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Last Close Avg Daily Vol 52-Week High Trailing PE Annual Div ROE LTG Forecast 1-Mo Return
1,954.00 (INR) 1.3M 2,190.00 63.6 24.00 79.9% -- -3.5%
2020 January 10 Market Cap 52-Week Low Forward PE Dividend Yield Annual Rev Inst Own 3-Mo Return
NSE Exchange
4.2T 1,650.00 55.5 1.2% 405.1B 9.8% -0.8%
AVERAGE SCORE
POSITIVE OUTLOOK: HINDUNILVR's current Score Averages
score of 8 places it among the top quartile of Personal Goods & Services Group: 5.9 Large Market Cap: 7.0
stocks scored. Personal Goods & Services Sector: 5.9 BSE Sensex Index: 7.5
Average Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend
Positive DABUR 7 7 8 7 8
HINDUNILVR 7 9 8 7 8
Neutral COLPAL 6 8 7 7 6
GODREJCP 6 7 6 6 6
Negative
MARICO 9 7 5 6 6
2017-01 2018-01 2019-01 2020-01
BUSINESS SUMMARY
Hindustan Unilever Limited is engaged in fast-moving consumer goods business comprising home and personal care, foods and refreshments. The
Company's segments are Soaps and Detergents, which includes soaps, detergent bars, detergent powders, detergent liquids and scourers; Personal
Products, which includes products in categories of oral care, skin care (excluding soaps), hair care, deodorants, talcum powder, color cosmetics and
salon services; Beverages, which includes tea and coffee; Packaged Foods, which includes branded staples (atta, salt and bread), culinary products
(tomato-based products, fruit-based products and soups) and frozen desserts, and Others that includes exports, chemicals, water business and infant
care products. The Others segment also includes export sale of marine and leather products. Its brands include Lux, Surf excel, Rin, Wheel, Fair &
Lovely, Pond's, Vaseline, Lakme, Dove, Clinic Plus, Sunsilk, Axe, Brooke Bond, Bru, Knorr, Kissan, Kwality Wall's and Pureit.
INDICATOR COMPONENTS
The AVERAGE SCORE combines the quantitative analysis of five widely-used investment decision making tools: Earnings,
Fundamental, Relative Valuation, Risk, and Price Momentum. A simple average of the underlying component ratings is normally
distributed to rank stocks on a 1-10 scale (10 being awarded to the most favorable). These factors may be evaluated differently using
alternative methodologies and the importance of individual factors varies across industries, market capitalization and investment styles.
Additional criteria should always by used to evaluate a stock.
PEER COMPANIES
DABUR Dabur India EMAMILTD Emami
GODREJCP Godrej Consumer Products BAJAJCON Bajaj Consumer Care
MARICO Marico JLMORI J L Morison (India)
COLPAL Colgate-Palmolive (India) RADIXIND Radix Industries India
PGHH Procter & Gamble Hygiene LYKISLTD Lykis
Earnings Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend
Positive HINDUNILVR 7 10 8 9 9
MARICO 10 7 6 8 7
Neutral DABUR 6 4 5 5 6
GODREJCP 9 8 7 8 6
Negative
COLPAL 5 8 5 5 3
2017-01 2018-01 2019-01 2020-01
EARNINGS INDICATORS
Earnings Surprises Estimate Revisions Recommendation Changes
(33.3% weight) (33.3% weight) (33.3% weight)
GODREJC…
HINDUNIL…
MARICO
DABUR
DABUR HINDUNIL…
GODREJC…
HINDUNIL… MARICO
COLPAL
COLPAL COLPAL
GODREJC…
DABUR
MARICO
EARNINGS SURPRISES
Comparing a company's actual earnings to the mean expectation of Surprise Detail (Last 6 Periods)
analysts results in a difference referred to as a 'positive' or 'negative'
surprise. Research has shown that when a company reports a Surprise Announce Period End Actual Mean Surprise
surprise, it is often followed by more of the same surprise type. Type Date Date EPS EPS (%)
Surprise Summary (Last 6 Years) In-Line 2019-05-03 2019-03-31 29.010 28.670 1.2%
In-Line 2018-05-14 2018-03-31 24.230 23.850 1.6%
Surprise Type Amount Percent
In-Line 2017-05-17 2017-03-31 19.590 19.900 -1.6%
Positive Years (> 2%) 0 --
In-Line 2016-05-09 2016-03-31 19.040 19.420 -2.0%
Negative Years (< -2%) 1 16.7%
Negative 2015-05-08 2015-03-31 17.030 18.750 -9.2%
In-Line Years (within 2%) 5 83.3%
In-Line 2014-04-28 2014-03-31 17.130 16.840 1.7%
ANNUAL REVENUE
A pattern of increasing sales in Actuals Estimates
conjunction with a rising EPS may
influence a buy recommendation, while 600B
2020 2021
flat or falling sales and faltering 540B
HIGH
earnings may explain a sell Mean 418.5B 493.0B
recommendation. A rising EPS with flat 480B
MEAN
High 429.2B 552.1B
or falling sales may result from LOW
increased cost efficiency and margins, 420B 393.1B Low 402.4B 441.1B
rather than market expansion. This 347.8B Forecasted Growth 6.5% 25.4%
chart shows the sales forecast trend of 360B
# of Analysts 13 14
all analysts and the highest and lowest
projections for the current and next 300B
2018 2019 2020 2021
fiscal year.
FUNDAMENTAL
NEUTRAL OUTLOOK: Fundamentals relatively Fundamental Score Averages
in-line with the market. Personal Goods & Services Group: 5.7 Large Market Cap: 6.0
Personal Goods & Services Sector: 5.7 BSE Sensex Index: 5.9
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Fundamental Score Trend Peers 2019 2019 2019 2019 Current 3Y Trend
COLPAL 10 10 10 9 9
Positive
DABUR 6 6 6 7 8
Neutral HINDUNILVR 8 8 9 8 7
Negative MARICO 5 5 5 5 5
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 GODREJCP 4 6 6 5 3
2017 2018 2019
FUNDAMENTAL INDICATORS
Profitability Debt Earnings Quality Dividend
(25% weight) (25% weight) (25% weight) (25% weight)
COLPA…
HINDUN… DABUR
COLPA…
DABUR HINDUN…
DABUR
GODRE… MARIC…
MARIC…
HINDUN…
COLPA…
GODRE…
COLPA…
HINDUN…
GODRE… MARIC… MARIC…
DABUR
GODRE…
Revenue Growth 10.6% Current Ratio 1.3 Oper. Cash Yield -8.1% Dividend Growth 14.3%
For year over year For interim period For latest 12 months For year over year
ending 2019-03 ending 2019-09 ending 2019-03 ending 2019-09
Gross Margin 26.0% Debt-to-Capital 0.0% Accruals 59.5% Dividend Payout 78.5%
For latest 12 months For annual period For latest 12 months For latest 12 months
ending 2019-09 ending 2019-03 ending 2019-03 ending 2019-09
Return On Equity 79.9% Interest Funding 0.1% Days Sales In Inv. 32.1 Dividend Coverage 1.4
For interim period For interim period For annual period For annual period
ending 2019-03 ending 2019-03 ending 2019-03 ending 2019-03
Net Margin 16.3% Interest Coverage 68.4 Days Sales In Rec. 24.3 Current Div. Yield 1.2%
For latest 12 months For interim period For annual period For latest 12 months
ending 2019-09 ending 2019-09 ending 2019-03 ending 2020-01
HIGHLIGHTS
- Hindustan Unilever currently has a Fundamental Rating of 7. The - The company's days sales in inventory has been lower than its
average Fundamental Rating for its Personal Goods & Services industry group average for each of the past five years.
industry group is 5.7 and the S&P BSE SENSEX index average is 5.9. - Of the 37 firms within the Personal Goods & Services industry group,
- The return on equity of 79.9% for HINDUNILVR is the highest within Hindustan Unilever is among 19 companies that pay a dividend. The
its Personal Goods & Services industry group. stock's dividend yield is currently 1.2%.
- Of the 27 firms within the Personal Goods & Services industry group
that have reported debt-to-capital, Hindustan Unilever is among 13
firms whose balance sheet is free of long-term debt.
RELATIVE VALUATION
NEGATIVE OUTLOOK: Multiples significantly Relative Valuation Score Averages
above the market or the stock's historic norms. Personal Goods & Services Group: 3.7 Large Market Cap: 3.2
Personal Goods & Services Sector: 3.7 BSE Sensex Index: 2.9
Relative Valuation Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend
Positive COLPAL 1 1 1 1 1
DABUR 1 1 1 1 1
Neutral GODREJCP 1 1 1 1 1
HINDUNILVR 1 1 1 1 1
Negative
MARICO 1 1 1 1 1
2017-01 2018-01 2019-01 2020-01
HIGHLIGHTS
- There is no significant relative valuation data for this company.
RISK
POSITIVE OUTLOOK: Consistent return Risk Score Averages
patterns (low volatility). Personal Goods & Services Group: 7.4 Large Market Cap: 9.1
Personal Goods & Services Sector: 7.4 BSE Sensex Index: 9.8
Risk Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend
Positive DABUR 10 10 10 10 10
GODREJCP 10 10 10 10 10
Neutral HINDUNILVR 10 10 10 10 10
MARICO 10 10 10 10 10
Negative
COLPAL 10 9 9 10 9
2017-01 2018-01 2019-01 2020-01
RISK INDICATORS
Magnitude of Returns Volatility Beta (1-year) Correlation
(25% weight) (25% weight) (25% weight) (25% weight)
COLPA… COLPA…
DABUR
DABUR DABUR
MARIC… GODRE…
GODRE… GODRE…
DABUR HINDUN…
HINDUN… HINDUN…
COLPA…
MARIC… MARIC…
GODRE… MARIC…
COLPA…
HINDUN…
Daily Returns (Last 90 Days) Standard Deviation Beta vs. BSE Sensex 0.66 Correlation vs. BSE Sensex
Best 2.5% Last 90 Days 0.97 Positive Days Only 1.12 Last 90 Days 36%
Worst -2.5% Last 60 Months 5.64 Negative Days Only 0.22 Last 60 Months 53%
Monthly Returns (Last 60 Months) Intra-Day Swing (Last 90 Days) Beta vs. Group 0.34 Correlation vs. Group
Best 22.8% Average 1.6% Positive Days Only 0.42 Last 90 Days 17%
Worst -9.2% Largest 3.1% Negative Days Only 0.20 Last 60 Months 25%
Price Momentum Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend
Positive GODREJCP 5 9 7 8 10
DABUR 10 9 10 8 9
Neutral COLPAL 7 10 9 8 8
HINDUNILVR 8 9 8 6 7
Negative
MARICO 10 8 4 4 4
2017-01 2018-01 2019-01 2020-01
DABUR
GODREJC…
GODREJC…
MARICO
DABUR
HINDUNIL…
COLPAL
COLPAL
HINDUNIL…
MARICO
Relative Strength Indicator (Scale from 1 to 100) Average Monthly Return (Last 10 Years)
HINDUNILVR Industry Avg JAN FEB MAR
Last 1 Month 45 47 Company Avg -1.9% -3.3% 3.5%
Last 3 Months 51 49 Industry Avg 0.8% -0.7% 0.6%
Last 6 Months 52 50 Industry Rank 52 of 92 5 of 89 34 of 94
PRICE PERFORMANCE
Daily close prices are used to calculate the HINDUNILVR HINDUNILVR BSE Sensex
performance of the stock as compared to a
BSE Sensex Close Price (2020-01-10) 1,954.00 41,600
relevant index over five time periods.
52-Week High 2,190.00 41,682
1.4%
1-Week 52-Week Low 1,650.00 35,353
0.3%
9.4%
1-Year
15.2%
Valuation Averages
Negative values are excluded when calculating the averages. A maximum value of
100 is placed on Trailing P/E and Forward P/E, a maximum value of 5 is placed on
Forward PEG, and a maximum value of 20 is placed on Price to Sales when
calculating the averages. Higher values are rounded down to the maximum for the
averages.
Valuation Multiples
The valuation multiples provide the Trailing P/E, Forward P/E, Forward PEG, and
Price to Sales for the company and the S&P 500 index average. In addition, a
comparison of the current company’s values to its 5-year average and an industry
average are presented. A discount occurs when the company’s ratio is valued more
favorably (lower) than that to which it is compared.
Risk
The Risk Rating displays stocks on a scale of 1 to 10 with 10 being awarded to the
least risky stocks. It is derived by looking at a series of long-term (5-year) and
short-term (90-day) stock performance measures including volatility, magnitude of
returns, beta, and correlation. Each factor is equally weighted. Then, equal deciles
are used to rank each stock across the market. A stock needs to have at least two
of the four risk factors in order to receive a score.
● Magnitude of Returns – The best / worst daily returns in the past 90 days and the
best / worst monthly returns in the past 60 months.
● Volatility – The standard deviation of the stock price over the last 90 days and
last 60 months, along with the average and largest intra-day stock swing.
● Beta – Measures the tendency of a security’s returns to respond to swings in the
market, based on the beta of the company versus the relevant index.
● Correlation – Determines how closely the returns of the stock and the relevant
index move together, measured over the last 90 days and last 60 months.
Risk Analysis
Price analysis for the company and the relevant index is provided over two time
periods. Daily analysis is provided for the last 90 days, whereas monthly statistics
are used for the last 60 months.
Price Momentum
The Price Momentum Rating is based on a combination of two technical
performance factors: relative strength (70% weight) and seasonality (30% weight).
After the weightings are considered to combine individual factors, equal deciles are
used to rank each stock across the market on a scale of 1 to 10, with 10 being most
favorable. A stock needs to have data for the relative strength factor in order to
receive a score.
● Relative Strength – The relative strength of the company for the last 1 month, 3
months, and 6 months on a scale of 1 to 100.
● Seasonality – The average monthly return (price performance) for the current
month and next 2 months for the company and industry, over the past 10 years.
A lower industry rank indicates a higher return.
Price Performance
Daily close prices are used to calculate the price performance of the stock. The
performance of the relevant index is also displayed as a means of comparison.
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The content in this Thomson Reuters report does not constitute investment advice
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