Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
MT
ZONA 1 ZONA 2 ZONA 3 TOTAL
2000 13,429 0 1,801 15,229
2001 15,756 11 1,653 17,419
2002 20,732 182 1,646 22,560
2003 21,942 956 1,782 24,680
2004 23,414 1,209 2,311 26,934
2005 23,098 1,529 2,585 27,211
2006 22,171 3,568 2,796 28,535
2007 20,997 2,846 2,841 26,684
2008 22,728 3,755 3,537 30,019
2009 23,921 3,662 3,932 31,515
2010 27,066 3,937 4,412 35,416
2011 31,708 1,713 4,877 38,298
2012 30,075 4,088 5,980 40,143
2013 30,716 2,847 6,497 40,059
2014 36,702 2,976 8,029 47,707
2015 42,010 3,598 10,333 55,942
2016 48,347 4,194 11,361 63,901
2017 54,862 5,006 12,627 72,494
2018 70,457 6,098 13,243 89,798
MT+BT
ZONA 1 ZONA 2 ZONA 3 TOTAL
2000 133,108 18,921 10,904 162,933
2001 137,032 18,656 11,372 167,060
2002 141,370 18,302 12,518 172,190
2003 140,287 18,889 12,076 171,252
2004 148,415 19,955 12,861 181,231
2005 149,318 20,196 12,845 182,359
2006 156,054 24,337 13,948 194,339
2007 159,663 24,480 14,703 198,846
2008 172,466 26,615 16,999 216,080
2009 181,749 29,842 18,526 230,117
2010 199,684 32,555 20,337 252,576
2011 216,318 36,011 22,950 275,279
2012 231,486 39,201 27,382 298,069
2013 243,554 42,014 31,981 317,549
2014 266,796 47,148 39,982 353,926
2015 288,924 51,719 49,317 389,960
2016 314,492 55,786 56,701 426,979
2017 341,569 61,223 61,863 464,655
2018 373,359 63,621 65,286 502,265
VENTAS DE ENERGIA HISTORICA - REGULADO (MT+BT) (MW.h)
t Año ZONA 1 PROY POLIN ZONA 2 ZONA 3 TOTAL ZONA 1 LIN
1 2000 133,108 18,921 10,904 162,933 96,014
2 2001 137,032 2.95% 18,656 11,372 167,060 108,712
3 2002 141,370 3.17% 18,302 12,518 172,190 121,410
4 2003 140,287 -0.77% 18,889 12,076 171,252 134,108
5 2004 148,415 5.79% 19,955 12,861 181,231 146,806
6 2005 149,318 0.61% 20,196 12,845 182,359 159,504
7 2006 156,054 4.51% 24,337 13,948 194,339 172,202
8 2007 159,663 2.31% 24,480 14,703 198,846 184,900
9 2008 172,466 8.02% 26,615 16,999 216,080 197,598
10 2009 181,749 5.38% 29,842 18,526 230,117 210,296
11 2010 199,684 9.87% 32,555 20,337 252,576 222,994
12 2011 216,318 8.33% 36,011 22,950 275,279 235,692
13 2012 231,486 7.01% 39,201 27,382 298,069 248,390
14 2013 243,554 5.21% 42,014 31,981 317,549 261,088
15 2014 266,796 9.54% 47,148 39,982 353,926 273,786
16 2015 288,924 8.29% 51,719 49,317 389,960 286,484
17 2016 314,492 8.85% 55,786 56,701 426,979 299,182
18 2017 341,569 8.61% 61,223 61,863 464,655 311,880
19 2018 373,359 9.31% 63,621 65,286 502,265 324,578
20 2019 402,714 7.86% 402713.9292 337,276
21 2020 433,804 7.72% 433804.0338 349,974
22 2021 466,629 7.57% 466628.8279 362,672
23 2022 501,188 7.41% 501188.3113 375,370
24 2023 537,482 7.24% 537482.4842 388,068
25 2024 575,511 7.08% 575511.3464 400,766
26 2025 615,275 6.91% 615274.8979 413,464
27 2026 656,773 6.74% 656773.1389 426,162
28 2027 700,006 6.58% 700006.0693 438,860
29 2028 744,974 6.42% 744973.689 451,558
30 2029 791,676 6.27% 791675.9981 464,256
31 2030 840,113 6.12% 840112.9966 476,954
32 2031 890,285 5.97% 890284.6845 489,652
33 2032 942,191 5.83% 942191.0617 502,350
34 2033 995,832 5.69% 995832.1284 515,048
35 2034 1,051,208 5.56% 1051207.884 527,746
36 2035 1,108,318 5.43% 1108318.33 540,444
37 2036 1,167,163 5.31% 1167163.465 553,142
38 2037 1,227,743 5.19% 1227743.289 565,840
39 2038 1,290,058 5.08% 1290057.802 578,538
MW.h
7.37% 162661.28 5.46% 200,000
6.87% 172793.27 6.23% 150,000
6.43% 184636.00 6.85% 100,000
6.04% 198189.47 7.34%
50,000
5.69% 213453.68 7.70%
5.39% 230428.63 7.95% 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
5.11% 249114.32 8.11%
4.86% 8.19% Tiempo
269510.75
4.64% 291617.92 8.20%
4.43% 315435.83 8.17%
4.24% 340964.48 8.09%
4.07% 368203.87 7.99%
3.91% 397,154 7.86%
3.76% 427,815 7.72%
3.63% 460,186 7.57%
3.50% 494,269 7.41%
3.38% 530,062 7.24%
3.27% 567,566 7.08%
3.17% 606,780 6.91%
3.07% 647,706 6.74%
2.98% 690,342 6.58%
2.89% 734,688 6.42%
2.81% 780,746 6.27%
2.74% 828,514 6.12%
2.66% 877,993 5.97%
2.59% 929,183 5.83%
2.53% 982,084 5.69%
2.47% 1,036,695 5.56%
2.41% 1,093,017 5.43%
2.35% 1,151,049 5.31%
2.30% 1,210,793 5.19%
2.24% 1,272,247 5.08%
100,000
50,000
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
250,000 f(x) = 10441.5654910109x + 75348.1446780922
R² = 0.9127910183
200,000
MW.h
150,000
250,000
MW.h
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
po Tiempo
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
75348.1446780922 R² = 0.9980247608
300,000
250,000
MW.h
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
po Tiempo
RESUMEN PROYECCION DE VENTAS DE ENERGIA (MW.h)
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
BT 302,901.18 320,586.08 338,850.63 357,675.21 377,041.54 396,932.64
% 5.84% 5.70% 5.56% 5.41% 5.28%
MT 70,457.33 82,127.85 94,953.40 108,953.62 124,146.77 140,549.85
% 16.56% 15.62% 14.74% 13.94% 13.21%
BT+MT 373,358.51 402,713.93 433,804.03 466,628.83 501,188.31 537,482.48
% 7.86% 7.72% 7.57% 7.41% 7.24%
2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031
417,332.72 438,227.15 459,602.29 481,445.46 503,744.85 526,489.46 549,668.98 573,273.78
5.14% 5.01% 4.88% 4.75% 4.63% 4.52% 4.40% 4.29%
158,178.62 177,047.75 197,170.85 218,560.61 241,228.84 265,186.54 290,444.02 317,010.91
12.54% 11.93% 11.37% 10.85% 10.37% 9.93% 9.52% 9.15%
575,511.35 615,274.90 656,773.14 700,006.07 744,973.69 791,676.00 840,113.00 890,284.68
7.08% 6.91% 6.74% 6.58% 6.42% 6.27% 6.12% 5.97%
Chart Title
800,000.00
700,000.00
600,000.00
500,000.00
400,000.00
300,000.00
200,000.00
100,000.00
0.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
Row 5 Row 7
2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038
597,294.81 621,723.59 646,552.13 671,772.90 697,378.77 723,363.03 749,719.29
4.19% 4.09% 3.99% 3.90% 3.81% 3.73% 3.64%
344,896.25 374,108.54 404,655.75 436,545.43 469,784.69 504,380.26 540,338.51
8.80% 8.47% 8.17% 7.88% 7.61% 7.36% 7.13%
942,191.06 995,832.13 ### ### ### ### ###
5.83% 5.69% 5.56% 5.43% 5.31% 5.19% 5.08%
17 18 19 20 21
RESUMEN PROYECCION DE VENTAS DE ENERGIA (MW.h)
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
BT 327,284.72 346,393.26 366,128.11 386,468.06 407,393.38 428,885.71
% 5.84% 5.70% 5.56% 5.41% 5.28%
MT 71,359.19 83,179.08 96,168.80 110,348.23 125,735.85 142,348.89
% 16.56% 15.62% 14.74% 13.94% 13.21%
BT+MT 398,643.91 429,572.35 462,296.91 496,816.29 533,129.23 571,234.60
% 7.76% 7.62% 7.47% 7.31% 7.15%
2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031
450,928.01 473,504.44 496,600.27 520,201.82 544,296.31 568,871.86 593,917.33 619,422.31
5.14% 5.01% 4.88% 4.75% 4.63% 4.52% 4.40% 4.29%
160,203.31 179,313.96 199,694.64 221,358.19 244,316.56 268,580.93 294,161.70 321,068.65
12.54% 11.93% 11.37% 10.85% 10.37% 9.93% 9.52% 9.15%
611,131.32 652,818.39 696,294.91 741,560.00 788,612.88 837,452.79 888,079.03 940,490.96
6.98% 6.82% 6.66% 6.50% 6.35% 6.19% 6.05% 5.90%
2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038
645,377.04 671,772.34 698,599.58 725,850.62 753,517.76 781,593.75 810,071.69
4.19% 4.09% 3.99% 3.90% 3.81% 3.73% 3.64%
349,310.92 378,897.13 409,835.35 442,133.21 475,797.94 510,836.33 547,254.85
8.80% 8.47% 8.17% 7.88% 7.61% 7.36% 7.13%
994,687.97 ### ### ### ### ### ###
5.76% 5.63% 5.50% 5.37% 5.25% 5.13% 5.02%
RESUMEN PROYECCION DE POTENCIA NO COINCIDENTE (MW)
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
BT+MT 70.45 75.92 81.70 87.80 94.22 100.95
% 7.76% 7.62% 7.47% 7.31% 7.15%
�(𝑀𝑊)=(𝐸(𝑀𝑊.ℎ))/(𝐹𝐶∗𝑡(ℎ))
2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031
108.00 115.37 123.05 131.05 139.37 148.00 156.94 166.21
6.98% 6.82% 6.66% 6.50% 6.35% 6.19% 6.05% 5.90%
𝑡(ℎ))
2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038
175.78 185.68 195.89 206.41 217.25 228.40 239.87
5.76% 5.63% 5.50% 5.37% 5.25% 5.13% 5.02%
PORCENTAJE DE PERDIDAS ESTANDARES
ZONA01 ZONA02 ZONA03
MT 1.0128 1.0269 1.0366
BT 1.0805 1.0643 1.0658
Máxima demanda del sistema eléctrico
Fecha Hora BARRA KW BARRA KVAR
8/12/2018 0.15 22915 7532
8/12/2018 0.30 22124 7272
8/12/2018 0.45 21388 7030
8/12/2018 1.00 20394 6703
8/12/2018
8/12/2018
8/12/2018
1.15
1.30
1.45
19669
19169
18764
6465
6300
6167
𝐹𝐶=�_𝑚𝑒𝑑/�_𝑚𝑎𝑥
8/12/2018 2.00 18392 6045
8/12/2018 2.15 18228 5991
8/12/2018 2.30 18290 6012
8/12/2018 2.45 18138 5962
8/12/2018 3.00 17829 5860
8/12/2018 3.15 17808 5853
8/12/2018 3.30 17692 5815
8/12/2018 3.45 17720 5824
8/12/2018 4.00 17604 5786
8/12/2018 4.15 17797 5850
8/12/2018 4.30 17971 5907
8/12/2018 4.45 18106 5951
8/12/2018 5.00 18513 6085
8/12/2018 5.15 18855 6197
8/12/2018 5.30 19744 6489
8/12/2018 5.45 20706 6806
8/12/2018 6.00 20990 6899
8/12/2018 6.15 20917 6875
8/12/2018 6.30 24094 7919
8/12/2018 6.45 26325 8653
8/12/2018 7.00 27683 9099
8/12/2018 7.15 28865 9487
8/12/2018 7.30 29287 9626
8/12/2018 7.45 29385 9659
8/12/2018 8.00 29297 9629
8/12/2018 8.15 30129 9903
8/12/2018 8.30 30516 10030
8/12/2018 8.45 31087 10218
8/12/2018 9.00 31365 10309
8/12/2018 9.15 31513 10358
8/12/2018 9.30 31686 10415
8/12/2018 9.45 32049 10534
8/12/2018 10.00 32496 10681
8/12/2018 10.15 32441 10663
8/12/2018 10.30 32655 10733
8/12/2018 10.45 32597 10714
8/12/2018 11.00 32819 10787
8/12/2018 11.15 33224 10920
8/12/2018 11.30 33198 10912
8/12/2018 11.45 33163 10900
8/12/2018 12.00 33452 10995
8/12/2018 12.15 32879 10807
8/12/2018 12.30 32539 10695
8/12/2018 12.45 32378 10642
8/12/2018 13.00 31889 10481
8/12/2018 13.15 31765 10441
8/12/2018 13.30 31741 10433
8/12/2018 13.45 32143 10565
8/12/2018 14.00 32374 10641
8/12/2018 14.15 33091 10876
8/12/2018 14.30 33933 11153
8/12/2018 14.45 35009 11507
8/12/2018 15.00 35803 11768
8/12/2018 15.15 36611 12034
8/12/2018 15.30 37378 12286
8/12/2018 15.45 37369 12283
8/12/2018 16.00 37791 12421
8/12/2018 16.15 37875 12449
8/12/2018 16.30 37731 12402
8/12/2018 16.45 37560 12345
8/12/2018 17.00 37825 12433
8/12/2018 17.15 38014 12495
8/12/2018 17.30 39506 12985
8/12/2018 17.45 42767 14057
8/12/2018 18.00 46191 15182
8/12/2018 18.15 48051 15794
8/12/2018 18.30 49000 16105
8/12/2018 18.45 49107 16141
8/12/2018 19.00 49110 16142
8/12/2018 19.15 49110 16142
8/12/2018 19.30 49045 16120
8/12/2018 19.45 48723 16015
8/12/2018 20.00 48195 15841
8/12/2018 20.15 47893 15742
8/12/2018 20.30 47529 15622
8/12/2018 20.45 46949 15431
8/12/2018 21.00 46627 15326
8/12/2018 21.15 45082 14818
8/12/2018 21.30 43391 14262
8/12/2018 21.45 41838 13751
8/12/2018 22.00 40233 13224
8/12/2018 22.15 37786 12420
8/12/2018 22.30 35514 11673
8/12/2018 22.45 33387 10974
8/12/2018 23.00 31345 10303
8/12/2018 23.15 29248 9613
8/12/2018 23.30 27427 9015
8/12/2018 23.45 25495 8380
8/12/2018 24.00 24114 7926
FC
FCP
FS