Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
3. Explain about the Terminologies involved in the game theory with suitable examples?
4. A) Distinguish between correlation and regression.
B) Derive two regression lines and explain with suitable examples.
The Funny Toys Company has four men available for work on four separate jobs. Only one
man can work on any one job. The cost of assigning each man to each job is given in the
following table. The objective is to assign men to jobs in such a way that the total cost of
assignment is minimum.
Job
Person 1 2 3 4
A 20 25 22 28
B 15 18 23 17
C 19 17 21 24
D 25 23 24 24
Solution.
This is a minimization example of assignment problem. We will use the Hungarian
Algorithm to solve this problem.
Step 1
Identify the minimum element in each row and subtract it from every element of that row.
The result is shown in the following table.
"A man has one hundred dollars and you leave him with two dollars, that's subtraction." -
Mae West
Table
Job
Person 1 2 3 4
A 0 5 2 8
B 0 3 8 2
C 2 0 4 7
D 2 0 1 1
Step 2
Identify the minimum element in each column and subtract it from every element of that
column.
Table
Job
Person 1 2 3 4
A 0 5 1 7
B 0 3 7 1
C 2 0 3 6
D 2 0 0 0
Step 3
Make the assignments for the reduced matrix obtained from steps 1 and 2 in the following
way:
For each row or column with a single zero value cell that has not be assigned or
eliminated, box that zero value as an assigned cell.
For every zero that becomes assigned, cross out (X) all other zeros in the same row and
the same column.
If for a row and a column, there are two or more zeros and one cannot be chosen by
inspection, choose the cell arbitrarily for assignment.
The above process may be continued until every zero cell is either assigned or crossed
(X).
Step 4
An optimal assignment is found, if the number of assigned cells equals the number of rows
(and columns). In case you have chosen a zero cell arbitrarily, there may be alternate optimal
solutions. If no optimal solution is found, go to step 5.
Table
Job
Person 1 2 3 4
A 5 1 7
B 3 7 1
C 2 3 6
D 2
Step 5 Draw the minimum number of vertical and horizontal lines necessary to cover all the
zeros in the reduced matrix obtained from step 3 by adopting the following procedure:
Mark all the rows that do not have assignments.
Mark all the columns (not already marked) which have zeros in the marked rows.
Mark all the rows (not already marked) that have assignments in marked columns.
Repeat steps 5 (ii) and (iii) until no more rows or columns can be marked.
Draw straight lines through all unmarked rows and marked columns.
You can also draw the minimum number of lines by inspection.
Table
Step 6 Select the smallest element (i.e., 1) from all the uncovered elements. Subtract this
smallest element from all the uncovered elements and add it to the elements, which lie at the
intersection of two lines. Thus, we obtain another reduced matrix for fresh assignment.
Table
Job
Person 1 2 3 4
A 0 4 0 6
B 0 2 6 0
C 3 0 3 6
D 3 0 0 0
Final Table: Hungarian Method
Job
Person 1 2 3 4
A 4 6
B 2 6
C 3 3 6
D 3
Since the number of assignments is equal to the number of rows (& columns), this is the
optimal solution.
2. Find the starting solution in the following Transportation problem by using any one
method
(d) North-West Corner method
(e) Least cost method
(f) VOGEL’S approximation method.
Also obtain the optimum solution by using the best starting solution:
D1 D2 D3 D4 SUPPLY
S1 3 7 6 4 5
S2 2 4 3 2 2
S3 4 3 8 5 3
DEMAND 3 3 2 2 10
3. Explain about the Terminologies involved in the game theory with suitable examples?
COMPARISON TABLE
Now let us see some of the differences between CORRELATION and REGRESSION below
given table.
CORRELATION REGRESSION
The main purpose of correlation analysis is to The main purpose of regression analysis is to
predict which are the most dependable predict or estimate the unknown variable with
forecasts. the help of known variable.
Scope
Correlation analysis has limited applications. Regression analysis has wider applications.
Nature of variables
In correlation both the variables are mutually In regression one variable is dependent and other
dependent. variable is independent.
Range
Correlation coefficients can range from -1.00
In regression anlysis if byx > 1, then bxy < 1.
to +1.00.
Responding Nature
The regression coefficient is independent of the
The correlation coefficient is independent of
change of Origin but dependent on the change of
the change of Origin or change of Scale.
Scale.
Nature of Coefficient
The correlation coefficient is symmetrical and
Regression coefficient is not symmetrical.
also mutual.
Exceptional Cases
Sometimes there may exist Non-sense There is no such thing as a Non-sense regression
correlation in the correlation analysis. in regression analysis.
Measures
CORRELATION REGRESSION
Regression describes the fundamental level the
Correlation measures the degree to which two
nature of any linear relationship between two
variables move together,
variables.
Association
The correlation coefficient measures the extent
Linear regression allows us to describe one
and direction of a linear association between
variable as a linear function of another variable.
two variables.
Relationship
Correlation is confined to the linear Regression studies linear and Non-linear
relationship between variables only. relationships also.
The end points (corner points) of the shaded area are (0,0), (11,0), (5.7, 11.58) and (0,15). The
values of the objective function at these points are 0, 198, 288 (approx.) and 240. Out of these
four values, 288 is maximum.
The optimal solution is at the extreme point b, where x1 = 5.7 & x2 = 11.58, and z = 288.
2. Explain about the decision making process.
In fact, in any system the efficacy (efficiency) of an item deteriorates with time. In such cases,
either the old item should be replaced by a new item, or some kind of restorative action
(maintenance) is necessary to restore the efficiency of the whole system.
The cost of maintenance depends upon a number of factors, and a stage comes at which the
maintenance cost is so large that it is more profitable to replace the old item. Thus, there is a
need to formulate the most effective replacement policy.
The purpose of this chapter is to show what replacement models look like.
Replacement models are concerned with the problem of replacement of machines, individuals,
capital assets, etc. due to their deteriorating efficiency, failure, or breakdown.
It is evident that the study of replacement is a field of application rather than a method of
analysis. Actually, it is concerned with methods of comparing alternative replacement policies.
Alternatives: "May be it's in the basement, let me go up stairs and check." - M. C. Escher
The various types of replacement problems can be broadly classified in following categories:
Replacement of items whose efficiency deteriorates with time, e.g., machine, tools, etc.
Replacement of items that fail suddenly and completely like electric bulbs & tubes.
Replacement of human beings in an organisation or staffing problem.
Replacement of items may be necessary due to new researches and methods; otherwise,
the system may become outdated.
Replacement Theory in Operations Research – An Algorithm using MS-Excel
The Replacement Theory in Operations Research is used in the decision making process of
replacing a used equipment with a substitute; mostly a new equipment of better usage. The
replacement might be necessary due to the deteriorating property or failure or breakdown of
particular equipment. The ‘Replacement Theory’ is used in the cases like; existing items have
out-lived, or it may not be economical anymore to continue with them, or the items might have
been destroyed either by accident or otherwise. The above discussed situations can be solved
mathematically and categorised on some basis like:
Items that deteriorate with time e.g. machine tools, vehicles, equipment buildings etc,
Items becoming out-of-date due to new developments like ordinary weaving looms by
automatic, manual accounting by tally etc.
Items which do not deteriorate but fail completely after certain amount of use like
electronic parts, street lights etc (Group Replacement) and
The existing working staff in an organization gradually diminishing due to death,
retirement, retrenchment & otherwise (Staff Replacement).
Replacement Policy for Equipments which Deteriorate Gradually
Let us see the first case of gradual failure of items with time. Consider the example of a Motor
Vehicle; the pattern of failure here is progressive in nature i.e. as the life of vehicle increases; its
efficiency decreases. This results in additional expenditure in running or maintaining this vehicle
and at the same time its resale value (also called as scrap value) also keeps on decreasing. The
above case makes this situation a typical case for applying ‘Replacement Theory’