Africa Economic, Banking and Systemic Crisis Data

Published By:-Chiri

Introduction:-
The dataset specifically focuses on the Banking, Debt, Financial,
Inflation and Systemic Crises that occurred, from 1860 to 2014, in 13 African
countries, including: Algeria, Angola, Central African Republic, Ivory Coast,
Egypt, Kenya, Mauritius, Morocco, Nigeria, South Africa, Tunisia, Zambia and
Zimbabwe.

Pre-Process:-

Visualization of data:-
Attribute 1-case:

It shows statistical value also its type is numeric and data is nominal type .it
contain minimum value ,maximum value and difference between two value that is
mean value so we have to calculate standard deviation (stdDev)
Attribute-2: it’s count and weight of that country and shows the result in the form
of graph

Attribute-3:country
Attribute-4: Year
Attribute-5: Systemic Crisis
Classify:-

=== Detailed Accuracy By Class ===

TP Rate FP Rate Precision Recall F-Measure MCC

ROC Area PRC Area Class
1.000 0.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000
1.000 DZA
1.000 0.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000
1.000 AGO
 1.000 0.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000
1.000 CAF
1.000 0.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000
1.000 CIV
1.000 0.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000
1.000 EGY
1.000 0.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000
1.000 KEN
1.000 0.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000
1.000 MUS
1.000 0.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000
1.000 MAR
1.000 0.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000
1.000 NGA
1.000 0.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000
1.000 ZAF
1.000 0.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000
1.000 TUN
1.000 0.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000
1.000 ZMB
1.000 0.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000
1.000 ZWE
Weighted Avg. 1.000 0.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000
1.000 1.000

=== Confusion Matrix ===

 a b c d e f g h i j k l m <-- classified as
85 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | a = DZA
0 77 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | b = AGO
0 0 58 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | c = CAF
0 0 0 63 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | d = CIV
0 0 0 0 155 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | e = EGY
0 0 0 0 0 67 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | f = KEN
0 0 0 0 0 0 68 0 0 0 0 0 0 | g = MUS
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 75 0 0 0 0 0 | h = MAR
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 60 0 0 0 0 | i = NGA
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 114 0 0 0 | j = ZAF
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 75 0 0 | k = TUN
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 72 0 | l = ZMB
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 90 | m = ZWE

=== Run information ===

Scheme: weka.classifiers.rules.ZeroR
Relation: african_crises
Instances: 105
Attributes: Relative absolute error 100 %
Root relative squared error 100 %

Total Number of Instances 1059

 === Detailed Accuracy By Class ===
TP Rate FP Rate Precision Recall F-Measure MCC ROC Area PRC Area Class

0.000 0.000 0.000 ? ? 0.486 0.087 crisis

1.000 1.000 0.911 1.000 0.954 ? 0.486 0.909 no_crisis

Weighted Avg 0.911 0.911 ? 0.911 ? 0.486 0.836

=== Confusion Matrix ===

a b <-- classified as
0 94 | a = crisis
0 965 | b = no_crisis
Independence

"0" means "no independence" and "1" means "independence"

currency_crises
"0" means that no currency crisis occurred in the year and "1" means that a
currency crisis occurred in the year

Inflation_crises
"0" means that no inflation crisis occurred in the year and "1" means that an
inflation crisis occurred in the yea banking_crisis:"no_crisis" means that no
banking crisis occurred in the year and "crisis" means that a banking crisis
occurred in the year
Cluster:

=== Model and evaluation on training set ===

Clustered Instances

0 67 ( 6%)
1 36 ( 3%)
2 129 ( 12%)
3 93 ( 9%)
4 718 ( 68%)
5 16 ( 2% ) Log likelihood: -12.03573
Clustered Instances

0 442 ( 42%)
1 134 ( 13%)
2 106 ( 10%)
3 377 ( 36%)
likelihood: -11.11016

Representation of 14 of 14 coloumn:
Association:-