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EXPORT-IMPORT BANK OF INDIA

OCCASIONAL PAPER NO. 120

REGIONAL TRADE AGREEMENTS:


GATEWAY TO GLOBAL TRADE

EXIM Bank’s Occasional Paper Series is an attempt to disseminate the findings of


research studies carried out in the Bank. The results of research studies can interest
exporters, policy makers, industrialists, export promotion agencies as well as researchers.
However, views expressed do not necessarily reflect those of the Bank. While
reasonable care has been taken to ensure authenticity of information and data, EXIM
Bank accepts no responsibility for authenticity, accuracy or completeness of such items.

© Export-Import Bank of India


Published by Quest Publications
October 2007

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CONTENTS

Page No.
List of Tables 5
List of Charts 7
List of Boxes 9
Executive Summary 11
1. Evolution of Regional Trade Agreements 22
2. Global Performance of RTAs 36
3. Trade Performance of Select Major Countries 62
4. India’s Engagements in Regional Trade Agreements 82
5. Emerging Trends in RTAs 125
6. The Way Forward: Major Observations and 141
Strategy Recommendations
Annexure
Table A1 FTAs Notified to the WTO Since 2000 161
Table A2 Merchandise Exports by Blocs (as % of global exports) 163
in Latin America & the Caribbean
Table A3 Merchandise Exports by Blocs (as % of global exports) 164
in Africa
Table A4 Merchandise Exports by Blocs (as % of global exports) 164
in Asia
Table A5 Merchandise Exports by Blocs (% of global exports) 164
in West Asia
Table A6 Merchandise Exports by Blocs (as % of global exports) 165
in Europe
Table A7 Trade pattern between US and AGOA countries 165
Table A8 Trade pattern between US and ATPDEA countries 165

Project Team:
Mr. Arijit Saraswati
Mr. Viswanath Jandhyala

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List of Tables
Table No. Title Pg. No.

1.1 Number of RTAs Notified to WTO, 2000 to 2007 32


2.1 Trend in Trade Performance of American Trade Blocs 40
2.2 Trend in Trade Performance of African Trade Blocs 43
2.3 Trend in Trade Performance of Asian Trade Blocs 45
2.4 Trend in Trade Performance of West Asian Trade Blocs 47
2.5 Trend in Trade Performance of European Trade Blocs 49
2.6 Trend in Trade Performance of CIS Trade Bloc 50
3.1 Countries Involved in Most Number of RTAs 62
3.2 Mexico’s Trade Performance with RTA Partners 64
3.3 Singapore’s Trade Performance with RTA Partners 70
3.4 Chile’s Trade Performance with RTA Partners 73
3.5 United States’ Trade Performance with RTA Partners 76
3.6 Turkey’s Trade Performance with RTA Partners 80
4.1 India’s Trade with RTA Partners 96
4.2 Trends in India-ASEAN Trade 98
4.3 Trend in Top 10 Export Items from India to ASEAN 100
4.4 Trend in Top 10 Import Items from ASEAN to India 101
4.5 Trends in India-Singapore Trade 103
4.6 Trend in Top 10 Export Items from India to Singapore 105
4.7 Trend in Top 10 Import Items from Singapore to India 106
4.8 Trends in India-Sri Lanka Trade 107
4.9 Trend in Top 10 Export Items from India to Sri Lanka 108
4.10 Trend in Top 10 Import Items from Sri Lanka to India 109
4.11 Trends in India-Thailand Trade 110
4.12 Trend in Top 10 Export Items from India to Thailand 111
4.13 Trend in Top 10 Import Items from Thailand to India 112
4.14 Trends in India-BIMSTEC Trade 114
4.15 Trend in Top 10 Export Items from India to BIMSTEC 116
4.16 Trend in Top 10 Import Items from BIMSTEC to India 116
4.17 Trends in India-Chile Trade 117
4.18 Trend in Top 10 Export Items from India to Chile 118
4.19 Trend in Top 10 Import Items from Chile to India 119
4.20 Trends in India-GCC Trade 119
4.21 Trend in Top 10 Export Items from India to GCC 121
4.22 Trend in Top 10 Import Items from GCC to India 121
4.23 Trends in India-Mauritius Trade 122
4.24 Trends in India-SACU Trade 123
5.1 Trend in Engagement in RTAs Based on the Nature of Agreement 125

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List of Charts
Chart No. Title Pg. No.
A Distribution of Agreements in Force 13
(based upon the Nature of Agreement)
1.1 Number of RTAs Notified to WTO and in Force 25
1.2 Distribution of RTAs Notified to WTO (% of total) 26
1.3 Number of RTAs Notified to WTO, Entering into 32
Force since 2000
2.1 RTAs in Force, by Year of Entry into Force 36
2.2 Trend in Number of FTAs Entered into Force Since 2000 37
3.1 Trend in Mexico’s Total Trade 63
3.2 Trend in Singapore’s Total Trade 68
3.3 Singapore’s Total Trade to GDP Ratio 69
3.4 Trend in Chile’s Total Trade 72
3.5 Trend in United States’ Total Trade 75
3.6 Trend in Turkey’s Total Trade 78
3.7 Turkey’s Total Trade to GDP Ratio 79
4.1 Trends in India-ASEAN Trade 99
4.2 Trends in India-Singapore Trade 104
4.3 Trends in India-Sri Lanka Trade 107
4.4 Trends in India-Thailand Trade 110
4.5 Trends in India-BIMSTEC Trade 114
4.6 Trends in India-Chile Trade 118
4.7 Trends in India-GCC Trade 120
4.8 Trends in India-Mauritius Trade 123
4.9 Trends in India-SACU Trade 124
5.1 % Share of Agreements Entering into Force 126
(based upon the Nature of Agreement)
5.2 Year wise Distribution of Agreements 127
(based upon the Nature of Agreement)

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List of Boxes
Box No. Title Pg. No.
1 Select Trading Blocs in America 38
2 Select Trading Blocs in Africa 41
3 Select Trading Blocs in Asia 44
4 Select Trading Blocs in West Asia 46
5 Select Trading Blocs in Europe 48
6 Pattern of Engagement in FTAs in America 51
7 Pattern of Engagement in FTAs in Africa 53
8 Pattern of Engagement in FTAs in Asia 54
9 Pattern of Engagement in FTAs in West Asia 56
10 Pattern of Engagement in FTAs in Europe 58
11 Pattern of Engagement in FTAs in CIS 60

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

INTRODUCTION amalgamation. RTAs are increasingly


There is a growing realisation being viewed as a link between
among countries that bilateral and developing and developed countries
multilateral agreements could be towards the common goal of
complementary and mutually economic development and a
reinforcing approaches to trade gateway to global trade.
reforms. Such regional integration Slow progress on the recent WTO
agreements could lead to enhanced based multilateral trade talks and the
regional trade, which in turn could gradual erosion of faith in
provide a boost to multilateral trade. multilateralism has also given a new
Moreover, the Doha Declaration thrust to the concept of regionalism
drawn up by the WTO ministers in as a highly effective tool for
late 2001 also recognises that RTAs expanding international trade,
can play an important role in economic cooperation and global
promoting the liberalisation and integration. As regionalism becomes
expansion of trade and also in a more widely accepted and an
increasing investment and indispensable aspect of international
productivity gains and fostering trade, a sustained commitment to
development especially in multilateralism can help to arrest the
developing economies. possible divisiveness of regionalism
The need for such agreements has and tap its potential for attaining
arisen from a number of socio- greater global economic integration
economic, political and security and rapid trade reforms.
considerations. RTAs have proved to The present study provides an
encourage investment, facilitate overview of regional trade
preferential access to larger agreements, the concept and
competitive markets and accelerate rationale, types and nature of trade
economic growth. It is important to agreements, factors that led to their
ensure that regional trade agreements proliferation and discusses the
become building blocks to world compatibility of RTAs with the WTO
trade and not stumbling blocks to framework. A region wise analysis is
achieving the universal goal of global attempted in the present study to

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delineate the recent developments, Scope (PS) Agreements, while 11 are


trends and patterns in the proliferation Accession Agreements. In an FTA,
of RTAs across the globe during the member countries eliminate or
last decade and highlight the reduce internal tariff and non-tariff
emergence and trade performance of trade barriers among members,
various trade blocs in America, Africa, while each member is free to
Asia, West Asia, Europe, and CIS maintain different most-favoured-
region. An analysis of the impact of nation (MFN) barriers on non-
RTAs on the trade performance of members. A Customs Union moves
countries most involved in beyond an FTA by establishing a
agreements is also carried out. The common external tariff (CET) on
study also lays special emphasis on imports from non-member countries.
the emerging regionalism in Asia with Partial Scope Agreements, on the
special focus on India’s initiatives in other hand, are agreements
regional trade agreements and especially among developing
suggests broad strategy countries that are designed to have
recommendations for policy makers limited product coverage. Similarly,
in India to further enhance and Accession Agreements are
strengthen regional economic agreements that countries wanting
integration initiatives to enhance to join the WTO have to negotiate
regional and subsequently global bilaterally with major economic
trade. powers, as a part of their entry
procedure, which includes specific
PROLIFERATION OF commitments, concessions and
REGIONAL TRADE schedules to liberalise trade in
AGREEMENTS goods and services. The
predominance of FTAs is probably
Due to the slow progress on the
multilateral trade talks in the Doha due to the fact that they are faster
round, there has been a significant to conclude and require a lower
increase in regional trade degree of policy coordination
agreements in recent years, as a among the contracting parties as
result of which at present more than compared to plurilateral or
one third of the world’s trade takes multilateral negotiations. Moreover,
place within the framework of such it is observed that the proliferation
agreements. Of the 205 RTAs of RTAs has gained momentum
notified to WTO and which are in especially since the dawn of the
force, as on July 18, 2007, 124 are new millennium, during which 124
FTAs, accounting for 60 per cent of agreements have entered into force,
the total, 46 are Economic reflecting the growing importance of
Integration Agreements (EIA), 12 are regionalism among countries. Of
Customs Unions (CU), 12 are Partial these agreements entered into force

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post 2000, nearly 63% are FTAs.  to promote liberalisation and


bring about policy reforms
FACTORS BEHIND THE
 to attract more foreign direct
PROLIFERATION OF RTAS
investment into the country and
A number of socio- economic
political considerations have played  political and security
an important role in promoting considerations
regionalism among countries in
different regions of the world. NATURE OF REGIONAL TRADE
Countries have embraced regional AGREEMENTS
trade agreements primarily due to In comparison to more of
the following reasons: agreements between developing
 to derive benefits of increased countries in the initial years of
preferential access to highly regional trade agreements, there has
competitive larger markets been an increasing tendency among
developed countries as well to enter
 the slow progress in trade into trade accords between
liberalisation under the WTO themselves as also with developing
 the failure of multilateralism countries, as depicted by the
based trade talks increasing share of such agreements
from 1995-1999 to 2000-2007 (refer
 a sharp increase in FTAs around
Chart A). As observed, compared to
the world, which has prompted
other countries not involved in only 10 agreements between
regional trade agreements to developing and developed countries
also consider engagement in during 1995-1999, the number has
such agreements – termed as surged significantly to 51 during the
‘demonstration effect’ last seven years, constituting 46% of

Chart A:
DISTRIBUTION OF AGREEMENTS IN FORCE
(BASED UPON THE NATURE OF AGREEMENT)

SOURCE: WTO

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the total number of agreements number of agreements of any type


during the period. Developing since 2000, and 11 in 2006.
countries too have evinced keen
interest in engagement in RTAs with EMERGENCE OF TRADE BLOCS
more developed nations to gain & RTAs
access to the larger and more There has also been a fast rise in
potential markets and benefit from the number of regional trade blocs
the immense trade opportunities around the globe as a result of the
inherent in these markets. This willingness on part of countries to
phenomenon is reflected in the fact enhance and foster trade
that the share of south-south
relationship with neighbouring
agreements, which comprised 67%
nations. Countries are also
of the total agreements during 1995-
transcending physical geographical
99, decreased to 39% during 2000-
borders to rapidly enter into trade
2007. It is also interesting to note
relations with distant countries as
that all agreements of United States,
well. Southern Cone Common
except those with Israel and Jordan,
Market (MERCOSUR) and NAFTA
have entered into force post 2004.
have emerged as major blocs in
Likewise, all trade agreements of
America. With the emergence of
Singapore have come into effect
significant trade blocs like
only after 2001.
Association of South East Asian
Moreover, the study also finds Nations (ASEAN), Asia too is rapidly
that this subtle and gradual shift in embracing regionalism. Common
the interest among developing Market for Eastern and Southern
countries to engage in agreements Africa (COMESA) and Southern
with developed countries has been African Development Community
particularly noticed since 2004, prior (SADC) in Africa; Greater Arab Free
to which developing countries were Trade Agreement (GAFTA) and Gulf
more interested in engaging in Cooperation Council (GCC) in West
agreements with similar developing Asia; European Union (EU) and
countries. This could be attributed to European Free Trade Agreement
the interest among developed (EFTA) in Europe and the
countries to engage in bilateral Commonwealth of Independent
agreements with developing countries States (CIS) trade bloc could be
subsequent to the erosion of their identified as crucial developments in
confidence in multilateralism. South- regional economic integration, which
south agreements which numbered 12 have also significantly enhanced
in 2004 have sharply declined to 2 intra-bloc trade. The intra bloc
each in 2005 and 2006, whereas north- merchandise exports as a percentage
south agreements increased from 7 share of bloc’s total exports for
in 2004 to 13 in 2005, the maximum European Union has been as high

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as 66% in 2005; in case of NAFTA agreements with number of


it has been 56% and around 50% countries like New Zealand,
for East Asia Economic Caucus Australia, United States, Jordan,
(EAEC). The corresponding share Panama, outside Asia. It is also
has shown a decent increase from observed that countries are engaging
13.6% to 19% for Central American in agreements with trading blocs as
Common Market (CACM) indicating a whole to access the larger and
the high degree of integration more potent markets of the region.
among these blocs. It is also A typical example in this regard
interesting to note instances of could be the advantage of entering
establishment of agreements into an agreement with blocs such
between countries within a bloc. as EU, which provides access to all
This distinctive feature is particularly member countries of the Union.
noticed in the CIS trade bloc, where Besides, engagement with a
all CIS countries, with the exception Customs Union or a Common
of Moldova, have entered into Market is advantageous as it is
agreements only with other CIS easier for the country to negotiate
countries, the main countries issues with a bloc as a whole rather
engaging in RTAs in CIS being than with individual countries with
Armenia, Georgia and Kyrgyz diverse opinions and interests. With
Republic. Another trend is also regard to member countries, a
depicted by Japan, exploring customs union or common market,
possibility of a trade agreement with however, restricts the choice and
ASEAN, in spite of it having freedom to enter into bilateral
established bilateral agreements with agreements with non-member
Singapore and Malaysia both being countries. This is particularly true for
members of ASEAN. While India’s larger and relatively more advanced
engagement in an FTA with Sri member countries in the bloc.
Lanka and SAARC countries
The countries, except for India,
resembles the trend among CIS
countries, similarly India’s RTA with that are involved in the most number
Singapore and Thailand as also with of RTAs are Mexico, engaged in 19
ASEAN shows similarity to Japan’s agreements, Singapore, in 18
initiatives. Countries in almost all agreements, Chile, in 17 agreements,
regions of the world are showing United States, in 15 agreements and
an increasing interest in expanding Turkey involved in 10 agreements. An
their trade opportunities with investigation of the trade pattern of
countries bilaterally outside the these countries over the past decade
region or a bloc. In Asia, Singapore clearly attests to the positive impact
has been the most aggressive in its of RTAs on the trade performance of
pursuits of regional trade a country. The value of trade of all

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these countries with their RTA partner in strengthening its trade relations
countries over the past five years has with especially developing countries.
also increased sharply. Moreover, An open and competitive internal
trade with RTA partner countries market and leadership in the
constitutes a major portion of the total multilateral trading systems have
trade of these countries. For example, boosted regionalism in the country.
in case of Mexico, trade with RTA Over the years, Turkey too has moved
partner countries constitutes around from a protected and state-directed
85% of Mexico’s global trade. system to a free market system –
Similarly, for Chile and Singapore resulting from trade reform initiatives,
trade with RTA partners constitutes liberalisation and tariff reduction.
as high as 80% and 63% respectively,
of their total trade. INDIA’S ENGAGEMENT IN
REGIONAL TRADE
The study also highlights some AGREEMENTS
of the key factors that promoted
India’s endeavour to foster its
regional trade agreements in these
international trade has also been
countries. In case of Mexico, the shift
well complemented by its efforts to
from an inward looking trade policy
promote regional trade. Target
to a more liberal, and outward
oriented trade policy, the presence of countries in India’s regional trade
Maquiladoras, offshore assembly initiatives cover various regions of
units, along the US-Mexico border and the world. In Asia, India made a
a number of export incentives foray in RTAs with an FTA with Sri
provided by Mexico have played an Lanka in 1998. This was followed
important role in fostering its trade by a Comprehensive Economic
relations with other countries both Cooperation Agreement (CECA) with
intra regionally and extra regionally. Singapore, an FTA with South Asian
With regard to Singapore, its pro- Association for Regional Cooperation
export, liberal trade policies and (SAARC) members (SAFTA) and with
elimination of most restrictions on the members of Bay of Bengal
imports boosted its trade Initiative for Multi-Sectoral Technical
engagements. Similarly, in case of and Economic Cooperation
Chile, prioritisation of ensuring access (BIMSTEC), a framework agreement
to larger markets in its for FTA with Thailand and a
multidimensional trade policy, framework agreement for CECA with
imposition of low and uniform ASEAN. With the establishment of
applied tariffs and a stable economy Joint Study Groups (JSGs), India has
were instrumental in the proliferation also initiated negotiations with a
of Chile’s engagement in RTAs. United number of countries like Korea,
States’ Trade Capacity Building (TCB) China, Japan, Russia, Malaysia and
efforts have played an important role Indonesia. These initiatives form an

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integral part of India’s ‘Look-East involving most of the Asian


Policy’, which has gained substantial economies. Asia too is making its
momentum in recent years and has presence felt on the global scene
started yielding desirable results on with the emergence of significant
the economic, political and strategic trade blocs like ASEAN, which
fronts. India is also seriously contributed to around 27.4% of
pursuing negotiations to establish Asia’s global trade in 2005, and
RTAs with other developing rapidly growing economies like
countries located elsewhere. India China, Korea and India.
has in place a preferential trade
agreement (PTA) with MERCOSUR A classic example of growing
and with Chile; a framework regionalism in Asia is the expansion
agreement for FTA with the Gulf of ASEAN to ‘ASEAN plus three’,
Cooperation Council (GCC); and a where initially the five countries
PTA with South African Customs namely Indonesia, Malaysia,
Union (SACU). It has also Philippines, Singapore and Thailand
established JSGs with Mauritius and constituted ASEAN, which later
Israel to explore possibility of FTAs. expanded to include Brunei,
Engagement in regional trade Cambodia, Myanmar, Laos and
agreements has had a significant Vietnam. The ASEAN FTA (AFTA) was
effect over the past decade on subsequently expanded and was
India’s trade performance with its termed as ‘ASEAN plus three’ with
partner countries. India’s exports to AFTA’s engagement with Japan, China
and imports from its RTA partner and Korea. ASEAN has also entered
countries have significantly increased into an agreement with China in 2003
from 2001-02 to 2006-07. India’s to form the ASEAN-China FTA
trade with its RTA partner countries (ACFTA). Bilateral efforts are also
as a percentage of its total trade taking place to establish the ASEAN-
has shown a decent rise from 20% Japan Closer Economic Partnership
to 30% from 2001-02 to 2006-07. (CEP) Agreement, ASEAN- Korea FTA
(AKFTA), and ASEAN-India FTA
EMERGING REGIONALISM IN (AIFTA).
ASIA ASEAN’s engagements with
Recognising the potential for greater China, Japan, Korea and India and
regional cooperation for the ‘ASEAN plus three’ initiative are
development, major Asian proving to be very important
economies too have rapidly developments in regional integration,
embraced regionalism in the course significantly boosting trade relations
of the past decade, which has led and development in the region. Value
to the proliferation of several of total trade of ASEAN plus three
regional trading agreements countries reached US$ 4.3 trillion in

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2005 which was 20% of global countries/blocs with which India


exports. Development of India’s could negotiate the possibilities of a
engagement with ASEAN into a Free RTA. An important aspect that India
Trade Agreement could provide a needs to consider is consistency in
major boost to the ongoing efforts to its negative lists with regard to
promote regionalism in Asia and agreements with different countries
would help in the creation of a Pan as difference in negative lists could
Asia Free Trade Area. be self-defeating and ineffective in
protecting domestic industries. While
STRATEGY engagement in regional trade
RECOMMENDATIONS agreements, especially with
The study also attempts to provide developed countries like the US or
broad strategies that India could the European Union, the issue of non
adopt in tune with global trends and tariff barriers must also be carefully
patterns in engagement in trade addressed as they could act as serious
agreements across the world. impediments to trade, particularly for
developing countries like India.
Before entering into any trade
accord India needs to carefully assess Having noted the positive impact
the long-term implications arising out of regional trade agreements on a
of such engagements and adopt an country’s trade performance India
approach, which does not act against could explore trade accords with all
the long-term interest and potential major trading blocs in different
of the economy. India needs to pursue regions of the world viz. MERCOSUR
its endeavour towards eventual in Latin America, NAFTA in North
multilateralism, in continuance of its America, EU in Europe, ASEAN in
bilateral and plurilateral trade Asia, GCC or GAFTA in West Asia,
initiatives and effective regionalism SADC & SACU in Africa and the CIS
beyond free trade agreements. countries. Such agreements could
Engagement in regional trade substantially increase access to larger
agreements could therefore, be a markets of blocs and also widen the
complementary approach to India’s choice of competitive imports. In this
multilateral trade endeavours. regard, India has already signed trade
agreements with MERCOSUR, GCC,
In tune with global trends, India ASEAN and SACU, which have
needs to maintain its current focus strengthened India’s trade linkages in
on bilateral and plurilateral trade Latin America, West Asia and Africa.
agreements as non-participation in India is also currently negotiating an
RTAs could greatly impact India’s agreement with EU. It is also
competitiveness in the global important for India to engage in a free
economy. India needs to follow an trade agreement with at least one of
integrated approach while identifying the major members of a trade bloc in

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case of inability to strike an accord initiated efforts to negotiate an India-


with a bloc as a whole as this could Japan (Comprehensive) Economic
act as a potential gateway to other Partnership Agreement, the first round
markets of the bloc. In this regard, of negotiations for which have
India’s ongoing efforts to enter into a commenced in 2007. It is also
RTA with Russia could prove to be negotiating with EU to establish a
beneficial in opening up the larger broad-based trade and investment
markets of the CIS trade bloc, of agreement. United States being one
which Russia is a major member. of the world’s largest economies,
Similarly, India could also explore India could also explore opportunities
Mexico as a potential trade partner to enter into a preferential trade
as Mexico could act as a gateway to agreement with the US, given the vast
NAFTA as well as to Central America. market potential of the country. Such
Entering into an agreement with a linkage could enable lower import
Mexico could be mutually beneficial duties on manufactured exports from
as Mexico is also a leading trading India, greater employment
partner of India in the Latin American opportunities for highly skilled Indian
& Caribbean region and has shown technical personnel in the US, and
increasing interest in regional trade boost inflows of US investments in
agreements to achieve global key sectors like telecommunications,
integration. IT, financial services and
infrastructure. The evident
It is also recommended that, in
complementarities between India and
tune with the global trend and pattern
US in terms of low cost advantage of
of gradual shift from south-south trade
India and high intensity of capital and
agreements to preferential agreements
technology of the US also strengthen
between developing and developed
the possibility of such an agreement.
countries, India too could explore
opportunities to engage in trade It is also proposed that India
agreements with more developed could continue to look beyond free
countries like US, Japan, EU as against trade agreements in goods to expand
its current approach to engage the scope of agreements to
bilaterally mainly with developing incorporate service agreements,
countries. Trade agreements with investment agreements and enhance
larger and more important blocs like regional monetary cooperation and
EU in Europe and NAFTA in America cooperation in trade logistics. In this
could prove to be highly beneficial context, India has moved beyond free
in enhancing India’s trade trade in goods by signing a number
opportunities and gaining access to of comprehensive economic
larger, potent and more significant cooperation/partnership agreements
markets of the world. India has with countries/blocs like Singapore

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and ASEAN. Similarly, the India-Sri opportunities. Bilateral investment


Lanka Free Trade Agreement is being agreements could play a crucial role
transformed into a Comprehensive in facilitating the prospective growth
Economic Partnership Agreement of FDI in India as also contribute
(CEPA) and India is negotiating such towards higher levels of outward
an agreement with Mauritius. India investments from India. India is
could sustain this trend as it provides presently engaged in more than 50
an opportunity for achieving greater Bilateral Investment Promotion
levels of global economic integration, Agreements (BIPA) that encourage
in goods, services as well as in capital flows into India and provide
investment. secured business environment to
India could also capitalise on its Indian overseas investors. India could
dynamic comparative advantage in also enforce agreements which have
the services sector, which has been been signed but which have not
consistently contributing over 50% of entered into force yet and fill the
India’s GDP since 2000-01, compared existing gap. India could also consider
to many leading economies of the entering into BIPA with potential FTA
world and could pursue FTAs on partners such as Mexico and Chile.
services with developed countries and Further, with a view to stimulate
leading emerging economies where investments, India could consider
services sector is a major component expanding the scope of BIPAs to
of economic activity, which could include specific investment incentives
largely prove to be in India’s favour. in sectors such as infrastructure.
Having well established itself as a India could also consider
growing services sector driven enhancing its regional monetary
economy, India could pioneer in cooperation with a view to support
setting a trend in FTAs exclusively on and facilitate its regional trade
services. It could adopt a new
integration. The model of the
approach in moving from services to
Mercosur Structural Convergence
goods and thereby, set a new trend
Fund (FOCEM), which is an
in global economic integration.
instrument for transferring funds from
India could also explore the relatively advanced countries of
opportunities to enter into investment MERCOSUR (Brazil and Argentina) to
agreements with other countries the relatively less developed countries
based upon the strength of robust in the bloc (Uruguay and Paraguay),
economic fundamentals and growing could be replicated in the SAARC
investment attractiveness of India in region. Such an initiative in the SAARC
the global arena in view of increasing region could meaningfully contribute
foreign investment inflows and towards economic development of
infrastructure investment the region and truly capture the

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essence of regional economic ‘from regionalism to multilateralism’.


integration. This could also be viewed as a
‘bottom up approach’ in contrast to
It is also recommended that India
could take initiatives to enhance the notion of ‘top-down’ approach
cooperation in trade logistics and exhibited by the concept of
could explore opportunities in trans- multilateralism.
shipment services given its strategic Such an approach could prove to
location between the west and the be highly effective as integration
east. Such cooperation in trade among the countries is initiated at the
logistics could significantly reduce bilateral level to expand to plurilateral
transaction and shipment costs and and then to multilateral levels. Thus,
time.
regionalism could pave the way for
To conclude, the general eventual multilateralism. The ASEAN
approach among the countries plus three approach could serve as a
including India could be to move model in this regard.

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1. EVOLUTION OF REGIONAL
TRADE AGREEMENTS

INTRODUCTION or through preferential liberalisation


A regional trade agreement is an by entering into regional trade
economic trade agreement to reduce agreements.
tariffs and non-tariff barriers on trade Following the suspension of the
between two or more nations to Doha round of discussions of the
promote trade and investment 1. WTO, and consequent gradual loss
Bilateral and multilateral trade of confidence in WTO-bound
agreements could be mutually multilateralism, countries which are
beneficial to both the countries. keen on expanding their international
Regional trade agreements (RTAs) trade at a fast rate are increasingly
could accelerate trade liberalisation considering liberalisation at the
and set higher benchmarks for the bilateral and regional levels as their
multilateral system. preferred means to a more flexible
trade and investment regime. Even
The need for regional trade
countries like the US and India, who
agreements has arisen from a number
have been major proponents of the
of socio-economic, political and
multilateral system, are now opting
security considerations. Political origin
for regional dialogues.
of RTAs is rooted in foreign policy,
commercial diplomacy, and Regional trade agreements
development policy interests. Issues continue to proliferate as progress on
that fail to be resolved at the the multilateral trade talks such as
multilateral level such as trade in Doha round has slowed. There has
services, investment, competition, been a rapid growth in the number
environment and labour standards can of regional trade agreements (RTAs)
be effectively considered bilaterally in recent years. More than 200 RTAs

1 Regionalism is described in the Dictionary of Trade Policy Terms, as “actions


by governments to liberalise or facilitate trade on a regional basis, sometimes
through free-trade areas or customs unions”. According to the WTO, “regional
trade agreements (RTAs) may be agreements concluded between countries
not necessarily belonging to the same geographical region”, but also has a
more specific meaning because of the WTO provisions which relate
specifically to conditions of preferential trade liberalisation with RTAs.

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are in force at present, and the Arrangement (SAPTA) between


number is rapidly growing. The Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Maldives,
collapse of the Cancun Ministerial Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka was
Conference of the WTO in 2003 and one such agreement.
the Hong Kong Ministerial Conference
b) Free Trade Agreement
in 2005 has underscored the
(FTA): A free trade agreement is the
difficulties inherent in multilateral
most widespread form of RTAs. In
agreements and has resulted in many
an FTA, member countries eliminate
countries opting for RTAs as the
or reduce internal tariff and non-
primary means of enhancing
tariff trade barriers (to trade in
international trade.
goods, and also increasingly in
services) among members, while
TYPES OF RTAs
each member is free to maintain
Most RTAs are meant not merely to different most-favoured-nation
slash tariffs but also to reduce (MFN) barriers on non-members.
impediments in international trade Member countries are required to
and to promote trade by reducing develop rules-of-origin criteria to
either tariff or non-tariff measures. prevent imports from third countries
They also essentially include rules to be trans-shipped through the
and regulations that improve the member country with the lowest
overall investment climate. RTAs tariffs. The best known free trade
range across different levels of agreements are the European Free
economic integration and differ Trade Association (EFTA), the North
significantly in their scope and American Free Trade Agreement
coverage. The term regional trade (NAFTA), and the Association of
agreement encompasses both Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN)
reciprocal bilateral free trade or Free Trade Area (AFTA).
customs areas as also multi-country
(pluri-lateral) agreements. RTAs are c) Customs Union: The next
commonly classified into the level of integration is a Customs
following categories: Union (CU). A CU moves beyond
an FTA by establishing a common
a) Preferential Trade external tariff (CET) on imports from
Agreements: Preferential trade non-member countries. Typically,
agreement is a trading agreement customs unions contain mechanisms
giving preferential access to certain to redistribute tariff revenues among
products from certain countries. This member countries. Some examples
involves reducing tariffs but not their of Customs Unions include South
elimination. This is the weakest African Customs Union (SACU), East
form of economic integration. The African Community Customs Union
South Asian Preferential Trade (EAC), Gulf Cooperation Council

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(GCC), and Central American in the world, in the form of an


Customs Union (CACU). Economic and Monetary Union is
the European Union. Other
d) Common Market: Common
Economic and Monetary Unions
Markets are a form of ‘deep
include the West African Economic
integration’, where member
and Monetary Union (WAEMU),
countries attempt to harmonise
Economic and Monetary Community
institutional arrangements and laws
of Central Africa (CEMAC), Eurasian
and regulations among themselves.
Economic Community (EEC) and the
While all the features of a customs
Economic Cooperation Organization
union are present under a common
(ECO).
market system, the latter also
provides for free movement of In addition, there are also some
factors of production (labour and Partial Scope Agreements among
capital) among the member developing countries that are
countries, in addition to the free designed to have limited product
flow of products (output). The coverage.
Southern Cone Common Market
Countries wanting to join the
(MERCOSUR) and the Common
WTO have to negotiate bilateral
Market of Eastern and Southern
agreements known as accession
Africa (COMESA) are examples of
agreements with major economic
well known common markets. Other
powers, as a part of their entry
prevailing Common Markets include
procedure, which includes specific
Caribbean Community and Common
commitments, concessions and
Market (CARICOM), and the Central
schedules to liberalise trade in goods
American Common Market (CACM).
and services.
e) Economic and Monetary
According to latest updates from
Union: The most comprehensive
WTO, as on July 18, 2007 as many as
RTA is an Economic and Monetary
205 RTAs have been notified to WTO
Union, in which members remove
and are in force. These RTAs broadly
all internal trade barriers, permit the
include free trade agreements,
free movement of capital and
customs unions, preferential
labour, erect common external trade
arrangements, services agreements,
barriers, and unify their fiscal and
and accession agreements (refer Chart
monetary policies. Here, member
1.1).
countries share a common currency
and macroeconomic policies. The Of the 205 RTAs notified to WTO
best known and most successful and which are in force, 124 are FTAs,
form of a Regional Trade Agreement accounting for 60 per cent of the total;

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Chart 1.1:
NUMBER OF RTAS NOTIFIED TO WTO AND IN FORCE
(AS ON JULY 18, 2007)

SOURCE: WTO
Notation:
FTA: Free Trade Agreements
EIA: Economic Integration Agreements
CU: Customs Unions
PS: Partial Scope Agreements
AA: Accession Agreements

46 are Economic Integration As can be seen from charts 1.1


Agreements (EIA)2, 12 are Customs and 1.2, FTAs constitute the largest
Unions (CU), 12 are Partial Scope (PS) proportions and they dominate all
Agreements, while 11 are Accession other types of the RTAs notified and
Agreements (either to FTAs, customs in force. The predominance of FTAs
unions or economic integration is probably due to the fact that they
agreements (Charts 1.1 & 1.2). Of are faster to conclude and require a
these 205 RTAs, 136 RTAs were lower degree of policy coordination
notified under Article XXIV of the among the contracting parties, as in
GATT 1947 or GATT 1994; 21 under an FTA the member countries
the Enabling Clause; and 48 under maintain their own trade policy vis-
Article V of the GATS. à-vis a third (non-member) country.

2 The term “economic integration agreement” has been used in the WTO
Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS) (Article V) in relation to agreements
that cover trade in services.

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Chart 1.2:
DISTRIBUTION OF RTAs NOTIFIED TO WTO (% OF TOTAL)
(AS ON JULY 18, 2007)

SOURCE: WTO

Further, FTAs are generally concerned other WTO members, which are not
with strategic market access, and are party to the said agreement, the
often not bound by any geographical WTO member nation departs from
considerations. In contrast, in a the WTO guiding principle of non-
customs union, members have to discrimination. However, since the
maintain a common external tariff underlying idea behind such
(CET), which requires coordination regional trade agreements is
and harmonisation of external trade believed to be enhancement of trade
policies amongst the member among countries, WTO allows the
countries, and geographical formation of such RTAs subject to
considerations often play an specific conditions.
important role in determining the
When a country enters into a
objectives of such an integration.
regional trade agreement, it
strengthens the ties among the
REGIONAL TRADE
member nations by elimination of
AGREEMENTS AND WTO
protectionist barriers such as tariffs,
According to WTO, by entering into quotas, and non-tariff barriers. This
a regional integration agreement and undoubtedly promotes trade of goods
by granting more favourable and services among the member
treatment to its trade with other countries. Supporters of RTAs argue
parties to the agreement vis-à-vis that these agreements facilitate trade

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creation and encourage nations to This leads to unproductive trade


gradually move towards global free diversion. Diverted trade may hurt the
trade by allowing countries to increase non-member nation economically and
the level of competition slowly and politically and create a strained
give domestic industries time to relationship between the two nations.
adjust. RTAs are also believed to be a The decreased output of the good or
vital ground for dealing with sensitive service traded from one nation having
trade issues such as agricultural a high comparative advantage to a
subsidies and trade in services. nation which is having a lower
Controversial issues that cause comparative advantage works against
deadlocks in multilateral negotiations creating more efficiency.
can also be resolved due to fewer and
Despite the above argument,
like-minded participants.
since the primary purpose of such
But proponents of multilateralism regional trade agreements – customs
believe that such regional trade union or a free trade area, is
agreements though undoubtedly considered to be trade facilitation
promote bilateral and regional trade, between the member countries and
also lead to overall trade diversion. not to raise barriers on other non-
In the absence of a regional trade member (non-contracting) members,
agreement, a country exercises the the WTO members are allowed to
same tariff on all nations and thus, is enter into RTAs, subject to specific
able to import from the most efficient conditions. This is based on the
producer who provides the goods at underlying philosophy that bilateral
the lowest price. With the and multilateral agreements could be
establishment of a regional trade complementary and mutually
agreement, trade gets diverted, as
reinforcing approaches to trade
importing from a non member
reforms and that such regional
country becomes unattractive and
integration agreements could lead to
even unviable. If the agreement is
enhanced regional trade, which in
signed with a less-efficient nation, its
turn could provide a boost to
products may become cheaper in the
importing market than those from the enhanced multilateral trade.
more-efficient nation. As a result, after Moreover, the Doha Declaration
entering into a RTA the importing drawn up by the WTO in late 2001
country would acquire products from also recognises that RTAs can play
a higher-cost producer, instead of the an important role in promoting the
low-cost producer from which it was liberalisation and expansion of trade
importing until then, thus shifting and also in increasing investment and
trade from lowest cost sources of productivity gains and fostering
imports to preferred trading partners. development especially in developing

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economies. As regionalism becomes on the whole be higher or


a more widely accepted and an more restrictive than that
indispensable aspect of international prevailing prior to the
trade, a sustained commitment to formation of the such
multilateralism can help to arrest the agreement.
possible divisiveness of regionalism  Any interim agreement
and tap its potential for attaining should include a plan and
greater global economic integration schedule for the formation
and rapid trade reforms. of such a customs union or
such free trade area within
WTO Rules relating to RTAs a reasonable length of
As per WTO rules, countries are time.4
allowed to enter into regional  Any contracting party
trading agreements under specific deciding to enter into any
conditions as per the three sets of such agreement should
rules3: promptly notify the other
contracting parties and
a) Paragraphs 4 to 10 of Article should make available to
XXIV of GATT (as clarified in them such information
the Understanding on the regarding the proposed
Interpretation of Article XXIV of customs union or free trade
the GATT 1994) area.
 Notification is made to the
 With respect to a customs WTO Council.
union, or a free trade area,
or an interim agreement b) Enabling Clause (i.e., the 1979
leading to the formation of Decision on Differential and
a customs union or free More Favourable Treatment,
trade area, the duties and Reciprocity and Fuller
other regulations of Participation of Developing
commerce imposed at the Countries)
time of institution of such  Contracting parties may
agreement in respect of accord differential and
trade with other non- more favourable treatment
member countries shall not to developing countries,

3 GATT Article XXIV; Enabling Clause & GATS Article V.


4 ‘Reasonable length of time” should exceed 10 years only in exceptional
cases, and member countries shall provide full explanation to the Council
of Trade in Goods for the need for a longer period.

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without according such countries can enter into an


treatment to other agreement designed to
contracting parties. liberalise trade in services
between or among the
 Such differential and more
contracting parties,
favourable treatment would
provided that such an
apply to: preferential tariff
agreement has substantial
treatment accorded by
coverage, and provides for
developed contracting
the absence or elimination
parties to products
of substantially all
originating in developing
discrimination between or
countries; differential and
among the parties, in the
more favourable treatment
sectors covered, through
with respect to non-tariff
elimination of existing
measures; regional or
discriminatory measures,
global arrangements
and/or prohibition of new
entered into amongst less-
or more discriminatory
developed contracting
measures.
parties for mutual reduction
of tariffs or non-tariff  Where developing
measures, on products countries are parties to
imported from one another; such an agreement, GATS
special treatment on the Article V also lays down
least developed among the that flexibility shall be
developing countries. provided for in accordance
 Any differential and more with the level of
favourable treatment development of the
provided under the clause countries concerned.
shall be designed to  Further, any agreement on
facilitate and promote the services shall be designed
trade of developing to facilitate trade between
countries (and not to raise the parties to the
barriers to or create undue agreement, and shall not in
difficulties for the trade of respect of any non-
any other contracting contracting party raise the
parties). overall level of barriers to
trade in services within the
c) GATS Article V respective sectors or sub-
 General Agreement on sectors compared to the
Trade in Services (GATS) level applicable prior to
Article V lays down that such an agreement.

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WTO recognises that regional XXIV and GATS Article V, the WTO
trading arrangements and closer set up the Committee on Regional
economic integration can benefit Trade Agreements (CRTA) in
countries. It also recognises that under February 1996, following the
some circumstances regional trading Uruguay round of negotiations. The
arrangements could affect the trade committee ensures that such
interests of other countries. In regional agreements do not
particular, the arrangements should undermine the importance of the
help trade flow more freely among multilateral system. Its primary
the countries in the group without functions are to:
barriers being raised on trade with the
(i) oversee, under a single
outside world. In other words,
framework, all bilateral and
regional integration should
regional preferential trade
complement the multilateral trading
agreements;
system and not threaten it.
(ii) develop procedures to facilitate
Thus, article XXIV of GATT says
and improve the examination
that if a free trade area or customs
process; and
union is created, duties and other
trade barriers should be reduced or (iii) consider the implications of
removed on substantially all sectors such agreements and regional
of trade in the group. Non-members initiatives for the multilateral
should not find trade with the group trading system.
any more restrictive than before the
group was set up. Similarly, Article V RTAs between developing
of the General Agreement on Trade countries, when notified to the WTO
in Services (GATS) provides for under the Enabling Clause, are, in
economic integration agreements in principle, not subject to review by the
services. Other provisions in the WTO Committee. WTO members are
agreements (Enabling Clause) allow required to notify regional trade
developing countries to enter into agreements to the CRTA to ensure that
regional or global agreements that WTO requirements are met. Such
include the reduction or elimination notified agreements are then carefully
of tariffs and non-tariff barriers on examined and scrutinised by other
trade among themselves. WTO members for WTO compliance.
As has been highlighted by the
WTO’s Committee on Regional Declaration from the WTO Ministerial
Trade Agreements Conference in Doha, regional trade
With a view to ensure that regional agreements can play an important role
integration agreements are consistent in fostering liberalisation and
with WTO rules, under GATT Article expansion of trade, and in fostering

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development. As in the past, RTAs are the continuing confidence of


expected to proceed in response to a economies in regional agreements
range of economic, geo-political and in their commercial policies aimed
security interests. at creation of a freer trade regime.

MULTILATERALISM VIS-À-VIS GLOBAL SCENARIO-TRENDS IN


REGIONALISM PROLIFERATION OF RTAs
The effectiveness of RTAs, as a tool In addition to the increasing
for achieving liberalisation and emergence of developing countries
enhanced global integration, as as important drivers of global trade
compared to the multilateral system and services, an important trend that
of negotiations, despite their has also gained momentum in
proliferation has remained a topic recent years has been the
of grave concern and continuous proliferation of RTAs.
debate and deliberation. Though, in
An examination of the recent
theory, regionalism does not offer
trends would attest to the proliferation
the best solution for trade
liberalisation, it is being considered of RTAs especially since 2000. Of the
as a more viable alternate in the 205 RTAs notified to WTO and in
light of the sluggish performance of force, as on July 18, 2007, as many as
the multilateral system. Drawing 124 RTAs entered into force since
inference from the current trends, 2000. FTAs dominated the trend in
one may say that RTAs might the proliferation of regional trade
continue to be a dominant strategy agreements, followed by EIAs (refer
for future liberalisation. In fact, RTAs Chart 1.3).
was the only issue on which a Further analysis of trends in RTAs
consensus was reached during the notified to WTO from January 01,
failed 23 July 2006 meeting of the 2000 to July 18, 2007, reveals that
G-6 (France, Germany, United during 2004, 2005 and 2006 maximum
States, Japan, United Kingdom and number of RTAs were notified since
Italy) at Geneva. A new WTO
2000. In 2004, 24 RTAs entered into
transparency mechanism for RTAs
force; the corresponding numbers
has been introduced, in recognition
were 18 in 2005 and 19 in 2006 (refer
of the inevitable proliferation of
Table 1 .1). Further, as many as 40
RTAs, which provides for an early
FTAs and 23 EIAs entered into force
announcement of any RTA and
during the period 2004-2007.
notification to the WTO. The
primary idea behind this is to ensure While the dominance of FTAs
that regional agreements become implies a growing tendency between
building blocks and not stumbling member countries to establish
blocks to world trade. This indicates bilateral preferential agreements,

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Chart 1.3:
NUMBER OF RTAs NOTIFIED TO WTO, ENTERING INTO FORCE SINCE
2000 (AS ON JULY 18, 2007)

SOURCE: WTO

Table 1.1:
NUMBER OF RTAs NOTIFIED TO WTO, 2000 TO 2007 (UPTO JULY 18)
Type of Agreement 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Total
FTA 8 11 10 9 16 10 11 3 78
EIA 1 6 4 3 6 8 8 1 37
AA 1 1 2 1 5
CU 2 1 3
PS 1 1
Total No. of RTAs 11 17 15 15 24 18 19 5 124

SOURCE: WTO

similarly increasing number of EIAs trade partners. In the past, countries


do indicate that countries are have sought to implement deep
preferring to deepen bilateral economic and institutional
economic integration beyond trade in integration by crafting agreements
goods. that address more than tariff reform.
Many RTAs now deal with the
FACTORS RESPONSIBLE FOR reform or harmonisation of
RAPID INCREASE IN RTAs regulatory practices, investment
Regionalism is a strategy to achieve protection, labor issues, trade
comprehensive reforms with key dispute resolution, and the

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development of common positions RTAs are primarily common


in other trade negotiation venues. among, but not restricted to, small
Increasingly, RTAs are also viewed groups of neighbouring countries
as a way to link developing and sharing similar concerns as
developed countries in a common negotiations can be reached much
project of economic development. faster when compared to a multilateral
RTAs can also encourage structure. The ASEAN-FTA, NAFTA,
investment, facilitate productivity South Asian Preferential Trade
gains in participating developing Arrangement (SAPTA) between
countries and accelerate their Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Maldives,
economic growth. Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka, are
A classic example of deep such examples of RTAs among
economic integration among nations neighbouring countries.
through an RTA is the European There are various factors that lead
Union. In the EU all internal trade
to rapid expansion of FTAs around
barriers have been eliminated and a
the world which include
common external tariff is exercised
on all non-members. All EU members  to derive benefits of increased
also share a common currency and a preferential access to highly
set of macroeconomic policies. competitive larger markets
Free trade blocs formed by  slow progress in trade
agreements such as the EFTA, SAFTA, liberalisation under the WTO
ASEAN-FTA and NAFTA, and customs
 a sharp increase in FTAs around
unions such as the EU, SACU etc. have
the world which has prompted
allowed countries to lower trade
other countries not involved in
barriers among members and political
regional trade agreements to
allies and to develop their own trade
also consider engagement in
policies.
such agreements.
Many developed countries offer
 to promote liberalisation and
nonreciprocal preferences as another
bring about policy reforms, and
way to foster exports by developing
countries. Nonreciprocal preferences  to attract more foreign direct
are arrangements between developed investment into the country
and developing countries that reduce
tariffs or even allow duty-free access There are several factors that are
for selected products from developing common to many countries, while
countries. However, these there are some specific factors that
arrangements often exclude products may explain the motive of
that are of the greatest importance to engagement in FTAs in case of some
developing countries. individual countries.

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Rapid expansion of FTAs in other trade liberalisation on the global scale,


parts of the world has prompted East many countries have opted to form
Asian economies to form FTAs, in FTAs with like-minded countries to
order to maintain and expand market pursue trade liberalisation.
access for their exports. By the mid-
The East Asian economies are
1990s the world’s leading economies
also trying to use FTAs as means to
except those in East Asia had become
promote deregulation and structural
members of FTAs. The world’s two
reforms in the domestic market and
largest economic regions, North
to promote socio-economic
America and Western Europe too
cooperation in the region, as these
formed separate FTAs. Faced with
measures contributed to rapid
these situations, many countries and
economic growth during the ’90s
specifically East Asian economies
when these economies faced a severe
became concerned about their export
financial crisis. Many East Asian
markets.
economies also see FTAs as an
The formation of the North effective means to promote economic
American Free Trade Agreement and other types of cooperation in East
(NAFTA) had significant impact on Asia having understood the
East Asian countries for several importance of regional cooperation
reasons. One is the change in US after the financial crisis of 1990 and
policy to regard FTA as an important to avoid its occurrence in future.
trade policy signalling the increasing
The need to attract foreign
importance of regionalism. The
investment (and stimulate domestic
negative impacts of the NAFTA on investment) is increasingly being cited
East Asian countries in the form of a as an impetus for RTAs by many
decline in exports to the US and a researchers. Participation in regional
decline in FDI from not only the US agreements by developing countries
but other countries highlighted the also demonstrates that the country is
importance of FTAs to deal with these committed to opening its markets.
negative impacts.
Moreover, political factors too
The time consuming and slow have contributed to the increased
progress on multilateral trade interest in FTAs in different regions
liberalisation under the WTO was also of the world. Political considerations
one important factor that led to the for such emergence of regional/
proliferation of FTAs in different parts bilateral agreements inevitably
of the world. Many countries, include consolidation of peace and
including those in East Asia realized increasing regional security.
the benefits of trade liberalisation for Furthermore, there are political-
the promotion of economic growth. economic reasons because of which
Faced with the difficulty in pursuing governments may find it easier to

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liberalise when other countries are RTAs have been found to be very
doing the same. useful in this context. The need for
such agreements has arisen from a
Another way in which an FTA
number of socio-economic, political
could contribute to the welfare of its
and security considerations. RTAs
members is by providing insurance
have also proved to encourage
against possible future events to at
investment, facilitate preferential
least one of the members. The desire
access to larger competitive markets
to increase bargaining power with
respect to third parties is also often and accelerate economic growth. It
cited as a reason why countries may is important to ensure that regional
wish to join a RTA. trade agreements become building
blocks to world trade and not
CONCLUSION stumbling blocks to achieving the
universal goal of global
Bilateral regional trade agreements amalgamation. RTAs are increasingly
continue to proliferate, across the being viewed as a link between
globe, as progress on the WTO developing and developed countries
based multilateral trade talks has towards the common goal of
remained subdued and talks mostly economic development.
inconclusive in recent times. The
gradual erosion of faith in The following chapters deal with
multilateralism has given a new some of the major RTAs that came
thrust to the concept of regionalism into force in many countries and
as a highly effective tool for regions of the world, how they have
expanding international trade, proved to be a gateway to global
economic cooperation and global trade, and what India can learn from
integration. the international experience.

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2. GLOBAL PERFORMANCE OF RTAs

A number of RTAs have countries where their prices had been


proliferated in various regions of the inflated by duties and other trade
world among many countries and barriers.
more than one third of the world’s
As can be seen from Chart 2.1,
trade takes place within the there has been an explosion in the
framework of such agreements5. A number of RTAs since the last decade.
well-crafted trade bloc can enhance The number of RTAs have almost
efficiency and economic welfare of tripled in the current decade,
its member countries by facilitating compared to the previous decade
consumer choice and increasing from 46 to 137 agreements. This is a
competition. Reducing tariff barriers clear evidence of the interest evinced
enlarges markets and facilitates entry by countries all over the globe in
of more efficient producers into regional economic integration.
Chart 2.1:
RTAs IN FORCE (BY YEAR OF ENTRY INTO FORCE)

SOURCE: WTO

5 World Development Indicators 2007, World Bank, Washington DC.

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PROLIFERATION IN GLOBAL During recent years, the


RTAs SINCE 2000 maximum number of 16 FTAs notified
It is interesting to note that there to the WTO, entering into force was
has been a sharp increase in the in 2004, followed by 11 agreements
number of RTAs notified to the in 2006. This trend could possibly be
WTO especially since 2000. Of the attributed to the failure of the Fifth
total 205 RTAs notified to the WTO, WTO Ministerial Conference held in
124 RTAs have been notified since Cancún, Mexico in 2003 and the Sixth
2000. WTO Ministerial Conference held in
Hong Kong in 2005 that could have
Trends in FTAs Notified to the eroded the confidence of the member
WTO Since 2000 nations in the WTO based
multilateralism and encouraged them
FTAs continue to dominate RTAs
to engage bilaterally in regional trade
around the world, with as many as
agreements. During 2007, until July
78 FTAs notified to the WTO
18, 3 FTAs have entered into force,
entering into force since 2000, of
the total 124 FTAs. Chart 2.2 below which include the Turkey-Syria, the
highlights the recent trend in the EFTA-Lebanon and the EFTA- Egypt
upsurge in number of FTAs notified agreements.
to the WTO entering into force since
2000. The list of these FTAs is EMERGENCE OF TRADE BLOCS
presented in Table A1 of the The world has also seen a fast rise
Annexure. in the number of regional trade
Chart 2.2:
TREND IN NUMBER OF FTAs ENTERED INTO FORCE SINCE 2000

SOURCE: WTO
* as on July 18, 2007

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blocs around the globe as a result Americas, the ASEAN and SAARC in
of the willingness on part of Asia, and COMESA and SADC in
countries to enhance and foster Africa could be identified as crucial
trade relationship with other nations. developments in regional economic
At one time, countries entered into integration in Asia and Africa. The
agreements with only neighbouring following section discusses the major
countries. However, geographical trade blocs across the globe and
constraints cease to be a hindrance their corresponding intra-regional
today and countries are rapidly trade performances.
entering into trade relations with
distant countries as well. Trade blocs Major Trading Blocs in
have emerged in all regions of the America
world including America, Asia, The main trading blocs in North
Africa, Europe, and West Asia. While America, Latin America and
the MERCOSUR and NAFTA have Caribbean region are presented in
emerged as major blocs in the Box 1 below.
Box 1:
SELECT TRADING BLOCS IN AMERICA
Trade Bloc Year of Formation Members
Central American 1961 Costa Rica, El Salvador,
Common Market (CACM) (revived in 1990) Guatemala, Honduras,
Nicaragua
Andean Community 1969 Bolivia, Colombia, Ecuador,
(CAN) (revived in 1990) Peru, Venezuela
Caribbean Community 1973 Antigua & Barbuda,
and Common Market Barbados, Belize,
(CARICOM) San Cristobal, Dominica,
Grenada, Guyana, Jamaica,
Montserret, St. Kitts & Nevis,
St. Lucia, St. Vincent &
the Grenadines,
Trinidad and Tobago
Latin American Integration 1980 Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil,
Association (LAIA) Chile, Colombia, Cuba,
Ecuador, Mexico, Paraguay,
Peru, Uruguay, Venezuela
Southern Cone Common 1991 Argentina, Brazil,
Market (MERCOSUR) Paraguay, Uruguay
North American Free 1994 Canada, Mexico,
Trade Agreement (NAFTA) United States
Free Trade Agreement 1994 Almost the entire of America,
of America (FTAA) excluding Cuba

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The underlying objective of most trade and economic relations with


trade blocs in the Americas was to third States and promote international
form a common market through competitiveness and cooperation.
coordination and harmonisation of
The North American Free Trade
fiscal, monetary and exchange rate
Agreement (NAFTA) aimed at
policies, and accelerating economic establishing a free trade area in goods
development. MERCOSUR was and services, government
established in March 1991 with the procurement and intellectual property
Treaty of Asuncion. Subsequently, rights, as also liberalisation of
Bolivia and Chile have also become investment flows and professional
associate members. Brazil is one of services amongst member countries.
the most important members in the It also focused on elimination of trade
bloc. MERCOSUR became a customs barriers, promotion of fair competition
union on January 1, 1995. Latin and boosting investment
American Integration Association opportunities. The parties endeavour
(LAIA) or (Asociación to fully implement these objectives
Latinoamericana de Integración) by 2008. All existing trade barriers are
(ALADI Group) formerly known as slated to be removed over a period
the Latin American Free Trade of 15 years. The Free Trade Area of
Association (LAFTA) is the largest the Americas (FTAA) endeavoured to
Latin-American group of integration. unite the economies of the Americas
into a single free trade area. The FTAA
The ALADI promotes the creation of
negotiations were formally launched
an area of economic preferences in
in April 1998 at the Second Summit
the region, aiming at a Latin-American of the Americas in Santiago, Chile. It
common market, through three aimed at promoting prosperity
mechanisms: regional tariff through increased economic
preference, regional scope integration and free trade among the
agreements and partial scope member countries, maximizing
agreements. With the establishment market openness and integration of
of CARICOM, although a free-trade the smaller economies in the FTAA
area had been built, the agreement process in order to promote their
did not provide for the free movement development.
of labour and capital, or the An inference on the importance
coordination of agricultural, industrial and significance of any trade bloc can
and foreign policies. The community be made by observing the bloc’s
aimed to form a common market to merchandise exports as a percentage
improve standards of living and work, of global exports. An observation of
achieve full employment of labour this trend reveals that two of the most
and other factors of production, important blocs in the region are
accelerate, coordinate and sustain NAFTA and FTAA with distinct shares
economic development, expansion of of 14% and 17% respectively, in global

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exports in 2005. This indicates the 824 billion. However, intra-bloc


magnitude of trade that these trade exports have grown at almost a similar
blocs are engaged in. The pace at a CAGR of 6-7% both for
corresponding share of other trade NAFTA and FTAA during 1999 to 2005.
blocs like CACM, Andean Group,
LAIA, MERCOSUR and the
CARICOM, LAIA and MECOSUR
Andean Group too have shown
though being relatively low 6 ,
decent growth in intra-bloc exports
nevertheless, remain very important
trading blocs. Intra-bloc trade in recent period. The intra-bloc
amounted a high of US$ 1.1 trillion merchandise exports as a ratio of total
for FTAA in 2005, implying that over bloc exports of the Andean group
60% of the bloc’s global exports are have averaged around 9% during the
confined within the bloc itself (refer 7-year period. On the contrary the
Table 2.1). Similarly, 56% of NAFTA’s corresponding trade performance
global exports in 2005 were within ratio for MERCOSUR and CARICOM
the bloc itself amounting to over US$ have shown a sharp decline during

Table 2.1:
TREND IN TRADE PERFORMANCE OF AMERICAN TRADE BLOCS
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Merchandise Exports within Blocs (US$ bn)
CACM 2.2 2.6 2.7 2.8 3.2 3.6 4.1
Andean Group 3.9 5.3 5.6 5.1 5.2 7.3 9.5
CARICOM 1.1 1.1 1.4 1.2 1.4 1.7 2.1
LAIA (ALADI) 34.8 42.9 40.8 36.1 39.9 55.8 70.4
MERCOSUR 15.3 17.8 15.2 10.2 12.7 17.4 21.1
FTAA 734.9 855.7 810.4 787.2 826.3 967.7 1110.7
NAFTA 581.2 676.1 639.4 626.0 651.1 737.6 824.6
Merchandise Exports within Blocs (% of total bloc exports)
CACM 13.6 19.1 22.8 19.5 20.2 20.9 18.9
Andean Group 8.8 8.7 10.5 9.5 8.9 8.6 8.2
CARICOM 16.9 14.7 16.5 13.7 12.3 12.5 11.8
LAIA (ALADI) 12.7 12.8 12.8 11.2 11.4 12.6 13.2
MERCOSUR 20.6 20.0 17.1 11.5 11.9 12.7 12.9
FTAA 59.7 60.7 60.5 60.8 60.0 60.0 60.3
NAFTA 54.6 55.7 55.5 56.6 56.1 55.9 55.8
SOURCE: World Development Indicators 2007, World Bank, Washington DC.

6 Refer to Table A2 in Annexure for Merchandise Exports by Blocs (as % of


global exports) in Latin America & the Caribbean region.

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the period indicating a possible shift during the period. In general,


in interest among the member economic growth in the LAC region
countries of these blocs from trade has remained subdued in recent years,
with intra-bloc countries to bilateral which is reflected in depressed intra-
engagements with extra regional bloc trade in the region.
countries or blocs. CACM has shown
an increase in the intra-bloc exports Major Trading Blocs in Africa
as a percentage of total bloc exports As far as the African region is
from 13.6% in 1999 to around 19% in concerned, the main trading blocs
2005. A possible reason behind the are ECOWAS, SADC, COMESA,
depressed intra-bloc trade UEMOA etc. A brief description of
performance in MERCOSUR could be select RTAs of the region are
the economic crisis in Argentina presented in Box 2 below.
Box 2:
SELECT TRADING BLOCS IN AFRICA
Trade Bloc Year of Formation Members
Economic Community of 1975 Benin, Burkina Faso, Cape
West African States Verde, Côte d’Ivoire, Gambia,
(ECOWAS) Ghana, Guinea, Guinea-
Bissau, Liberia, Mali, Niger,
Nigeria, Senegal,
Sierra Leone, Togo
Southern African 1992 Angola, Botswana,
Development Democratic Republic of
Community (SADC) Congo, Lesotho, Malawi,
Mauritius, Mozambique,
Namibia, Seychelles,
South Africa, Swaziland,
Tanzania, Zambia, Zimbabwe
Common Market for 1994 Angola, Burundi, Comoros,
Eastern and Southern Democratic Republic of
Africa (COMESA) Congo, Djibouti, Egypt,
Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya,
Madagascar, Malawi,
Mauritius, Namibia, Rwanda,
Seychelles, Sudan, Swaziland,
Uganda, Tanzania, Zambia,
Zimbabwe
West African Economic 1994 Benin, Burkina Faso,
and Monetary Côte d’Ivoire, Guinea-Bissau,
Union (UEMOA) Mali, Niger, Senegal, Togo
East African 1996 Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda
Community (EAC)

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The member countries of of the people and optimum utilisation


COMESA have identified priority areas of the natural resources of the region.
which include increasing industrial The West African Economic and
and agricultural productivity and Monetary Union (UEMOA) was
efficiency, development of transport created by a treaty signed at Dakar,
and communications infrastructure, Senegal, in 1994. In 1997, Guinea-
trade expansion and trade facilitation Bissau became its eighth member
and development of comprehensive, state. The Union focused on greater
reliable and up to date information economic competitiveness, through
data bases. COMESA primarily aimed open and liberal markets,
to deepen and broaden the integration convergence and harmonisation of
process among member States macroeconomic and fiscal policies,
through adoption of more creation of a common market and
comprehensive trade liberation coordination of sectoral policies.
measures such as complete
Though these blocs have played
elimination of tariff and non-tariff
an important role in integrating the
barriers to trade and elimination of
African countries in the region to a
customs duties, free movement of
good extent, these blocs have not
capital, labour, and goods,
been able to make their presence felt
standardisation and quality control
in the global arena, as indicated by
and adoption of a Common External
the low share of the merchandise
Tariff (CET). ECOWAS comprised of
exports of these countries in global
16 nations until recently when
exports7, the largest being that of
Mauritania withdrew membership SADC with 0.8% share in world
from ECOWAS. The principal exports, followed by ECOWAS with
objective behind the formation of 0.6% share in 2005.
ECOWAS was to achieve economic
integration and collective Though modest, nevertheless, the
development so as to form a unified intra-bloc merchandise exports
economic zone in West Africa. African trade blocs have shown a
Subsequently, the scope was steady increase in recent years.
increased to include socio- political Between 1999 and 2005, intra-bloc
interactions and mutual development exports have more than doubled for
in related spheres. COMESA and ECOWAS and have
grown substantially in case of SADC
SADC primarily aimed to promote (Table 2.2). However, declining
economic growth among its member shares of intra-bloc exports as
countries and focused on poverty percentage of global exports of these
alleviation, improving standard of life blocs imply a growing tendency to

7 Refer to Table A3 in Annexure for Merchandise Exports by Blocs (as % of


global exports) in Africa

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Table 2.2:
TREND IN TRADE PERFORMANCE OF AFRICAN TRADE BLOCS
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Merchandise Exports within Blocs (US$ bn)
COMESA 1.4 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.4 2.9 3.3
EAC 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9
ECOWAS 2.4 2.8 2.4 3.2 3.1 4.5 5.7
SADC 4.2 4.3 3.8 4.3 5.4 6.4 6.4
UEMOA 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.4
Merchandise Exports within Bloc (as % of total bloc exports)
COMESA 7.4 6.1 7.9 7.4 7.4 6.8 5.9
EAC 14.4 20.5 21.4 19.3 18.2 16.6 15.0
ECOWAS 10.4 7.9 8.5 10.9 8.6 9.4 9.5
SADC 11.9 9.3 8.6 9.5 9.8 9.5 7.7
UEMOA 13.1 13.1 12.7 12.2 13.3 12.9 13.4
SOURCE: World Development Indicators 2007, World Bank

trade beyond the region by member A key trading bloc in the Asian
countries. It may be interesting to note region is ASEAN which was
that for EAC and UEMOA, although established in 1967 in Bangkok by the
in absolute terms intra-bloc exports five original Member Countries,
are extremely modest, but these two namely, Indonesia, Malaysia,
blocs show the highest share of intra- Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand.
bloc exports as percentage of global Brunei Darussalam joined in 1984,
exports of these blocs. Vietnam in 1995, Laos and Myanmar
in 1997, and Cambodia became a
Major Trading Blocs in Asia member in 1999. The ASEAN region
(South, South-East and East has a combined gross domestic
Asia) product of almost US$ 700 billion, and
In the Asian region, the main trade total trade of about US$ 850 billion.
blocs include ASEAN, Bangkok The main focus of the association was
Agreement, SAARC, and EAEC. The to accelerate equitable economic
member countries and year of growth, social progress and cultural
formation of these select blocs is development in the region, to
discussed in the following Box 3. promote regional peace and stability

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Box 3:
SELECT TRADING BLOCS IN ASIA
Trade Bloc Year of Formation Members
ASEAN 1967 Brunei, Cambodia,
(Association of Indonesia, Laos,
South East Malaysia, Myanmar,
Asian Nations) Philippines, Singapore,
Thailand, Vietnam
Bangkok agreement 1975 Bangladesh, China, India,
Korea, Sri Lanka
SAARC (South Asia 1985 Bangladesh, Bhutan, India,
Association for Regional Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan,
Cooperation) Sri Lanka
EAEC 1990 Brunei, China,
(East Asia Economic Hong Kong (China),
Caucus) Indonesia, Japan, Korea,
Malaysia, Philippines,
Singapore, Taiwan (China),
Thailand

in the region, facilitate free flow of The East Asia Economic Caucus
capital, and reduction of poverty and is a regional free trade zone (FTA)
socio-economic disparities. Singapore proposed in 1990 by Malaysia
and Thailand are the most important encompassing six ASEAN member
member countries in ASEAN states and China, South Korea and
accelerating trade and economic Japan. The more recent ‘ASEAN plus
performance of the bloc. three’ initiative is likely to be a more
concrete and operational
SAARC focuses on welfare of the
manifestation of the East Asia
people of South Asia and aims to
Economic Caucus.
accelerate economic growth, social
progress and cultural development in Apart from these there is APEC,
the region, promote and strengthen which is the only inter governmental
collective self-reliance among the grouping in the world operating on
countries of South Asia and mutual the basis of non-binding commitments
collaboration and assistance in various and open dialogue. APEC has no
fields. The Fourteenth SAARC Summit treaty obligations required of its
was held in April 2007 in New Delhi. participants which include a host of
India has been playing a crucial role countries from Asia, Pacific and
in SAARC to foster economic growth Americas. Decisions made within
in the region. APEC are reached by consensus and

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commitments are undertaken on a Economic Group and ASEAN have


voluntary basis. performed well. The intra-bloc
merchandise exports of EAEC reached
To have an idea of the relative
US$ 1.3 trillion in 2005 (refer Table
importance of the trade blocs in the
2.3). The merchandise exports as a
world economy, it is pertinent to note
percentage of the bloc’s global
that the total merchandise exports of
exports has been consistently growing
EAEC have contributed to around 26%
and was around 50% in 2005. This
of total world exports in 2005. This
indicates that around 50% of EAEC’s
reflects the importance of the trading
global export transactions take place
bloc in the global scenario. The
within the bloc, indicating the high
contribution of ASEAN to global
level of confidence, cooperation and
exports has consistently been above
integration among the member
6% during the 7-year period8.
countries. The intra bloc merchandise
Among the Asian trading blocs, exports of ASEAN, in absolute terms,
the East Asia Economic Caucus have grown at CAGR of 10.6% to
formerly known as the East Asia reach US$ 143 billion in 2005. During

Table 2.3:
TREND IN TRADE PERFORMANCE OF ASIAN TRADE BLOCS
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Merchandise Exports within Blocs (US$ bn)
ASEAN 77.9 98.1 86.3 91.7 101.1 122.9 143.0
EAEC 612.4 772.4 698.6 779.4 941.0 1177.3 1335.0
Bangkok agreement 14.5 16.8 16.7 18.0 21.8 24.9 29.5
SAARC 2.2 2.6 2.8 3.4 4.9 5.7 7.1
APEC 1896.2 2261.8 2071.0 2168.7 2420.7 2905.3 3287.0

Merchandise Exports within Bloc (as % of total bloc exports)


ASEAN 21.7 23.0 22.4 22.7 22.1 22.3 22.7
Bangkok agreement 5.1 5.1 5.5 5.5 5.7 5.2 5.4
EAEC 43.8 46.6 46.6 48.1 49.4 49.8 49.2
SAARC 4.0 4.1 4.3 4.8 5.7 5.6 5.5

SOURCE: World Development Indicators 2007, World Bank, Washington DC.

8 Refer to Table A4 in Annexure for Merchandise Exports by Blocs (as % of


global exports) in Asia

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the same period from 1999 to 2005, These agreements in the Arab
EAEC has grown at a compounded region were established primarily to
rate of 13.8%. The share of intra-bloc increase intra-regional trade, through
exports of ASEAN in total bloc exports removal of trade barriers, enhance
has remained steady at around 22% mutual production efficiency by
during the period. exploiting comparative advantage and
scale economies, optimum utilisation
Though the intra-bloc
of natural resources of the region for
merchandise exports of SAARC have
collective growth, enhance
more than tripled since 1999 to 2005,
competition within domestic markets,
the magnitude of exports still remains
improve terms of trade by decreasing
relatively low being US$ 7 billion in
import prices and fostering economic
2005. The low level of economic
growth through the dynamic effects
cooperation among the members of
of regional integration.
SAARC is evident from the low share
of intra-bloc exports in total bloc Though these trade blocs have,
exports, being only 5.5% in 2005. to some extent, integrated the markets
of West Asia, the share of
Major Trading Blocs in West merchandise exports of these trade
Asia blocs in total world exports has been
low9, with the corresponding share
In the West Asian region, the main
of GAFTA being the highest in the
trade blocs include the Arab
region at 4.4%. .
Common Market, GAFTA and GCC.
The member countries and year of In the West Asian region, as
formation of these select blocs is shown in Table 2.4, the intra-bloc
discussed in the following Box 4. merchandise exports of GAFTA have
Box 4:
SELECT TRADING BLOCS IN WEST ASIA
Trade Bloc Year of Formation Members
Arab Common Market 1964 Egypt, Iraq, Jordan, Libya,
Mauritania, Syria, Yemen
GCC 1981 Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman,
(Gulf Cooperation Qatar, Saudi Arabia,
Council) United Arab Emirates
GAFTA (Greater Arab 1997 Bahrain, Egypt, Iraq, Jordan,
Free Trade Agreement) Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya,
Morocco, Oman, Palestine,
Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Sudan,
Syria, Tunisia, United Arab
Emirates, Yemen.
9 Refer to Table A5 in Annexure for Merchandise Exports by Blocs (% of
global exports) in West Asia

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Table 2.4:
TREND IN TRADE PERFORMANCE OF WEST ASIAN TRADE BLOCS
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Merchandise Exports within Blocs (US$ bn)
Arab Common Market 1.0 1.3 1.7 2.0 1.8 6.3 7.1
GAFTA 13.8 16.2 17.5 19.2 21.5 35.6 44.8
GCC 7.3 8.0 8.1 8.9 9.6 12.5 16.5

Merchandise Exports within Bloc (as % of total bloc exports)


Arab Common Market 3.3 2.9 4.4 5.1 4.1 7.9 8.6
GAFTA 8.9 7.2 8.4 9.3 8.5 10.0 9.8
GCC 6.7 4.8 5.2 5.9 5.1 5.0 4.8

SOURCE: World Development Indicators 2007, World Bank

shown a continuous impressive interaction within the region, the


growth from US$ 13 billion in 1999 merchandise exports in absolute
to more than US$ 44 billion in 2005 terms remain relatively low.
growing at a compounded annual rate
of 21.7% during the period. GCC and Major Trading Blocs in
the Arab Common Market too have Europe
recorded a notable increase in exports In the European region, the main
within the bloc during the period, the trade blocs include CEFTA,
exports of GCC growing from US$ 7 European Union, EFTA and EMFTA.
billion in 1999 to US$ 16 billion in The member countries and year of
2005. However, the share of intra-bloc formation of these select blocs is
exports in total exports of GCC has discussed in the following Box 5.
seen a decline from 6.7% in 1999 to
4.8% in 2005, which possibly indicates The agreements primarily
the willingness on part of its member focused on greater economic
integration among the European
countries to explore trade
economies through open markets and
opportunities with other countries
convergence and harmonisation of
outside the region.
macroeconomic and fiscal policies
With regard to the Arab Common among the member countries,
Market, though the intra-bloc expansion of trade, investment and
merchandise exports as a percentage commercial activities, mutual
of total bloc exports has more than cooperation, raising the standards of
doubled from 3.3% in 1999 to 8.6% living, ensuring better employment
in 2005, reflecting greater trade opportunities, increased productivity

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Box 5:
SELECT TRADING BLOCS IN EUROPE
Trade Bloc Year of Formation Members
European Union 1957 Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria,
(EU) Cyprus, Czech Republic,
Denmark, Estonia, Finland,
France, Germany, Greece,
Hungary, Ireland, Italy,
Latvia, Lithuania,
Luxembourg, Malta,
Netherlands, Poland,
Portugal, Romania, Slovakia,
Slovenia, Spain, Sweden,
United Kingdom
European Free 1960 Iceland, Liechtenstein,
Trade Area (EFTA) Norway, Switzerland
Central European 1992 Bulgaria, Czech republic,
Free Trade Area Hungary, Poland, Romania,
(CEFTA) Slovak Republic, Slovenia
Euro-Mediterranean 1995 European Union, Algeria,
Free Trade Area Cyprus, Egypt, Israel, Jordan,
(EMFTA) Lebanon, Malta, Morocco,
Syrian Arab Republic,
Tunisia, Turkey, West Bank
and Gaza

and financial stability. The agreements bloc is the European Union whose
also emphasised on fair trade between share in total world exports has also
members and, removal of trade been close to 40% during the past
barriers to contribute to the balanced decade10. These reveal the magnitude
development and expansion of world of trade that takes place in these blocs.
trade.
Table 2.5 shows that the intra-
EMFTA is one of the most bloc merchandise exports of EMFTA
influential and significant regional and EU, which comprise of most of
trade blocs in terms of its contribution the developed industrialised nations
to total world exports. More than 40% of Europe, have been more than US$
of the world exports, since 1990, are 2.8 trillion and US$ 2.6 trillion
accounted for by EMFTA. Another respectively in 2005. Moreover, this
very important and powerful trading magnitude of exports, which accounts

10 Refer to Table A6 in Annexure for Merchandise Exports by Bloc (as % of


global exports) in Europe

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Table 2.5:
TREND IN TRADE PERFORMANCE OF EUROPEAN TRADE BLOCS
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Merchandise Exports within Blocs (US$ bn)
CEFTA 13.2 15.1 17.1 19.2 25.3 37.5 48.7
EMFTA 1700.9 1744.7 1737.3 1857.6 2253.5 2706.3 2883.5
EU 1579.1 1608.2 1612.6 1721.1 2087.3 2482.4 2642.6
Merchandise Exports within Bloc (as % of total bloc exports)
CEFTA 13.8 9.9 8.0 7.3 14.6 14.2 14.6
EMFTA 70.4 69.3 68.3 68.5 69.4 69.2 68.3
EU 67.8 66.8 66.2 66.3 67.2 66.8 66.0
SOURCE: World Development Indicators 2007, World Bank, Washington DC.

for about 66% of the global exports Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan,


of these blocs separately, takes place Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia,
within the bloc alone. However, there Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan
has been a marginal decline in this and Ukraine.
ratio for these two blocs since 2003.
Also, the merchandise exports of The intra bloc merchandise
EMFTA and EU have both grown at a exports of CIS have shown a steady
compounded annual rate of around increase over the period (see Table
9% each. A high constant share of 2.6). Though the intra bloc
intra-bloc exports in total bloc exports merchandise exports of CIS as a
together with increasing intra-bloc proportion of global exports of the
merchandise exports, to the tune of bloc have declined, it still remains a
around US$ 2.6 trillion, shows the very important bloc in the region
growing cooperation and trade uniting the Commonwealth of
linkage among the member countries Independent States and promoting
within the bloc and the immense trade economic development of the region
potential in the region. as a whole.

Commonwealth of PATTERN OF ENGAGEMENT IN


Independent States Trading FREE TRADE AGREEMENTS
Bloc
Countries have not only shown an
The Commonwealth of Independent interest in engagement in trade
Sates (CIS) was formed in 1991 blocs through membership but are
among 12 nations in the region, also exploring opportunities to
which include Azerbaijan, Armenia, bilaterally enter into agreements on

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Table 2.6:
TREND IN TRADE PERFORMANCE OF CIS TRADE BLOC
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Merchandise Exports within Bloc (US$ bn)
CIS 20.8 27.0 22.3 28.0 36.5 40.4 55.5
Merchandise Exports within Bloc (as % of total bloc exports)
CIS 20.7 19.2 18.2 18.8 19.6 16.6 17.1
SOURCE: World Development Indicators 2007, World Bank, Washington DC.

a one-to-one basis with individual following section11. Major countries


countries as also with a group of are selected in each region based
countries or trade blocs. upon the number of agreements they
Engagement in such kind of are engaged in and the size of the
agreements would enhance economy.
competitiveness and optimise the
benefits derived from core Free Trade Agreements in
competencies of the trading America
partners. Almost all countries in Latin America
There exists an increasing interest and Caribbean are already well
among countries to partner with integrated among themselves, being
neighbouring countries and with members of one or the other main
other countries within the region as trading blocs like MERCOSUR,
well as with distant countries and Andean Group, LAIA, CACM and
trading blocs transcending physical CARICOM, the countries of North
geographical borders to foster and America being well knit by NAFTA
strengthen intra and extra regional and interestingly the two giant blocs
being bound by FTAA to a great
linkages, promote trade relations and
extent. In spite of this, the region
economic cooperation and integration
features a number of bilateral
to help promote collective economic
agreements, which only portray the
development.
interest and zeal among countries
A global region-wise analysis of like Chile, Mexico, Canada and USA
the pattern of engagement of select to vigorously enhance international
major countries of each region, in free trade through the RTA avenue. The
trade agreements is attempted in the bilateral initiatives of these identified

11 It is important to note here that there are a number of countries negotiating


trade agreements with India. However, agreements pertaining to India are
separately discussed in the following chapter and are not mentioned in this
section.

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Box 6:
PATTERN OF ENGAGEMENT IN FTAs IN AMERICA
Major Intra Regional Extra Regional
Participating Agreement with Agreement with Agreement with
Country Country Country Bloc
Chile  Canada (1997)  Korea (2004)  EU (2003)
 Mexico (1999)  China (2006)  EFTA (2004)
 Costa Rica (2002)
 El Salvador (2002)
 United States (2004)
Mexico  Costa Rica (1995)  Israel (2000)  EU (2000)
 Nicaragua (1998)  Japan (2005)  EFTA (2001)
 Chile (1999)
 Honduras (2001)
 Guatemala (2001)
 El Salvador (2001)
USA  Chile (2004)  Israel (1985)
 Dominican Republic-  Jordan (2001)
Central America  Singapore (2004)
(2006)  Australia (2005)
 Bahrain (2006)
 Morocco (2006)
Canada  Chile (1997)  Israel (1997)
 Costa Rica (2002)

countries are discussed below in countries. Chile has been


Box 6. involved in free trade
agreements with both Central
A few interesting observations
American countries like Costa
can be drawn from the above pattern
Rica and El Salvador and is also
of engagement of American countries well integrated with the highly
in Free Trade Agreements. industrialised North American
 There exist a large number of countries like USA, Canada, and
intra-regional and extra regional Mexico. It is interesting to note
trade agreements in the here that after the establishment
Americas. As far as intra- of FTA between Chile and
regional agreements are Canada in 1997, total exports
concerned, it is however, from Chile to Canada have shot
interesting to note that Chile has up from a mere US$ 0.18 billion
shown more interest in entering in 1999 to more than US$ 1 billion
into bilateral RTAs with Central in 2005. It has also endevoured
and North American countries to enhance its trade relations with
rather than South American the European Countries with

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engagement in agreements with with West Asia with its


the European Union and EFTA engagements with Jordan and
during the recent past. With the Israel and more recently with
involvement in trade agreements its engagement with Bahrain in
with Korea and China more 2006 to capitalise on the huge
recently, Chile too has shown trade and investment potential
its increasing interest in the in the West Asian region.
East.
 The trend in extra regional
 Mexico’s bilateral trade engagements of these countries,
engagements have been more generally, is more bilaterally
concentrated in Central focused and on a one-to-one
American countries. It also had basis with individual countries
an agreement with Israel during rather than with any group of
2000 to explore trade countries or any trading bloc,
opportunities in West Asia and though some countries like
with the European Union and Chile and Mexico have also
EFTA during early 2000 to engaged in agreements with
establish better trade linkages regional blocs like EU and
and cooperation with the highly EFTA.
developed European countries.
The total exports from Mexico Free Trade Agreements in
to EU rose from US$ 5.7 billion Africa
in 2000 to more than US$ 9 As discussed in the previous section,
billion in 2005 which could be there are a number of regional trade
attributed to the FTA between blocs in the African region like
Mexico and EU in 2000. More SADC, ECOWAS, EAC, COMESA,
recently Mexico has shown Cross Border Initiative, UEMOA etc.
keen interest in the East with Most African countries are members
an agreement with Japan in of one or more such trading blocs
2005 to begin with.
and thus, are intra-regionally well
 The United States has shown an knit. However, countries like
increasing interest in FTAs Tunisia, Morocco, Algeria, Egypt and
especially since 2004 with its South Africa have looked beyond
involvement in agreements with the African region and have tried
Chile, Singapore, Australia, to explore opportunities to enhance
Dominican Republic (Central and further their trade relations with
America), Bahrain and Morocco countries outside the region. The
during the last three years. The pattern of trade engagement in FTAs
United States has also by these countries is presented in
maintained good trade relations Box 7.

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Box 7:
PATTERN OF ENGAGEMENT IN FTAs IN AFRICA
Major Participating Extra Regional
Country Agreement with Country Agreement with Bloc
Tunisia  Turkey (2005)  EU (1998)
 EFTA (2005)
Morocco  United States (2006)  EFTA (1999)
 Turkey (2006)  EU (2000)
South Africa  EU (2000)
Egypt  EU (2004)
Algeria  EU (2005)

 Most African countries either market potential of the North


being low income or lower American region by tying up
middle income countries, as with United States in 2006.
classified by the World Bank,
 Algeria, Egypt and South Africa
sought to explore trade
too have been associated with
opportunities outside the African
the European Union to explore
region, as a result all bilateral
trade and investment
engagements of African
opportunities in the region. It
countries have been outward
is interesting to note that the
oriented. Particularly EU has
exports of Algeria to EU have
been a preferred partner in all
shot up form US$ 8.1 billion in
such cases.
1999 to US$ 23.4 billion in 2005,
 Tunisia, with its engagement even before the establishment
with Turkey and EFTA in 2005 of the FTA between Algeria and
has tried to strengthen its ties EU. Algeria’s trade with EU is
with the European region. It has expected to further increase
also been engaged in an FTA after the establishment of FTA.
with EU since 1998.
Free Trade Agreements in
 Morocco too has been involved
Asia
in agreements with the
European region trade blocs Asia is an extremely important
since 1999. While attempting to emerging region, which the world
strengthen these ties with the is looking up to today, due to the
European region by an FTA huge trade and investment potential
with Turkey in 2006 it also of the region. The Asian region is
ventured to tap the significant integrated among itself with trading

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blocs like ASEAN, EAEC, SAARC, countries entered into force


ECO etc. Moreover, economies like since only 2001.
China, Singapore, Korea, Thailand  All major Asian countries like
and Japan are increasingly China, Thailand, Japan, Korea
participating in trade agreements and Singapore are exploring
outside Asia to expand their trade opportunities to enter the
potential. potential markets in the West,
Some important observations can through association in FTAs
be drawn from the pattern of with extra regional countries
engagement of these countries in like USA, Chile and Mexico.
trade agreements, and are highlighted  China has struck an accord in
below (refer Box 8). the Latin American region with
 A very important observation its FTA with Chile in 2006, to
that can be drawn by analysing tap the region’s trade potential.
the pattern of trade  Japan has attempted to further
engagements in the Asian strengthen its ties with East
region is that the region has Asian Countries, with its
been more receptive, open and agreement with Malaysia in
forward looking, especially since 2006. It has also tried to focus
the dawn of the new on the North American region
millennium, with almost all by entering into an accord with
trade agreements by the Asian Mexico in 2005.

Box 8:
PATTERN OF ENGAGEMENT IN FTAs IN ASIA
Major Intra Regional Extra Regional
Participating Agreement with Agreement with Agreement with
Country Country Country Bloc
China  Hong Kong (2004)  Chile (2006)
 Macao (2004)
Singapore  Japan (2002)  New Zealand (2001)  EFTA (2003)
 India (2005)  Australia (2003)
 Korea (2006)  United States (2004)
 Jordan (2005)
 Panama (2006)
Thailand  Australia (2005)  New Zealand (2005)
Japan  Singapore (2002)  Mexico (2005)
 Malaysia (2006)
Korea  Singapore (2006)  Chile (2004)  EFTA (2006)

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 Korea too expanded its trade from US$ 23.5 billion in 2002
relations within the region by to US$ 31.7 billion in 2005.
engaging in an agreement with Singapore has also entered into
Singapore in 2006. It has also an FTA with EFTA to tap the
entered into an accord with potential of the European
EFTA in the same year, to gain market rather than by targeting
access to the vast European individual countries. Interestingly,
market. It has also maintained Singapore has diverse extra
trade relations in the Latin regional trade pursuits, ranging
American region with its FTA from the Pacific region with
with Chile in 2004. agreements with New Zealand
and Australia; in the North
 Being well knit among the American region with agreement
Asian region with its with United States; and in West
membership in important trade Asia with Jordan. The exports
blocs like ASEAN and EAEC, of Singapore to New Zealand
Thailand has been outward have shown an increase from
oriented in its approach to US$ 0.4 billion in 2001 to US$
explore new markets by 1.1 billion in 2005 and exports
focusing its attention on the to Australia have shot up from
Pacific region by FTAs with US$ 4.6 billion in 2003 to US$
Australia and New Zealand in 8.4 billion in 2005. It has
2005. recently ventured to tap the
market potential of Latin
 Singapore has been the most America with its agreement with
aggressive among all Asian Panama in 2006. This pattern of
countries in terms of its Singapore’s aggressive
engagement in trade agreements involvement in trade accords
both within and outside the has caught the attention of
region. It is interesting to note many countries in the world
that Singapore has been due the highly successful nature
continuously engaged in new of Singapore’s trade relations.
agreements with countries since
2001. Intra-regionally it has Free Trade Agreements in
agreements with emerging West Asia
markets like Japan, India and In the West Asian region, most
latest with Korea in 2006. As a countries are integrated among
result of its engagement in FTA themselves bound by regional
with Japan in 2002, the total trading blocs like GAFTA, GCC,
volume of trade between Arab Common Market and Arab
Singapore and Japan increased Maghreb Union. The largest among

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them is GAFTA, which contributed  As discussed earlier, countries


around 4.4% of total world exports in this region are more oriented
in 2005. Being well knit intra- towards trade agreements within
regionally, the West Asian countries the region in the form of
are exploring opportunities for trade creating trade blocs.
association outside the region with
 Israel has in place an FTA with
other countries and trade blocs.
Israel and Jordan are the only two USA since 1985 and with a view
countries in West Asia which have to further enhance trade with
shown some interest in engagement the North American region, it
in trade agreements outside the has entered into FTAs with
region, except for Lebanon’s Canada and Mexico. Similarly its
involvement with EU in 2003 and agreement with the EU in 2000
more recently with EFTA in January indicates its urge to strengthen
2007 and Syria’s involvement with its trade relations with the
Turkey also in January 2007. European markets. As a result
However, countries collectively, of these endevours, Israel’s
represented by trading blocs like exports to US and EU together
GCC and GAFTA are exploring accounted for 65% of its total
opportunities to establish free trade exports in 2005.
agreements with extra regional
 Jordan has shown a rising
countries and blocs. For example,
interest in FTAs with its
opportunities to explore FTA
involvement with USA in 2001
between GCC and Japan, GCC and
and the European region during
EU are being explored.
2002. Engagement in FTA with
With reference to Box 9, some USA has proved beneficial for
observations on the trade pattern in Jordan since as a result of this
this region are presented below: FTA, the exports of Jordan to

Box 9:
PATTERN OF ENGAGEMENT IN FTAs IN WEST ASIA
Major Participating Extra Regional
Country Agreement with Country Agreement with Bloc
Israel  USA (1985)  EFTA (1993)
 Canada (1997)  EU (2000)
 Turkey (1997)
 Mexico (2000)
Jordan  United States (2001)  EFTA (2002)
 Singapore (2005)  EU (2002)

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US have increased from US$  Albania’s willingness to engage


0.23 billion in 2001 to US$ 1.1 in free trade agreements has
billion in 2005. Total trade been quite evident only
between Jordan and EU too has recently, with all its
increased after Jordan’s engagements entering into force
engagement with EU in an FTA post 2002. It appears from the
in 2002. Jordan appears to trend in Albania’s engagement
explore new and more potential in trade agreements, that it has
markets in the East as indicated been more interested in
by its Free trade agreement with bettering its trade relations
Singapore. within the European region with
countries like FYROM, Kosovo,
Free Trade Agreements in Croatia, Bosnia and Herzegovina
Europe and Serbia Montenegro, rather
The European region is of immense than ambitiously exploring extra
importance owing to the diversity regional opportunities. It has
of agreements that countries and also strengthened its integration
blocs like Albania, Croatia, Turkey, within the European region with
EFTA and EU are engaged in, both its engagement with the EU in
within and outside the region. In 2006 and the CIS country of
the region, European Union, EMFTA Moldova in 2004.
and EFTA are the most important
 The pattern of trade
trading blocs owing to the
engagement of Croatia too has
magnitude of trade that takes place
been very similar to that of
within and outside these blocs.
Albania, with its main focus
Some important observations can being intra-regional engage-
be drawn observing the pattern of ments with neighbouring
engagement of these countries in countries like Former Yugoslav
trade agreements, which are discussed Republic of Macedonia, Bosnia
below (refer Box 10). & Herzegovina, Albania, Serbia
Montenegro and Turkey. Croatia
 While Albania, Croatia and has been involved with EFTA
Turkey have entered into and EU in 2002 and entered an
bilateral agreements with accord with Moldova in 2004 to
countries/ blocs both outside explore trade prospects with the
and inside the region, however, CIS region.
Western European countries
have limited their RTA initiative  Unlike Albania, Croatia and
only to the extent of forming other European countries,
the European Union. Turkey has been more extra

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Box 10:
PATTERN OF ENGAGEMENT IN FTAs IN EUROPE
Major Intra Regional Extra Regional
Participating Agreement with Agreement with Agreement with
Country/ Bloc Country Bloc Country
Albania  FYROM (2002)  EU (2006)  Moldova (2004)
 UNMIK (Kosovo)
(2003)
 Croatia (2003)
 Bosnia and
Herzegovina (2004)
 Serbia Montenegro
(2004)
Croatia  FYROM (1997)  EFTA (2002)  Moldova (2004)
 Bosnia and  EU (2002)
Herzegovina (2001)
 Albania (2003)
 Turkey (2003)
 Serbia and
Montenegro (2004)
Turkey  FYROM (2000)  EFTA (1992)  Israel (1997)
 Bosnia and  Tunisia (2005)
Herzegovina (2003)  Palestine (2005)
 Croatia (2003)  Morocco (2006)
 Syria (2007)
EFTA  Turkey (1992)  Israel (1993)
 FYROM (2001)  Morocco (1999)
 Croatia (2002)  Palestine (1999)
 Mexico (2001)
 Jordan (2002)
 Singapore (2003)
 Chile (2004)
 Tunisia (2005)
 Korea (2006)
 Lebanon (2007)
 Egypt (2007)
EU  Ice Land (1973)  Syria (1977)
 Norway (1973)  Palestine (1997)
 Switzerland and  Tunisia (1998)
Liechtenstein (1973)  Mexico (2000)
 FYROM (2001)  Israel (2000)
 Croatia (2002)  Morocco (2000)
 Albania (2006)  South Africa (2000)
 Jordan (2002)
 Chile (2003)
 Lebanon (2003)
 Egypt (2004)
 Algeria (2005)

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regionally oriented in its  The European Union has strong


approach to trade initiatives. inter-linkages with many intra
The pattern of Turkey’s and extra regional countries.
engagement reveals its clear European countries like Former
inclination towards the West Yugoslav Republic of
Asian and North African region. Macedonia, Croatia and Albania
It has also established have entered into FTAs with the
preferential trade relations Union since 2001. The EU has
within the European region both trade linkages with a number
with individual countries and of countries in different regions
with EFTA. Turkey is also in a of the world like Syria,
process of entering the Palestine, Israel, Jordan and
European Union. Lebanon in West Asia; with
Tunisia, Morocco, South Africa,
 EFTA and EU, as discussed
Egypt and Algeria in Africa; with
earlier, being the major trading
Mexico in North America and
blocs in the European region
Chile in Latin America.
have been involved in a number
However, it is in the larger
of intra-regional and extra
interest of these partnering
regional trade agreements.
countries to be associated with
 EFTA has been involved in the European Union, which
trade agreements with countries provides them an excellent
in the North African region like gateway to explore and tap the
Morocco and Tunisia and in the immense potential of the
North American and Latin European market.
American region with Mexico
and Chile since 2001. It has also Free Trade Agreements in CIS
strengthened its trade relation region
with Africa and the West Asian In the Commonwealth of
countries with its agreements Independent States (CIS) region the
with Egypt and Lebanon countries with greater inclination
respectively in 2007. In addition towards FTAs include Armenia,
to the EFTA-Singapore Georgia, Kyrgyz Republic and
agreement in 2003, EFTA’s Moldova. Though these countries are
involvement in an FTA with relatively small in terms of size of the
Korea in 2006 has strengthened economy12, compared to other larger
the link between East Asia and CIS countries like the Russian
EFTA. EFTA has also intra- Federation with a GDP of
regional linkages with Turkey, US$ 984.6 billion and Ukraine with
FYROM and Croatia. US$ 105.5 billion in 2006, these
12 The largest economy among the four countries is that of Georgia with GDP
size of US$ 7.7 billion in 2006.

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countries were selected based on the of engagement in FTAs by CIS


number of trade agreements entered countries is that all bilateral
into. trade engagements of CIS
Analysis of the pattern of countries have entered into
engagement of CIS countries in Free force only after the creation of
trade agreements, from Box 11, the Commonwealth of
reveals some interesting results: Independent States (CIS) trading
bloc in 1991.
 A very important and interesting
feature that can be observed  Almost all the 12 CIS countries,
from the analysis of the pattern with the exception of Moldova,

Box 11:
PATTERN OF ENGAGEMENT IN FTAs IN CIS
Major Participating Intra Regional Extra Regional
Country Agreement with Country Agreement with Country
Armenia  Russian Federation (1993)
 Moldova (1995)
 Kyrgyz Republic (1995)
 Ukraine (1996)
 Turkmenistan (1996)
 Georgia (1998)
 Kazakhstan (2001)
Georgia  Russian Federation (1994)
 Azerbaijan (1996)
 Ukraine (1996)
 Armenia (1998)
 Kazakhstan (1999)
 Turkmenistan (2000)
Kyrgyz Republic  Russian Federation (1993)
 Armenia (1995)
 Kazakhstan (1995)
 Moldova (1996)
 Uzbekistan (1998)
 Ukraine (1998)
Moldova  Armenia (1995)  Bosnia and
 Kyrgyz Republic (1996) Herzegovina (2004)
 FYROM (2004)
 Serbia and
Montenegro (2004)
 Albania (2004)
 Croatia (2004)

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are engaged in agreements with Georgia’s involvement with


only other CIS countries. Thus, Turkmenistan in 2000.
the CIS countries have explored
 Among all CIS countries,
opportunities to enter into
Moldova has been most
bilateral agreements with
aggressive in entering into FTAs
countries within the region to with extra regional countries
foster economic growth and especially during 2004, during
cooperation and better mutual which it entered into as many
trade relations. This shows that as 5 agreements with European
despite having a trading bloc, countries. This shows Moldova’s
there have been tendencies strong desire to explore the
among countries to form potential of West European
bilateral trade agreements with markets.
countries within the bloc. This
is a distinct feature as compared CONCLUSION
to the trend or pattern of trade
The overall conclusion that can be
engagement in any other region
drawn from observing the pattern
discussed above.
of engagement of select countries
 Countries like Armenia, Georgia in Free Trade Agreements is that
and Kyrgyz Republic are intra- more and more countries in almost
regionally well integrated all regions of the world are showing
especially with larger countries an increasing interest in expanding
like the Russian Federation, their trade opportunities with
Kazakhstan and Ukraine with a countries both within and outside
number of bilateral agreements. the region. It is also observed that
countries prefer to engage bilaterally
 An analysis of trade engagement on a one-to one basis with
pattern of all the 12 CIS countries. However, there are also
countries shows that no recent instances where countries have
initiatives have been taken by engaged with trade blocs rather than
these countries, with the countries independently to gain
exception of Moldova and access to larger markets as in the
barring Armenia’s engagement case of engagements with EU and
with Kazakhstan in 2001 and EFTA.

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3. TRADE PERFORMANCE OF
SELECT MAJOR COUNTRIES

As discussed in the previous followed by Singapore with 18


chapter, with the recognition of the agreements. Chile, United States, and
importance of RTAs in achieving Turkey are among the other top 5
global competitiveness, and countries aggressively pursuing
enhancing trade and economic regional trade agreements in different
development, a number of countries regions of the world. .
have engaged in more than one RTA.
Some countries are also involved in Having analysed in the previous
as many as nineteen RTAs. Leading chapter, the pattern of engagement
countries that have been aggressively of countries in RTAs around the globe
pursuing regional trade agreements and having noted the countries, which
with other countries and trade blocs have been engaged in most number
include Mexico, Singapore, Chile, of RTAs, an attempt is made in this
United States and Turkey. Table 3.1 section to analyse the impact of
gives a picture of the growing regional trade agreements on the
importance of RTA in these countries. trade performance of these select
major countries, and to understand
With involvement in as many as
the rationale behind these countries
19 RTAs, Mexico is at the top with
to enter into so many agreements and
the maximum number of RTAs,
the factors that promoted the
Table 3.1: proliferation of RTAs involving these
COUNTRIES INVOLVED IN MOST countries.
NUMBER OF RTAs
Countries No of RTAs IMPACT OF RTAs ON
involved in COUNTRIES ENGAGING MOST
Mexico 19 IN AGREEMENTS
Singapore 18 The impact of regional trade
Chile 17 agreements is varied. RTAs can have
United States 15 positive or negative effects on trade
depending on their design and
Turkey 10
implementation. The broader policy
SOURCE: WTO context in which an RTA is designed

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and implemented is crucial. Salvador in Latin America; and with


Agreements that have been designed Israel, Japan, European Union and
to complement a general EFTA outside the Americas. It has
programme of economic reform also been a member of NAFTA
have been most effective in raising since its formation in 1994. An
trade. When RTAs have tended to analysis of the total trade
be fruitless, it is often because of performance of Mexico during the
the lack of a coherent programme period 1995 to 2005 reveals some
of reform. interesting aspects. Chart 3.1
The trend in total trade, exports presents the growth in Mexico’s total
and imports give a relatively good trade.
picture of the impact of RTAs on a Mexico’s total trade has clearly
country’s trade performance. shown an increasing trend during the
above period increasing from around
Analysis of Impact of RTAs on US$ 152 billion in 1995 to over US$
Mexico’s Trade Performance 436 billion in 2005. It is interesting to
As discussed earlier in the previous note the apparent correlation between
chapter, some of the countries/blocs Mexico’s engagement in major RTAs
with which Mexico has entered into and the sharp rise in total trade of
RTAs are Costa Rica, Nicaragua, the country. The total trade of Mexico
Chile, Honduras, Guatemala, and El has seen a steady increase especially
Chart 3.1:
TREND IN MEXICO’S TOTAL TRADE

SOURCE: Direction of Trade Statistics, IMF


NOTE: Important RTAs are highlighted in the Graph.

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since the formation of NAFTA, a major trade of Mexico too increased since
trading bloc in North America, in 2001, after a marginal decline from
1994. Its engagement with Costa Rica, 2000 to 2001. However, the impact
Nicaragua, Chile, Israel, and EU of these RTAs on Mexico’s trade
during 1995 to 2000 has resulted in a performance could be seen more
steady increase in Mexico’s total clearly since 2003, when total trade
volume of trade. As a result of its increased at a faster pace. Mexico’s
engagement in RTAs with these engagement with Japan in 2005 is
countries, Mexico’s total trade, further likely to boost the total trade
increased from around US$ 152 billion of Mexico in the coming years.
in 1995 to US$ 343 billion in 2000. Having seen the overall trade
Mexico’s total trade with EU increased performance of Mexico since 1995, it
from US$ 20.6 billion in 2000 to US$ is pertinent to particularly analyse
34.2 billion in 2005. Mexico has Mexico’s trade performance over the
engaged in around four RTAs during past five years from 2000 to 2005, with
2001 with Latin American countries its RTA partner countries (refer Table
and EFTA. Subsequently the total 3.2).
Table 3.2:
MEXICO’S TRADE PERFORMANCE WITH RTA PARTNERS (US$ MN)
2000 2005
Exports Imports Exports Imports
Costa Rica 286 180 Costa Rica 421 883
Nicaragua 93 27 Nicaragua 324 159
Chile 431 894 Chile 668 1754
Honduras 204 13 Honduras 240 105
Guatemala 535 91 Guatemala 864 222
El Salvador 246 20 El Salvador 472 59
Israel 55 297 Israel 87 371
Japan 931 6466 Japan 1470 13078
United States 147400 127534 United States 183563 118547
Canada 3340 4017 Canada 4234 6169
European Union 5710 14938 European Union 9088 25182
EFTA 586 851 EFTA 153 1236
Total Trade with 96.16 87.73 Total Trade with 94.10 75.63
RTA Partners as RTA Partners as
% of Total Trade % of Total Trade
NOTE: United States and Canada have been included as they are members of
NAFTA
SOURCE: Direction of Trade Statistics 2006 Year Book, IMF.

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After the establishment of RTAs, trade policy to a more liberal, and


Mexico’s trade with individual partner outward oriented trade policy driven
countries has increased significantly. mainly by an aggressive policy of
The share of Mexico’s exports and reciprocal liberalisation, reinforced
imports with its trade partners as a by unilateral initiatives and
percentage share in its total exports multilateral commitments. As a
and imports respectively has been result, Mexican trade is increasingly
very high. This is particularly true for being governed by the preferential
exports, as 94% of Mexico’s global rules of free-trade agreements.
exports were diverted to RTA
partners. Share of imports, though The Mexican economy, with a
have declined between 2000 and present GDP of around US$ 768
2005, nevertheless continues to be billion in 2005, has undergone a
distinctly high. transformation since 1980s as a result
of economic liberalisation and joining
Mexico being a member of
the North American Free-Trade
NAFTA, its trade with USA and
Agreement, which joins Mexico’s
Canada, and among other RTA
market with those of the United States
partners, primarily with Japan and the
European Union have been and Canada, and more recently, due
responsible for enhancing Mexico’s to its trade deals with the EU, Japan
total trade. Mexico’s total trade with and other Latin American countries.
USA has increased from around US$ The transformation has been
275 billion in 2000 to more than US$ particularly reflected in its export
302 billion in 2005. Mexico’s exports diversification.
to the EU increased from US$ 5.7 Mexico’s trade policy continues
billion in 2000 to US$ 9 billion in 2005
to focus on promotion of foreign
after the EU-Mexico FTA in 2000. The
investment as part of its multilateral
imports from EU too rose from US$
and preferential initiatives. With the
14.9 billion to more than US$ 25
exception of the agreement with
billion after the agreement. Mexico’s
total trade with Japan too has Israel, all other Mexico’s FTAs provide
increased from US$ 7.3 billion in 2000 additional protection to investors
to more than US$ 14 billion in 2005. through specific investment
With Mexico’s FTA with Japan in 2005 provisions. Since 1997, Mexico has
this bilateral trade is expected to rise taken initiatives to attract foreign
further. investment in various service
activities, notably financial services
An overview of Mexico’s and telecommunications.
Trade policy Mexico’s import regime is
Over the period, Mexico has moved governed by a number of tariff-quota
away from its past inward-looking schemes. For instance, Mexico applies

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tariff quotas on several agricultural component. Maquila’s trade balance


products, with most quotas reserved with US sharply increased over the
for specific countries. Mexico also past decade from US$ 4.9 billion in
maintains import permits for sensitive 1995 to US$ 21.7 billion in 2005.
products for reasons of national
security, public health, and protection As an integral part of its trade
of domestic industries. Mexico also policy, Mexico has been giving a
promotes exports through various number of export incentives to boost
duty and tax concessions. its foreign trade. Such incentives
include the Programa de Importación
The majority of Mexico’s trade Temporal para Producir Artículos de
takes place under preferential rules, Exportación (Pitex), which allows
with the NAFTA remaining of duty-free entry of temporary imports
paramount economic significance. of raw materials, parts, machinery and
Within NAFTA, the US, Canada and equipment used to manufacture
Mexico accounted for 32% of global exports; the Programa de Empresas
GDP in 2005. The phase-out of tariffs Altamente Exportadoras (Altex),
between the US and Mexico is due to which reimburses value-added tax
be completed by 2008. (VAT) and import tariffs for customs
A very important aspect in the clearance; and provision of export
trade policy of the Mexican economy credit below commercial bank rates
is the presence of Maquiladoras13. to exporters through the Banco
Maquiladoras have continued to play Nacional de Comercio Exterior
a very important role in boosting (Bancomext). Moreover, Maqui-
Mexico’s trade especially with the ladoras are exempt from paying
United Sates. Growth of import duties as their products are
manufacturing exports, which destined for re-export. However, if
accounted for over 70% of total export those products come from countries
earnings in 1990s, intensified that enjoy no preferential trade
following NAFTA’s implementation, arrangements with Mexico, the
as maquiladora operations along the exporter could seek low or zero tariffs
US border flourished. Maquiladora through a Programa de Promoción
exports entail a large import Sectorial (Prosec, sectoral promotion

13 A maquiladora or maquila is an offshore assembly factory that imports


materials and equipment on a duty-free and tariff-free basis for assembly or
manufacturing and then re-exports the assembled product, usually back to
the originating country. The term is primarily used to refer to factories in
Mexico along the United States–Mexico border, but increasingly is used to
refer to factories all over Latin America. Maquiladora factories encompass a
variety of industries including electronics, transportation, textile, and
machinery, among others.

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programme). Mexico has also been foreign-exchange controls and


giving concessions pertaining to gradual phasing out of Import licence
taxable profits to maquiladoras, as requirements make Mexico an
part of its export incentives. attractive trading partner.
The external sector has been the Mexico is also contemplating
prime driver of growth of the Mexican entering into trade agreements with
economy. Although exports have Panama and Trinidad & Tobago. Talks
diversified away from oil, which with China also have been launched,
accounted for over 60% of export with an aim to promote and foster
earnings in the 1970s and early 1980s, trade and investment and reaching a
they have remained heavily pact to avoid double tax payments.
dependent on a single market of that
of United States. Interestingly, one Analysis of impact of RTAs on
very important reason behind the Singapore’s trade performance
proliferation of Mexico’s FTAs is its As highlighted in the earlier chapter,
endeavour to reduce its dependence Singapore has been aggressively
on trade with the US. pursuing RTAs with a number of
Despite measures to diversify, countries and blocs like EFTA,
Mexico’s reliance on the US market Japan, Australia, United States,
has increased rather than diminished Jordan, New Zealand, Korea, India
in recent years. The US accounted for and Panama. It has also been a
87.5% of export sales in 2001-05, up founder member of ASEAN since
from 82.5% in 1991-95. Mexico has 1967 and is thus well connected
enjoyed a trade surplus with the US with many south east Asian nations
which has been substantially too. Singapore’s total trade
increasing in recent years, amounting performance during the past decade
US$ 65 billion in 2005. since 1995 is shown in Chart 3.2
below.
Import tariffs in Mexico range
from 0% to 35%, with the trade- Singapore appears to be a classic
weighted average tariff about 2.9%14. example of the impact of RTAs on
Also due to Mexico’s vast array of free- the trade performance of a country.
trade agreements, most import quotas The pattern of Singapore’s trade over
have been transformed into tariff-rate the past decade clearly attests the fact
quotas (TRQs, volume quotas) under that engagement in RTAs has a large
which imports up to a specific volume positive impact on the trade of a
limit enter the country at a favourable country and can possibly act as a
tariff. Moreover, the absence of gateway to enhancing global trade.

14 Economist Intelligence Unit

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Chart 3.2:
TREND IN SINGAPORE’S TOTAL TRADE

SOURCE: Direction of Trade Statistics, IMF.


NOTE: Important RTAs are highlighted in the Graph

Singapore’s total trade has clearly 2001, Japan in 2002, Australia and
shown an increasing trend especially EFTA in 2003, United States in 2004,
after 2001, after a somewhat steady India and Jordan in 2005 and with
and subdued pattern of total trade Panama in 2006. As a result of such
averaging around US$ 243 billion enthusiastic pursuits, the total trade
during the period 1995 to 2001. This of Singapore has risen from US$ 237
structural change in the pattern of billion in 2001 to nearly US$ 400
Singapore’s total trade since 2001 billion in 2005, increasing by more
could well be attributed to its open than US$ 160 billion in just four years.
and liberal attitude during the post- The compound growth rate of
2001 period. This change in attitude Singapore’s total trade has been only
is clearly evident from the fact that 2.37% per annum during 1995 to 2000.
all its trade agreements have entered On the other hand, the corresponding
into force only after 2001. compounded growth rate for
Singapore during 2001 to 2005, during
It is also interesting to note that which it entered into all its trade
Singapore has been continuously engagements, was as high as 13.6%.
exploring new markets through trade This clearly shows the positive impact
agreements. It has entered into trade that RTAs have had on Singapore’s
agreements with New Zealand in trade performance.

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Another very interesting feature As can be seen from Table 3.3,


of Singapore’s trade is its total trade Singapore’s trade with almost all
to GDP ratio, a reflection of the degree partner countries has increased
of openness of the economy, which significantly from 2000 to 2005. It can
has consistently been above 250% be noted that Singapore’s total exports
during the past decade, as shown in to RTA partner countries as a
Chart 3.3. This is mainly due the large percentage of its global exports have
volume of re-exports that take place increased over the five-year period
from Singapore to the rest of the from 61% to 65%. However,
world. The ratio of openness to trade Singapore’s import from partner
has been as high as 340% in 2005 and countries as a share in total imports
had shown an upward trend since have declined marginally during the
2001. period but nevertheless remains close
to as high as 60% in 2005. This could
Having observed the general
possibly be due to Singapore’s
trade behaviour of Singapore during
increasing trade with non RTA partner
the last decade, it is interesting to
countries like China, Hong Kong, and
study Singapore’s trade pattern with
the European Union as well.
its RTA partners during the last five
Singapore’s trade with China has
years (see Table 3.3).
increased from US$ 9 billion in 1999

Chart 3.3:
SINGAPORE’S TOTAL TRADE TO GDP RATIO

SOURCE: Direction of Trade Statistics, IMF

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Table 3.3:
SINGAPORE’S TRADE PERFORMANCE WITH RTA PARTNERS (US$ MN)
2000 2005
Exports Imports Exports Imports
Japan 10404 23189 Japan 12536 19244
India 2871 1076 India 5897 4079
Korea 4916 4822 Korea 8053 8599
New Zealand 370 192 New Zealand 1164 320
Australia 3222 2298 Australia 8429 2910
United States 23891 20270 United States 23880 23482
Jordan 16 2 Jordan 34 3
Panama 1010 16 Panama 1908 44
EFTA 641 2472 EFTA 895 2715
Brunei 486 266 Brunei 496 149
Cambodia 426 75 Cambodia 303 100
Indonesia - - Indonesia 22109 10452
Laos 30 1 Laos 40 1
Malaysia 25041 22848 Malaysia 30405 27347
Myanmar 436 110 Myanmar 596 108
Philippines 3387 3358 Philippines 4185 4650
Thailand 5872 5801 Thailand 9431 7518
Vietnam 2091 820 Vietnam 4421 1814
Total Trade with 61.7 65.1 Total Trade with 65.0 59.8
RTA Partners as RTA Partners as
% of Total Trade % of Total Trade
NOTE: Brunei Darussalam, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar,
Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam are considered since they are members of
ASEAN.
SOURCE: Direction of Trade Statistics 2006 Year Book, IMF.

to more than US$ 40 billion in 2005, Among the RTA partners, exports
with Hong Kong from nearly US$ 12 to Japan have recorded an increase
billion to US$ 25 billion, and with of US$ 2 billion and to Australia an
European Union from nearly US$ increase of over US$ 5 billion during
33 billion to US$ 50 billion. the five year period. Imports from

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United States too increased by over However, Singapore continues to


US$ 3 billion during the period. maintain a liberal trade policy and has
very few trade barriers; most of these
An overview of Singapore’s are maintained for health, security and
Trade policy environmental reasons. Singapore has
Singapore has a highly industrialised virtually no tariffs, with only six tariff
economy, manufacturing being the lines subject to specific rates of duty.
most important sector, accounting An important feature of Singapore’s
for around 27% of nominal GDP in trade policy during the past few years
2006. Electronics constitute the most has been its willingness to pursue
important industry within the bilateral free-trade agreements. This
manufacturing sector contributing to trend, as discussed earlier, is in
32% of domestic exports in 2006. complete contrast to its earlier trade
However, Singapore considers pattern when it had no bilateral free
excessive dependence on electronics trade agreements. As a result of the
as both a weakness, as well as Uruguay Round, Singapore bound
strength, due to the impact world
69% of its tariff lines. The overall
demand has on its economy.
simple average bound tariff is 7.5%,
The country is exceptionally thus resulting in a considerable gap
dependent on foreign trade. The total between the average applied MFN
value of trade in goods was equivalent tariff and the average bound rates.
to 382% of GDP in 2006, compared Although this gap creates uncertainty
with less than 20% in Japan, for as it provides scope for governments
instance. This, as explained earlier, to raise their applied tariffs up to their
is primarily due to the large re-exports bound levels, Singapore has not taken
that take place from Singapore, due advantage of this scope.
to its strategic location and excellent
port facilities. Re-exports accounted Singapore’s predominant strategy
for around 47% of total exports in remains to export as much as possible
2006. and to ensure minimum possible
Singapore’s economic policy has barriers to trade for imports. Since the
been highly interventionist. Individual conclusion of General Agreement on
industries have been encouraged, and Tariffs and Trade in 1994, Singapore
the government is deeply involved in further removed a number of items
economic development, not only from its tariff list, further enhancing
through its macro- and liberalisation of an already open
microeconomic policies, but also economy. Singapore main trading
through its ownership of firms in partners include Malaysia, US, China
many sectors, which also helps in and Japan. To promote trade
lending exceptional stability to the opportunities, Singapore employs a
business environment. three-pronged trade policy of

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multilateral, regional and bilateral in RTAs has been able to boost the
trade. trade performance of a country.
Chile’s total trade has increased
Analysis of impact of RTAs on rapidly especially since 2002. An
Chile’s Trade Performance observation of the pattern of Chile’s
engagement in RTAs reveals that most
The main trading partners of Chile,
of its engagements have been post
with whom it is engaged in RTAs
2002 during which it entered into
are Korea and China in Asia,
agreements with Costa Rica, El
European Union and EFTA in
Salvador, EU, Korea, United States,
Europe and United States, Canada, EFTA and recently with China in 2006.
Mexico, Costa Rica and El Salvador
in America. Chile has also been a During the period post 2002,
part of the Latin American Chile’s total trade, doubled from US$
Integration Association (LAIA) when 35 billion in 2002 to more than US$
it was created in 1980 and is thus 71 billion in 2005. The total trade of
well integrated with most Latin Chile has been growing at a
American countries as well. Chart compounded annual growth rate of
3.4 highlights the trade performance around 2% since 1999 to 2002,
of Chile during the past decade. compared to a growth rate of more
than 26% with RTA Partners post 2002
An investigation of Chile’s trade till 2005 which further attests to the
pattern over the decade too sub- positive impact of RTAs on the
stantiates the point that engagement country’s trade performance.

Chart 3.4:
TREND IN CHILE’S TOTAL TRADE

SOURCE: Direction of Trade Statistics, IMF


NOTE: Important RTAs are highlighted in the Graph

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Chile’s RTA engagements with EU Chile’s trade performance with


in 2003 and with United States in 2004 RTA partner countries as presented
have boosted the overall trade of in Table 3.4 also shows the relative
Chile as depicted in the above Chart importance of Chile’s trade with RTA
3.4. It has also had an RTA with partners in its total trade.
Mexico in 1999, which also increased It can be observed from Table 3.4
its trade. Chile’s engagement with that after the establishment of RTAs,
China in 2006 is further expected to Chile’s trade with individual partner
boost Chile’s trade performance. countries have notably increased.

Table 3.4:
CHILE’S TRADE PERFORMANCE WITH RTA PARTNERS (US$ MN)
2000 2005
Exports Imports Exports Imports
European Union 4537 2911 European Union 9068 5041
Korea 796 535 Korea 2192 1560
China 906 950 China 4390 2535
United States 3243 3297 United States 6248 4722
Canada 243 510 Canada 1069 406
Mexico 818 615 Mexico 1582 765
Costa Rica 50 4 Costa Rica 116 9
El Salvador 15 2 El Salvador 85 2
EFTA 166 151 EFTA 100 203
Argentina 637 2869 Argentina 626 4791
Bolivia 166 30 Bolivia 211 38
Brazil 953 1332 Brazil 1728 3782
Colombia 237 205 Colombia 347 344
Cuba 36 1 Cuba 43 2
Ecuador 158 254 Ecuador 341 246
Mexico 818 615 Mexico 1582 765
Paraguay 47 67 Paraguay 40 118
Peru 439 256 Peru 724 1106
Uruguay 62 59 Uruguay 73 -
Venezuela 229 237 Venezuela 358 135
Total Trade with 75.4 80.4 Total Trade with 78.2 82.2
RTA Partners as RTA Partners as
% of Total Trade % of Total Trade

NOTE: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Colombia, Cuba, Ecuador, Mexico, Paraguay,


Peru, Uruguay and Venezuela are considered since they are members of LAIA.
SOURCE: Direction of Trade Statistics 2006 Year Book, IMF.

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From the above table, it can be has given priority to improving and
noticed that Chile’s trade with RTA ensuring access to the larger markets
partners constitutes a very major part for its goods and services and to
of Chile’s total trade, exports to RTA stimulate domestic and foreign
partners contributing to more than investment. It has been in vigourous
78% of total exports and imports more pursuit of trade liberalisation.
than 82% of total imports in 2005,
which also indicates the high level of Chile pioneered trade
success and effectiveness of Chile’s liberalisation in Latin America in the
RTAs. The share of exports and mid-1970s, by eliminating non-tariff
imports to RTA partners in total barriers to trade and simplifying tariff
exports and imports has increased structures. Chile’s trade policies have
from 75% and 80% respectively in laid emphasis on a model of export-
2000, reflecting the positive impact led growth through free markets since
of RTA over the years. the mid-1970s. This has resulted in
Among the RTA partners, the the introduction of a single import
countries that have primarily been tariff rate in 1979, a policy that
responsible for enhancing Chile’s total continues even today. During 1999
trade include United States and the to 2003, Chile’s applied MFN tariff was
European Union. Chile’s total trade unilaterally phased down from 11 per
with United States increased from US$ cent to 6 per cent. This low and
6.5 billion in 2000 to nearly US$ 11 uniform applied tariff has been
billion in 2005 and with the European fundamental in enabling Chile to
Union doubling from US$ 7.4 billion negotiate trade agreements bilaterally
to US$ 14 bn. Chile’s total trade with with different partners. Moreover, due
China has also increased from US$ to tariff concessions granted through
1.8 billion in 2000 to nearly US$ trade preference agreements Chile’s
7 billion in 2005, even before the trade-weighted average import tariff
establishment of the trade agreement. rate was less than 2% in 2006.
Bilateral trade between these two
nations is expected to further expand Such trade policies have led to a
in the coming years. profound change in the structure of
Chile’s economy. The opening of
An overview of Chile’s Trade Chile’s economy has enabled exports
Policy of goods and services to grow at an
Chile being a relatively small annual average rate of 8% in real
economy with a GDP size of terms and imports of goods and
US$ 145 billion in 2006, is highly services to expand by an annual
dependant on foreign trade. average of 10.4% between 1990 and
Consequently, over the past few 2006. Exports of goods and services
years, Chile’s has adopted a accounted for 45.4% of GDP in 2006,
multidimensional trade policy, which up from a 14-year low of 26% in 1998.

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Chile’s export base is diversifying Thus, Chile’s economic openness


yet dependence on copper is still is consistent with development
high, its contribution to merchandise strategies and a liberal trade policy.
exports earnings being 40% in 2002- Chile’s outward orientation has
05 and 55.6% in 2006. Cellulose, fruit, helped to reduce the external
wood, wine etc have emerged as vulnerability of the economy, access
important new export items. A the leading world export markets, and
number of protectionist barriers on attract more foreign investment into
Chile’s agricultural production have the country.
been lifted and the agriculture sector
is now more modern and efficient. Analysis of Impact of RTAs on
Thus, fruit and vegetables have
USA’s Trade Performance
become a major export item of Chile.
Subsequently, Chile became the As far as the United States is
largest fruit exporter in the southern concerned it is mainly engaged in
hemisphere, due to its engagement RTAs with countries like Chile,
in bilateral free trade agreements; total Dominican Republic, Jordan,
exports of fruits reaching US$ 2.4 Australia, Bahrain, Israel, Morocco
billion in 2006. Chile is also becoming and Singapore. Being a member of
an increasingly important exporter of NAFTA, it is well integrated with
meat and poultry products. In the economies of Canada and
February 2006, Chile began to export Mexico. The total trade performance
beef and pork to the US under a quota of United States during the period
system established in the bilateral FTA 1995-2005 is depicted in Chart 3.5.
of 2004.
Chart 3.5:
TREND IN UNITED STATES’ TOTAL TRADE

SOURCE: Direction of Trade Statistics, IMF


NOTE: Important RTAs are highlighted in the Graph

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The total trade of United States all RTA partner countries as a


has seen a steady rise since the percentage of total exports has
establishment of NAFTA between increased, though marginally, from
Canada, United States and Mexico in around 42% in 2000 to 43% in 2005.
1994. All the regional trade The share of USA’s imports from its
agreements of United States have RTA partners in total imports has
entered into force only after 2001, shown a marginal decline from 33%
with the exception of the FTA with to 30% during the period. This could
Israel in 1985. A corresponding be due to increasing imports of United
growing trend in the total trade of States from non-RTA partner countries
United States is also observed since like Japan, Germany, China etc.
2001. It is also interesting to note during the past few years.
United States’ increasing interest in
Among the RTA partners, the
RTAs as reflected by its involvement
countries with which USA has
in eight RTAs during 2005 and 2006.
significant trade relations include
It can be noted from Table 3.5 Canada, Mexico, Australia, Israel and
that United States’ trade with most of Singapore. USA has been involved in
its trade partners has increased over an FTA with Israel since 1985. The
the period. United States’ exports to total trade between the two countries

Table 3.5:
UNITED STATES’ TRADE PERFORMANCE WITH RTA PARTNERS (US$ MN)
2000 2005
Exports Imports Exports Imports
Chile 3382 3602 Chile 5198 7446
Dominican Republic 4423 4474 Dominican Republic 4708 4721
Jordan 304 75 Jordan 643 1320
Australia 12332 6693 Australia 15771 7677
Bahrain 411 345 Bahrain 351 455
Israel 7675 12900 Israel 9732 17129
Morocco 530 465 Morocco 528 474
Singapore 17497 19630 Singapore 20647 15388
Canada 174616 229191 Canada 211420 291944
Mexico 108751 135080 Mexico 120049 172485
Total Trade with 42.7 33.3 Total Trade with 43.0 30.0
RTA Partners as RTA Partners as
% of Total Trade % of Total Trade
SOURCE: Direction of Trade Statistics 2006 Year Book, IMF.

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increased by over US$ 6 billion during total trade between them has seen a
the last 5 years, reaching a level of significant rise from US$ 27 billion in
US$ 26.8 billion in 2005. United States’ 2000 to more than US$ 66 billion in
trade with Australia increased from 2006. Similarly, the total trade
US$ 19 billion in 2000 to US$ 23 between US and ATPDEA countries,
billion in 2005. comprising four Andean countries,
increased from US$ 17 billion in 2000
An overview of United States’ to US$ 34.15 billion in 2006.
Trade Policy Trade Capacity Building (TCB) is
The United States is one of the most a critical part of the United States’
advanced economies in the world strategy to enable developing
and is the world’s leading economic countries to negotiate and implement
power, with GDP amounting to US$ market-opening and reform-oriented
13.2 trillion in 2006. Moreover the trade agreements. The United States
US economy is exceptionally diverse is currently the largest single-country
and is self-sufficient in most raw provider of trade related assistance,
materials, with the notable exception which includes trade-related physical
of oil. The steady growth in the US infrastructure assistance. Total U. S.
economy during the past could be funding for TCB activities in 2005 was
largely attributed to the rapidly $1.34 billion, up 46 percent since
expanding exports of the country. 2004.

United States gives high priority US has reduced the overall tariff
to the integration of developing burden to a large extent. The average
countries into the multilateral trading rate on all goods is about 4%,
system. To enhance market access according to the World Bank, and
opportunities for less developed zero tariffs apply to almost one third
countries, the United States provided of national tariff lines. When GSP and
duty-free access for most products other preferences are taken into
from developing countries through account, the U.S. trade weighted
several preferential trade programmes average tariff is just 1.4 percent on
like the Generalised System of an applied basis.
Preferences (GSP), the African US has been promoting trade
Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA), liberalisation, and has taken concrete
the Caribbean Basin Trade Partnership initiatives towards its promotion. The
Act (CBTPA) and the Andean Trade fundamental features of U.S. trade
Preference and Drug Eradication Act policy include maintenance of an
(ATPDEA). As a result of the open, competitive market at home,
incentives given by US to the AGOA compliance with WTO obligations,
beneficiary countries, which comprise and leadership in the multilateral
39 Sub-Saharan African countries, the trading system.

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Analysis of Impact of RTAs on performance of a country. Except for


Turkey’s Trade Performance its RTA involvement with EFTA in
As discussed earlier, Turkey has 1992, with EU in 1996 and Israel in
been involved in agreements with 1997, all its RTA involvements have
European countries like Bosnia and been post 2000. As in the case of
Herzegovina, Croatia, Macedonia, Singapore and Chile, there has been
European Union and EFTA; with a clear shift in the pattern of Turkey’s
Israel, Palestine, Syria in West Asia total trade too since its involvement
and Tunisia and Morocco in Africa. in RTAs. Turkey’s trade, which had
grown from US$ 57 billion in 1995 to
Turkey’s total trade has steadily only US$ 72 billion in 2001, had shot
grown during the past decade and up to US$ 190 billion in 2005. It is
shows a very interesting trend. also interesting to note that Turkey’s
Turkey’s trade increased from US$ 57 total trade had grown at a CAGR of
billion in 1995 to around US$ 190 4% during 1995 to 2001 compared to
billion in 2005. The pattern of a CAGR of 17.3% for the period post
Turkey’s total trade is highlighted in 2001 during which it entered into
Chart 3.6. most number of RTAs.
An analysis of the trade pattern Another very important feature of
of Turkey since 1995 further Turkey’s trade performance during
strengthens our argument that this period is the major change in
engagement in RTAs enhances trade Turkey’s openness to trade measured

Chart 3.6:
TREND IN TURKEY’S TOTAL TRADE

SOURCE: Direction of Trade Statistics, IMF


NOTE: Important RTAs are highlighted in the Graph

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in terms of Turkey’s total trade as a total trade. Exports to RTA partners


percentage of Turkey’s total GDP. contribute to around 60% of Turkey’s
Turkey’s openness to trade has total exports and imports around 55%
increased from 34% in 1995 to more of total imports. As mentioned earlier,
than 52% in 2005, with a structural such high levels of proportions of
shift during 2000-01 as depicted in exports and imports with RTA
Chart 3.7. partners in total exports and imports
of a country, respectively, indicate
Thus there exists clear evidence the success and effectiveness of
to Turkey opening up its economy, regional trade agreements. Though
as shown by the increase in the these proportions have marginally
degree of its openness to trade, the declined in 2005, they however,
proliferation in its engagements in remained high. This decline in
regional trade agreements and the proportion could be due to Turkey
increase in its total trade. expanding trade with other non RTA
partner countries.
Table 3.6 shows that Turkey’s
trade with its RTA partners has Among all its RTA partners, the
increased since the last five years. As European Union has played a very
in the case of Chile’s experience, crucial and important role in
Turkey’s trade with RTA partners too enhancing Turkey’s total trade
constitutes a major part of Turkey’s performance. Turkey’s total trade with

Chart 3.7:
TURKEY’S TOTAL TRADE TO GDP RATIO

SOURCE: Direction of Trade Statistics, IMF

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Table 3.6:
TURKEY’S TRADE PERFORMANCE WITH RTA PARTNERS (US$ MN)
2000 2005
Exports Imports Exports Imports
Bosnia & Herzegovina 27 7 Bosnia & Herzegovina 128 15
Croatia 24 25 Croatia 168 86
Macedonia 108 10 Macedonia 162 52
Israel 650 505 Israel 1467 803
Morocco 70 73 Morocco 370 143
Palestine Palestine
Syria 184 545 Syria 552 272
Tunisia 162 65 Tunisia 295 117
European Union 15086 27388 European Union 38400 49155
EFTA 324 1155 EFTA 816 4435
Total Trade with 59.9 54.6 Total Trade with 57.7 47.3
RTA Partners as RTA Partners as
% of Total Trade % of Total Trade
SOURCE: Direction of Trade Statistics 2006 Year Book, IMF.

European Union increased from US$ economic and trade policies in early
42 billion in 2000 to US$ 87.5 billion 1980s, Turkey’s foreign trade has
in 2005. continuously expanded under liberal
trade policies. With the customs union
An overview of Turkey’s with EU, Turkey has integrated with
Trade Policy an important economic bloc of the
The past decades have witnessed a world. Obviously, it has become the
significant transformation of the biggest impetus to Turkey since the
Turkish economy, from a protected adoption of liberalisation measures of
and state-directed system to a free the early 1980’s. With the customs
market system, particularly resulting union, Turkey has opened its internal
from the trade reform initiatives market to the competition of the EU
since 1980, especially due to trade and third countries, while
liberalisation, tariff reduction and guaranteeing free access to the EU
market. Moreover, the Customs Union
growth in exports.
has strengthened the traditionally
Throughout the period following comprehensive trade relations. The
the transformation of Turkey’s volume of trade between Turkey and

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the EU reached to the level of US$ scheme in line with EU’ s scheme at
87.6 billion in 2005 from the level of that time. In this context, 2884 tariff
US$ 36.8 billion in 1999. lines (including 556 products
mentioned above) originating in the
As a result of Uruguay Round,
least developed countries could be
Turkey provided 29% tariff reduction
imported into Turkey as duty free.
for industrial goods in compliance
These products originating in
with the Marrakesh Protocol. Apart
developing countries could also be
from this, due to its commitment to
the Customs Union in 1996, Turkey imported into Turkey at reduced rates
adopted the EU’s Common Customs on MFN basis parallel with the EU’ s
Tariff for the imports from third GSP scheme.
countries. Thus, Turkey provided one
of the most comprehensive reductions
CONCLUSION
with respect to average rate of An overall conclusion that can be
protection applicable in 1986, when drawn from the detailed analysis of
the negotiations launched. the pattern of trade performance of
the countries that are involved in
Turkey has also extended
the most number of regional trade
unilateral preferential treatment to
agreements over the past decade is
least developed countries by offering
that RTAs have certainly had a
556 products originating in the least
developed countries (LDC’s) to be beneficial and notable impact on the
imported into Turkey as duty-free, in trade performance of these
line with the decisions taken in the countries. The value of trade of all
High Level Meeting for the LDC’s, these countries with their RTA
held in Geneva in 1997. These partner countries over the past five
products have been covered by the years has seen a sharp increase.
GSP regime of Turkey since January Moreover, trade with RTA partner
2002. Turkey granted preferential countries constitutes a major portion
treatment to the least developed and of the total trade of these countries,
developing countries under GSP which also reflects the importance
(Generalised System of Preferences) and success of these agreements.

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4. INDIA’S ENGAGEMENTS IN
REGIONAL TRADE AGREEMENTS

In line with the objective of and Economic Cooperation


increased globalisation through trade, (BIMSTEC), a framework agreement
India has taken a number of initiatives for FTA with Thailand and a
to contribute to multilateral trade framework agreement for
negotiations to facilitate enhanced Comprehensive Economic
participation of developing countries Cooperation Agreement with ASEAN.
in global trade transactions. India’s These initiatives form an integral part
endeavour to foster its international of India’s ‘Look-East Policy’, which
trade has also been well took off in the early 1990s with India
complemented by its efforts to entering into a sectoral dialogue
promote regional trade. This has its partnership with the ASEAN in 1992.
reflection in the various initiatives However, the policy has gained
India has effected in fostering and substantial momentum only in recent
facilitating trade with select countries years.
and regions.
The policy received an additional
Target countries and regions in thrust with India becoming a summit
India’s regional trade initiatives cover level partner of the ASEAN in 2002
various regions of the world. In Asia, and its involvement in regional
India made a foray in RTAs with an initiatives like BIMSTEC and the
FTA with Sri Lanka in 1998. India’s Ganga Mekong Cooperation and
engagement with Sri Lanka has membership to the East Asia Summit
proved to be beneficial both for India (EAS) in December 2005. India also
and Sri Lanka with bilateral trade became an associate member of the
rising from US$ 0.7 billion in 2001-02
Council for Security Cooperation in
to US$ 2.7 billion in 2006-07.
the Asia Pacific (CSCAP) established
Subsequently, India has put in place
in 1993, as a non-governmental (Track
a Comprehensive Economic
II) process for dialogue on security
Cooperation Agreement with
issues in Asia Pacific, in 1994 and
Singapore, an FTA with SAARC
subsequently a full member in 2000.
members (SAFTA) and with the
members of the Bay of Bengal During the ASEAN Ministerial
Initiative for Multi-Sectoral Technical Meeting at Bangkok in July 2000 it

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was decided to initiate the ‘Thailand in place preferential trade agreements


Mekong Ganga Cooperation Project’ (PTA) with MERCOSUR, as also with
to revitalize and develop overland Chile. In West Asia, India has in place
trade, tourism, communication and a framework agreement for FTA with
transport. India has played a crucial the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC).
role and has been instrumental in In the African region, India and SACU
launching this cooperative venture have a preferential trade agreement
between India and the ASEAN nations in place, while India is in talks with
of Myanmar, Thailand, Laos, Mauritius to set in place a
Cambodia and Vietnam. Comprehensive Economic
Abundance in natural resources, Cooperation and Partnership
a significant technological base in Agreement.
ASEAN and a strong human capital Besides these initiatives, a
base in India provide immense number of Joint Study Groups (JSGs)
opportunities to India and ASEAN to
have also been set up to examine the
integrate and synergize their trade and
potential for cooperation in trade in
investment potential. The present
goods and services, investments and
level of bilateral trade with ASEAN
other areas of economic cooperation
amounts to more than US$ 30 billion
with a number of countries. The
in 2006-07, and is growing at a
compounded annual growth rate of following section provides an
over 32%, since 2004-05. India’s overview of India’s bilateral
relationship with ASEAN, is going to engagements with a number of
be stronger and more beneficial. countries and trade blocs across the
globe.
Look-East policy is now being
pursued aggressively and has started INDIA’S ENGAGEMENTS IN
yielding desirable results on the RTAs IN ASIA
economic, political and strategic
fronts. The policy, which was mainly India-Sri Lanka Free Trade
directed towards improving relations Agreement
with ASEAN, will now also cover Bilateral trade between India and Sri
other nations of the region such as Lanka is regulated by the India-Sri
China, Japan and Korea where the Lanka Free Trade Agreement
interaction was more bilateral till date. (ISLFTA) signed in December 1998,
Other than looking East, India has and operational with effect from
also seriously begun efforts to March 2000. Under this agreement,
develop preferential trade linkages both countries are committed to the
with developing countries located elimination of tariffs in a phased
elsewhere. In Latin America, India has manner. India has already

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completed its commitment of which includes: (a) a free trade


reducing its duty to zero in March agreement, covering, inter-alia, trade
2003, except for 429 items in goods and services and investment,
appearing in the negative list. Sri (b) a bilateral agreement on
Lanka would do the same by 2008. investment promotion, protection and
Both sides are now negotiating on cooperation, (c) an improved Double
not only trade in goods but also Taxation Avoidance Agreement; (d)
on trade in services and economic a more liberal Air Services Agreement
cooperation. Negotiations are being for open skies for charter flights, and
held to expand the FTA and (e) a work programme of cooperation
broaden it into a Comprehensive in a number of areas including health
Economic Partnership Agreement care, education, media, and tourism.
(CEPA).
Comprehensive Economic
Comprehensive Economic Cooperation between ASEAN
Cooperation Agreement and India
(CECA) between India and India’s engagement with the
Singapore Association of South East Asian
Nations (ASEAN) started with its
After the establishment of the Joint
‘Look-East Policy’ in the early 1990s.
Study Group (JSG) in 2002, the
India became a Sectoral Dialogue
Comprehensive Economic
Partner of ASEAN in 1992 and Full
Cooperation Agreement (CECA)
Dialogue Partner in 1996. In
between India and Singapore was
November 2001, the ASEAN-India
signed on June 29, 2005, and has
relationship was upgraded to the
become operational with effect from summit level. The first ASEAN
August 1, 2005. The objectives of Economic Ministers (AEM) – India
the agreement are to strengthen and Consultations were held in 2002,
enhance the economic, trade and where it was decided to establish
investment cooperation, to liberalise an ASEAN-India Economic Linkages
and promote trade in goods and Task Force (AIELTF) to prepare a
services, to enhance competitiveness draft Framework Agreement to
in manufacturing and service enhance the ASEAN-India trade and
sectors, explore new areas of economic cooperation. During the
economic cooperation and facilitate first ASEAN-India Summit held in
and enhance regional economic November 2002, India agreed to
cooperation and integration. extend special and differential trade
The CECA has been structured as treatment to ASEAN countries, based
an integrated package of agreement on their levels of development to

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improve their market access to which includes a free trade area in


India, and enter into a free trade goods, services and investment to
agreement with ASEAN. enhance economic cooperation
through progressive liberalisation of
In October 2003, a framework
trade and investment and elimination
agreement on Comprehensive
Economic Cooperation between of tariff and non-tariff barriers.
ASEAN and India, covering FTA in However, due to difference of opinion
goods, services and investment, as on Rules of Origin, the EHP, agreed
well as areas of economic cooperation under the Framework Agreement on
was signed during the Second ASEAN goods could not be implemented. A
– India Summit in Indonesia. The new time frame for FTA in goods has
objectives of the agreement were to been agreed. Agreement has been
strengthen and enhance economic, reached on the Rules of Origin. The
trade and investment co-operation TNC is now negotiating the Sensitive
between the countries, promote Lists, modalities for tariff reduction
investment and trade in goods and and elimination, dispute settlement
services through progressive mechanism, etc. Negotiations in trade
liberalisation, develop appropriate in services and investment are
measures for closer economic co- expected to begin immediately after
operation in new areas, and facilitate the agreement on trade in goods is
the effective economic integration of concluded. It was also agreed that,
the new ASEAN Member States and India shall continue to accord Most-
bridge the development gap among Favoured Nation (MFN) Treatment
the Parties. The agreement also consistent with the WTO rules and
provided for an Early Harvest disciplines to all the non-WTO ASEAN
Programme (EHP), which covers Member States on the signing of this
areas of economic cooperation and a agreement.
common list of items for exchange
The ASEAN-India FTA (AIFTA)
under tariff concessions as a
negotiations were targeted to be
confidence building measure.
concluded by July, 2007. However,
The ASEAN-India Trade due to the continuing differences on
Negotiating Committee (TNC) is the size of the negative list, the
undertaking negotiations for a agreement could not be signed in July
Comprehensive Economic and the earliest possible conclusion
Cooperation Agreement (CECA) to of the talks appears to be the next
establish an ASEAN-India Regional ASEAN-plus-One Summit in
Trade and Investment Area (RTIA), November 2007.

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Framework Agreement for advanced stage, talks on services are


Establishing Free Trade at initial stages. The talks were to be
Agreement between India and concluded by June 2007. However,
Thailand due to some persisting differences
over the range of goods to be covered,
A Framework Agreement for
the deadline could not be met. In
establishing a Free Trade Agreement
recent negotiations, Thailand has
between India and Thailand was
been insisting on completing talks on
signed on October 9, 2003, in
goods and then move on to services
Bangkok, Thailand. The Framework
and investments, contrary to India’s
Agreement covers FTA in goods,
stand to negotiate all the three areas
services and investment and areas
at the same time resulting in delay in
of economic cooperation. The
negotiations.
Framework Agreement also provides
for an Early Harvest Scheme (EHS)
Agreement on India-Bhutan
under which 82 common items of
Trade and Commerce
export which are of interest to both
sides have been agreed for The Indo-Bhutan Trade and
elimination of tariffs on a fast track Commerce Agreement, which was
basis. concluded in 1972, is periodically
renewed, incorporating mutually
India-Thailand Trade Negotiating agreed modifications. The current
Committee (TNC) has been agreement on Trade, Commerce and
constituted and discussions are being Transit was renewed on 28th July
held on the text of FTA, Rules of 2006 for a period of 10 years. The
Origin, Dispute Settlement salient features of the agreement
Mechanism and Sensitive List. There include free trade and commerce
have been a number of rounds of between the two countries with
negotiations for FTA in goods so far; concessions granted to Bhutan to
but due to difference of opinion on impose non-tariff restrictions on
certain issues, the deadline prescribed import of certain goods of Indian
in the framework agreement for FTA origin for protection of their
in goods, of March 2005, could not industries, no restrictions by India
be met. Negotiations for FTA in on Bhutan’s trade with third
services and investment have also countries, imposition of non-tariff
begun. A meeting of the India- restrictions by both sides on import
Thailand Trade Negotiating of third country goods from each
Committee (TNC) was held in Chiang other’s territory, and mutual refund
Mai from 9-13 January 2006. While of annual excise duties on goods
negotiations on goods are at an exported to each other.

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Trade Agreement between Under the current Treaty of


India and Bangladesh Transit, India provides transit facilities
India had entered into a bilateral to Nepal. The current Treaty was
agreement with Bangladesh in 1980 renewed in January 2006 and would
for a period of three years, which be in force for a period of seven years
was periodically renewed by mutual up to 2013. This Treaty provides for
consent. An amended Trade free movement of traffic-in-transit
Agreement was signed in March across territories of each other
2006, which is valid till March 2009. through mutually agreed routes for
This agreement primarily focuses on trade with third countries subject to
expansion of trade and economic taking measures to ensure that this
cooperation, building a mutually does not infringe legitimate interests/
beneficial arrangement for the use security interests of each other. Traffic
of waterways, railways and in transit is exempted from customs/
roadways, exchange of business and all transit duties. India has allowed
trade delegations and consultation 15 transit routes to Nepal but so far
to review the working of the not availed of this facility from Nepal.
agreement at least once a year.
India and Nepal have also signed
an Agreement of Cooperation to
India-Nepal Treaty of Trade
Control Unauthorized Trade. Its main
India-Nepal bilateral treaty of trade objective is to check illegal trade
was in force for a period of five (smuggling) between the two
years with effect from March 2002. countries. This agreement has been
With the expiry of the treaty in renewed in 2007 in its present form.
March 2007 after a five-year period Both countries have also established
of agreement, both Governments of a forum known as Inter-
Nepal and India decided to renew Governmental Committee to address
the Treaty in its current form with the problems relating to bilateral
effect from March 6, 2007. Mutual trade, transit facilities and prevention
consultations are also in progress to of unauthorized trade.
amend the treaty of trade to replace
the existing treaty. Under this Treaty, India-Afghanistan Preferential
there is a provision for free trade Trade Agreement
on mutually agreed primary The bilateral trade between India
products from each other, and a and Afghanistan is regulated by the
provision for India to provide on a India- Afghanistan Preferential Trade
non-reciprocal basis, duty-free access Agreement signed between India
to Nepalese industrial goods without and Afghanistan on March 6, 2003
any quantity restriction, subject to in New Delhi, which promotes
fulfilment of some conditions. harmonious development of the

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economic relations and free Lanka) and 2 members of ASEAN


movement of goods through (Thailand and Myanmar), and
reduction of tariffs between the two therefore, is visualized as a ‘bridging
countries. By this agreement, link’ between two major regional
preferential tariff is granted by the groupings i.e., ASEAN and SAARC.
Government of Afghanistan to 8 BIMSTEC is an important element
items from India including tea, in India’s ‘Look-East’ strategy and
medicines, refined sugar, cement adds a new dimension to India’s
clinkers and white cement. India has economic cooperation with South
granted preferential tariff to 38 Asian and South East Asian
products from Afghanistan including countries.
raisins, dry fruit, fresh fruits and
At the first meeting of the
spices. The agreement would remain
Economic/ Trade Ministers of
in force till either party wishes to
BIMSTEC, which was held in
terminate it through notification.
Bangkok in August, 1998, it was
agreed that BIMSTEC should aim and
Bay of Bengal Initiative for
strive to develop into a Free Trade
Multi-Sectoral Technical and
Area, and should focus on activities
Economic Cooperation
that facilitate trade, increase
(BIMSTEC) investment & promote technical
The initiative to originally establish cooperation among member
Bangladesh-India-Sri Lanka-Thailand countries. Six areas were identified
Economic Cooperation (BISTEC) for cooperation in BIMSTEC, namely,
was taken by Thailand in 1994 to trade and investment, technology,
explore economic cooperation on a transportation and communication,
sub-regional basis involving energy, tourism and fisheries. In the
neighbouring countries of South and fourth BIMSTEC Trade & Economic
South-East Asia grouped around the Ministers meeting held in Colombo
Bay of Bengal. With the inclusion on March 7, 2003, it was decided to
of Myanmar in December, 1997 the constitute a Group of Experts (GoE)
initiative was renamed as BIMSTEC. for drafting the Framework
In July 2004, the initiative was Agreement on BIMSTEC Free Trade
renamed as the Bay of Bengal Area (FTA). Subsequently, the
Initiative for Multi Sectoral Technical Framework Agreement on the
and Economic Co-operation BIMSTEC FTA was signed on
(BIMSTEC) with the admission of February 8, 2004 in Phuket, Thailand
Bhutan and Nepal as members to by Bhutan, India, Myanmar, Nepal,
the group. The initiative involves Sri Lanka and Thailand during the
five members of SAARC (India, Fifth BIMSTEC Economic Ministers’
Bangladesh, Bhutan, Nepal and Sri Meeting. Bangladesh, however, did

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not sign the BIMSTEC FTA Agreement LDC members’ products to 0-5% in 3
in February 2004, but nevertheless has years.
acceded by signing a Protocol to this
effect in June 2004. The Framework Asia Pacific Trade Agreement
Agreement includes provisions for (APTA)
negotiations on FTA in goods, services
The Bangkok Agreement renamed
and investment. A Trade Negotiating
as Asia Pacific Trade Agreement
Committee (TNC) has been
(APTA) was signed in November
constituted to carry forward the
2005 in Beijing and came into force
programme of negotiations.
with effect from July 1, 2006. The
original agreement signed in 1975
Agreement on South Asian
was an initiative under the
Free Trade Area (SAFTA)
Economic and Social Commission
The agreement on South Asian Free for Asia and Pacific (ESCAP) for
Trade Area (SAFTA) was signed by trade expansion through exchange
all the member states of the South of tariff concessions among
Asian Association for Regional developing countries of the ESCAP
Cooperation (SAARC), namely, India, region. The agreement is operational
Bangladesh, Bhutan, Maldives,
among five countries namely,
Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka,
Bangladesh, China, India, Republic
during the Twelfth SAARC Summit
of Korea and Sri Lanka. Till date
held in Islamabad in January, 2004.
three rounds of trade negotiations
After ratification by the Member
have taken place. The third round
States, the SAFTA has come into
force from January 1, 2006. of negotiations under the Bangkok
Agreement was launched in October
The SAFTA envisages a phased 2001 and concluded in July 2004.
tariff liberalisation programme under
which non-LDCs (viz. India, Pakistan The objectives of this agreement
and Sri Lanka) will bring down tariffs are to promote economic
to 20% in two years, while LDC development through a continuous
members (viz. Bangladesh, Bhutan, process of trade expansion among the
Maldives and Nepal) will bring them developing member countries of
down to 30%. Further, the non-LDC ESCAP and to further international
members will further reduce tariffs economic co-operation through the
from 20% to 0-5% in 5 years (Sri Lanka adoption of mutually beneficial trade
in 6 years), while LDC members will liberalisation measures consistent
do so in 8 years. Moreover, non-LDC with their respective present and
members will reduce their tariffs for future development and trade needs.

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Joint Study Group between The final report of the India-China


India and Korea JSG was submitted in March 2005.
It was agreed to establish a Joint As per the recommendations of the
Study Group between India and JSG, a Joint Task Force was set up
Korea (South Korea) in 2004 to take which met thrice till July 2007 to
a comprehensive view of bilateral work towards expanding trade and
economic linkages between the two bilateral cooperation.
nations, covering among others,
trade in goods and services,
Joint Study Group between
investment flows, and other areas India and Japan
of economic cooperation, and to India and Japan, in November 2004,
analyse the feasibility of a agreed to constitute a Joint Study
comprehensive economic Group, focusing on measures
partnership agreement (CEPA) required for a comprehensive
between the two countries. The expansion of trade in goods, trade
report of the Joint Study Group, in services, investment flows and
which was signed in January 2006, other areas of economic relations
recommended that the Korea-India between the two countries. The
CEPA cover, trade in goods and recommendations of the report,
services, measures for trade submitted in 2006, covered trade in
facilitations and promotion, goods and services investment
facilitation and liberalisation of flows, role of Japan in promoting
investment flows, measures for economic partnership and other
promoting bilateral economic areas of economic cooperation. It
cooperation in identified sectors and also recommended that India and
other areas to be explored for Japan launch inter-governmental
furthering bilateral partnership. In negotiations to develop an
pursuance to the recommendation Economic Partnership Agreement
of the JSG, a Joint Task Force (EPA) or Comprehensive Economic
composed of Government officials Partnership Agreement (CEPA),
has been constituted and within a reasonable period of time.
negotiations are taking place It was decided to launch immediate
regularly. negotiations for the conclusion of a
bilateral Economic Partnership
Joint Study Group between Agreement/ Comprehensive
India and China Economic Partnership Agreement
An India-China Joint Study Group (EPA/CEPA), on the basis of the
was constituted in June 2003 to recommendations submitted by the
examine the possibility of expanding Joint Study Group. The first round
trade and economic cooperation. of negotiations on the India-Japan

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(Comprehensive) Economic progress after the signing of the


Partnership Agreement were held in Memorandum of Understanding
February 2007 in New Delhi. (MoU) between the two sides in
November 2005.
Joint Study Group between
India and Russia INDIA’S ENGAGEMENTS IN
A Memorandum of Understanding RTAs IN LATIN AMERICA
(MoU) on Cooperation between India-MERCOSUR PTA
India and Russia was signed in
February 2006. The MoU provides A Framework Agreement was signed
for setting up of a JSG between between India and MERCOSUR on
India-Russia with the objective of June 17, 2003 at Asuncion,
Paraguay. The aim of this
enhancing bilateral trade between
Framework Agreement is primarily
the two countries to a level of
to create conditions and mechanisms
US$10 billion by 2010 and to study
for negotiations, by granting
the feasibility to consider the reciprocal tariff preferences and, to
possibility of signing Comprehensive negotiate a free trade area between
Economic Cooperation Agreement the two parties in conformity with
between India and Russia. the rules of the WTO.

Joint Study Group between As a follow up to the Framework


India and Malaysia Agreement, a Preferential Trade
Agreement (PTA) was signed in New
A Joint Study Group (JSG) to Delhi on January 25, 2004. The aim
explore the feasibility of of this Preferential Trade Agreement
Comprehensive Economic Coopera- is to expand and strengthen the
tion Agreement (CECA) between existing relations between
India and Malaysia was constituted MERCOSUR and India, and promote
in March 2005. the expansion of trade by granting
reciprocal fixed tariff preferences with
Joint Study Group between the ultimate objective of creating a
India and Indonesia free trade area between the parties.
In August 2005, it was mutually Under the PTA, India and MERCOSUR
agreed between India and Indonesia have agreed to give tariff concession,
to examine the possibility of ranging from 10% to 100% to the other
entering into a bilateral side on 450 and 452 tariff lines,
respectively. It was mutually agreed
comprehensive economic coopera-
that India-MERCOSUR PTA would be
tion arrangement in the long term.
expanded by increasing the number
The setting up of a Joint Study of products covered and increasing
Group (JSG) on CECA comprising of the tariff concessions agreed by each
senior government officials is in side.

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Preferential Trade Agreement The first meeting of the Joint


(PTA) between India and Study Group was held during the PTA
Chile negotiations in November 2005. The
draft reports prepared by Chile and
India has negotiated a Preferential
India were discussed during the
Trade Agreement (PTA) with Chile.
meeting. Both sides agreed to submit
The Framework Agreement to
their conclusions and
Promote Economic Cooperation,
recommendations to their
signed between India and Chile on governments for guiding further
January 20, 2005, provided for a action on the matter.
Joint Study Group (JSG) to identify
the potential for cooperation INDIA’S ENGAGEMENTS IN
between the two sides in goods and RTAs IN EUROPE
services, investments and other areas
of economic cooperation. India-EU High Level Trade
The PTA relates to the list of Group
products on which the two sides India-EU relations go back to the
agreed to give fixed tariff preferences early 1960s, India being among the
to each other, Rules of Origin, first countries to establish diplomatic
Preferential Safeguard Measures and relations with the then existing
Dispute Settlement Procedures have Eurasian Economic Community
been finalized during four rounds of (EEC). The 1994 agreement of
negotiations. While India has offered cooperation signed between EU and
to provide fixed tariff preferences India took bilateral relations beyond
ranging from 10% to 50% on 178 tariff merely trade and economic
lines at the 8 digit HS level to Chile, cooperation. The first India-EU
the latter have offered a similar range Summit in Lisbon in June 2000
of tariff preferences on 296 tariff lines proved pivotal in the evolution of
at the 8 digit level. this relationship. There have been
seven Summit-level interactions
The products on which India has between India and EU so far, the
offered tariff concessions relate to last being the Seventh India-EU
meat and fish products, rock salt, Summit held in Helsinki from
iodine, copper ore and concentrates, October 12-13, 2006 under the
chemicals, leather products, Finnish Presidency of the EU. The
newsprint, paper and particle boards areas of focus at the Seventh India-
and some industrial products. Chile’s EU Summit were the economic
offer covers some agriculture aspects in the India-EU relations,
products, chemicals and energy, cooperation in counter-
pharmaceuticals, leather products, terrorism and the closer security and
textiles and clothing and some political dialogue. The two sides
industrial products. agreed to begin negotiations on a

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broad-based trade and investment pharmaceuticals have been identified


agreement. India-EU relations have as sectors for collaboration between
grown exponentially from what used India and Portugal. Portugal intends
to be a purely trade and economic to use the EU Presidency to focus on
driven relationship to one covering emerging economies, and reinforcing
greater areas of interaction. Europe’s role in the world. With
India and the EU agreed to take Portugal taking presidency of the
positive steps to further increase European Union on July 1, 2007,
bilateral trade and economic strong economic ties with India would
cooperation and to tackle barriers to help expedite the proposed free trade
trade and investment. While trade and agreement between India and the EU.
investment flows between India and Learning from its ASEAN
the EU have been increasing, they experience, India has asked the
remain below potential. During the European Union to reach an internal
6th India – EU Summit, it was decided consensus before putting offers on the
to launch India EU Joint Action Plan negotiating table for the proposed
for Strategic Partnership. Within the comprehensive trade and investment
Joint Action Plan, a High Level Trade agreement. With EU having
Group (HLTG) was set up to enhance reconciled to a common stand on
economic cooperation and to explore various trade and investment issues,
ways and means to deepen and widen the meeting in the last week of June,
bilateral trade and investment 2007 in Brussels would mark the
relationship. The HLTG was also formal launch of official level
tasked with examining the possibility negotiations.
of launching negotiations on a broad
based Trade and Investment According to official sources, the
Agreement. The two sides also agreed actual list of items on which duties
to establish a Technical Barriers to would be reduced to zero would be
Trade (TBT)/Sanitary and exchanged in October. India would
Phytosanitary (SPS) Issues Working like the agreement to cover 90 per
Group to deepen the dialogue on TBT cent of trade, which was 40 billion
and SPS issues to facilitate bilateral Euros in 2005. In the services
trade and increasing market access. agreement, India will press for
liberalisation of outsourcing norms
The eighth EU-India summit is and movement of professionals. Apart
scheduled for November 30, 2007 in from trade in goods and services, the
New Delhi. Areas like information agreement would also deal with non-
technology, biotechnology, agri- tariff barriers and lay down rules on
business and food processing, issues such as investment and
tourism, textiles, chemicals and competition.

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These agreements could boost comprising of Bahrain, Kuwait,


EU exports to India by around 57 Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and
percent, according to the studies United Arab Emirates. The GCC
carried out by two independent think- members are major trading partners
tanks on behalf of the European for India, accounting for around 13%
Commission. The biggest gains for of India’s global exports and around
India would include a 46 percent 16% of India’s global imports in
increase (worth 3.6 billion Euro) in 2006-07. The FTA proposes to
its exports to the EU of textiles and include Trade in Services and
clothing. Investment Cooperation as well as
General Economic Cooperation.
The EU-India agreement could
provide tariff cuts for products of
Joint Study Group between
specific export interest to each side.
India and Israel
The EU will be pressing for substantial
tariff cuts, on the grounds that India, India and Israel have constituted a
as well as ASEAN and South Korea, Joint Study Group to examine ways
combine high levels of protection and means of promoting bilateral
with large market potential. economic relations and to consider
Both India and the EU, however, a Bilateral Economic Partnership
believe that a multilateral approach, Agreement. The JSG report released
in which the UN plays a central role, in November, 2005 recommended
is the best way to address global an India-Israel Action Plan for
challenges such as development Comprehensive Economic
which is economically, socially and Cooperation between the two
environmentally sustainable; effective countries. The JSG focused on
management of globalisation; implementation of recommendations
terrorism; drug trafficking; organised like PTA, Customs Cooperation,
crime; natural disasters; and energy early utilization of R&D funds,
security. liberalisation of trade in services,
negotiations on bilateral shipping
INDIA’S ENGAGEMENTS IN agreement etc.
RTAs IN WEST ASIA
INDIA’S ENGAGEMENTS IN
FTA Between India and Gulf RTAs IN AFRICA
Cooperation Council (GCC)
India is in the process of negotiating Preferential Trade Agreement
a Free Trade Agreement with GCC (PTA) between India and
and the first round of negotiations SACU
in this regard was held in March The South Africa Customs Union
2006. The Gulf Co-operation Council (SACU), with a common Custom
(GCC) is a customs union Tariff Policy, comprises of South

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Africa, Lesotho, Swaziland, Botswana Agreement and it was decided to


and Namibia. In September 2004, set up a high-powered negotiating
the draft Framework Agreement for team for processing and finalizing
a Preferential Trade Agreement the recommendations of this report
(PTA) between India and SACU within an year. The negotiations on
countries was finalised, by a Joint Preferential Trade Agreement (PTA)/
Working Group (JWG) consisting of Comprehensive Economic
Government representatives from Cooperation & Partnership
both sides. The sixth session of the Agreement (CECPA) are in progress.
India-South Africa Joint Ministerial
Commission Meeting was held in TREND ANALYSIS OF
New Delhi in December 2005. Both BILATERAL TRADE FLOWS
sides agreed that a comprehensive It may be observed from the
Free Trade Agreement within a previous section that India has been
reasonable time and in the interim,
engaged in trade agreements with
a limited scope agreement providing
a number of countries and is also
for exchange of tariff concessions
strongly negotiating free trade
on select list of products, between
agreements and comprehensive
India and SACU would give further
economic cooperation agreements
impetus to bilateral trade and urged
with several other countries from
its early conclusion. The agreement
different parts of the world. These
will aim to promote expansion of
trade and provide a mechanism to trade agreements are expected to
negotiate and conclude a significantly enhance India’s
comprehensive Free Trade international trade prospects.
Agreement within a reasonable time. Engagement in regional trade
agreements has had a significant
Preferential Trade Agreement/ effect over the past decade on
Comprehensive Economic India’s trade performance with its
Cooperation and Partnership partner countries. An attempt is
Agreement (CECPA) between made in this section to analyse
India and Mauritius India’s trade performance with its
main trading partners and highlight
A Joint Study Group (JSG) some key issues regarding the
constituted in November 2003 agreements.
identified investment, trade in goods
and services and general economic Table 4.1 presents an overview
cooperation for developing of the quantum of India’s exports and
modalities of CECPA. During 2005, imports with RTA partners over the
India accepted the report by the past 5 years. It may be noted that both
Joint Study Group on exports and imports have increased
Comprehensive Economic significantly with respect to almost all
Cooperation and Partnership countries during this period.

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Table 4.1:
INDIA’S TRADE WITH RTA PARTNERS15 (US$ MN)
Region 2001-02 2006-07
Exports Imports Total Exports Imports Total
LATIN AMERICA
MERCOSUR 317.67 768.03 1085.70 1751.20 1854.75 3605.95
Chile 83.50 95.07 178.57 374.99 1917.60 2292.59
AFRICA
SACU 370.12 1445.61 1815.73 2283.82 2529.62 4813.44
Mauritius 163.39 3.27 166.66 735.86 14.50 750.36
ASIA
Sri Lanka 632.78 67.58 700.36 2252.59 470.20 2722.79
Singapore 975.21 1307.98 2283.19 6017.01 5466.47 11483.48
Thailand 635.02 424.35 1059.37 1442.52 1740.51 3183.03
Brunei 2.87 0.36 3.23 8.30 285.04 293.34
Cambodia 11.33 1.12 12.45 51.65 1.58 53.23
Indonesia 535.30 1039.91 1575.21 2025.97 4184.34 6210.31
Laos 3.17 0.04 3.21 2.38 0.36 2.74
Malaysia 776.00 1136.92 1912.92 1303.94 5276.73 6580.67
Myanmar 61.07 375.55 436.62 139.11 777.43 916.54
Philippines 248.53 95.13 343.66 582.54 167.26 749.80
Vietnam 218.82 18.97 237.79 981.84 171.41 1153.25
Bhutan 7.62 23.99 31.61 58.64 141.34 199.98
Bangladesh 1005.17 59.29 1064.46 1627.48 228.15 1855.63
Nepal 215.10 357.01 572.11 930.82 305.81 1236.63
Afghanistan 24.44 17.58 42.02 181.57 34.48 216.05
Maldives 26.96 0.40 27.36 68.56 3.05 71.61
Pakistan 144.44 64.95 209.39 1347.41 322.97 1670.38
WEST ASIA
GCC 3809.38 1691.99 5501.37 16336.73 30993.23 47329.96
Trade with RTA partners as % of total 20.17 30.75
trade
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI

15 Though some countries, mentioned in the above table, do not have a


particular bilateral trade agreement with India, they have been considered
because they are members of particular trade blocs with which India has
preferential trade arrangements. These countries include Bhutan and Nepal
which are members of SAARC and BIMSTEC; Bangladesh which is a member
of SAARC, BIMSTEC and APTA; Brunei Darussalam, Cambodia, Indonesia,
Malaysia, Philippines and Vietnam are members of ASEAN; Laos a member
of ASEAN and APTA; Myanmar a member of ASEAN and BIMSTEC; Maldives
and Pakistan members of SAARC.

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An analysis of India’s trade shooting up from US$ 0.37 billion in


performance with its RTA partners, 2001-02 to more than US$ 2 billion in
over the period of five years since 2006-07. Similarly, India’s exports to
2001-02, reveals some interesting Mauritius have increased substantially
features. A mere observation of the in recent years.
trend in India’s trade during the
Asia forms a very important
period, attests to the success of RTAs
region as far as India’s regional trade
involving India, as depicted by the
initiatives are concerned, with nearly
sharp increase in bilateral trade
benefiting both the partners to the 40% of India’s total trade with RTA
agreement. Exports have grown at a partners accounted for by the Asian
CAGR of 32% and imports at 44% countries. However, it is interesting
during the period. India’s total trade to note that in 2001-02, the
with its RTA partners, as a percentage corresponding share was 54.5%. The
of its global trade has shown a decent decline in the share between 2001-
rise from 20% to around 30% of total 02 and 2006-07 could be due to India’s
trade during the period 2001-02 and growing trade relations with other
2006-07. This clearly indicates that countries in different regions of the
more of India’s trade is increasingly world. Within Asia, China is emerging
taking place with countries with as a major trading partner. Among
which it has established some kind other RTA partners in Asia, India’s
of preferential trade arrangement or major trade partners include
with countries with which it is strongly Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia and
negotiating a free trade agreement or Sri Lanka. Singapore and Malaysia
a comprehensive economic together account for 47% of India’s
cooperation agreement to foster total trade with its RTA partners in
bilateral trade. This trend in India’s Asia in 2006-07. India’s total trade with
trade performance strongly supports Indonesia increased from US$ 1.6
the belief that regional trade billion in 2001-02 to more than US$ 6
agreements indeed act as a gateway billion in 2006-07. India’s trade with
to global trade. Brunei also shot up from a mere US$
3.2 million to more than US$ 293
As far as India’s relation with Latin million during the same period
America is concerned, its total trade
primarily because of the sharp
with Chile and MERCOSUR together,
increase in India’s imports from the
has grown by more than 4 times from
country. Moreover, India’s trade with
US$ 1.26 billion in 2001-02 to US$ 5.89
most of the Asian trading partners,
billion in 2006-07.
most of which are member of trading
In the African region, India’s trade blocs with which has India is engaged
with SACU showed a healthy in preferential agreements, has seen
performance, with India’s exports an impressive growth.

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The extent to which the trade 2006-07, growing at a promising


between India and the GCC has CAGR of 31% during the past five
grown is evident from the fact that years. The trade balance however
India’s trade with GCC has increased remains marginally in favour of
by more than 8 times during the ASEAN. The total exports of India to
period. Exports and Imports both ASEAN have increased from US$ 3.4
have contributed to the growth of billion in 2001-02 to US$ 12.56 billion
bilateral trade between the two in 2006-07. The corresponding
economies. Bilateral trade is further imports too have risen steadily to US$
expected to increase once the India- 18 billion in 2006-07. The Table 4.2
GCC FTA materialises. and Chart 4.1 below show the recent
trends in Indo-ASEAN trade.
Thus, the overall trend in India’s
trade performance with its partner It can be noticed from the chart
countries reveals the positive impact that there has been a steady rise in
that engagement in preferential trade India’s total trade with ASEAN since
engagements with a number of 2001-02, due to a steady and
countries has had on India’s trade. consistent increase in both imports
and exports. It is interesting to note
INDIA and ASEAN that the increasing trend in India’s
Introduction of FTA with ASEAN trade has been more prominent since
provides varied opportunities for 2003, when the framework agreement
India. ASEAN offers an attractive for a comprehensive economic
market for Indian companies to cooperation agreement was signed.
invest either on their own or in the
The sectors of cooperation
form of joint ventures with Indian
between India and ASEAN, that were
companies.
identified in the agreement include
India’s trade with ASEAN has agriculture, fisheries and forestry;
increased to over US$ 30 billion in services sector like media and
Table 4.2:
TRENDS IN INDIA-ASEAN TRADE
Year Exports % growth Imports % growth Total % growth
(US$ bn) (US$ bn) (US$ bn)
2001-02 3.47 - 4.40 - 7.87 -
2002-03 4.63 33.46 5.16 17.27 9.79 24.41
2003-04 5.83 25.89 7.44 44.14 13.26 35.51
2004-05 8.42 44.57 9.11 22.49 17.53 32.19
2005-06 10.41 23.60 10.88 19.44 21.29 21.44
2006-07 12.56 20.61 18.07 66.06 30.63 43.84
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI

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Chart 4.1:
TRENDS IN INDIA-ASEAN TRADE

entertainment, health, financial, between India and ASAEN in October


tourism, construction, business 2003. It is interesting to note that
process outsourcing, environmental around 33% of India’s export basket
services; power & energy; information to ASEAN in 2006-07 comprised of
and communications technology, petroleum products (Table 4.3).
electronic-commerce, biotechnology; Further analysis shows that the largest
transport and infrastructure; export destination of petroleum
automotive, drugs and products from India is Singapore to
pharmaceuticals, textiles, which exports amounted more than
petrochemicals, garments, food US$ 3.3 billion in 2006-07, followed
processing, leather goods, light by Indonesia and Thailand which
engineering goods, gems and account for US$ 553 million and US$
jewellery processing; and education. 178 million respectively. The other
India enjoys strong business main items of export to ASEAN
complementarities and trade include non-ferrous metals, oil meals,
advantage in these sectors. dyes intermediates & coal tar
chemicals and gems & jewellery,
Sectoral performance which have all accounted for more
It is important to analyse the trends than US$ 500 million each during
in the composition of trade basket 2006-07. The CAGR of India’s total
after the establishment of the exports to ASEAN has been 29%
framework agreement on compre- during 2003-04 to 2006-07. Moreover,
hensive economic cooperation though the magnitude of trade

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between India and ASEAN has more in 2006-07. It is noted that US$ 1.6
than tripled over the five-year period, billion worth of imports of electronic
the compounded annual growth rate goods come from Singapore followed
over the five-year period, too has by Malaysia and Thailand. The import
been 29%. Owing to the immense size of edible vegetable oil, which
of the economies, there remains huge accounts for 7% of India’s total
potential to further grow at a faster imports from ASEAN has reduced to
rate post the agreement period of US$ 1.2 billion in 2006-07 from US$
2003. 1.8 billion in 2003-04. The growth in
The top import items into India the imports of metaliferrous ores &
from ASEAN comprise petroleum metal scrap, coal, coke & briquettes
crude, electronic goods and edible and organic chemicals too has been
vegetable oil (refer table 4.4). The high especially after the framework
imports of petroleum crude accounted agreement came into existence.
for around 23% of the total imports India’s total imports have grown at a
in 2006-07. The import of electronic compounded annual growth rate of
goods has increased three-folds 34% post signing of the framework
during the last five years from around agreement with ASEAN compared to
US$ 1 billion to around US$ 3 billion 32% during 2001-02 to 2006-07.

Table 4.3:
TREND IN TOP 10 EXPORT ITEMS FROM INDIA TO ASEAN
(US$ MILLION)
Commodity Name 2001-02 2003-04 2006-07
Petroleum products 1.1 1157.0 4145.4
Non-ferrous metals 14.5 92.6 597.6
Oil meals 279.8 329.9 594.5
Dyes intermediates & coal tar chemicals 50.6 223.1 549.1
Gems & jewellery 370.4 399.8 505.5
Machinery & instruments 154.9 237.1 500.0
Transport equipment 58.4 103.5 477.5
Primary & semi-finished iron & steel 106.1 333.2 445.9
Drugs, pharmaceuticals & fine chemicals 179.3 255.1 400.0
Electronic goods 318.1 253.3 347.9
Other Commodities 1934.2 2441.2 3991.1
All Commodities 3467.3 5825.7 12555.3
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI

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Table 4.4:
TREND IN TOP 10 IMPORT ITEMS FROM ASEAN TO INDIA
(US$ MILLION)
Commodity Name 2001-02 2003-04 2006-07
Petroleum crude & products - - 4208.6
Electronic goods 1005.1 1492.6 3062.1
Vegetable oils (edible) 808.9 1897.9 1280.5
Metaliferrous ores & metal scrap 142.0 189.9 1105.1
Coal, coke & briquettes 115.9 176.9 1008.9
Organic chemicals 249.0 436.6 972.1
Non-electrical machinery 192.5 298.9 808.7
Wood & wood products 337.6 501.1 586.1
Transport equipment 50.8 445.0 474.6
Iron & steel 33.5 51.8 389.9
Other commodities 1465.2 1947.7 4174.7
All Commodities 4400.3 7438.2 18071.1
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI

Recent Key Developments and that a further reduction of duties


Issues on sensitive products such as
 India has offered tariff cuts on palm oils, tea and pepper
around 80 percent of goods and would adversely affect India’s
services traded between India agriculture, for which it is a
and ASEAN. The negotiations livelihood issue.
are, however, deadlocked on  According to Government of
agricultural products, which India sources, Malaysia wants
India wants to exclude from the tariff on palm oil to be
tariff cuts. Farm products are reduced to 35 per cent by 2018
among ASEAN’s biggest exports as against India’s proposal to
to India. bring down the duty on crude
 The Prime Minister’s Trade and palm oil to 50 per cent by 2018.
Economic Relations Committee Vietnam wants greater market
which met in the first week of access and the tariff on tea and
July 2007 to discuss key coffee to be reduced to 30 per
strategies and matters pertaining cent and that on pepper be
to India’s “sensitivities” during reduced to 25 per cent by 2018,
negotiations with ASEAN felt against India’s offer to reduce

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them to 50 per cent by 2018. Policy Exchange to enhance


These products are also trade and investment relations.
important to India in terms of Vietnam and India have also
economic value and agreed to officially establish a
employment and any decision strategic partnership between
on this should result in a win- the two countries. The two
win situation for both countries. countries expressed willingness
to increase two-way trade to
 Recent negotiations on the
US$ 2 billion in 2010 and US$ 5
proposed trade deal were
billion in 2015.
hampered with ASEAN not
agreeing to the pruned negative  India’s manufacturing capability
list of 563 items suggested by is not as competitive as
India and insisting on restricting compared to its potential free-
the number to its own list of trade partners. Many segments
just 60 items. In its latest offer, of the domestic manufacturing
India proposed to scale its list industry need to gear up and
to 490. The figure of 60 items acquire competitive strength to
being far elusive. The negative take on tax-free imports.
list includes items such as  In services, India has a
spices, plantation crops (tea and comparative advantage in many
coffee), vegetable oils (vanaspati sectors like health, tourism, law
and other edible oils), rice, fish, and accounting. India also
textiles, chemicals and plastics, needs to attract large amounts
electronics, automobile of foreign investments to spur
components and footwear. its manufacturing and services
 While Vietnam’s bilateral trade industries, with gains for
with China and US is in excess agriculture as well.
of US$ 10 billion each, its trade  According to some studies16, the
with India has just touched US$ ASEAN FTA holds a high-level
1 billion. Vietnam has expressed of asymmetry. In terms of
keenness to largely enhance aggregate trade potential, the
bilateral trade and investment benefit to ASEAN members and
with India. Energy sector was India is in the ratio of 1:4.
considered as a potential sector Indonesia and the Philippines
of investment by India. Vietnam would be the major
has proposed setting up of a beneficiaries. The export
Forum for Trade and Investment potential for ASEAN members

16 For example a joint study by the Malaysian Institute of Economic Research


and the Indian Institute of Foreign trade. The study was based on UNCTAD
methodology.

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like Indonesia, Malaysia, India has increased significantly in


Philippines, Singapore and the last couple of years, especially
Thailand was estimated by the since 2003-04 (refer to Table 4.5 and
study at US$ 10.2bn. In Chart 4.2). The increase in total
comparison, the benefit trade has largely been the result of
potential for India has been a sharp increase in India’s exports to
estimated at US$ 2.7bn. Singapore. The value of India’s
exports to Singapore has increased
 While Singapore will emerge as
a major trade partner for India from US$ 0.98 billion in 2001-02 to
in the ASEAN in services, more than US$ 6 billion in 2006-07
banking and legal profession, its recording a CAGR of 43%. The value
trade prospects in other ASEAN of imports too has increased from
countries such as Thailand, US$ 1.3 billion in 2001-02 to
Malaysia, Indonesia, Philippines US$ 5.4 billion in 2006-07. The very
and Vietnam could suffer fact that the total trade between the
because of protective measures, two countries has seen a rapid five-
both tariff and non-tariff, which fold increase during the five years
these nations are unlikely to lift period reveals the high level of trade
until the Free Trade Agreement complementarities and growth
(FTA) between India and potential.
ASEAN is executed by 2012. It appears that India’s trade
reforms since 1991 has led to fostering
INDIA and SINGAPORE India-Singapore trade links. India’s
The free trade agreement with trade with Singapore is presently more
Singapore gives considerable trade than $11 billion which has immense
and investment opportunities to potential to increase because of
India. Singapore’s total trade with complementarities that exists between

Table 4.5:
TRENDS IN INDIA-SINGAPORE TRADE
Year Exports % growth Imports % growth Total % growth
(US$ bn) (US$ bn) (US$ bn)
2001-02 0.98 - 1.31 - 2.28 -
2002-03 1.42 46.06 1.44 9.91 2.86 25.35
2003-04 2.13 49.28 2.09 45.15 4.21 47.21
2004-05 4.00 88.07 2.65 27.00 6.65 57.82
2005-06 5.42 35.65 3.35 26.52 8.78 32.01
2006-07 6.02 10.92 5.47 63.02 11.48 30.82
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI

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Chart 4.2:
TRENDS IN INDIA-SINGAPORE TRADE

Singapore and India in areas of marketing and distribution;


manufacturing and services. (c) electronic, engineering;
(d) telecommunication, and
The importance of the IT industry
(e) education, health and
in both Singapore and India, may lead
medical services. Singapore has
to economic and technical co-
been dealing in these sectors in
operation between the two countries
a prominent way. Hence, there
for the following reasons:
exist complementarities in
(i) Singapore has a well-developed supply of IT software to these
IT infrastructure and capital sectors.
surplus while India has trained
Singapore gives a number of
human capital. There are ample
incentives in the forms of tax holidays,
opportunities for co-operation in
production. exemption, concessional tax rates,
exemption on taxable income and
(ii) A large number of opportunities non-tax incentives. India could ask
exist for designing, manu- for more concessions as a part of
facturing, distribution and bilateral free trade agreement.
trading of commodities in which
software is an important input. Petroleum products constitute a
The major commodities/sectors very significant part of India’s export
in which Indian software basket to Singapore constituting
companies have a proved around 55%, followed by transport
specialisation are: (a) financial equipment, electronic goods and non-
services; (b) manufacturing, ferros metals (refer Table 4.6). Exports

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of petroleum products have seen a and transport equipment too are


quantum increase from a mere US$ growing at an impressive rate but their
0.28 million in 2001-02 to more than share in India’s total imports from
US$ 3 billion in 2006-07. The exports Singapore is relatively low. India’s
of transport equipment, electronic Imports from Singapore have grown
goods and non-ferros metals have at a compound rate of 33% during
steadily increased over the period. the five year period.
India’s exports to Singapore have
grown at a CAGR of 44% during 2001- Recent Key Developments and
02 to 2006-07. Issues
As far as imports from Singapore  India has listed 506 items with
are concerned the largest imported zero duty under the early
commodities include electronic goods harvest scheme for export from
constituting around 30% of India’s Singapore from 1st August 2005.
total imports from Singapore growing Singapore has agreed to
at a rate of 26% over the last year eliminate customs duties on all
(see table 4.7). Petroleum crude & originating goods of India as
products constitute around 19% of per the agreement.
India’s total imports from Singapore.
Other top items of import like organic  Under the India-Singapore CECA
chemicals, non-electrical machinery signed in June 2005, India has

Table 4.6:
TREND IN TOP 10 EXPORT ITEMS FROM INDIA TO SINGAPORE
(US$ MILLION)
Commodity Name 2001-02 2005-06 2006-07
Petroleum products 0.3 2117.9 3339.5
Transport equipment 11.7 485.3 352.3
Electronic goods 128.1 201.7 262.1
Non-ferrous metals 1.3 72.7 202.4
Machinery & instruments 60.7 151.1 195.9
Aluminium other than products 99.9 93.0 186.0
Gems & jewellery 121.9 1240.9 150.0
Manufactures of metals 41.4 104.9 119.2
Dyes intermediates & coal tar chemicals 12.3 121.6 116.3
Drugs, pharmaceuticals & fine chemicals 42.3 86.7 89.4
Other commodities 455.3 748.8 1004.0
All Commodities 975.2 5424.5 6017.0
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI

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Table 4.7:
TREND IN TOP 10 IMPORT ITEMS FROM SINGAPORE TO INDIA
(US$ MILLION)
Commodity Name 2001-02 2005-06 2006-07
Electronic goods 512.6 1312.2 1656.1
Petroleum crude & products - - 1073.8
Organic chemicals 127.4 411.0 546.0
Non-electrical machinery 107.2 265.6 405.8
Transport equipment 32.2 355.2 324.9
Printed books, newspapers, journals etc. 105.4 258.3 317.9
Project goods 2.3 4.9 216.6
Artificial resins, plastic materials etc. 54.0 116.1 126.3
Professional inst, optical goods etc. 36.8 82.9 113.5
Electrical machinery 26.1 66.5 88.3
Other commodities 303.9 480.6 597.3
All Commodities 1308.0 3353.3 5466.5
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI

offered tariff liberalisation on terms. Singapore also wants


5,099 lines while keeping 6,551 India to relax the rules for
lines in the negative list. determining the origin of
Singapore wants India to review products so that more items
the negative list and bring down could qualify for preferential
the number of protected items. treatment.
The list of items which
Singapore wants to be excluded  It may be highlighted that
from India’s negative list include Singapore has imposed
condensed items like milk, prohibitions under various
edible oils, chocolate & cocoa orders and license measures for
products, tea, coffee, considerations of public safety,
confectionery items, cigarettes, health, environment, etc.
high speed diesel, shampoos, Bilateral trade negotiations
deodorants, yarn & fibre, CD & should also address the issue of
DVD players and auto-parts. non-tariff barriers.
 Singapore had asked India to
add 752 items ranging from INDIA AND SRI LANKA
edible oils to electronics to the Sri Lanka is an important trading
list of products being imported partner of India in South Asia. Table
from Singapore on concessional 4.8 and Chart 4.3 reveal the recent

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trend in Indo-Sri Lankan trade from amounted to US$ 0.6 billion in 2001-
2001-02 to 2006-07. The total trade 02, increasing to around US$ 2.25
between India and Sri Lanka has billion by 2006-07. Though India’s
increased form US$ 0.7 billion in imports from Sri Lanka too have
2001-02 to more than US$ 2.7 billion steadily increased, the magnitude of
in 2006-07, primarily due to increase total imports remain relatively low
in India’s exports to Sri Lanka since being US$ 0.47 billion in 2006-07.
2001. This could also be attributed This reveals that India’s exports to
to the free trade agreement between Sri Lanka are much higher than its
the two countries that became imports and thus India enjoys
operational from March 2000. The favourable trade surplus with Sri
aggregate of exports to Sri Lanka Lanka.

Table 4.8:
TRENDS IN INDIA-SRI LANKA TRADE
Year Exports % growth Imports % growth Total % growth
(US$ bn) (US$ bn) (US$ bn)
2001-02 0.63 - 0.07 - 0.70 -
2002-03 0.92 45.83 0.09 34.66 1.01 44.75
2003-04 1.32 43.05 0.19 114.14 1.51 49.43
2004-05 1.41 7.01 0.38 94.10 1.79 18.21
2005-06 2.02 43.31 0.58 52.71 2.60 45.29
2006-07 2.25 11.27 0.47 -18.60 2.72 4.64
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI

Chart 4.3:
TRENDS IN INDIA-SRI LANKA TRADE

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Sectoral Performance An analysis of the trend in the


It can be noted from the Table 4.9 composition of India’s import basket
from Sri Lanka reveals that non ferrous
that petroleum products and
metals, which comprised a mere 7%
transport equipment have played a
of India’s total imports from Sri Lanka
very significant role in boosting
in 2001-02 have grown to constitute
India’s exports to Sri Lanka. Share nearly 15% of India’s imports from
of India’s exports of petroleum the country in 2006-07. Electrical
products to Sri Lanka account to machinery, manufacturers of metals
around 31% of its total exports to and non metallic mineral
Sri Lanka. India’s exports of manufacturers too have shown a good
petroleum products to Sri Lanka, growth performance in the recent
which amounted to a mere US$ 0.1 years (see Table 4.10).
million in 2001-02 has shot up to
US$ 699 million in 2006-07. There have however, been some
areas of concern on both sides.
Transport equipment, cotton yarn
fabrics and primary and semi-  The areas of concern for India
finished iron and steel are the other include the issue of
important export items also showing circumvention of rules of origin
an impressive growth over the (inexplicable surges in Sri
period. Lankan exports of certain
Table 4.9:
TREND IN TOP 10 EXPORT ITEMS FROM INDIA TO SRI LANKA
(US$ MILLION)
Commodity Name 2001-02 2006-07
Petroleum products 0.1 699.5
Transport equipment 49.7 351.2
Cotton yarn fabrics madeups etc. 70.3 125.9
Primary & semi-finished iron & steel 28.1 107.1
Machinery & instruments 41.5 88.3
Drugs, pharmaceuticals & fine chemicals 32.1 87.5
Sugar 62.9 70.9
Paper/wood products 29.1 63.2
Manmade yarn fabrics madeups 24.5 58.0
Plastic & linoleum products 20.7 55.8
Other commodities 273.8 545.2
All Commodities 632.8 2252.6
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI

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Table 4.10:
TREND IN TOP 10 IMPORT ITEMS FROM SRI LANKA TO INDIA
(US$ MILLION)
Commodity Name 2001-02 2006-07
Non-ferrous metals 5.3 73.9
Electrical machinery 0.1 41.8
Manufactures of metals 0.3 39.4
Spices 26.1 28.5
Non metalic mineral manufactures excluding pearls 1.6 24.9
Natural rubber 0.5 15.6
Paper board & manufactures 1.4 15.0
Metaliferrous ores & metal scrap 4.9 11.6
Pulp & waste paper 3.0 11.6
Non-electrical machinery 1.0 11.4
Other commodities 23.4 196.5
All Commodities 67.6 470.2
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI

commodities such as copper talks between the two sides that


and pepper). saw restrictions on Ceylon tea
exports too being lifted.
 Exploitation of duty differentials
that may harm Indian producers  To arrive at an agreement on
(there is a concern that the Comprehensive Economic
vanaspati plants being set up in Partnership Agreement (CEPA).
Sri Lanka will have an adverse
impact on the Indian vanaspati INDIA AND THAILAND
industry. Duty on palm oil Thailand is an important trading
imports in Sri Lanka is zero as partner of India in South East Asia.
against 65% in India) are also Though India’s total trade with
a matter of concern. Thailand as a percentage of India’s
 In the latest trade talks between total global trade accounts for a
the two countries, India has modest 1% in 2006-07, and the same
agreed to lift restrictions relating is true from Thailand’s point of view
to fabric origins on duty free as well, Thailand continue to remain
Sri Lankan apparel exports to an important trading partner for
the Indian market. The recent India due to its strategic location
agreement on fabric was part right at the heart of Asia. It serves
of a wider deal during the last as a gateway to Southeast Asia and

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the Greater Mekong sub-region, Table 4.11 and Chart 4.4 show the
where newly emerging markets offer recent trend in Indo-Thailand trade.
great business potential.
Though it is seen that the present
The amount of India’s total level of India-Thailand trade is low,
exports to Thailand, in 2001-02, it is increasing over time. India’s total
amounted to US$ 0.64 billion while trade with Thailand has increased
the corresponding value of India’s especially since 2002-03 during which
imports from Thailand was US$ 0.42 the framework agreement for a free
billion. By 2006-07, the exports have trade agreement between the two
crossed over US$ 1.4 billion and countries was signed. Imports from
imports over US$ 1.7 billion. The Thailand have been increasing at a

Table 4.11:
TRENDS IN INDIA-THAILAND TRADE
Year Exports % growth Imports % growth Total % growth
(US$ bn) (US$ bn) (US$ bn)
2001-02 0.64 - 0.42 - 1.06 -
2002-03 0.71 12.22 0.38 -10.51 1.09 3.11
2003-04 0.83 16.79 0.61 60.49 1.44 31.98
2004-05 0.90 8.26 0.87 42.01 1.77 22.53
2005-06 1.08 19.33 1.21 39.96 2.29 29.44
2006-07 1.44 34.17 1.74 43.68 3.18 39.21
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI

Chart 4.4:
TRENDS IN INDIA-THAILAND TRADE

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faster rate than the increase in exports. of India’s total export to Thailand. The
India has enjoyed a trade surplus since reduction in tariff will give more
2001-02 to 2004-05 after which export opportunities for India. The
imports have been more other main items of export include
predominant. Thailand’s import petroleum products, non-ferrous
demands are high and India has great metals, oil meals, primary & semi-
capacity to meet export supply for a finished iron & steel (refer Table 4.12).
large number of commodities of Export of petroleum products has
Thailand’s import demands. Indian recorded a robust growth since 2001-
business can also take the advantage 02. Exports of cotton raw have also
of Thailand’s liberal attitude towards seen a sharp increase since 2001-02
foreign investment as the Thai increasing from a mere US$ 0.05
government recognises the important million to more than US$ 65 million
contribution of foreign investment to in 2006-07. Other items, which have
the domestic economy. shown a good performance in
export’s growth, include transport
Sectoral performance equipment, and non ferrous metals.
Thailand’s export basket to India is India’s total exports to Thailand have
diversified, while India’s export grown at a CAGR of 17% during 2001-
basket to Thailand is relatively 02 to 2006-07. After the framework
skewed and is dominated by gems & agreement with Thailand in October
jewellery accounting for around 23% 2003, the exports have grown at a
Table 4.12:
TREND IN TOP 10 EXPORT ITEMS FROM INDIA TO THAILAND
(US$ MILLION)
Commodity Name 2001-02 2003-04 2006-07
Gems & jewellery 238.2 202.2 339.8
Petroleum products 0.6 17.7 178.3
Non-ferrous metals 11.8 43.4 125.2
Oil meals 73.4 59.9 80.6
Primary & semi-finished iron & steel 39.9 110.9 79.1
Machinery & instruments 19.6 38.8 68.7
Cotton raw including waste 0.1 7.8 65.7
Drugs, pharmaceuticals & fine chemicals 31.8 51.7 62.1
Transport equipment 7.5 15.6 54.0
Inorganic/organic/agro chemicals 39.0 33.7 51.7
Other commodities 173.1 250.6 337.4
All Commodities 635.0 832.3 1442.5
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI

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CAGR of 20% during 2003-04 to the framework agreement was signed


2006-07. between the two nations.
As far as imports from Thailand
are concerned, electronic goods, non- Recent Developments and
electrical machinery, artificial resins, Some Important Issues
plastic material etc. are the main items  Thailand has expressed
that come into India (Table 4.13). optimism over the agreed target
Electronic goods comprise around of India-Thailand trade of US$
18% of India’s total imports from 4 billion by end of 2007 being
Thailand and non electrical machinery achieved. Indian industry groups
around 16%. It is interesting to note too expect total trade to reach
that the total imports from Thailand US$ 7 billion by 2010.
have grown at a compounded annual
growth rate of 32% between 2001-02  Thailand has sought more
and 2006-07, as compared to 42% Indian investment in IT and
since 2003-04 during which the pharmaceuticals - the two areas
framework agreement was signed. in which India has proven
expertise.
Thus, an overall trend in the
growth of exports and imports  India and Thailand have already
between India and Thailand shows cut duties on 82 products,
that the growth in both exports and including fruits, vegetables,
imports has been at faster rate after wheat, diamonds and some

Table 4.13:
TREND IN TOP 10 IMPORT ITEMS FROM THAILAND TO INDIA
(US$ MILLION)
Commodity Name 2001-02 2003-04 2006-07
Electronic goods 155.7 91.6 322.5
Non-electrical machinery 52.0 114.9 273.9
Artificial resins, plastic materials etc. 27.6 53.3 129.0
Non-ferrous metals 6.5 13.4 88.6
Iron & steel 14.5 21.4 87.0
Organic chemicals 9.2 13.8 71.8
Electrical machinery 11.1 26.6 63.5
Transport equipment 2.6 28.7 60.1
Natural rubber 10.6 13.8 60.0
Other textile yarn, fabrics, madeups articles 14.9 31.2 54.2
Other commodities 119.8 200.8 530.0
All Commodities 424.4 609.5 1740.5
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI

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metals, under a framework the period. Seven of the top 10


agreement that came into items imported from Thailand in
operation in September 2004. terms of value have shown a
India and Thailand are aiming growth of above 45% in 2005-
to abolish duties on goods 06, compared to only dyes
traded between the two intermediates & coal tar
countries by 2010. chemicals having grown above
an impressive 45% among the
 According to government
sources, Thailand wants greater exported commodities.
market access in natural rubber,  High rates of taxes and duties,
being a major exporter of the low labour productivity and
product. However, natural procedural complexities are
rubber is expected to be a part impacting the competitiveness
of India’s negative list. In the of Indian industries.
negotiations on goods, India has
 India needs to improve the
agreed to eliminate tariff on
quality of infrastructure facilities
more than 4,000 products in a
with a view to become more
phased manner, while 500
others will be in the sensitive competitive vis-à-vis imports
list, which will see partial duty from Thailand.
cuts, over a period of time.
Nearly 500 other items in the INDIA AND BIMSTEC
negative list will not be subject The following Table 4.14 and Chart
to any tariff cut, so as to protect 4.5 present the recent trend in India-
the interests of the domestic BIMSTEC trade.
industry.
The chart presents an interesting
 Thailand, which used to run a picture of the trade pattern of India
deficit in its trade with India, with BIMSTEC since 2001-02. India’s
has registered a $140-million total trade has steadily risen since
trade surplus in 2005-06, even 2002-03 owing to the sharp increase
before tariffs on 82 items in India’s exports to BIMSTEC
covered under the scheme were countries. The exports have grown
brought to zero. steadily since 2004-05, subsequent to
 Overall, the balance of trade has the signing of the framework
tilted in favour of Thailand with agreement between BIMSTEC and
India’s exports growing at an India. The value of India’s exports to
average of 14% for the past 3 BIMSTEC has increased from US$ 2.56
years since 2003 and Indian billion in 2001-02 to US$ 6.45 billion
imports growing at 42% during in 2006-07 at a CAGR of 20%. Imports

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Table 4.14:
TRENDS IN INDIA-BIMSTEC TRADE
Year Exports % growth Imports % growth Total % growth
(US$ bn) (US$ bn) (US$ bn)
2001-02 2.6 - 1.3 - 3.9 -
2002-03 3.3 28.3 1.2 -9.5 4.5 15.5
2003-04 4.7 44.7 1.6 37.7 6.4 42.8
2004-05 4.9 3.0 2.1 30.4 7.0 10.0
2005-06 5.8 19.4 2.9 36.9 8.7 24.7
2006-07 6.5 10.6 3.7 25.9 10.1 15.7
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI

Chart 4.5:
TRENDS IN INDIA-BIMSTEC TRADE

have been steady over the period metals and petroleum products. The
being US$ 3.66 billion in 2006-07. imports from Bhutan to India
amounted to US$141 million in 2006-
As far as India’s relation with
07 and primarily include non-ferrous
Bhutan is concerned the total trade
metals, edible vegetable oils, primary
though has been very low, it has been
steel, pig iron based items, iron & steel
increasing over time from US$ 31
and inorganic chemicals.
million in 2001-02 to around US$ 200
million in 2006-07. The export basket With regard to India’s trade
from India to Bhutan mainly relation with Nepal, India enjoys a
comprises machinery & instruments, favourable trade balance which has
transport equipment, manufactures of been consistently increasing in India’s

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favour over the period. The trade of Myanmar to India is concentrated


surplus has been around US$ 625 in few items such as pulses and wood
million in 2006-07. The main items of & wood products, which account for
import to India from Nepal include about 80% of the total exports from
iron & steel, manmade filament, spun Myanmar to India. India has already
yarn, chemical material & products, given preferential tariff, for most of
essential oil & cosmetic preparations, these items, to Myanmar. On the other
other textile yarn, fabrics etc. India’s hand, India’s export basket to
export basket to Nepal is dominated Myanmar mainly comprises of
by petroleum products, constituting
primary & semi-finished iron & steel,
around 40% of India exports to Nepal.
drugs, pharmaceuticals & fine
The other commodities include
chemicals, manufactures of metals,
transport equipment, drugs,
pharmaceuticals & fine chemicals, machinery & instruments,
glass & glassware, ceramics, cement, manufactured rubber products, plastic
machinery & instruments, non- & linoleum products, transport
basmati rice. equipment.

In case of Bangladesh it is noticed India’s exports to both


that India has huge trade surplus Bangladesh and Myanmar have seen
being more than US$ 1.4 billion in a decent increase over the past five
2006-07. Bangladesh’s exports to years (refer Table 4.15). Most
India are concentrated in very few prominent commodities in the export
commodities like inorganic chemicals, basket include cotton yarn fabrics
manufactured fertilizers, and raw jute. madeups, drugs, pharmaceuticals &
The main items of export to fine chemicals and fresh vegetables.
Bangladesh include cotton yarn
fabrics, cereals, sugar, transport Though the magnitude of imports
equipment etc. In this context, it from Bangladesh and Myanmar to
should be remembered that India has India has been low, imports have
already given tariff concessions on a been steadily increasing over the
large number of items/lines to period (see Table 4.16). Inorganic
Bangladesh, as a part of SAPTA chemicals, manufactured fertilizers
process. and raw jute comprise the main
import items to India.
India has been maintaning a
consistent trade deficit with Myanmar India has export competitiveness
since 2001-02. The amount of deficit in a large number of commodities as
is quite significant and it has been compared to other BIMSTEC
continuing for last couple of years. countries and there exists a great
The gap was to the tune of US$ 638 scope and capacity for India to
million in 2006-07. The export basket penetrate the markets of other

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Table 4.15:
TREND IN TOP 10 EXPORT ITEMS FROM INDIA TO BIMSTEC17
(US$ MILLION)
Commodity Name 2001-02 2006-07
Cotton yarn fabrics madeups etc. 166.9 227.3
Drugs, pharmaceuticals & fine chemicals 37.5 102.5
Fresh vegetables 16.7 70.8
Machinery & instruments 78.9 67.7
Coal 42.5 57.8
Manmade yarn fabrics madeups 16.1 48.9
Cotton raw including waste 0.4 45.8
Manufactures of metals 38.1 45.1
Electronic goods 27.6 43.8
Fresh fruits 24.4 31.8
Other Commodities 617.2 1025.0
All Commodities 1066.2 1766.6
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI

Table 4.16:
TREND IN TOP TEN IMPORT ITEMS FROM BIMSTEC TO INDIA
(US$ MILLION)
Commodity Name 2001-02 2006-07
Inorganic chemicals 15.1 41.5
Fertiliser manufactured 1.8 29.9
Jute raw 18.5 24.9
Madeup textile articles 9.5 19.3
Electrical machinery 0.6 12.5
Metaliferrous ores & metal scrap 0.1 7.6
Fruits & nuts 1.6 5.5
Leather 1.5 3.6
Cotton raw: combed/uncombed/waste 1.1 2.4
Cement - 1.4
Other Commodities 385.0 857.0
All Commodities 434.8 1005.6
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI

17 In our analysis in Table 4.15 and 4.16 BIMSTEC includes only Bangladesh
and Myanmar (Burma). Other nations have not been included here as they
have been analysed separately.

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BIMSTEC countries. However, lack of up to more than US 2.29 billion in


basic infrastructure in the region, in 2006-07 from US$ 0.59 billion in 2005-
particular transportation and 06. The aggregate Indian exports have
communication linkages, act as a remained subdued over the period,
bottleneck to the development of but nevertheless, have been growing.
trade and development. As a result, India is experiencing trade
deficit from the year 2001-02 onwards
INDIA AND CHILE and it has been widening. The imports
India and Chile entered into a from Chile rose from US$ 0.1 billion
Preferential Trade Agreement (PTA) in 2001-02 to US$ 1.92 billion in 2006-
on March 9, 2006. This is the first 07. It is interesting to note that among
such agreement between India and all the countries in the Latin American
an individual Latin American and Caribbean region, Chile has
country. The PTA between both emerged as the main sources of
countries is expected to increase
imports to India. It is expected that
bilateral trade and investment. The
the introduction of preferential trade
PTA is expected to be the first step
agreement between India and Chile
towards an India-Chile free trade
agreement (FTA). It would enable may lead to increase in bilateral trade
India to better use raw materials due to tariff reduction. The following
from South America and gain access Table 4.17 and Chart 4.6 presents the
into the vast markets in the trend in India-Chile trade.
continent. As indicated above, India’s total
The total trade has been rising exports to Chile have been relatively
steadily from 2001-02 to 2006-07. low. The main items of export from
Owing to the sharp increase in India to Chile include marine
imports from Chile, the total trade shot products, iron ore, raw cotton and

Table 4.17:
TRENDS IN INDIA-CHILE TRADE
Year Exports % growth Imports % growth Total % growth
(US$ bn) (US$ bn) (US$ bn)
2001-02 0.08 - 0.10 - 0.18 -
2002-03 0.07 -13.45 0.17 76.33 0.24 34.35
2003-04 0.08 14.96 0.16 -6.44 0.24 0.00
2004-05 0.11 33.80 0.35 120.24 0.46 90.31
2005-06 0.15 36.86 0.43 25.77 0.59 28.47
2006-07 0.37 146.49 1.92 341.40 2.29 290.85
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI

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Chart 4.6:
TRENDS IN INDIA-CHILE TRADE

ores & minerals (refer table 4.18). The 146% during the last year after the
exports have grown at a CAGR of 16% PTA was signed between the two
during the period 2001-02 to 2005- nations.
06, compared to the growth rate of
Table 4.18:
TREND IN TOP 10 EXPORT ITEMS FROM INDIA TO CHILE
(US$ MILLION)
Commodity Name 2001-02 2005-06 2006-07
Marine products 2.7 0 84.9
Iron ore 6.0 - 40.0
Cotton raw including waste - 0.1 34.7
Other ores & minerals 0.3 0.01 31.4
Transport equipment 3.9 12.3 23.6
Machinery & instruments 3.1 18.7 23.1
Drugs, pharmaceuticals & fine chemicals 6.7 16.3 15.6
Cotton yarn fabrics madeups etc. 9.1 13.8 14.3
Primary & semi-finished iron & steel 1.5 3.4 12.3
Manufactures of metals 5.7 8.4 9.8
Other Commodities 44.4 79.4 83.5
All Commodities 83.5 152.1 375.0
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI

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An observation of table 4.19 is investment worthy and thus Indian


reveals that Imports from Chile to investors seeking overseas investment
India predominantly consists of should be encouraged to invest in this
metaliferrous ores & metal scrap, country.
which accounts for 96% of total
imports in 2006-07 from Chile to India, INDIA AND GCC
compared to 86% share during the India’s negotiations with GCC to
previous year. explore the possibility of a free
It is believed that the success of trade agreement have opened many
the preferential trade agreement trade opportunities for India in the
depends on phasing out of barriers West Asian region. The following
by Chile. Moreover, due to low labour Table 4.20 and Chart 4.7 presents
costs and a good infrastructure, Chile the trend in India-GCC trade.

Table 4.19:
TREND IN TOP 10 IMPORT ITEMS FROM CHILE TO INDIA
(US$ MILLION)
Commodity Name 2001-02 2005-06 2006-07
Metaliferrous ores & metal scrap 86.2 373.3 1843.3
Inorganic chemicals 4.1 31.6 36.9
Newsprint - 5.8 5.1
Fruits & nuts 0.2 3.4 5.0
Non-ferrous metals - 0.5 3.6
Artificial resins, plastic materials etc. - 0.1 3.0
Electronic goods - 0.1 2.0
Petroleum crude & products - - 1.5
Organic chemicals 0.2 0.03 1.0
All Commodities 95.07 434.4 1917.6
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI

Table 4.20:
TRENDS IN INDIA-GCC TRADE
Year Exports % growth Imports % growth Total % growth
(US$ bn) (US$ bn) (US$ bn)
2001-02 3.81 - 1.69 - 5.5 -
2002-03 4.92 29.23 1.89 11.88 6.81 23.82
2003-04 7.07 43.66 3.25 71.94 10.32 51.54
2004-05 9.81 38.73 7.06 116.93 16.87 63.47
2005-06 11.77 20.01 7.80 10.53 19.57 16.00
2006-07 16.34 38.76 30.99 297.15 47.33 141.85
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI

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Chart 4.7:
TRENDS IN INDIA-GCC TRADE

India’s trade with GCC has shown 4.21). Moreover, petroleum products
a steady increase from 2001-02 to and gems & jewellery together consti-
2005-06. India- GCC trade has tute around 42% of the total exports
witnessed a very sharp increase in from India to GCC. Petroleum exports
imports from GCC to India since 2005- have seen the largest increase from a
06. It is highly interesting to note that mere US$ 5 million in 2001-02 to more
this sharp rise in imports from US$ than US$ 3.7 billion in 2006-07.
19.6 billion in 2005-06 to more than
US$ 47 billion in 2006-07, immediately The main items of import to India
follows the India- GCC first round of from GCC include petroleum crude
negotiations towards an FTA held in & products, gold, pearls precious &
March 2006. This substantial increase semiprecious stones, metaliferrous
in imports has also boosted the total ores & metal scrap, organic chemicals,
trade between India and GCC. The manufactured fertilisers artificial
total trade between India and GCC resins, plastic materials and electronic
has increased from US$ 5.5 billion in goods (refer table 4.22). Petroleum
2001-02 to US$ 47.33 in 2006-07. crude & products are the most
important item of India’s imports from
India’s exports to GCC mainly GCC constituting around 80% of total
comprise of petroleum products, imports from the region. The imports
gems & jewellery, non-ferrous metals, of gold have also sharply increased
machinery & instruments and from US$ 0.2 billion in 2001-02 to
manufactures of metals (see Table more than US$ 1.6 billion in 2006-07.

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Table 4.21:
TREND IN TOP 10 EXPORT ITEMS FROM INDIA TO GCC
(US$ MILLION)
Commodity Name 2001-02 2006-07
Petroleum products 5.9 3705.0
Gems & jewellery 558.7 3213.0
Non-ferrous metals 49.9 1087.8
Machinery & instruments 176.9 966.3
Manufactures of metals 264.3 854.1
Manmade yarn fabrics madeups 295.6 485.0
Basmati rice 279.2 418.5
Plastic & linoleum products 111.0 315.2
Electronic goods 63.5 238.2
Cotton yarn fabrics madeups etc. 125.1 158.3
Other Commodities 1879.3 4895.4
All Commodities 3809.4 16336.7
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI

Table 4.22
TREND IN TOP 10 IMPORT ITEMS FROM GCC TO INDIA
(US$ MILLION)
Commodity Name 2001-02 2006-07
Petroleum crude & products - 24807.8
Gold 248.5 1633.0
Pearls precious & semiprecious stones 248.5 732.5
Metaliferrous ores & metal scrap 143.9 700.3
Organic chemicals 162.9 620.1
Fertiliser manufactured 12.2 421.3
Artificial resins, plastic materials etc. 67.4 323.7
Electronic goods 10.8 315.1
Inorganic chemicals 105.7 291.9
Transport equipment 12.7 291.6
Other Commodities 679.4 856.1
All Commodities 1692.0 30993.2
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI

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Recent Developments include: mineral fuels and oils,


The Prime Minister’s Trade and bituminous substances, mineral
Economic Relations Committee waxes, other petroleum oils, cotton
which met in the first week of July yarn, fabrics, made-ups, man-made
2007 discussed negotiations on the yarn, and fabrics, drugs,
proposed trade agreement with the pharmaceuticals & fine chemicals.
Gulf countries and felt that the The imports from Mauritius to
Indian petrochemical industry could India have been relatively low.
be adversely impacted as imports However, the aggregate of imports
of refined petroleum could possibly from Mauritius doubled from US$ 7.33
have a negative impact on the million in 2005-06 to US$ 14.51 million
Indian petrochemical industry, in the in 2006-07. The main items of imports
long run. from Mauritius include: iron and steel,
electrical machinery and equipment
INDIA AND MAURITIUS and parts thereof, sound recorders
India’s trade with Mauritius is in and reproducers, television image and
favour of India, as India has much sound recorders other waste and
diversified export relation with scrap, machinery and mechanical
Mauritius. The imports on the other appliances.
hand from Mauritius are almost
Thus, introduction of preferential
negligible. The Table 4.23 and Chart
trade agreement with Mauritius may
4.8 present the recent trend in India-
Mauritius trade. The aggregate of lead to increase in trade.
exports to Mauritius amounted to US$
163 million in 2001-02 and increased Some Important issues
to US$ 736 million in 2006-07. The  Mauritius, with a population of
important export items to Mauritius just 1.25 mn, offers a limited
Table 4.23:
TRENDS IN INDIA-MAURITIUS TRADE
Year Exports % growth Imports % growth Total % growth
(US$ mn) (US$ mn) (US$ mn)
2001-02 163.4 - 3.3 - 166.7 -
2002-03 164.7 0.80 16.2 394.50 180.9 8.52
2003-04 203.2 23.36 7.6 -53.31 210.7 16.50
2004-05 258.0 27.04 7.2 -4.90 265.3 25.89
2005-06 199.4 -22.74 7.3 2.09 206.7 -22.06
2006-07 735.9 269.02 14.5 97.82 750.4 262.95
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI

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Chart 4.8:
TRENDS IN INDIA-MAURITIUS TRADE

market to Indian industries. An Therefore, Mauritius could be


agreement between the two viewed as a promising manufacturing
nations could prove to be more hub to explore the market of the
beneficial to Mauritius due to region.
large number of opportunities
provided by the Indian market. INDIA AND SACU
However, with an agreement with India’s trade relations with SACU
Mauritius, India could possibly have been growing over the period.
explore avenues of trade with The total trade between India and
SADC and COMESA, blocs in SACU has seen an increase from
which Mauritius is a member. US$ 1.8 billion in 2001-02 to US$ 4.8
billion in 2006-07 (see table 4.24).
Table 4.24:
TRENDS IN INDIA-SACU TRADE
Year Exports % growth Imports % growth Total % growth
(US$ bn) (US$ bn) (US$ bn)
2001-02 0.4 - 1.4 - 1.8 -
2002-03 0.5 25.0 2.1 50.0 2.6 44.4
2003-04 0.6 20.0 1.9 -9.5 2.5 -3.8
2004-05 1.0 66.7 2.2 15.8 3.2 28.0
2005-06 1.6 60.0 2.5 13.6 4.1 28.1
2006-07 2.3 43.8 2.5 0.0 4.8 17.1
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI

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Chart 4.9:
TRENDS IN INDIA-SACU TRADE

An analysis of Chart 4.9 reveals from US$ 1.3 billion in 2003-04 to US$
that, India’s imports from SACU have 0.2 billion in 2006-07. The main items
dominated the total trade between in India’s export basket to SACU
India and SACU. However, India’s include petroleum products, transport
exports too caught up pace since equipment, electronic goods, and
2003-04 increasing from US$ 0.6 primary & semi-finished iron & steel.
The exports of petroleum products
billion in 2003-04 to US$ 2.3 billion
from India rose from US$ 0.03 million
in 2006-07. Imports rose from
in 2001-02 to US$ 793 million in 2006-
US$ 1.4 billion in 2001-02 to US$ 2.5 07. As far as imports are concerned,
billion in 2006-07. As a result of the the main import items from SACU into
increase in exports from India to India include pearls and precious
SACU the trade deficit has been stones, chemicals, ores, iron & steel
reducing in India’s favour at a fast rate and electrical machinery.

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5. EMERGING TRENDS IN RTAs

In the previous chapters, an As discussed earlier, most of the


analysis of the trends in the regional trade agreements have
proliferation of regional trade entered into force only after the dawn
agreements across the globe over a of the new millennium, accounting
period of time and especially since for about 60% of all the RTAs notified
2000 has been attempted along with to WTO and entering into force. Of
the factors that led to their all the bilateral RTAs entering into
proliferation, the emergence of force since 2000, 46% of the
various trade blocs and their trade agreements have been between
performance, the pattern of developing and developed countries,
engagement by countries in free trade followed by agreements between
agreements in different regions of the developing and developing countries
world and the impact that regional which account for about 39% of all
the agreements (refer Table 5.1 and
trade agreements has had on the trade
Chart 5.1).
performance of select major countries
engaged in most number of RTAs. It An interesting point that can be
is now pertinent to analyse the very noted here is that the growth in the
nature of these trade agreements. present decade is in complete contrast

Table 5.1:
TRENDS IN ENGAGEMENT IN RTAs BASED ON
THE NATURE OF AGREEMENT18
Nature of Agreement/ Developing- Developing- Developed-
Time Period Developing Developed Developed
2000-2007 (July) 42 51 16
1995- 1999 (Dec) 20 10 0
SOURCE: WTO

18 The classification of countries as ‘Developed’ and ‘Developing’ is based on


the classification done by IMF in Direction of Trade Statistics. For our
analysis in this section of the study, Singapore and Korea have also been
considered as developed nations due to the high level of their economic
performance, trend in growth and GDP, comparable to other developed
countries.

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Chart 5.1:
% SHARE OF AGREEMENTS ENTERING INTO FORCE
(BASED UPON THE NATURE OF AGREEMENT)

SOURCE: WTO

to the trend depicted during the last have also evinced keen interest in
five years prior to 2000. During the agreements with developing countries
period 1995 to 1999, of all the bilateral as depicted by the increasing share
agreements, those among developing of agreements between the
countries accounted for around 67% developing and the developed
of all the RTAs (refer to Chart 5.1). countries from 1995-1999 to 2000-
Agreements between the developing 2007. Developed countries could be
and developed countries accounted more interested in targeting the
for only 33%. This reflects the growing cheaper, less sophisticated and ‘easy
interest among developing countries to approach’ markets with their
to engage in agreements with more engagement in preferential
developed nations to gain access to agreements with developing
the larger and more potential markets countries.
and benefit from the immense trade
opportunities inherent in these A further in-depth year wise
markets. It is also very interesting to investigation of the nature of
note that no trade agreements were agreements entered into force since
entered into among the developed 2000, reveals a subtle and gradual shift
countries during 1995-1999. The trade in the interest among developing
agreements among the developed countries to engage in agreements
countries themselves accounted for with developed countries (refer Chart
around 15% of the total agreements 5.2). This gradual shift has been
during 2000-2007. The trend in the particularly noticed since 2004, prior
nature of engagement in RTAs by to which developing countries were
developed countries reveals that more interested in engaging in
developed countries apart from agreements with similar developing
striking accords among themselves countries. For example in 2005, in

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Chart 5.2:
YEAR WISE DISTRIBUTION OF AGREEMENTS
(BASED UPON THE NATURE OF AGREEMENT)

SOURCE: WTO

comparison to 13 agreements has been an array of initiatives in


between developed and developing regional cooperation across the
countries, only 2 agreements took globe. Major Asian economies too
place between developing countries. have rapidly embraced regionalism
This also clearly reflects the interest in the course of the past decade,
among developed countries to engage which has led to the proliferation
in bilateral agreements with of several regional trading
developing countries subsequent to agreements involving most of the
the erosion of their confidence in Asian economies. However,
multilateralism. regionalism is still in its infancy in
Asia. Nevertheless, Asia too is
EMERGING REGIONALISM IN making its presence felt in the
ASIA global scene with the emergence of
Regional cooperation is becoming significant trade blocs like ASEAN,
increasingly important in today’s which contributed to around 27.4%
economic growth. Recognising the of Asia’s global trade in 2005, and
potential for greater regional rapidly growing economies like
cooperation for development, there China, Korea and India. The recent

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interest shown by Japan in and prosperity of the region and


regionalism, with its involvement in acting as engines of growth for Asia.
trade agreements with Singapore, In order to establish a peaceful,
Mexico and Malaysia, has further stable, progressive and prosperous
boosted the prospects of Asia to East Asian regional environment
emerge as a major player in through mutual solidarity, it was
regionalism. decided to establish the ‘ASEAN plus
Three’ (APT). It was envisaged that
Asia has made tremendous the mutual cooperation and
progress in the last four decades. Asia integration between ASEAN and the
has moved from being a region with three East Asian countries would
per capita income less than that of promote greater dialogue with
Africa in the 1960s to a region which collective efforts to both harness
now accounts for 24% of global GDP opportunities and meet the
establishing itself as a vibrant challenges posed by a fast-changing
economic region of the world. and globalising world.
The trade within the Asian region The ASEAN Plus Three
is also relatively significant implying cooperation began in December 1997
that many countries in the region are with the convention of an informal
keen to trade with each other. This Summit among the Leaders of ASEAN
has been primarily the outcome of and their counterparts from East Asia,
several trading blocs and regional namely China, Japan and the Republic
trading agreements that came into of Korea (RoK).
force in the region. It was agreed among the
This section particularly deals economies to strengthen efforts to
with major emerging RTAs involving accelerate trade, investments, and
ASEAN, which aim at integration of technology transfer. Technical
ASEAN with China, Japan, Korea and cooperation in information
India. These include the ‘ASEAN plus technology, promotion of industrial
three’, ASEAN-China FTA (ACFTA), and agricultural cooperation,
ASEAN-Japan Closer Economic strengthening of SMEs, promotion of
tourism, encouraging active
Partnership (CEP) Agreement,
participation in the development of
ASEAN- Korea FTA (AKFTA), and
growth areas in East Asia, including
ASEAN-India FTA (AIFTA).
the Mekong River Basin are other
areas of mutual cooperation. The
ASEAN plus Three economies decided to continue
As discussed above, ASEAN, China, structural reforms to strengthen
Japan, Korea and India are the cooperation since these are essential
leading economies in Asia which are to sustain economic growth and
promoting economic development indispensable safeguards against the

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recurrence of economic crises in East China and Thailand; (c) establishment


Asia. of an East Asia Forum (EAF) by Korea
The ASEAN Plus Three process and Malaysia; and (d) formation of
was institutionalised in 1999 when the an East Asia Business Council (EABC)
by Malaysia. Some measures have
leaders issued a Joint Statement on
been implemented through ASEAN
East Asia Cooperation during the 3rd
Plus Three sectoral cooperation, such
ASEAN Plus Three Summit in Manila.
as to establish GSP status and
The ASEAN Plus Three Leaders
preferential treatment for the least
expressed greater resolve and developed countries and
confidence in further strengthening strengthening of mechanisms for
and deepening East Asia cooperation cooperation on non-traditional
at various levels and in various areas, security issues.
particularly in economic, social,
political, and other fields. The Report Closer interaction among the
of the East Asia Vision Group (EAVG) ASEAN plus three countries has had
of 2001 and the Report of the East a positive impact on global trade.
Asia Study Group (EASG) of 2002 Value of total trade of ASEAN Plus
were key documents that have been Three Countries reached US$ 4.3
trillion in 2005. The effects of a
adopted towards the implementation
successful ASEAN Plus Three FTA, if
of ASEAN Plus Three cooperation.
realised, would be significant for
Since the adoption of the EASG’s international trade. APT would join
Final Report in 2002, all EASG short- the European Union (EU) and the
term measures have been taken up North American Free Trade Area
by the ASEAN Plus Three Countries. (NAFTA) as one of three major
The ASEAN Plus Three Countries have regional trading blocs.
agreed to implement all the short-term Under the ASEAN Plus Three
measures by 2007. process there are 48 mechanisms,
Four Short-term measures have coordinating 16 areas of ASEAN Plus
been implemented which include (a) Three cooperation, comprising
implementation of a comprehensive economic, monetary and finance,
human resources development political and security, tourism,
programme for East Asia by agriculture, environment, energy, and
establishing the ASEAN Plus Three information communication
technology.
Study Group on Facilitation and
Promotion of Exchange of People and In order to assist the ASEAN Plus
Human Resources Development by Three Co-chairs to coordinate and
Japan; (b) building of a Network of monitor ASEAN Plus Three
East Asia Think-Tanks (NEAT) by cooperation the ASEAN Plus Three

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Unit was established at the ASEAN adjustment by newer members. The


Secretariat in December 2003. Since “early harvest” clause constitutes a
the conceptualisation of ASEAN plus very important feature of the
Three, ASEAN has also been agreement, which ensures reduction
bilaterally engaging in negotiations of tariffs on especially agricultural
with China, Japan, Korea and India products by ASEAN and China within
to pursue free trade arrangements. a span of three years.
These arrangements will serve as the
building blocks for a possible Through closer interaction among
establishment of a Pan Asia Free ASEAN countries and China, due to
Trade Area to closely integrate the the establishment of the free trade
Asian community in the long run. agreement, mutual economic
interdependence is further believed
ASEAN-China FTA (ACFTA) to enhance and strengthen. ASEAN’s
total trade with China amounted to
The ACFTA, which entered into
US$ 113.4 billion in 2005 accounting
force in July 2003, is China’s first
for 9.3% of ASEAN’s global trade. The
initiative in regional trade
agreements since its membership to impact of the trade agreement,
WTO. Its significance to regionalism however, could vary for each ASAEN
in Asia can be gauged from the fact member based upon the economic
that it would be one of the largest structure and composition of trade
FTAs ever negotiated, in terms of basket. Nevertheless, owing to the
magnitude, countries involved and immense size of the economic trade
size of economies. The FTA involves agreement between China and
around 1.8 billion people, with a ASEAN, it is certain to have a
combined GDP of over US$ 3.3 significant impact on the world
trillion, in 2006. economy further boosting Asia’s share
in world trade and promoting better
The concept of an ACFTA was
regional economic integration.
first envisaged during the ASEAN-
China Summit held in November 2001 The ACFTA negotiates
and subsequently the Framework liberalisation of services and
Agreement for this FTA was investment, apart from trade in goods.
developed in Cambodia during the Agriculture, information and
ASEAN Summit in 2002. It is proposed communication technology (ICT),
to establish the ACFTA in goods for human resource development (HRD),
the founding ASEAN members investment and the Mekong River
(ASEAN-5)19, and Brunei, by 2010, and basin development were identified as
that for the newer members (i.e. the priority sectors in the agreement.
Cambodia, Myanmar, Laos and The FTA also focuses on
Vietnam) by 2015, to facilitate implementation of capacity building

19 ASEAN-5 include: Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore and Thailand.

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programmes and provision of Summit in Cambodia. It was


technical assistance for newer ASEAN mutually agreed to establish a Free
members. Trade Area (FTA) to foster economic
cooperation within a period of ten
With the establishment of the
years, considering the different
trade agreement between ASEAN and
levels of economic development and
China, the countries involved in the
sensitive sectors of each of the
agreement are perceived to mutually
benefit to a great extent in terms of member countries involved in this
reduced transaction costs and efficient agreement. To facilitate better
procurement of product components adjustment by newer ASEAN
in the region, especially benefiting all members, Japan would also provide
countries involved in regional special and differential treatment to
production network along with China. these countries. It was also
The FTA also contributes to greater proposed to conclude the
regional stability besides offering negotiations on the AJCEP by 2007.
more systematic channels to dispute The CEP lays special emphasis on
settlement. cooperation in areas of financial
services, information and
ASEAN-Japan Closer Economic communications technology, human
Partnership (AJCEP) resource development, small and
ASEAN and Japan continue to be medium enterprises, tourism,
important trading partners in Asia. transport, energy, food security, trade
In addition to being one of the most and investment liberalisation, customs
important economic partners of procedures, non-tariff measures and
ASEAN, Japan is a major contributor standards and conformance.
to development cooperation
activities in ASEAN. It has also been During the ASEAN-Japan summit
providing technical assistance to meeting in Bali in October 2003, the
ASEAN through several programmes Framework Agreement for the CEP
and channels, over the period. In was signed between the countries to
order to further strengthen bilateral enhance liberalisation of trade in
cooperation and regional integration, goods and services and investment.
a closer economic Partnership Subsequent meetings also negotiated
between them was envisaged. The issues pertaining to ASEAN-Japan
Joint Declaration on the cumulative rules of origin, customs
Comprehensive Economic classification and collecting and
Partnership (CEP) between ASEAN analyzing trade and custom data. The
and Japan was signed on November framework agreement also facilitates
5, 2002 during the ASEAN-Japan negotiations on a bilateral basis

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pertaining to liberalisation the commitment of both sides to


concessions by other countries that develop an enduring and
were not part of the bilateral comprehensive partnership in the 21st
Economic Partnership Agreement century.
(EPA) with Japan. These negotiations In terms of trade, in 2005,
would remain intact even for ASEAN- ASEAN’s exports to Japan stood at
Japan CEP. US$ 72.7 billion, accounting for 11.2%
The CEP agreement also aims to of its total exports to the world.
open up new opportunities for Imports from Japan amounted US$ 81
billion or 14% of its total imports from
investment by creating enhanced
the world. ASEAN and Japan
business and trade opportunities for
represent a market of around
both ASEAN and Japan. This
695million people (approximately
immensely potential strategic 10% of the total world population),
economic partnership agreement is and a total GDP of around US$ 5.4
also expected to bring about greater trillion (approximately 12% of global
stability and prosperity to the region. GDP).
It is also pertinent to note that Japan
has already put in place an FTA with ASEAN-KOREA FTA (AKFTA)
Singapore in 2002 and has recently
A further boost was given to the
signed an FTA with Malaysia in 2006.
emerging regionalism in Asia with
It is also pursuing negotiations with
the increasing cooperation between
Thailand, Philippines and Vietnam for ASEAN and Korea, two very
bilateral FTA deals. Thus, Japan has important and major trading
already taken steps to enhance members in Asia. ASEAN and Korea
economic integration with ASEAN have also been important trading
members. The CEP could become an partners to one another. In 2005,
overarching framework for economic exports of ASEAN to Korea were
cooperation between Japan and worth US$ 24.36 billion accounting
ASEAN as a regional group. for around 4% of ASEAN’s total
global exports, and imports from
The relations have been further
Korea to the tune of US$ 23.6 bn,
enhanced and strengthened by the which accounted for 4.1% of
signing of the ‘Tokyo Declaration for ASEAN’s total imports from the
the Dynamic and Enduring ASEAN- world.
Japan Partnership in the New
Millennium’ and the adoption of the As far as foreign investment is
‘ASEAN-Japan Plan of Action’ at the concerned, Korean investment in
ASEAN-Japan Commemorative ASEAN has generally accounted for
Summit held on 11-12 December 2003 about 3% of the total foreign direct
in Tokyo. These declarations reflect investment (FDI) flows into ASEAN

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over the period of 1995-2003. Earlier during the 4th ASEAN


However, Korea’s cumulative Informal Summit held in 2000 in
investments in ASEAN amount to US$ Singapore, ASEAN and Korea had
11 billion, which accounts for 15.2% identified information technology,
of Korea’s total FDI outflow, making human resource development,
ASEAN the third largest investment cultural exchanges, medical assistance
destination for Korean firms. To give and Mekong Basin development
a further thrust to the growing cooperation, as priority areas for
relations and to enhance the ASEAN- cooperation. Subsequently to further
RoK economic cooperation, the trade relations between the countries
leaders of ASEAN and Korea it was decided to include investment,
expressed commitment to develop a
financial services, tourism, science
comprehensive economic partnership
and technology, energy, natural
at the ASEAN-RoK Summit in October
resources and environment as other
2003 in Bali, Indonesia.
potential areas of cooperation.
Subsequently, the Framework
Agreement on Comprehensive The AKFTA provides for special
Economic Cooperation among the and differential treatment and
ASEAN member countries and Korea additional flexibility for the new
was signed on December 13, 2005 ASEAN Member viz. Cambodia, Laos,
and proposed to enter into force on Myanmar and Vietnam. The
July 1, 2006. Continuous efforts have agreement is envisaged to promote
been made since then to promote growth and development, increase
economic relations and establish an the living standard of the people
early ASEAN-Korea Free Trade Area. throughout the region and provide
Subsequent to the discussions, the further dynamic benefits to the region
Trade in Goods (TIG) Agreement was in the long term. The proposed
signed in August 2006. Efforts were cooperation is expected to further
made to include Thailand in the TIG strengthen and elevate mutual
agreement through mutual relationship to a higher and more
negotiations between Korea and comprehensive level, empowering
Thailand. Significant progress has also Asia’s stand in the global scenario.
been made since then on negotiations
pertaining to services and investment Through progressive
agreements as well. It was proposed liberalisation and elimination of tariff
during the ASEAN – Republic of Korea and non-tariff barriers to trade in
Summit held in Philippines in January goods and services, establishment of
2007, that the target date for the an open and competitive investment
finalisation of these agreements regime that facilitates and promotes
would be November 2007. investment among the member

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countries, and provision of special cultural affinity among the ASEAN


and differential treatment to the countries and India, the agreement is
parties, AKFTA would not only expected to go well beyond a
contribute to harmonious traditional FTA and prove to be a
development among the member significant, dynamic, strategic and
countries but would also expand political partnership.
world trade and provide a catalyst to India’s dynamic comparative
broader international cooperation, in advantage in the fields of information
particular within East Asia. and communication technology,
advanced technology and research in
ASEAN-India FTA agriculture, biotechnology, remote
During the First ASEAN-India sensing, pharmaceuticals and
Summit held in Cambodia in 2002, healthcare would benefit especially
India proposed the initiative to the newer ASEAN countries in
launch an ASEAN-India FTA, to improving their levels of economic
negotiate a closer economic development.
partnership agreement. The ASEAN- The early harvest programme
India FTA is to be established within provided in the framework agreement
a decade. identifies areas for collaboration and
India being one of the fastest a common list of items for preferential
growing economies in the world, tariff concessions among the
enhancement and strengthening of countries. It was proposed in the
ties and cooperation between India agreement that tariffs on imports from
and ASEAN would prove to be a major Brunei, Cambodia, Laos, Indonesia,
force of development. This initiative Malaysia, Myanmar, Singapore,
aims to enhance and promote better Thailand and Vietnam would be
economic and political cooperation eliminated by India by 2011, with
between India and the ASEAN Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar and
member countries. Vietnam (CLMV) members eliminating
tariffs for India from 2016. Tariffs
With the signing of the between India and Philippines would
Framework Agreement for a be eliminated on a reciprocal basis
Comprehensive Economic Partnership by 2016. In order to extend special
Agreement between ASEAN and India and differential treatment to the newer
during the Second ASEAN-India ASEAN members as per its
Summit in Bali in October 2003, India commitment, India has also agreed
again emphasised its commitment to to extend unilateral tariff concessions
intensify its economic relations with to the CLMV countries on a number
the Asian bloc. Due to the socio- of items.

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This agreement, once established SOME SPECIAL INITIATIVES


is expected to link India more closely As indicated earlier in the previous
with the East Asian economies, and sections of the study, engagement
give a new thrust to regionalism in any sort of a regional trade
efforts in Asia. The bilateral trade agreement is desirable; however, it
between ASEAN and India is at is not always possible to establish
present US$ 30 billion in 2006-07 up a trade agreement between two
from US$ 23 billion in 2004-05. countries due to some hindrances
Bilateral trade is likely to grow and or socio-political-economic
strengthen further with the considerations. There are a few
establishment of the FTA between the instances, in such cases, where
economies. countries like the United States and
To sum up, besides these the European Union have engaged
initiatives a number of bilateral and in trade relations with countries,
regional initiatives among the Asian outside the purview of any regional
economies are also being currently trade agreement, by granting them
negotiated. As discussed in the special privileges, concessions and
previous chapters, a number of Asian benefits. Examples of such
countries have already engaged in programmes include the Generalised
free trade agreements with a number System of Preferences (GSP), the
of countries both within and outside African Growth and Opportunity Act
the region. Singapore has been the (AGOA) and the Andean Trade
most aggressive among all Asian Preference and Drug Eradication
countries in terms of its engagement Program (ATPDEP). These special
in trade agreements. It is widely initiatives are briefly discussed in the
acknowledged that Asia will be the following section.
engine of growth for the world in near
future. United States Generalised
System of Preferences (US
The pattern of emerging GSP)
regionalism in Asia and the preceding
trends, as elaborated in the earlier The United States designed a
sections, highlights the significant proagramme to promote economic
scope for enhancing trade and growth and development especially
investment flows among the Asian in the developing countries. This
economies. The rising regionalism in programme, called the Generalised
in the region would lead to a more System of Preferences, instituted in
integrated Asia that would become 1976, provides preferential duty free
highly competitive in the global entry for more than 4650 products
economy, pushing global trade and from 143 designated beneficiary
investment to greater heights. countries and territories. This

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programme was authorised for a United States under preferential


period of 10 years under the Trade treatment.
Act of 1974 and renewed
periodically. Most recently it was European Union Generalised
renewed in 2006 for a period of two System of Preferences (EU
years. There are currently 43 least- GSP)
developed GSP beneficiary
The European Community
countries. The imports from these
implemented the GSP scheme in
beneficiary countries into U.S. under
1971, granting products imported
GSP in 2006 amounted to US$ 32.6
from the developing GSP beneficiary
billion, an increase of 22 percent
countries preferential treatment,
over 2005.
either through duty-free access or a
Products that are eligible to tariff reduction based upon specific
receive preferential treatment under arrangements. The guidelines for the
the GSP include most dutiable GSP scheme for the period 2006 -
manufactures and semi-manufactures, 2015 were adopted in 2004. In 2003,
and certain agricultural, fishery, and imports from these GSP beneficiary
primary industrial products. Products countries into EU amounted to
that are excluded from preferential US$ 52 billion. Moreover, the share
treatment and benefits are textiles of developing countries in total EU
produced with cotton, wool, imports under EU GSP increased
manmade fiber, other vegetable fiber; from 33% to 40%. It was proposed
watches; certain footwear and to extend the coverage of the
handbags; luggage; and certain silk general GSP scheme to include 300
and leather products. additional products mostly in the
agriculture and fishery sectors.
In order to ensure that the
benefits of the scheme reach the least A special incentive scheme for
developed countries, for which they sustainable development and good
are actually meant, the act specifies governance, providing preferential
some product and country specific treatment to developing countries
eligibility criteria, which among with especially lower share of EU
others, specifies that when product imports, known as the “GSP-plus” or
inputs are imported from non GSP “GSP+” incentive20 was introduced in
beneficiary countries, the product July 2005. The special incentive
must undergo at least 35% value “GSP+” scheme provides additional
addition in the GSP beneficiary benefits for countries implementing
country to be sold for export into the certain international standards in

20 The GSP+ beneficiary countries include Bolivia, Colombia, Costa Rica,


Ecuador, Georgia, Guatemala, Honduras, Sri Lanka, Moldova, Mongolia,
Nicaragua, Panama, Peru, El Salvador and Venezuela.

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human and labour rights, African Growth and


environmental protection, the fight Opportunity Act (AGOA)
against drugs, and good governance. The African Growth and
The new scheme would allow 7200 Opportunity Act (AGOA), which was
products to enter the EU market duty enacted in May 2000 as part of the
free. According to the GSP+, product Trade and Development Act of
groups from beneficiary countries that 2000, is the centrepiece of U.S. trade
account for more than 15% of EU policy for Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA).
imports in a given sector from GSP AGOA provides numerous economic
countries cease to benefit from benefits, incentives and concessions
preferential access. The to promote economic reform and
corresponding share for textiles is trade expansion in Sub-Saharan
12.5% as in case of clothing. Africa, including duty-free access to
the U.S. market for almost all
Under the new scheme, 80% of products made in the beneficiary
China’s exports to EU will cease to Sub-Saharan African countries 21 .
gain preferential treatment, although AGOA extends duty-free entry into
it remains in the GSP. EU is also the U.S. for approximately 4600
reforming its Rules of Origin that product lines to the AGOA-eligible
govern GSP eligibility to provide SSA countries. The Act also
further access for developing institutionalises a process through
countries. which U.S. trade relations with Sub-
Saharan African countries are
The EU also has in place a special
strengthened by the establishment
arrangement for the least-developed
of a regular ministerial-level forum
countries (LDCs), known as the
with AGOA-eligible countries.
“Everything But Arms” (EBA)
initiative, which provides most Eligibility of African countries to
favourable preferential treatment to AGOA requires fulfilment of certain
the least developed countries through criteria which include establishment
“duty-free and quota-free” access to of a market-based economy and the
the EU’s market. rule of law, the elimination of barriers

21 The eligible AGOA beneficiary Sub-Saharan African countries include Angola,


Benin, Botswana, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cameroon, Cape Verde, Chad,
Congo, Dem. Rep of Congo, Djibouti, Ethiopia, Gabon, Gambia, Ghana,
Guinea, Guinea Bissau, Kenya, Lesotho, Liberia, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali,
Mauritania, Mauritius, Mozambique, Namibia, Niger, Nigeria, Rwanda, Sao
Tome, Senegal, Seychelles, Sierra Leone, South Africa, Swaziland, Tanzania,
Uganda and Zambia.

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to U.S. trade and investment, advantage of trade opportunities and


implementation of economic policies increase their competitiveness.
to reduce poverty, the protection of
As a result of the benefits and
internationally recognised worker
concessions being provided by the US
rights, and establishment of a system
to AGOA countries, the total trade has
to combat corruption apart from
seen a significant rise from US$ 27
adhering to internationally recognised
billion in 2000 to more than US$ 66
human rights and discouraging acts
billion in 2006 (AGOA’s trade pattern
of international terrorism.
with US over the last six years is
The AGOA Acceleration Act of presented in Table A7 in the
2004, amended several key provisions annexure). The trade balance has
of AGOA. An important provision been consistently in favour of AGOA
made in the Act is the extension of countries, with exports from AGOA
the authorisation of the overall AGOA countries to US being consistently
programme from 2008 to 2015 and much higher than imports. The
extension of AGOA’s special third- exports from AGOA countries to US
country fabric provision by three accounted to US$ 56.15 billion in 2006
years, to September 30, 2007. The Act compared to US$ 21.87 billion in 2000.
also amended several technical Though the magnitude of AGOA
aspects of AGOA’s apparel provisions imports too have doubled, during the
to allow broader eligibility for period, the magnitude remains
products incorporating certain inputs. relatively much lower at only US$
Under this provision, less-developed 10.63 billion in 2006. It is also
beneficiary countries are permitted to interesting to note that the trade
use regional or third-country fabric surplus for AGOA countries has been
in apparel imported into the United continuously increasing since 2002
States under AGOA, subject to an from US$ 11.8 billion in 2003 to US$
overall cap. The Act encouraged the 45.5 billion in 2006, reflecting the
administration to develop policies that highly beneficial nature of AGOA for
enhance trade capacity, support the Sub Saharan African countries.
infrastructure projects and the eco-
A substantial portion of the value
tourism industry.
of SSA countries’ combined exports
Through the Africa Global to the U.S. consists of ‘energy-related’
Competitiveness Initiative (AGCI), products, which comprise mainly of
announced in 2005, US provided an oil and natural gas. Items from the
additional financial assistance worth various manufacturing sectors, on the
US$ 200 million over the next five other hand, dominate U.S. exports to
years for trade related capacity SSA countries. AGOA also establishes
building. AGCI helps build the a U.S.-Sub-Saharan Africa Trade and
capacity of African nations to take Economic Cooperation Forum,

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informally known as “the AGOA benefits for the four ATPA beneficiary
Forum”, to annually discuss countries. The ATPDEA renewed and
expanding trade and investment amended ATPA to provide duty-free
relations between the United States preferential treatment for certain
and Sub-Saharan African countries, products previously excluded under
and implementation of AGOA. The the ATPA viz. certain textile and
Sixth AGOA Forum was held in Accra, apparel articles, footwear, tuna
Ghana from July 18- 19, 2007. packaged in foil or other flexible
packages, petroleum and petroleum
Andean Trade Preference and derivatives, watches and watch parts,
Drug Eradication Programme and certain leather goods. In 2002,
(ATPDEP) all four ATPA beneficiary countries
The Andean Trade Preference Act were designated as ATPDEA
(ATPA) was implemented by US in beneficiary countries, considering the
December 1991 to help four Andean various eligibility criteria provided in
countries (Bolivia, Colombia, different sections of the act, and thus
Ecuador and Peru)22 fight against became eligible for the enhanced
drug production and trafficking by trade benefits of the Andean Trade
expanding their economic Promotion and Drug Eradication Act.
alternatives and providing duty-free In ATPDEA, duty-free treatment
access to U.S. markets. applies only to articles that meet the
The objective of the ATPA is to programme’s rules of origin
promote broad-based economic necessities, including a requirement
development, diversify exports, that the sum of the cost or value of
consolidate democracy, and defeat the inputs produced in the beneficiary
the scourge of drug trafficking by country and the cost of processing
providing sustainable economic operations performed in the country
alternatives to drug-crop production must not be less than 35 percent of
in these Andean countries. the value of the article.

The Andean Trade Preference Act As a result of the United States’


(ATPA), was amended by the Andean provision of concessions and
Trade Promotion and Drug economic incentives, U.S. trade with
Eradication Act (ATPDEA), which was the ATPDEA countries has continued
signed into law in August 2002, as to grow substantially during the past
part of the Trade Act of 2002. The few years. In 2006, two-way trade
programme provides enhanced trade increased 18 percent, following a

22 Although Venezuela is a member of the Andean Community along with the


four ATPA beneficiary countries, it is not eligible under the statute to be
designated as an ATPA beneficiary country.

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25 percent increase in 2005. The total billion in 2006 compared to only US$
trade between US and ATPDEA 3 billion in 1991.
countries accounted for US$ 34.15
The Andean Trade Preference Act
billion in 2006, rising from US$ 17
(ATPA) as amended by the Andean
billion in 2000. Good economic
Trade Promotion and Drug
performance in the United States as
Eradication Act (ATPDEA) (jointly
well as in each of the four ATPDEA
referred to as ATPA/ ATPDEA) was
countries in 2006 fueled trade in both
extended in July 2007 by a legislation
directions. Since 1991 when ATPA
being signed by the US President. It
was enacted, U.S. imports from the
is also noted that the ATPA/ ATPDEA
region have increased by almost five is alleviating poverty by creating jobs
times, while exports have tripled. and economic opportunities for the
(refer Table A8 in annexure for trade people of the Andean countries, apart
pattern between US and ATPDEA from rising bilateral trade and
from 1991 to 2006). cooperation. Thus, it can be
U.S. imports from ATPDEA concluded that the ATPDEA has
countries reached record levels in proved mutually beneficial to both the
2005 and again in 2006. They rose by Andean region and the United States.
12 percent in 2006 to US$ 22.5 billion Such trade preference
following a 30 percent increase in programmes offered by U.S,
2005. US imports from ATPDEA demonstrate US leadership and are
countries as a share of US global important tools for building prosperity
imports also increased during this and openness, and furthering
time period, accounting for 1.2 economic integration and
percent of total US imports in 2006, cooperation. The ATPDEA has been
the highest share recorded since ATPA successful in strengthening economic
was enacted in 1991. Exports from and commercial ties. Moreover, as can
US to ATPDEA countries too be observed from the earlier
increased substantially, recording a discussion, the United States is the
growth rate of more than 30% in 2006 leading source of imports and the
since the previous year. Total US leading export market for each of the
exports accounted for US$ 11.63 beneficiary countries.

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6. THE WAY FORWARD: MAJOR


OBSERVATIONS AND STRATEGY
RECOMMENDATIONS

The study so far has attempted General Observations


to analyse the key trends in regional  There exists an increasing
trade agreements across the globe interest among countries to
including India. The recent spur in establish regional trade blocs
such agreements indicates that the and to partner with
trend is likely to continue in the years neighbouring countries in the
to come. This could be particularly region as well as with distant
buttressed by the gradual weakening countries and trading blocs.
of progress in multilateral Physical geographical borders
negotiations. Emerging trends in cease to be a hindrance in the
economic integration attests to the fact endeavour to foster and
that bilateral and plurilateral strengthen intra and extra
integration stand as effective avenues regional linkages and economic
through which economies, cooperation. The need for such
irrespective of their state of regional trade agreements has
development, would enhance their arisen from a number of socio-
global integration. Therefore, economic, political and security
bilateralism has emerged as the considerations.
preferred avenue for arriving at
 Bilateral regional trade
multilateralism eventually. With a
agreements continue to
view to project this central feature in
proliferate, across the globe, as
global economic integration, it is progress on the WTO based
crucial to briefly outline the key multilateral trade talks has
trends, which have emerged out of remained subdued and talks
the study. The following section, have been mostly inconclusive
therefore, makes an attempt to in recent times. The gradual
highlight key observations from the erosion of faith in
study. An attempt has also been made multilateralism has given a new
to identify possible broad strategies, thrust to the concept of
which India could adopt, in tune with regionalism as a highly effective
global trends and development. tool for expanding international

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trade, economic cooperation  Of all the bilateral RTAs


and global integration. Presently, entering into force since 2000,
more than one third of the a significant proportion of the
world’s trade takes place within agreements have been between
the framework of such developing and developed
agreements23. countries, followed by
 The number of RTAs have
agreements between developing
almost tripled in the current and developing countries. This
decade, compared to the pattern is in contrast to the
previous decade from 46 to 137 trend depicted during 1995 to
agreements. There are at present 1999, during which agreements
205 RTAs, 124 agreements of among developing countries
which have entered into force were more dominant. This
post 2000. Moreover, 60% of the reflects an interest among
total RTAs comprise of FTAs developing countries to engage
followed by EIAs. The in agreements with more
predominance of FTAs is developed nations to gain
probably due to the fact that access to the larger and more
they are faster to conclude and potential markets and benefit
require a lower degree of policy from the significant trade
coordination among the opportunities inherent in these
contracting parties. During markets. Similarly, it also reflects
recent years, the maximum the growing interest among
number of 24 RTAs were developed countries to engage
notified to the WTO and in trade agreements with
entered into force in 2004, developing countries to target
followed by 19 agreements in the cheaper, less sophisticated
2006. This trend could possibly and ‘easy to approach’ markets
be attributed to the failure of of these economies which
the Fifth WTO Ministerial display considerable growth
Conference held in Cancún, possibilities. This could also
Mexico in 2003 and the Sixth point to the eroding confidence
WTO Ministerial Conference of developed countries in
held in Hong Kong in 2005 that
multilateralism.
could have eroded the
confidence of the member  The study also highlights an
nations in the WTO based important feature associated
multilateralism and encouraged with customs union and
them to engage bilaterally in common markets. Countries,
regional trade agreements. which are members of customs
23 World Development Indicators 2007, World Bank, Washington, D.C.

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union or common markets, are agreement with India, but


required to have a common individually member
external tariff with respect to countries like Brazil and
imports from non-member Argentina do not have any
countries. This, on one hand, such trade agreements with
has associated benefits and on countries which are not
the other, could limit gains from members of MERCOSUR.
trade. This is explained as
 With regard to a non-
follows.
member country,
 As far as member countries engagement with a customs
are concerned, trade within union or a common market
the bloc with other is advantageous as it is
member countries is highly easier for the country to
liberalised and open and negotiate issues with a bloc
every member country has as a whole rather than with
free access to the markets individual countries with
of all other countries in the diverse opinions and
bloc. In case of a common interests. Engagement with
market there is also free a customs union or a
movement of factors of common market as a
production among the whole, also gives it access
member countries, in to the markets of all the
addition to the free flow of member countries, which
products. This type of an would not have been
institutional framework is possible in case of bilateral
particularly beneficial for one-to-one agreements.
smaller countries. However, Typical example could be
for a member country, it the advantage of entering
restricts the choice and into an agreement with EU,
freedom to enter into which provides access to
bilateral agreements with all member countries of the
non-member countries. EU.
This is particularly true for  Leading countries that have
larger and relatively more been aggressively pursuing
advanced member regional trade agreements with
countries in the bloc. It other countries and trade blocs
could be cited in this include Mexico, Singapore,
regard, that though Chile, United States and Turkey.
MERCOSUR has been Analysis of the pattern of trade
involved in trade performance of these countries

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evidently substantiates the point Growth and Opportunity Act


that engagement in Regional (AGOA) for the Sub-Saharan
Trade Agreements has had a African countries and Andean
very beneficial and notable Trade Preference and Drug
impact on the trade Eradication Act (ATPDEA) for
performance of these countries. the Latin American countries by
The value of trade of all these United States. Such preferential
countries with their RTA partner trade initiatives have
countries over the past five significantly impacted the
years has seen a sizeable growth of these lesser-
increase. Moreover, trade with developed beneficiary countries
RTA partner countries and opened new avenues for
constitutes a major portion of them to promote trade with
the total trade of these developed countries in the
countries, which also reflects the absence of the possibility of a
importance and success of these trade agreement.
agreements. For instance, the
 To conclude, an observation
total trade with RTA partner
that very clearly emerges from
countries as a percentage of
the study is that there is an
total trade of Mexico was as
increasingly growing tendency
high as 85% in 2005. The
among countries to encourage
corresponding share of Chile’s
regionalism as a more
trade with RTA partner countries
productive and efficient
was 80% during the same year.
alternative to foster trade and
 As discussed in the previous development. This does not
chapter, developed countries understate or play down the
like US and EU have also importance of multilateralism in
engaged in trade relations with global trade. However, it is
less developed countries, interesting to note that
providing preferential treatment regionalism has been playing a
to their imports, outside the very crucial role in paving way
purview of any regional trade for eventual multilateralism. As
agreement, by granting them evident from the pattern of
special privileges, concessions trade engagement of most
and benefits to promote trade countries and the emergence of
and economic development in trade blocs and their expansion,
the region. Examples of such the approach could be ‘from
special initiatives include the EU regionalism to multilateralism’.
and US Generalised System of This can also be viewed as a
Preferences (GSP); African ‘bottom-up’ approach in contrast

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to the notion of ‘top-down’ close to 55% and 60%


approach exhibited by the respectively.
concept of multilateralism. The
 Almost all countries in Latin
‘ASEAN plus three’ initiative
America and Caribbean are
could be cited as a classic
already well integrated among
example in this regard, where
themselves, being members of
initially the five countries
one or the other main trading
namely Indonesia, Malaysia,
blocs like MERCOSUR, Andean
Philippines, Singapore and Group, LAIA, CACM and
Thailand constituted the CARICOM, the countries of
Association of South East Asian North America are well knit by
Nations (ASEAN), which later NAFTA and interestingly the two
expanded to include Brunei, giant blocs are bound by FTAA
Cambodia, Myanmar, Laos and to a great extent.
Vietnam. The ASEAN FTA
(AFTA) was subsequently  US, Mexico and Chile are the
further expanded and was important countries in the
termed as ‘ASEAN plus three’ region which are involved in
with AFTA’s engagement with bilateral trade agreements. Chile
Japan, China and Korea. This has shown more interest in
entering into bilateral RTAs with
could be viewed as a classic
Central and North American
case of ‘bottom-up’ approach to
countries as compared to South
global economic integration.
American countries. It has also
shown interest in the East with
Regional Observations
its engagement with Korea and
America China more recently. Mexico
has been involved in the largest
 In America, Southern Cone number of RTAs in the world,
Common Market (MERCOSUR), with 19 agreements. Its bilateral
Latin American Integration trade engagements have been
Association (LAIA), North more concentrated in Central
American Free Trade Agreement American countries. The United
(NAFTA) and Free Trade States, on the other hand, has
Agreement of America (FTAA) maintained good trade relations
could be identified as the major with West Asia through
trading blocs. Intra bloc engagement in FTAs and has
merchandise exports of NAFTA shown an increasing interest in
and FTAA are exceptionally FTAs especially since 2004. The
high compared to other trade trend in extra regional
blocs in the region averaging engagements of these countries,

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generally, is more bilaterally regionally well knit. However,


focused and on a one-to-one countries like Tunisia, Morocco,
basis with individual countries Algeria, Egypt and South Africa
rather than with any group of have looked beyond the African
countries or any trading bloc, region and have tried to explore
though some countries like opportunities to enhance and
Chile and Mexico have also further their trade relations with
engaged in agreements with countries outside the region.
regional blocs like EU and Most African countries either
EFTA. being low income or lower
middle income countries, sought
Africa to explore trade opportunities
 As far as the African region is outside the African region, as a
concerned, the main trading result all bilateral engagements
blocs are ECOWAS, SADC, of African countries have been
COMESA and UEMOA. Though outward oriented. Particularly
modest, nevertheless, the intra- EU has been a preferred partner
bloc merchandise exports of in all such cases.
African trade blocs have shown
a steady increase in recent Asia
years. Between 1999 and 2005,  ASEAN has emerged as a very
intra-bloc exports have more important and crucial trade bloc
than doubled for COMESA and in Asia. The contribution of
ECOWAS and have grown ASEAN to global exports has
substantially in case of SADC. consistently been above 6%
However, declining shares of during 1999-2005. The share of
intra-bloc exports as percentage intra-bloc exports of ASEAN in
of global exports of these blocs total bloc exports has
imply a growing tendency to maintained a steady ratio of
trade beyond the region by around 22% during the period.
member countries. With regard ASEAN has also developed
to EAC and UEMOA, although linkages with India, China,
in absolute terms intra-bloc Korea and Japan, which projects
exports are extremely modest, a potentially vibrant and
but these two blocs show the integrated Asia in the years
highest share of intra-bloc ahead.
exports as percentage of global
 Asia has been more receptive,
exports of these blocs.
open and forward looking,
 Most African countries are especially since the dawn of the
members of one or more new millennium, with almost all
trading blocs and thus, are intra- trade agreements by the Asian

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countries entering into force India has also seriously begun


only after 2001. The East Asian efforts to develop preferential
financial crisis has also been trade linkages with developing
instrumental in promoting countries located elsewhere like
economic integration in the a PTA with MERCOSUR and
region. In Asia, economies like Chile in Latin America; a
China, Singapore, Korea, framework agreement for FTA
Thailand and Japan are with the GCC in West Asia; PTA
increasingly participating in with SACU in the African
trade agreements outside Asia to region; and negotiations to
expand their trade potential by establish a Comprehensive
exploring opportunities to enter
Economic Cooperation and
the potential markets of the
Partnership Agreement with
West, through association in
Mauritius. An analysis of India’s
FTAs with USA, Chile and
trade performance with its RTA
Mexico. More recently,
Singapore, Korea and Japan partners, over the period of five
have also shown interest in years since 2001-02, reveals a
reinforcing their ties within Asia. sharp increase in bilateral trade.
Among all Asian economies, India’s total trade with its RTA
Singapore has been the most partners, as a percentage of its
aggressive in pursuit of RTAs global trade has shown a decent
with a spectrum of agreements rise from 20% to around 30%
with a number of countries of total trade during the period
ranging across different regions 2001-02 and 2006-07. Moreover,
of the world. exports have grown at a CAGR
of 32% and imports at 44%
 India’s endeavour to foster its
during the period. This clearly
international trade has also been
indicates that more of India’s
well complemented by its
trade is increasingly taking place
efforts to promote regional
trade. This has its reflection in with countries with which it has
the various initiatives India has established some kind of
effected, in line with the global preferential trade arrangement
trend, in fostering and or with countries with which it
facilitating trade with select is strongly negotiating a free
countries and blocs. In Asia, trade agreement or a
India has been involved in trade comprehensive economic
agreements and negotiations cooperation agreement to foster
with Sri Lanka, Singapore, bilateral trade. Development of
Thailand, ASEAN, BIMSTEC and India’s engagement with ASEAN
SAFTA. Other than looking East, into a Free Trade Agreement

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could provide a major boost to than US$ 44 billion in 2005


the ongoing efforts to promote growing at a compounded
regionalism in Asia and could annual rate of 21.7% during the
help in the creation of a Pan period. GCC and the Arab
Asia Free Trade Area. Common Market too have
recorded a notable increase in
 As earlier discussed, an
exports within the bloc during
interesting feature of the pattern
the period. However, the share
of engagement in trade
of intra-bloc exports in total
agreements by Japan is its
exports of GCC has declined
interest and willingness to strike
from 1999 to 2005, which
an accord with ASEAN in spite
possibly indicates the
of its engagement in RTAs with
willingness on part of its
Singapore and Malaysia, both
member countries to explore
being members of ASEAN. A
trade opportunities with other
somewhat similar interest has
countries outside the region.
also been shown by India with
its engagement with Singapore  Being well knit intra-regionally,
in a CECA and its proposed the West Asian countries are
FTA with Thailand, both being exploring opportunities for trade
members of ASEAN, in spite of association outside the region
India’s association with and with other countries and trade
efforts to conclude an FTA with blocs. Israel and Jordan are the
ASEAN separately. Such bilateral only two countries in West Asia
trade accords reinforce and which have shown some
further strengthen the interest in engagement in trade
relationship among countries agreements outside the region,
and could be an avenue to except for Lebanon’s
foster trade relations and involvement with EU in 2003
economic growth. and more recently with EFTA
in January 2007 and Syria’s
West Asia involvement with Turkey also in
 The West Asian region has seen January 2007. However,
the emergence of GAFTA and countries collectively,
GCC as the main trading blocs represented by trading blocs
in the region. The intra-bloc like GCC and GAFTA are
merchandise exports of GAFTA exploring opportunities to
have shown a continuous establish free trade agreements
impressive growth from with extra regional countries
US$ 13 billion in 1999 to more and blocs.

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Europe associated with the European


 In Europe, the most prominent Union, which provides them an
trading blocs are EU and EFTA, excellent gateway to explore
which are engaged in and tap the immense potential
of the European market. Apart
agreements with a number of
from EU, Albania and Croatia
countries. The share of
have focused on strengthening
European Union exports in total
their ties within the European
world exports has been close
region, rather than ambitiously
to 40% during the past decade.
exploring extra regional
A high constant share of intra-
opportunities. Unlike other
bloc exports of EU and EMFTA
European countries, Turkey has
in total bloc exports, together
been more extra regionally
with increasing intra-bloc
oriented in its approach to trade
merchandise exports, to the
initiatives with an inclination
tune of around US$ 2.6 trillion
towards the West Asian and
and US$ 2.8 trillion respectively North African region. EFTA has
in 2005, shows the growing been mainly involved in trade
cooperation and trade linkage agreements with countries in the
among the member countries North African, North American
within the blocs and the and Latin American region. It
immense trade potential in the has also tried to foster trade
region. relations with East Asia with
 The main players in RTAs in FTAs with Singapore and Korea.
Europe are Albania, Croatia,
Turkey, EFTA and EU. While CIS region
Albania, Croatia and Turkey  The intra bloc merchandise
have evinced interest in bilateral exports of CIS have shown a
agreements with countries and steady increase over the period
blocs, however, Western 1999 to 2005. Though the intra
European countries have united bloc merchandise exports of CIS
to form the European Union. as a proportion of global
The EU has strong and diverse exports of the bloc have
intra and extra bloc trade declined, it still remains a very
linkages with number of important bloc in the region
countries in West Asia, Africa, uniting the Commonwealth of
North America and Latin Independent States and
America. However, it is in the promoting economic
larger interest of these development of the region as a
partnering countries to be whole.

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 It is very interesting to note that in 1990-91 to around 35% in 2006-


all bilateral trade engagements 07. However, India’s share in global
of CIS countries have entered merchandise exports stands at a
into force only after the creation modest 1%, which is not
of the Commonwealth of commensurate with the potential of
Independent States (CIS) trading the Indian economy. India is set
bloc in 1991 and that no new to emerge as the third largest
initiatives have entered into economy in the world by 2032 and
force since 2001, with the this calls for substantial progress in
exception of Moldova, which India’s international trade. Trade
entered into as many as 5 could act as an engine of growth
agreements with European for the Indian economy and thereby,
countries during 2004. Almost play a pivotal role in enhancing the
all the 12 CIS countries, with economic prowess of India. In this
the exception of Moldova, are regard, regional trade agreements
engaged in agreements with could be a preferred avenue for
only other CIS countries. Thus, India to strengthen its global
the CIS countries have explored economic integration. Recognising
opportunities to enter into this and in tune with global trends,
bilateral agreements with India in recent times has begun the
countries within the region to process of exploring opportunities
foster economic growth and in the form of regional trade
cooperation and better mutual agreements. However, India needs
trade relations. This shows that to take calculated steps in this
despite having a trading bloc, direction on the basis of
there have been tendencies opportunities and concerns. In the
among countries to form era of increasing bilateral trade
bilateral trade agreements with agreements, India needs to
countries within the bloc, which understand the long-term
is a distinct feature as compared implications arising out of its RTAs
to the trend or pattern of trade and adopt an approach, which does
engagement in any other region not act against the long-term interest
discussed in the study. and potential of the Indian
economy. As the benefits from a
Strategy Recommendations RTA typically erode when the
India has significantly enhanced its partner country enters into a similar
global economic integration in trade agreement with a third
recent years. This is evidenced by country, free trade at the multilateral
the sharp rise in India’s merchandise level appears as the ideal situation,
trade-GDP ratio from around 13% which also attests equality and fair

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trade. India has been a founder successful settlement of


member of GATT and has emerged individual interests is rigorous
as a key representative of and therefore, it often distracts
developing countries in the WTO the constituents to undertake
negotiations, despite its modest alternative approaches to
share in international trade. India economic integration,
therefore, needs to continue its bilateralism being the most
strive in multilateral trade sought after route. Nevertheless,
negotiations as the returns from bilateralism or regionalism has
successful negotiations could be its own limitations. A key
manifolds as compared to bilateral drawback of regionalism is its
agreements. In short, India’s broad requirement for reciprocal
strategy could be continuation of its commitment from its parti-
strive for eventual multilateralism, in cipants. While in multilateral
simultaneity with considering negotiations, developing
bilateral and plurilateral trade countries have the Special &
initiatives, however safeguarding the Differential Treatment (S&DT)
long-term potential and interests of working in favour of them, in
the Indian economy. This strategy FTAs governed by reciprocity,
could be outlined in terms of the they are exposed to the same
following three broad perspectives degree of liberalisation as
- a) advancing on the road to extended by the partner
multilateralism, b) adopting country/countries. This limits
calculated steps towards regional the potential economic gains of
trade agreements, and c) the developing country,
approaching effective regionalism: particularly if the partner is a
looking beyond free trade developed country. The S&DT
agreements. The following sections is applicable to India and by
delineate each of these perspectives. virtue of it India is eligible for
(a) Advancing on the road to longer time periods for
multilateralism: Multilateralism implementing agreements and
is an egalitarian form of global commitments. Secondly, as
economic cooperation, which mentioned in the previous
refutes discrimination. Successful section, the gains from a RTA
multilateral negotiations serve cease once the partner country
the interest of all, irrespective enters into a similar agreement
of their levels of development, with a third country. In view
and creates a common platform of the above, India should
for free and fair trade to take continue its strive for
place. However, the path to multilateralism and consider

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regionalism as one of the the listed products could


avenues for enhancing its be imported freely from
international economic other FTA partners. In
collaboration. order to rule out this
possibility it is crucial for
(b) Undertaking calculated
India to maintain
initiatives in regionalism:
consistency in negative lists
Given the global trend in
of different trade
regionalism, India needs to
agreements.
maintain its current focus on
entering into bilateral and ii. To address the issue of
plurilateral trade agreements. Non-Tariff Barriers: It is
Non-participation in RTAs would important to note that RTAs
constrain India’s competitiveness provide an opportunity for
with respect to other developing international trade to take
countries who might have place between the
entered into free trade participating countries in a
agreements with India’s liberalised environment and
prospective FTA partners. do not automatically
However, multiple agreements endorse the increase in
pose a challenge in the form bilateral trade. This is
of management of customs in because most RTAs focus
the face of different rules of on the reduction of tariffs
origin as per different and not on the non-tariff
agreements. It is therefore, barriers to trade. However,
important to have an integrated non-tariff barriers such as
approach while identifying health and safety
countries/blocs with whom requirements or technical
India could negotiate the barriers to trade could act
possibilities of a RTA. The as important impediments
following approach may be to export growth,
considered in this regard: particularly for developing
i. To maintain consistency countries like India, even
in negative lists: The if tariffs are brought down
basic purpose of a negative by the partner country. It
list is to safeguard a section is important therefore, for
of the domestic industry by India to address the issue
restricting imports. of NTBs in free trade
Therefore, difference in negotiations with a view to
negative lists could be self- effectively promote bilateral
defeating in the sense that trade with the partner

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country. This would be common markets, there is


particularly required while no option but entering into
negotiating free trade agreements with the blocs
agreements with developed as a whole, but even in
countries like the US or the other cases too striking an
European Union. It may accord with a bloc rather
be cited that elimination of than an individual country
NTBs has been an integral implies maximum gains.
part of NAFTA agreement, India has already signed
which facilitated growth of trade agreements with
Mexico’s exports to the MERCOSUR, GCC, ASEAN
United States. and SACU, which have
strengthened India’s trade
iii. To explore trade
linkages in Latin America,
agreements with all
West Asia and Africa. This
major trade blocs:
trend could be further
Having noted the positive
strengthened in the years
impact of regional trade
ahead.
agreements on a country’s
trade performance an iv. To enter into trade
overall conclusion that can agreement with at least
be drawn from this study one major country of a
is that India could explore trade bloc: If the trade
trade accords with all major bloc is not a customs union
trading blocs in different or a common market but
regions of the world viz. only a free trade area, it
MERCOSUR in Latin makes sense to consider
America, NAFTA in North entering into a free trade
America, EU in Europe, agreement with at least one
ASEAN in Asia, GCC or of the major members of
GAFTA in West Asia, SADC the bloc. This would
& SACU in Africa and the provide access to the
CIS countries. Successful market of not only that
negotiations would lead to country, but the partner
substantial enhancement of country could also act as
market access in these a base for enhancing trade
blocs, on one hand, and with other countries of the
would widen the choice set bloc. This indirectly would
for competitive imports on facilitate India’s
the other. For those which international trade with the
are customs unions or bloc as a whole. In this

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regard, it may be cited that opportunity for India to


India has initiated the negotiate a free trade
process of negotiations for agreement with Mexico.
a trade agreement with
Russia. Russia, being the v. To focus on North-South
most important member of Agreements: A key
the CIS countries, this observation that has
initiative is well crafted, as emerged out of the study
it would result in access to is the growing interest in
the Russian market directly, free trade agreements
and to other CIS countries among developed
markets’ indirectly through countries. The United States
Russia. Similarly, India and EU have been most
may consider exploring a active in this regard.
free trade agreement with However, India’s initiatives
Mexico, which can act as till date have been
a gateway to NAFTA as primarily with other
well as to Central America. developing countries as the
Mexico is among the linkages have been mostly
leading trading partners of with Asian countries. It
India in the Latin American may be noted that it is
& Caribbean region. crucial for India to
However, bilateral trade is strengthen its trade linkages
modest in comparison to its with developed countries,
potential, which implies which is capable of
significant opportunities for bringing in a quantum
enhancing India-Mexico increase in India’s
trade. Mexico is also international trade. It may
actively engaged in be cited in this regard that
regional trade agreements, NAFTA led to a sharp rise
which reflects its preferred in Mexico’s exports to the
mode of integration with United States. Similarly,
the global economy. Chile has largely benefited
Though majority of from its FTAs with the US
Mexico’s international trade and the EU. Free trade
is with the United States, agreements with the
however, in recent times developed countries such
Mexico’s non-US trade has as US, EU, Japan and
risen faster in comparison Australia could therefore,
to Mexico’s trade with the substantially enhance
US. This implies an India’s international trade

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through greater market might work well because


access in these economies. there are obvious
It is worth mentioning here complementarities, such as
that India has initiated low cost advantage of India
efforts to negotiate an India- and high intensity of capital
Japan (Comprehensive) and technology of the US.
Economic Partnership
(c) Looking beyond free trade
Agreement, the first round
agreements: It has been noted
of negotiations for which
earlier in the study that along
have commenced in 2007.
with an increase in number of
India has also made efforts
bilateral FTAs, there has also
to negotiate a broad-based
been a rise in number of
trade and investment
Economic Integration
agreement with EU and
Agreements (EIAs) in recent
negotiations between the
times. Since 2000, 37 EIAs
two parties are in progress.
have come into force, which
United States being one of
primarily look beyond free trade
the world’s largest
in goods by incorporating free
economies, India could trade in services, investments
also explore opportunities and other regulatory issues.
to enter into a preferential Typically, EIAs relate to greater
trade agreement with the levels of economic cooperation,
US, given the vast market which are not restricted only by
potential of the country. free trade in goods. India has
Such a linkage could also expanded its regional trade
enable lower import duties agreements in recent times
on manufactured exports beyond free trade in goods by
from India, greater signing a number of compre-
employment opportunities hensive economic cooperation/
for highly skilled Indian partnership agreements with
technical personnel in the countries/blocs like Singapore
US, and boost inflows of and ASEAN. Similarly, the
US investment in key India-Sri Lanka Free Trade
sectors like telecommuni- Agreement is being transformed
cations, IT, financial into a CEPA and India is
services and infrastructure. negotiating such an agreement
It is also observed that free with Mauritius. This trend
trade agreements work best needs to be sustained as it
between countries that provides an opportunity for
have complementarities. In achieving greater levels of
this regard, an FTA with US global economic integration, in

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goods, services as well as in exporter in the world with


investment. Moreover, by a 2.7% share in global
involving services and exports of commercial
investment, an overall balancing services. Both software
factor gets added to a typical and business services have
free trade agreement, where a significantly enhanced the
possible negative impact global stature of India’s
emerging from free trade in service sector. It is also
goods could be balanced by appropriate to note here
gains from trade in services and that India has ranked the
higher investment linkages. In top among all countries of
tune with this trend the the world in terms of
following strategies are global services location
proposed which India could index in a study conducted
explore and adopt. by A T Kearney24. While
India’s trade balance has
 To explore independent widened in recent years,
service agreements: India the positive balance in
has a comparative services trade has
advantage in the services considerably contributed
sector compared to many towards containing India’s
leading economies in the current account deficit at
world. The current modest levels. It could be
dynamism in the Indian therefore, in the interest of
economy has been largely India to pursue FTAs on
the resultant of a consi- services, primarily with the
stently growing services developed countries and
sector. The services sector’s the leading emerging
performance has improved economies where the
each year since 2000-01 services sector is a major
and in 2006-07 it grew by component of economic
a robust 11.2%. This activity. This could be
explains why it has considered given India’s
consistently accounted for potential to gain from all
over half of India’s GDP four modes of trade in
since 2000-01. India has services, namely, cross
also emerged as a major border supply,
player in global trade in consumption abroad,
services. Particularly, in commercial presence and
2006, India stood as the movement of people. India
10th largest services could emerge as a pioneer
24 Offshoring for Long Term Advantage; The 2007 A T Kearney Global Services
Location Index.

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in setting a trend in FTAs put by 2010. Similarly,


exclusively on services. India’s overseas
This would also strengthen investments have also risen
India’s stand in WTO in recent years with
negotiations in services. increasing endeavours by
Apart from entering into Indian corporates to
exclusive service trade venture global
agreements, India could opportunities matched by
also adopt the strategy of gradual liberalisation of
moving from free trade in overseas investment norms
services to free trade in by the Government. This
goods and thereby, set a trend is also likely to
new trend in global continue in the years
economic integration. ahead. Therefore, bilateral
 To focus on investment investment agreements
agreements: On the could play a crucial role in
strength of economic facilitating the prospective
fundamentals and policy growth of FDI in India as
incentives, India’s also contribute towards
investment attractiveness higher levels of outward
has improved substantially investment from India. It
in recent years. This is may be cited that India
evidenced by an increase already has in place more
in foreign investment than 50 Bilateral Investment
inflows to India from a Promotion Agreements
modest US$ 6 billion in (BIPA) which encourage
2002-03 to US$ 27 billion capital flows into India and
in 2006-07. The trend is provide secured business
likely to get strengthened environment to Indian
in the years ahead with overseas investors.
increasing investment However, there are a
opportunities emerging in number of countries with
manufacturing, services as whom India has signed a
well as in agribusiness. BIPA but the agreements
Another key sector have not come into force.
reflecting significant Therefore, there is a need
investment opportunities is to fill this existing gap.
the infrastructure sector, Moreover, India could
where an investment target consider entering into BIPA
of US$ 320 billion has been with potential FTA partners

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such as Mexico and Chile. of ABMI is to develop


As trade and investment efficient and liquid bond
are interwined, greater markets in Asia in order to
levels of investment would meet the needs for
also promote greater levels indigenous medium and
of bilateral trade. BIPAs long-term financial
create favourable resources and enable
conditions for enhancing further economic
greater levels of development in the
investments by providing a region25. Therefore, ABMI
legal basis for enforcing the facilitates intra-Asian
rights of the investors in investments, and in turn
the countries involved in regional economic
the agreement. With a integration, through the
view to stimulate development of a regional
investments, India could bond market. Similarly, a
also consider expanding clearing arrangement
the scope of BIPAs to among a group of central
include specific investment banks could also promote
incentives in sectors such trade integration by
as infrastructure. providing liquidity
 To enhance regional financing to members of a
monetary cooperation: trade agreement. The
In an era of volatile capital examples of Central
flows, emerging economies American Monetary
are increasingly considering Stabilisation Fund found in
regional monetary 1969, and the reciprocal
cooperation as an effective credit and payment
tool to reduce the agreement between the
repercussions of any central banks of the
financial crisis or distress. members of LAIA (1965),
The Asian Bond Market the Arab Monetary Fund
Initiative launched in 2003 (1976), the clearing house
following the Asian of COMESA members
financial crisis envisages to found in 1984 could be
deepen regional bond cited in this regard. In
markets in Asia and could recent times, the ASEAN+3
be cited as an important countries launched the
development in this Chiang Mai Initiative in
direction. The basic thrust 2000, which permits
25 Source: Asian Development Bank

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bilateral swap arrangements regional economic


between member countries. integration.
However, India’s
 To enhance cooperation
participation in these forms
in trade logistics: In the
of monetary cooperation
WTO regime, reduction in
agreements has been
trade barriers, both tariffs
limited. India could
and non-tariff, as also
therefore, consider
enhancing its regional tightening of rules are
monetary cooperation with expected to intensify the
a view to support and global trading environment.
facilitate its regional trade. There is, therefore, the
Innovative ways and means need to continuously
of monetary cooperation monitor the exporting
may be considered in this environment with a view to
regard. A particular model, reducing impediments to
which could be replicated external trade. Transaction
in the SAARC region, is costs are identified as a key
that of the Mercosur impediment which not only
Structural Convergence delays the process of
Fund (FOCEM). FOCEM is international trade but also
an instrument for erode the profitability
transferring funds from the arising out of international
relatively advanced business. Transaction costs
countries of Mercosur emerge from the various
(Brazil and Argentina) to procedural complexities
the relatively less linked with exports, the
developed countries in the crucial being logistical
bloc (Uruguay and impediments. Transaction
Paraguay). The Fund co- costs of exports are
finances individual projects particularly high in case of
submitted by the members developing countries and
with the pre-determined in case of India, though the
distribution of total costs have come down,
resources among the four they still continue to
countries. Such an encumber export growth.
initiative in the SAARC India could therefore,
region could meaningfully consider enhancing
contribute towards regional cooperation in
economic development of trade logistics and trade
the region and truly facilitation with a view to
capture the essence of reduce transaction costs of

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exports. Several trade CONCLUSION


blocs have addressed this With the growing recognition of
problem. SADC has a
regionalism or regional trade as an
Protocol on Transport,
engine of economic growth and a
Communications and
gateway to global trade, a number
Meteorology, Association of
of countries have ventured to
Caribbean States have a
common agreement on air complement their multilateral trade
transport services, and efforts with regional trade initiatives
COMESA countries have a to boost bilateral/ multilateral trade
common customs and eventually foster economic
document. The SAARC growth. Evidence from countries
agreement on Mutual engaged in such regional trade
Administrative Assistance in initiatives also substantiates the point
Customs matters could also that engagement in such agreements
be cited in this regard. has a positive and significant impact
However, India could also on a country’s trade performance,
explore similar possibilities giving an impetus for other
beyond SAARC, particularly countries to also explore such
with key trading partners initiatives. Developed countries too
like ASEAN and GCC have shown an increasing interest
countries. India could also in such initiatives. Thus,
explore opportunities in engagement in regional trade
trans-shipment services agreements after carefully examining
given its strategic location the pros and cons of an accord
between the west and the
could well complement
east and this could
multilateralism and prove to be
meaningfully contribute
stepping stones or building blocks
towards enhancing India’s
to world trade and not stumbling
regional as well as global
trade. blocks to achieving the universal
goal of global amalgamation.

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ANNEXURE

Table A1:
FTAs NOTIFIED TO WTO AND ENTERED INTO FORCE SINCE 2000
Year Name of the FTA Date of entry
into force
2007 EFTA-Egypt 1-Aug-07
(upto EFTA-Lebanon 1-Jan-07
July 18) Turkey-Syria 1-Jan-07
2006 EC-Albania 1-Dec-06
Chile-China 1-Oct-06
EFTA-Republic of Korea 1-Sep-06
United States-Bahrain 1-Aug-06
Panama-Singapore 24-Jul-06
Japan-Malaysia 13-Jul-06
Republic of Korea-Singapore 2-Mar-06
Dominican Republic-Central America-United States 1-Mar-06
(CAFTA-DR)
Turkey-Morocco 1-Jan-06
United States-Morocco 1-Jan-06
2005 EC-Algeria 1-Sep-05
Jordan-Singapore 22-Aug-05
India-Singapore 1-Aug-05
Thailand-New Zealand 1-Jul-05
Turkey-Tunisia 1-Jul-05
EFTA-Tunisia 1-Jun-05
Turkey-Palestine 1-Jun-05
Japan-Mexico 1-Apr-05
Thailand-Australia 1-Jan-05
United States-Australia 1-Jan-05

(Contd...)

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(Contd...)
Year Name of the FTA Date of entry
into force
2004 Albania-Bosnia and Herzegovina 1-Dec-04
EFTA-Chile 1-Dec-04
Moldova-FYROM 1-Dec-04
Albania-Moldova 1-Nov-04
Moldova-Croatia 1-Oct-04
Albania-Serbia Montenegro 1-Sep-04
Moldova-Serbia and Montenegro 1-Sep-04
SACU 15-Jul-04
Croatia-Serbia and Montenegro 1-Jul-04
EC-Egypt 1-Jun-04
Moldova-Bosnia and Herzegovina 1-May-04
Republic of Korea-Chile 1-Apr-04
China-Hong Kong, China 1-Jan-04
China-Macao, China 1-Jan-04
United States-Chile 1-Jan-04
United States-Singapore 1-Jan-04
2003 Albania-UNMIK (Kosovo) 1-Oct-03
Singapore-Australia 28-Jul-03
Turkey-Bosnia and Herzegovina 1-Jul-03
Turkey-Croatia 1-Jul-03
Croatia-Albania 1-Jun-03
Panama-El Salvador 11-Apr-03
EC-Lebanon 1-Mar-03
EC-Chile 1-Feb-03
EFTA-Singapore 1-Jan-03
2002 Japan-Singapore 30-Nov-02
Canada-Costa Rica 1-Nov-02
FYROM-Bosnia and Herzegovina 15-Jul-02
Albania-FYROM 1-Jul-02
Chile-El Salvador 1-Jun-02
EC-Jordan 1-May-02
EC-Croatia 1-Mar-02
Chile-Costa Rica 15-Feb-02
EFTA-Croatia 1-Jan-02
EFTA-Jordan 1-Jan-02
(Contd...)

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(Contd...)
Year Name of the FTA Date of entry
into force
2001 Armenia-Kazakhstan 25-Dec-01
United States-Jordan 17-Dec-01
India-Sri Lanka 15-Dec-01
EFTA-Mexico 1-Jul-01
EC-FYROM 1-Jun-01
Honduras-Mexico 1-Jun-01
El Salvador-Mexico 15-Mar-01
Guatemala-Mexico 15-Mar-01
Croatia-Bosnia and Herzegovina 1-Jan-01
EFTA-FYROM 1-Jan-01
New Zealand-Singapore 1-Jan-01
2000 SADC 1-Sep-00
Turkey-FYROM 1-Sep-00
EC-Mexico 1-Jul-00
Israel-Mexico 1-Jul-00
EC-Israel 1-Jun-00
EC-Morocco 1-Mar-00
EC-South Africa 1-Jan-00
Georgia-Turkmenistan 1-Jan-00
SOURCE: WTO

Table A2:
MERCHANDISE EXPORTS BY BLOCS (AS % OF GLOBAL EXPORTS) IN
LATIN AMERICA & THE CARIBBEAN
BLOC 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
CACM 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Andean Group 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.1
CARICOM 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2
LAIA (ALADI) 4.8 5.3 5.2 5.0 4.7 4.8 5.1
MERCOSUR 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.6
FTAA 21.7 22.1 21.8 20.2 18.4 17.7 17.8
NAFTA 18.8 19.0 18.7 17.2 15.5 14.5 14.3
SOURCE: World Development Indicators 2007, World Bank

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Table A3:
MERCHANDISE EXPORTS BY BLOCS
(AS % OF GLOBAL EXPORTS) IN AFRICA
BLOC 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
COMESA 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5
EAC 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1
ECOWAS 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6
SADC 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8
UEMOA 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
SOURCE: World Development Indicators 2007, World Bank

Table A4:
MERCHANDISE EXPORTS BY BLOCS
(AS % OF GLOBAL EXPORTS) IN ASIA
BLOC 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
APEC 46.6 48.5 46.5 46.0 44.5 44.2 45.0
ASEAN 6.3 6.7 6.3 6.3 6.1 6.0 6.1
Bangkok agreement 5.0 5.2 4.9 5.1 5.1 5.3 5.3
EAEC 24.7 26.0 24.4 25.2 25.4 25.9 26.2
SAARC 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.3
SOURCE: World Development Indicators 2007, World Bank

Table A5:
MERCHANDISE EXPORTS BY BLOCS
(AS % OF GLOBAL EXPORTS) IN WEST ASIA
BLOC 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Arab Common Market 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.8
GAFTA 2.7 3.5 3.4 3.2 3.4 3.9 4.4
GCC 1.9 2.6 2.5 2.3 2.5 2.7 3.3
SOURCE: World Development Indicators 2007, World Bank

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Table A6:
MERCHANDISE EXPORTS BY BLOC
(AS % OF GLOBAL EXPORTS) IN EUROPE
BLOC 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
CEFTA 1.9 1.9 2.2 2.4 2.7 2.9 3.1
EMFTA 42.7 39.4 41.4 42.2 43.3 42.9 40.8
EU 41.1 37.7 39.7 40.4 41.5 40.8 38.7
SOURCE: World Development Indicators 2007, World Bank

Table A7:
TOTAL TRADE PATTERN BETWEEN US AND AGOA COUNTRIES
(BASED ON 37 AGOA ELIGIBLE COUNTRIES)
(US$ BN)
Year US Exports US Imports Trade Balance
2000 5.31 21.87 -16.57
2001 6.53 20.50 -13.97
2002 5.62 17.48 -11.85
2003 6.10 24.40 -18.30
2004 7.60 33.69 -26.09
2005 9.16 47.01 -37.84
2006 10.64 56.15 -45.51
SOURCE: US Department of Commerce (2007)

Table A8:
TRADE PATTERN BETWEEN US AND ATPDEA COUNTRIES
Year U.S. Exports ATPA/ATPDEA U.S. Imports ATPA/ATPDEA U.S. Trade
(US$ bn) Countries’ (US$ bn) Countries’ Balance
Share of Share of (US$ bn)
US Exports US Imports
to the World from the
World
2000 6.30 0.9 11.12 0.9 -4.82
2001 6.36 1.0 9.57 0.8 -3.21
2002 6.46 1.0 9.61 0.8 -3.15
2003 6.53 1.0 11.64 0.9 -5.11
2004 7.66 1.1 15.49 1.1 -7.83
2005 8.92 1.1 20.06 1.2 -11.14
2006 11.64 1.3 22.51 1.2 -10.87

SOURCE: U.S. Department of Commerce

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KEY SOURCES OF INFORMATION

1. Ministry of Commerce and Industry, Government of India


2. World Trade Organisation
3. Direction of Trade Statistics, International Monetary Fund
4. World Development Indicators, World Bank
5. Economist Intelligence Unit
6. Foreign Trade and Balance of Payments, Centre for Monitoring Indian
Economy (CMIE)
7. Institute of South East Asian Studies, Singapore
8. ASEAN Secretariat
9. Office of the United States Trade Representative, Government of United
States
10. United States Department of Commerce, Government of United States
11. European Commission

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EXPORT-IMPORT BANK OF INDIA


HEADQUARTERS
Centre One Building, 21st Floor,
World Trade Centre Complex,
Cuffe Parade, Mumbai 400 005.
Phone : (91 22) 22185272
Fax : (91 22) 22182572
E-mail : cag@eximbankindia.in
Website : www.eximbankindia.in
Indian Offices Overseas Offices
AHMEDABAD DAKAR
Sakar II, 1st Floor, First Floor, 7,
Next to Ellisbridge Shopping Centre rue Félix Faure,
Ellisbridge P.O. Ahmedabad 380 006. P.O. Box No. BP50666
Phone : (91 79) 26576852, 26576848; Fax : 26578271 Dakar, Senegal.
Email : eximbankahro@dataone.in Phone : (00 221) 338232849
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Ramanashree Arcade, 4th Floor, Email : eximdakar@eximbankindia.in
18 M. G. Road, Bangalore 560 001
Phone: (91 80) 25585755/25589101-04; Fax : 25589107 DUBAI
Email : eximbro@eth.net Level 5, Tenancy, 1B
Gate Precinct Building No. 3,
CHENNAI Dubai International Financial Centre,
UTI House, 1st Floor, P.O. Box No. 506541
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Phone : (91 44) 25224714, 25224749 Phone : (009714) 3637462
Fax : (91 44) 2522 4082 Fax : (009714) 3637461
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Hyderabad - 500 004.
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Email : eximhyd@vsnl.net 3-7 Temple Avenue
London EC4Y OHP
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PUNE Phone : (001 202) 2233238
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