STATISTIKA EKONOMI DAN BISNIS

TUGAS KELOMPOK KE- 3

Nama Kelompok:

1. Mardhiyyah Inaayatun Aadilah/ 1606834352

2. Mentari Alifia Salsabila/1606830770
3. Zelvia Angrayani/1606877654
4. Abdul Muhyil Hikam Ladiku/1606896092
5. Dian Laksana Fitrah / 1506750005
6. Rezzaq Maulana/1606877641

Halaman 156-157:

27. N= 6, P= 0.68

Find the binomial probabilty for

a. P(x=5)
P(x) = nCx . px (1-p)n-x
6C5 . 0.685.(0.32)1
= 0,279
b. P(x=4)
p(x) = 6C4 . p4. (1-p)2
` = 6C4. 0,684.(0,32)2
= 0,151
c. P(x>/ 4)=
So, p=0 + p=1+p=2+p=3+ p=4+p=5+p=......

P=x>/4 adalah 1-(p=0+p=1+p=2+p=3)

p=0 6C0 . p0.(1-p)6
6C0.0,680.0,326
=0,00107
p=1 6C1 .p1. (1-p)5
6C1.0,681.0,325
=0,0136
p=2 6C2 . p2. (1-p)4
= 6C2 . 0,682. 0,324
= 0,0727
p=3 6C3 . p3. (1-p)3
= 6C3 . 0,683 .0,323
 = 0,206
P= 4
= 0,151
TOTAL 0,4437
So, The result is 1-0,4437 = 0,5563

33. Known N=10

P= 0,4
a.P(X=0)
P(x)=nCr*px*(1-p)n-x
=10C0*0,40*0,610
= 0,0060
b. Search p(x=10), and p(x>/9)= 1-p(x=10)
p(x=10) =10C10*0,410*0,60
= 0,000104
so, probability at least 9 = 1-0,000104
=0,999896
c. Expected number will graduate
E(x) = n*p
=0,4*10
=4
39. n=15, p= 0,4

a. p= x/< 4
so, search for p=0, p=1,p=2,p=3, p=4

p(x)=0, 15C0 * 0,40*0,615

= 0,006
P(x) =1, 15C1 *0,41*0,614
= 0.004
P(x)= 2, 15C2*0,42*0,613
= 0,021

P(x)=3, 15C3*0,43*0,612
= 0,063
P(x)= 4, 15C4*0,44*0,611
= 0,126
Total = 0,2173
 b. p(x=7)
x=7, 15C7 *0,47*0,68
= 0,1771

p=(6</x</9), FORMULA p(x)=nCx*px*(1-p)n-x

p(x)=6 + p(x)=7 +p(x)=8 +p(x)=9

p=6 , 15C6*0,46*0,69
=0,2066
p=7, 15C7*0,47*0,68
=0,1771
P=8, 15C8*0,48*0,67
=0,1181
P=9, 15C9*0,49*0,86
= 0,0612
Total 0,5630
so, the probability at least than 6 but no more than 9 is 0,5630

Soal halaman 161-162

No. 43

Dik: µ = 4

a. P(X = 4)
𝑒 −µ 𝑥 µ𝑥
𝑥!
𝑒 −4 𝑥44
= 0,1953
4!
b. P(X = 2)
𝑒 −µ 𝑥 µ𝑥
𝑥!
𝑒 −4 𝑥42
= 0,146
2!
c. P(X <= 1) = P0 + P1
𝑒 −µ 𝑥 µ𝑥
𝑥!
𝑒 −4 𝑥40
PO = = 0,0183
0!
𝑒 −4 𝑥41
P1 = = 0,0732
1!
0,0183 + 0,0732 = 0,0915
No. 48

Dik: µ = 360/jam

µ = 360 : 60 = 6 mobil per menit

a. P(X = 2)
𝑒 −6 𝑥42
= 0,044
2!
b. P(X >= 2)
𝑒 −6 𝑥60
P0 = = 0,00247
0!
𝑒 −6 𝑥61
P1 = = 0,01487
1!
= 0,00247 + 0,01487 = 0,01734
= 1 – 0,01734
= 0,98266
c. X = 40
µ10 menit = 6 x 10 = 60
𝑒 −60 𝑥6040
P(X = 40) = 40!
= 0,00143

No 49

Dik =

µ16 jam = 400/16jam

µ1 menit = 400/16jam = 400/960 menit = 0,416/menit

a. µ1 jam = 0,416 x 60 menit = 24,96

µ30 menit = 0,416 x 30 menit = 12,48
µ15 jam = 0,416 x 15 menit = 6,24
𝑒 −µ 𝑥 µ𝑥
b. 𝑥!
𝑒 6,24 𝑥6,246
= 0,159
6!
𝑒 −µ 𝑥 µ𝑥
c. 𝑥!
𝑒 −6,24 𝑥6,240
= 0,00194
0!
d. P(X >= 2)
𝑒 −6,24 𝑥6,240
P0 = = 0,00194
0!
𝑒 −6,24 𝑥6,241
P1 = = 0,0121
1!
= 0,00194 + 0,0121 = 0,01404
 = 1 – 0,01404
= 0,98596

Hal 170-177:

Halaman 170 (69, 75)

69.

Consumers with credit cards carry balance p = 44%

Consumers with credit cards not carry balance (1-p) = 56%

n=4

a. What is the probability that all consumers carry a credit cards balance?

P if x = 4

n!
P(X = x) = x!(n−x)! px (1 − p)n−x

4!
P(X = 4) = 4!(4−4)! 0.444 (0.56)0 = 0.0375

b. What is the probability that fewer than 2 consumers carry a credit cards
balance?

P if x < 2

4!
P(X = 1) = 1!(4−1)! 0.441 (0.56)3 = 0.309

0,364

c. Calculate the expected value, the variance, and the standard deviation for
this binomial distribution?

E (X) = n.p = 4*0.44 =1.76

Var (X) = 𝜎 2 = n. p. ൫1 − p൯ = 4*0.44*0.56 = 0.9856

SD (X) = 𝜎 = 0.992

75.

N = 20

n=4
S=3

a. What is the probability that she finds at least one of the student of the
student cheating?
S N−S
൬ ൰൬ ൰
x n−x
Probability 𝑃൫X = x൯ = N
൬ ൰
n

X≥ 1 sama dengan 1- P(X=0)

3 20−3
൬ ൰൬ ൰
0 4−0
x=0 𝑃൫X = 0൯ = 20
൬ ൰
4

3! 17!
×
0!3! 4!13!
P(X=0) = 20!
= 0.49
4!16!

P(X≥ 1)= 1 - P(X=0) = 1 – 0.49 = 0.51

b. What is the probability that she finds at least one of the student of the
student cheating if she focuses on 6 randomly chosen students? (if n=6)

൫𝑆 𝑁−𝑆
𝑥൯൫ 𝑛−𝑥 ൯
Probability 𝑃(𝑋 = 𝑥) =
൫𝑁
𝑛൯

X≥ 1 sama dengan 1- P(X=0)

3 20−3
൬ ൰൬ ൰
0 6−0
x=0 𝑃൫𝑋 = 0൯ = 20
൬ ൰
6

3! 17!
×
0!3! 6!11!
P(X=0) = 20!
= 0.32
6!14!

P(X≥ 1)= 1 - P(X=0) = 1 – 0.32 = 0.68

Halaman 177 (5)

5.

A random variable X follows the continuous uniform distribution with a lower bound
of -2 and an upper bound of 4 (−2 ≤ x ≤ 4)

a = -2
 b=4

a. What is the height of the density function f(x)

1 1 1
f (x) = b−a = = = 0.16
4−൫−2൯ 6

b. Mean and standard deviation for the distribution?

a+b 4+(−2)
Mean, 𝜇 = = =1
2 2

2 2
൫b−a൯ ቀ4−൫−2൯ቁ
Standard deviation, ඨ =ඨ = = ට3 = 1.73
12 12

c. P(x ≤ −1) ?
1 1 1
P൫x ≤ −1൯ = f (x) * (-1 – (-2)) = b−a × 1 = 4−൫−2൯ = = 0.16
6

Hal 177

7) Uniform Distribution :lower limit 750, upper bound 800

a  b 750  800
  775
A. µ= 2 2

Standard deviation

(b  a) 2 (800  750) 2 25 3
   14,43
12 12 3

1/800-750
a b

750 800
00

B. P(x<770) ,
base: 770-750 = 20
P(x<770)
Height: 1/800-750 = 0.02 1/800-
75 a b
P(x<770)= base x height = 20x 0.02 = 0.4
0

9) 750 770 800

F(x
00 00
)
A) Expected arrival time

ab 4
 2
E(x) = 2 2

a b

X
0 4

F(x
)
b) P(X<1.5)

Height: 1/b-a = 1/4-0

P(X<1.5)
Base: 1.5-0=1.5
1/4-0
P(X<1.5) a b

base x height = 1,5 x 1/4= 0,375

X
0 1.5 4

c) P(X>1.5) F(x
)
Height: 1/b-a = 1/4-0

P(X>1.5)
1/4-0
a b
Base: 4-1.5 = 2.5

P(X>1.5)= basex height= 2.5 x 1/4= 0.625

21.

Let X be normally distributed with mean μ = 10 and

standard deviation σ = 6.

a. Find P(X ≤ 0).

P(X ≤ 0)= P (Z ≤ 0-10/6)

P(Z≤-1.67) = 0.0475

b. Find P[X > 2).

P(X> 2)= P (Z >2-10/6)

P(Z>-1.33) = 0.918

c. Find P(4 ≤ X ≤ 10).

P(4 ≤ X ≤ 10)= P(X≤10)-P(X≤4)

10  10 4 - 10
P( Z  )  P( Z  )
6 6
P( Z  0)  P( Z  1)

0.5- 0.15867 = 0.3413

d. Find P(6 ≤ X ≤ 14)

P(6 ≤ X ≤ 14)= P(X≤14)-P(X≤6)

14  10 6  10
P( Z  )  P( Z  )
6 6
P( Z  0.67)  P( Z  0.67)
0.7486  0.2514  0.4972  0.5000

Hal 192:

25. A) Find x such that P(X ≤ x)

  X  2500   2500 
P( X  X )  P  
 800 800 
   2500 
P( X   )  P  Z 
 800 
X  2500
 Z 0.982  1.54
800
So, X  800 X 1.54  2500  4732

B) P(X>  )= 0.025 , mean:2500,  =800

 X  2500   2500 
P( X   )  P  
 800 800 
   2500 
P( X   )  P Z 
 800 
P ( X   )  0.025
  2500
so,  Z 0.025  1.96
800
  800 x1.96  2500  4068

C) P[2500 ≤ X ≤  ) , mean: 2500, sd:800

  2500 2500  2500

so, 2500  x    0
800 800
  2500
P ( x   )  P[ Z  ]
800
  2500
 Z 0.1217  0.31
800
  800 X 0.31  2500  2748

D) P(x≤)=0.4840 , mean:2500, sd:800

x  2500   2500
P ( x   )  P[  ]
800 800
  2500
P ( x   )  P[ Z  ]
800
x  2500
 Z 0.484  0.04
800
whenP  0.4840
  800  0.04  2500  2468

27.

A) X =40.000, µ=43.000, sd=18.000

 X 
Z 

40.000  43.000
  3 / 18  10.16
10.000
WhenX  50.000
X 
Z 

50.000  43.000
  7 / 18  0.38
18.000
so, Z  0.016  z  0.38
therefore, P ( 40.000  X  50.000)  P ( Z  0.38)
so,0,6486  0.4364  0.2116  21%

B) X =80.000, µ=43.000, sd=18.000

X 
Z

80.000  43.000
  37 / 18  2.05
18.000
so, P ( Z  80.000)
P  0.0192  1.92%

36. µ=60, sd=20 , P= 50<x<80

X  50
  60
  20
x 50  60
Z   10 / 20  0.5
 20
x   80  60
Z   20 / 20  1
 20
P (0.5  z  1)
P  3.413  0.1015  3.519

b)

P  (20  x  40)
x 20  60
Z   40 / 20  2
 20
x   40  60
Z   20 / 20  1
 20
P(02  z  1)
P  0.1587  0.0228  0.1359
C)

P  ( x  x)  0.83
  60
  20
x  60   60
P( x   )  P[  ]
20 20
  60
P( x   )  P[ z  ]
20
P( z   )  0.85
x  60
 x  88
20

D)

P  ( x   )  0.1
  60
  20
x  60   60
P ( x   )  P[  ]
20 20
  60
P ( x   )  P[ z  ]
20
sin ce, P ( z   )  0.1
x  60
so,  x  2.32
20

So, x or passing score= 14.

Halaman 192-204

38.

P (X<=0) = 0.10

Z = -1,28

So if we use the equation, we can conclude that the risk or the standart deviation is=
4,375

55

A.Mean = 5000 average amount = 7790 sd = 5500

With the normal distribution equation we can conclude that the z is 0.507
So the probability is 0,7157

B. Compute the 25 percentile from the amount

= ¼ * 7790 = 1947

C. Compute the 75 percentile from the amount

= ¾ * 7790 = 5842,5

D. Interquartile range

= Q3-Q1 = 5842,5-1947 = 3895,5

59

A. Exponantial distribution

22*2,7120(pangkat) -22.60 = 0.4497

B. The probability = 1-0,4497 = 0.651