Sie sind auf Seite 1von 126

Safeti Awareness Course

For National University of Singapore (NUS)


Todd Yu
25 October 2019

1 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019 SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER


Purpose of the course

▪ Have an overview of Phast/Safeti software


– What Phast/Safeti can do
– What are the inputs
– What are the results

▪ Practise the workflow of using Phast/Safeti software


– Build a small study
– Run the study and view/analyse the results

3 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Today’s Agenda

▪ Phast Overview

▪ User Interface

▪ Build a Study in Phast for Consequence Analysis

▪ Phast Results

▪ Safeti Overview

▪ Build a Study in Safeti for QRA

▪ Safeti Results

▪ Help and Support

4 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Tools and Rules

▪ Tools
– Introduction by using presentations
– Phast/Safeti Software

▪ Rules
– Please feel free to ask questions at any times

5 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Phast Overview

6 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Phast

▪ Phast (Process Hazard Analysis Software Tool)

▪ Phast can be used to:

– Estimate the magnitude of consequences

– Review siting, layout, and design

– Determine effects of modifications

– Emergency preparedness

– Comply with regulations

– Insurance estimations and negotiations

– Promote safety awareness

– Start a QRA study

7 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Hazard Analysis using Phast Software

▪ Hazard analysis calculations in Phast in split into 3 stages:

1. Discharge calculations

Modelling the release from vessel or pipe

2. Dispersion calculations

Modelling the behaviour of the released material (i.e. cloud or pool)

3. Effects calculations

Predicting and modelling all the potential consequences (e.g. fire, explosion)

8 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Discharge

9 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Dispersion: near field

10 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Dispersion, far field

11 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Dispersion, different ambient conditions

12 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Effects (Fire, Explosion, Toxic)

13 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Phast Overview

Toxic
Weather

Scenario Discharge Dispersion Radiation

Explosion

14 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


User Interface

15 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Layout: Quick Access Toolbar

▪ Can be modified to include actions performed regularly, e.g. Run Models

▪ Right click on any function to add it to the quick access toolbar

▪ Can be displayed above or below the Ribbon

16 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Layout: Ribbon

RIBBON

WORK SPACE WORK AREA

LOG WINDOW

17 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


The Ribbon

▪ Consists of 7 main tabs that are always present:


➢ File
➢ Home
➢ Settings
➢ Tools
➢ Data
➢ View
➢ Help
▪ Other tabs are context specific and are displayed only when applicable

18 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Ribbon: File tab

▪ Create a New Workspace

▪ Open an existing study file

▪ Open an example file

▪ Save, Save As

▪ Update “New workspace template”

▪ Close

▪ Preferences for temporary files, example files, and


user interface settings

▪ Recent documents are listed for easy access

19 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Ribbon: Home tab

▪ This tab includes actions most commonly performed

➢ Clipboard options: Cut, Copy, Paste

➢ Edit: Rename and Delete the selected item

➢ Navigate: show the GIS Input (Map) and Grid windows

➢ Calculation: Run ,Stop, Run Mode selection, Run in Parallel

➢ Results: Reports, Graphs, GIS graph


20 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019
Ribbon: Settings tab

▪ This tab includes tools for manipulating display of results, input, GIS display settings

– Styles and properties of features/results shown on GIS

– Insert Equipment on GIS

– Display Contours As Polygons

21 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Ribbon: Tools tab

▪ This tab includes tools for manipulating units of measure & language

➢ Search feature

➢ Unit of Measurement

➢ Pinpoint & Select on GIS

➢ Graph Wizard & Manage Templates

➢ Language selection
22 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019
Ribbon: Data tab

▪ This tab includes tools for manipulating data input & output tools

➢ CAD (insert AutoCAD or Micro-station drawing)

➢ Excel Import and Export

➢ Material data Import and Export

23 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Ribbon: View tab

▪ This tab includes tools for changing display views

➢ Toggle Full Window view on and off

➢ Select Current View for the workspace

➢ Switch windows, Cascade, Tile Horizontally or Vertically are currently disabled

24 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Ribbon: Help tab

▪ This tab includes access to the available help resources

➢ Methods for contacting DNV software via the Web

➢ References readily available online

➢ Information related to licensing and installed version

25 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Ribbon: Context sensitive

▪ For certain areas, the ribbon will have specific tools that will only be displayed when the pertinent
features are enabled

▪ For example when you select the GIS Input tab in the Work Area, the GIS Input Tools tabs and a
region with a new colour will be displayed above the ribbon tabs:

➢GIS Input Tools area is blue

➢Two new tabs are displayed: General and Input

➢GIS specific items such as zoom buttons and snapshot tools are displayed in the GIS tabs

26 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Layout: Workspace

RIBBON

WORK SPACE WORK AREA

LOG WINDOW

27 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Workspace

▪ This is where the model data, including scenarios, are added to the software
▪ Data input is driven through the Workspace
▪ Navigation Arrows
▪ Tabs
➢ Models
➢ Weather
➢ Parameters
➢ Materials
➢ Map
▪ It is possible to change the workspace display

28 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Workspace: Icons

means the system is processing the tree: the correct icons will
appear when processing has finished.

In the top left hand corner indicates necessary data is missing.

Indicates the model ran successfully and results are available.

In the top right hand corner indicates a calculation error.

29 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Input Dialog icons

Required fields are indicated by Red


exclamation icons.

Any tab with a missing field is also indicated by


a red exclamation icon.

Defaulted fields are indicated by a green


arrow.

Tabs containing fields which are all defaults


also have a green arrow.

30 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Layout: Work Area

RIBBON

WORK SPACE WORK AREA

LOG WINDOW

31 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Work Area

▪ Input dialogs will be displayed on the work area when being edited
▪ By default, the GIS Input & Grid tabs are displayed
▪ The tabs on the work area can be re-ordered

Multiple tabs along


the top of the
Map & Grid View
allow for
easy navigation

32 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Work Area: GIS Input

▪ Maps can be viewed/edited here

▪ Set scale & Origin

▪ Zooming Options

▪ Snapshot options

▪ Distance measure

33 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Work Area: Grid Input

▪ Easy method for viewing, adding and editing data from multiple models

▪ Can copy/paste from Excel for increased efficiency

➢ Fields must be exactly in the same order

34 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Layout: Log Window

RIBBON

WORK SPACE WORK AREA

LOG WINDOW

35 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Log Window: Output

▪ The Output Log is presented in the Log Window

▪ Ability to show/hide Errors, Warnings and Messages;

▪ The output text can be saved, printed, cleared and copied using the tools in the top left of the
window

36 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Log Window: Search results

▪ Feature allowing for easier navigation of large studies

▪ Search results will display the path for the items containing the searched string
▪ Click the desired row to highlight that item in the work space
▪ Control & Click the desired row to open the selected item

37 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Units - System

▪ The Units of Measure can be found in the Tools


tab of the ribbon

▪ Various systems can be chosen or any


combination will create a User system

38 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Units – Input fields

▪ Units for data entry can be changed in the input dialogue


box by clicking the hyperlink next to the input field
➢This unit change is temporary
➢This unit change is not reflected in graphs and reports

▪ If the units you require are not present


in the dialog list, enter the name of the desired unit.

39 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Build a Study in Phast for Consequence Analysis

40 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Building a Phast model

1. Insert a Map (Raster image or CAD image)

2. Set up weathers

3. Insert materials or mixtures (if needed)

4. Insert equipment items (vessel, pipeline, standalones)

5. Insert scenarios (Continuous/Instantaneous releases)

6. Run scenarios and view results

▪ Discharge results

▪ Dispersion results

▪ Effect results (Toxic effect, radiation effect, Explosion effect)

41 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Inserting a Map

▪ Phast supports:

– Raster Images: JPG, PNG, TIFF, etc.

– Vector Images: e.g. CAD drawings,


MicroStation, ArcView files, etc.

▪ It is helpful to see the results of your


dispersion and consequence analysis overlaid
on a map or plant layout diagram

42 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Inserting a Map
Exercise: Insert Singapore SVY21 coordinate system

43 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Inserting a Map
Exercise: Insert Singapore SVY21 coordinate system

▪ On Map tab, right click on the root and insert External Connection, select “Arcview”, browse to the
folder where SVY21 coordinate system files are saved.

44 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Inserting a Map
Exercise: Insert Singapore SVY21 coordinate system

▪ Insert a Feature Class under ArcView Connection (inserted in previous step)

45 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Inserting a Map
Exercise: Insert a Raster Image

Jurong island from Google Earth


https://earth.google.com/web/@1.27971929,103.71032153,19.3404608a,2040.5475037d,35y,-0h,0t,0r

46 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Inserting a Map
Exercise: Insert a Raster Image

▪ Right click on “Raster Images” folder and insert a “Raster Image”.

47 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Inserting a Map
Exercise: Insert a Raster Image

▪ Drag a box on the GIS Input view (any location, any size)

48 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Inserting a Map
Exercise: Set Scale

▪ You can get scale data from Google Earth or other GIS system

49 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Inserting a Map
Exercise: Set Scale

▪ Right click on the map and click on “Set Scale”

50 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Inserting a Map
Exercise: Set Origin

▪ Right click on the map and click on “Set Origin”

20960, 23460

51 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Set Up Weathers

▪ Weathers are used during discharge, dispersion and


effects calculations

▪ Multiple weather conditions can be used for


calculations

▪ Weather inputs include Pasquill stability class, wind


speed, Ambient conditions, etc.

52 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Set Up Weathers
Exercise: Set up weathers according to QRA Technical Guidance

▪ 5.3 Weather (QRA Technical Guidance)


Weather categories F1, B2 and C3 should be modelled for each outcome. Category F1 represents
typical night time weather and categories B2 and C3 represent typical day time weather.
– Humidity should be set to 85%.
– Ambient temperature should be assumed to be 30°C
– Solar Radiation should be set as follows:
– Day time: 1000 W/m2
– Night time: 0 W/m2

In this session, QRA Technical Guidance is Singapore Technical QRA Guidance

53 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Set Up Weathers
Exercise: Set up weathers according to QRA Technical Guidance

▪ Weathers can be defined in Weather tab.

54 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Insert Materials or create a Mixture

▪ Phast contains complete data for 66 pure components


which are ready for use in calculations

▪ Additional components can be added to from the


Reference database (DIPPR) or created manually

▪ Mixtures can be created by mixing pure components

55 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Insert Equipment

▪ The Asset Hierarchy has been designed to have a realistic feel.


(i.e. 1 Equipment with various possible failure scenarios under
it)

▪ The Equipment and process conditions are defined once only


(e.g. material, inventory, pressure & temperature)
▪ Available Equipment:
– Pressure Vessel
– Atmospheric Storage Tank
– Long Pipeline
– Standalone
– Warehouse

56 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Insert Equipment
Exercise: Insert Hexane Tank and Chlorine Tank (dummy data)

Chlorine tank

Hexane tank

57 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Insert Equipment
Exercise: Insert Hexane Tank and Chlorine Tank (dummy data)

▪ Hexane tank ▪ Chlorine tank


– Equipment type: Atmospheric Storage Tank – Equipment type: Pressure Vessel
– Material: N-Hexane – Material: Chlorine
– Volume Inventory: 400 m3 – Mass Inventory: 5,000 kg
– Temperature: 10 degC – Temperature: 20 degC
– Pressure: atmospheric pressure – Pressure: 5 barg
– Tank head: 10m

58 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Insert Equipment
Exercise: Insert Hexane Tank and Chlorine Tank (dummy data)

▪ Check the box “Insert Equipment on GIS” (Settings tab)

▪ Insert Equipment under Study node (Models tab)

59 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Insert Equipment
Exercise: Insert Hexane Tank and Chlorine Tank (dummy data)

▪ Input process data

60 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Insert Scenarios

▪ Multiple scenarios can be created under each equipment to


represent different accidents
▪ Each scenario will take the process and equipment data from
the Equipment item in the asset hierarchy and will only require
the related data for the scenario (e.g. hole size, pipe length,
etc). This will save a lot of time for users when building studies.
▪ Available Scenarios include:
– Instantaneous release
– Continuous releases (leak, line rupture, etc.)
– Pipeline Breach
– Liquid Spill
– Standalone fires & Explosions
– Warehouse Fires

61 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Insert Scenarios
Exercise: Insert Scenarios for Hexane Tank and Chlorine Tank (dummy data)

▪ 3.1 Scenarios (QRA Technical Guidance)


Scenarios considered within the QRA should be identified by means of a systematic procedure. This
should use available project documentation (e.g. process and instrumentation diagrams, process
flowsheets, layout diagrams) to identify all significant inventories of hazardous materials. The list of
scenarios to include in the QRA should comprise loss of containment of each inventory via:
– Catastrophic failure (cold failure and hot failure/BLEVE)
– A suitable range of hole sizes (see Section 4.1.1.1).
▪ Hexane tank ▪ Chlorine tank
No. Scenario Hole size (mm) No. Scenario Hole size (mm)

1 Small 75 1 Small 10
2 Large 250 2 medium 25
3 Catastrophic rupture N/A 3 Large 75

4 Catastrophic rupture N/A

62 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Phast Results

63 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Results Types

▪ Consequence Data table: list important consequence results in table

▪ Reports: summary report and detailed reports

▪ Graphs: various graphs for time varying discharge, dispersion and effect (toxic, fire, explosion)
results

▪ GIS: dispersion and effect (toxic, fire, explosion) contours on GIS

64 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Phast results: Discharge

▪ Mass flow rate & Release duration (continuous releases)

▪ Exit point conditions

▪ Atmospheric expansion results

65 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Phast results: Dispersion

▪ Cloud dimensions and concentrations at


different times/locations

▪ Rainout, pool formation and pool vaporisation


data at different times

▪ Cloud Max. Footprints at different heights

66 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Phast results: Effects overview

▪ Phast calculates all of the possible consequence types for each scenario

Flammable
Effects Scenarios
/ Toxic?

Toxic Effect Toxic Toxic releases

Jet fire Flammable Continuous release ignited at the release point (vapour fraction>0)
Instantaneous release or short-duration continuous release (less
Fireball Flammable
than 20s) ignited at the release point
Flammable
effects Pool fire Flammable Pool is ignited

Flash fire Flammable Vapour cloud is ignited

VCE Flammable Vapour cloud is ignited in congested area

Other BLEVE Both On engineering judgement. Available as standalone model only

67 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Phast results: Toxic Effect

▪ Lethality levels at different distances

▪ Toxic concentration and Dose as a function of


downwind distance

▪ Toxic lethality footprints

68 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Phast results: Toxic Effect
Dispersion of toxic and flammable gases and vapours

69 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Phast results: Radiation Effect

▪ Possible flammable outcomes:

– Fireballs

– Jet fires

– Pool fires

– Flash fires

▪ Radiation results available:

– Flame size and geometry

– Radiation vs. distance data

– Radiation ellipses

– Flash fire zones

70 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Phast results: Radiation Effect
Accidental Jet Fires

71 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Phast results: Radiation Effect
Intentional Jet Fires

DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Phast results: Radiation Effect
Fireballs

73 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Phast results: Radiation Effect
Pool Fires

DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Phast results: Explosion effect

▪ Vapour Cloud explosion models:

– TNO Multi Energy

– Baker-Strehlow-Tang

– TNT

▪ BLEVE Blast

▪ Explosion results available:

– Explosion location, mass, and blast radius

– Overpressure vs. distance

– Pulse duration vs. distance

– Impulse vs. distance

75 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Phast results: Explosion effect
Explosion Overpressure and Impulse

Created using Phast 3D Explosions


https://magazine.scientificmalaysian.com/issue-6-2013/enhancing-safety-
sustainability-malaysian-refineries/

76 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Harm Footprint with Consequence data table

▪ Section 6.1 of QRA Technical Guidance


(Page 23-24):

The footprint dimensions should be


modelled for each outcome and weather
condition. This will typically define
– Maximum hazard distance (d)
– Maximum width (mw)
– Distance to maximum width (dmw)
– Minimum distance (-d)
that would represent an idealised
footprint (Figure 5).

77 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Harm Footprint with Consequence data table

▪ Consequence data table in Phast

d -d mw dmw

78 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Safeti Overview

79 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Commonly Used Definition of Risk

The LIKELIHOOD and consequence of a specified

undesired event occurring within

a specified period or under

specified circumstances

80 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Risk Management Workflow

Identify Hazards

Postulate Accidents

Evaluate Consequences Estimate Frequencies

Risk Summation
Options to Mitigate Options to Decrease
Consequences Frequencies

No No
Risks Managed?

Yes

Optimise Options to Manage Risks

81 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Risk Management Workflow

Identify Hazards

Postulate Accidents

Phast Leak

Safeti
Options to Mitigate Options to Decrease
Consequences Frequencies

No No
Risks Managed?

Yes
Optimise Options to Manage Risks

82 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Safeti Overview

Societal Risk

Wind Rose
Toxic
Event Frequency Weather

Population
Event Tree

Ignition
Scenario Discharge Dispersion Radiation Impact

Explosion

Individual Risk

Vulnerability

83 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Build a Study in Safeti for QRA

84 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Let’s Look at Safeti

Run Rows

Risk Tab

Super Tabs
85 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019
Data Needed in Safeti

▪ Release Scenarios and Frequencies

▪ Weather Data

▪ Population Data (for Societal risk only)

▪ Ignition Data (for delayed ignition probabilities calculations)

▪ Risk Ranking Points (for risk analysis)

▪ Event Tree data

▪ Vulnerabilities

▪ Risk Contours Data for Risk Criteria

86 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Release Scenarios and Frequencies

Additional Risk-specific inputs on Risk tab for each Scenario:


▪ Event frequency: Define how often an event is likely to
happen
▪ Type of risk effects to model (Material Tab)
➢ Toxic only
➢ Flammable only
➢ Toxic and Flammable
▪ Non-ignition probabilities
▪ Immediate ignition probabilities
➢ Use event trees
➢ Specify directly
➢ Stationary – use material reactivity
➢ Transport (Road tanker/Tank wagon)

87 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Release Scenarios and Frequencies
Exercise: Define Failure frequencies for current study

▪ Refer to Section 4.1 of QRA Technical Guidance

▪ Hexane tank
No. Scenario Frequency (/yr)

1 Small 1E-3
2 Large 1E-4
3 Catastrophic rupture 1.6E-5

▪ Chlorine tank
No. Scenario Frequency (/yr)

1 Small 2.5E-05
2 medium 0.000324
3 Large 0.00028

4 Catastrophic rupture 1E-07

88 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Weather Data

▪ The probability data for weather conditions and directions are used in the risk calculations

▪ The program performs risk calculations for each weather condition and wind direction, and applies the
appropriate probability for that combination of condition and direction

89 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Weather Data
Exercise: Set Up Wind Rose according to QRA Technical Guidance

▪ 6.2.2 Weather (QRA Technical Guidance)


The splits used between weather categories F1,
B2 and C3 should be specified and justified.
Weather splits used should be tabulated.
Direction bias data used should be specified and
justified. Table 13 provides a set of weather data
for F1, B2 and C3 derived from data provided by
Singapore Met office.

90 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Weather Data
Exercise: Set Up Wind Rose according to QRA Technical Guidance

▪ Wind Rose can be defined on Weather folder

91 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Population Data

▪ Population locations are directly put on the Map

92 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Ignition Data

▪ Used to specify delayed ignition


probability and location

▪ Delayed Ignition locations are


directly put on the Map

▪ A variety of ignition sources can


be inserted for:

➢ General ignition sources

➢ Electrical sources of ignition

➢ Traffic/Transportation

93 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Ignition Data

▪ Delayed ignition probability at each point will be calculated based on:

➢Presence factor (f)

➢Ignition Probability (ω)


Presence factor 𝑓 = 0.8
➢In time period (t)
Datum Point
The ignition probability in 30s is 40%
with 𝑓 of 0.8

𝑃𝑥,𝑦,𝑡 = 1 − 𝑒 −𝑓𝑥,𝑦∙𝜔𝑥,𝑦,𝑡∙𝑡

94 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Ignition Data
Exercise: define ignition source Road 1
0.00 0.50 1.0

▪ Road 1
km

– Ignition probability: 0.2


– In time period: 10s
– Traffic density: 120 /hr
– Average speed: 12 m/s

Road 1

95 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Ignition Data
Exercise: define ignition source Road 1

▪ Right click on Ignitions folder (Risk tab) and Insert Transportation polyline.
▪ Draw multiple point on the map along Road 1, double click to finish

96 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Ignition Data
Exercise: define ignition source Road 2
0.00 0.50
▪ Road 2 km

– Ignition probability: 0.2


– In time period: 10s
– Traffic density: 40 /hr
– Average speed: 8 m/s

Road 2

97 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Risk Ranking Points

▪ Risk Ranking points (RRP), are entered on the


Risk tab of the study tree

▪ Located directly on the map

▪ Generates Individual Risk Ranking results which


contain detailed break down of risk contributors to
that location

▪ Any number of points can be used

98 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Risk Ranking Points
Exercise: define two Risk Rank Points

Site

Control Room

99 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Event Tree data

▪ Refer to Section 4.2 Event Trees and Section 4.3 Event Tree Modifiers

100 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Vulnerabilities

▪ 6.2.4.2 Fatality of QRA Technical Guidance


▪ In order to calculate individual risk of fatality to people, some of the outcomes should use a set of
footprints with weightings applied to account for likelihood of fatality for each footprint within the
set. The following weightings shall be applied to outcome frequencies for the respective
footprints.

101 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Vulnerabilities
Exercise: Define Vulnerabilities for IR Fatality

▪ Define Vulnerabilities in Vulnerabilities folder (Risk tab)

102 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Vulnerabilities
Exercise: Define Vulnerabilities for IR Fatality

▪ Thermal radiation ▪ Change the vulnerabilities in Vulnerability nodes


▪ Change the radiation levels in Jet Fire parameters,
Pool fire parameters, fireball parameters

Note: Values are for exercise only, to double check the compliance with the QRA Technical Guidance

103 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Vulnerabilities
Exercise: Define Vulnerabilities for IR Fatality

▪ Flash Fire
Section 5.3.2 of QRA Technical Reference
– Flash fires should be modelled to the lower
flammable limit (LFL).
– This is consistent with Table 14

104 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Vulnerabilities
Exercise: Define Vulnerabilities for IR Fatality

▪ Explosion ▪ Similar method can be used to define the


Vulnerabilities for IR Injury (not include in this
course)

Note: Values are for exercise only, to double check the compliance with the QRA Technical Guidance

105 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Risk Contours data for Risk Criteria

▪ 7.2.1 IR (Fatality) (QRA Technical Guidance)


▪ The cumulative (for all outcomes indicated in Table 6) iso-contours for the relevant criteria (refer
to Criteria Guidelines) are to be determined, based on footprints generated:
– 5x10-5 /year (example for Fixed Installation);
– 5x10-6 /year (example for Fixed Installation).

▪ 7.2.2 IR (Injury)
▪ The cumulative (for all outcomes indicated in Table 7) iso-contours for the relevant criteria are to
be determined, based on injury harm footprints generated:
– 3x10-7 /year (example for Fixed Installation).

– Refer to QRA Criteria Guidelines

106 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Risk Contours data for Risk Criteria
Exercise: Set risk contours data

▪ Define the following risk levels in Settings tab > Risk


Preferences > Contours
– 1E-3
– 1E-4
– 5E-5
– 5E-6
– 3E-7

107 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Organise the Study by Using Run Row

▪ A QRA is not an isolated study performed


by a Risk Analyst

▪ A QRA is contributed to by a varied team Project Info

▪ Run row is used to organize the study


structure and it should reflect the purpose
of the study
Structural Engineers Pipeline Engineers

Schedulers Transport Supervisors


▪ A run row is a combination of Release
Facilities Engineers Operators
Cases, Weather Conditions, Population and
Ignition, etc. Workforce Others

DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Run Row Example

Run Row Release Scenarios Weather conditions Population Ignition

Toxic Day Toxic scenarios Day Weather Day Population N/A

Toxic Night Toxic scenarios Night Weather Night Population N/A

Flammable Day Flammable scenarios Day Weather Day Population Day ignition

Flammable Night Flammable scenarios Night Weather Night Population Night ignition

109 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Exercise: Set up a Run Row

▪ Set up the row row(s) in Run Row Grid view

110 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Combination factors

▪ Combination factors are used to combine the risk results from different Run Rows to obtain total risk results
for all times, effect types, locations etc.

▪ Located in the Combinations tab

▪ Can use up to 20 combinations

▪ Combinations can be renamed or duplicated

111 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Risk Results

112 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Exercise: Run the models and view results

113 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Individual Risk Results

▪ Risk contours ▪ Individual risk ranking grid

114 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Exercise: View Risk Contours

115 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Exercise: Check risk results against the criteria

▪ QRA Criteria Guidelines

116 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Exercise: View IR Ranking Grid for Two Risk Ranking Points

117 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Exercise: View IR Ranking Grid for Two Risk Ranking Points

118 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Societal Risk Results (Not requested by QRA Technical Guidance)

▪ F-N Curves ▪ Societal risk ranking grid

119 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Societal Risk Results (Cont’d)

▪ Population category ▪ Category PLL

120 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Help and Support

121 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Phast Context Sensitive Help

▪ Phast built-in help


explain all the
parameters and inputs
used for different models
as well as some details
about models and
scenarios used in Phast

▪ It can be accessed by the


Help button in all
windows or through the
Help tab in the Ribbon

122 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Technical Documentation

▪ Technical Documentation contains:


– Theory manuals and calculation methods
– Verification and validation documents

123 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


DNV GL Software Customer Portal

▪ DNV GL Software Customer portal can be


used to:
▪ Submit tech support cases and review
old cases
▪ Find helpful documentation including
historical User Conference Presentations
and Status Notes, Release and Install
Notes
▪ Read Frequently Asked Questions
▪ Can be accessed using button in Phast:

124 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


Global Technical Support Team (Software.Support@dnvgl.com)
Huston, US London, UK Dubai, UAE Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia Shanghai, China

(UTC-6) (UTC+0) (UTC+4) (UTC+8) (UTC+8)

125 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


References

▪ [1] Singapore QRA Technical Guidance https://www.nea.gov.sg/docs/default-source/our-


services/qra-technical-guidance_nov16.pdf
▪ [2] UK HSE Failure Rate and Event Data for use within Risk Assessments (02/02/19)
http://www.hse.gov.uk/landuseplanning/failure-rates.pdf
▪ [3] RVIM Reference Manual Bevi Risk Assessments version 3.2
https://www.rivm.nl/documenten/reference-manual-bevi-risk-assessments-version-32
▪ [4] Singapore QRA Criteria Guidelines https://www.nea.gov.sg/docs/default-source/our-
services/qra-criteria-guidelines_final_31aug16.pdf

126 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019


DNV GL – Digital Solutions
todd.yu@dnvgl.com
+65 97298856

www.dnvgl.com

SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER

127 DNV GL © 2019 25 October 2019

Das könnte Ihnen auch gefallen