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Infertility: a marker of future health

risk in women?
Suneeta Senapati, M.D., M.S.C.E
Division of Reproductive Endocrinology & Infertility, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Pennsylvania
Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

Infertility, may be a harbinger for future health risk in women, including early mortality. Fertility status itself could serve as an early
biomarker, (present in a woman's reproductive years) for risk stratification later in life. The relationship between infertility and early
mortality involves the impact of nulliparity on future adverse health events, potential sequelae from the underlying cause(s) of infer-
tility, the risks of fertility treatments, as well as the potential for risk reduction from a healthy pregnancy. This complex interplay
coupled with difficulties ascertaining infertility on a population level has presented unique challenges to assessing infertility and early
mortality risk. With further study, a better understanding the role of fertility status in health at various stages of life may provide unique
opportunities for surveillance and risk reduction. (Fertil SterilÒ 2018;110:783–9. Ó2018 by American Society for Reproductive
Medicine.)
Key Words: Infertility, IVF, mortality, cardiovascular risk, cancer

Discuss: You can discuss this article with its authors and other readers at https://www.fertstertdialog.com/users/16110-fertility-
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F
ertility has long been associated The interplay between fertility, women <35 years-old, and for at least
with vitality, longevity, and gen- parity, and long-term health is complex 6 months in women R35 years-old).
eral well-being. While Kirk- and multi-faceted. While we have While the association between nulli-
wood's Disposal Soma Theory and looked to historical population cohorts parity and mortality has been exam-
William's antagonistic pleiotropy hy- to analyze birth and mortality trends, ined, the assumption that nulliparity
pothesis both postulate a tradeoff be- with the advent of assisted reproductive is an appropriate surrogate for infer-
tween fertility and longevity (1, 2) technologies in the 20th century, pat- tility is overly simplistic. An examina-
humans appear to have superceded terns in family building have shifted, tion of in the association of infertility
expectations with multiple cohort and and with it, the ripple effect on long- and early mortality involves consider-
population-based studies suggesting a term health in both women and men re- ation of not only of the impact of nulli-
positive correlation between fertility mains to be seen. A better understand- parity on future adverse health events,
and longevity in both historical and ing of this relationship between fertility but also potential sequelae from the un-
contemporary settings (3). Just as status and future health risk is critical derlying cause(s) of infertility, the risks
fertility may be a marker of longevity as more women seek guidance to un- of fertility treatments, as well as the po-
for women, infertility, may be a derstand their fertility and general tential for risk reduction from a healthy
harbinger for future health risk, health status, and as the generation of pregnancy. Indeed, understanding the
including early mortality. While there children born after IVF come to adult- role of fertility status in health at
are multiple contributors to health sta- hood and move through their reproduc- various stages of life may provide
tus including genetics, epigenetics, tive years. To date, there are no studies unique opportunities for surveillance
environmental influences, concomitant that examine the relationship between and risk reduction.
co-morbidities, and lifestyle factors, infertility and mortality on a popula- Perturbations in both female (4)
fertility status itself could serve as an tion level likely due to challenges as- and male (5–7) reproductive function
early biomarker, (present in a woman's certaining infertility as the exposure have been linked to cancer,
reproductive years) for risk stratifica- of interest (defined as attempting cardiovascular disease, and mortality.
tion later in life. conception for at least 12 months in Several epidemiological studies have
suggested that nulliparity is associated
with an increased risk of all-cause mor-
Received July 28, 2018; revised August 26, 2018; accepted August 27, 2018.
S.S. has nothing to disclose. tality (8–13). A recent meta-analysis
Correspondence: Suneeta Senapati, M.D., M.S.C.E., Penn Fertility Care, University of Pennsylvania, of 18 studies including 2,813,481
3701 Market St, Ste 800, Philadelphia, PA 19104 (E-mail: suneeta.senapati@uphs.upenn.edu).
participants demonstrated a pooled
Fertility and Sterility® Vol. 110, No. 5, October 2018 0015-0282/$36.00 relative risk of all-cause mortality of
Copyright ©2018 American Society for Reproductive Medicine, Published by Elsevier Inc. 1.19 (95% confidence interval [CI]
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fertnstert.2018.08.058

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1.03–1.38) among nulliparous women compared to those with made possible by fertility treatments; certainly, further study
1 or more live births (4). These findings are likely driven by the of in contemporary cohorts are needed to understand these
increased risk of cardiovascular disease-related death associations.
observed amongst nulliparous women when compared to To understand the mechanisms of infertility's potential
their parous counterparts (hazard ratio 2.43, 95% CI 1.49– association with early mortality one need only look to the
3.96) (13). As cardiovascular disease is intimately related to most common causes of infertility for biologic plausibility.
circulating levels of reproductive hormones as well as hor- There are several pathologic processes associated with
mone replacement (14) it is plausible that unique disruptions infertility whose systemic effects can lead to chronic
of these hormones by disease processes that lead to infertility, morbidity and adverse events later in life. Indeed, amongst
and for some, unintended nulliparity, may explain the unique the most common causes of infertility including polycystic
risk of cardiovascular disease-related mortality observed. ovary syndrome (PCOS), endometriosis, fibroids, and dimin-
Beyond cardiovascular health, abnormal estrogen and pro- ished ovarian reserve there are disruptions in systemic path-
gesterone profiles have been implicated in hormone- ways that may be implicated in future morbidity. PCOS is
sensitive cancers including breast, ovarian, and endometrial the most common endocrine disorder amongst women of
cancer (15–18); thus, it is likely that altered profiles reproductive age and is associated with chronic anovula-
observed amongst nulliparous women may be implicated in tion, androgen excess, and metabolic perturbations (23).
cancer-related mortality. Additionally, nulliparity has been Women with PCOS, as compared with age- and body mass
associated with limitation of activity for health reasons and index-matched women without the syndrome, appear to
faster acquisition of those limitations suggesting an adverse have a higher risk of insulin resistance, hyperinsulinemia,
effect on functional status in addition to specific disease pro- glucose intolerance, dyslipidemia, and an increased pro-
cesses (19). It is plausible that the relative risks attributable to thrombotic state, possibly resulting in a higher rate of
nulliparity and infertility are different depending upon the type 2 diabetes mellitus, fatty liver disease, subclinical
underlying etiology of why a woman may have chosen not atherosclerosis, vascular dysfunction, obstructive sleep ap-
to bear children versus been unable to bear children due to nea, cardiovascular disease, and endometrial hyperplasia
either lack of access to treatment or unsuccessful treatment. (24). Interestingly, in a United Kingdom cohort study of
As nulliparity is a state that describes a heterogenous cross- women with PCOS, while there was an increased risk of
section of the population and may include heterosexually death from diabetes (OR 3.6, 95% CI 1.5–8.4, there was no
partnered women who have elected to not have children, difference in all-cause mortality noted (standardized mor-
women who are not in a relationship with a male partner, tality ratio 0.90, 95% CI 0.69–1.17). Notably, this was rela-
transgender female-to-male as well those with a history of tively small cohort (data based on 59 deaths) suggesting
infertility, it is important to consider both parity and fertility there may have been insufficient sample size to detect
status as related but potentially independent contributors to meaningful associations (25).
the assessment of future health risk. In an interesting parallel Similar correlations with systemic disease have been sug-
to these findings, several studies have observed an association gested in endometriosis and uterine fibroids. Endometriosis, a
between later maternal age at birth and exceptional chronic benign gynecologic disease characterized by endo-
longevity. An analysis of New England Centenarian Study metrial glands and stroma present outside the uterine lining,
cohort demonstrated that women who gave birth to a child af- affects 10% of women and is a major cause of chronic pelvic
ter the age of 40 had four times greater odds of being a cente- pain and infertility (26, 27). Both underlying inflammation
narian compared to women from the same birth cohort who and molecular alterations of multiple organ systems have
had their last child at younger ages (20). A nested case- been implicated in the role of endometriosis in other
control study using Long Life Family Study data found that chronic diseases (28). Endometriosis has been associated
women who had their last child beyond the age of 33 years cardiovascular risk factors including increased endothelial
had twice the odds of survival to the top 5th percentile of sur- dysfunction and atherosclerosis (29, 30). Additionally,
vival of their birth cohorts compared to women who had their endometriosis has been linked to an increased risk of
last child by 29 years of age (odds ratio [OR] 2.08, 95%CI certain subtypes of ovarian cancer (specifically
1.13–3.92 for age between 33 and 37 years and OR 1.92, endometrioid and clear cell ovarian carcinoma) (16, 31).
95% CI 1.03–3.68 for age>37 years) (21). In contrast an anal- Interestingly, while several reports have hypothesized a
ysis of over 20,000 women from the Women's Health Initia- potential link between endometriosis and cardiovascular
tive cohort demonstrated that while odds of longevity were risk, there are no studies that have interrogated these
significantly higher in women with later age at first childbirth questions on a population level. Similarly, uterine fibroids
(adjusted OR 1.11, 95% CI 1.02–1.21 for age 25 years or older (also known as leiomyomas or myomas) are benign uterine
vs. younger than 25 years) there was no difference in tumors with an estimated incidence of 20% to 40% in
longevity based on age at last birth (22). While some have in- women during their reproductive years (32). More than 70%
terpreted these findings to suggest that pregnancy at of women with symptomatic fibroids will report symptoms
advanced maternal ages is not only possible, but may be asso- of heavy menstrual bleeding, and are these women are 2.3
ciated with increased longevity, it should be noted that these times more likely to experience chronic anemia than
studies were performed amongst women in population-based women without fibroids (33). As chronic anemia has been
cohorts and may not reflect the longevity or health status of associated with an increased risk of mortality from acute
women who have pregnancies at advanced maternal ages coronary syndromes, stroke, and all cause-mortality, fibroids

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maybe associated with an increased risk for all-cause mortal- common genes and molecular mechanisms shared by diseases
ity for women later in life (34–36). demonstrated that known causes of infertility not only share
Finally, as early menopause has been linked to increased particular genes and/or molecular pathways with other dis-
risk of osteoporosis and cardiovascular disease, diminished ease processes associated with long-term morbidity, but
ovarian reserve and premature ovarian insufficiency may be they have distinct clinical relationships with other diseases
associated with increased risk of early mortality. Diminished appearing after infertility is manifested. These relationships
ovarian reserve which is diagnosed based on high follicle include but are not limited to: an association between osteo-
stimulating hormone levels, low antim€ ullerian hormone porosis, mood disorders, dementia, and premature ovarian
levels, low antral follicle count, or poor response to fertility failure; breast/ovarian cancer and diminished ovarian
treatment (37), is thought to be on a spectrum of ovarian reserve, specifically in those with BRCA1/2 mutations;
dysfunction that may culminate in premature ovarian insuf- ovarian cancer (clear cell, endometrioid, and low-grade se-
ficiency for some women (38–40). While most women rous), melanoma, and non-Hodgkin's lymphoma and endo-
experience menopause between the ages of 45 and 55 years, metriosis; and endometrial/ovarian cancer and unexplained
approximately 5% of women will enter menopause between infertility (56). These findings were the result of a novel
the ages of 40 and 45 years, and 1% of women will enter approach that aims to search common pathogenic mecha-
menopause before the age of 40 (41, 42). With respect to nisms that link diseases together in a single meta-disease
osteoporosis-related fracture risk, the data are inconsistent instead of the traditional approach of splitting phenotypes
and time-dependent. While early menopause compared to attributable to sequence variation in the human genome
natural menopause is associated with an increase in fracture and specific environmental influences) into discrete disease
rates compatible with the associated bone loss (43, 44) one entities. As such, the findings, while intriguing, are largely
cohort study demonstrated 50% more fractures with early hypothesis generating, and require validation from larger
menopause until 70 years old, while another suggested studies. Thus, while there is a dearth of population-based
increased fracture risk only after age 70 years (45, 46). With data on the long-term outcomes of women with infertility
respect to cardiovascular health, multiple studies have and its underlying causes, there is convincing biologic plau-
demonstrated that menopause before 45 years is associated sibility for increased risk of early mortality attributable to
with increased risk of cardiovascular disease (47), angina infertility. Further population-based studies are needed to
(48), heart failure (49), and early mortality (50, 51). Notably, better characterize this potential risk.
much of the data regarding early menopause and The 21st century has also seen a shift in population trends
cardiovascular risk is extrapolated from studies including in family building as well as utilization of assisted reproduc-
women with surgical menopause which may be a different tive technologies which may have a profound impact on pop-
pathogenic process than the more indolent diminished ulation health in the years to come. In 2017 the Center for
ovarian reserve or premature ovarian insufficiency. While Disease Control reported that 2016 had the lowest fertility
hormone replacement therapy in women with premature rate since the inception of the National Vital Statistics System
ovarian insufficiency has been shown to restore endothelial with an overall fertility rate of 62.0 births per 1,000 women
dysfunction and reduce the impact of relative estrogen ages 15 to 44 (57). While these findings were largely driven
deficiency on bone health (52, 53), the impact on early by a decline in birthrates amongst adolescents and women
mortality has not been well established. Furthermore, while in the third decade of life, rising birthrates amongst women
diminished ovarian reserve has been shown to correlate in the 4th and 5th decade of life were also noted, reflecting
with markers of cardiovascular disease risk (54, 55) the the shifting characteristics of women giving birth in the
association of diminished ovarian reserve with U.S. Paralleling these trends has been an uptick in utilization
cardiovascular events and early mortality has not been of fertility services including assisted reproductive technolo-
established. Indeed, this will become increasingly relevant gies. In data from the National Survey of Family Growth
in the era of direct-to-consumer medical testing, as more (1982-2010) 12% of women 15-44 in the US reported utilizing
women both with and without a history of infertility seek fertility services (58); indeed, this assessment is likely an un-
fertility testing. Further study of the role of surrogates for derestimate of the true burden of infertility as a disease due to
ovarian reserve as biomarkers for future health risk with the underlying challenges of access to care and services for
consideration of infertility and parity is warranted to identify women with infertility (59). The reasons for pursuing fertility
which women with infertility or abnormal parameters may be treatment are vast and include medical diagnoses (diminished
at greatest risk. ovarian reserve, endometriosis, PCOS, hypothalamic amenor-
Beyond individual infertility diagnoses, it is important to rhea, tubal factor resulting from prior infections/inflamma-
consider the temporal effect of a pathogenic process on the tion, male factor, recurrent pregnancy loss, etc), fertility
development of disease later in life. Ideally, a screening test preservation, and pre-implantation genetic testing for peri-
for detection or surveillance of disease should be inexpensive, conception genetic risk reduction. Notably, the birth rate
easy to administer/detect, reliable, valid, and detect disease in among women R35 years has increased to 3.5-fold for sin-
a pre-clinical phase to have greatest utility. Having a marker gletons, and 4-fold for multiple pregnancies, the latter largely
of future disease like fertility status that manifests well before attributable to a rise in utilization of assisted reproductive
the onset of disease, may offer a unique opportunity for sur- technologies (60). While women who deliver later in life are
veillance and potential risk reduction. A systematic review more likely to be better educated, have private health insur-
integrating genomics and data from the literature to analyze ance, and begin prenatal care earlier in pregnancy than their

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younger peers, they are also more likely to be overweight/ Indeed, several studies have noted an increased risk of pre-
obese, have pre-existing medical conditions, and develop eclampsia in both fresh embryo transfers (81, 82) and twin
pregnancy complications, some of which (ie. gestational dia- frozen embryo transfers amongst those with polycystic
betes, pre-eclampsia) may have a long-term impact (61–65). It ovary syndrome (83). While early studies suggested this
is likely that these population trends may extend to those phenomenon may be attributable to the supraphysiologic
seeking fertility care; indeed, those with infertility may hormonal environment seen in fresh embryo transfers, more
present as a uniquely susceptible subpopulation in whom recent data implicating an association between pre-
both the absence of pregnancy and parity, once achieved, eclampsia and frozen embryo transfers confers added
can alter the trajectory of future health. complexity to our understanding of the impact of IVF on peri-
Several studies have sought to determine the risk of natal and subsequent maternal outcomes. Pre-eclampsia is
fertility treatments on long-term health. While there is a po- thought to be a disorder of endothelial dysfunction superim-
tential impact of ovarian stimulation on vascular health due posed on pre-existing circulatory, metabolic, or immunologic
to venous thromboembolic risk, the risks of ovarian hyper- abnormalities specific to pregnancy and the postpartum
stimulation syndrome (66), and surgical complications of period, it has also been associated with a 2- to 7-fold increase
oocyte retrieval including hemorrhage or surgical injury, risk of ischemic heart disease, stroke, arrhythmias, heart fail-
these events are uncommon (<1%) and thus the burden on ure, and an increased risk of mortality compared to those
long-term health is likely minimal. As such, the preponder- without a history of pre-eclampsia (RR 1.49, 95% CI 1.05–
ance of concern has been focused on risks of ovarian cancer 2.14) (84). Thus, if a woman conceives after fertility treat-
related to fertility medications. Concerns were initially raised ments and delivers a preterm infant due to pre-eclampsia,
in the 1990s with two studies that demonstrated an increased both she and her child's future health trajectory may be
risk of invasive ovarian cancer associated with fertility medi- very different from the woman who with an uncomplicated
cation use (67, 68). Subsequent analyses including a meta- delivery at term. To what degree this risk extends to women
analysis of nine cohort studies with over 100,000 patients with infertility specifically remains to be characterized and
compared the ovarian cancer risk in women receiving fertility will need require consideration of confounders including
treatment with that in an infertile reference group and the maternal age at birth, gestational number, and concomitant
general population and demonstrated that ovarian cancer comorbidities.
risk in women receiving fertility treatment was increased In a fascinating paradox, while complications of preg-
compared to the general population (relative risk [RR] 1.50, nancy can present unique long-term health risks, a healthy
95% CI 1.17–1.92), but similar to that of the infertile reference pregnancy, may confer risk reduction for future illness. In a
group (RR 1.26, 95% CI 0.62–2.55) (69). These findings sug- recent meta-analysis of parity and long-term mortality a
gest it is more likely the underlying infertility or cause thereof non-linear association between parity and all-cause mortality
as opposed to the treatment that may be implicated in inva- was observed such that increased parity was associated with
sive ovarian cancer risk. With respect to borderline ovarian decreased all-cause mortality with the lowest risk reduction
cancers, several studies have demonstrated a significant asso- for all-cause mortality among subjects with 3 to 4 live births
ciation between fertility medication utilization and borderline (4). The contemporary predicted model is likely a U-shaped
ovarian cancer with standardized incidence ratios ranging curve as suggested by Grundy et al. (85), with increased early
from 1.79 (95% CI 1.16–2.56) to 3.3 (95% CI 1.1–7.8) mortality risk associated with nulliparity and grand multipar-
(67, 70, 71) while a recent case-cohort study of over 96,000 ity with early mortality risk reduction observed in women
subfertile women found no association between borderline with two to four children. While the precise mechanisms un-
ovarian cancer and fertility medication use (RR 1.00, 95% derlying this observed ‘‘rejuvenation effect’’ of pregnancy are
CI 0.67–1.51) (72, 73). The discrepancy amongst studies is unknown, animal models suggest that hormonal changes in
likely due to inherent challenges in studying long-term health early pregnancy may result in molecular changes that stabi-
including study design (choice of controls, follow-up time, lize p53, allowing it to repair cumulative DNA damage and
appropriate consideration of confounding by reproductive prevent cellular proliferation induced by carcinogens (86).
characteristics like parity and concomitant diseases) as well Furthermore, high levels of endogenous estrogens such as
as the relatively low prevalence of disease with long incuba- those present during pregnancy and in preparation for lacta-
tion period to disease diagnosis. Additionally, what is un- tion stimulates terminal differentiation of mammary gland
known, is whether these cases were the ultimate cause of stem cells rendering breast epithelium resistant to carcino-
mortality, and if so, were they associated with earlier mortal- genesis, a protective effect that is increased with each subse-
ity compared to fertile controls. quent pregnancy (87, 88). Thus, while infertility may be
Importantly, the success of fertility treatments also has a associated with increased risk of future morbidity, treating
potential impact on long-term health that is highly dependent infertility in a way that supports delivery of a healthy
on the definition of ‘‘success.’’ While conventional fertility pregnancy at term may confer risk reduction for future
treatment outcomes focus on the chances of ongoing preg- morbidity and early mortality. Thus, treating infertility with
nancy or live birth per initiated cycle or embryo transfer as attention to both pregnancy rates and potential perinatal
the primary metric of success, a growing body of evidence outcomes may improve health status overall.
suggests that some pregnancies after fertility treatments There is no doubt that our field has made tremendous
may be associated with an increased risk of adverse perinatal strides in the management of infertility in the past 40 years.
outcomes including preterm birth and pre-eclampsia (74–80). Increasing awareness and acceptance of infertility as a

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distinct disease process will facilitate access to care and help 21. Sun F, Sebastiani P, Schupf N, Bae H, Andersen SL, McIntosh A, et al.
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Long Life Family Study. Menopause 2015;22:26–31.
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