Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
By : Prof. B. Ramesh,
Department of Commerce
Goa Business School
Goa University
• Subsidiary objectives
• Maintaining Liquidity
• Hedging against Inflation
• Increasing Safety
• Saving Tax
Department of Commerce, Goa University
By: Prof. B. Ramesh
Characteristics of Investment
• Risk
• Return
• Safety
• Liquidity
• Marketability
• Stocks
• Bonds/Debentures
• G-Securities
• Money Market Instruments
• Derivatives
• Mutual Funds
• Bank Deposits
• Non Banking Financial Company
(NBFC) deposits
❑ Real Assets
❑ Real Estate
❑ Precious Metals
❑ Art and Antiques
• R&D factors
• Single Product
0.5 4 0
0.4 2 3
0.1 0 3
r p% r p% r p% r p%
0 40 0 35 10 40 0 25
30 30 20 45 40 30 10 40
70 10 40 5 80 10 20 25
A B
Recession 0.10 5% 0%
0.20 22 5
0.60 14 15
0.20 -4 25
1. Determine each alternatives expected rate of
return, variance and S.D.
2. Is ‘Y’ comparatively risky?
3. Find out the total portfolio expected return and
variance if investor wishes to invest half in ‘Z’ and
half in ‘Y’. Department of Commerce, Goa University
By: Prof. B. Ramesh
Event Probability Return on Security X Return on Security Y
(60%) (40%)
A 0.20 -10% 5%
• Beta = +1.0
• 1% change in market index return causes exactly 1%
change in stock return. It indicates that the stock moves
in tandem with the market.
• Beta = +0.5
• 1% change in market index return causes 0.5% change
in the stock return. The stock is less volatile compared to
the market.
• Beta = +2.0
• 1% change in market index return causes 2% change in
the stock return.
• Beta = -1.0
Department of Commerce, Goa University
Formula
•
• Answer:- Rs.70
Department of Commerce, Goa University
By: Prof. B. Ramesh
Problem (Constant Growth Model)
• Sunil estimates that from investment on stock
A he would get 15% dividend in the coming
year. It would continue to grow by 10% for the
rest of the years. The selling price is Rs. 40. he
needs a return of 20% per year for his son’s
educational expenses. Can he invest on stock A?
• Answer:- 10.37%
Department of Commerce, Goa University
By: Prof. B. Ramesh
Problem (Two Stage Growth Model)
• According to a research report in august
2012, the rate of return of Prosperity
Fertilizer stock for the past five years is
18.58%. This is assumed to continue for the
next five years and after that, the rate of
return is assumed to have a growth rate of
10% indefinitely. The dividend paid for the
year 2011-12 is 18%. The require rate of
return is 20%. The price is Rs.14 on
4.08.2012. Estimate the stock price
according to the two stage model.
• Answer:- Rs. 27.34
Department of Commerce, Goa University
By: Prof. B. Ramesh
Problem (Two Stage Growth Model)
• The return of XYZ Company at present
is 21%. This is assumed to continue for
the next five years and after that it is
assumed to have a growth rate of 10%
indefinitely. The dividend paid for the
year 2011-12 is 32%. The required rate
of return is 20% and the present price
is Rs. 57.
• What is the estimated price according
to the two stage model?
• Answer:- Rs. 53.09
Department of Commerce, Goa University
By: Prof. B. Ramesh
Problem (Three Phase Model)
• For the first four years, XYZ firm is
assumed to grow at a rate of 10%. After 4
years, the growth rate of dividend is
assumed to decline linearly to 6%. After 7
years, the firm is assumed to grow at a
rate of 6% infinitely. The next year
dividend is Rs. 2 and the required rate of
return is 14%.Department of Commerce, Goa University
By: Prof. B. Ramesh
BOND HOLDING PERIOD RETURN
•
Pric
e
Yield to Maturity
Department of Commerce, Goa University
By: Prof. B. Ramesh
The Term Structure of Interest Rates
(Yield Curve)
• The relationship between the yield and
time or years to maturity is called the term
structure.
• The term structure is also know as yield
curve.
• The effect of maturity on yield and all other
influences are held constant.
• The general perception is that the curve
Department of Commerce, Goa University
By: Prof. B. Ramesh
Yield Curve
Yiel
d
0
Years to
Department of Commerce, Goa University
Maturity
By: Prof. B. Ramesh
Immunisation
• Immunisation is a technique that makes the bond
portfolio holder to be relatively certain about the
promised stream of cash flows.
• The bond interest rate risk arises from the changes
in the market interest rate.
• The market rate affects the coupon rate and the
price of the bond.
• In immunisation process the coupon rate risk and
the price risk can be made to offset each other.
Department of Commerce, Goa University
By: Prof. B. Ramesh
Immunisation
• The bond portfolio duration is the weighted
average of the durations of the individual
bonds in the portfolio.