Beruflich Dokumente
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Document in Banking
Industry
SJMSOM,IIT-Bombay
Team Finacs
Industry Statistics
• Total bank credit grew at a CAGR of 28% from FY04 to FY08. Due to the
global slowdown from FY09, the growth in credit moderated to 17.1% YoY
during FY10
• Total deposits, advances and net profit grew at CAGR of 19.6%, 27.4% and
20.2% respectively from FY03 to FY08
Banking Industry
• Most of the public sector banks contained their NPA levels due to the
restructuring option provided by the Reserve Bank of India
• In 2014, the total assets with Indian Banks are forecasted to have a value
of $2765 billion, an increase of 225.3% since 2007
• Banks have significantly de-risked their portfolios and now hold 12%-45%
in AFS with duration of 2-3 years
• The quality of earnings and profitability too has improved vs. historical
levels
• Banks have significantly de-risked their portfolios and now hold 12%-45%
in AFS with duration of 2-3 years
• While private banks are comfortably placed with Tier-1 ratios of 9%-15%,
PSU banks’ Tier-1 ratios are relatively lower at 8.7%-9.7%
• Interestingly, PSU banks have shown strong growth of 21% in assets since
2001, and 66% of this growth has been funded from retained earnings
• Private banks have expanded their assets by 28%, and 53% of this growth
has been met through retained earnings
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Merger & Acquisition Document in Banking Industry
• Growth in industry credit was fuelled by PSBs to a larger extent in the past
couple of years
• The strong CASA of banks like HDFC Bank, Axis Bank, PNB, SBI and BoB
paid off in terms of higher and stable NIM
Private Banks have seen stronger growth in book given their ability to
raise capital at higher multiples – a virtuous cycle
Attractiveness
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Merger & Acquisition Document in Banking Industry
Major Drivers
– Stronger economy (GDP growth of 8.2% and 8.7% for FY11E and
FY12E)
– Capital Expenditure
• Easing of Inflation will result in RBI reducing the hiked key policy rates
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Merger & Acquisition Document in Banking Industry
High Credit growth and rising per-capita income brightens the future of Banking
in India
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Merger & Acquisition Document in Banking Industry
84 SCBs with total asset base of `60, 69,570 crores and deposit base of `47,
92,995 crores
Private Sector Banks are gradually increasing their shares in deposits and asset
base
• Net NPAs at 1.03% and RoA at 1.28% is better than the industry average
which has net NPAs at 1.12% and RoA of 1.05%
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Merger & Acquisition Document in Banking Industry
Challenges
• Net Interest Margin may shrink due to higher cost of funds and asset
quality may deteriorate as banks may lend ruthlessly to increase their
customer base
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Merger & Acquisition Document in Banking Industry
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Merger & Acquisition Document in Banking Industry
• Network of 209 branches and 427 ATMs spread over 168 locations in 28
states with no significant concentration in any state
Measure Value
AUM(`Crores) 35,505.5
CASA 24.3%
NIM 3.3%
RoE 23%
RoA 1.3%
EPS 11.54
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Merger & Acquisition Document in Banking Industry
Federal Bank
Company Overview
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Merger & Acquisition Document in Banking Industry
Financial Health
Karnataka Bank
Company Overview
• NIM has also shown sharp improvement from 0.79% in 1QFY10 to 1.74% in
1QFY11
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Merger & Acquisition Document in Banking Industry
Financial Health
Company Overview
• Network of 335 branches and 376 ATMs across India with major
concentration in Tamil Nadu and AP
• Bank’s 14.5% CAR and tier-1 capital of 12.9% provide it cushion for future
growth and additional loan defaults
• Very low net NPA of the bank at mere 0.2% is one of the lowest in the
industry
• Adjudged as the Best Mid-sized Bank by Business Today – KPMG for 2009
Financial Health
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Merger & Acquisition Document in Banking Industry
Company Overview
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Merger & Acquisition Document in Banking Industry
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Merger & Acquisition Document in Banking Industry
Lower P/BV makes them cheap and hence attractive targets to acquire
• Large presence in rural and semi-urban areas (187 branches out of 464),
which is the emerging area in banking sector
Relative Standings
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Merger & Acquisition Document in Banking Industry
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Merger & Acquisition Document in Banking Industry
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Merger & Acquisition Document in Banking Industry
Business Growth
• Terminal growth rate, which represents the long term credit growth, is
assumed to be 7%– 8.50%.
• Equity will remain more or less as the same fraction of total assets on
account of maintaining the Capital Adequacy Ratio
• The cost of funds will remain stable at 7.2%. The increase in term deposit
rates will be countered by increase in CASA ratio
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Merger & Acquisition Document in Banking Industry
Regulatory Concerns
• The prudential norms under BASEL-II will be met by the combined entity
• Increase in bad loans due to various reasons – farmer waiver or asset price
bubble in housing may impact earnings growth
• Large-cap banks may get into irrational competition and the interest
margins may get eroded
Synergy Benefits
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Merger & Acquisition Document in Banking Industry
• After the acquisition the NPAs of Karnataka Bank may move down to
better management of IndusInd Bank
Deal Structure
• IndusInd Bank would acquire the Karnataka Bank in an equity swap deal
• The current stock price of IndusInd Bank is `280.25 while the current stock
price of Karnataka Bank is `186.20
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Merger & Acquisition Document in Banking Industry
• The price offered is `250 valuing the Karnataka Bank at P/E of 21.20 and
P/BV of 1.83 with the premium of 34.26% over prevailing market price
• For every 28 shares of Karnataka Bank, IndusInd Bank will give 25 shares
of its own
Time Line
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