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for

Adopt best-in-class solutions in the shortest possible time-frame

for your artificial intelligence and machine learning needs.

Crafted using the Mateverse platform!

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 Table of contents
What’s going to be discussed today?

Sr. No. Contents Page Number

1. The Problem Statement: Ecommerce Forecast 3

2. The Mateverse Edge 4

3. Results and Findings 5, 6

4. How can we add more value? 7

5. Clientele 8

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 The Problem Statement
E-Commerce Sales Forecast & Supply Chain Planning

What’s so difficult about e-commerce sales forecast?

The Challenges:

1. Trend-Seasonality-Residual : 50-30-20 does not apply on

e-commerce predictions and almost every supply chain
planning tool uses this as a basic assumption.
2. Ability to handle NLP, image, video data is missing
3. Ecommerce requires Hourly/Daily/Weekly/Monthly forecast as
opposed to monthly/quarterly forecasts required in offline
models.
4. Highly frequent model updation at scale
5. Extremely large datasets and diverse data sources

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 The Mateverse Edge
We Deliver.

How we navigate the e-commerce scenario: List Of Ecommerce Platforms

We Have Forecasted For:

Extremely volatile demand being in the cosmetics industry we were

faced with building a uniform demand forecasting platform across
their e-commerce channels. Accuracy before us (average) - 30% with
negative bias of 15%. Current (using Mateverse) - 54% with negligible
bias.

Extremely high number of SKUs, with daily changing prices across

different platforms. They were looking for resilient, scalable platform
which can gauge the impact of various drivers on their SCM planning
on a weekly basis.

Being a B2B Ecommerce platform, pricing is highly dependent on

various factors like size of the company, quantity of order, type of SKU,
geography, taxes, government rebates, competitor’s pricing, past
relationship with the customer, we delivered a personalized price
recommendation engine which would work at 10L queries / day.
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 Mateverse: FirstCry Forecast For KCC
Results and Findings (POC) - Visuals

Total Appx Savings For Top 5 SKUs / month =

INR 474,000 with precise AI driven forecasting

Average appx savings across all SKUs for one

month = INR 35,00,000

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 Mateverse: FirstCry Forecast For KCC
Results and Findings (POC) - Details Business Impact
Top 5 Variants & their Predictions Driver Value
Variant Name SMAPE MSE MAE Accuracy MRP Sales Accuracy Direct cost saving 35,00,000 / month
Increased

New Dry 0.32 32,180 31,365 99.7 47,81,268 11.7 %

Man hours saved 315 x 16 = 5040
using AutoML
Ultra Soft Pants 1.63 29,716 25,587 98.69 81,97,084 9.5 %
Man hours saved 315 x 16 = 5040
Wonder Pants 2.82 24,550 23,018 97.72 3,91,27,610 13 % in auto data
preprocessing
Luxe Air 3.73 70,827 57,253 96.70 9,29,628 34.39 %

Wipes 7.9 13,50,619 13,48,210 93.23 10,67,180 19.3 %

Tech Challenges Addressed
Top 5 SKU’s & their Predictions
SKU Name SMAPE MSE MAE Accuracy MRP Sales Accuracy Driver Value
Increased
Records available Only 2 years
1490436 2.63 4,31,813 4,20,506 97.76 79,36,487 9.71 %
Number of SKUs 315
1197841 8.26 3,09,200 2,80,239 93.39 20,94,303 21.5 %
Number of models 7500
951383 1.31 82,975 64,370 98.63 19,14,960 5% built

1691179 6.86 2,70,240 219480 94.44 18,60,848 44 % Time taken 5 days

990781 3.48 1,32,078 1,23,978 97.21 16,94,550 14 % 4

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 How Can We Add More Value?
Additional Data Requirements & Proposed ML Approach

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 Clientele

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 Let’s move towards a better world together.
Democratize machine learning today.

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