Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
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CONTENTS
Page No.
List of Tables 5
List of Charts 7
List of Boxes 9
Executive Summary 11
1. Evolution of Regional Trade Agreements 22
2. Global Performance of RTAs 36
3. Trade Performance of Select Major Countries 62
4. India’s Engagements in Regional Trade Agreements 82
5. Emerging Trends in RTAs 125
6. The Way Forward: Major Observations and 141
Strategy Recommendations
Annexure
Table A1 FTAs Notified to the WTO Since 2000 161
Table A2 Merchandise Exports by Blocs (as % of global exports) 163
in Latin America & the Caribbean
Table A3 Merchandise Exports by Blocs (as % of global exports) 164
in Africa
Table A4 Merchandise Exports by Blocs (as % of global exports) 164
in Asia
Table A5 Merchandise Exports by Blocs (% of global exports) 164
in West Asia
Table A6 Merchandise Exports by Blocs (as % of global exports) 165
in Europe
Table A7 Trade pattern between US and AGOA countries 165
Table A8 Trade pattern between US and ATPDEA countries 165
Project Team:
Mr. Arijit Saraswati
Mr. Viswanath Jandhyala
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List of Tables
Table No. Title Pg. No.
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List of Charts
Chart No. Title Pg. No.
A Distribution of Agreements in Force 13
(based upon the Nature of Agreement)
1.1 Number of RTAs Notified to WTO and in Force 25
1.2 Distribution of RTAs Notified to WTO (% of total) 26
1.3 Number of RTAs Notified to WTO, Entering into 32
Force since 2000
2.1 RTAs in Force, by Year of Entry into Force 36
2.2 Trend in Number of FTAs Entered into Force Since 2000 37
3.1 Trend in Mexico’s Total Trade 63
3.2 Trend in Singapore’s Total Trade 68
3.3 Singapore’s Total Trade to GDP Ratio 69
3.4 Trend in Chile’s Total Trade 72
3.5 Trend in United States’ Total Trade 75
3.6 Trend in Turkey’s Total Trade 78
3.7 Turkey’s Total Trade to GDP Ratio 79
4.1 Trends in India-ASEAN Trade 99
4.2 Trends in India-Singapore Trade 104
4.3 Trends in India-Sri Lanka Trade 107
4.4 Trends in India-Thailand Trade 110
4.5 Trends in India-BIMSTEC Trade 114
4.6 Trends in India-Chile Trade 118
4.7 Trends in India-GCC Trade 120
4.8 Trends in India-Mauritius Trade 123
4.9 Trends in India-SACU Trade 124
5.1 % Share of Agreements Entering into Force 126
(based upon the Nature of Agreement)
5.2 Year wise Distribution of Agreements 127
(based upon the Nature of Agreement)
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List of Boxes
Box No. Title Pg. No.
1 Select Trading Blocs in America 38
2 Select Trading Blocs in Africa 41
3 Select Trading Blocs in Asia 44
4 Select Trading Blocs in West Asia 46
5 Select Trading Blocs in Europe 48
6 Pattern of Engagement in FTAs in America 51
7 Pattern of Engagement in FTAs in Africa 53
8 Pattern of Engagement in FTAs in Asia 54
9 Pattern of Engagement in FTAs in West Asia 56
10 Pattern of Engagement in FTAs in Europe 58
11 Pattern of Engagement in FTAs in CIS 60
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
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Chart A:
DISTRIBUTION OF AGREEMENTS IN FORCE
(BASED UPON THE NATURE OF AGREEMENT)
SOURCE: WTO
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these countries with their RTA partner in strengthening its trade relations
countries over the past five years has with especially developing countries.
also increased sharply. Moreover, An open and competitive internal
trade with RTA partner countries market and leadership in the
constitutes a major portion of the total multilateral trading systems have
trade of these countries. For example, boosted regionalism in the country.
in case of Mexico, trade with RTA Over the years, Turkey too has moved
partner countries constitutes around from a protected and state-directed
85% of Mexico’s global trade. system to a free market system –
Similarly, for Chile and Singapore resulting from trade reform initiatives,
trade with RTA partners constitutes liberalisation and tariff reduction.
as high as 80% and 63% respectively,
of their total trade. INDIA’S ENGAGEMENT IN
REGIONAL TRADE
The study also highlights some AGREEMENTS
of the key factors that promoted
India’s endeavour to foster its
regional trade agreements in these
international trade has also been
countries. In case of Mexico, the shift
well complemented by its efforts to
from an inward looking trade policy
promote regional trade. Target
to a more liberal, and outward
oriented trade policy, the presence of countries in India’s regional trade
Maquiladoras, offshore assembly initiatives cover various regions of
units, along the US-Mexico border and the world. In Asia, India made a
a number of export incentives foray in RTAs with an FTA with Sri
provided by Mexico have played an Lanka in 1998. This was followed
important role in fostering its trade by a Comprehensive Economic
relations with other countries both Cooperation Agreement (CECA) with
intra regionally and extra regionally. Singapore, an FTA with South Asian
With regard to Singapore, its pro- Association for Regional Cooperation
export, liberal trade policies and (SAARC) members (SAFTA) and with
elimination of most restrictions on the members of Bay of Bengal
imports boosted its trade Initiative for Multi-Sectoral Technical
engagements. Similarly, in case of and Economic Cooperation
Chile, prioritisation of ensuring access (BIMSTEC), a framework agreement
to larger markets in its for FTA with Thailand and a
multidimensional trade policy, framework agreement for CECA with
imposition of low and uniform ASEAN. With the establishment of
applied tariffs and a stable economy Joint Study Groups (JSGs), India has
were instrumental in the proliferation also initiated negotiations with a
of Chile’s engagement in RTAs. United number of countries like Korea,
States’ Trade Capacity Building (TCB) China, Japan, Russia, Malaysia and
efforts have played an important role Indonesia. These initiatives form an
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1. EVOLUTION OF REGIONAL
TRADE AGREEMENTS
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Chart 1.1:
NUMBER OF RTAS NOTIFIED TO WTO AND IN FORCE
(AS ON JULY 18, 2007)
SOURCE: WTO
Notation:
FTA: Free Trade Agreements
EIA: Economic Integration Agreements
CU: Customs Unions
PS: Partial Scope Agreements
AA: Accession Agreements
2 The term “economic integration agreement” has been used in the WTO
Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS) (Article V) in relation to agreements
that cover trade in services.
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Chart 1.2:
DISTRIBUTION OF RTAs NOTIFIED TO WTO (% OF TOTAL)
(AS ON JULY 18, 2007)
SOURCE: WTO
Further, FTAs are generally concerned other WTO members, which are not
with strategic market access, and are party to the said agreement, the
often not bound by any geographical WTO member nation departs from
considerations. In contrast, in a the WTO guiding principle of non-
customs union, members have to discrimination. However, since the
maintain a common external tariff underlying idea behind such
(CET), which requires coordination regional trade agreements is
and harmonisation of external trade believed to be enhancement of trade
policies amongst the member among countries, WTO allows the
countries, and geographical formation of such RTAs subject to
considerations often play an specific conditions.
important role in determining the
When a country enters into a
objectives of such an integration.
regional trade agreement, it
strengthens the ties among the
REGIONAL TRADE
member nations by elimination of
AGREEMENTS AND WTO
protectionist barriers such as tariffs,
According to WTO, by entering into quotas, and non-tariff barriers. This
a regional integration agreement and undoubtedly promotes trade of goods
by granting more favourable and services among the member
treatment to its trade with other countries. Supporters of RTAs argue
parties to the agreement vis-à-vis that these agreements facilitate trade
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WTO recognises that regional XXIV and GATS Article V, the WTO
trading arrangements and closer set up the Committee on Regional
economic integration can benefit Trade Agreements (CRTA) in
countries. It also recognises that under February 1996, following the
some circumstances regional trading Uruguay round of negotiations. The
arrangements could affect the trade committee ensures that such
interests of other countries. In regional agreements do not
particular, the arrangements should undermine the importance of the
help trade flow more freely among multilateral system. Its primary
the countries in the group without functions are to:
barriers being raised on trade with the
(i) oversee, under a single
outside world. In other words,
framework, all bilateral and
regional integration should
regional preferential trade
complement the multilateral trading
agreements;
system and not threaten it.
(ii) develop procedures to facilitate
Thus, article XXIV of GATT says
and improve the examination
that if a free trade area or customs
process; and
union is created, duties and other
trade barriers should be reduced or (iii) consider the implications of
removed on substantially all sectors such agreements and regional
of trade in the group. Non-members initiatives for the multilateral
should not find trade with the group trading system.
any more restrictive than before the
group was set up. Similarly, Article V RTAs between developing
of the General Agreement on Trade countries, when notified to the WTO
in Services (GATS) provides for under the Enabling Clause, are, in
economic integration agreements in principle, not subject to review by the
services. Other provisions in the WTO Committee. WTO members are
agreements (Enabling Clause) allow required to notify regional trade
developing countries to enter into agreements to the CRTA to ensure that
regional or global agreements that WTO requirements are met. Such
include the reduction or elimination notified agreements are then carefully
of tariffs and non-tariff barriers on examined and scrutinised by other
trade among themselves. WTO members for WTO compliance.
As has been highlighted by the
WTO’s Committee on Regional Declaration from the WTO Ministerial
Trade Agreements Conference in Doha, regional trade
With a view to ensure that regional agreements can play an important role
integration agreements are consistent in fostering liberalisation and
with WTO rules, under GATT Article expansion of trade, and in fostering
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Chart 1.3:
NUMBER OF RTAs NOTIFIED TO WTO, ENTERING INTO FORCE SINCE
2000 (AS ON JULY 18, 2007)
SOURCE: WTO
Table 1.1:
NUMBER OF RTAs NOTIFIED TO WTO, 2000 TO 2007 (UPTO JULY 18)
Type of Agreement 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Total
FTA 8 11 10 9 16 10 11 3 78
EIA 1 6 4 3 6 8 8 1 37
AA 1 1 2 1 5
CU 2 1 3
PS 1 1
Total No. of RTAs 11 17 15 15 24 18 19 5 124
SOURCE: WTO
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liberalise when other countries are RTAs have been found to be very
doing the same. useful in this context. The need for
such agreements has arisen from a
Another way in which an FTA
number of socio-economic, political
could contribute to the welfare of its
and security considerations. RTAs
members is by providing insurance
have also proved to encourage
against possible future events to at
investment, facilitate preferential
least one of the members. The desire
access to larger competitive markets
to increase bargaining power with
respect to third parties is also often and accelerate economic growth. It
cited as a reason why countries may is important to ensure that regional
wish to join a RTA. trade agreements become building
blocks to world trade and not
CONCLUSION stumbling blocks to achieving the
universal goal of global
Bilateral regional trade agreements amalgamation. RTAs are increasingly
continue to proliferate, across the being viewed as a link between
globe, as progress on the WTO developing and developed countries
based multilateral trade talks has towards the common goal of
remained subdued and talks mostly economic development.
inconclusive in recent times. The
gradual erosion of faith in The following chapters deal with
multilateralism has given a new some of the major RTAs that came
thrust to the concept of regionalism into force in many countries and
as a highly effective tool for regions of the world, how they have
expanding international trade, proved to be a gateway to global
economic cooperation and global trade, and what India can learn from
integration. the international experience.
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SOURCE: WTO
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SOURCE: WTO
* as on July 18, 2007
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blocs around the globe as a result Americas, the ASEAN and SAARC in
of the willingness on part of Asia, and COMESA and SADC in
countries to enhance and foster Africa could be identified as crucial
trade relationship with other nations. developments in regional economic
At one time, countries entered into integration in Asia and Africa. The
agreements with only neighbouring following section discusses the major
countries. However, geographical trade blocs across the globe and
constraints cease to be a hindrance their corresponding intra-regional
today and countries are rapidly trade performances.
entering into trade relations with
distant countries as well. Trade blocs Major Trading Blocs in
have emerged in all regions of the America
world including America, Asia, The main trading blocs in North
Africa, Europe, and West Asia. While America, Latin America and
the MERCOSUR and NAFTA have Caribbean region are presented in
emerged as major blocs in the Box 1 below.
Box 1:
SELECT TRADING BLOCS IN AMERICA
Trade Bloc Year of Formation Members
Central American 1961 Costa Rica, El Salvador,
Common Market (CACM) (revived in 1990) Guatemala, Honduras,
Nicaragua
Andean Community 1969 Bolivia, Colombia, Ecuador,
(CAN) (revived in 1990) Peru, Venezuela
Caribbean Community 1973 Antigua & Barbuda,
and Common Market Barbados, Belize,
(CARICOM) San Cristobal, Dominica,
Grenada, Guyana, Jamaica,
Montserret, St. Kitts & Nevis,
St. Lucia, St. Vincent &
the Grenadines,
Trinidad and Tobago
Latin American Integration 1980 Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil,
Association (LAIA) Chile, Colombia, Cuba,
Ecuador, Mexico, Paraguay,
Peru, Uruguay, Venezuela
Southern Cone Common 1991 Argentina, Brazil,
Market (MERCOSUR) Paraguay, Uruguay
North American Free 1994 Canada, Mexico,
Trade Agreement (NAFTA) United States
Free Trade Agreement 1994 Almost the entire of America,
of America (FTAA) excluding Cuba
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Table 2.1:
TREND IN TRADE PERFORMANCE OF AMERICAN TRADE BLOCS
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Merchandise Exports within Blocs (US$ bn)
CACM 2.2 2.6 2.7 2.8 3.2 3.6 4.1
Andean Group 3.9 5.3 5.6 5.1 5.2 7.3 9.5
CARICOM 1.1 1.1 1.4 1.2 1.4 1.7 2.1
LAIA (ALADI) 34.8 42.9 40.8 36.1 39.9 55.8 70.4
MERCOSUR 15.3 17.8 15.2 10.2 12.7 17.4 21.1
FTAA 734.9 855.7 810.4 787.2 826.3 967.7 1110.7
NAFTA 581.2 676.1 639.4 626.0 651.1 737.6 824.6
Merchandise Exports within Blocs (% of total bloc exports)
CACM 13.6 19.1 22.8 19.5 20.2 20.9 18.9
Andean Group 8.8 8.7 10.5 9.5 8.9 8.6 8.2
CARICOM 16.9 14.7 16.5 13.7 12.3 12.5 11.8
LAIA (ALADI) 12.7 12.8 12.8 11.2 11.4 12.6 13.2
MERCOSUR 20.6 20.0 17.1 11.5 11.9 12.7 12.9
FTAA 59.7 60.7 60.5 60.8 60.0 60.0 60.3
NAFTA 54.6 55.7 55.5 56.6 56.1 55.9 55.8
SOURCE: World Development Indicators 2007, World Bank, Washington DC.
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Table 2.2:
TREND IN TRADE PERFORMANCE OF AFRICAN TRADE BLOCS
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Merchandise Exports within Blocs (US$ bn)
COMESA 1.4 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.4 2.9 3.3
EAC 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9
ECOWAS 2.4 2.8 2.4 3.2 3.1 4.5 5.7
SADC 4.2 4.3 3.8 4.3 5.4 6.4 6.4
UEMOA 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.4
Merchandise Exports within Bloc (as % of total bloc exports)
COMESA 7.4 6.1 7.9 7.4 7.4 6.8 5.9
EAC 14.4 20.5 21.4 19.3 18.2 16.6 15.0
ECOWAS 10.4 7.9 8.5 10.9 8.6 9.4 9.5
SADC 11.9 9.3 8.6 9.5 9.8 9.5 7.7
UEMOA 13.1 13.1 12.7 12.2 13.3 12.9 13.4
SOURCE: World Development Indicators 2007, World Bank
trade beyond the region by member A key trading bloc in the Asian
countries. It may be interesting to note region is ASEAN which was
that for EAC and UEMOA, although established in 1967 in Bangkok by the
in absolute terms intra-bloc exports five original Member Countries,
are extremely modest, but these two namely, Indonesia, Malaysia,
blocs show the highest share of intra- Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand.
bloc exports as percentage of global Brunei Darussalam joined in 1984,
exports of these blocs. Vietnam in 1995, Laos and Myanmar
in 1997, and Cambodia became a
Major Trading Blocs in Asia member in 1999. The ASEAN region
(South, South-East and East has a combined gross domestic
Asia) product of almost US$ 700 billion, and
In the Asian region, the main trade total trade of about US$ 850 billion.
blocs include ASEAN, Bangkok The main focus of the association was
Agreement, SAARC, and EAEC. The to accelerate equitable economic
member countries and year of growth, social progress and cultural
formation of these select blocs is development in the region, to
discussed in the following Box 3. promote regional peace and stability
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Box 3:
SELECT TRADING BLOCS IN ASIA
Trade Bloc Year of Formation Members
ASEAN 1967 Brunei, Cambodia,
(Association of Indonesia, Laos,
South East Malaysia, Myanmar,
Asian Nations) Philippines, Singapore,
Thailand, Vietnam
Bangkok agreement 1975 Bangladesh, China, India,
Korea, Sri Lanka
SAARC (South Asia 1985 Bangladesh, Bhutan, India,
Association for Regional Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan,
Cooperation) Sri Lanka
EAEC 1990 Brunei, China,
(East Asia Economic Hong Kong (China),
Caucus) Indonesia, Japan, Korea,
Malaysia, Philippines,
Singapore, Taiwan (China),
Thailand
in the region, facilitate free flow of The East Asia Economic Caucus
capital, and reduction of poverty and is a regional free trade zone (FTA)
socio-economic disparities. Singapore proposed in 1990 by Malaysia
and Thailand are the most important encompassing six ASEAN member
member countries in ASEAN states and China, South Korea and
accelerating trade and economic Japan. The more recent ‘ASEAN plus
performance of the bloc. three’ initiative is likely to be a more
concrete and operational
SAARC focuses on welfare of the
manifestation of the East Asia
people of South Asia and aims to
Economic Caucus.
accelerate economic growth, social
progress and cultural development in Apart from these there is APEC,
the region, promote and strengthen which is the only inter governmental
collective self-reliance among the grouping in the world operating on
countries of South Asia and mutual the basis of non-binding commitments
collaboration and assistance in various and open dialogue. APEC has no
fields. The Fourteenth SAARC Summit treaty obligations required of its
was held in April 2007 in New Delhi. participants which include a host of
India has been playing a crucial role countries from Asia, Pacific and
in SAARC to foster economic growth Americas. Decisions made within
in the region. APEC are reached by consensus and
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Table 2.3:
TREND IN TRADE PERFORMANCE OF ASIAN TRADE BLOCS
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Merchandise Exports within Blocs (US$ bn)
ASEAN 77.9 98.1 86.3 91.7 101.1 122.9 143.0
EAEC 612.4 772.4 698.6 779.4 941.0 1177.3 1335.0
Bangkok agreement 14.5 16.8 16.7 18.0 21.8 24.9 29.5
SAARC 2.2 2.6 2.8 3.4 4.9 5.7 7.1
APEC 1896.2 2261.8 2071.0 2168.7 2420.7 2905.3 3287.0
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the same period from 1999 to 2005, These agreements in the Arab
EAEC has grown at a compounded region were established primarily to
rate of 13.8%. The share of intra-bloc increase intra-regional trade, through
exports of ASEAN in total bloc exports removal of trade barriers, enhance
has remained steady at around 22% mutual production efficiency by
during the period. exploiting comparative advantage and
scale economies, optimum utilisation
Though the intra-bloc
of natural resources of the region for
merchandise exports of SAARC have
collective growth, enhance
more than tripled since 1999 to 2005,
competition within domestic markets,
the magnitude of exports still remains
improve terms of trade by decreasing
relatively low being US$ 7 billion in
import prices and fostering economic
2005. The low level of economic
growth through the dynamic effects
cooperation among the members of
of regional integration.
SAARC is evident from the low share
of intra-bloc exports in total bloc Though these trade blocs have,
exports, being only 5.5% in 2005. to some extent, integrated the markets
of West Asia, the share of
Major Trading Blocs in West merchandise exports of these trade
Asia blocs in total world exports has been
low9, with the corresponding share
In the West Asian region, the main
of GAFTA being the highest in the
trade blocs include the Arab
region at 4.4%. .
Common Market, GAFTA and GCC.
The member countries and year of In the West Asian region, as
formation of these select blocs is shown in Table 2.4, the intra-bloc
discussed in the following Box 4. merchandise exports of GAFTA have
Box 4:
SELECT TRADING BLOCS IN WEST ASIA
Trade Bloc Year of Formation Members
Arab Common Market 1964 Egypt, Iraq, Jordan, Libya,
Mauritania, Syria, Yemen
GCC 1981 Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman,
(Gulf Cooperation Qatar, Saudi Arabia,
Council) United Arab Emirates
GAFTA (Greater Arab 1997 Bahrain, Egypt, Iraq, Jordan,
Free Trade Agreement) Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya,
Morocco, Oman, Palestine,
Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Sudan,
Syria, Tunisia, United Arab
Emirates, Yemen.
9 Refer to Table A5 in Annexure for Merchandise Exports by Blocs (% of
global exports) in West Asia
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Table 2.4:
TREND IN TRADE PERFORMANCE OF WEST ASIAN TRADE BLOCS
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Merchandise Exports within Blocs (US$ bn)
Arab Common Market 1.0 1.3 1.7 2.0 1.8 6.3 7.1
GAFTA 13.8 16.2 17.5 19.2 21.5 35.6 44.8
GCC 7.3 8.0 8.1 8.9 9.6 12.5 16.5
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Box 5:
SELECT TRADING BLOCS IN EUROPE
Trade Bloc Year of Formation Members
European Union 1957 Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria,
(EU) Cyprus, Czech Republic,
Denmark, Estonia, Finland,
France, Germany, Greece,
Hungary, Ireland, Italy,
Latvia, Lithuania,
Luxembourg, Malta,
Netherlands, Poland,
Portugal, Romania, Slovakia,
Slovenia, Spain, Sweden,
United Kingdom
European Free 1960 Iceland, Liechtenstein,
Trade Area (EFTA) Norway, Switzerland
Central European 1992 Bulgaria, Czech republic,
Free Trade Area Hungary, Poland, Romania,
(CEFTA) Slovak Republic, Slovenia
Euro-Mediterranean 1995 European Union, Algeria,
Free Trade Area Cyprus, Egypt, Israel, Jordan,
(EMFTA) Lebanon, Malta, Morocco,
Syrian Arab Republic,
Tunisia, Turkey, West Bank
and Gaza
and financial stability. The agreements bloc is the European Union whose
also emphasised on fair trade between share in total world exports has also
members and, removal of trade been close to 40% during the past
barriers to contribute to the balanced decade10. These reveal the magnitude
development and expansion of world of trade that takes place in these blocs.
trade.
Table 2.5 shows that the intra-
EMFTA is one of the most bloc merchandise exports of EMFTA
influential and significant regional and EU, which comprise of most of
trade blocs in terms of its contribution the developed industrialised nations
to total world exports. More than 40% of Europe, have been more than US$
of the world exports, since 1990, are 2.8 trillion and US$ 2.6 trillion
accounted for by EMFTA. Another respectively in 2005. Moreover, this
very important and powerful trading magnitude of exports, which accounts
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Table 2.5:
TREND IN TRADE PERFORMANCE OF EUROPEAN TRADE BLOCS
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Merchandise Exports within Blocs (US$ bn)
CEFTA 13.2 15.1 17.1 19.2 25.3 37.5 48.7
EMFTA 1700.9 1744.7 1737.3 1857.6 2253.5 2706.3 2883.5
EU 1579.1 1608.2 1612.6 1721.1 2087.3 2482.4 2642.6
Merchandise Exports within Bloc (as % of total bloc exports)
CEFTA 13.8 9.9 8.0 7.3 14.6 14.2 14.6
EMFTA 70.4 69.3 68.3 68.5 69.4 69.2 68.3
EU 67.8 66.8 66.2 66.3 67.2 66.8 66.0
SOURCE: World Development Indicators 2007, World Bank, Washington DC.
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Table 2.6:
TREND IN TRADE PERFORMANCE OF CIS TRADE BLOC
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Merchandise Exports within Bloc (US$ bn)
CIS 20.8 27.0 22.3 28.0 36.5 40.4 55.5
Merchandise Exports within Bloc (as % of total bloc exports)
CIS 20.7 19.2 18.2 18.8 19.6 16.6 17.1
SOURCE: World Development Indicators 2007, World Bank, Washington DC.
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Box 6:
PATTERN OF ENGAGEMENT IN FTAs IN AMERICA
Major Intra Regional Extra Regional
Participating Agreement with Agreement with Agreement with
Country Country Country Bloc
Chile Canada (1997) Korea (2004) EU (2003)
Mexico (1999) China (2006) EFTA (2004)
Costa Rica (2002)
El Salvador (2002)
United States (2004)
Mexico Costa Rica (1995) Israel (2000) EU (2000)
Nicaragua (1998) Japan (2005) EFTA (2001)
Chile (1999)
Honduras (2001)
Guatemala (2001)
El Salvador (2001)
USA Chile (2004) Israel (1985)
Dominican Republic- Jordan (2001)
Central America Singapore (2004)
(2006) Australia (2005)
Bahrain (2006)
Morocco (2006)
Canada Chile (1997) Israel (1997)
Costa Rica (2002)
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Box 7:
PATTERN OF ENGAGEMENT IN FTAs IN AFRICA
Major Participating Extra Regional
Country Agreement with Country Agreement with Bloc
Tunisia Turkey (2005) EU (1998)
EFTA (2005)
Morocco United States (2006) EFTA (1999)
Turkey (2006) EU (2000)
South Africa EU (2000)
Egypt EU (2004)
Algeria EU (2005)
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Box 8:
PATTERN OF ENGAGEMENT IN FTAs IN ASIA
Major Intra Regional Extra Regional
Participating Agreement with Agreement with Agreement with
Country Country Country Bloc
China Hong Kong (2004) Chile (2006)
Macao (2004)
Singapore Japan (2002) New Zealand (2001) EFTA (2003)
India (2005) Australia (2003)
Korea (2006) United States (2004)
Jordan (2005)
Panama (2006)
Thailand Australia (2005) New Zealand (2005)
Japan Singapore (2002) Mexico (2005)
Malaysia (2006)
Korea Singapore (2006) Chile (2004) EFTA (2006)
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Korea too expanded its trade from US$ 23.5 billion in 2002
relations within the region by to US$ 31.7 billion in 2005.
engaging in an agreement with Singapore has also entered into
Singapore in 2006. It has also an FTA with EFTA to tap the
entered into an accord with potential of the European
EFTA in the same year, to gain market rather than by targeting
access to the vast European individual countries. Interestingly,
market. It has also maintained Singapore has diverse extra
trade relations in the Latin regional trade pursuits, ranging
American region with its FTA from the Pacific region with
with Chile in 2004. agreements with New Zealand
and Australia; in the North
Being well knit among the American region with agreement
Asian region with its with United States; and in West
membership in important trade Asia with Jordan. The exports
blocs like ASEAN and EAEC, of Singapore to New Zealand
Thailand has been outward have shown an increase from
oriented in its approach to US$ 0.4 billion in 2001 to US$
explore new markets by 1.1 billion in 2005 and exports
focusing its attention on the to Australia have shot up from
Pacific region by FTAs with US$ 4.6 billion in 2003 to US$
Australia and New Zealand in 8.4 billion in 2005. It has
2005. recently ventured to tap the
market potential of Latin
Singapore has been the most America with its agreement with
aggressive among all Asian Panama in 2006. This pattern of
countries in terms of its Singapore’s aggressive
engagement in trade agreements involvement in trade accords
both within and outside the has caught the attention of
region. It is interesting to note many countries in the world
that Singapore has been due the highly successful nature
continuously engaged in new of Singapore’s trade relations.
agreements with countries since
2001. Intra-regionally it has Free Trade Agreements in
agreements with emerging West Asia
markets like Japan, India and In the West Asian region, most
latest with Korea in 2006. As a countries are integrated among
result of its engagement in FTA themselves bound by regional
with Japan in 2002, the total trading blocs like GAFTA, GCC,
volume of trade between Arab Common Market and Arab
Singapore and Japan increased Maghreb Union. The largest among
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Box 9:
PATTERN OF ENGAGEMENT IN FTAs IN WEST ASIA
Major Participating Extra Regional
Country Agreement with Country Agreement with Bloc
Israel USA (1985) EFTA (1993)
Canada (1997) EU (2000)
Turkey (1997)
Mexico (2000)
Jordan United States (2001) EFTA (2002)
Singapore (2005) EU (2002)
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Box 10:
PATTERN OF ENGAGEMENT IN FTAs IN EUROPE
Major Intra Regional Extra Regional
Participating Agreement with Agreement with Agreement with
Country/ Bloc Country Bloc Country
Albania FYROM (2002) EU (2006) Moldova (2004)
UNMIK (Kosovo)
(2003)
Croatia (2003)
Bosnia and
Herzegovina (2004)
Serbia Montenegro
(2004)
Croatia FYROM (1997) EFTA (2002) Moldova (2004)
Bosnia and EU (2002)
Herzegovina (2001)
Albania (2003)
Turkey (2003)
Serbia and
Montenegro (2004)
Turkey FYROM (2000) EFTA (1992) Israel (1997)
Bosnia and Tunisia (2005)
Herzegovina (2003) Palestine (2005)
Croatia (2003) Morocco (2006)
Syria (2007)
EFTA Turkey (1992) Israel (1993)
FYROM (2001) Morocco (1999)
Croatia (2002) Palestine (1999)
Mexico (2001)
Jordan (2002)
Singapore (2003)
Chile (2004)
Tunisia (2005)
Korea (2006)
Lebanon (2007)
Egypt (2007)
EU Ice Land (1973) Syria (1977)
Norway (1973) Palestine (1997)
Switzerland and Tunisia (1998)
Liechtenstein (1973) Mexico (2000)
FYROM (2001) Israel (2000)
Croatia (2002) Morocco (2000)
Albania (2006) South Africa (2000)
Jordan (2002)
Chile (2003)
Lebanon (2003)
Egypt (2004)
Algeria (2005)
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Box 11:
PATTERN OF ENGAGEMENT IN FTAs IN CIS
Major Participating Intra Regional Extra Regional
Country Agreement with Country Agreement with Country
Armenia Russian Federation (1993)
Moldova (1995)
Kyrgyz Republic (1995)
Ukraine (1996)
Turkmenistan (1996)
Georgia (1998)
Kazakhstan (2001)
Georgia Russian Federation (1994)
Azerbaijan (1996)
Ukraine (1996)
Armenia (1998)
Kazakhstan (1999)
Turkmenistan (2000)
Kyrgyz Republic Russian Federation (1993)
Armenia (1995)
Kazakhstan (1995)
Moldova (1996)
Uzbekistan (1998)
Ukraine (1998)
Moldova Armenia (1995) Bosnia and
Kyrgyz Republic (1996) Herzegovina (2004)
FYROM (2004)
Serbia and
Montenegro (2004)
Albania (2004)
Croatia (2004)
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3. TRADE PERFORMANCE OF
SELECT MAJOR COUNTRIES
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since the formation of NAFTA, a major trade of Mexico too increased since
trading bloc in North America, in 2001, after a marginal decline from
1994. Its engagement with Costa Rica, 2000 to 2001. However, the impact
Nicaragua, Chile, Israel, and EU of these RTAs on Mexico’s trade
during 1995 to 2000 has resulted in a performance could be seen more
steady increase in Mexico’s total clearly since 2003, when total trade
volume of trade. As a result of its increased at a faster pace. Mexico’s
engagement in RTAs with these engagement with Japan in 2005 is
countries, Mexico’s total trade, further likely to boost the total trade
increased from around US$ 152 billion of Mexico in the coming years.
in 1995 to US$ 343 billion in 2000. Having seen the overall trade
Mexico’s total trade with EU increased performance of Mexico since 1995, it
from US$ 20.6 billion in 2000 to US$ is pertinent to particularly analyse
34.2 billion in 2005. Mexico has Mexico’s trade performance over the
engaged in around four RTAs during past five years from 2000 to 2005, with
2001 with Latin American countries its RTA partner countries (refer Table
and EFTA. Subsequently the total 3.2).
Table 3.2:
MEXICO’S TRADE PERFORMANCE WITH RTA PARTNERS (US$ MN)
2000 2005
Exports Imports Exports Imports
Costa Rica 286 180 Costa Rica 421 883
Nicaragua 93 27 Nicaragua 324 159
Chile 431 894 Chile 668 1754
Honduras 204 13 Honduras 240 105
Guatemala 535 91 Guatemala 864 222
El Salvador 246 20 El Salvador 472 59
Israel 55 297 Israel 87 371
Japan 931 6466 Japan 1470 13078
United States 147400 127534 United States 183563 118547
Canada 3340 4017 Canada 4234 6169
European Union 5710 14938 European Union 9088 25182
EFTA 586 851 EFTA 153 1236
Total Trade with 96.16 87.73 Total Trade with 94.10 75.63
RTA Partners as RTA Partners as
% of Total Trade % of Total Trade
NOTE: United States and Canada have been included as they are members of
NAFTA
SOURCE: Direction of Trade Statistics 2006 Year Book, IMF.
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Chart 3.2:
TREND IN SINGAPORE’S TOTAL TRADE
Singapore’s total trade has clearly 2001, Japan in 2002, Australia and
shown an increasing trend especially EFTA in 2003, United States in 2004,
after 2001, after a somewhat steady India and Jordan in 2005 and with
and subdued pattern of total trade Panama in 2006. As a result of such
averaging around US$ 243 billion enthusiastic pursuits, the total trade
during the period 1995 to 2001. This of Singapore has risen from US$ 237
structural change in the pattern of billion in 2001 to nearly US$ 400
Singapore’s total trade since 2001 billion in 2005, increasing by more
could well be attributed to its open than US$ 160 billion in just four years.
and liberal attitude during the post- The compound growth rate of
2001 period. This change in attitude Singapore’s total trade has been only
is clearly evident from the fact that 2.37% per annum during 1995 to 2000.
all its trade agreements have entered On the other hand, the corresponding
into force only after 2001. compounded growth rate for
Singapore during 2001 to 2005, during
It is also interesting to note that which it entered into all its trade
Singapore has been continuously engagements, was as high as 13.6%.
exploring new markets through trade This clearly shows the positive impact
agreements. It has entered into trade that RTAs have had on Singapore’s
agreements with New Zealand in trade performance.
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Chart 3.3:
SINGAPORE’S TOTAL TRADE TO GDP RATIO
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Table 3.3:
SINGAPORE’S TRADE PERFORMANCE WITH RTA PARTNERS (US$ MN)
2000 2005
Exports Imports Exports Imports
Japan 10404 23189 Japan 12536 19244
India 2871 1076 India 5897 4079
Korea 4916 4822 Korea 8053 8599
New Zealand 370 192 New Zealand 1164 320
Australia 3222 2298 Australia 8429 2910
United States 23891 20270 United States 23880 23482
Jordan 16 2 Jordan 34 3
Panama 1010 16 Panama 1908 44
EFTA 641 2472 EFTA 895 2715
Brunei 486 266 Brunei 496 149
Cambodia 426 75 Cambodia 303 100
Indonesia - - Indonesia 22109 10452
Laos 30 1 Laos 40 1
Malaysia 25041 22848 Malaysia 30405 27347
Myanmar 436 110 Myanmar 596 108
Philippines 3387 3358 Philippines 4185 4650
Thailand 5872 5801 Thailand 9431 7518
Vietnam 2091 820 Vietnam 4421 1814
Total Trade with 61.7 65.1 Total Trade with 65.0 59.8
RTA Partners as RTA Partners as
% of Total Trade % of Total Trade
NOTE: Brunei Darussalam, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar,
Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam are considered since they are members of
ASEAN.
SOURCE: Direction of Trade Statistics 2006 Year Book, IMF.
to more than US$ 40 billion in 2005, Among the RTA partners, exports
with Hong Kong from nearly US$ 12 to Japan have recorded an increase
billion to US$ 25 billion, and with of US$ 2 billion and to Australia an
European Union from nearly US$ increase of over US$ 5 billion during
33 billion to US$ 50 billion. the five year period. Imports from
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multilateral, regional and bilateral in RTAs has been able to boost the
trade. trade performance of a country.
Chile’s total trade has increased
Analysis of impact of RTAs on rapidly especially since 2002. An
Chile’s Trade Performance observation of the pattern of Chile’s
engagement in RTAs reveals that most
The main trading partners of Chile,
of its engagements have been post
with whom it is engaged in RTAs
2002 during which it entered into
are Korea and China in Asia,
agreements with Costa Rica, El
European Union and EFTA in
Salvador, EU, Korea, United States,
Europe and United States, Canada, EFTA and recently with China in 2006.
Mexico, Costa Rica and El Salvador
in America. Chile has also been a During the period post 2002,
part of the Latin American Chile’s total trade, doubled from US$
Integration Association (LAIA) when 35 billion in 2002 to more than US$
it was created in 1980 and is thus 71 billion in 2005. The total trade of
well integrated with most Latin Chile has been growing at a
American countries as well. Chart compounded annual growth rate of
3.4 highlights the trade performance around 2% since 1999 to 2002,
of Chile during the past decade. compared to a growth rate of more
than 26% with RTA Partners post 2002
An investigation of Chile’s trade till 2005 which further attests to the
pattern over the decade too sub- positive impact of RTAs on the
stantiates the point that engagement country’s trade performance.
Chart 3.4:
TREND IN CHILE’S TOTAL TRADE
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Table 3.4:
CHILE’S TRADE PERFORMANCE WITH RTA PARTNERS (US$ MN)
2000 2005
Exports Imports Exports Imports
European Union 4537 2911 European Union 9068 5041
Korea 796 535 Korea 2192 1560
China 906 950 China 4390 2535
United States 3243 3297 United States 6248 4722
Canada 243 510 Canada 1069 406
Mexico 818 615 Mexico 1582 765
Costa Rica 50 4 Costa Rica 116 9
El Salvador 15 2 El Salvador 85 2
EFTA 166 151 EFTA 100 203
Argentina 637 2869 Argentina 626 4791
Bolivia 166 30 Bolivia 211 38
Brazil 953 1332 Brazil 1728 3782
Colombia 237 205 Colombia 347 344
Cuba 36 1 Cuba 43 2
Ecuador 158 254 Ecuador 341 246
Mexico 818 615 Mexico 1582 765
Paraguay 47 67 Paraguay 40 118
Peru 439 256 Peru 724 1106
Uruguay 62 59 Uruguay 73 -
Venezuela 229 237 Venezuela 358 135
Total Trade with 75.4 80.4 Total Trade with 78.2 82.2
RTA Partners as RTA Partners as
% of Total Trade % of Total Trade
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From the above table, it can be has given priority to improving and
noticed that Chile’s trade with RTA ensuring access to the larger markets
partners constitutes a very major part for its goods and services and to
of Chile’s total trade, exports to RTA stimulate domestic and foreign
partners contributing to more than investment. It has been in vigourous
78% of total exports and imports more pursuit of trade liberalisation.
than 82% of total imports in 2005,
which also indicates the high level of Chile pioneered trade
success and effectiveness of Chile’s liberalisation in Latin America in the
RTAs. The share of exports and mid-1970s, by eliminating non-tariff
imports to RTA partners in total barriers to trade and simplifying tariff
exports and imports has increased structures. Chile’s trade policies have
from 75% and 80% respectively in laid emphasis on a model of export-
2000, reflecting the positive impact led growth through free markets since
of RTA over the years. the mid-1970s. This has resulted in
Among the RTA partners, the the introduction of a single import
countries that have primarily been tariff rate in 1979, a policy that
responsible for enhancing Chile’s total continues even today. During 1999
trade include United States and the to 2003, Chile’s applied MFN tariff was
European Union. Chile’s total trade unilaterally phased down from 11 per
with United States increased from US$ cent to 6 per cent. This low and
6.5 billion in 2000 to nearly US$ 11 uniform applied tariff has been
billion in 2005 and with the European fundamental in enabling Chile to
Union doubling from US$ 7.4 billion negotiate trade agreements bilaterally
to US$ 14 bn. Chile’s total trade with with different partners. Moreover, due
China has also increased from US$ to tariff concessions granted through
1.8 billion in 2000 to nearly US$ trade preference agreements Chile’s
7 billion in 2005, even before the trade-weighted average import tariff
establishment of the trade agreement. rate was less than 2% in 2006.
Bilateral trade between these two
nations is expected to further expand Such trade policies have led to a
in the coming years. profound change in the structure of
Chile’s economy. The opening of
An overview of Chile’s Trade Chile’s economy has enabled exports
Policy of goods and services to grow at an
Chile being a relatively small annual average rate of 8% in real
economy with a GDP size of terms and imports of goods and
US$ 145 billion in 2006, is highly services to expand by an annual
dependant on foreign trade. average of 10.4% between 1990 and
Consequently, over the past few 2006. Exports of goods and services
years, Chile’s has adopted a accounted for 45.4% of GDP in 2006,
multidimensional trade policy, which up from a 14-year low of 26% in 1998.
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Table 3.5:
UNITED STATES’ TRADE PERFORMANCE WITH RTA PARTNERS (US$ MN)
2000 2005
Exports Imports Exports Imports
Chile 3382 3602 Chile 5198 7446
Dominican Republic 4423 4474 Dominican Republic 4708 4721
Jordan 304 75 Jordan 643 1320
Australia 12332 6693 Australia 15771 7677
Bahrain 411 345 Bahrain 351 455
Israel 7675 12900 Israel 9732 17129
Morocco 530 465 Morocco 528 474
Singapore 17497 19630 Singapore 20647 15388
Canada 174616 229191 Canada 211420 291944
Mexico 108751 135080 Mexico 120049 172485
Total Trade with 42.7 33.3 Total Trade with 43.0 30.0
RTA Partners as RTA Partners as
% of Total Trade % of Total Trade
SOURCE: Direction of Trade Statistics 2006 Year Book, IMF.
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increased by over US$ 6 billion during total trade between them has seen a
the last 5 years, reaching a level of significant rise from US$ 27 billion in
US$ 26.8 billion in 2005. United States’ 2000 to more than US$ 66 billion in
trade with Australia increased from 2006. Similarly, the total trade
US$ 19 billion in 2000 to US$ 23 between US and ATPDEA countries,
billion in 2005. comprising four Andean countries,
increased from US$ 17 billion in 2000
An overview of United States’ to US$ 34.15 billion in 2006.
Trade Policy Trade Capacity Building (TCB) is
The United States is one of the most a critical part of the United States’
advanced economies in the world strategy to enable developing
and is the world’s leading economic countries to negotiate and implement
power, with GDP amounting to US$ market-opening and reform-oriented
13.2 trillion in 2006. Moreover the trade agreements. The United States
US economy is exceptionally diverse is currently the largest single-country
and is self-sufficient in most raw provider of trade related assistance,
materials, with the notable exception which includes trade-related physical
of oil. The steady growth in the US infrastructure assistance. Total U. S.
economy during the past could be funding for TCB activities in 2005 was
largely attributed to the rapidly $1.34 billion, up 46 percent since
expanding exports of the country. 2004.
United States gives high priority US has reduced the overall tariff
to the integration of developing burden to a large extent. The average
countries into the multilateral trading rate on all goods is about 4%,
system. To enhance market access according to the World Bank, and
opportunities for less developed zero tariffs apply to almost one third
countries, the United States provided of national tariff lines. When GSP and
duty-free access for most products other preferences are taken into
from developing countries through account, the U.S. trade weighted
several preferential trade programmes average tariff is just 1.4 percent on
like the Generalised System of an applied basis.
Preferences (GSP), the African US has been promoting trade
Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA), liberalisation, and has taken concrete
the Caribbean Basin Trade Partnership initiatives towards its promotion. The
Act (CBTPA) and the Andean Trade fundamental features of U.S. trade
Preference and Drug Eradication Act policy include maintenance of an
(ATPDEA). As a result of the open, competitive market at home,
incentives given by US to the AGOA compliance with WTO obligations,
beneficiary countries, which comprise and leadership in the multilateral
39 Sub-Saharan African countries, the trading system.
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Chart 3.6:
TREND IN TURKEY’S TOTAL TRADE
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Chart 3.7:
TURKEY’S TOTAL TRADE TO GDP RATIO
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Table 3.6:
TURKEY’S TRADE PERFORMANCE WITH RTA PARTNERS (US$ MN)
2000 2005
Exports Imports Exports Imports
Bosnia & Herzegovina 27 7 Bosnia & Herzegovina 128 15
Croatia 24 25 Croatia 168 86
Macedonia 108 10 Macedonia 162 52
Israel 650 505 Israel 1467 803
Morocco 70 73 Morocco 370 143
Palestine Palestine
Syria 184 545 Syria 552 272
Tunisia 162 65 Tunisia 295 117
European Union 15086 27388 European Union 38400 49155
EFTA 324 1155 EFTA 816 4435
Total Trade with 59.9 54.6 Total Trade with 57.7 47.3
RTA Partners as RTA Partners as
% of Total Trade % of Total Trade
SOURCE: Direction of Trade Statistics 2006 Year Book, IMF.
European Union increased from US$ economic and trade policies in early
42 billion in 2000 to US$ 87.5 billion 1980s, Turkey’s foreign trade has
in 2005. continuously expanded under liberal
trade policies. With the customs union
An overview of Turkey’s with EU, Turkey has integrated with
Trade Policy an important economic bloc of the
The past decades have witnessed a world. Obviously, it has become the
significant transformation of the biggest impetus to Turkey since the
Turkish economy, from a protected adoption of liberalisation measures of
and state-directed system to a free the early 1980’s. With the customs
market system, particularly resulting union, Turkey has opened its internal
from the trade reform initiatives market to the competition of the EU
since 1980, especially due to trade and third countries, while
liberalisation, tariff reduction and guaranteeing free access to the EU
market. Moreover, the Customs Union
growth in exports.
has strengthened the traditionally
Throughout the period following comprehensive trade relations. The
the transformation of Turkey’s volume of trade between Turkey and
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the EU reached to the level of US$ scheme in line with EU’ s scheme at
87.6 billion in 2005 from the level of that time. In this context, 2884 tariff
US$ 36.8 billion in 1999. lines (including 556 products
mentioned above) originating in the
As a result of Uruguay Round,
least developed countries could be
Turkey provided 29% tariff reduction
imported into Turkey as duty free.
for industrial goods in compliance
These products originating in
with the Marrakesh Protocol. Apart
developing countries could also be
from this, due to its commitment to
the Customs Union in 1996, Turkey imported into Turkey at reduced rates
adopted the EU’s Common Customs on MFN basis parallel with the EU’ s
Tariff for the imports from third GSP scheme.
countries. Thus, Turkey provided one
of the most comprehensive reductions
CONCLUSION
with respect to average rate of An overall conclusion that can be
protection applicable in 1986, when drawn from the detailed analysis of
the negotiations launched. the pattern of trade performance of
the countries that are involved in
Turkey has also extended
the most number of regional trade
unilateral preferential treatment to
agreements over the past decade is
least developed countries by offering
that RTAs have certainly had a
556 products originating in the least
developed countries (LDC’s) to be beneficial and notable impact on the
imported into Turkey as duty-free, in trade performance of these
line with the decisions taken in the countries. The value of trade of all
High Level Meeting for the LDC’s, these countries with their RTA
held in Geneva in 1997. These partner countries over the past five
products have been covered by the years has seen a sharp increase.
GSP regime of Turkey since January Moreover, trade with RTA partner
2002. Turkey granted preferential countries constitutes a major portion
treatment to the least developed and of the total trade of these countries,
developing countries under GSP which also reflects the importance
(Generalised System of Preferences) and success of these agreements.
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4. INDIA’S ENGAGEMENTS IN
REGIONAL TRADE AGREEMENTS
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not sign the BIMSTEC FTA Agreement LDC members’ products to 0-5% in 3
in February 2004, but nevertheless has years.
acceded by signing a Protocol to this
effect in June 2004. The Framework Asia Pacific Trade Agreement
Agreement includes provisions for (APTA)
negotiations on FTA in goods, services
The Bangkok Agreement renamed
and investment. A Trade Negotiating
as Asia Pacific Trade Agreement
Committee (TNC) has been
(APTA) was signed in November
constituted to carry forward the
2005 in Beijing and came into force
programme of negotiations.
with effect from July 1, 2006. The
original agreement signed in 1975
Agreement on South Asian
was an initiative under the
Free Trade Area (SAFTA)
Economic and Social Commission
The agreement on South Asian Free for Asia and Pacific (ESCAP) for
Trade Area (SAFTA) was signed by trade expansion through exchange
all the member states of the South of tariff concessions among
Asian Association for Regional developing countries of the ESCAP
Cooperation (SAARC), namely, India, region. The agreement is operational
Bangladesh, Bhutan, Maldives,
among five countries namely,
Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka,
Bangladesh, China, India, Republic
during the Twelfth SAARC Summit
of Korea and Sri Lanka. Till date
held in Islamabad in January, 2004.
three rounds of trade negotiations
After ratification by the Member
have taken place. The third round
States, the SAFTA has come into
force from January 1, 2006. of negotiations under the Bangkok
Agreement was launched in October
The SAFTA envisages a phased 2001 and concluded in July 2004.
tariff liberalisation programme under
which non-LDCs (viz. India, Pakistan The objectives of this agreement
and Sri Lanka) will bring down tariffs are to promote economic
to 20% in two years, while LDC development through a continuous
members (viz. Bangladesh, Bhutan, process of trade expansion among the
Maldives and Nepal) will bring them developing member countries of
down to 30%. Further, the non-LDC ESCAP and to further international
members will further reduce tariffs economic co-operation through the
from 20% to 0-5% in 5 years (Sri Lanka adoption of mutually beneficial trade
in 6 years), while LDC members will liberalisation measures consistent
do so in 8 years. Moreover, non-LDC with their respective present and
members will reduce their tariffs for future development and trade needs.
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Table 4.1:
INDIA’S TRADE WITH RTA PARTNERS15 (US$ MN)
Region 2001-02 2006-07
Exports Imports Total Exports Imports Total
LATIN AMERICA
MERCOSUR 317.67 768.03 1085.70 1751.20 1854.75 3605.95
Chile 83.50 95.07 178.57 374.99 1917.60 2292.59
AFRICA
SACU 370.12 1445.61 1815.73 2283.82 2529.62 4813.44
Mauritius 163.39 3.27 166.66 735.86 14.50 750.36
ASIA
Sri Lanka 632.78 67.58 700.36 2252.59 470.20 2722.79
Singapore 975.21 1307.98 2283.19 6017.01 5466.47 11483.48
Thailand 635.02 424.35 1059.37 1442.52 1740.51 3183.03
Brunei 2.87 0.36 3.23 8.30 285.04 293.34
Cambodia 11.33 1.12 12.45 51.65 1.58 53.23
Indonesia 535.30 1039.91 1575.21 2025.97 4184.34 6210.31
Laos 3.17 0.04 3.21 2.38 0.36 2.74
Malaysia 776.00 1136.92 1912.92 1303.94 5276.73 6580.67
Myanmar 61.07 375.55 436.62 139.11 777.43 916.54
Philippines 248.53 95.13 343.66 582.54 167.26 749.80
Vietnam 218.82 18.97 237.79 981.84 171.41 1153.25
Bhutan 7.62 23.99 31.61 58.64 141.34 199.98
Bangladesh 1005.17 59.29 1064.46 1627.48 228.15 1855.63
Nepal 215.10 357.01 572.11 930.82 305.81 1236.63
Afghanistan 24.44 17.58 42.02 181.57 34.48 216.05
Maldives 26.96 0.40 27.36 68.56 3.05 71.61
Pakistan 144.44 64.95 209.39 1347.41 322.97 1670.38
WEST ASIA
GCC 3809.38 1691.99 5501.37 16336.73 30993.23 47329.96
Trade with RTA partners as % of total 20.17 30.75
trade
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI
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Chart 4.1:
TRENDS IN INDIA-ASEAN TRADE
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between India and ASEAN has more in 2006-07. It is noted that US$ 1.6
than tripled over the five-year period, billion worth of imports of electronic
the compounded annual growth rate goods come from Singapore followed
over the five-year period, too has by Malaysia and Thailand. The import
been 29%. Owing to the immense size of edible vegetable oil, which
of the economies, there remains huge accounts for 7% of India’s total
potential to further grow at a faster imports from ASEAN has reduced to
rate post the agreement period of US$ 1.2 billion in 2006-07 from US$
2003. 1.8 billion in 2003-04. The growth in
The top import items into India the imports of metaliferrous ores &
from ASEAN comprise petroleum metal scrap, coal, coke & briquettes
crude, electronic goods and edible and organic chemicals too has been
vegetable oil (refer table 4.4). The high especially after the framework
imports of petroleum crude accounted agreement came into existence.
for around 23% of the total imports India’s total imports have grown at a
in 2006-07. The import of electronic compounded annual growth rate of
goods has increased three-folds 34% post signing of the framework
during the last five years from around agreement with ASEAN compared to
US$ 1 billion to around US$ 3 billion 32% during 2001-02 to 2006-07.
Table 4.3:
TREND IN TOP 10 EXPORT ITEMS FROM INDIA TO ASEAN
(US$ MILLION)
Commodity Name 2001-02 2003-04 2006-07
Petroleum products 1.1 1157.0 4145.4
Non-ferrous metals 14.5 92.6 597.6
Oil meals 279.8 329.9 594.5
Dyes intermediates & coal tar chemicals 50.6 223.1 549.1
Gems & jewellery 370.4 399.8 505.5
Machinery & instruments 154.9 237.1 500.0
Transport equipment 58.4 103.5 477.5
Primary & semi-finished iron & steel 106.1 333.2 445.9
Drugs, pharmaceuticals & fine chemicals 179.3 255.1 400.0
Electronic goods 318.1 253.3 347.9
Other Commodities 1934.2 2441.2 3991.1
All Commodities 3467.3 5825.7 12555.3
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI
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Table 4.4:
TREND IN TOP 10 IMPORT ITEMS FROM ASEAN TO INDIA
(US$ MILLION)
Commodity Name 2001-02 2003-04 2006-07
Petroleum crude & products - - 4208.6
Electronic goods 1005.1 1492.6 3062.1
Vegetable oils (edible) 808.9 1897.9 1280.5
Metaliferrous ores & metal scrap 142.0 189.9 1105.1
Coal, coke & briquettes 115.9 176.9 1008.9
Organic chemicals 249.0 436.6 972.1
Non-electrical machinery 192.5 298.9 808.7
Wood & wood products 337.6 501.1 586.1
Transport equipment 50.8 445.0 474.6
Iron & steel 33.5 51.8 389.9
Other commodities 1465.2 1947.7 4174.7
All Commodities 4400.3 7438.2 18071.1
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI
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102
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Table 4.5:
TRENDS IN INDIA-SINGAPORE TRADE
Year Exports % growth Imports % growth Total % growth
(US$ bn) (US$ bn) (US$ bn)
2001-02 0.98 - 1.31 - 2.28 -
2002-03 1.42 46.06 1.44 9.91 2.86 25.35
2003-04 2.13 49.28 2.09 45.15 4.21 47.21
2004-05 4.00 88.07 2.65 27.00 6.65 57.82
2005-06 5.42 35.65 3.35 26.52 8.78 32.01
2006-07 6.02 10.92 5.47 63.02 11.48 30.82
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI
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Chart 4.2:
TRENDS IN INDIA-SINGAPORE TRADE
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Table 4.6:
TREND IN TOP 10 EXPORT ITEMS FROM INDIA TO SINGAPORE
(US$ MILLION)
Commodity Name 2001-02 2005-06 2006-07
Petroleum products 0.3 2117.9 3339.5
Transport equipment 11.7 485.3 352.3
Electronic goods 128.1 201.7 262.1
Non-ferrous metals 1.3 72.7 202.4
Machinery & instruments 60.7 151.1 195.9
Aluminium other than products 99.9 93.0 186.0
Gems & jewellery 121.9 1240.9 150.0
Manufactures of metals 41.4 104.9 119.2
Dyes intermediates & coal tar chemicals 12.3 121.6 116.3
Drugs, pharmaceuticals & fine chemicals 42.3 86.7 89.4
Other commodities 455.3 748.8 1004.0
All Commodities 975.2 5424.5 6017.0
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI
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Table 4.7:
TREND IN TOP 10 IMPORT ITEMS FROM SINGAPORE TO INDIA
(US$ MILLION)
Commodity Name 2001-02 2005-06 2006-07
Electronic goods 512.6 1312.2 1656.1
Petroleum crude & products - - 1073.8
Organic chemicals 127.4 411.0 546.0
Non-electrical machinery 107.2 265.6 405.8
Transport equipment 32.2 355.2 324.9
Printed books, newspapers, journals etc. 105.4 258.3 317.9
Project goods 2.3 4.9 216.6
Artificial resins, plastic materials etc. 54.0 116.1 126.3
Professional inst, optical goods etc. 36.8 82.9 113.5
Electrical machinery 26.1 66.5 88.3
Other commodities 303.9 480.6 597.3
All Commodities 1308.0 3353.3 5466.5
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI
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trend in Indo-Sri Lankan trade from amounted to US$ 0.6 billion in 2001-
2001-02 to 2006-07. The total trade 02, increasing to around US$ 2.25
between India and Sri Lanka has billion by 2006-07. Though India’s
increased form US$ 0.7 billion in imports from Sri Lanka too have
2001-02 to more than US$ 2.7 billion steadily increased, the magnitude of
in 2006-07, primarily due to increase total imports remain relatively low
in India’s exports to Sri Lanka since being US$ 0.47 billion in 2006-07.
2001. This could also be attributed This reveals that India’s exports to
to the free trade agreement between Sri Lanka are much higher than its
the two countries that became imports and thus India enjoys
operational from March 2000. The favourable trade surplus with Sri
aggregate of exports to Sri Lanka Lanka.
Table 4.8:
TRENDS IN INDIA-SRI LANKA TRADE
Year Exports % growth Imports % growth Total % growth
(US$ bn) (US$ bn) (US$ bn)
2001-02 0.63 - 0.07 - 0.70 -
2002-03 0.92 45.83 0.09 34.66 1.01 44.75
2003-04 1.32 43.05 0.19 114.14 1.51 49.43
2004-05 1.41 7.01 0.38 94.10 1.79 18.21
2005-06 2.02 43.31 0.58 52.71 2.60 45.29
2006-07 2.25 11.27 0.47 -18.60 2.72 4.64
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI
Chart 4.3:
TRENDS IN INDIA-SRI LANKA TRADE
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108
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Table 4.10:
TREND IN TOP 10 IMPORT ITEMS FROM SRI LANKA TO INDIA
(US$ MILLION)
Commodity Name 2001-02 2006-07
Non-ferrous metals 5.3 73.9
Electrical machinery 0.1 41.8
Manufactures of metals 0.3 39.4
Spices 26.1 28.5
Non metalic mineral manufactures excluding pearls 1.6 24.9
Natural rubber 0.5 15.6
Paper board & manufactures 1.4 15.0
Metaliferrous ores & metal scrap 4.9 11.6
Pulp & waste paper 3.0 11.6
Non-electrical machinery 1.0 11.4
Other commodities 23.4 196.5
All Commodities 67.6 470.2
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI
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the Greater Mekong sub-region, Table 4.11 and Chart 4.4 show the
where newly emerging markets offer recent trend in Indo-Thailand trade.
great business potential.
Though it is seen that the present
The amount of India’s total level of India-Thailand trade is low,
exports to Thailand, in 2001-02, it is increasing over time. India’s total
amounted to US$ 0.64 billion while trade with Thailand has increased
the corresponding value of India’s especially since 2002-03 during which
imports from Thailand was US$ 0.42 the framework agreement for a free
billion. By 2006-07, the exports have trade agreement between the two
crossed over US$ 1.4 billion and countries was signed. Imports from
imports over US$ 1.7 billion. The Thailand have been increasing at a
Table 4.11:
TRENDS IN INDIA-THAILAND TRADE
Year Exports % growth Imports % growth Total % growth
(US$ bn) (US$ bn) (US$ bn)
2001-02 0.64 - 0.42 - 1.06 -
2002-03 0.71 12.22 0.38 -10.51 1.09 3.11
2003-04 0.83 16.79 0.61 60.49 1.44 31.98
2004-05 0.90 8.26 0.87 42.01 1.77 22.53
2005-06 1.08 19.33 1.21 39.96 2.29 29.44
2006-07 1.44 34.17 1.74 43.68 3.18 39.21
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI
Chart 4.4:
TRENDS IN INDIA-THAILAND TRADE
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faster rate than the increase in exports. of India’s total export to Thailand. The
India has enjoyed a trade surplus since reduction in tariff will give more
2001-02 to 2004-05 after which export opportunities for India. The
imports have been more other main items of export include
predominant. Thailand’s import petroleum products, non-ferrous
demands are high and India has great metals, oil meals, primary & semi-
capacity to meet export supply for a finished iron & steel (refer Table 4.12).
large number of commodities of Export of petroleum products has
Thailand’s import demands. Indian recorded a robust growth since 2001-
business can also take the advantage 02. Exports of cotton raw have also
of Thailand’s liberal attitude towards seen a sharp increase since 2001-02
foreign investment as the Thai increasing from a mere US$ 0.05
government recognises the important million to more than US$ 65 million
contribution of foreign investment to in 2006-07. Other items, which have
the domestic economy. shown a good performance in
export’s growth, include transport
Sectoral performance equipment, and non ferrous metals.
Thailand’s export basket to India is India’s total exports to Thailand have
diversified, while India’s export grown at a CAGR of 17% during 2001-
basket to Thailand is relatively 02 to 2006-07. After the framework
skewed and is dominated by gems & agreement with Thailand in October
jewellery accounting for around 23% 2003, the exports have grown at a
Table 4.12:
TREND IN TOP 10 EXPORT ITEMS FROM INDIA TO THAILAND
(US$ MILLION)
Commodity Name 2001-02 2003-04 2006-07
Gems & jewellery 238.2 202.2 339.8
Petroleum products 0.6 17.7 178.3
Non-ferrous metals 11.8 43.4 125.2
Oil meals 73.4 59.9 80.6
Primary & semi-finished iron & steel 39.9 110.9 79.1
Machinery & instruments 19.6 38.8 68.7
Cotton raw including waste 0.1 7.8 65.7
Drugs, pharmaceuticals & fine chemicals 31.8 51.7 62.1
Transport equipment 7.5 15.6 54.0
Inorganic/organic/agro chemicals 39.0 33.7 51.7
Other commodities 173.1 250.6 337.4
All Commodities 635.0 832.3 1442.5
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI
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Table 4.13:
TREND IN TOP 10 IMPORT ITEMS FROM THAILAND TO INDIA
(US$ MILLION)
Commodity Name 2001-02 2003-04 2006-07
Electronic goods 155.7 91.6 322.5
Non-electrical machinery 52.0 114.9 273.9
Artificial resins, plastic materials etc. 27.6 53.3 129.0
Non-ferrous metals 6.5 13.4 88.6
Iron & steel 14.5 21.4 87.0
Organic chemicals 9.2 13.8 71.8
Electrical machinery 11.1 26.6 63.5
Transport equipment 2.6 28.7 60.1
Natural rubber 10.6 13.8 60.0
Other textile yarn, fabrics, madeups articles 14.9 31.2 54.2
Other commodities 119.8 200.8 530.0
All Commodities 424.4 609.5 1740.5
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI
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113
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Table 4.14:
TRENDS IN INDIA-BIMSTEC TRADE
Year Exports % growth Imports % growth Total % growth
(US$ bn) (US$ bn) (US$ bn)
2001-02 2.6 - 1.3 - 3.9 -
2002-03 3.3 28.3 1.2 -9.5 4.5 15.5
2003-04 4.7 44.7 1.6 37.7 6.4 42.8
2004-05 4.9 3.0 2.1 30.4 7.0 10.0
2005-06 5.8 19.4 2.9 36.9 8.7 24.7
2006-07 6.5 10.6 3.7 25.9 10.1 15.7
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI
Chart 4.5:
TRENDS IN INDIA-BIMSTEC TRADE
have been steady over the period metals and petroleum products. The
being US$ 3.66 billion in 2006-07. imports from Bhutan to India
amounted to US$141 million in 2006-
As far as India’s relation with
07 and primarily include non-ferrous
Bhutan is concerned the total trade
metals, edible vegetable oils, primary
though has been very low, it has been
steel, pig iron based items, iron & steel
increasing over time from US$ 31
and inorganic chemicals.
million in 2001-02 to around US$ 200
million in 2006-07. The export basket With regard to India’s trade
from India to Bhutan mainly relation with Nepal, India enjoys a
comprises machinery & instruments, favourable trade balance which has
transport equipment, manufactures of been consistently increasing in India’s
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115
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Table 4.15:
TREND IN TOP 10 EXPORT ITEMS FROM INDIA TO BIMSTEC17
(US$ MILLION)
Commodity Name 2001-02 2006-07
Cotton yarn fabrics madeups etc. 166.9 227.3
Drugs, pharmaceuticals & fine chemicals 37.5 102.5
Fresh vegetables 16.7 70.8
Machinery & instruments 78.9 67.7
Coal 42.5 57.8
Manmade yarn fabrics madeups 16.1 48.9
Cotton raw including waste 0.4 45.8
Manufactures of metals 38.1 45.1
Electronic goods 27.6 43.8
Fresh fruits 24.4 31.8
Other Commodities 617.2 1025.0
All Commodities 1066.2 1766.6
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI
Table 4.16:
TREND IN TOP TEN IMPORT ITEMS FROM BIMSTEC TO INDIA
(US$ MILLION)
Commodity Name 2001-02 2006-07
Inorganic chemicals 15.1 41.5
Fertiliser manufactured 1.8 29.9
Jute raw 18.5 24.9
Madeup textile articles 9.5 19.3
Electrical machinery 0.6 12.5
Metaliferrous ores & metal scrap 0.1 7.6
Fruits & nuts 1.6 5.5
Leather 1.5 3.6
Cotton raw: combed/uncombed/waste 1.1 2.4
Cement - 1.4
Other Commodities 385.0 857.0
All Commodities 434.8 1005.6
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI
17 In our analysis in Table 4.15 and 4.16 BIMSTEC includes only Bangladesh
and Myanmar (Burma). Other nations have not been included here as they
have been analysed separately.
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Table 4.17:
TRENDS IN INDIA-CHILE TRADE
Year Exports % growth Imports % growth Total % growth
(US$ bn) (US$ bn) (US$ bn)
2001-02 0.08 - 0.10 - 0.18 -
2002-03 0.07 -13.45 0.17 76.33 0.24 34.35
2003-04 0.08 14.96 0.16 -6.44 0.24 0.00
2004-05 0.11 33.80 0.35 120.24 0.46 90.31
2005-06 0.15 36.86 0.43 25.77 0.59 28.47
2006-07 0.37 146.49 1.92 341.40 2.29 290.85
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI
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Chart 4.6:
TRENDS IN INDIA-CHILE TRADE
ores & minerals (refer table 4.18). The 146% during the last year after the
exports have grown at a CAGR of 16% PTA was signed between the two
during the period 2001-02 to 2005- nations.
06, compared to the growth rate of
Table 4.18:
TREND IN TOP 10 EXPORT ITEMS FROM INDIA TO CHILE
(US$ MILLION)
Commodity Name 2001-02 2005-06 2006-07
Marine products 2.7 0 84.9
Iron ore 6.0 - 40.0
Cotton raw including waste - 0.1 34.7
Other ores & minerals 0.3 0.01 31.4
Transport equipment 3.9 12.3 23.6
Machinery & instruments 3.1 18.7 23.1
Drugs, pharmaceuticals & fine chemicals 6.7 16.3 15.6
Cotton yarn fabrics madeups etc. 9.1 13.8 14.3
Primary & semi-finished iron & steel 1.5 3.4 12.3
Manufactures of metals 5.7 8.4 9.8
Other Commodities 44.4 79.4 83.5
All Commodities 83.5 152.1 375.0
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI
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Table 4.19:
TREND IN TOP 10 IMPORT ITEMS FROM CHILE TO INDIA
(US$ MILLION)
Commodity Name 2001-02 2005-06 2006-07
Metaliferrous ores & metal scrap 86.2 373.3 1843.3
Inorganic chemicals 4.1 31.6 36.9
Newsprint - 5.8 5.1
Fruits & nuts 0.2 3.4 5.0
Non-ferrous metals - 0.5 3.6
Artificial resins, plastic materials etc. - 0.1 3.0
Electronic goods - 0.1 2.0
Petroleum crude & products - - 1.5
Organic chemicals 0.2 0.03 1.0
All Commodities 95.07 434.4 1917.6
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI
Table 4.20:
TRENDS IN INDIA-GCC TRADE
Year Exports % growth Imports % growth Total % growth
(US$ bn) (US$ bn) (US$ bn)
2001-02 3.81 - 1.69 - 5.5 -
2002-03 4.92 29.23 1.89 11.88 6.81 23.82
2003-04 7.07 43.66 3.25 71.94 10.32 51.54
2004-05 9.81 38.73 7.06 116.93 16.87 63.47
2005-06 11.77 20.01 7.80 10.53 19.57 16.00
2006-07 16.34 38.76 30.99 297.15 47.33 141.85
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI
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Chart 4.7:
TRENDS IN INDIA-GCC TRADE
India’s trade with GCC has shown 4.21). Moreover, petroleum products
a steady increase from 2001-02 to and gems & jewellery together consti-
2005-06. India- GCC trade has tute around 42% of the total exports
witnessed a very sharp increase in from India to GCC. Petroleum exports
imports from GCC to India since 2005- have seen the largest increase from a
06. It is highly interesting to note that mere US$ 5 million in 2001-02 to more
this sharp rise in imports from US$ than US$ 3.7 billion in 2006-07.
19.6 billion in 2005-06 to more than
US$ 47 billion in 2006-07, immediately The main items of import to India
follows the India- GCC first round of from GCC include petroleum crude
negotiations towards an FTA held in & products, gold, pearls precious &
March 2006. This substantial increase semiprecious stones, metaliferrous
in imports has also boosted the total ores & metal scrap, organic chemicals,
trade between India and GCC. The manufactured fertilisers artificial
total trade between India and GCC resins, plastic materials and electronic
has increased from US$ 5.5 billion in goods (refer table 4.22). Petroleum
2001-02 to US$ 47.33 in 2006-07. crude & products are the most
important item of India’s imports from
India’s exports to GCC mainly GCC constituting around 80% of total
comprise of petroleum products, imports from the region. The imports
gems & jewellery, non-ferrous metals, of gold have also sharply increased
machinery & instruments and from US$ 0.2 billion in 2001-02 to
manufactures of metals (see Table more than US$ 1.6 billion in 2006-07.
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Table 4.21:
TREND IN TOP 10 EXPORT ITEMS FROM INDIA TO GCC
(US$ MILLION)
Commodity Name 2001-02 2006-07
Petroleum products 5.9 3705.0
Gems & jewellery 558.7 3213.0
Non-ferrous metals 49.9 1087.8
Machinery & instruments 176.9 966.3
Manufactures of metals 264.3 854.1
Manmade yarn fabrics madeups 295.6 485.0
Basmati rice 279.2 418.5
Plastic & linoleum products 111.0 315.2
Electronic goods 63.5 238.2
Cotton yarn fabrics madeups etc. 125.1 158.3
Other Commodities 1879.3 4895.4
All Commodities 3809.4 16336.7
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI
Table 4.22
TREND IN TOP 10 IMPORT ITEMS FROM GCC TO INDIA
(US$ MILLION)
Commodity Name 2001-02 2006-07
Petroleum crude & products - 24807.8
Gold 248.5 1633.0
Pearls precious & semiprecious stones 248.5 732.5
Metaliferrous ores & metal scrap 143.9 700.3
Organic chemicals 162.9 620.1
Fertiliser manufactured 12.2 421.3
Artificial resins, plastic materials etc. 67.4 323.7
Electronic goods 10.8 315.1
Inorganic chemicals 105.7 291.9
Transport equipment 12.7 291.6
Other Commodities 679.4 856.1
All Commodities 1692.0 30993.2
SOURCE: DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI
121
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122
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Chart 4.8:
TRENDS IN INDIA-MAURITIUS TRADE
123
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Chart 4.9:
TRENDS IN INDIA-SACU TRADE
An analysis of Chart 4.9 reveals from US$ 1.3 billion in 2003-04 to US$
that, India’s imports from SACU have 0.2 billion in 2006-07. The main items
dominated the total trade between in India’s export basket to SACU
India and SACU. However, India’s include petroleum products, transport
exports too caught up pace since equipment, electronic goods, and
2003-04 increasing from US$ 0.6 primary & semi-finished iron & steel.
The exports of petroleum products
billion in 2003-04 to US$ 2.3 billion
from India rose from US$ 0.03 million
in 2006-07. Imports rose from
in 2001-02 to US$ 793 million in 2006-
US$ 1.4 billion in 2001-02 to US$ 2.5 07. As far as imports are concerned,
billion in 2006-07. As a result of the the main import items from SACU into
increase in exports from India to India include pearls and precious
SACU the trade deficit has been stones, chemicals, ores, iron & steel
reducing in India’s favour at a fast rate and electrical machinery.
124
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Table 5.1:
TRENDS IN ENGAGEMENT IN RTAs BASED ON
THE NATURE OF AGREEMENT18
Nature of Agreement/ Developing- Developing- Developed-
Time Period Developing Developed Developed
2000-2007 (July) 42 51 16
1995- 1999 (Dec) 20 10 0
SOURCE: WTO
125
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Chart 5.1:
% SHARE OF AGREEMENTS ENTERING INTO FORCE
(BASED UPON THE NATURE OF AGREEMENT)
SOURCE: WTO
to the trend depicted during the last have also evinced keen interest in
five years prior to 2000. During the agreements with developing countries
period 1995 to 1999, of all the bilateral as depicted by the increasing share
agreements, those among developing of agreements between the
countries accounted for around 67% developing and the developed
of all the RTAs (refer to Chart 5.1). countries from 1995-1999 to 2000-
Agreements between the developing 2007. Developed countries could be
and developed countries accounted more interested in targeting the
for only 33%. This reflects the growing cheaper, less sophisticated and ‘easy
interest among developing countries to approach’ markets with their
to engage in agreements with more engagement in preferential
developed nations to gain access to agreements with developing
the larger and more potential markets countries.
and benefit from the immense trade
opportunities inherent in these A further in-depth year wise
markets. It is also very interesting to investigation of the nature of
note that no trade agreements were agreements entered into force since
entered into among the developed 2000, reveals a subtle and gradual shift
countries during 1995-1999. The trade in the interest among developing
agreements among the developed countries to engage in agreements
countries themselves accounted for with developed countries (refer Chart
around 15% of the total agreements 5.2). This gradual shift has been
during 2000-2007. The trend in the particularly noticed since 2004, prior
nature of engagement in RTAs by to which developing countries were
developed countries reveals that more interested in engaging in
developed countries apart from agreements with similar developing
striking accords among themselves countries. For example in 2005, in
126
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Chart 5.2:
YEAR WISE DISTRIBUTION OF AGREEMENTS
(BASED UPON THE NATURE OF AGREEMENT)
SOURCE: WTO
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128
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129
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130
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131
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132
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133
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134
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135
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136
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137
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138
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informally known as “the AGOA benefits for the four ATPA beneficiary
Forum”, to annually discuss countries. The ATPDEA renewed and
expanding trade and investment amended ATPA to provide duty-free
relations between the United States preferential treatment for certain
and Sub-Saharan African countries, products previously excluded under
and implementation of AGOA. The the ATPA viz. certain textile and
Sixth AGOA Forum was held in Accra, apparel articles, footwear, tuna
Ghana from July 18- 19, 2007. packaged in foil or other flexible
packages, petroleum and petroleum
Andean Trade Preference and derivatives, watches and watch parts,
Drug Eradication Programme and certain leather goods. In 2002,
(ATPDEP) all four ATPA beneficiary countries
The Andean Trade Preference Act were designated as ATPDEA
(ATPA) was implemented by US in beneficiary countries, considering the
December 1991 to help four Andean various eligibility criteria provided in
countries (Bolivia, Colombia, different sections of the act, and thus
Ecuador and Peru)22 fight against became eligible for the enhanced
drug production and trafficking by trade benefits of the Andean Trade
expanding their economic Promotion and Drug Eradication Act.
alternatives and providing duty-free In ATPDEA, duty-free treatment
access to U.S. markets. applies only to articles that meet the
The objective of the ATPA is to programme’s rules of origin
promote broad-based economic necessities, including a requirement
development, diversify exports, that the sum of the cost or value of
consolidate democracy, and defeat the inputs produced in the beneficiary
the scourge of drug trafficking by country and the cost of processing
providing sustainable economic operations performed in the country
alternatives to drug-crop production must not be less than 35 percent of
in these Andean countries. the value of the article.
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25 percent increase in 2005. The total billion in 2006 compared to only US$
trade between US and ATPDEA 3 billion in 1991.
countries accounted for US$ 34.15
The Andean Trade Preference Act
billion in 2006, rising from US$ 17
(ATPA) as amended by the Andean
billion in 2000. Good economic
Trade Promotion and Drug
performance in the United States as
Eradication Act (ATPDEA) (jointly
well as in each of the four ATPDEA
referred to as ATPA/ ATPDEA) was
countries in 2006 fueled trade in both
extended in July 2007 by a legislation
directions. Since 1991 when ATPA
being signed by the US President. It
was enacted, U.S. imports from the
is also noted that the ATPA/ ATPDEA
region have increased by almost five is alleviating poverty by creating jobs
times, while exports have tripled. and economic opportunities for the
(refer Table A8 in annexure for trade people of the Andean countries, apart
pattern between US and ATPDEA from rising bilateral trade and
from 1991 to 2006). cooperation. Thus, it can be
U.S. imports from ATPDEA concluded that the ATPDEA has
countries reached record levels in proved mutually beneficial to both the
2005 and again in 2006. They rose by Andean region and the United States.
12 percent in 2006 to US$ 22.5 billion Such trade preference
following a 30 percent increase in programmes offered by U.S,
2005. US imports from ATPDEA demonstrate US leadership and are
countries as a share of US global important tools for building prosperity
imports also increased during this and openness, and furthering
time period, accounting for 1.2 economic integration and
percent of total US imports in 2006, cooperation. The ATPDEA has been
the highest share recorded since ATPA successful in strengthening economic
was enacted in 1991. Exports from and commercial ties. Moreover, as can
US to ATPDEA countries too be observed from the earlier
increased substantially, recording a discussion, the United States is the
growth rate of more than 30% in 2006 leading source of imports and the
since the previous year. Total US leading export market for each of the
exports accounted for US$ 11.63 beneficiary countries.
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ANNEXURE
Table A1:
FTAs NOTIFIED TO WTO AND ENTERED INTO FORCE SINCE 2000
Year Name of the FTA Date of entry
into force
2007 EFTA-Egypt 1-Aug-07
(upto EFTA-Lebanon 1-Jan-07
July 18) Turkey-Syria 1-Jan-07
2006 EC-Albania 1-Dec-06
Chile-China 1-Oct-06
EFTA-Republic of Korea 1-Sep-06
United States-Bahrain 1-Aug-06
Panama-Singapore 24-Jul-06
Japan-Malaysia 13-Jul-06
Republic of Korea-Singapore 2-Mar-06
Dominican Republic-Central America-United States 1-Mar-06
(CAFTA-DR)
Turkey-Morocco 1-Jan-06
United States-Morocco 1-Jan-06
2005 EC-Algeria 1-Sep-05
Jordan-Singapore 22-Aug-05
India-Singapore 1-Aug-05
Thailand-New Zealand 1-Jul-05
Turkey-Tunisia 1-Jul-05
EFTA-Tunisia 1-Jun-05
Turkey-Palestine 1-Jun-05
Japan-Mexico 1-Apr-05
Thailand-Australia 1-Jan-05
United States-Australia 1-Jan-05
(Contd...)
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(Contd...)
Year Name of the FTA Date of entry
into force
2004 Albania-Bosnia and Herzegovina 1-Dec-04
EFTA-Chile 1-Dec-04
Moldova-FYROM 1-Dec-04
Albania-Moldova 1-Nov-04
Moldova-Croatia 1-Oct-04
Albania-Serbia Montenegro 1-Sep-04
Moldova-Serbia and Montenegro 1-Sep-04
SACU 15-Jul-04
Croatia-Serbia and Montenegro 1-Jul-04
EC-Egypt 1-Jun-04
Moldova-Bosnia and Herzegovina 1-May-04
Republic of Korea-Chile 1-Apr-04
China-Hong Kong, China 1-Jan-04
China-Macao, China 1-Jan-04
United States-Chile 1-Jan-04
United States-Singapore 1-Jan-04
2003 Albania-UNMIK (Kosovo) 1-Oct-03
Singapore-Australia 28-Jul-03
Turkey-Bosnia and Herzegovina 1-Jul-03
Turkey-Croatia 1-Jul-03
Croatia-Albania 1-Jun-03
Panama-El Salvador 11-Apr-03
EC-Lebanon 1-Mar-03
EC-Chile 1-Feb-03
EFTA-Singapore 1-Jan-03
2002 Japan-Singapore 30-Nov-02
Canada-Costa Rica 1-Nov-02
FYROM-Bosnia and Herzegovina 15-Jul-02
Albania-FYROM 1-Jul-02
Chile-El Salvador 1-Jun-02
EC-Jordan 1-May-02
EC-Croatia 1-Mar-02
Chile-Costa Rica 15-Feb-02
EFTA-Croatia 1-Jan-02
EFTA-Jordan 1-Jan-02
(Contd...)
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(Contd...)
Year Name of the FTA Date of entry
into force
2001 Armenia-Kazakhstan 25-Dec-01
United States-Jordan 17-Dec-01
India-Sri Lanka 15-Dec-01
EFTA-Mexico 1-Jul-01
EC-FYROM 1-Jun-01
Honduras-Mexico 1-Jun-01
El Salvador-Mexico 15-Mar-01
Guatemala-Mexico 15-Mar-01
Croatia-Bosnia and Herzegovina 1-Jan-01
EFTA-FYROM 1-Jan-01
New Zealand-Singapore 1-Jan-01
2000 SADC 1-Sep-00
Turkey-FYROM 1-Sep-00
EC-Mexico 1-Jul-00
Israel-Mexico 1-Jul-00
EC-Israel 1-Jun-00
EC-Morocco 1-Mar-00
EC-South Africa 1-Jan-00
Georgia-Turkmenistan 1-Jan-00
SOURCE: WTO
Table A2:
MERCHANDISE EXPORTS BY BLOCS (AS % OF GLOBAL EXPORTS) IN
LATIN AMERICA & THE CARIBBEAN
BLOC 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
CACM 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Andean Group 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.1
CARICOM 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2
LAIA (ALADI) 4.8 5.3 5.2 5.0 4.7 4.8 5.1
MERCOSUR 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.6
FTAA 21.7 22.1 21.8 20.2 18.4 17.7 17.8
NAFTA 18.8 19.0 18.7 17.2 15.5 14.5 14.3
SOURCE: World Development Indicators 2007, World Bank
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Table A3:
MERCHANDISE EXPORTS BY BLOCS
(AS % OF GLOBAL EXPORTS) IN AFRICA
BLOC 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
COMESA 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5
EAC 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1
ECOWAS 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6
SADC 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8
UEMOA 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
SOURCE: World Development Indicators 2007, World Bank
Table A4:
MERCHANDISE EXPORTS BY BLOCS
(AS % OF GLOBAL EXPORTS) IN ASIA
BLOC 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
APEC 46.6 48.5 46.5 46.0 44.5 44.2 45.0
ASEAN 6.3 6.7 6.3 6.3 6.1 6.0 6.1
Bangkok agreement 5.0 5.2 4.9 5.1 5.1 5.3 5.3
EAEC 24.7 26.0 24.4 25.2 25.4 25.9 26.2
SAARC 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.3
SOURCE: World Development Indicators 2007, World Bank
Table A5:
MERCHANDISE EXPORTS BY BLOCS
(AS % OF GLOBAL EXPORTS) IN WEST ASIA
BLOC 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Arab Common Market 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.8
GAFTA 2.7 3.5 3.4 3.2 3.4 3.9 4.4
GCC 1.9 2.6 2.5 2.3 2.5 2.7 3.3
SOURCE: World Development Indicators 2007, World Bank
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Table A6:
MERCHANDISE EXPORTS BY BLOC
(AS % OF GLOBAL EXPORTS) IN EUROPE
BLOC 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
CEFTA 1.9 1.9 2.2 2.4 2.7 2.9 3.1
EMFTA 42.7 39.4 41.4 42.2 43.3 42.9 40.8
EU 41.1 37.7 39.7 40.4 41.5 40.8 38.7
SOURCE: World Development Indicators 2007, World Bank
Table A7:
TOTAL TRADE PATTERN BETWEEN US AND AGOA COUNTRIES
(BASED ON 37 AGOA ELIGIBLE COUNTRIES)
(US$ BN)
Year US Exports US Imports Trade Balance
2000 5.31 21.87 -16.57
2001 6.53 20.50 -13.97
2002 5.62 17.48 -11.85
2003 6.10 24.40 -18.30
2004 7.60 33.69 -26.09
2005 9.16 47.01 -37.84
2006 10.64 56.15 -45.51
SOURCE: US Department of Commerce (2007)
Table A8:
TRADE PATTERN BETWEEN US AND ATPDEA COUNTRIES
Year U.S. Exports ATPA/ATPDEA U.S. Imports ATPA/ATPDEA U.S. Trade
(US$ bn) Countries’ (US$ bn) Countries’ Balance
Share of Share of (US$ bn)
US Exports US Imports
to the World from the
World
2000 6.30 0.9 11.12 0.9 -4.82
2001 6.36 1.0 9.57 0.8 -3.21
2002 6.46 1.0 9.61 0.8 -3.15
2003 6.53 1.0 11.64 0.9 -5.11
2004 7.66 1.1 15.49 1.1 -7.83
2005 8.92 1.1 20.06 1.2 -11.14
2006 11.64 1.3 22.51 1.2 -10.87
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