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This course contains the most charts pertaining to coffee that have ever been included in a
course. Over 40 charts are included, some digital, some in the book and others sent along
with the course.
You will get to see exactly what W.D. Gann was looking at while trading coffee. See every
tick of the market, and look back at the history of coffee just as he did - in order to help see
the future a bit clearer.
We are only releasing 100 copies of this rare piece. Think of it this way. Only 101 people in
the world will have this knowledge…
32ndJewel.com
most frequent email (17x’s) - “OMG It’s a Masterpiece!”
News does drive certain market events and we understand how certain traders rely on news or interest rates to
bias their positions and trades. As technical analysis purists, so to say, we believe the price operates within pure
constructs of price rotation theory, trend theory, technical indicator theory and price cycles. We’ve found that
technical analysis distills many news items into pure technical trading signals that we can use to profit from
market swings.
Price is the ultimate indicator in our view. Price determines current trends, support/resistance levels/channels,
past price peaks and troughs and much more. When we apply our proprietary price modeling and price cycle
tools, we can gain a very clear picture of what price may attempt to do in the near future and even as far as a
few months into the future. Price, as the ultimate indicator, truly is the mathematical core element of all future
price activity, trends and reversions.
We have been using cycles since 2011 and have developed multiple proprietary price modeling tools over the
past 5+ years that assist us in finding and timing great trades. Most of what we have learned over the past 8+
years is refined into “experience and skill”. When you follow the markets every day – every hour, for the past
8+ years and see various types of price and technical indicator setups and reactions, you learn to hone into
certain setups that have proven to be highly accurate trading triggers.
Our research team had dedicated thousands of hours to develop the tremendous skills and experience to be able
to produce accurate cycles, and to also interpret them, which is what we specialize in doing. Determining which
cycles to trade may look simple, yet they are far from easy to trade without the setups and price rotation signals.
We use a blend of the top 4 active price cycles in the market which updates daily. This data allows us to know
where future price is likely to move over the next few days and weeks. Within this article, we’ll show you some
of our proprietary price cycle and modeling tools to show you how we run some of our specialized trading tools.
Notice how the current cycle ranges are much more narrow than the previous cycle ranges? This suggests the
current price cycle event may be more muted and smaller in volatility than previous price cycle ranges.
Our proprietary price cycle tool is suggesting that GDXJ will rotate lower to setup a moderate-term price bottom
before attempting to move higher over the next 8 to 10+ days. The upside price cycle may be rather muted as
well – possibly only targeting recent price peaks near $40~42.
This chart presents a very good example of how our proprietary cycle tool can align with price perfectly at times.
In this example, the expected cycle ranges, which highlight the intensity and potential volatility of the price
trends, aligned almost perfectly with the real price action. Currently, the cycle tool is predicting a moderate
price rotation in Natural Gas before a further upside price move hits.
Concluding Thoughts:
Opportunities are all around us. Using the right tools to identify the true technical cycles, price cycles and
trading setup can help to eliminate risks and hone into more profitable trades. It is almost impossible to time
market tops and bottoms accurately, yet, as you can see form our work above, we have tools that can help us
see into the future and help to predict when major price peaks and valleys may form. Using a tool like this to
help you determine when real opportunity exists and when to time your trades will only improve your market
insights and trading results….
As a technical analysis and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles. I believe I
have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for both short-term swing trading and long-term
investment capital. The opportunities are massive/life-changing if handled properly.
Chris Vermeulen
www.TheTechnicalTraders.com
FOR A DETAILED WRITE-UP, SAMPLE TRADES & AUTHOR INTRODUCTION &SAMPLE TEXT SEE:
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BY LORRIE V. BENNETT forecasts using several wave based techniques...
Last issue we discussed the interrelationship of the USA and Iran and possible events that could occur due to
configurations occurring in the charts. The event occurred (attack against USA interest) as Iran attacked the
Saudi Arabian oil fields in an attempt to disrupt oil production and increase the price of oil. In this issue we are
evaluating the interrelationship between the USA and China which is in the news due to trade negotiations.
But first a point of clarification on a term which I have used for many years which may not have been clear to
the reader in the prior issues of this journal. In the prior articles on Geodetics, I used a term called Mid-Haven
or MH on the charts. This is not an error attributed to me not knowing the term MC or Medium Coeli or mid-
sky and the southernmost point in the chart and the cusp of the 10th house.
What it does reflect is a realization that with over 12 years of research done in Geodetics, using the same term
of MC for a geographical and a celestial term was poor practice. In most fields when using terms, each term
should be specific and applicable to the topic under discussion.
After much use and thought I settled on the term Mid-Haven (MH). A haven is a harbor, port, a place of safety,
refuge, a place offering favorable opportunities or conditions. The expected span of the haven is as far as the
eye can see from ground level, or about 3 miles for a 5 foot 7 inch person, or 12 miles in each direction if you
are located in a 100 foot tower built upon a flat region of land. Or in essence no more than 1/1000th of the
Earths circumference can be visible to a simple person. This is the base meaning of the term MidHaven.
A location can have both a MH and a MC on a chart at the same time, and aspects between these two points can
answer the timing issue of many events. Therefore, to use the same term i.e. notation of MC for both points
leads to confusion about which exact point is begin discussed. As such, in my work on Geodetics, I am utilizing
and propose the use of the term Mid-Haven to allow for a clear differentiation between the two points in a chart.
For an example of how to derive the MidHaven and Ascendant of a geographical location refer to the previous
article on Iran and US.
5. Characteristics: First let’s look at the characteristics of each government as determined by placing the Sun in
the respective MH positions. When contemplating these two definitions one realizes that the characters of each
country match their MH.
• The US MH is in Capricorn which gives a hardworking people, concentration upon self, a serious outlook
on life, tenacious clinging to one’s goal or aspirations in life, tenacity or toughness, industriousness, a sense of
reality, rise and advancement through untiring effort, vocational interest are of primary importance.
• For China the MH is in Cancer giving a wealth of feeling, joy of marriage, connubial love, receptivity,
impressionability, benevolence, contemplative nature, reserve, domesticity, love of comfort, harmony,
experience of up and downs in life.
Looking at the characteristics of each countries populous as determined by placing the Sun in the respective
Ascendant positions.
• The US Ascendant is in Aries which gives a storming and urging nature, leading character, the urge to do
something, consciousness of purpose or objectivity, enthusiasm, courage, boldness and audacity, passion
the urge to rule or lust for power, quarrelsome, advancement in life partly thru ruthlessness, difficulties thru
hastiness.
• For China the Ascendant in Libra gives a sense of harmony, public spirit, sociability, adaptation, vanity, the
desire to be a person of importance, love of the arts, good manners, lack of firmness, consistency, constancy,
associations are important.
6. Celestial participants in current events:
Saturn: The key player in this round of negotiations and overall events is Saturn which is located at the US
This opposing energy being present shows that China is under internal pressure to resolve the imbalance with
the energy of Saturn from Capricorn and the interaction with the US via the tariffs.
The application of tariffs on Soybeans at this time was a masterful move by the US President which applied
pressure where it would give the best results, which was to correct past trade imbalances caused by poor
negotiators whose primary goal was to make friends with China (a true open enemy as shown by the opposing
MH positions) and not get what was best for the US. News reports show the tariffs that are currently in place on
Soybeans were not removed. Additional tariffs were just avoided.
In essence, China paid a price for being stubborn about the historic trade imbalances and the unwillingness to
voluntary adjust those practices. The reason soybeans are so important is that soybeans are a land dependent
crop. In China, they have a self-sufficiency policy that requires the growth of the food required to feed to
populace. As China has developed, the populace has seen the addition of more meat products such as beef and
pork to their diets moving away from a strict grain based diet. This requires additional soybean growth to feed
the herds of pork and beef. But the availability of additional land to increase soybean production is a factor.
To grow more soybeans to support a greater meat consumption by the populace would require additional land
under soybean cultivation as soybean crops cannot be increased in yield by fertilizer or other farming practices.
To increase the supply of soybeans requires either reducing the land under cultivation in the self-sufficiency
policy or the import of more soybeans.
The US produces a surplus of soybeans which are exported, and it is this surplus which China has agreed to
absorb in its agricultural purchases. How can one assume it is soybeans which are a major agriculture product
to see increased imports by China? In 2017 China purchased 23.8 billion dollars of Soybeans. 1 This value
conforms to the historical peak amount from which the 40-50 billion dollar amount noted in the article below
can be arrived at by doubling to tripling of the amount of soybeans historically purchased.
On Oct 11, 2019 a press conference on “the Phase 1 agreement covers several important topics, including
agricultural sales. China has agreed to ramp up its purchases of agricultural products to $40-$50 billion –
three times the previous pea k– over the next two years. Trump joked that farmers will need to buy more land
and work overtime. That means, I think, that Democrats can say goodbye to hopes that tariffs would be the
issue that could win votes in rural America.2”
The “need to buy more land” is a clue to the land dependent crop of soybeans.
Neptune in Pisces effecting the Ascendants: Also, from the press conference:
“The agreement also opens up China’s financial services markets to American companies, covers currency ma-
1 https://www.mda.state.mn.us/sites/default/files/inline-files/profilechina.pdf
2 https://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2019/10/trade-deal-with-china-is-a-blockbuster.php
WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM Nov/Dec/Jan 2020 16
nipulation, and addresses some aspects of intellectual property and technology transfer agreements.” These
are areas of industry influenced by Neptune.
During this round of negotiations Saturn has resided in opposition to China’s MH and conjunct the US MH.
This put China in a weaker position when compared to the US MH, and then, given the skill in negotiations of
the current US President has helped resolve the issues that Saturn brings to the table for both countries.
Also, the Sun is arriving at a conjunction with the Asc of Beijing on Oct 15, which will elevate the worldly
outlook for the people of China and give a perfect time for China to fold and embrace a better trade agreement
with the US. This is the perfect time for China to arrive at concessions about agricultural purchases as tied
to Saturn in Capricorn (Soybeans, Beef, Pork, etc.), and correcting currency manipulations as Neptune is
beginning a push for the resolution of these factors.
Node in Cancer/Capricorn conjunct Saturn is hampering China’s negotiations as the node in Cancer gives
disagreements with relatives/community while the node in Capricorn (US) gives a striving for the establishment
of suitable associations pursuing clear and definite objectives, a sense of responsibility with regards to others.
So, the nodes impact to China is to bring to light disagreements with relatives and community such as social
unrest due to food prices or the push in Hong Kong for freedom, while in the US it is feeding the desire to
correct long standing trade issues and imbalances.
Trading Note: For those focusing in on Soybeans, know that the pork herd in China has been decimated by a
swine flu outbreak that resulted in a significant culling of the national herd. A move upwards in Soybeans is
still a bit off so care should be taken about entering a trade prior to a setup confirmation as the cycles are not yet
fully turned.
These observations are a small sampling of the deeper principles of astrology that Gann and the great ancient
astrologers used. In my forthcoming course, The Law of Vibration by the Planets, I will introduce a new,
advanced system of astrological market interpretation based upon Gann’s most secretive and hidden astrological
principles decoded from his most mysterious work, The Tunnel Thru the Air.
Volume 1 of the Series, The Law of Vibration by the Patterns is currently available through the Institute of
Cosmological Economics, and Volume 2, The Law of Vibration by the Numbers will be released around the
end of the year. For more details, see: https://www.cosmoeconomics.com/EZ/ice/ice/lorrie-bennett.php or email
Lorrie through institute@cosmoeconomics.com.
FOR A DETAILED WRITEUP ON THIS COURSE INCLUDING FULL CONTENTS, AND SAMPLE SECTIONS SEE:
WWW.SACREDSCIENCE.COM/FERRERA/THE_PATH_OF_LEAST_RESISTANCE.HTM
FOR A DETAILED WRITEUP ON THIS COURSE INCLUDING FULL CONTENTS, AND SAMPLE SECTIONS SEE:
HTTP://WWW.SACREDSCIENCE.COM/FERRERA/THE-ART-OF-THE-TRADE.HTM
For those who have been involved in Gann Research for many decades, probing the scientific
foundations behind his Law of Vibration, the question has often arisen as to whether there is
a modern academic or theoretical field that Gann’s market theory falls under?
For the most part, aside from Economics in general, there is not any such field in mainstream
thought. We have therefore come up with a new term that we feel properly contextualizes the
essence of Gann theory in our modern idiom, Cosmological Economics. Some people use
the term AstroEconomics for financial astrology, though this does not encompass the scope
that Cosmology, a term originally invented by Pythagoras, includes.
We would like to update the Law of Vibration into the more serious science of Cosmological Economics,
elaborating it as a new and cutting-edge paradigm which integrates the principles of scientific cosmology with
economic theory producing powerful applications in financial market analysis and forecasting.
This field emerged from a long tradition of investigation into correlations between universal order, mathematics
and natural science on one side, and patterns of mass psychology and human behavior on the other. The
fundamental premise of CosmoEconomics is that market movements are not random, and that through the use
of cosmological ordering principles, financial markets are predictable!
This was the valuable insight that Gann provided unveiled for us, showing a direct but unexplainable connection
between cosmos and man. However, new discoveries in solar and plasma physics, the electrical universe, and
celestial mechanics begin to fill in abstract elements in Gann’s theory with hard physical science. And yet, the
connections that Gann presented have yet to be discovered by the hard sciences, placing the field of Cosmological
Economics as a new paradigm operating at cutting edge of modern science, economics and psychology. Let’s
explore this idea further…
There are numerous approaches used to create such forecasts, such as cyclical analysis, energetic modeling,
mathematical series, harmonic composition, geometrical projection, periodicity sequencing, structural analysis,
sympathetic resonance and more. But the fundamental premise remains the same, that behind the phenomenon we
call “the financial markets” lies a system of order that can be defined and predicted using the scientific principles
which underlie certain systems of ancient, modern and alternative cosmology.
Some markets are even comprised of non-real, conceptual entities like indexes or ETF’s, options and derivatives,
which are just purely theoretical entities with absolutely NO physical existence whatsoever.
A “market” then, for any such entity, is the summation of all investment decisions engaged in by the mass of
society “trading” that particular entity. And the “decisions” that are made through the buying and selling of stocks
and futures of any kind, come directly from the mind, emotions, and overall psychology of the traders involved.
That psychology is influenced by a wide range of factors such as study, intelligence, information, emotion, and
experience, which vary from person to person, from moment to moment, and continuously shift and change
according to the immediate circumstances of the individual and current situation of the world. Every individual
continually processes a combination of both his own individual internal experience, and his external collective
experience, these two elements engaging each other in an ongoing feedback loop. The entire collective body
of traders or investors in any market engage in the same process, creating what we define as “mass human
psychology.”
There are only three possible directions in which the market can move: up, down and sideways.
Correlatively, there are only three summational influences of human psychology as applied to
making a trading decision, which are hope, fear and indecision. With hope, the market rises.
With fear, it falls. And with indecision, it goes sideways…
Extreme forms of these would be euphoria and panic, which are what produce parabolic spikes
and crashes. The model need not be complex, simply a range of three general psychological
states with their three correlative market responses will serve to provide a general psychological theory of the
markets.
The secondary or objective form of influence behind the markets is caused by external physical or social phenomena
which will vary for each market, having greater effect on some and little on others. Here we are talking about
elements like weather, war, political upheaval, supply, demand, natural disasters, government control, social
trends, the business cycle, and all other such external factors which may influence the markets.
However, we do not necessarily consider these factors in the way that a fundamental analyst would. Whereas a
fundamentalist would look at each of these elements as a cause in itself, we look at them more deeply, seeking
a sense of possible order or even causation behind such elements, looking for patterns or influences which may
directly or indirectly affect them.
For instance, when one examines either weather patterns or the business cycle, one can easily discover that these
events occur according to regular time periods which can be explained by cycle theory. There are both long term
and short term cycles which have been proven to influence weather patterns, though the actual cause is as yet still
a field of active investigation.
The Business Cycle, which by its very nature is defined as a cycle and has been plotted out through history
by many academic scholars, the ex-Fed Chair, Paul Voelker, even acknowledging the undeniable effects of its
influence. But how often do you hear anyone ask whether there may be some kind of plausible explanation behind
Why do weather patterns fall into regular cycles? Why can the Business Cycle
even be defined as a cycle that has shown itself throughout history for 100’s
if not 1000’s of years? Is this not the next logical step that a rational mind
observing a phenomenon would ask about something that is, as yet, unexplained? Is it not within the purview of
scientific method to engage in such inquiry and investigation?
It asks the simple question: could there be an as yet undiscovered cause behind or
correlation between these seemingly disparate events? And the answer we discover in our
analysis is YES! Indeed, there is, at the very least, some kind correlation between these
events that has been well documented over long periods of history!
Ultimately then, the field of Cosmological Economics seeks, at most, the discovery of an unknown, underlying
system of cosmological order or causation behind mass social patternings like the financial markets, or at the very
least, to provide some kind of explanation for this documented pattern of mysterious correlation between such
phenomena. In either case, the results will inevitably define some unknown degree of order in what is currently
considered by modern science to be a totally random or chaotic phenomenon.
Either discovery would be powerful, the lesser providing a valuable methodology for forecasting financial markets
based upon the know correlations, even if the reason for those correlations remained unknown. But the former
would be so radical as to inspire a revolutionary breakthrough in modern scientific, economic, and social theory,
the like of which would force a complete reevaluation of the fundamental principles of science and the nature of
reality itself.
In our recognition of the importance of this new field, we have created and recently released our website and
online Gann community called the Institute of Cosmological Economics (ICE) to encourage, explore and educate
people on this cutting-edge theory. We have been developing this website for a decade, scanning all of our reprints
to make available easily and cheaply by download, and will continue adding the most important books from our
15,000 volume library to create the best Gann resource ever available.
We invite anyone interested in market forecasting, Gann theory, cycles, solar effects upon the markets or anything
of the like to come become a Member of the new ICE website. Membership is FREE and includes 3 PDF downloads
from a selection of 30 of our very best books on the subject. Members also gain access to a 30% discount list with
some of our most popular titles.
Our new site has Online Forums for various fields of Gann Research, as well as over 300 PDF eBooks at prices
equivalent to a Starbucks latte, including all the most important books from Dr. Baumring’s recommended reading
list, W. D. Gann’s COMPLETE Reading List (the only complete set in the world), a free 100 page historical
introduction to Cosmological Economics, coming electronic library subscriptions, as well as our full collection of
high-end proprietary trading systems and advanced Gann courses.
From the 8/5 low, TTheory correctly predicted SPX ATH's into 11/1. Subscribers knew to buy the dips!
DISCLAIMER
Trading in stocks, ETF, options and futures involves risks. Trade at your own risk. Do your homework and choose which
methods work best for you. The contents of this blog are for general information and educational purposes only and
should not be construed as an investment advise strategy. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
FOR A MUCH MORE DETAILED WRITE-UP, CONTENTS, SAMPLE CHARTS & ARTICLES SEE:
HTTP://WWW.SACREDSCIENCE.COM/PENICKA/GANN-SCIENCE.HTM
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Nothing is random, everything is connected and all is fractal, price patterns as well
Would you like to know the as time patterns. Surprisingly time patterns could be calculated exactly while price
trend of each trading day in patterns- such as Elliott Wave- are no exact science before the fact. Time patterns/
advance? cycles is not a sort of statistical approach like projecting the price moves of the
past into the future, calibrating it and fitting all sorts of static cycles. This approach
DeLorean indicator shows if the will not work unless by coincedence. The future will be different from the past.
next day is positive , negative The first application of our invention was the most difficult one, to forecast the
or unclear. Really fascinating open of the indices for the days or month to come. This has to be very precise,
to calculate the energy for since we take position the evening before and close at a predetermined time the
tomorrow using our physics next day. When the model predicts an uptrend (positive energy) at the opening,
model. We have been doing we enter the market at the close of the day before taking a long position in futures
this since march 2017 with or options. On prediction of a downtrend we enter a short position. Next day at
an uncanny result and only a the opening we close the position at a predetermined time, so there is no leeway
handful of losing months. (see that a wrong prediction could still somehow become profitable by sitting it out.
overview) Later on we started using initial stops and trailing stops to optimize results, when
the (positive or negative) energy became stronger during the day.
Let’s put this into practice and give you the predictions for SPX, which we sent to our customers by mail on 30th of
September for all the month of October 2019.
Attached to this mail our users find predictions for every trading day. No prediction in the sheet means neutral or unclear.
The attachment can be seen on the next page where we now have filled out the results of the prediction, a whopping
148 points profit using one future ES.
The SPX traders are very content with good results of SPX DeLorean, particularly the last month. Now we are using
a trailing stop of 8 when price change has already been explosive, otherwise of 10. Additionally there is an intial stop
of 10 points.
WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM Nov/Dec/Jan 2020 26
Firstly we will explain the sheet. Most important is (look at the header of each column) the trend date and TREND,
which is the date we are predicting and what to trade for. So the 1st of October the forecasted TREND was UP.
Therefore we enter the day before at the close 21:59, see entry date. Consequently we BUY (ENTRY TRADE) the
ES future (SPX) on 30th of September and SELL on the 1st of October at 15:00 to cash in or take a loss. When trend
continues in forecasted direction we use a trailing stop, which can add considerable extra gain, but also results will be a
bit different for each trader.
Clearly if the trend date of 28th of October is UP, traders will have to enter their trade on Friday the 25th at the close
and take position over weekend. The 28th our model showed a very strong positive energy, which in fact should mean
that during the weekend and on the 28th there will be most likely positive news that will make prices rise.
One more explanation on CANCEL in the sheet. This is the only signal that has been changed the day before the trend
day and communicated with our traders. Also the time in yellow is a deviation from the default times, so entry or exit
times are more specific.
Clearly this is a very negative outcome especially after the election. Unlikely that a victory of Trump will be regarded as
positive news, so the deep red indicator shows his re-election in a very hectic sort of crisis situation.
wwww.aquilaesignal.com, mail: info@aquilaesignal.com, Subscribe to our Newsletter DeLorean for extra information:
http://www.aquilaesignal.com/free-newsletter/
In addition to the above information we have very important information for hedgefunds/portfoilio managers on the year
2020 using our long term time waves. Let us know if you are interested.
Available on Amazon.com
ISBN: 978-1-7323413-0-2
BUY NOW
The difference between a trader or investor expresses itself in the period of time one wants to
hold a position; the behavior and reliance on predictive tools are the same.
In essence: You need a system to base your decision on, regardless if you are investing in your
IRA, 401(k), or trading your personal account and this is exactly where most traders or investors
struggle with: finding and following a system and systematic to trade or invest.
Let us pick up a Shakespearian play to demonstrate what we want to share with you: Macbeth
receives a prophecy from a trio of witches that one day he will become king of Scotland
(a directional move for his life). Consumed by ambition and spurred to action by his wife,
Macbeth murders King Duncan, and he takes the Scottish throne (forcing the future). However,
by his actions and doubt, he ends wracked with guilt and paranoia (doubt: why did I make
the decision, but I am defending it). Forced to commit more and more murders (trading
decisions on the wrong basis) to protect himself from enmity and suspicion, he soon becomes
a tyrannical ruler (emotionally losing it). The bloodbath and consequent civil war swiftly take
Macbeth and Lady Macbeth into the realms of madness and death (blows the account).
Let us take those elements and bring them in relation to trading and investing:
Now, understanding the problem, how do we help you to build up the action steps needed for
being a successful trader or investor?
1) First of all, commit to a system that is proven and gives you high predictive (high prob-
ability) setups for all desired time-frames.
3) Understand that you work on a probability that is below 100%; thus accept losing trades
and follow the system without alternating rules.
4) Review: Repeat what you have done right and leave behind what you did wrong.
However, in life, the simple things are often the hardest to establish, in particular, when we are
on the wrong path. Let us go into the details of what is needed:
1. System
The time based on which the signal was picked up by our algorithms decides for the time we are
assuming for being in the trade.
You already see multiple critical elements your system shall provide:
• Condition for entering a trade: only when those are fulfilled, you invest your money. Let
us give you an example. The system formulates a price threshold: Buy > $101 or Sell < 99.
Thus, you can program on your trading platform conditional orders for either trading the
underlying or a derivative like an option. Your order will only go in the market when your
trade condition is fulfilled. This way, you do not need to control the trade, the system and
computer do the work for you, without you needing to be in front of the screen. It is 2019,
give you this freedom! If you want to investigate further how and why this shall work, check
out my most recent book at Amzon…click.
• Trade with mechanical rules. We already talked about the entry rules, now let us formulate
the exit rules. You have two exits that should be system-defined at entry, but further
conditions apply:
• However, this already leads to another checkpoint: the relation between reward to risk shall
be at max, risk ≤ 1.2 times the reward.
• Maximum option price to pay for being long with puts or calls or minimum premium when
you work with credit spreads, with a signal- defined time to expiration.
• At this point, you recognize, we encourage you to work with strict rules: The most
experienced pilot always goes through his checklist before descending into thin air, and
successful traders and investors do, too. Let us pick a simple example: The NLT-Confirmed
Movers Alert, which follows the signals TradeColors.com, for September 26, 2019, spelled
out the following short-selling opportunities:
The NLT Alert includes the price thresholds for entries, exits, stops, and for the maximum
price to pay for short-term options, following the NLT Delta Force Concept (taught in our
mentorships).
A first example and we go through all signals, you see, is a clear cut price threshold for CVX:
When the price of CVS drops below $122.87 on September 26th; which it did, shorting the stock
is the desired action. The trade was supposed to be closed, either at the closing of September
30th or at target, whichever occurs first. In case you wanted to follow the short direction with a
short-term Put option, pay no more than $0.99.
WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM Nov/Dec/Jan 2020 35
All actions can be pre-programmed in your trading platform:
If CVX < $122.87 buy … Puts for $0.99 (no need for you to be in front of your computer).
Immediately after your order fills, you can enter your exit conditions by an OCO order, and all
goes automatic for you.
Let us do a quick check on the outcome of the four trades based on the TradeColors.com charts.
In a quick summary: From the short symbols, three were winners; one was a losing trade: 75%
attainment rate and high probability for a small investment into an alert report…click to sign up
for one week free.
NLT Alerts are Excel-based, and such allow for easy adjustment to the information level you
want to work with. Our alerts are distributed daily to subscribers between 1 a.m. ET and 6 a.m.
ET and such give you enough time to prepare for the new trading day. Subscribers to the NLT
All-in-One Alerts can participate in daily coaching and support sessions (overview).
At this point, we want to make you a special offer: If you sign up for a TradeColors.com
mentorship, we give you one hour of additional and personal training (a $400 value), and you
will receive the NLT Box Indicator for free: part of NLT Top-Line our top of the line offer,
providing you with:
TradeColors.com Mentorship:
In case you are interested in subscribing to our NLT Continues Movers Alerts, we offer you one
week of free alerts, and you decide if we provide value to you and continue with our service.
Having charts on hand to appraise the trade situation is the better choice, but by formulating
entry, exit, and stop, you can make your decisions from the NLT Continues Movers Alert for
just $99 per month; with one-week free access and no questions asked.
For readers who prefer futures or FOREX trading, we also provide those signals in the NLT-
Confirmed Movers Alert.
For September 26, 2019, /CL (crude oil futures) had a short-selling indication:
One key measure for helping you to specify a positive exit is a method of defining how far a price
move most likely reaches and you either find an algorithm that produces the expected price move
bar-by-bar for you or you rely on one of our systems, where the expected price move to target-1
is called SPU (Speed Unit), and you know the SPU at your trade entry.
Prepared with a defined entry and exit price, you now need to find your stop price level on the
chart to decide if the odds at trade setup are in your favor or not, using the following trading and
investing imperatives:
1. You trade what you see: Your system shall display specific action points on the chart for you
to act on, operating with clear cut entries, exits, and stops or trade adjustment levels.
2. In addition: Find and follow repetitive price patterns, applicable for all time bases, tick frames,
or ranges.
3. Specify price thresholds to be met to accept a trade; thus you can operate with buy-stop- or
sell-stop orders or conditions, so you can send trades to the exchanges without the need for
you to be in front of your computer.
4. At trade entry, formulate a positive exit, where you assume a 65% (1-SPU) and 85% (2-SPU)
likelihood that prices halter, slightly retrace, or potentially revert. Either build or subscribe to
an alert service, helping you to find your favorite setups in a set period of time.
5. Formulate a time-based target, where you see a need to decide for exiting the trade: When the
expected price pressure did not lead to the expected price move. Depending on our system,
we set the time target between three and ten bars for an exit, revision, or trade adjustment.
6. Separate signals from noise, and thus, separate price action in the natural price development
WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM Nov/Dec/Jan 2020 39
of an asset from a pre-stage or continuation stage of a potential directional price move.
7. Do NOT operate with a fixed mathematical relation: Only consider the price action of now
and only under specifically met conditions, let your system indicate and extrapolate the future
price action from specific chart setups.
8. Use models that work on all time frames and all asset classes by following the underlying
structure of the market; however, you have to consider that some time-frames are not meant
to operate with as a retail trader, considering: slippage trading costs and the relation of reward
to risk (read on to learn those).
9. Formulate conditional orders, and only when other market participants accept the newly found
price direction, then you enter into a trade.
10. Operate with multiple trading strategies, so you can act at directional price moves to the up-
and downside, while you are always staying in tune with a maximum risk agreement.
11. Follow a business plan for your trading success, which shall include:
A Financial Plan
• Trading strategies to apply: stocks, stocks with options, options, futures, and FOREX
An Action Plan
• Trade Alerts: Symbols with the desired setup by the NLT Alerts or own scans and watch
lists.
• Trade adjustments or account hedging: Turning potential losers into winners or limiting
losses to a minimum.
All these elements you need to build either on your own or subscribe to a service that trains and
coaches you to apply all these imperatives for trading and investing: We do this in particular in
our NeverLossTrading Top-Line Mentorship, where you learn to find opportunities with own
scanners, appraising those based on multiple indicators and put them to action with multiple
trading strategies, always focusing on limited risk. Let us check how such a chart and appraisal
WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM Nov/Dec/Jan 2020 40
process can be. We take a common stock: AAPL and appraise its price move over time based on
NLT Top-Line charts:
There are multiple dimensions of how to trade similar to the above situations, and we teach you
the strategies and differentiation, of which trading strategy to use.
• Long/short stock
• Credit spreads
• Debit spreads
It would go too far to detail those: This is why NLT Top-Line comes with 20 hours of individual
training: at your best available days and times.
On the last hour of September 30th, an orange buy signal signified a long opportunity. The first
candle of October 1st confirmed the signal and defined a 1-SPU and 2-SPU target. After the
price threshold was confirmed, the trade closed at the 2-SPU target, gaining $3.72 or a return on
cash of 1.7%.
Surely, such a system also performs on lower time frames; however, let us share some more
imperatives for meaningful trading, regardless of the time frames you consider:
• When trading stocks, the minimum price move shall be > $0.20 or 0.5% of the share value.
• For Futures trades, the minimum price move shall relate to a $200 gain at target.
• Trading stock options, make sure that the underlying is at least producing a $0.70 or better a
$1.00 price move in the expected time frame.
• Based on your signal strength, only trade when risk and reward are in a meaningful balance:
Risk not bigger than 1.2-times reward.
WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM Nov/Dec/Jan 2020 42
We could now mathematically detail the background; but please take it as a free input to keep
your trading costs in balance, so you keep your chance of coming out positive when trading or
investing in the financial markets.
3. Probability Thinking
Regardless of which system you use, it will not perform to 100%, and this is where the trouble
is starting. Many traders/investors start to alter the system rules every time they lose a trade.
After multiple iterations, a new system is generated that has nothing to do with the system you
started with and is not backtested.
Make sure you are operating with a system that provides an accuracy of predicting the price
future of assets ≥ 65%. Unfortunately, there are not many systems available, and standard
indicators do not get to this performance rate; they rank in the 52% to 55% range.
To demonstrate what we mean by that, let us simplify a 65% probability and 55% probability
experiment in a drawing game with 20 marbles in a bag: We draw a marble and put the marble
back in the bag for the next draw: for ten draws.
To calculate the statistical outcome, we use a binomial distribution or Bernoulli experiment and
calculate the predictability of six and more winners after ten draws:
The result shows: A 55% system (which you are most likely using) only produces a random
We hope you now see, why operating with a high probability trading system is a key prerequisite
of systematic long-term trading and investing success; however, most of today’s readers are not
yet up for a change, and this is not surprising.
By our human nature, if we once commit to a certain behavior or systematic, we like to hold on
to it (check on the term: cognitive dissonances):
Here a short excerpt: The term cognitive dissonance is used to describe the feelings of
discomfort that result when your beliefs run counter to your behaviors and/or new information
that is presented to you. People tend to seek consistency in their attitudes and perceptions,
so when what you hold true is challenged or what you do doesn’t jibe with what you think,
something must change to eliminate or reduce the dissonance (lack of agreement). A classic
example of this is “explaining something away.”
Behavior-change is hard for us and some of our long-term traders joke that it needs somebody to
take the other side of our trades; however, we rather want an institution to render the money to
you by following better principles.
If you like to see our systems in action, we extend an invitation for an information hour: Call +1
866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading and mention: TradersWorld Magazine.
4. Review
You will only increase the odds of winning when you document what you did.
We all want the least administrative work as possible; however, journal your trades and review
them in a set of 20-trades and periodically: Strike a balance and see which ones worked, which
ones did not, and why? This way, you will recognize your mistakes and strive for continuous
improvement of your trading performance: An essential tool for you.
YTD August 23, 2019: 108 stock trades were opened and closed, trading 56 symbols. All trades
derived from the NLT All-in-One Alert.
By applying trade repair strategies, we traded about 250 times, defending in particular longer-
term positions, concluding year-to-date:
• 86% winning symbols (48 stocks)
• 14% losing symbols (8 stocks)
From a time-perspective:
Analyzing the income based on the base of long- and short-term trades, we saw the following
results:
• 25% of the income came from longer-term engagements
• 75% of the income came from shorter-term engagements
• The average longer-term engagement had a six times higher risk or reward compared to the
short-term trades.
• The ratio of longer-term winners to losers was 55% (underperforming).
• The short-term ratio of winners to losers was 85% (above expectation).
Question: Were short-term price trends easier to predict than longer-term trades?
To answer this question, a study was conducted considering all confirmed signals from the NLT
All-in-One Alert, and here are the results:
• All trades were based on strong and selected Weekly NLT Signals from the NLT Long-Term
Investor Alert.
• All trades were closed after a 1-SPU Price Move or the close of Bar-3, potentially Bar-4 (by
directional confirming signals on bar-3).
• Trades occurred only on confirmed signals: set price threshold surpassed, helping that orders
can be pre-programmed and go on autopilot.
• De-complexing the option price model, we bought put or call options at 1/2 SPU through a
conditional order: Underlying price move above/below signal 1/2-SPU Offer.
• Considering the expected time in the trade at entry, we bought options with 42 days to
expiration based on the NeverLossTrading Delta Force Model (taught in our mentorships).
• When the order was filled, we placed an immediate exit order for a 100% Return for week-
1 and replaced the week-1 exit order in week-2 with a 1-SPU exit order at an expected 70%
ROI.
• At entry, we placed a signal specific stop and defended the trade when the stop is triggered,
by getting at least 80% of the premium back, covering at least 45% of the spread, with the
premium received.
www.NeverLossTrading.com
But exactly what kind of odds are you looking for in your own trading? Are you willing to take
a trade that has a 60% likelihood of success?
What about a trade with a 70% probability of going in your favor? Would you put your money
on the line under those circumstances?
And what if you could do even better than that? Would you be interested in a trade setup with
an 85.7% likelihood of bringing you a profitable return?
Such high-probability trades are in fact quite possible – if you’re willing to employ some
specific market timing tools that 99% of traders ignore completely. They are the tools of astro-
trading.
In astro-trading we combine fundamental market analysis with technical analysis and then add
a third component: astrological analysis. Astro-trading is rooted in the knowledge that there are
predictable correlations between planetary positions and trends, reversals, and breakouts in the
markets. When these correlations are correctly understood and applied in trading, we can trade
with less risk and greater confidence that we can get profitable results.
But while both fundamental and technical analysis play integral and essential roles in effective
astro-trading, adding astrological analysis to the mix requires an additional tool for analyzing
trading opportunities: the horoscope.
At this point it’s critical to avoid confusion. When we refer to horoscopes in this context, we’re
not talking about the popular sun-sign columns featured in magazines and on dating websites,
providing capsule advice for each sign of the zodiac.
A horoscope is a diagram representing the accurate positions of the Sun, Moon, and planets at
a precise moment in time, as seen from a specific location on Earth. These chart diagrams are
typically presented in a circular format, in contrast to the left-to-right horizontal charts that we
are more used to seeing in our work with the markets. Horoscopes are most frequently used to
help us understand people, and in those cases are calculated on the basis of the exact time, date,
WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM Nov/Dec/Jan 2020 48
and location of the individual’s birth.
But publicly traded companies, just like people, have birthdays too. While the origin records
of some businesses are sometimes pretty murky, with non-specific founding dates, there is one
“birth date” that’s a matter of public record: the date of incorporation. Incorporation is a clear
and intentional statement of a company’s legal existence, and we can use the time, date, and
location of the incorporation in the same way that we would use an individual’s birth data as the
basis for a horoscope.
In examining an incorporation chart, as with any other horoscope, we can gain information
from the chart by looking at the alignments it demonstrates along the plane of the ecliptic, at
the specific positions of the planets in celestial longitude, and at the relationships of planets and
sensitive points within the horoscope structure. To clarify these concepts, let’s take a look at an
example horoscope.
These angles are highly sensitive points in any horoscope, and they deserve specific
consideration in our astro-trading analysis. In the case of the McDonald’s incorporation chart,
we note that Saturn at 07°59’ Pisces is conjoining the Midheaven at 07°02’ Pisces. This
alignment suggests a high level of integrity in the corporate structure, indicating an organization
that can “stand on its own two feet” and last a long time.
The incorporation horoscope for McDonald’s also features two triangular “T-Square” patterns
revealing key relationships between the planetary energies at the time of the incorporation.
The pattern highlighted in green connects the Sun, Mars, and the True Lunar Node, signifying
a business that is especially energetic in making new connections. The second T-Square,
highlighted in orange, links the Moon, Jupiter, and Neptune, showing the company’s innate
ability to capture the public imagination on a large scale.
We’ve used the McDonald’s incorporation horoscope here as an example of what a horoscope
chart actually looks like, and as an illustration of the first steps we can take to begin an effective
astrological analysis. But while the insights provided by the incorporation horoscope can help
us appreciate the company’s intrinsic strengths, the dynamics revealed in this chart only apply
generically to the business itself, as we peer through a sort of “astro-fundamental” lens.
A DIFFERENT HOROSCOPE
Rather than relying solely on the incorporation horoscope, we can use an additional chart, one
that is calculated for the time that a company’s stock is first publicly traded, instead of the time
the company was incorporated. The First-Trade horoscope gives us a set of key indicators that
not only help us understand the unique characteristics that can impact the behavior of the stock
in the market, but that also create a matrix for specific trade timing.
We should note here that there has been some debate within the astro-trading community
WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM Nov/Dec/Jan 2020 50
about the most appropriate way to construct a First-Trade horoscope. When George Bayer first
introduced the concept of the First-Trade horoscope back in the 1940s, he was quite clear in his
insistence that First-Trade charts should be set for the time that the stock exchange opened for
trading on the date that the company’s shares were first available to the public, and not for the
time that the first transaction in those shares cleared on that day. Bayer’s pioneering work has
since been clarified and popularized by Bill Meridian in the various editions of his excellent
book on Planetary Stock Trading.
But a revolution has taken place. Since George Bayer’s time the markets have become
computerized, and in this new digital environment it is now possible to capture the exact times
of trade transactions with fantastic precision. This refinement has led some contemporary astro-
traders to suggest that it’s preferable to use the precise time stamp of an initial transaction in
setting up a First-Trade horoscope, instead of relying on the time of that day’s opening bell on
the stock exchange.
Based on many years of practical application, however, we have found that Bayer’s original
technique of opening-bell timing for First-Trade horoscopes consistently yields accurate and
useful results. We have not always found that to be the case with transaction-timed First-Trade
horoscopes, in spite of our admiration for the painstaking research conducted by exponents of
that approach.
So we use First-Trade horoscopes that are timed by the opening bell, in keeping with Bayer’s
instructions. In the cases where research efforts have revealed precise times of initial market
transactions, we add the corresponding positions for the Ascendant and Midheaven to the chart
diagram that has been calculated with the opening-bell technique. We believe that this approach
gives us the best of both worlds, while providing an opportunity for the transaction-timed
horoscope angles to prove themselves in practice.
Regardless of how we resolve the timing issue, however, First-Trade horoscopes are critical
tools for astro-trading. They provide us with vital information that can help us identify
potentially profitable trading opportunities months or even years in advance. It’s thus essential
for us to understand how First-Trade charts operate, and how we can use them as timing tools
that can give us an extraordinary advantage in our trading.
Exactly what can we gain from using a First-Trade horoscope? As we look at the First-Trade
chart for McDonald’s, designated by the stock trading symbol MCD, we can immediately see
the big differences from the picture presented by the McDonald’s incorporation horoscope.
But in both cases we are concerned with sensitive points which can direct us toward an
understanding of the horoscope’s unique features.
In this chart for MCD we have labeled nine sensitive points which we can use as a frame of
reference for the performance of the stock. (We flag these same nine points in any First-Trade
horoscope, as a beginning frame of reference for our analysis.) Points A through D are, of
course, the angles of the horoscope, which are key locations in every chart that we examine.
We also include (E) the Sun and (F) the Moon, which connect with the stock’s core trading
potential. We also flag the two “money planets” of traditional astrology, (G) Venus and (H)
Jupiter. Finally we add (I) the True Lunar Node, which is important in signaling the kind of
connections and combinations that can energize share prices in a big way.
WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM Nov/Dec/Jan 2020 52
An interesting feature of the MCD First-Trade chart is the tight conjunction of the Sun (E) and
Jupiter (H), joining forces at 13°05’ Cancer. This is an extraordinarily powerful combination,
creating a truly dynamic zone in the MCD chart.
There’s also a second planetary conjunction in the MCD First-Trade chart that deserves our
attention: the meeting of Uranus and Pluto at 16° Virgo, which we’ve flagged with the blue
arrow at position 1 on the chart. This signal of the stock’s potential for volatile price movement
with high trading volume gives us another sensitive point to consider in our analysis of the
trading opportunities offered by MCD.
And how do we identify those trading opportunities? Primarily by comparing the current or
future positions of transiting planets to the sensitive points we have identified in the First-Trade
horoscope. For example, in the bi-wheel shown here, the inner ring is the MCD First-Trade
chart, while the outer ring shows the planetary positions at the time of the closing bell on
Wednesday, January 29, 2020.
WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM Nov/Dec/Jan 2020 53
We selected that particular date because transiting Jupiter (indicated by the red arrow at the
lower right side of the chart) is in an exact opposition (a 180° alignment) with the powerful
Sun/Jupiter conjunction in the MCD First-Trade horoscope.
As a side note, McDonald’s Corporation typically releases its fourth-quarter earnings report
in the January 28 – January 30 time frame. So it’s quite possible that this 2020 alignment of
transiting Jupiter to the First-Trade Sun/Jupiter conjunction will coincide with earnings news
from McDonald’s. If that proves to be the case, we would expect to see a favorable report, since
Jupiter action typically emphasizes optimism and is associated with higher share prices.
But with or without a positive earnings report in late January 2020, does this Jupiter transit
promise bullishness in subsequent trading for this stock?
That’s not necessarily the case. While Jupiter is associated with higher prices, higher prices can
also mean a trading top. And because Jupiter has a 12-year orbital cycle, it’s easy to back-test
the trading results from previous examples of transiting Jupiter in opposition to the MCD First-
Trade Sun/Jupiter conjunction.
Prior to 2008, the Jupiter opposition occurred three times in 1996 – on May 9, July 1, and
November 2. The May alignment brought a big decline in the share price on the exact date
of the opposition, and the July example marked a clear trading top. But in the November the
Jupiter opposition was followed by a surge in MCD for several weeks.
1984 brought only one Jupiter oppositon to the MCD First-Trade Sun/Jupiter conjunction, on
November 23. It was followed by a solid decline in MCD share prices.
Based on this research using the First-Trade horoscope as a trading and timing tool, the
alignment on January 29, 2020 offers us a high-probability swing trading opportunity. We will
be defining a specific astro-trading strategy in January and will share this opportunity with our
Gold-Plus Elite members at FinancialCyclesWeekly.com then. Gold-Plus Elite members get
weekly conference call market forecasts and astro-trading guidance including intra-day market
inflection points and risk-reducing trade management strategies.
While this Jupiter opposition definitely provides a rare low-risk opportunity for high-probability
trading profits, it is in fact a rare setup. As we’ve noted, this particular planetary alignment only
comes around every 12 years – we won’t see it again until January 12, 2032. But the relative
rarity of this specific alignment doesn’t diminish the importance of First-Trade horoscopes.
They offer many remarkable trading possibilities for our consideration.
WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM Nov/Dec/Jan 2020 56
In providing this example, we have only
sought to reveal the real power of the First- TradersWorld Magazine
Trade horoscope as a tool for market timing. In Premium Subscription
demonstrating some of the basic steps we take Get everything we have for only $19.95 per year
in astrological analysis, we hope that we’ve Save 50% over our regular subscription of $39.95
inspired you to begin working with First-Trade
horoscopes in your own trading. Remember
that there are at least nine sensitive points
in every First-Trade horoscope, and there is
a continuing stream of transiting planetary
influences. That combination means that this
astro-trading tool provides us with many,
many ongoing opportunities for outstanding
success in the markets!
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In this article, we look at which trading techniques are working well for day-traders as we move
into the end of 2019. Our focus is on directional discretionary trading, as this matches what most
of the retail world focuses on.
A great example of professional traders not reacting to these changes occurred with Australian
Interest rate spreaders over the past few years. There was little diversity in the firms, coupled
with less ‘paper’ doing real business (willing to give up edge by crossing spreads to get it done).
Liquidity dried up but the traders stuck with their methods and ended up with a market consisting
mostly of them trading against each other, effectively trying to create something from nothing. As
one professional trader I can’t name put it:
“The seagulls were unwilling to accept that there was only one French Fry in the parking lot.”
Single market traders have also been going through a tough period. It used to be that traders
could spend their entire careers focused on a specific market or specific technique. Now there’s
a tendency for individual markets to slow down for extended periods. These slow downs reduce
the opportunity in that market. At best leading to low returns.
We now have an excess of news-driven volatility in the markets. Brexit, China Trade war, Trump
Tweets and recently ‘trouble in Saudi’ and ‘impeachment’. Volatility is extreme on a news event
but low in absence of news. Ranges can be high one day and very low the next. Traders must be
able to identify which ‘mode’ the market is in, in order to trade effectively. A skill that many retail
traders neglect chasing the dream of a setup that works “in all markets, in all conditions, in all
timeframes”.
In addition, over the past 2 years, there has been a marked increase in the number of days where
the outside of hours trading has been dominant in terms of volatility. Big news comes in overnight,
we see large ranges in US Futures markets from the Asian/European sessions and when the US
markets open, trading is flat.
Traders doing well in this challenging environment are focused on increasing their ‘situational
awareness’ first and foremost, to help them understand the likely level of volatility.
• Monitoring multiple markets – interest rates, energy, indices, currencies etc. Both so
that they can jump on opportunities that arise but also to gauge the amount of inter-
est overall.
• Understanding scheduled economic events and how markets react to hits and misses
in those releases.
• Eyes and ears on the news for other economic events such as trade agreement an-
nouncements. These are often the catalyst for sudden moves, yet not on the scheduled
economic calendar.
• Eyes and ears on the news for ‘out of the blue announcements’ – such as off the cuff
remarks on Brexit/China Trade or Trump Tweets.
• Not getting married to overnight ranges and presuming this will give you a big US ses-
sion from the open.
With this in mind, traders can then implement the right ‘plays’ for the current conditions.
• News driven momentum trades are working really well, trading moves that occur be-
cause of news/tweets. This doesn’t necessarily mean waiting for and then trading
news when they occur. For most, it means understanding when the current move un-
der way is news driven and when it isn’t. Traders can then make a call on the expecta-
tion that the move to will be sustained.
• Extended, volatile moves provide both additional risk and opportunity. Opportunity
that requires a fresh look into how you manage positions. Scaling into positions helps
manage the risk by starting small and layering in as your trade works your way. Small-
er traders, using small position size would benefit from switching to micro contracts
and using scaling to give them more control over risk.
The interesting thing about this market is the seemingly irrational reactions to the news. The
position on Brexit has effectively remained unchanged for months, with the 2 sides digging their
heels in. Yet the markets reacts to every piece of Brexit news as if it offers insight into the final
outcome.
Or does it?
What really seems to be occurring is the fact that market has become news-addicted. On each
piece of news and each announcement, thousands of traders are suddenly engaging to “trade the
reaction”. The thing is, these traders ARE the reaction. It is also these same traders that are absent
when there’s a lack of news.
Embed Image “GoodOldDays.png” – title – The Good Old Days of the S&P500.
The ‘normal’ intraday speculation cycle has broken down due to lack of interest by
these same traders that feel opportunity has shifted to the news. Regular days on the
S&P Futures used to see 2-4 swings of 10-15 points. Often ending up just where we
started. I have no doubt these conditions will return and when they do, successful
traders will move to the ‘new normal’. Those that don’t move on will keep looking
for that French Fry in the parking lot…
by Larry Jacobs
http://www.ganngrids.com/
files/2019-09-18_13_13_31_gann_grid__
masters_manual_3-_-__9_17_2019_copy_pdf.
pdf
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Gann Grids Ultra's primary goal is to set up actual price and time forecasting models for most stocks, commodi-
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Days, Weeks or even Months of research can now be completed in just seconds with our new, improved and
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Buy it through this Traders World Ad and get the following bonuses: (total value at $268.95)
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There are two basic approaches to trend trading entries, breakout entries and retracement entries.
Retracement entries give us the advantage of entering into a trade at a much better price than at a
breakout of a predetermined level.
As we all know, the markets never move in a straight line. Based on Elliott Wave theory, in
an up trending market, there is an impulse wave, which makes a higher swing high and this is
followed by a correction wave, which retraces back down to a certain support level. The upper
part of Chart 1, shows the impulse waves as green lines, the correction waves as cyan lines and
the retracement support levels as magenta oval circles.
Vice versa, in a down trending market, there is an impulse wave, which makes a lower swing low
and this is followed by a correction wave, which retraces back up to a certain resistance level.
Once the market reaches this resistance, it continues downwards to resume it’s bearish trend and
a new impulse wave begins.
The first step for trading with the trend is of course to identify the trend and recognize a possible
trend change. By looking at any chart in hindsight, it is always easy to recognize a trend. But
how do we know that the market is going to move up or down at the very beginning stages of
a trend? With our trend following approach, we look at the retracement pivots, which are the
lowest retracement lows before the market resumes its up trend. On the upper part of Chart 1,
these retracement lows are shown again as magenta oval circles and in this example, the market
made six retracement pivots. It is important to notice that on the last move up, the market did not
make a higher high, but it only retested the previous high and most likely, this last retest would
have been accompanied by bearish Stochastic, RSI or other oscillator divergence signals, which
would have been detected by our Alchemy Divergence indicators. Such a retest offers the first
warning signal of market exhaustion and alerts us to a possible market reversal. Independent
from this retest however, ultimately, what breaks this up trend, is a break down through the last
retracement pivot low, shown as a down arrow on the upper part of Chart 1. This simple concept
of determining and following a trend is well known and used by many traders.
There are two other important trend criteria that we look for. The first criteria is the number of
bars within a retracement. On this chart example, within the first retracement, there are 6 bars
with lower highs and the 7th bar is retesting the previous high. Within the second retracement,
there are also 6 bars with lower highs and the 7th bar is making a new high. The 3rd retracement
has 8 bars, the 4th retracement has 9 bars, the 5th retracement has 11 bars and the last retracement
has 15 bars. In order to qualify for a valid retracement period, we like to see a minimum of 4 bars.
Depending on the strength of the trend, there may be several impulse waves. By correctly
identifying the retracement levels of the correction waves, we can place limit entry orders at
these levels and wait for the market to approach our entry price. There are different techniques
for calculating these retracement levels. The most widely used method is Fibonacci calculations.
Leonardo Fibonacci was a mathematician born in 12th century Italy. He is credited with discovering
a mathematical principal in which a series of numbers, two of which are added together, will add
up to the next number of the series. For example: 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55 etc. This is a series
of numbers in which every number has a relationship with the number following it, the number
In Chart 3, we are adding our Alchemy Band indicator displayed with blue vertical lines, which
acts as a support and resistance band. When the market trades below this Band and retraces back
up, this Band acts as a strong resistance, similar to Fibonacci retracement levels. Often times,
the very first pullback to the Band, after the market breaks through it to the downside, makes for
the most reliable entry point. With each consecutive pullback to the Band, the odds decrease that
the Band is holding as support or resistance. By adding the Alchemy Band indicator as a third
resistance confluence tool, it narrows down the entry zone even further. In this chart example,
WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM Nov/Dec/Jan 2020 68
the market retraces into the resistance zones twice, before breaking down and entering into a
strong down trend. Both resistance entry zones are shown in the orange rectangular boxes. For
triggering the entries within these entry zones, we use some of our momentum change indicators
on a faster time frame chart. This ensures that we won’t miss our entry, in case the market is shy
of reaching this more narrow entry zone.
See Chart #3
Chart 4 is a bullish example that shows a very narrow support zone at the first retracement of this
up move. Our Alchemy TrendRetracement indicator is narrowing down the entry zone within the
Strong Trend zone of our Alchemy TrendCatcher indicator, which is displayed as green dots. Our
Alchemy Band indicator acts as an additional confluence confirmation tool for this support level.
This support zone is again shown on the chart with the orange rectangular box.
Fibonacci retracement trading can seem somewhat intimidating to many traders, but the Alchemy
indicators, as demonstrated in these chart examples, significantly simplify this trading method
and allow one to enter the market at these retracement levels with much more confidence.
If you are interested in learning more about these Alchemy indicators, please feel free to visit
our website at tradingalchemy.com. On our website, you can also find more chart examples that
demonstrate this entry technique.
For personal training on trading techniques and how to use our software most effectively for your
greatest trading success, we offer one-on-one consultations via remote computer connections. If
you are interested in scheduling a training session, please call us at 303-258-9786 or email us at
info@tradingalchemy.co
Introduction
Let me start by introducing myself. I am a full time trader, trainer and software developer in the
futures markets. I run a real time trading room two hours each trading day. I have traded for
over 20 years, and concentrate primarily on the currency (FOREX), crude oil, gold, and stock
index futures markets, such as the S & P E-mini. In a previous career, I was a practicing C.P.A.
in the state of Florida.
I have developed a full suite of charts and indicators known as the Trendicators™ and a market
analyzer known as the TradeFinder™, as well as a number of automated trading systems and
automated buy, sell and trade management systems.
What follows are the fundamental elements you need to be consistently profitable in the futures
markets. I have also included information below that is crucial to your overall success and in
managing your risk.
Preparation for trading profitably consists of market observation over a period of time so that
the trader can build confidence in knowing what usually happens in the market and how to
profit from the recurring market behavior that repeats itself every day. To take advantage of
cycles in the markets, observe the typical move that a market moves after it moves up or down
out of a range contraction pattern.
To put the probabilities in your favor, you must have an objective method or system for your
trading. Patterns repeat themselves over and over in all markets, so knowing these patterns can
WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM Nov/Dec/Jan 2020 72
help to put the probabilities in your favor. The more you can automate your trading signals, the
more objective you will be in your trade selection. You need to determine a set of technical
conditions for which you would take a long or short position in any market. You can use
technical indicators that are widely available, or you can develop your own indicators. Once
you have chosen the indicators you want to use, test them for validity in your trading. As in any
testing, the more data the more reliable the results will be.
Below is an example of a two charts where I have developed a system to determine price bar
direction and have coded them green on an up bar and red on a down bar. The green indicator
line below the price bar indicates that the most probable direction is up. The red indicator
line above the price bars indicates the most probable direction is down. This will provide
the technical indicators that need to match up for a long or short position. You can see the
automated buy signals which are the green arrows. You can use simple rules such as a buy
above the signal bar and exiting either on a trailing stop or a profit target. Whatever system you
use, be sure to test it on a sufficient sample size to test for a positive expectancy. You can see
visually that you want to take trades long when we are showing the green indicator line below
the price bar and short trades when the indicator line is red above the price bar. Visually you
can see that the low risk entry points are when price retraces back near or to the green indicator
line.
The benefit of using these pullback entries is that you will be able to use very tight stops
therefore improving your odds of achieving a positive expectancy in your trading.
How to Develop a System with a Positive Expectancy using The Highest Probability Setups
Through trade experience and testing our charts for over 10 years, along with testing under real
time conditions, I have observed that the highest probability trades consist of using a system to
determine points where two or more correlated markets such as the Dow, S &P and the Nasdaq.
An automated approach to strategy testing is to use an automated system that will analyze the
trades. To do this, you will either need to develop your own coded system or use a system that
has been developed for automation. I recommend that you use an automated system to test
your strategies because it will tend to be more objective and you will be able to test over a much
larger sample of data giving you a higher degree of probability that your results have statistical
significance.
Risk Management
A primary downfall of beginning traders lies in not knowing how to manage risk. The use of
protective stop losses (known as stops); is one important tool in trading futures. An even more
important tool is known as position sizing. Position sizing answers the question of how many
contracts you should trade in the futures markets, and how many shares you should buy or short
in the stock market.
WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM Nov/Dec/Jan 2020 74
We know that trading is all about how to react to your successes as well as trades that don’t
go your way. No discussion of trading would be complete without a discussion of risk
management. For futures trading, risk management is established with a combination of the
use of stop orders combined with position sizing. You need to pair a proven strategy along
with risk management. Risk management is accomplished, in general, by never taking a “big”
loss on any one trade. I suggest that you start by making sure that on any one trade, you do
not risk any more than one percent of your trading account. You will need to calculate before
you enter a trade whether you would be risking more than one percent of your trading account.
To calculate position size you need to know some basic information such as the following:
Account Size
• Risk Percentage that you are assuming
• Tick value of contract you are trading
• Number of ticks of your initial stop loss order
In this example, you would be able to trade 1 contract $10,000 x 1% = $100 maximum risk
Like any profession, you need to be prepared to take on the markets in a structured and
methodical manner. If you study the above principles, you will better understand overall market
behavior and you will be equipped to begin to consistently benefit from the great opportunities
that exist each day in the markets.
Platform
As you develop your trading skills, I suggest that you use a professional trading platform that
will allow you to trade directly from the charts and will allow you to trade in simulation mode
as well as to execute trades in your live futures account. As with any skill, the more that you
practice, the better you get at it. It is important to develop your skills regarding the proper use
of your trading platform while in simulation mode so as to minimize trading errors after you are
trading your actual trading account.
Trading in simulation mode will help you to develop your confidence and an overall
methodology that fits your personality.
Most traders will develop fear as they trade due to a history of losses. Like any fear, the way
to overcome it is to face fear head on and continue to do what you fear the most. An advantage
of having a trading platform that provides for simulation is that you will be able to trade in
simulation mode, as in our example above to build a plan with a positive expectancy and thereby
develop greater confidence in your approach to trading. As you trade in simulation mode,
develop a set of notes that will act as the beginning of your trading plan. Trade in simulation
mode until you have mastered the use of the trading platform you have chosen. As you trade
in simulation mode, practice developing the discipline needed to execute your trading plan.
Through repetition, you will begin to develop into a polished and profitable trader.
Please let us know if you need any help in developing your approach to profitable
trading. Send an email to support@navitrader.com to attend our LIVE MARKET
ROOM Sessions for FREE! GO TO: https://www.navitrader.com/FreeVideos/
FreeSessions.html to get FREE TRADER SESSIONS and FREE TRADER VIDEOS
If you have any questions on the material in this publication, please send an e-mail to Steve
Wheeler support@navitrader.com www.navitrader.com 800-987-6269
The information within this article as well as all charts shown are for educational purposes only
and not a recommendation to buy or sell any futures contract. RISK WARNINGS: Trading
stocks, options, futures and foreign exchange carries a high level of risk, and may not be
suitable for all investors. Before deciding to trade, you should carefully consider your monetary
objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance. The possibility exists that you could sustain
a loss of some or all of your deposited funds and therefore you should not speculate with capital
that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading
and seek advice from an independent advisor if you have any doubts. *HYPOTHETICAL
PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF
WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT
ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR
TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES
BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS
SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. Past returns
are not indicative of future results. NaviTrader, Inc. and NaviTrader.com provide programs and
services that are for educational purposes and not intended to be a recommendation to buy or
sell any futures, foreign exchange, stocks, ETFs and/or options market trades. Past performance
does not guarantee or imply any future success.
W.D.Gann spoke about going off the gold standard in his commodity book “How to make
profits in commodities”. He said that cotton followed the silver market quite closely. I think
gold is the strongest market long term when you run cycles from the 1781 peak of $19,390.00
As you can see on my Gann trader program that when the 31st May 1781 on the monthly chart it
will peak in 2021. You can see at the top of the chart that it has a number in brackets of (7) this
means its 360 x 7 plus the number of 288, which is part of the 360. Therefore 8 x 360 added to
1781 will be May 2021. You can do this on daily, weekly, quarterly and yearly charts.
Gann said the main trend indicator was the monthly chart, then look at weekly and then the 2 or
3 day chart as 1-day chart was to close to the market and trend would change too much.
Gann says you look at markets in groups, so grain, metals, currencies etc. and you short
the weakest market and buy the strongest market as long as they meet his rules of breaking
resistance, support levels and geometric angles which are all on the software.
monthly chart
Gann used the two-week chart a lot because 2 weeks is 15-degree movement as hourly chart
on his 24-circle chart. The two week gold chart shows also the same time count from 1781 in
weeks and the three colour bars. Gann use these three colours on his master calculator charts.
Gold and sunspots are close to the peak in gold. 80% of the gold peaks are with 12 months of
the sunspot highs.
Technical price patterns show the supply and demand relationship of whatever is being traded.
If you trade stocks, ETFs, currencies, commodities or Bitcoin, the tradable price patterns are the
same.
The Master Trader Method (MTM) is to search for high probability Setups on Multiple Time
Frames (MTF), then enter and manage per your Trading Plan unemotionally and objectively.
But setups can -- and do -- fail, setting up the “unexpected.” This article is going to teach you
how to recognize these failed patterns and other “shock events” to not only alert you to get out
of a position that is not working, but to profit from them as new trades.
What is a Shock Pattern?
Master Trader teaches its top technical patterns for investing and trading in any instrument.
Some of our top patterns include Buy and Sell Setups; Breakouts and Breakdowns; 1-2-3 Con-
tinuations; Professional Igniting Gaps; M- and W-Reversals; Shakeouts; and many more.
A Shock Pattern is a compelling pattern like those mentioned which Fail.
“Failed” is a subjective term if it is not defined. We define it as one in which the pattern did not
follow through as intended, wanting us to exit, even if before our pre-determined stop loss trig-
gered.
All Failed Patterns are not tradable. Although they are often a reason to get out of a trade not
working, trading them as new opportunity only exists if they have a compelling pattern on MTF
with a Price Void and high reward-risk setup using Master Trader Strategies (MTS).
We define a Price Void as one where there is insignificant congestion or swing highs or lows to
the left because of the prior fluid move (i.e., insignificant resistance if long, or insignificant sup-
port if short), permitting the issue to more freely move in the intended direction.
Analysis at #1. Although ROKU had a rising 50-period Moving Average (MA), a sign of
intermediate-term strength, the gap down under the small consolidation that was below the d20-
MA suggested lower prices. That was the message, particularly after the deep retracement under
multiple levels of price support.
However, buyers stepped up and rapidly filled the gap, closing with a bullish engulfing bar.
Whether you were already long the stock – or looking for new opportunity – the message con-
veyed was bullish.
WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM Nov/Dec/Jan 2020 82
It then advanced, making new highs and then retracing back to support (the green dotted line)
and the r50-MA.
Although moving averages and their alignment to price support are not a reason to trade, Mas-
ter Trader teaches how to objectively use them to “speed the analysis.”
Analysis at #2. Master Trader calls this a Professional Gap, as explained above. The buy point
was over the day’s high.
The next high-odds entry based on MTS was over the high of Bottoming Tail (BT) bars after
the advance and retracement. The subsequent move was very bullish, not even retracing to
form a pullback and swing low for trail management.
Analysis at #3. ROKU was still acting bullish. It gapped up (a sign of strength), but was now
far from the r20-MA, a visual sign of being short-term extended.
Selling immediately commenced (whether from short-selling or profit-taking, the message was
the same), closing the day with a Bearish Wide Range Bar (-WRB) (next to “3”).
That -WRB was especially bearish as it engulfed most of the three preceding bullish bars, and
was far from the r20-MA.
If you were long from one of the prior bullish points mentioned, you were Shocked to see such
a negative reaction, as this bar was a concern using MTS bar-by-bar analysis. If you were look-
ing for a new bearish opportunity, this candlestick alerted you to a short-term top for new bear-
ish stock and option trades.
On the gap down after the -WRB engulfing bar, day traders would have shorted under a 5-Min.
low because of the Price Void below (little to no support to the left, allowing for a big drop
lower).
Analysis at #4. After the two biggest bearish -WRBs in ROKU’s history (i.e., heavy selling), it
consolidated for five days in the lower half of the second -WRB.
Master Trader teaches that consolidations in the top/bottom 50% of WRBs are bullish/bearish.
ROKU was a bearish consolidation.
ROKU then gapped under all of the prior candles’ real bodies and could not rally much, an-
other sign of weakness.
This was a fantastic point to initiate a new short (note that prudent long traders should have
trail-stopped out a long time prior after the bearish engulfing at the high).
Analysis at #5. This setup is a Master Trader Bearish 1-2-3 Continuation (-123), which is a
-WRB, followed by an inside bar which doesn’t retrace more than a third into the -WRB. This
was a quality -123 because of the Price Void below and prior bearish breakdown since the gap
reversal at the highs.
At the end of the day, it closed under its open with a bearish Topping Tail (TT), and under the
prior breakout bar’s low.
This was a Shock to the bulls. The pattern and trend before the Shock Bar suggested higher
prices. The reversal and weak close created a lot of uncertainty about PSA’s ability to continue
its trend higher.
The following green bar closed on support with a small BT, giving the bulls “hope” in their now
questionable bullish breakout.
WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM Nov/Dec/Jan 2020 84
However, under the green bar’s low, the Breakout Failure was confirmed and the longs should
have exited, and setting up short possibilities because of the Price Void below.
Below are two more examples of Breakout Failures in the S&P 500 ETF (SPY).
The longs should have exited both times, and, as you see, set up short possibilities because of
the Price Void below.
Conclusion
The various forms of Shock patterns explained are some of Master Trader’s favorite setups
because they create the “unexpected,” providing great opportunity to those skilled with this
information.
Traders (often acting emotionally and without an objective trading methodology) don’t know
what to do when trades they are in fail, creating these setups as new opportunity. Their exiting
the trades at poor times and locations increase our opportunities.
Overlaying MTS will allow you to pick the best ones confidently. The combination of trend
analysis in MTF, the broader market direction, and relative strength or weakness will add to our
odds of success.
Successful traders only need a few compelling patterns to generate profits and wealth through
trading and investing in the markets.
It then becomes your job to wait for those setups, and execute and manage with property money
and trade management using the Master Trader Method (MTM).
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When I sat down with Alan Andrews at his kitchen table and he explained his methods, drawing
the pitchfork was not the only important part of the lessons. He stressed a variety of concepts
and rules, most of which are not covered in his original 60 page course. The important concepts
and rules were hidden in charts in his weekly news letters in the 1960’s and 1970. It was in the
weekly newsletters that he published charts and explanations he used to trade. In this article I
will show you some of them. In an effort to make it more interesting I will examine a period of
time in the stock market and how his rules were actually applied.
In the beginning of September the stock market was strong. On Friday Sept 14 the Dow Jones
Industrial Index had made the eighth day of higher highs. That week SPY made a new all-time
intraday high and most investors were cheering that their 401K was doing great.
On September 13, I sent out an email to the Advanced Andrews group with the subject line Dow
and the simple comment “down she goes”. The next day YM futures made a new high over
night and I stayed with the short position that was initiated September 13. The outlook from my
point of view was very bearish in spite of the bulls enjoying higher highs during the premarket
hours. Professor Alan Andrews, at his kitchen table, taught me how to have the faith necessary
to stay short and later add additional short positions. This is accomplished letting the market
show you the evidence, in the form of hidden geometry, of what is going on and what will occur
next.
A request came in from a you tube viewer for an update on my view of the stock market crash
of 2019. I responded that this will be covered in detail on Saturday morning at a monthly live
seminar in Rancho Bernardo.
During the seminar the audience was reminded of various patterns that Professor Alan Andrews
suggested were useful for finding major pivots and that they were present at this point in time in
the Dow. One of the patterns was the expanded pivot formation or EP. This is when pivot four is
lower than pivot two and pivot five is higher than pivot one and three.
When most traders look for the EP pattern they look for it to be a congestion pattern that leads
to price continuation. They often look like this.
There was an EP pattern in SPY in the 2007 high and the 2019 high. In addition there was an EP
signal that appeared on the weekly charts about half way up between the low in 2008 and the
high in 2019.
With the daily SPY charts are three daily EP buy signals that were noted after the 2008 low.
These signals gave traders the indicator they needed to know the down trend was over and the
rally was continuing.
In addition the up move during September was an SEP pattern. This pattern was known to occur
prior to a major price reversal. When a major price reversal takes place then a down move is in
progress.
Andrews Hidden Geometry has various rules and tools.
Over the last year the stock market has gone up due largely to the strong dollar. Foreign
investors have invested in U.S. stocks as a way to profit from holding the dollar. As the value
of their holdings go down so will the dollar. Today is Sept 23 and by the time you read this
article, you will see what happens next.
How far will the stock market go down?
Trading can be as simple or as complex as an individual would choose to make it. In trading,
simple concepts and approaches tend to work better over the long term for most traders. How
often have we been guilty of making this harder than it has to be?
NOW, don’t laugh. How many of us are just as guilty of trying to take an extremely simple
concept like trading and make it so complex it’s impossible to achieve any real lasting success?
In reality, successful trading can be condensed into TWO CONCRETE CONCEPTS:
Concept #1 - A High Win Percentage: Trading Systems that historically have MORE
SIGNALS GENERATED WITH FAVORABLE RESULTS THAN SIGNALS
GENERATED WITH UNFAVORABLE RESULTS. Then simply by applying sound
money management strategies to the system, we can achieve trading success with this
approach.
Concept #2 - A High Win Loss Ratio: Trading Systems that have WINNING SIGNALS
THAT HAVE AN AVERAGE WIN SIZE THAT IS LARGER THAN SIGNALS THAT
FAIL.
Any trading strategy that provides either of the above concepts on a consistent basis will
provide a platform for trading success. A concept that combines BOTH together would be the
ultimate in trading strategies. The Ultimate Trend Identification System (the title of this article)
signals historically highly accurate entries into the market while at the same time finds areas
of likely market expansion so we can experience being on the correct side of market expansion
most of the time. Being able to 1. Identify the “trend” so as to be on the correct side of market
expansion while at the same time 2. Finding accurate entries into the market that move in your
favor has shown to be a very powerful trading strategy.
Identifying early in a cycle both the likely direction of price movement, and much more
importantly, WHEN THE MARKET IS LIKELY TO REVERSE AND TREND IN
THE OPPOSITE DIRECTION is paramount to success in long term trading. Using
two indicators in the correct matter, we can identify both the direction of likely market
expansion AND when to start to look the opposite direction. (This concept of finding
reversals is more important in the ES than any other market due to the nature of the ES
market having very few “vertical” days, days in which the market moves only in one di-
rection. Being able to anticipate when the ES market will “go the other way” is the cor-
nerstone of any great ES day trading strategy.)
In the second panel of the chart, below the Renko Bars is the Smart Trapped Trader
Oscillator: Created to respond to order flow (order flow of this type tends to lead price
movement) and identify when too many traders are trapped on the wrong side of market
pressure making these wrong-sided traders easy prey for those that are aware of true order
flow. ORDER FLOW LEADS PRICE MOVEMENT. In most cases it’s the “trapped”
traders that get squeezed out that propel the market in our favor. The arrows on this chart
(below) indicate where Trapped Trader Oscillator is identifying too many orders on the in-
correct side of range expansion.
The chart marker generated arrows are signals given by The Ultimate Trend Identification
System where highly likely range expansion is coupled with highly accurate entries into
the market (see below).
Steve Myers has been a teacher for over 35 years. He teaches simple yet elegant trading
principles in the Stock Index Trading Room where he is the lead trader and moderator daily.
Join Steve there to learn more about these and many other trading concepts and methods
at StockIndexTradingRoom.com. Rob Mitchell is the creator of the Smart Patterns Trading
System; a set of trading tools from which the Ultimate Trend Identification System is created.
You can learn more about these tools and other simple yet elegant trading concepts and methods
at IndicatorSmart.com
To set the record straight,the analysis provided below is based on historical valuations of Dow
Jones Industrial index vs HUI Gold Bugs index during market corrections.
Correlations of DJI and HUI are shown in the bottom subplot of Fig 1.
Green highlighted are the market spans where HUI positively correlates with DJI. Highlighting
pink marks the market spans where HUI correlates negatively with DJI.
An average correlation coefficient computed for the whole time span from June 1, 1996 to Oct
18, 2019 equals -0.02332497, which proves DJI and HUI are independent of each other.
It is so easy to look at this situation and describe it as FOMO (or fear of losing). But what if
there is more to this performance than just fear? Is there also a belief behind the fear that goes
unnoticed – but that drives the fear of losing or the fear of missing out on profits?
Scarcity thinking is an implicit way of viewing and understanding the world. It is the world
view that keeps people stuck in dead end jobs, fearing what might happen. “Bad things can
(will) happen.” It is thinking and believing that the good things can be taken from you if you
are not careful. “You’d better play it safe so you will not be sorry.” It is a way of being in the
world. And it keeps you from growing. Scarcity thinking is the exact opposite of the
probability-based mind needed for success in trading.
It comes from our adaptation to the uncertainty of the world around us because it promotes a
better safe than sorry perspective. It comes from the way we are raised. It comes from our
culture. While our brain is in its formative period, it is learning the dangers of risk and the need
to play it safe. Let me give you an example. John is a proprietary trader who has been told that
he is leaving too much money on the table. And if he cannot change the situation, then he has
been told that he can no longer trade for his current firm.
At first this announcement came as a shock to him. But after he settled down from the
performance review, he took stock and realized that he was playing it a good bit safer than he
used to. People who knew him well had even joked with him about how he was turning into his
father as he aged. Now that he was married with a kid and a mortgage, the safety over-
probability-mentality of scarcity thinking took root in his perception. And gradually it grew to
the point of interfering with his trading performance. He started out with being comfortable
with an edge in probability, but somewhere around the 2nd kid and the bigger mortgage – he
began to gravitate toward the safety of perceived certainty. That got him thinking.
There was never enough to go around and what you had could easily be taken from you at a
moment’s notice. It was a perfect pressure cooker for developing a mindset rooted in scarcity
thinking. In fact, John (as a matured trader) would “fret” just like his father did at the dinner
table while trying to figure out how to pay the bills. As John’s rebellious youth faded and he
moved into his 40’s, this fretting behavior that he saw modeled by his father so many years ago
seemed to have awakened and become rooted in him. In his youth John would take on risk,
almost be defiant toward risk, and it had served him well as a young trader.
But now, he was past his youth, was married, and had teenage children of his own. This is
when the scarcity thinking found a toe-hold. Now, it was not just him. He had a wife and
children, a mortgage, and an image to uphold. That’s how the scarcity thinking kicked him. He
recognized that he was taking on some of the habits of his father. He was scared of losing what
he had, as his father had lost the farm. This kind of memory is called limbic learning. It is not
conscious. Rather it operates at a subconscious level in the emotional brain. The emotional
brain is only seeking a solution to survival and simply adapts “us” into a pattern of seeking
safety over opportunity.
It was not just the fear of losing or the fear of missing out. It was also a life pattern that had
taken on a life of its own. This is the subconscious part. John did not even see the established
pattern operating in his life, much less in the performance of his trading. Several months ago,
he experienced a two-month drawdown. And now, out of that experience, he was scared of
letting his winners run because he was preoccupied with the perception that he might lose
everything if he did not play it safe. Remember, when he started trading professionally, he was
not married, had no kids, and did not owe the bank money.
Now, he was more careful. A little safer. It just seemed like the right thing to do. Gradually he
saw a shift in his trading. He knew he was leaving money on the table, but the safety factor
grew and the probability factor that had fueled his early success receded as John settled into
family life. Safety over probability. John knew this was not rational for effective trading, but he
could not stop the obsessive thought from polluting his thinking mind when he had trades in the
black. In the back of his mind, his limbic brain remembered a fretting father trying to pay the
WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM Nov/Dec/Jan 2020 103
bills and the farm poverty he had experienced in his youth…the very scenario that he promised
he would never experience when he was in charge. The fulfillment of old generational life
patterns was impossible to ignore – punctuated by his performance review.
Scarcity thinking is one of the most common problems traders have with trading. It is an
artifact from our ancient evolution, where short term survival was a major concern for our
Caveman ancestors. Life was risky enough; our ancestors did not need to add more danger to
the equation. If they stuck their necks out too far, the chances increased that they would pay
dearly for it. So, over eons of emotional brain learning, our caveman ancestors learned to not
risk too much – or everything (our lives included) could be taken from us.
Over time, these biological traits of short-term safety over long term benefit also became
embedded into our personal psychology. Gradually this trait surfaced in the way groups of
people thought about risk and potential. Remember, taking risks at this time always had a
biological component to it. And the price of that risk was death. So, this need to avoid the
dangers of risk (because of the fear of death) migrated into our psychology from its biological
underpinnings. And you experience this very phenomenon every time you risk capital with a
significant upside, but with a loss downside also. You are triggering the scarcity thinking that
allowed our caveman ancestors to survive and move genetics into the future. More than
genetics though – you bring the phenomenon of scarcity thinking as a piece of your operating
psychology into your trading performance. This is where scarcity thinking becomes a dead
weight hindering the probability-based mind needed for trading success.
The mind you brought to trading (unless you won the genetics lottery) is simply not the mind
that is going to bring success in trading. My hope is that you have seen this with the very
innocent (and true) example of the proprietary trader, where old survival programming kicked
in without his consent or knowledge. John was surprised and horrified to discover that family
traits that he thought he had left on the farm in Wisconsin grew new life and began messing
with his trading mind as he passed certain milestones in his life. Adding a family and a
mortgage triggered an awakening of long dormant life patterns that nearly cost him his trading
career.
The life patterns learned growing up on a small family farm (an unstable one at that) had only
gone into remission. Once they had been activated by life circumstance, he was going to have
to deal with them or get crushed by them. John decided to deal with them. And the first stop
on that journey was to acknowledge them. Like many men, who have not developed their
emotional intelligence, John kept trying to push the encroaching scarcity thinking out of the
way by brute force. That did not work. Then he tried reprogramming the unconscious mind by
using affirmations and visualizations. That reprogramming stuff did make him “feel” better.
WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM Nov/Dec/Jan 2020 104
But when subjected to the stress of risking capital and being evaluated by his firm, the “feeling
good” of believing that he was reprogramming his unconscious mind for success in trading and
life simply crashed and burned. The “feeling of success” he conjured up did not transfer into
performance when under the challenges of facing real risk.
The big break for John came when he finally acknowledged that he could not control outcome.
He could not control whether he won or lost. He wanted to win because it (the winning) made
him “feel” good. The problem with focusing on winning though is, first, you do not control
whether you win or lose in trading. It’s all probability – and the brain does not like that. The
second problem with winning is the “feeling good” that comes along with it. That feeling good
is simply an emotional state called euphoria (built for short term success celebration) that
causes you to believe that the good times are going to roll on forever. This is a very bad
emotional state from which to trade. Only disciplined impartiality is good for long term
success in trading.
John had to learn how to manage the tendency to feel “good” when he won at trading. And he
also had to really examine his beliefs about losing. (Which was big for him because his family
lost the farm.) Losing was bad in his mind. As he developed his psychology of trading though,
he learned that losing was simply landing on the wrong side of probability relative to him. He
could not control whether he won or lost. But what he could control is the mind he brought into
the performance of trading. This he could control. His inner Caveman had to roll over and
make way for a modern man. Winning nor losing was not the object in trading. Performance
was. As he grew into this new mindset, his trading took off.
He recognized that the taste and meaning of losing had come, in large part, from his family
having lost the farm. That was a big event. And he had to grieve it properly. As he did, he was
freed from the fear of losing that was at the core of his scarcity thinking. He was afraid of
“losing the family farm” again, again, and again as he traded. By freeing himself of his past, he
was able to embrace the new reality of controlling his performance rather than the futility of
trying to control outcome. The limbic learning and meaning behind the emotional pattern had
been transformed. He allowed the loss of the family farm to drift off into the past without
fighting it anymore.
Better yet, he was freed from this aspect of his past and was able to focus on the mind he
brought into the moment of trading performance. This he could control. And by becoming
comfortable with what he could control, he found his edge again and trusted his methodology to
stay in his trades once they became profitable, until they hit targets. His mind was rebuilt for
probability management rather than being ruled by the limbic learning of the past.
By Alon Avramson
This is the second part of the article published on The hunt for cycles. my article on Larry Jacobs
TradersWorldMagazine issue #74 on page #100 (August 2019)
The stock market is moving up and down in cycles. Volatility trading based on cycles is the
fastest way to generate profits.
The following chart is an example of IBM company natal chart, assuming IBM company was
born 24 Feb 1924, with planets moving around the earth for one year. (This chart is taken
from astro.com) As we can see, all planets are moving in a forward motion and then move
in what seems from the earth to be as backward motion for a while, then continue forward.
This phenomena is called “retrograde” motion. This motion is both non-linear and very much
predictive, exactly what we were looking to complete the method of linear cycles found in
spectrum.
As we can see, the stock rises most of the times but not always. On top, it is unlikely that traders
will wait a few years between trades to implement this concept.
Now’ let’s see if we can find an additional way to get shorter horizons forecasts, without the
need for a natal chart. The following technique, also found on TimingSolution™, calculates the
effect of one single cycle on the price for the last X cycles. In this case we used the Sun for the
last 12 cycles, meaning the last 12 years. This is also called the annual cycle. As we know the
effect of this cycle on the price in the past, and as we also know the position of the sun in the
future, we can now create a projection line. As we can see from this example, the right (pink)
side is the future. The price on the pink side is not included in the calculations, it is out-of-
sample, and added for the task of visual correlation. We can see that the annual cycle in this
case, has a good correlation with the direction of the price and with the timing of changing the
direction.
Neural-Networks is a method in artificial intelligence that enables to find the correlation (AKA
the equation) when the inputs (astrology and astronomy events) and the outputs (price levels)
are known.
In the next article I will review the power of Neural-Networks used in the financial and
astronomy calculations.Alon Avramson is a financial-astrology researcher and a trader. Alon
developed successful forecasting models for the stock market based on astrology/astronomy and
Neural-Networks and established the www.cycles-trader.com website to provide stock market
forecasts.
WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM Nov/Dec/Jan 2020 109
How to be at the Top
of Your Game
Mentally and Physically
By Mira and Jayson Calton
As a trader you need to be at the top of your game both mentally and physically every
day, but are you? According to research, by focusing on a rarely talked about nutritional
requirement – your intake of essential micronutrients – you can drastically improve your health,
prevent disease, kill food cravings, improve sleep and increase your focus – almost effortlessly!
So what are micronutrients? Food is made up of two main components, macronutrients and
micronutrients. Most of us are pretty familiar with the macronutrients, such as fat, protein and
carbohydrates. These are what make up the calorie portion of the food. The micronutrients
on the other hand are made up of our vitamins, minerals, essential fatty acids (EFAs) and
amino acids. These are the part of food that makes a food “healthy.”
Unfortunately, in our modern world we can’t just eat a well-balanced diet and get all the
nutrition we need. First, our modern foods are no longer supplying us with the amount of
vitamins and minerals that they did for our ancient ancestors or even our grandparents.
And second, our modern lifestyles are demanding more of these scarce, yet essential
micronutrients than ever before.
Because of this, according to the USDA, at least 93% of Americans are deficient in the
essential micronutrients needed to maintain basic health. And if you think being deficient
in your essential micronutrients is no big deal, consider this – micronutrients are so powerful
that being deficient in even one can kill you. It’s the truth. Take scurvy (a deficiency in
vitamin C), beriberi (a deficiency in vitamin B1, or thiamine), and pellagra (a deficiency in
vitamin B3, or niacin): these diseases killed millions of people all around the world until
medical science discovered that they were the direct result of a single micronutrient deficiency.
But what about today – surely micronutrient deficiencies are no longer causing millions of
deaths worldwide. Or are they? According to Dr. Mark Hyman, New York Times bestselling
author and director of the Cleveland Clinic Center for Functional Medicine: “[Today] vitamin
deficiency does not cause acute diseases such as scurvy or rickets, but [it does] cause what
have been called ‘long-latency deficiency diseases.’ These include conditions like blindness,
osteoporosis, heart disease, cancer, diabetes, dementia, and more. Most conventional doctors
have it completely backward when it comes to vitamins and minerals—doctors tend to only use
How we discovered the disease causing power of micronutrient deficiency and healing
power of micronutrient sufficiency.
I first met my wife Mira after she had been diagnosed with advanced osteoporosis at the age
of 30! Micronutrient deficiencies had left her nearly bed-ridden and with the bone density of
an 80 year old. But, Mira was no ordinary woman, she was determined to find a safe, natural
way to reverse her osteoporosis and get her life back. To make a long story short (you can read
the whole thing in our new book Rebuild Your Bone) we discovered that Mira’s body was
not getting and just as importantly, not absorbing the essential micronutrients she needed to
maintain her health – even though she was eating a “healthy” diet, exercising, and taking what
she thought were high quality supplements.
A few years before I met Mira, I had read a research study about something the scientists were
calling micronutrients antagonisms – specifically minerals that competed in the gastrointestinal
tract for absorption pathways. The researchers were theorizing that because certain minerals
competed for absorption pathways, and because that competition reduced the absorption of
one or both of the minerals, that perhaps to increase absorption potential, an individual trying
to achieve sufficiency in the competing minerals would want to take them at separate times.
A theory that seemed to me at the time pretty straightforward and logical; so when I was
introduced to Mira – a women with advanced osteoporosis – seemingly stemming, at least in
part, from mineral deficiencies, I recalled that study and Mira and I started to research mineral
competitions. That quickly lead to vitamin competitions and fatty acid competitions and by
the time we were finished we realized that we had discovered something extraordinary. And
guess what – not a single multivitamin sold in America took into account any of the known
micronutrient competitions.
It wasn’t just us – others were starting to see the downfall of the multivitamin too.
Many medical doctors have been saying for years that most of the multivitamins on the market
are, for the most part, a waste of money. In fact, even major magazines and newspapers like
Forbes and the New York Times have published stories highlighting research showing no
benefits to taking a multivitamin and even going so far as saying multivitamins should not be
used. It took us years of studying the multivitamin to figure out why.
If you consider a multivitamin to be the sum of all its ingredients, then it should be the most
powerful health-enhancing tool available. After all, science has proven that each micronutrient
has been shown to be essential to our health in some unique way. Thousands of high-quality,
peer-reviewed research papers published around the world have confirmed that individual
micronutrients like vitamin D and calcium really are superstars at preventing cancer and
WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM Nov/Dec/Jan 2020 111
building strong bones, and others like zinc and vitamin C really do help support a properly
functioning immune system. In fact, no one in the nutrition or medical communities disputes the
fact that micronutrients are absolutely essential for optimal health. However, when all of these
amazing individual micronutrients are combined into a single multivitamin, their benefits all
but disappear. Why? This was the question that we wanted to answer, the riddle we needed to
solve. We had a hunch that the negative results researchers were finding with the multivitamin
were not the fault of the individual micronutrients themselves, but rather an issue of how the
multivitamin had been formulated.
Would you be surprised to learn that it has only been about eighty years since the multivitamin
was first created and that many of the individual vitamins we take for granted today were not
identified until the mid-1930s? So it shouldn’t surprise us, then, that we are still learning so
much about them. However, with all advancements in micronutrient science, the multivitamin
still remains pretty much the same as that first prototype—a mix of vitamins and minerals
haphazardly thrown together into a tablet with almost no thought concerning absorption, their
quantity or form, or how the individual micronutrients may affect each other. Can you think of
anything in your life that still uses technology from the 1930s, without a redesign? Probably not.
Research brings about the ABCs of Optimal Supplementation Guidelines and the birth of
a new multivitamin.
During our years of research we found more than 45 different competitions between essential
Since there wasn’t a multivitamin on the market that followed the ABCs of Optimal
Supplementation Guidelines, we had no choice but to create one ourselves. Our goal was to
formulate a complete multivitamin that would eliminate all four of the flaws we had identified
in the typical multivitamin, which we believed were responsible for reducing its overall
effectiveness. So we worked closely with the U.S. Patent Office and after six years we were
finally granted the U.S. patent on Anti-Competition Technology, which separates competing
micronutrients for increased absorption, and used this technology to create our product,
Halliker's, Inc. dba Traders World is an affiliate of this product and gets a small commission on sales. Halliker's, Inc. as an affiliate does not
constitute an endorsement, approval or review of this product or any claim, statement or opinion used in the promotion of this product.
If you have been looking for a quality multivitamin among the plethora of products
lining store shelves we strongly suggest you take our Multivitamin Stack-Up Quiz (at
CompareYourMulti.com). We cannot stress enough the importance of this extremely thorough
and free analysis. After filling in some specific information about the multivitamin you’re
considering (or currently taking), we will give you a fair and objective score and an in-depth,
multipage evaluation of its strengths and weaknesses. What have you got to lose? Remember,
your health is your most precious asset – protect it by becoming micronutrient sufficient and
experience extraordinary health that lasts a lifetime.
The remarkable feature about market cycles is that they consistently provide time bands in which
financial markets regularly make important highs and lows, and then reverse that trend. By “con-
sistently,” we mean that cycles occur with a rate of frequency of approximately 80% or greater.
By “regularly,” we mean that their troughs or crests occur in time bands that do not vary more
than 1/6 of the mean periodicity of a particular cycle.
As an example, pertaining to the subject of this study, consider the presence of the long-term 18-
year cycle in the 30-year U.S. Treasury Bonds, as well as the U.S. Ten-Year Treasury Notes, as
shown in the enclosed charts.
In the chart of the monthly T-Bonds futures, one will observe that the lowest price (highest long-
term interest rate) occurred in September 1981. This was in the middle of two recessions in 1980
and 1982, when inflation reached 14.8%, its highest level since it previously peaked at 19.7% in
March 1947, according to the BLS (Bureau of Labor Statistics). Fed Chair Paul Volcker com-
menced a strict monetary policy at the time of rapidly raising the Fed Funds rate to a peak of
nearly 20% in late June 1981, in order to combat inflation, and it worked (see enclosed chart on
Fed Funds rates). Shortly after that, the yield on long bonds also peaked, as the 30-year Treasury
Both long-term and short-term rates went down for several years after 1981, which meant the
value of the 30-year Treasury Bond futures increased, to a high of 135/08 in October 1998. Then
they fell (rates went up) sharply until the 18-year cycle low in T-Bonds happened in January 2000
at 89/00. That low was 18 years, 4 months after the historic low in September 1981.
Treasury Bonds then began another long bull market, reaching its all-time high of 177/11 in July
2016. This was followed by a sharp decline into its next 18-year cycle trough, recorded in Octo-
ber 2018 at 136/16. That low was 18 years and 9 months following the previous low in January
2000. Although the sample is small due to the limited existence of the 30-year Treasury Bond
futures, it does provide 3 dates that mark the possibility of an 18-year, which is a cycle that has
been observed in several other financial markets throughout history. The allowable orb for any
cycle is 1/6 of its mean periodicity, which in this case would be three years (18 years divided by
1/6 is the allowable orb in cycle studies for a dynamic – not a static – cycle). In the two cases
completed so far, the orb has only been 4 and 9 months.
The same 18-year cycle, with its allowable orb, can be observed in the Ten-Year Notes (T-Notes).
The only difference in the occurrence of the 18-year cycle is with the first instance. Data in the T-
Notes futures only began in May 1982, and therefore the lowest price shown is June 1982. Still,
the lows of January 2000 and October 2018 would fit the time criterion for an 18-year cycle. In
the case of T-Notes, the orb from an exact 18-year cycle, starting with the low in June 1982, was
just six and nine months, well within the acceptable allowance of 3 years, or range of 15-21 years.
For instance, the most recent 18-year cycle in each market lasted from January 2000 through Oc-
tober 2018. The 6-year cycle phases of that 18-year cycle in the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond fu-
tures occurred in June 2007, December 2013 and again with the 18-year cycle trough in October
2018. Each of these lows were 5-7 calendar years apart. You can see the same 6-year cycle opera-
tive in the cycle from 1981 in the 30-year Bonds, or 1982 in the Ten-Year T-Notes, to their lows in
January 2000. The last 6-year cycle phase in the 30-year Treasuries actually lasted 4 years and 10
months, which might be considered a distortion because it wasn’t quite in the allowable 5-7 year
range. But slight distortions are acceptable when the smaller cycle coincides with a longer-term
cycle. The time band for the longer-term cycle will always supersede (that is, they can interrupt
or distort) the cycle time bands of the shorter-term cycles within it, when both are due.
One final point to make in reference to these treasury futures before we move to our next point
in this market timing study. When long-term cycles top out or bottom, markets in the same sector
may do so at slightly different times. This is known as intermarket bearish or bullish divergence,
and can be useful in identifying when longer-term cycles are reversing. You will notice a case of
intermarket bearish divergence in these two treasuries markets at their all-time highs, which was
at the crest of the previous 18-year cycle. In the case of the Ten-Year Notes, the all-time high
occurred at 136/29 in June 2012, shows as ‘A’ in the monthly chart. However, in the case of the
30-year Bond, the all-time was not completed until two years later, in July 2016 at 177/11, shown
Another remarkable tool that can used by market timers is geocosmic studies. Just as financial
markets exhibit important highs or lows in price at consistent intervals of time, so do planets in
their orbit around the Sun. Furthermore, planets have consistent intervals of time (i.e. cycles)
when they conjoin one another in the heavens, as seen from the Earth (geocentric) or the Sun
(heliocentric). In the case of the outer planets (Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune and Pluto), the
cyclical intervals of their conjunctions do not vary much between geocentric or heliocentric posi-
tions. The variance is usually less than one year. However, from the geocosmic perspective, those
conjunctions may occur in a 3-, 5- or even 7-passage series due a factor known as retrogradation,
where a planet can appear to be moving backwards through the heavens as seen from Earth. There
is no retrogradation movement as seen from the Sun, the heliocentric perspective. They conjoin
only in a single passage in the heliocentric model.
The study we are going to discuss now pertains to the geocentric view, where planets are observed
as seen from Earth.
What is most intriguing to the study of market timing is when the time band of a market cycle co-
incides with the time band of certain geocosmic, or planetary pair cycles. As with market cycles,
planetary pair cycles also have an “orb of time,” before and after the exact conjunction, when
an event or phenomena related to the principles of those planets can occur. Additionally, just as
market cycles are comprised of phases, or sub-cycles, of approximately equal lengths of time, so
are planetary pair cycles. The division of planetary pair cycles are known as harmonics. As an
example, the Sun and Moon are together in the sky at their conjunction. It is known as a “new
moon.” But we also refer to quarter moons and full moons, which represent the 4th harmonic,
or one-quarter phases, of the greater lunar cycle. The first quarter phase (harmonic) of the lunar
cycle is also known as a “waxing square,” and occurs when the Moon has moved 90° past the
conjunction or new moon phase. The second quarter phase is the full moon, when the Sun and
Moon are 180° apart, and is known as an “opposition.” The final quarter phase occurs when the
Moon has moved 270° past the new moon, and is also referred to as the “waning square” between
the Sun and Moon. These four aspects – the conjunction, waxing square, opposition, and waning
square – are referred to as the four phases of the Moon, or the 4th harmonic of the Sun/Moon cycle.
Planets also move in similar phases to one another. When they appear to be together in the skies,
they begin their synodic cycle, known as a conjunction aspect. When the faster moving planet ad-
vances 90° past the slower one following the conjunction, they are said to be in a “waxing square”
to one another. Eventually, the faster moving planet is exactly in the opposite part of the heavens
WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM Nov/Dec/Jan 2020 119
to the slower moving planet, and is known as an “opposition.” Finally, the faster moving planet
enters into a “waning square” aspect, and begins the last quarter phase of the cycle between those
two planets. Each of these quarter-phase cycles between planets are known as “hard aspects” in
the study of astrology, and are considered the most important times correlating with events or
changes of trends, according to the dynamics or themes of the planets involved. These themes
can also be observed at the 1/3 intervals (third harmonic) of planetary pair cycles, which correlate
with aspects known as a waxing trine (120° separation) or waning trine (240° separation).
One of the important planetary pair cycles related to long-term cycles in interest rates pertains to
Saturn and Pluto. This cycle is highlighted now because it will start anew on January 12, 2020.
Due to the fact that Pluto has an elliptical orbit around the Sun, instead of circular orbit like
other planets, the Saturn/Pluto cycle has a range of 32-37 years. The quarter cycle (4th harmonic)
between Saturn and Pluto occurs at 8-10 year intervals. A look at the Saturn/Pluto cycle and its
phases shows an interesting correlation to cycles in short-term interest rates.
Let’s begin by simply looking at the start of the last two instances of the conjunction between
Saturn and Pluto (also known as a “synodic cycle”), and compare these times with the prime rate
in the U.S. They conjoined (and will conjoin) in:
August 10,1947
November 7, 1982
January 12, 2020
When we look at the long-term chart of the prime interest rate shown here, what do we notice
around the times when Saturn conjoins Pluto?
The chart above only goes back to 1949, but one can observe that the prime rate was at a long-
term low then. In fact, we know that long-term interest rates bottomed at 2.09% in 1946, just
one year before the Saturn/Pluto conjunction in 1947, from the Federal Reserve Board data and
charts. The chart above also identifies the 200-year high in U.S. interest rates in 1981, also just
WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM Nov/Dec/Jan 2020 120
one year before the next Saturn/Pluto conjunction. Now another Saturn/Pluto conjunction is about
to unfold in January 2020, and once again, we see the prime rate turning back down and about to
re-test the lows of 2010-2016.
The first impression we get from this chart is that historic lows, then highs, have happened at the
last two conjunctions. That is, within a year of 1947, interest rates were at a historic low. Then
rates began rising, and continued rising until they reached a historic peak at the next Saturn/Pluto
conjunction within a calendar year of 1982. If this correlation continues, we would expect to see
another low in interest rates by 2021, or a re-test of the lows that occurred in 2010-2016. Follow-
ing that, rates would possibly increase into the next Saturn/Pluto conjunction in 2053-2054.
Let’s take this one step further and examine the quarter phases (hard aspects) of the Saturn/Pluto
planetary pair cycle. These include the following periods, starting with the 1947 conjunction:
An examination of the chart on the prime rate will reveal an interesting correspondence. Follow-
ing the historic low in 1947, interest rates started to rise. At every quarter phase of the Saturn/
Pluto cycle (1956, 1966, and 1974) rates attained intermediate term highs and then paused or
came down. But each of those quarter cycle phases of Saturn/Pluto registered higher highs in
interest rates, all the way until the conjunction of 1982. The red upward pointing arrows shows
these times.
Following the Saturn/Pluto conjunction in 1982, interest rates came down. At each quarter cycle
of Saturn and Pluto, they made a low and then started to go up. Thus, when the Saturn/Pluto cycle
correlated with rising rates, temporary crests were attained at each Saturn/Pluto quarter phase.
When interest rates started coming down, they made lows near each Saturn/Pluto quarter cycle
phase. These quarter cycle phases of Saturn and Pluto are shown by the blue upward arrows.
And now we are about to end the current Saturn/Pluto cycle that began in 1982. Interest rates
have bottomed as of 2016, but they are presently on a trajectory to come down again. In fact, the
Federal Reserve Board has already begun another round of lowering its short-term rates in early
2019. This monetary easing could very well result in a secondary low in rates within a year of
2020 when the new Saturn/Pluto cycle gets underway. Many people are beginning to think we
WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM Nov/Dec/Jan 2020 121
will be living in a long-term era of perpetually low interest rates. However, if this correlative
pattern continues, that will not be the case. Instead, we could soon begin to witness interest rates
rising into the first quarter phase of the new Saturn/Pluto cycle, which unfolds with their waxing
square in 2028-2029.
Raymond A. Merriman is the President of The Merriman Market Analyst, Inc. and founder of
the Merriman Market Timing Academy. He is a Commodities Trading Advisor (CTA), financial
market analyst, and editor of the MMA Cycles Report, a monthly market advisory newsletter that
specializes in stocks indices, interest rates, currencies, precious metals, crude oil and soybeans
since 1982. He also writes a daily and weekly report for more active traders. Merriman is the
author of several books on Financial Market Timing, including the series on The Ultimate Book
on Stock Market Timing, Volumes 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 (1997-2017); The Gold Book: Geocosmic Cor-
relations to Gold Price Cycles (1982); The Sun, Moon, and Silver Market (2006); Solar/Lunar
Correlations to Gold Price Reversals: Secrets of a Gold Trader (2015); and the annual Forecast
Book (since 1976), which outlines his projections a year ahead of time for financial markets, the
world economy, and political trends.
In early 2013, Merriman was awarded the Gold Star by Market Timing Digest of Amsterdam,
Netherlands as the “Best Market Timer of 2013.” He was the only contestant (of twelve who were
followed) to successfully identify all 15 major turning points in the U.S. stock market by their cri-
teria. The second place finisher successfully identified 12. In 2014, Merriman received the Gold
Star award again as “Best Market Timer of the Year” from Market Timing Digest, this time cor-
rectly identifying 20 of 21 reversal dates in the U.S stock market well ahead of time.
Merriman currently resides in Cave Creek, Arizona and Farmington Hills, Michigan, USA. He
can be reached at rmerriman@merrimanmta.com, or mmacycles@gmail.com, or via the MMA
website at www.mmacycles.com.
The Gann Grids charting software is a computer program built and used by us at Pivot Point Research, GGU
allows its users to test many of the master’s unique methods on screen with the simple click of a button. Our
unique and specialized tools were developed to help research and test only the highest percentage worthy
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July /Aug is next 7/8th price @52 to 54 Square of 100 or 10 x 2003 low
Mars 45 degree from 2015 July top, Mars retro, next 45 is week of
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Range divisions of 16 added
Square root calculations with 1/4 cycle increments (.50) from July 2015
top at $114 (Blue price lines)
When using the above tools we get a general monthly/weekly groupings for
potential trend changes, however, we narrow down the actual daily pivots
by using Gann Grid Mater’s Astro tool combinations.
This next tool uses Just the dates of planetary combinations found within our
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British Prime Minister Boris Johnson is now arguably very much on the back foot.
His Brexit plans are failing and the imminent deadline of Halloween 2019 is fast approaching
and failing.
However, what people are not aware of is that events such as Brexit in the UK and Election of
Donald Trump, not to mention global polarisation are all part of a Modern Day Revolution.
November 2016 brought a revolutionary change in one of the world’s largest democracies. Don-
ald Trump, entrepreneur and celebrity, ousted the old guard and took command of the United
States of America.
The 84 year cycle repeats in a chilling manner and within a window of a few days. Eighty-four
years and its half point of 42 years highlight sudden revolutionary or extreme events. (To be
specific this cycle varies between 81 to 84 years but do not worry about this).
Venture back to 1933 and we note that on 30th January Adolf Hitler becomes German Chancel-
lor. We are merely observing cycles - not casting judgement nor accusing anyone. However,
flavours are repeating. Human behaviour and mass psychology follow certain patterns. They
unfold in similar, sometimes parallel and sometimes identical ways. In this case radical change
is the key phrase.
Hitler’s power rose rapidly as those around him and before him had been perceived as weak and
the masses had had enough. Does this sound familiar?
Following the First World War, Germany faced massive reparations - economic penalties. This
was to be one of the causes behind the hyperinflation in the post war Germany’s Weimar Repub-
lic leading to mass discontent.
A loaf of bread that in Berlin that cost around 160 Marks at the end of 1922 cost
200,000,000,000 Marks less than a year later.
If you are still not convinced, then you can turn the wheel back one more cycle — straight into
the beginning of the 1765 American Revolution. The British brought in the Stamp Act to tax
colonists. This was far more than a tax on commerce. Truly inflaming Americans and settlers
alike, the American revolution was now gathering momentum. A significant event in the forma-
tive history of America.
If we double that number up from 2017 then that takes us back to 1517.
This is when Martin Luther nailed his 95 theses to the door of Church in Wittenberg challenging
the Pope and thus starting the Protestant Reformation.
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At Market Timing Report, our aim is to issue high probability, low risk trade Renowned Forecaster and New York Times Best
Selling Author
research across various markets including commodities, stocks and
foreign exchange. “I believe you get what you pay for and you have
a superior product.There are others that try to
do what you do but they miss the target so
Often markets will demonstrate periods of rising prices, periods of
many times. This is as good as it gets for analysis.”
declining prices and periods where prices consolidate. Prior alerts to Chris Fletchall Hedger and Trader, USA
possible and probable turning points are highly useful to our clients.
This allows them to: “Andrew Pancholi’s Market Timing Report is
consistently the most accurate cycles forecast
there is for traders of major markets”
Potentially enter a trading campaign earlier and stay in longer Peter Temple Futurist - Speaker - Cycles Expert,
World Cycles Institute
Avoid entering a campaign when the market could potentially reverse
direction I have subscribed to many newsletters over the
years and by far this is the best. The reasons are
Aid option traders who are seeking steady movement in the underlying the combination of these 3 factors. 1) Its concise.
prices Typically, under 18 to 25 pages covering many
markets with predictions cleanly laid out
segmented nicely so you can access and review
There are 3 elements required to enter a low-risk trading campaign: the information quickly. 2) Its accountable. In
Market hits price target; each issue, he goes over the last issues predic-
tions, to demonstrate the accuracy. It’s sort of a
A Key time cycle is present; “backtest” of the plan so you will become more
A trigger setup is in place;. confident and comfortable with his predictions
3) He tells you how he does it. He will show you
the trendlines, pivots, and other cycle concepts
Market Timing Report has developed proprietary systems based on 18 years as well as pitchforks, how they are drawn and
of research into market behaviour. Our research shows that markets do why they are drawn, so that you can understand
follow a series of cycles or waves with differing amplitudes and lengths. a bit of how he does it, and also this builds your
confidence in his predictions. These 3 factors
Whilst regular seasonal cycles often reflect consistent change in price when combined offer a very unique value that is
direction, their accuracy is not always reliable. sincere and able to be applied by the trader.
Accuracy is important, of course, but building
your internal confidence every month is critical
By adding what we call as well. This is the reason why this newsletter is
"DNA" action we are able to improve the accuracy of forecasting and also by far the best I have ever encountered.
identify time cycles which act as triggers for moves and reversals. Jeff Rapaport
Trader
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LJ. You are now on the board of the Foundation for the Study of Cycles. What’s
happening with the foundation?
AP. Well Larry, as you know, the Foundation has been off the radar for several years now.
The good news is that it is now reverting to its charitable status under the leadership of Dr
Richard Smith. The Foundation for the Study of Cycles was originally set up by the American
presidency to investigate the causes of the Great Depression and to see if it could have been
prevented. Edward Dewey was chief economist to the government and headed up the FSC.
I’m very excited to be on the board and work alongside Dr Smith and legendary trader Jake
Bernstein amongst others. Our new website will be launched shortly and we are looking to
educate people on a huge cross-section of cycles covering many areas in life from weather all
the way through to markets.
Presently, we are in the process of cataloguing previously unseen work by Edward Dewey
and others. We are also working on some special surprises for our members. Jake Bernstein
has already carried out two excellent webinars. I believe the cycle is now in! We are 90 years
on from the 1929 crash which is what precipitated the creation of the FSC. The rebirth is now
happening.
WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM Nov/Dec/Jan 2020 142
LJ. How did your journey with WD Gann begin?
AP. I first discovered Gann in the late 1980s but it wasn’t until I spoke with Nikki Jones
that my interest in his work really took off. For those of you that are not aware, Nikki
Jones and her late husband Billy had secured much of Gann’s collection from Ed Lambert
down in Florida back in the 1970s. Nikki always told the story about how they had to rent
a huge Mayflower truck to drive all the chart books, materials and other bits and pieces
across the nation from Miami all the way up to their farm in Pomeroy in Washington state.
In the early 90s, during one of my visits to America, I had called their office up and got into
a lengthy conversation with Nikki. She was telling me all about the various Gann books and
courses with great enthusiasm. I had complained to her that living in England, it was practically
impossible to get hold of any of Gann’s works. Of course, this was well before the modern
Internet and communications age.
Having taken delivery of a set of books and studied them, I exchanged a series of faxes and the
occasional very expensive international phone call with Nikki. She kindly agreed to me being a
supplier of Gann’s works in Europe and so our business association began.
Whilst the demand for Gann’s work is always somewhat slow, there is actually a constant
interest in it. And thus we developed a small business. But what was most fulfilling about this
were our conversations in which Nikki expressed such enthusiasm for the whole collection and
indeed the work of the maestro himself.
AP. After so many conversations, Nikki suggested that I came over and visit and so it was
in September 1995 I flew out to Seattle and rented a car to drive to Pomeroy. As I pulled up
outside the family house the odometer on the car read 288 miles! I thought that was a very
positive omen!
We immediately struck up deep conversations and during the course of this day, Nikki took me
into the vaults where the materials used to be stored. I couldn’t believe how many charts Gann
actually drew with his own hands. He was a very diligent worker.
LJ. Can you share some of the conversations you had with Nikki?
AP. Of course, Larry, yes. I don’t know where to start. There were so many stories.
Perhaps one of the most important conversations revolved around how various papers and items
of the collection had disappeared. Nikki told how Billy and her had been invited to a dinner
party at one of the world’s wealthiest hedge fund managers houses in Los Angeles. She tells
the story very comically about how Billy and her were sitting at the dinner table and they had
never seen so many sets of knives and forks nor knew what half the really fancy foods were!
LJ. I gather you knew Peter Pich well – tell me about your friendship.
AP. Nikki Jones introduced me the Peter Pich in the mid-90s. After we’d struck up a bond
of trust and our joint business in Europe was running, she thought that Peter Pich’s company
Gannsoft Publishing could benefit from a European outlet. At its time Ganntrader was probably
the most sophisticated and accurate software program covering all known Gann techniques. We
were able to print out large charts from it which was a real bonus. Peter had been in the air force
and when he left he struck up a relationship with Billy Jones with whom he carried out much
Gann research. Peter took me on initially as his UK sales agent but then, after good success, I
sold globally, meeting some major financial players all of whom wanting to maintain anonymity
with regards to Gann. More importantly, I worked very closely with Peter to develop the
latter versions of the program prior to his untimely death just over 10 years ago. He was very
knowledgeable about the Gann techniques and we shared a lot of common interests. He came
over to England on several occasions and I also visited him up in Colville, Washington. The
weird thing was that the journey from Nikki’s farm to Peter’s house was exactly 180 miles.
LJ. You mentioned that the family and you have released a new and unseen Gann course
on coffee – The Lost Coffee Courses of W D Gann - how has this come about?
AP. It was in the fall of 2009 that we made a specific plan for me to come over and help
catalogue the Gann collection. Her son Cody also came into town which provided us with
a great opportunity to catch up. Over the best part of a week we went through parts of the
collection in various different locations and the discoveries were phenomenal.
Towards the bottom of the series of cases I had to asked Nikki if anyone had ever looked at
these at all. “You know Andy, I’m not sure if we even got this far before” she replied. We were
now in exciting and uncharted territory. Gann did not only study markets. There are notes on
weather forecasting, sunspots and several other subjects. In fact, there were some charts that
we just could not decipher at all. There has been considerable deterioration in some of the
collection over the years and we used protective gloves as we went through as much as we
could.
We felt we had broken the back of it. However, I did ask Nikki what was in one of the other
We found a box of pristine condition courses – signed by Gann in his original purple ink and
certainly ones that I’d never even seen or heard off before. I know a lot of private collectors and
no one had ever mentioned this course. We had discovered a golden nugget. It was moved to a
safe location and placed in to storage.
AP. Sadly, on June 8, 2015, Nikki Jones passed away after a severe illness. This was a great
loss to all of us and she will always be missed especially with her kind hearted and an infectious
enthusiasm. If it was not for Nikki, then none of us would be in a position to study Gann and his
work. She kept the collection alive after the passing of her husband Billy Jones.
Cody and I have maintained regular communication and 2 years ago we discussed the idea
of putting out more of Gann’s unseen work. Part of the reason behind this is to raise funds to
preserve the collection. Many of the papers are deteriorating badly. After several conversations,
we decided that this coffee course would be the best place to start.
LJ. What’s different about this course and can you give me some examples of what is in
it?
AP. Within this course there are comments on cycles that Gann has previously rarely mentioned.
Not only that but Gann’s references to historic data go back in great detail and way beyond any
other commodity data that is available at present. It has been alleged that much of the historic
coffee data was destroyed during the attacks on the World Trade Centre on 911. Coffee trading
had been taking place there until the event.
We found pieces of other coffee courses and we have combined them all into this book. Gann’s
in-depth analysis of the market makes very interesting reading and of course can be applied
to any other commodity or stock markets. There are several real gems within this piece. Prior
to the discovery of this box and on previous visits Cody,Nikki and I had located several other
commodity charts and these included some excellent long-term data on coffee. Cody has
included scans of these charts with the course.
Serious students of Gann know how important it is to look back appropriate time periods. In so
A.P. After Peter Pich died, I programmed my own cycles and Gann software system. This is
proven to be very accurate in timing markets. Originally, I provided this information to a handful
of hedge funds and professionals. However, many people asked if they could have access to
this same timing information and so a few years ago we created The Market Timing Report.
This monthly publication has timing signals on the S&P 500, gold, oil, the Dollar Index and the
euro as well as geopolitical commentary. I’m delighted to say that it has met with much success
having called pretty much every major turn in S&P500 since it started. Our readers include
a cross section of private traders, cycles enthusiasts all the way through to billionaire fund
managers!
AP. Thank you Larry - and I would like to add that I have been a huge follower of Traders
World Magazine since the late 1980s! I have learnt a lot from it. Thank you.
www.markettimingreport.com
Twitter @AndrewPancholi
You can ask the program to reveal the most powerful cycles for your financial instrument.
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reason is that it comes from a group of expert pro traders with multiple
years of experience.
The traders in this book have through experience the right attitude and employ a combination
of technical analysis principles and strategies to be successful. You can develop these also.
Trading is one of the best ways to make money. Apply the trading methods in this book and
treat it as a business. The purpose of this book is to help you be successful in trading.
From this book you will get all the strategies, Indicators and trading methods that you need
to make big profits in the markets.
• Seasonality
• MACD
• Stochastics
• Moving Averages
• Trailing Stops
• Fibonacci Retracements & Extensions
All of the charts in this book are produced using my favorite charting software Market-Analyst®.
I have also arranged for you to get a FREE trial so that you might have the chance to actually
work with these indicators with a real charting platform.
You will also be able to view the video presentations that I personally created so you can
see how these indicators can be setup and followed with clear and concise step-by-step
instructions. After you understand how these indicators work, I would then recommend that
you go to WorldCupAdvisor.com and consider following Craig Haugaard’s real-time trades.
This one-of-a-kind book teaches you how to identify the direction of the markets and trade
the markets by using popular trading indicators. This is done by concise instructions backed
by learning videos, hands on practice with real trading software and by following real-time
trades of a master trader.
This book is an enhanced Edition which means that the articles are backed with audio visual
presentation links. Most of the presentations are in HD quality and are put together by the
writers of the articles in the book and really help the learning process.
Successful trading is based on knowledge and having the right psychology to trade the markets.
This book will lift your trading to a much higher level and will save you an enormous amount
to time.
Rob Mitchell is the president of Axiom Research & Trading, Inc. and has
been a trading system developer for over 20 years and has developed a
number of commercially successful trading systems. He has at various
times been the largest eMini S&P trader in the world. Rob has also acted
as a Commodity Trading Adviser, has traded for hedge funds and has won
the Robbins World Cup eMini trading championship in the past. Rob is
a trading teacher and mentor and is the founder and head trader of Oil
Trading Room which is devoted to providing advanced educational resources to traders at all
levels.
In the rest of the book I will explain to you some of the trading ideas of Rob that he uses in
both his Oil Trading Room and in his World Cup Advisor Account. You can then actually see and
understand how some of his ideas work.
I am not going to tell you exactly how Rob used the ideas to make his return of 57% on a
$10,000 investment. That information is not public and belongs only to Rob.
I will tell you some of the trading ideas he uses and help you understand how these ideas work.
I would then recommend that you go to World Cup Advisor and consider following Rob’s trades.
You will be able to automatically mirror Rob’s trades in your own brokerage account with World
Cup Leader-Follower AutoTrade™ service. You will also be able to see what his trades look like
on your own charts and better understand why he made the trades.
In the rest of the book I will explain to you some of the trading ideas Takumaru said he used
I am not going to tell you exactly how Takumaru used the ideas to make his return of 122.6%
on a $10,000 investment. That information is not public and belongs only to Takumaru.
I will tell you which indicators he used and help you understand how these indicators work.
Michael Trading: Learn about some of the trading tools he used $4.99
Michael Cook, was the first-place finisher in the 2014 WORLD CUP
Championship of Futures Trading® with a 366% net profit. In this
book there is a detailed interview with Michael with questions and
answers of exactly what he used to win the championship. In this
book I will explain to you the indicators that he said he used in the
interview. You can then actually see and understand how they work.
Here are some the indicators and methods that he said he used: 1)
Moving Averages 2) Seasonality 3) Cycles 4) Seasonality 5) Price
Patterns 6) William’s %R 7) Long with Stops 8) Commitment of
Traders Report You will also be able to download a video presentation
that I personally created so you can see how these indicators can be
setup and followed in a step-by-step manner. After you understand
how these indicators work, I would then recommend that you go to WorldCupAdvisor.com and
consider following Michael Cook’s trades.