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COMPREHENSIVE EXAMINATION
PRODUCTION OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT
MAY 19, 2018
2:00 PM – 5:00 PM
Directions: Answer the following questions comprehensively. Use separate sheet for each question.
Show your calculations
1. The demand for rabies vaccine in Cardinal Santos Medical center has increased in the past 5 years.
The hospital administrator wants to know how many patients will avail for the said vaccine for 2019
using either the Delphi or Exponential smoothing forecasting method. The data are as follows: (4pts
each question)
Year Demand for Rabies Forecasted Values
Vaccine
2014 45 42
2015 50
2016 52
2017 56
2018 58
2019 -
a. What is forecasting?
c. What is the forecasted number of rabies vaccines to be administered in 2019 using exponential
smoothing given an alpha of 0.20? (the formula has been provided below)
e. In choosing which tasks to crash, what is your main consideration? And why?
3. Shoe Factory XYZ has several branches in various locations as indicated in the table below. The owner
is trying to find the best place to warehouse his supplies given the coordinates of each branches.
(6.67pts per question)
Davao 14700 50 -2
Bacolod 8000 30 5
Bicol 10500 50 20
b. Aside from cost, what other factors (give atleast 2) should an entrepreneur consider in choosing the
location of his/her business?
c. Given the data on the table, what are the coordinates of the possible warehouse location of the 4
branches of Shoe Factory XYZ?
4. Alex Tan, the owner of Company XYZ, wants to build his own warehouse for his products rather than
continue renting. He wants to figure out which is the better decision whether to build a small, medium
or a large one? (5pts per question)
Nothing
a. Using the maximax technique, what would be the best decision of Alex?
b. Using the maximum approach, what would be the best decision of Alex?
c. Using the minimax regret technique, what would be the decision of Alex?
5. Toyota is recognized for its reliable and efficient supply chain. The firm has used strategies that have
been admired and copied in various industries. Some of them includes Just-in-time; Keiretsu and
forward integration. (4pts each question)
b. In deciding whether to make or outsource a certain component of a product, what should be the
considerations of a firm? (give at least 3)