Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Lima, Peru
November 30, 2009
This presentation draws on ideas from Professor Porter’s books and articles, in particular, Competitive Strategy (The Free Press, 1980); Competitive
Advantage (The Free Press, 1985); “What is Strategy?” (Harvard Business Review, Nov/Dec 1996); “Strategy and the Internet” (Harvard Business
Review, March 2001); and a forthcoming book. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or
by any means—electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise—without the permission of Michael E. Porter. Additional information may
be found at the website of the Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, www.isc.hbs.edu. Version: November 27, 2009
$0
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14%
Source: Growth of Real GDP per Capita (PPP-adjusted),
EIU (2009), authors calculations
20091130 – Peru.ppt 2 CAGR, 2004 to 2008 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Peru’s Prosperity Performance
GDP per Capita
(in 1990 PPP US$)
CAGR: CAGR: CAGR:
$6,000
+2.07% - 0.65% +5.19%
$5,000
$4,000
$3,000
$2,000
$1,000
$0
1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2008
Note: PPP using Geary Khamis calculation methodology.
Source: Groningen Growth and Development Centre, Total Economy Database3 (June 2009)
20091130 – Peru.ppt Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Unemployment Performance
Unemployment
Rate, 2008
Selected Countries
Dominican Republic (15.5%) South Africa (22.9%)
14% Improving Tunisia Deteriorating
Croatia
0%
-6% -5% -4% -3% -2% -1% 0% 1% 2%
Change of Unemployment Rate in Percentage Points, 2004 to 2008
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Source: Informacion Socio Demografica, from El Instituto Nacional de Estadistica e Informatica (INEI), 2009
20091130 – Peru.ppt 5 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Export Performance
Exports of Goods and
Selected Countries
Services (% of GDP), 2008
100%
Malaysia (103.5%)
Slovakia
90%
Libya
Latin American Countries
Other countries Ireland Malta Czech Republic Panama Hungary
80% Vietnam
Thailand
Estonia Slovenia Saudi Arabia
70%
Trinidad & Tobago
Belarus Paraguay
60% Bulgaria Belize Lithuania
Cambodia Tunisia
Jordan
Honduras Kazakhstan Algeria
50% Cyprus Macedonia
Croatia Chile
Ukraine (-17.5%) Costa Rica Egypt
Latvia
40% Israel Poland Bolivia
Philippines China Morocco South Africa
Uruguay Ecuador Portugal Nicaragua
Syria Venezuela Russia
Romania Georgia Mexico
30% Indonesia Peru Lebanon
Sri Lanka
Iran El Salvador
India
Argentina Greece
20% Albania Colombia Guatemala
Turkey
Brazil
Pakistan
10% Ethiopia
0%
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%
Change in Exports of Goods and Services (% of GDP), 2004 to 2008
0.50%
0.40%
0.30%
0.20%
0.10%
0.00%
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
12,000 350
Unprocessed Goods Exports (current prices)
300
10,000 Unprocessed Goods Exports (1997 prices)
200
6,000
150
4,000
100
2,000
50
0 0
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
60% Vietnam
Bulgaria (69%)
Source:
20091130 UNCTAD,
– Peru.ppt World Investment Report (2009) 9 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Innovative Capacity
Innovation Output of Selected Countries
Average U.S. patents per 1
million population, 2004-2008
3.5
Czech Republic
3.0
Croatia
2.5
Greece
1.5
Portugal
Russia
BUT
• Prosperity remains low and large segments of the population lack access to basic
needs
• High unemployment and inequality persist
• Peru is overly dependent on commodity exports with limited potential to drive job growth
and economic diversification
Macroeconomic Competitiveness
Social
Infrastructure Macroeconomic
and Political Policies
Institutions
Natural Endowments
• Macroeconomic competitiveness creates the potential for high productivity, but is not
sufficient
• Productivity ultimately depends on improving the microeconomic capability of the
economy and the sophistication of local competition
Microeconomic Competitiveness
Quality of the Sophistication
National State of Cluster of Company
Business Development Operations and
Environment Strategy
Macroeconomic
Policy
Macroeconomic Competitiveness
Social
Infrastructure Macroeconomic
and Political Policies • Fiscal policy: public
Institutions
spending aligned with
revenues over time
Natural Endowments • Monetary policy: low
levels of inflation
• Macroeconomic
management: avoiding
structural imbalances
and cyclical
overheating
Microeconomic Competitiveness
Quality of the Sophistication
National State of Cluster of Company
Social Business Development Operations and
Environment Strategy
Infrastructure
and Political
Institutions Macroeconomic Competitiveness
Social
• Human Development: Infrastructure
and Political
Macroeconomic
Policies
basic education and Institutions
health care
• Rule of Law: property Natural Endowments
rights and due process
• Political Institutions:
stable and effective
political and
governmental
processes and
organizations
Microeconomic Competitiveness
Quality of the Sophistication
National State of Cluster of Company
Business Development Operations and
Sophistication
Environment Strategy of Company
Operations and
Macroeconomic Competitiveness Strategy
Social
Infrastructure
and Political
Macroeconomic
Policies
• The internal company
Institutions skills, capabilities,
and management
practices needed to
Natural Endowments
attain the highest level
of productivity and
innovation possible
Microeconomic Competitiveness
Quality of the Sophistication
National State of Cluster of Company
Business Development Operations and
Quality of the Environment Strategy
National Business
Environment Macroeconomic Competitiveness
Social
• The external business Infrastructure
and Political
Macroeconomic
Policies
environment Institutions
Microeconomic Competitiveness
Quality of the Sophistication
National State of Cluster of Company
Business Development Operations and
Environment Strategy
Macroeconomic Competitiveness
Social
Infrastructure Macroeconomic
State of Cluster and Political Policies
Development Institutions
Economic Social
Development Development
Macroeconomic Microeconomic
Competitiveness (82) Competitiveness (73)
Note: Rank versus 133 countries; overall, Peru ranks 71st in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 75th in 2009 Global Competitiveness
Source: Country Competitiveness Model (CCM), Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, Harvard University (2009)
20091130 – Peru.ppt 21 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Peru’s Macroeconomic Competitiveness
Macroeconomic Policy
2%
0%
-2%
-4%
-6%
-8%
-10%
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008
Macroeconomic Policy
However
However
Venezuela Bangladesh
91 Uzbekistan
-20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20
Change in Rank, Global Corruption Report, 2007 versus 2001
Note: Ranks only countries available in both years (91 countries total)
Source: Global Corruption Report, 2008
20091130 – Peru.ppt 26 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Peru’s Macroeconomic Competitiveness
100
80
Peru’s per capita GDP rank: 72
60
40
20
0
Ease of Getting Protecting Registering Paying Trading Closing a Employing Starting a Enforcing Dealing
Doing Credit Investors Property Taxes Across Business Workers Business Contracts with
Business Borders Licenses
Food Local
Suppliers Attractions and Transportation
Restaurants Activities
e.g., theme parks,
casinos, sports
Property Souvenirs,
Services Duty Free
Airlines,
Hotels Banks,
Maintenance Cruise Ships
Foreign
Services
Exchange
Sources: HBS student team research (2003) - Peter Tynan, Chai McConnell, Alexandra West, Jean Hayden
20091130 – Peru.ppt 33 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Cluster in Developing Countries
Kenya’s Cut Flower Cluster
Government Agencies, NGOs & Industry Associations
Non-Governmental Organizations
The Rural Enterprise Agri-Business Promotion Project (USAID, CARE, IFAD)
Horticultural Produce Handling Facilities Project (JBIC)
Post-Harvest
Plantstock Cooling
Trade & Industry Associations Technology
Kenya Flower Council (KFC)
Fresh Produce Exporters Association of Kenya (FPEAK)
Regional Growers Associations e.g., North & South Kinangop; Lake Naivasha, etc
Greenhouse;
Grading /
Shading
Packaging Sheds
Structures
Packaging &
Irrigation
Labeling
technology
Post-Harvest Materials
Flower Handling;
Farming Transport to
Pre-Cooling Refrigerated
Technology
Market Trucks
Fertilizers,
Freight
pesticides,
Forwarders
herbicides
Education, Research & Quality Standards Organizations
Sources: Student team research by Kusi Hornberger, Nick Ndiritu, Lalo Ponce-Brito, Melesse Tashu, and Tijan Watt,
Microeconomics of Competitiveness Course, 2007
20091130 – Peru.ppt 34 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
The Australian Wine Cluster
History
1930 1965 1980 1991 to 1998
First oenology Australian Wine Australian Wine New organizations
course at Bureau and Brandy created for education,
Roseworthy established Corporation research, market
Agricultural established 1990 information, and
College 1955 1970 export promotions
Winemaker’s
Australian Wine Winemaking Federation of
Research school at Charles Australia
Institute founded Sturt University established
founded
Source: Michael E. Porter and Örjan Sölvell, The Australian Wine Cluster – Supplement, Harvard Business School Case Study, 2002
20091130 – Peru.ppt 35 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
The Evolution of Regional Economies
San Diego
Hospitality and
Climate Tourism
and Sporting Goods
Geography
Transportation
and Logistics
Power Generation
Communications
Aerospace Vehicles Equipment
and Defense
U.S.
Information Technology
Military Analytical Instruments
Education and
Knowledge Creation
Medical Devices
1.2%
Metal, Mining and Manufacturing
Peru’s world export market share, 2007
1.0%
0.8%
0.6%
Fishing
Agriculture
0.4% Apparel
0.15%
Textiles
0.10%
Transportation and Logistics
Financial Services
Chemical
Products Processed Foods
Furniture
Malaysia’s world export market share, 2007
2.0% Agriculture
Plastics
Lighting and Electrical Equipment
1.5% Construction Materials
Analytical Instruments Oil & Gas
Malaysia’s Average World
Export Share: 1.24%
Motor Driven Products Processed Foods
Transportation and Logistics Publishing and Printing
1.0%
Apparel
Chemical
Power and Power Generation Equipment Fishing & Fish Products Products
Jewelry, Precious Metals and Collectibles Prefabricated Enclosures and Structures
Metal, Mining and Manufacturing Communication Services
Forest Products Textiles Production Technology
Business Services (-2.36%)
0.5%
Aerospace Vehicles and Defense Sport Medical Devices
Leather &
Footwear Related Sporting Marine
Products & Recreation Equipment
Goods
Note: Clusters with overlapping borders have at least 20% overlap (by number of industries) in both directions.
20091130 – Peru.ppt 42 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Share of World Exports by Cluster
World Market Share Malaysia, 2007
1.24% - 1.75%
Leather &
Footwear Related Sporting Marine
Products & Recreation Equipment
Goods
Note: Clusters with overlapping borders have at least 20% overlap (by number of industries) in both directions.
20091130 – Peru.ppt 43 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
State of Cluster Development in Peru
• Peru’s clusters are shallow, with weak supplier bases and supporting
institutions
• Local firms
Turn Products Into Clusters
• MNCs
1.4%
Coffee, Tea, Cocoa and Spices
1.2%
Subcluster’s share of World exports, 2007
1.0%
Meat and Related Products
0.8%
0.4%
Specialty Agricultural Products
Oils and Fats
0.2%
Crude Fertilizers Feeding Materials
Sugars, Molasses and Honey
Plants and Flowers Fertilizers
Grains
0.0%
-0.8% -0.6% -0.4% -0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8%
Change in Subcluster’s share of World Exports, 1997 – 2007
Exports of US$200 million =
Source: Prof. Michael E. Porter, Cluster Mapping Project, Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, Harvard Business School; Richard Bryden, Project Director.
20091130 – Peru.ppt 47 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Peru’s Metal Mining and Manufacturing Cluster, 1997 – 2007
Exports by Subcluster
8.0%
Overall change in Subcluster World
Export Share : + 0.49%
7.0%
Copper
6.0%
Subcluster’s share of World exports, 2007
5.0%
4.0%
3.0%
Other Metals
2.0%
Iron and Steel Mill and
Subcluster Overall
Foundry Products Fabricated Metal Products Export Share: 1.13%
1.0%
Wire and Springs
• Leverage clusters to attract FDI and facilitate integration with the global
economy
Nation
Istanbul
Textiles
Leather and Apparel Bati Marmara Bati Karadeniz Orta Anadolu Dogu Karadeniz
Distribution Services Apparel Tobacco Furniture Food Processing
Jewelry Textiles Apparel Textiles Distribution Services
Chemicals Metal Mining and Manufacturing Agricultural Products Furniture
Construction Materials Forest Products Metal Mining and Manufacturing Forest Products
Dogu Marmara
Textiles Kuzeydogu Anadolu
Automotive Agricultural Products
Apparel Footwear
Furniture Distribution Services
Hospitality and Tourism
Guneydogu Anadolu
Ege Textiles
Tobacco Tobacco
Textiles Oil and Gas
Construction Materials Food Processing
Apparel Bati Anadolu
Furniture Akdenziz Ortadogu Anadolu
Construction Materials Textiles Textiles
Distribution Services Hospitality and Tourism Agricultural Products
Aerospace Apparel Apparel
Distribution Services Distribution Services
12,000
Lima
10,000
Areguipa
8,000 Tacna
Peru’s Weighted Ica
Average: 6,513 Pasco
Madre de Dios Ancash
6,000
La Libertad
Junin Lambayeque
Ucayali Piura
4,000 Loreto Tumbes Cusco
Cajamarca Amazonas
Huancavelica Puno San Martin Ayachucho
Huanuco
2,000 Apurimac
0
0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10%
Growth in GDP per Capital (CAGR), 2001 to 2008
Source: Fuente: Instituto Nacional de Estadistica e Informatica - Dirección Nacional de Cuentas Nacionales
20091130 – Peru.ppt 55 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Competitiveness of Peru’s Regions
• Strong disparities exist
across Peruvian regions in
business environment,
innovative capacity, and
economic performance
• Decentralization remains
incomplete and has
produced some social
tension and unrest
• Sub-national governments
are highly dependent on
transfers from the central
government
20091130 – Peru.ppt 56 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Peru’s Regions
Action Priorities
Neighboring Countries
Nation
Action Agenda
• Economic coordination with neighboring countries is an important
tool in economic development
• Peru can take a proactive leadership role in promoting trade
liberalization efforts with particular neighbors and the region
• Peru can be a platform for South American firms seeking to access
the U.S. and Asian markets
• Leverage inbound and outbound FDI with neighbors to upgrade
local competitiveness
20091130 – Peru.ppt 62 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
The Need for an Economic Strategy
Policy Economic
Improvement Strategy
• What elements of the business • What are the crucial weaknesses and
environment and institutional context constraints that must be addressed to
can be unique strengths relative to achieve parity with peer countries and
peers/neighbors? allow the country to move to the next
• What existing and emerging clusters level?
can be developed?
Increase
Reduce Poverty
Competitiveness
Economic Social
Objectives Objectives
Worker
Education and
Poverty in Skills
the Company’s Worker Safety
Communities
Employee
Energy Use
Health
Water Use
• Find the points of convergence between economic and social objectives, not
assumed tradeoffs or the need for redistribution
– These points of convergence are growing
• Achieving shared value requires new thinking, new technologies, and new
approaches to management