performing Industry analysis? OBJECTIVE OF INDUSTRY ANALYSIS
• To find out whether to invest in the
“selected Industry” or not FIRST STAGE BASIC REQUIREMENTS • Select 3-5 listed companies • Download the financial statements of the companies : Income statement, Balance sheet, and cash flow statement for the past 5-7 years • Create the commons size statements • Create Comparative statement analysis (CAGR for important parameters) • Calculate all the important ratios & Du Pont Analysis • Calculate the industry aggregates • Make tables / graphs to bring it inside the reports • Analyse and Interpret RATIO ANALYSIS • Comparative statement analysis • Common size statement analysis • Compare it with peers as well with industry aggregates • For a period of 5-7 years • Based on the cyclicality of sales • Du-Pont Analysis TO COME TO THAT CONCLUSION YOU NEED TO COMMENT ON THE FOLLOWING: • Profitability : Sales, Assets • Asset Turnover • Equity Multiplier • Valuation • Liquidity PROFITABILITY • Whether the companies in the selected industries have been profitable? • How long they have been profitable? • Will they be profitable in the future? • Why they are profitable? • What assumptions should hold correct if they continue to be profitable? RATIOS • Operating Profit margin • Net Profit Margin • Return on net worth • ROI • Return on Assets ASSET TURNOVER • What is the asset turnover in this industry? • Fixed assets , current assets composition in total assets. • Changes in assets ( fixed or current) Vs changes in sales • How long it takes to generate the sales? EQUITY MULTIPLIER • Debt – Equity ratio • Equity to Total assets ratio • Change in the ratio – what does it imply? • What effect it has brought on the fixed assets side of the balance sheet? VALUATION • Book value per share • Market price per share • PE ratio • Dividend per share • Dividend yield • EV per share LIQUIDITY • Current ratios • Liquidity ratios • Cash ratio ANALYSIS • Why there is a change? – Business reasons • Will the change continue? • Is it only for a company or the same trend observed in other companies as well? • What is the impact it will have on our final conclusion? FINANCIAL ANALYSIS • Industry Aggregates – for relevant ratios • Du Pont Analysis •Capital Structure •Profit Margin •Assets Turnover
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INDUSTRY AGGREGATES VS INDUSTRY AVERAGES • Industry Aggregates is better than Industry Averages Net Profit Sales Profit Margin Company 1 15000 60000 25% Company 2 1400 7000 20% Industry average ( 25%+20%)/2 22.5% Industry aggregate ((15000+1400) / 24.48% (60000+7000)) 100
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SECOND STAGE COST STRUCTURE ANALYSIS • Major Cost element • Operating Leverage- Presence of Fixed cost & its effect • Cost Unit • Cost Audit • Cost Leadership • Drivers of Cost
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THIRD STAGE FINANCIAL DIMENSIONS • Composition of Capital Structure • Proportion of Debt in the capital structure • Proportion of Current Assets to Total Assets • Proportion of Fixed Assets to Total Assets • Profitability Aspects – Will the profits will be continued to be earned by the companies? • Sustainable Growth rate of the companies selected • Working Capital Requirements – Operating Cycle & Cash Cycle GOING BEYOND THE NUMBERS • Are the company’s revenues tied to a few customers or a few segments? • To what extent are the company’s revenues tied to a few key products? • To what extent does the company rely on a single supplier? • What percentage of company’s business is generated overseas? GUIDELINES FOR FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS • Use ratios to get clues to ask the right questions • Be selective in the choice of ratios • Employ proper benchmarks • Know the tricks used by accountants • Read the notes to financial statements • Remember that FSA is an art & science: it is a process requiring care, thought , common sense and business judgement FINANCE AREA Stages Session Details Number of Trimester Sessions
Introduction Course Overview 1 II
Stage 1 Data Collection & Ratios 2 II
Stage 2 Guidelines – Stage 2 2 II
One pager Presentation 1 II Stage 3 Guidelines – Stage 3 1