State Intelligence

• SCC Readiness Level: XXXX

Briefing
• XXXDAY, XXth MONTH, 2012
SCC Activation Level: TIER 3 (RED)
Tuesday, 07 January 2020

FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

Combined Agency Operations
FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

3
State Weather Update
FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
24 hour rainfall totals to 9am Monday

For official use only

Lightning previous 24 hours to 10:00am Tuesday

For official use only

Situation > Weather > Synoptic Chart

For official use only

Situation > Weather > Satellite & Observations 10:30am

For official use only

Situation > Weather > Smoke guidance @ 8pm Tuesday

For official use only

Situation > Weather > Thunderstorm Chart - Tuesday

Issued at 5:18 am Tuesday, 7 January 2020,

Valid until midnight on Tuesday, 7 January 2020.

Slight chance of thunderstorms this afternoon in the far

northeast with the right combination of available
moisture, surface heating and a weak trough in the
area. A mid-level warm layer may prevent storms from
forming on the Victorian side of the border and any that
do form will be steered eastwards back towards NSW.

For official use only

WEATHER MODEL PROGNOSIS For official use only
1700 Tuesday 7 January 2019
MaxFFDI

MaxGFDI

FORECAST FOR VICTORIA

Mostly cloudy in the south with areas of drizzle about the central district, mainly morning.
Isolated showers across Gippsland. Dry across the north and west. Widespread smoke
haze, mainly over central and eastern parts. A mild to warm day with light to moderate
south to southeasterly winds.
WEATHER MODEL PROGNOSIS For official use only
1700 Wednesday 8 January 2020
MaxFFDI

MaxGFDI

FORECAST FOR VICTORIA

Dry and partly cloudy in the south with isolated showers across Gippsland, mainly during
the afternoon and evening. Dry and sunny inland. Widespread smoke haze, mainly over the
east. A mild to warm day with moderate to locally fresh south to southeasterly winds.
WEATHER MODEL PROGNOSIS For official use only
1700 Thursday 9 January 2020
MaxFFDI

MaxGFDI

FORECAST FOR VICTORIA

Hot and sunny inland. Partly cloudy and milder across Gippsland. Widespread smoke
haze, mainly over central and eastern parts. Moderate to fresh east to southeasterly winds
tending light and variable inland.
WEATHER MODEL PROGNOSIS For official use only
1700 Friday 10 January 2020
MaxFFDI

MaxGFDI

FORECAST FOR VICTORIA

Hot to very hot north to northwesterly winds, becoming gusty in the afternoon ahead of a
cooler, strong and squally westerly change moving across western parts in the morning,
central parts in the early afternoon and eastern parts in the late afternoon and evening.
Scattered showers extending from the west from late morning. Areas of smoke haze over
central and eastern parts, contracting east during the day.
For official use only
For official use only
 Key Weather Messages
• TUESDAY 7 JANUARY
– S'ly airflow with conditions becoming warmer and drier inland
– Local morning drizzle in the south and isolated showers in the east
– Expecting poor humidity recovery overnight in the far northwest and at higher elevations
• WEDNESDAY 8 JANUARY
– S to SE'ly airflow maintaining milder conditions in the south; warm to hot and dry inland
– Dry apart from isolated showers in Gippsland
– Locally poor humidity recovery overnight in the north and at higher elevations
• OUTLOOK
– Warm to hot on Thursday with light winds inland and fresh E'ly coastal sea breezes
– Likely spike in fire danger Friday due to hot, dry N'ly winds ahead of a gusty SW'ly wind
change. Cloud band with showers/rain to follow change. Risk of storms northeast ranges.
– Milder on Saturday before conditions start warming up again.

For official use only

State Fire Behaviour Update
FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

18
Grass Curing from Monday 23rd

FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

Minutes to 5 ha – Today 1600 hrs

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Minutes to 5 ha – Friday 1500 hrs

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Head Fire intensity – Today 1600 hrs

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Head Fire intensity – Friday 1500 hrs

FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

 Key Messages
TODAY
• Moderate grassfire threat in the NW (suppressible)
• Forest fire generally suppressible
• Expect East Gippsland moderated by smoke, cloud & rain

OUTLOOK
• North East: moderate threat under southerly wind
• Drying trend
• Friday different from previous spike days:
• Only single night of poor RH recovery
• A little recent rain
• Still strong winds aloft
FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY 24
State Intelligence Update
FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
 State View of Fires
STATEWIDE – FIRES
• 12 GOING bushfires
• 10 CONTAINED
• 71 UNDER CONTROL
• Area ~ 1.2 million ha Going
Fires

FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

 Upper Murray Complex
Upper Murray 26 – Upper Murray – Walwa
Going Size – 178,124 ha
• Minimal fire activity overnight
• Good tracking around HVP pine plantations
• TMPs are being reviewed to improve access
• Hazardous tree assessment and treatment
• Priority is to enable safe access for
communities to return
• NSW Dunnings Rd fire – this parallel fire is
being monitored
• Some fire activity at SE edge amongst small
spot fires

FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

 Ovens Complex
Ovens 41 Abbeyard – Yarrarabula South– 64,154
ha
• Light rain yesterday
• Some fire activity in the NW corner
• Priority for control lines today
• Thick smoke and low cloud has limited aerial
support.
• Possibly clearing later today from the west
and linescan has been requested.
Goulburn 79 Alpine National Park - Bluff Creek -
4160 ha
• Steady light rain yesterday

FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

 Gippsland
Less fire activity overnight
• Limited rain in N. and E. Gippsland
• More significant rain in Western fire
areas
Tambo Complex:
• Tambo 35 – 341,812 ha

FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

 Gippsland
Less fire activity overnight
• Limited rain in N. and E. Gippsland
Snowy Complex:
• Tambo 39 – 387,353 ha - is now
Snowy 16 – Snowy Complex
Snowy 9 – 147,681 ha​
• Still some fire activity over the NSW
border

FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

 Water Impacts
• Mutual aid arrangements within the water sector has been established to support impacted water corporations.
• Communications and power are still out or intermittent at several locations.
• · NEW Scada supply to all treatment plants back on line.
• · Generators have been deployed to supply power to water treatment plants where needed.
• · Road closures continue to affect access to water assets.
• · Untreated water is being provided to Buchan and Omeo communities. ‘Do not drink tap water notice’ remains
in place. Bottled water has been provided to these communities. Both treatment plants are now operating
satisfactorily. EG Water is awaiting confirmation from DHHS to lift the no drinking water notices.
• · All North East Water Treatment plants are operating effectively.
• · EG Water have identified some damage to water storage covers.
• · Water sector relief recovery planning is currently underway.
• Other Water Issues
• · Southern Rural Water is working with the local ICC to assess damage groundwater bores in the Swifts Creek
area and repair them to maintain access to stock water.

FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

 Telecommunications
• 151 ADSL services across multiple communities including Colac Colac, Sarsfield, Corryong, Thowgla
Valley, and Cudgewa;
• 538 fixed line telephony across multiple communities including Tostaree, Gelantipy, Goongerah,
Sarsfield, Koetong, Towong, Lucyvale, Cudgewa, Nariel Valley and Combienbar;
• 140 Telstra NBN Voice and Data services at Corryong;
• Loss of mobile coverage to 7 x 4G and 4 x 3G base stations across 7 physical sites including Butchers
Ridge, Bonang, Tubbut, Genoa, Mount Elliot and Granya;
• Emergency Services Regional Managed Radio (RMR) sites at Mount Mittamitite, Mount Youngal,
Hamilton Gap, Jersey West.
• As a result of the impact above, the Communities of Cudgewa, Granya, Gelantipy, Genoa, Butchers
Ridge, Tubbut, Tintaldra, Bonang, Combienbar, Cabbage Tree Creek, Club Terrace, Goongerah and
Mount Jersey West may be isolated and residents of these areas may be unable to call Triple Zero
(000) emergency services.

FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

Electricity
Approximately 3,100 customers off supply due to bushfire activity
Work commencing today includes construction work in the Buchan area, if successful this will provide
power back to the town centre, including the relief centre
An escorted trip into Corryong to refuel the generators will be attempted if conditions permit, with this
escort 24 poles will be transported and left at strategic sites. This is conditional on electricity field
personnel gaining entry to the area
Restoration plans will prioritise relief centres, hospitals, airports and communication services as well as
other essential services

Properties restored with power in previous 24 hours:

· Ensay – 10 properties connected to the generator

· Sarsfield – 8 properties connected to the network
· Cliftons Creek – 59 properties connected to the network
· Granite Rock – 8 properties connected to the network
· Jarrahmond – 20 properties connected to the network

FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

Smoke and Air Quality Outlook

FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

In Summary
Focus today:
•Further development of plans for communities in the
declared areas
•Food and grocery supply
•Telecommunications
•Transport
•Impact Assessment

SCC Intelligence Capability:

•Mapping
•FBAN​
•Intel teams
•BoM
•EMLOs

FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

State Relief & Recovery Update
FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
• R&R is working closely with the Combined Agency Operations Team around the reception of
the 300 people being evacuated from Mallacoota on HMAS Choules, which is due to arrive
tomorrow.

• Working with relevant agencies around relief requirements and supplies for isolated
communities.

• We are working closely with local councils to determine relief priorities, both immediate and
longer term

• R&R continues to reinforce strong messaging around donated goods. We are keeping a
register of OoA coming through to the SCC and responding appropriately.

37
Interstate / International
FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
• There are 39 US Firefighters operating on CFA tankers in Gippsland on
their first rotation (rest day today).
• Additional US firefighting (48) and specialist resources (18) from US and
Canada are due to arrive on Wednesday 8th January 2020.
• Briefing for incoming crews arranged for 9 January 2020.
• Victorian agency field liaisons embedded with the firefighting task forces.
• 2 US Liaison officers operating at the SCC will be joined by a Canadian LO
on Friday. 1 US LO travelling to Hume.
• Requests for additional firefighting and IMT support have been submitted.
• 1 FBAN from QLD in the State Control Centre

39
Public Information Update
FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

40
Public Information 7/01/2020

Warnings Current (10:00hrs) 24 hrs to 10:00

Emergency Alerts 0 0
Evacuate Now 0 0
Emergency Warnings 0 1
Watch and Act/Warning 13 43
Advice 21 32
Community Information 5 5
All Clear 0 1

41
Public Information 7/01/2020
VicEmergency Hotline
Total Calls Yesterday: Calls: 922 (CSO 287)
0000 – 2359 hrs
Total Calls Today: Calls: 134 (CSO 45)
0000 – 1000 hrs

Summary Key Themes:

• Donating and Volunteering
• Current Incidents
• Travelling During Bushfires
• Planned burns
• DHHS - Personal Hardship Assistance Payments.

42
Public Information 7/01/2020
Community Meetings

Yesterday
• Orbost Football Club at 5.00pm

Today
• 3 evacuation community meetings planned for Mallacoota: 10.45am, 12.45pm,
2.00pm
• Corryong College at 3.00pm

43
Public Information 7/01/2020
Key message highlights

1. Mallacoota evacuation messaging

2. Pro-active messaging for Friday
3. Messaging on renaming of fires/complexes (explaining to media)
4. Donations
5. Air quality
6. Wildlife

44
Public Information 7/01/2020
Social Media
Key Points:
Top post (past 24 hrs):
• Number of engagements managed by social
media over the last 3 days: Vic bushfire appeal – 6/1/20, 12:43pm

• 04/01/2020 - 13,534 People reached: 452,483

• 05/01/2020 – 8,835
• 06/01/2020 - 7,613
• Trends on social:
• Relief and Recovery questions
• Smoke – air quality concerns

Stats for the past 24 hours*

45
Public Information 7/01/2020

46
 SRC Update
FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

Images courtesy of EMV

 SCC Room Update
FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

Images courtesy of EMV

 FIRE DANGER
RATINGS
TODAY
Mallee Tuesday 07 January 2020

Wimmera Northern
Country North East

North
Central
Central East Gippsland
South West

West & South

Gippsland

FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

Interstate Fire Danger Ratings / Total Fire Bans - Today

Use snipping tool to copy SA / NSW FDR’s from EM-COP:

https://scc.em.vic.gov.au/InterstateFDR.htm

FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

Key State Contacts
Emergency Management Commissioner: Andrew Crisp
State Response Controller: Gavin Freeman
State Consequence Manager: Mike Freeman
State Relief and Recovery Manager: Kate Fitzgerald
EMV Duty Officer: Chris Brockwell
SCC Room Manager: Marianne Brereton

State Agency
Gregg Paterson Steve Grant Ken Brown Jackson Bell
Commander

State
Duty Officer / Deputy Ryan Baxter Maria Lambrinos Gavin Rooney Aaron White
Agency Commander
Note: Correct as at 1000 hours this morning. Source: Fireweb Readiness Tab
FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Key Regional Contacts
Region Regional Controller
Barwon South West Mark Gunning

Grampians Craig Brittain

Loddon Mallee Gavin Thompson
Hume Rob Van Dorsser
Gippsland Ben Rankin
Southern Metro Mark Swiney
East Metro Graeme Armstrong
North & West Metro Gregory Hitch

Note: Correct as at 1000 hours this morning. Source: Fireweb Readiness Tab
FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
SCC Key Timings

Use snipping tool to copy today’s information from EM-COP:

http://files.portal.em.vic.gov.au/refdocs/SCCschedule.htm?v
=3

FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

Meetings and Teleconferences – next few days

Use snipping tool to copy the next few day’s information

from EM-COP:
http://files.portal.em.vic.gov.au/refdocs/SCCschedule.htm?v
=3

FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

SCC and Agency – Current Activation Levels

Use snipping tool to copy this information from EM-COP:

http://files.portal.em.vic.gov.au/refdocs/SCC-
ActivationLevels.htm?v=3

Note: Correct as at XXXX hours this morning. Source: EM-COP – cop.em.vic.gov.au

FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
 Onsite Consultants
Wellbeing & Support

chat
debriefing
onsite counselling
self-care coaching
mental fitness training Christine Bruce
triage and referral Cohen Perham
0421 456 106 0433 086 998
 Onsite Consultants
Wellbeing & Support

chat
debriefing
onsite counselling are available today
self-care coaching walking the floor
mental fitness training
triage and referral
Feedback and Observations
• EM-Share is an online platform that supports the Victorian emergency
management sector lessons management life cycle.

• EM-Share supersedes the Observation Sharing Centre to provide improved

transparency, analytics and collaboration.

• By submitting what is working well and learning opportunities into EM-Share,

you are contributing to the learning and improvement of the emergency
management sector.

• Access EM-Share at https://share.em.vic.gov.au/ or via the EM-COP

Desktop

FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

State Control Centre Sign in Reminder

Start of shift:
• Sign into your relevant agency logbook/laptop
• Report to the SCC Room Manager
• Report any OHS and welfare issues to the SCC Room Manager

End of shift:
• Advise the SCC Room Manager when you have completed your shift
• Sign out of agency logbook/laptop
• Complete your agency timesheet
• Adhere to the Fatigue Management Policy

FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

 The next briefing will be produced
1100hrs – Wednesday, 08 January 2020

Copies of this presentation can be found

under the Operations tab on EMCOP

FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY