Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
PII: S0313-5926(18)30223-6
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eap.2019.03.004
Reference: EAP 282
Please cite this article as: I. Stamatopoulos, S. Hadjidema and K. Eleftheriou, Explaining corporate
effective tax rates: Evidence from Greece. Economic Analysis and Policy (2019),
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eap.2019.03.004
This is a PDF file of an unedited manuscript that has been accepted for publication. As a service to
our customers we are providing this early version of the manuscript. The manuscript will undergo
copyediting, typesetting, and review of the resulting proof before it is published in its final form.
Please note that during the production process errors may be discovered which could affect the
content, and all legal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain.
EXPLAINING CORPORATE EFFECTIVE TAX RATES: EVIDENCE FROM
GREECE
a
Department of Economics, University of Piraeus, 80 Karaoli & Dimitriou Street, 18534
Piraeus, Greece. E-mail: is@forin.gr (Stamatopoulos); shad@otenet.gr (Hadjidema);
kostasel@otenet.gr (Eleftheriou).
* Corresponding author. Tel: +30 210 4142282; Fax: +30 210 4142346
Abstract
This paper examines the determinants of the variability in corporate effective tax rates
before and during the financial crisis in Greece, a country that was, and still is, at the
core of the European Union’s agenda. Analyzing firm-level data for the period 2000-
2014, we find strong evidence that specific firm characteristics including firm size,
financial leverage, capital and inventory intensity influence the level of corporate
effective tax rates. Our results also indicate that corporate effective tax rates increased
in the period after the beginning of the financial crisis, while their association with
some firm-specific characteristics was also affected.
1
EXPLAINING CORPORATE EFFECTIVE TAX RATES: EVIDENCE FROM
GREECE
This paper examines the determinants of the variability in corporate effective tax rates
before and during the financial crisis in Greece, a country that was, and still is, at the
core of the European Union’s agenda. Analyzing firm-level data for the period 2000-
2014, we find strong evidence that specific firm characteristics including firm size,
financial leverage, capital and inventory intensity influence the level of corporate
effective tax rates. Our results also indicate that corporate effective tax rates increased
in the period after the beginning of the financial crisis, while their association with some
firm-specific characteristics was also affected.
1. INTRODUCTION
Assessing the impact of the tax system on business activity is of primary
importance to economists, tax advisors, firms and policy makers. One of the most
important elements of the tax system is undoubtedly the statutory corporate income tax
rate. Statutory tax rates may act as an incentive or an obstacle to business investment,
and this is the most obvious reason they have been so widely studied.
Statutory tax rates (STRs), though, do not take into account the tax base of
corporate income tax. Corporate Effective Tax Rates (ETRs), on the other hand,
demonstrate more accurately the effect of corporate taxation, as they incorporate in one
single measure the statutory tax rates as well as the tax base on which income tax is
1
levied. Their study and the way they are determined for different firms across the same
jurisdiction may provide important implications for policy makers and firms.
In this context, this paper focuses on the determinants of corporate ETRs before
and after the beginning of the financial crisis in Greece. It contributes to the existing
study that has ever analyzed ETRs and their determinants in Greece. Greece is
undoubtedly a country with a relatively small economy that has been proved to be,
though, an important part for the stability, peace and prosperity of the European Union.
We believe, therefore, that an in-depth study of the Greek tax system may enrich policy
makers’ understanding of the tax system of a country that has attracted world-wide
attention during the financial crisis period. Moreover, the Greek economy shares many
common characteristics with the economies of other South European countries such as
Italy, Portugal, Spain and Cyprus, a fact that makes the results of our study equally
important to researchers around Europe. Secondly, this paper investigates the influence
of the financial crisis and of the extensive legislative changes occurred during this
period on firms’ ETRs and their determinants; an issue equally important for
policymakers both inside and outside Greece. Thirdly, the dataset used includes a large
number of firms (a final sample of 4,936 firms is utilized) for an extended period of
time (2000 - 2014), creating one of the largest samples ever studied in this field (74,040
observations) and thus increasing substantially the validity of our results. Last but not
least, this paper addresses econometric specification problems that usually exist in the
strongly believe that these problems might be a major reason for the conflicting results
of previous studies.
2
The remainder of the paper is organized as follows. In Section 2, we review the
the institutional background in Greece, focusing on the period after the beginning of the
financial crisis. In Section 4, we develop the hypotheses tested in our study based on the
literature review, the institutional background and the Greek tax legislation. In Section
5, we analyze the sample selection method and describe the variables. In Section 6, we
present the model specification, the estimation strategy and we report and discuss the
implications as well as potential limitations of the study that could be used as ideas for
further research.
the same jurisdiction as well as on the neutrality of income tax with regards to specific
firm’s characteristics such as size, financial leverage, capital and inventory intensity.
The relationships that have been examined in the literature are reviewed below.
The prevailing theories of the relationship between ETR and firm’s size are two:
the political cost theory and the political power theory. Under the political cost theory,
large firms are expected to be taxed at a higher ETR as they are more easily targeted by
the government, tax authorities and public opinion (Zimmerman, 1983; Watts and
distribute wealth from these firms to priority groups. On the other hand, under the
political power theory, large firms are expected to be taxed at a lower ETR as they have
3
the resources to influence the legislative procedure to their benefit either directly or
Researchers have repeatedly examined the relationship between firm’s size and
ETR. The results were conflicting, though, as there are supporting evidence for both the
political cost theory (e.g., Zimmerman, 1983; Wilkie and Limberg, 1990; Kern and
Morris, 1992) and the political power theory (e.g., Siegfried, 1972; Porcano, 1986).
Nicodeme (2007), trying to interpret these conflicting results, argues that these studies
were carried out in a univariate context with size as the sole explanatory variable which
might have led to biased coefficients. On the contrary, recent studies were conducted in
a multivariate context but, nonetheless, the degree of conflict in the results was not
significantly reduced. There are recent researches that empirically confirmed the
political power theory (e.g., Richardson and Lanis, 2007), others that confirmed the
political cost theory (e.g., Vandenbussche and Tan, 2005), and still others with mixed
results (e.g., Gupta and Newberry, 1997; Janssen and Buijink, 2000; Nicodeme, 2002;
A firm has three ways to finance its activities: equity financing (that is, raising
money by issuing shares), debt financing (that is, raising money through loans) and,
more often, a combination of these two types of financing. In each financing method, a
fee must be paid back to the financiers either as a dividend (in the case of equity
financing) or as interest (in the case of debt financing). Focusing on the way interest and
dividends are treated in tax legislation, a negative association between ETR and firm’s
leverage is usually expected as interest is usually tax deductible whereas the distributed
dividends are not. This distinction creates an apparently more favorable tax regime for
4
firms that prefer debt financing leading to the reasonable assumption that firms with
higher financial leverage face lower ETRs than firms that prefer equity financing. It is
noteworthy that variations of this general rule may exist in tax systems across the world,
such as, for example, in Belgium, where, as Crabbe (2010) notes, a certain percentage
The effect of financial leverage on ETR has been empirically examined in the
literature. The majority of studies confirm the expected negative relationship between
these two variables, as firms with higher financial leverage exhibit lower effective tax
rates (Stickney and McGee, 1982; Buijink et al., 1999; Vandenbussche et al., 2005;
Richardson and Lanis, 2007; Crabbe, 2010). However, some studies demonstrate that
there is a positive and significant relationship between ETR and financial leverage
(Harris and Feeny, 2003; Janssen, 2005). Finally, it is worth noting that Gupta and
Newberry (1997) conclude that the sign of this relationship is sensitive to the income
Fixed assets are assets “that are held for use in the production or supply of goods
or services, for rental to others, or for administrative purposes and are expected to be
used during more than one period” (IASB, 2016a). Firms can systematically allocate the
depreciable amount of an asset over its useful life, that is, they can allocate the cost of
the asset less its residual value over the period over which it is expected to be used by
the firm. This allows firms to offset part of the cost undertaken against future profits,
especially given the fact that losses can be carried forward up to a specific amount of
years. It is, therefore, expected, that, ceteris paribus, a firm which invests in increasing
its fixed assets will exhibit lower effective tax rates. This hypothesis is further
5
strengthened by the possible existence of other tax incentives for firms that invest in
fixed assets.
McGee (1982), Gupta and Newberry (1997), Vandenbussche et al. (2005), Janssen
(2005), Richardson and Lanis (2007) and Crabbe (2010) concluded, among others, that
Inventories are “assets held for sale in the ordinary course of business, or in the
Gupta and Newberry (1997) were among the first to include an inventory ratio in their
ETR study. They argue that to the extent that the inventory ratio is a substitute for the
fixed - assets ratio, inventory-intensive firms should face relatively higher ETRs, as long
as these firms use the same inventory method for both book and tax purposes. This
hypothesis has been confirmed empirically by subsequent studies (e.g., Richardson and
Lanis, 2007). However, there do exist other studies that didn’t result in a statistically
significant relationship between inventory intensity and ETR (e.g., Derashid and Zhang,
Specific events during the reference period may also cause variation in the
firms’ ETRs and their determinants. Such events may be, for example, a tax reform, a
possible variations in firms’ ETRs and their association with firm’s specific
characteristics in the periods following a tax reform. For example, Gupta and Newberry
6
(1997) studied the impact of the U.S. Tax Reform Act of 1986 and Richardson and
Lanis (2007) the impact of the Australian Ralph Review of Business Taxation Reform.
On the other hand, there are no empirical studies, at least to the best of our knowledge,
that focus on other events that may have an effect on a firm’s ETR such as the beginning
A firm’s ETR has been previously reported to be affected by several other firm
characteristics. For example, the sector in which a firm operates may lead to different
rules), measures that may be implemented as policy objectives (e.g., tax exemptions for
differential tax treatment of firms operating in different sectors of the economy. Sector’s
impact on ETRs has been empirically confirmed in various studies (e.g., Stickney and
McGee, 1982; Buijink et al., 1999; Nicodeme, 2002; Derashid and Zhang, 2003;
The location of the firm has been also reported to influence the firm’s ETR.
Specifically, Vandenbussche et al. (2005) showed that a part of the variation of the
Belgians firms’ ETR can be attributed to the region that the firms operate in.
A firm’s ETR, as a function of its tax to pretax income, may also change simply
due to changes in pretax income. To control for these changes, relevant studies add a
profitability measure as a control variable. Given that holding a firm’s tax preferences
and total assets constant while increasing its profitability, will increase its ETR (Wilkie,
1988), a positive relationship between profitability and ETRs can be expected (Gupta
and Newberry, 1997; Harris and Feeny, 2003; Richardson and Lanis, 2007).
7
Other firm characteristics that may have an impact on ETRs is the extent of the
firm’s foreign operations (Stickney and McGee, 1982; Gupta and Newberry, 1997;
Buijink et al., 1999; Harris and Feeny, 2003; Rego, 2003; Janssen, 2005), the firm’s
extent of involvement in research and development (Gupta and Newberry, 1997; Buijink
et al., 1999; Harris and Feeny, 2003; Richardson and Lanis, 2007), the auditor and tax
advice expenses (Crabbe, 2010), the firm’s individual executives (Dyreng et al., 2010),
the firm’s listing on the stock market (Mills and Newberry, 2001; Cloyd et al., 1996;
Janssen, 2005; Crabbe, 2010), the firm’s ownership structure, its management
3. INSTITUTIONAL BACKGROUND
Greece is a euro-zone country with a relatively small economy. After the
outburst of the 2008 global financial crisis, the Greek economy, which is characterized
showed the first signs of recession1 and proved, over time, unprepared to tackle the
financial difficulties encountered. In such a context, Greece asked for the financial
support from the European countries and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in
April 2010. An agreement was reached in May 2010 on a policy package supported by
official financing for a total amount of €77.3 billion to be released over the period May
2010 to June 2013. In March 2012, European countries approved financing of the
second economic adjustment program for Greece. The European countries and the IMF
1
In 2008, Greece’s GDP started to decrease after an extended period of high growth rates, by 0.2% (Bank
of Greece, 2014). In the following years (2009 – 2014) GDP declined cumulatively by more than 25%. In
the same period, the unemployment rate shot up from 7.6% in 2008 to 26.1% in 2014. The cumulative
decline in total and dependent employment exceeded 18% (18.40% and 18.34%, respectively) (statistics
were retrieved from the Hellenic Statistical Authority, http://www.statistics.gr/en/statistics/eco).
8
committed the unreleased amounts of the first program plus an additional €130 billion
for the period 2012 – 2014. Finally, the current third economic adjustment program
started in August 2015 providing, through the European Stability Mechanism (ESM),
financial assistance to Greece of up to €86 billion.2 The third program expired in August
2018 and Greece has now entered into the post-program monitoring framework.
Within the framework of the stability support programs, Greece was expected to
reform tax legislation in order to meet the tax revenue targets set by the country’s
creditors. In this context, corporate income tax legislation has been under continuous
of the Greek tax system, as corporate income tax accounts for 5.2% of the total revenue
Taxation and Customs Union, 2016, p. 223-224). Moreover, the firms that are subject to
corporate income tax contribute indirectly to the public revenue through the tax
withheld on the profits distributed to their shareholders while they are also responsible
Corporate income tax legislation has undergone some major changes during the
period after the first stability support program for Greece. Among the most significant
2
More information on the stability support programs for Greece can be found at:
https://ec.europa.eu/info/business-economy-euro/economic-and-fiscal-policy-coordination/eu-financial-
assistance/which-eu-countries-have-received-assistance/financial-assistance-greece_en
9
• The statutory corporate income tax rate has increased by 45% from 2011 to
2015 (from 20% to 29%). It has changed a total number of seven times between
• The corporate income tax prepayment rate increased from 55% (2000 – 2004)
and 65% (2005-2007) to 80% (2008 – 2014). This rate increased again in 2015
• From 2010 onwards, tax audits are conducted based on a risk-analysis system
• From 2011 onwards, tax returns are submitted exclusively in electronic format,
• From 2011, certified auditors are performing a Special Tax Audit Program to
the Public Limited Liability Companies and to the Limited Liability Companies
procedure is optional from 2016 onwards). After the completion of the tax audit,
the certified auditors issue a “Tax Certificate” regarding the firm’s compliance
with the tax legislation. Based on the auditors’ recommendations, the firm may be
further audited by the tax authorities, with priority being given when reservations
issues arise.
3
Statistics were derived from the online database of http://www.forin.gr.
10
• From 2010 onwards, self-control criteria were also established, including the
• In 2011, the institution of the Public Prosecutor for Financial Crimes was
introduced. The Prosecutor is responsible for detecting tax fraud and tax evasion
• From 2010 onwards, various law provisions have been introduced towards the
taxpayers’ bank accounts to combat tax fraud and tax evasion, where necessary.
It is apparent that the changes in the Greek tax legislation have been more than
extensive after 2010 and continue even today at an unabated pace [as a matter of fact,
more than 400 major and minor changes4 have been introduced in the current Income
Tax Code (2013) during the four-year period (2013 – 2017) after its entry into force].
Recognizing the extent of the legislative changes, we seek to examine the determinants
of the variability in corporate effective tax rates before and after the beginning of the
4. DEVELOPMENT OF HYPOTHESES
This section describes the hypotheses that we will test, based on the previous
literature review, the institutional background and the specific characteristics of the
4
Statistics were derived from the online database of http://www.forin.gr.
11
Regarding firm’s size association with ETRs, it can be stated that, although there
are no direct law provisions in the Greek Income Tax Code (Income Tax Code, 2013;
Income Tax Code, 1994) that may cause variation in the ETRs of firms of different size,
there are several other reasons why such a variation can be expected. In particular, ETR
differences may occur due to provisions that differentiate firms’ tax treatment according
to their size, as, for example, the bookkeeping obligations (Greek Accounting
Standards, 2014; Code of Tax Reporting of Transactions, 2012; Code for Books and
Records, 1992), the tax exemptions of the investment laws (e.g., Investment Law, 2011)
and the existence of specific tax audit authorities for large firms (e.g., the Audit
Authority for Large Enterprises). All the above, if added to the preceding literature
review, can lead to the hypothesis that a positive relationship between firms’ ETR and
their size can be expected, taking furthermore into account that tax legislation seems to
create a less demanding environment for small and medium-sized firms in Greece
(allowing them, for example, to keep their accounting books in less detail).
The Greek Income Tax Code allows the deduction of interest from taxable
income which leads, as a result, to lower taxable income and lower tax. On the contrary,
dividends are not tax deductible. The above combination creates a favorable tax
environment for firms with higher financial leverage in Greece and therefore, in line
with previous literature, a negative relationship between ETR and financial leverage is
expected.
The Greek Income Tax Code allows firms to depreciate yearly their fixed assets
allocating their cost over their useful life, giving firms the chance to offset part of the
12
cost undertaken against future profits. Since fixed assets’ useful life may extend up to
20 years and at the same time losses can be carried forward up to 5 years, there may
exist a preferential treatment for firms that invest more in fixed assets in comparison,
for example, with firms that have to recognize the total amount of their expenses in the
period incurred. Moreover, firms in Greece enjoy specific tax exemptions provided by
investment laws when investing in property, plant and equipment. Based on the above
law provisions, we can expect a negative relationship between firms’ ETR and their
capital intensity.
Under the Greek Income Tax Code, firms are obliged to use the same inventory
method for both book and tax purposes, creating a tax - neutral environment with no
signs of differential tax treatment for inventory intensive firms. Given, though, Gupta’s
and Newberry’s (1997) hypothesis that inventory-intensive firms should face relatively
higher ETRs to the extent that the inventory ratio is a substitute for the fixed - assets
ratio, we also expect that the firm’s ETR will be positively related to its inventory
intensity.
Considering that the conditions in the Greek economy have deteriorated in the
period after the beginning of the financial crisis, it is reasonable to expect that the tax
authorities have intensified their efforts to collect tax revenue by conducting more
legislative changes have been adopted to secure corporate income tax revenue (see
Section 3). On the other hand, firms may have tried to adapt to the current financial
13
situation by engaging more in tax planning activities. A change in the mean ETR can be
therefore expected in the sub-period after the beginning of the financial crisis.
H5: Firm’s ETR are affected by the financial crisis period in Greece
Furthermore, it is also possible that the financial crisis period influenced ETRs’
association with firm’s specific characteristics (such as its size, capital intensity,
inventory intensity and financial leverage). In more detail, it can be expected that larger
firms may be more capable to adjust their strategy to the new circumstances, achieving,
as a result, lower ETRs. The same holds true for inventory-intensive firms that are
usually more flexible in comparison with capital – intensive firms that invest in the
long-run and cannot easily adapt to the changing environment. Finally, firms with
higher degree of financial leverage are expected to be more affected by the liquidity
constraints after the beginning of the financial crisis, a fact that may alter, as a result,
H5a: The association between ETR and firm’s specific characteristics (size,
financial leverage, capital and inventory intensity) is influenced by the financial crisis
period in Greece
Our sample was collected from the ICAP Databank, the largest company
over the period 2000 - 2014. The initial sample was then reduced by excluding firms
14
The initial sample included firms with missing data. These firms were removed
from the dataset resulting in a sample with firms that have data for the entire 15-year
period.5
Firms operating in the financial and insurance sector are excluded from the final
sample as they are subject to different regulation, a fact that may lead to
misinterpretations and conflicting results (Gupta and Newberry, 1997; Kim and
Based on the existing literature, we also excluded from the final sample:
1. Firms with negative ETRs (Holland, 1998; Kim and Limpaphayom, 1998;
ETR is a ratio that can be negative either due to negative tax (tax refunds)
problems.6
tax (tax refund) and negative income (loss). Similarly, these firms were
excluded from the final sample as the “false” positive ETRs may also cause
misinterpretation problems.
5
Our dataset does not allow us to examine in depth firms that did not “survive” the financial crisis as no
information is available for the exact reason of missing observations (whether, for example, there are
firms that ceased their activity during this period or firms that, for any other reason, have missing data).
6
The exclusion of these observations does not mean that the research is conducted only on profitable
firms. On the contrary, loss-making firms are still included in the sample combining negative income with
zero income tax and zero ETRs.
15
3. Firms with ETRs greater than 1, since these observations can cause model
The final sample, after the exclusion of the firms mentioned above, consists of
4,936 firms and 74,040 observations for the period 2000 - 2014. Table 1 summarizes the
5.2. Variables
The dependent variable is the corporate effective tax rate (ETR). ETRs, in micro
income tax to an income measure. Considering the available options in the literature, we
use three ETR measures. These three measures share the same numerator which is the
worldwide income tax payable.7 Three different income measures (net income before
taxes, operating result, EBITDA) have been used in the denominator of the ETR
measures. As a result, the first measure (ETR1) is defined as the ratio of worldwide
income tax payable to net income before taxes; the second measure (ETR2) is defined as
the ratio of worldwide income tax payable to operating result, and the third measure
(ETR3) is defined as the ratio of worldwide income tax payable to earnings before
7
Deferred taxation was not taken into account in the numerator of ETR as it was not allowed in Greece
during the reference period (with the exception of a small number of firms that prepare their financial
statements in accordance with IFRS).
16
Firm-specific variables are included in our study by proxies for firm size,
financial leverage, capital intensity and inventory intensity. Specifically, firm size
Capital Intensity (CAPINT) is measured as the ratio of net fixed assets to total assets.
assets.
measured as the ratio of net income before taxes to total assets. Statutory tax rates (STR)
are also included to control for their frequent change during the reference period (2000
– 2014). The dummy variable (NLO) is used to account for firms with negative income
(loss) reported in year t-1. This variable was considered necessary to take into account
form (LEGALFORM) and exporting firms (EXPORTS) are included in the specification
to account for time-invariant characteristics that may cause variation in firms’ ETR.
Finally, to assess the impact of the crisis period on corporate ETRs, a period dummy
variable (CRISIS) is included in our model. The CRISIS variable is coded 1, if the
observation is for the sub-period after the beginning of the global financial crisis, that is
2008 to 2014 or 0 otherwise, that is 2000 - 2007. The CRISIS coefficient tests the mean
change in the ETRs after the beginning of the financial crisis. Moreover, on the basis of
previous literature, four interaction terms have also been formed. These interaction
terms were calculated by multiplying the CRISIS dummy variable by each of the main
17
independent variables (SIZE, LEVERAGE, CAPINT, INVINT)8 and allow us to test for
any change in the coefficients of the independent variables after the beginning of the
financial crisis. It should be highlighted that the interaction terms significantly affect the
LEVERAGE, CAPINT, INVINT) refer to the pre-crisis period (2000-2007), while the
sum of each one of the above coefficients and the coefficient of its corresponding
interaction term refers to the period after the beginning of the financial crisis (2008-
2014).
Due to data constraints, other factors such as the firm’s extent of foreign
operations, its involvement in research and development, its auditor and tax advice
expenses, its ownership structure, its management compensation policies and its
minimum, maximum) for the three selected ETRs and the main explanatory variables.
We notice that the ETR1 has a mean of 15.2% and a median of 9.60%. ETR2 has
a mean of 14.4% and a median of 6.7% while ETR3 has a mean of 8.8% and a median of
0.9%. Considering that the three ETR measures have the same numerator (worldwide
income tax payable) and the denominators are respectively the net income before taxes
(ETR1), the operating result (ETR2) and the EBITDA (ETR3), it is reasonable that on
average ETR1 is greater than ETR2 and ETR2 is greater than ETR3. These statistics
8
For an overview of the variables, see Tables A1 – A3 in the Appendix.
18
indicate, in other words, that the sample firms pay on average 15.2% of their net income
before taxes as income tax, 14.4% of their operating result and 8.8% of their EBITDA.
Concerning the independent variables, SIZE has a mean of 14.28 and a median
of 14.22, LEVERAGE has a mean of 0.066 and a median of 0, CAPINT has a mean of
0.41 and a median of 0.347, and INVINT has a mean of 0.131 and median of 0.427.
Moving on to the analysis of the categorical variables, we can also make some
particularly interesting observations. For example, ETR1 ranges on average from 4.6%
in Arts, Entertainment and Recreation sector to 22.4% in Human Health and Social
Work Activities sector. Similarly, ETR1 appears to be lower on average in the Greek
Islands (6.9% in the Ionian Islands, 7.8% in Crete and 9.5% in the Aegean Islands) and
higher in Continental Greece, the area which includes, Athens, the capital city of Greece
(18.6%). We also notice that the limited liability companies (EPE) face on average
about 5% higher ETR1 than the public limited liability companies (AE) (19.9% to
14.9%). Similar results are obtained when examining the other two ETR measures.9
Another interesting point to consider is that the mean ETR1 decreases from
18.1% in the pre-crisis period (2000 - 2007) to 12.9% in the period after the beginning
of the financial crisis (2008 – 2014). Building on this observation, we notice that the
dependent variables (ETR1, ETR2, ETR3) differ between the two periods (2000 – 2007
and 2008 – 2014) significantly at the 1% level (see the two-sample tests in Table 2
above).
emphasizing that there is a positive correlation between SIZE and ETRs as well as
between INVINT and ETRs. On the other hand, there is a negative correlation between
9
Detailed tables are available upon request.
19
CAPINT and ETRs and LEVERAGE and ETRs. A conclusion that can be reached is that
CAPINT and INVΙΝΤ which are negatively correlated may act as substitutes in our
sample, a finding that may be useful for explaining the relationship between ETR and
inventory intensity.
specification:
l −1
+ a12 k REGION ik + a13 CRISIS t * SIZE it + a14 CRISIS t * LEVERAGE it
k =1
where the dependent variable, ETRzit, is the corporate effective tax rate proxy. The
independent variables include proxies for firm size (SIZE), financial leverage
(ROA), corporate statutory income tax rates (STR), a dummy variable for firms with net
operating losses in year t-1 (NLO), sector (SECTOR), location (REGION), legal form
unobserved specific error is denoted by i and it is the usual error term (observation
specific error). The subscripts denote the three alternative proxies that are used for
effective tax rates (z), the sector (j), the location (k), the time dimension (t), and the firm
20
(i). Finally, q and l denote the number of sectors and the number of regions,
respectively.
Given the fact that our specification contains four time-invariant variables
variables, the most appropriate estimation method is the one proposed by Hausman and
Taylor (1981). More specifically, a fixed-effects model is not suitable for this case as all
specification. On the other hand, a random-effects model allows the inclusion of time-
invariant variables in the specification. It is based, though, on the hypothesis that the
variable, which is not true in our case; according to the literature, a bi-directional
causality between ETR and some of the independent variables most probably exists. At
first, analyzing the relationship between ETR and LEVERAGE and, given that interest
expenses are tax deductible, it is possible that firms with high marginal tax rates are
more likely to use debt financing, reversing in that way the cause – effect examined
relationship. In the same context, it has been noted that low ETRs may cause lower
Moreover, it has been empirically proved that the ETRs affect the size distribution of
firms (Heshmati et al., 2010). We also believe that total assets, which are used as a
proxy for firm’s size, are most probably correlated with the unobserved time-invariant
random variable through omitted variables that cannot be included in our model due to
data constraints (e.g., corporate culture). On the same basis, statutory tax rates as well
the firm’s net operating losses have been reported to be correlated with firm’s tax
reporting aggressiveness (e.g., Clotfelter, 1983 and Frank et al., 2009, respectively).
21
Given that our specification does not account for the firm’s overall attitude towards
aggressive tax reporting, these two variables may also correlate with the model error
term.
For all these reasons, SIZE, LEVERAGE, CAPINT, INVINT, STR, NLO and ROA
should be all treated as endogenous variables. The same holds for the interaction terms
results are based on a sample of 4,936 firms operating in Greece for the period 2000 -
2014 (74,040 observations). The test of our hypotheses is based on equation (1).
All of the regression models in Table 4 are statistically significant at less than
the 0.01 level as the Wald tests reject the hypothesis that the estimated coefficients are
As regards the ETR determinants, we find that the corporate ETRs in Greece
vary with specific firm characteristics such as the firm’s size, financial leverage, capital
More specifically, the results indicate that larger firms face higher ETRs than
smaller firms. This positive association between ETR and SIZE, which is significant at
the 1% level (p < 0.01), is consistent with the hypothesis H1 and the political cost
theory, implying that larger firms in Greece cannot escape the tax authority’s attention
22
and are not capable of exploiting their power to reduce their tax burden, at least not to a
considerable degree. One other possible explanation for this result is that larger firms
may downplay the goal of reducing their tax liability in favor of the impression of
financial soundness that needs to be given to the firm’s stakeholders (e.g., shareholders,
creditors). As a result, larger firms are taxed at higher ETRs than smaller firms.
Taking into consideration that the sample’s firms are diverse in size, the
investigation of this relationship within different size groups is of particular interest. For
this purpose, we divided our sample into three subsamples according to the size
series of regressions based on equation (1). The results (see Table A7) show that the
relationship between ETR and SIZE maintains its sign and its statistical significance
(p<0.01) in every subsample examined. This finding definitely strengthens our main
results by proving that this positive relationship can be confirmed both between and
statistically weak and negative association with ETR, failing to confirm H2 hypothesis.
This negative relationship is an indication that firms preferring debt to equity financing
face lower effective tax rates; a conclusion that would be reasonable, considering that
interest is deductible from taxable income whereas dividends are not. However, there
seems to be other factors that affect this relationship. In this respect, we classified firms
according to the level of their financial leverage into two groups: over and under-
10
The three subsamples examined, consisted exclusively of very small, small and medium-large
enterprises, respectively. Medium and large enterprises were treated as one size group due to their
relatively lower sample representation.
23
leveraged firms.11 We divided then our sample into two subsamples and we estimated
two regressions based on equation (1). The results (see Table A8) show that this
significant for the over-leveraged firms. On the contrary, this relationship is negative
and statistically significant at 1% level (p<0.01) when only the under-leveraged firms
are examined. This finding implies that the under-leveraged firms achieve lower
effective tax rates when their financial leverage increases. In other words, the expected
level of financial leverage. This comes as no surprise taking into account the trade-off
theory (Kraus and Litzenberger, 1973) which suggests that there is an optimal level of
leverage between the tax benefits of debt and the bankruptcy penalties. In this context,
firms that exceed this optimal level are expected not to engage in debt financing at least
not for tax purposes. This is most probably the reason why this negative relationship
between ETR and LEVERAGE weakens substantially when examined above an average
Exploring further this relationship and bearing in mind Graham and Tucker’s
(2006) finding that firms use less debt when they engage in aggressive tax planning, we
also examine whether there exists any association between tax risk, financial leverage
and corporate effective tax rates. For this purpose, we included in our model a variable
to control for firm’s tax risk (TAXRISK)12 and repeated the multiple regression analysis
specifically for the under-leveraged firms. The results (see Table A9) indicate that the
11
Firms were defined as over-leveraged if the firm’s average financial leverage throughout the reference
period is above the total average and under-leveraged otherwise.
12
According to Guenther et al. (2013), tax risk, as a measure of firm’s ETR volatility, can be proxied by
the standard deviation of the firm’s ETR over the reference period.
24
association between ETR and LEVERAGE remains negative and statistically significant
(p<0.01) for these firms even after controlling for the firm’s tax risk, a fact that
For the capital intensity measure (CAPINT), the results indicate that it has a
significant negative association with ETR (p<0.01). This finding is consistent with H3
hypothesis, proving that there exists a preferential tax treatment for firms that invest in
their fixed assets in Greece. We believe that Income Tax Code’s provisions for assets’
depreciation and the tax exemptions provided by investment laws have a key role in this
independent variables.
negative association between INVINT and ETR (p < 0.01), a finding that contradicts H4
hypothesis and consequently Gupta’s and Newberry’s (1997) hypothesis. This negative
association is observed despite the fact that the underlying assumption of Gupta’s and
Newberry’s hypothesis, that inventory intensity ratio is a substitute for the capital
intensity ratio, does also apply to our sample (see Table 3). It needs to be mentioned
though that there are also other factors that may have an impact on this relationship,
which were not taken into account in previous research as, for example, inventory’s
faster than sales, a price reduction will follow leading to lower sales revenue and
income and consequently to lower tax. This relationship has been confirmed empirically
in the past when Bernard and Noel (1991) found that increases in inventory translate
into lower prices and lower net income. Examining this relationship in our dataset, we
25
notice that inventory growth is about two times greater on average than sales growth
(see Table A4 in the Appendix), a finding that could probably explain the negative
association between ETR and INVINT, especially taking into account that we also
increase in INVINT will automatically lead to increased storage costs, reducing therefore
the firm’s taxable income and its income tax. Last but not least, it can be stated that an
increase in INVINT is a sign of inefficient use of firm’s resources. In this context, firms
seem not to be able to allocate their resources in more profitable investments, a fact that
Proceeding with the effect of statutory corporate income tax rates on ETR, there
exists a statistically significant positive association (p<0.01) between the two variables.
This finding can be considered reasonable, since, as the statutory tax rate increases, the
corporate effective tax rate increases too. It is interesting, though, that the coefficient of
STR does not imply a total positive effect (specifically, a 1% increase in the STR leads
to a 0.42% increase of ETR1), a fact that is, undoubtedly, a useful finding for
policymakers.
(p<0.01) between the reporting of financial losses in year t-1 and the ETR in year t. This
result was also expected, as firms are allowed to carry their losses forward reducing,
Finally, as regards the firm’s profitability (ROA) which is included in our model
statistical significance, though, only for our basic dependent variable (ETR1).
26
It is important to highlight the fact that the coefficients of three independent
variables (SIZE, CAPINT, INVINT) maintain their sign and statistical significance at the
1% level for all three ETR measures (see Table 4). This observation can be regarded as
EXPORTS), we also get some interesting results. First, sector seems to have a
significant impact on ETRs as most sectors appear to significantly differ from the
reference sector (Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing) at the 1% level. For example, firms
operating in sectors with the highest gross value added in the economy (e.g., Real Estate
Activities, Wholesale & Retail Trade etc.) face significantly higher effective tax rates
than firms in the reference sector. On the contrary, firms in the Agriculture, Forestry
and Fishing sector face the lowest ETRs in the Greek economy. As regards the location
in which the firm operates, it appears that it is also significantly associated with the
firm’s ETR. For example, firms that operate in Continental Greece (the region in which
Athens, the capital city of Greece, is located in) and Macedonia face higher ETRs than
firms in Thrace (the region used for reference). This variation is not surprising since
there are different law provisions and indications of favorable administrative treatment
for firms operating in specific areas of Greece (for a detailed presentation of sector and
The firm’s legal form also seems to have a significant impact on ETR.
Specifically, limited liability companies (EPE) appear to face higher ETRs than public
limited liability companies (AE). Considering that the tax law framework was almost
the same for these two types of firms in the reference period, this difference could be
attributed to the fact that the directors of the public limited liability companies are
27
accountable to the shareholders to a greater extent than the directors of limited liability
companies who are usually simultaneously the sole shareholders of the company. In this
context, public limited liability companies most likely engage in aggressive tax
planning activities in an effort to reduce the firm’s tax burden and maximize the
shareholders’ wealth.
Finally, the association between ETRs and whether the firm exports or not is, in
general, insignificant.
The examination of the crisis variables also leads to some interesting results. At
first, the CRISIS variable has a positive coefficient, with varying, though, statistical
significance. This result denotes that, ceteris paribus, firms’ ETRs increased in the
period after the beginning of the financial crisis (2008-2014), compared with the pre-
crisis period (2000-2007), proving that, in accordance with hypothesis H5, the financial
This result comes as no surprise taking into account the extent of the legislative
changes that occurred after the beginning of the financial crisis in Greece and especially
after the signing of the first stability support program for Greece (see Section 3).
two dummy variables in order to split the period under consideration into three sub-
periods: the pre-crisis period (2000-2007), the period exactly after the beginning of the
financial crisis (2008-2009) and the period after the signing of the first Memorandum of
Economic and Financial Policies between Greece and the European Commission, the
European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund (2010-2014). Based on
equation (1), we estimated then another multiple regression, the results of which (see
28
Table A10) confirm that the ETRs increased in the period after the beginning of the
financial crisis. We further found that the regression coefficient was about 9% higher in
the third period (2010-2014) compared to the second period (2008-2009), a finding that
shows that ETRs were even higher in the period after the signing of the first stability
We can therefore confirm that the sign of this relationship remains stable
throughout the financial crisis period and is furthermore strengthened after the
This finding can be regarded reasonable if one considers the legislative changes
and the intensive efforts of the tax authorities to meet the tax revenue targets set by the
country’s creditors.13 Among others, the conduction of tax audits based on a risk –
certified auditors as well as the obligation of tax practitioners to exclude the firms’ non-
tax-deductible expenses, the introduction of the Public Prosecutor for Financial Crimes,
the obligatory payment of business transactions through the banking system and the
abolishment of banking secrecy do not facilitate tax evasion and may, in particular,
explain why the ETRs are higher in Greece after the beginning of the financial crisis.
of view, the corporate income tax revenue (either measured as an absolute number or as
a percentage of the overall tax revenue) dropped substantially in the period after the
13
We do not take into account the several changes in the political landscape in Greece during the
financial crisis period, as the government’s fiscal policy was always in accordance with the creditor’s
demands and remained therefore mostly unchanged especially during the period 2010-2014.
29
beginning of the financial crisis.14 This reduction can be explained by the general
collapse of business activity or the increased number of firms that went out of business.
It is, though, indicative that the mix of measures that the Greek government decided to
irrespective of the fact that our results show that ETRs (examined on a strictly
With respect to the hypothesis H5a, we seek to examine how the association
between the main independent variables and ETRs changed after the beginning of the
financial crisis. To this end, we included in equation (1) four interaction terms that have
been formed by multiplying the CRISIS dummy variable by each of the main
we can at first highlight that three out of the four interaction terms (CRISIS*SIZE,
CRISIS*CAPINT and CRISIS*INVINT) are significant at the 1% level for ETR1 and
implying that the effect of SIZE on ETRs decreased in the sub-period after the beginning
of the financial crisis. In this context, larger firms benefited after the beginning of the
financial crisis, as a unit increase of the SIZE measure in the period 2008-2014 leads to
a smaller increase of the ETR, in comparison with the pre-crisis period. This result can
be attributed to the fact that these firms may have decided to engage more aggressively
in tax planning in their effort to ensure that they will not pay more than the tax law
14
Statistics were retrieved from https://www.minfin.gr/web/guest/proupologismos (Yearly State
Budgets).
30
Moreover, CRISIS*INVINT is also negative and significant (p<0.01 for ETR1)
suggesting that inventory intensive firms enjoyed a tax benefit in the sub-period after
the beginning of the financial crisis. On the other hand, CRISIS*CAPINT is positive and
significant (p<0.01 for ETR1) which means that firms with higher degrees of investment
in fixed assets encountered a lower decrease in their ETRs in the 2008-2014 period in
comparison with the pre-crisis period. Inventory-intensive firms seem to be better able
to adapt in the sub-period after the beginning of the financial crisis in comparison with
capital intensive firms. This may be due to the fact that capital intensive firms are
investing in the long-term and cannot easily alter their activities to reduce their taxable
meaningful inference.
Based on the above discussion, we also need to note that the principle of tax
equity is still under question after the beginning of the financial crisis in Greece.
Specifically, and despite the extensive legislative changes that have been adopted, there
exist a number of factors (such as the firm’s size and its investment choices) that have
an impact on the firms’ ETRs. It is exactly that fact that drives the tax system away from
the goal of tax equity as larger firms or firms that prefer to invest in their inventory
To assess the possible bias that we would have experienced without using a
Hausman-Taylor random effects model, we also estimated a pooled OLS regression for
all three ETR measures, an estimation method that was widely used in the previous
31
described in the subsection 6.1 resulting, as a matter of fact, in different estimations in
terms of coefficients’ sign, magnitude and statistical significance. We believe that this
methodology may have been the main reason for the conflicting results of previous
studies. Due to space limitations, detailed results of this analysis are available upon
request.
7. CONCLUSION
effective tax rates (ETRs) before and during the financial crisis period (2000-2014) in
We find that that the corporate income tax burden in Greece is unequally
distributed across different types of firms as we find strong evidence that specific firm
characteristics such as the firm’s size, its financial leverage and its capital and inventory
intensity, influence the level of the corporate effective tax rates. More specifically, we
find that larger firms in Greece face higher ETRs than smaller ones, a result that implies
that these firms are not capable of exploiting their power to reduce their tax burden, at
least not to a considerable degree. The results also indicate that the expected negative
association between ETR and financial leverage can be confirmed only for the under-
leveraged firms in Greece, a finding that comes as no surprise taking into account the
optimal level of leverage that the firms seek to achieve considering the tax benefits of
debt and the bankruptcy penalties (trade-off theory). Moreover, the firm’s capital
intensity is negatively associated with ETR, confirming the hypothesis that the tax
framework is favorable for firms that invest in fixed assets. A negative and significant
association also exists between inventory intensity and ETR, a finding that denotes that
firms that invest in their inventory face, ceteris paribus, lower ETRs. Furthermore, there
32
exist significant associations between ETR and statutory corporate income tax rates, the
reporting of financial losses in the preceding year, the sector in which the firm operates,
its location and its legal form. With regard to the effect of the financial crisis period on
ETRs, we observed that the firms’ ETRs increased in the sub-period after the beginning
of the financial crisis (2008-2014), a finding that can be considered reasonable if one
considers the legislative changes and the intensive efforts of the tax authorities to meet
the tax revenue targets set by the country’s creditors. Analyzing further this effect, we
concluded that larger firms, as well as inventory intensive firms, benefited in the sub-
period after the beginning of the financial crisis. On the contrary, firms with higher
degrees of investment in fixed assets encountered a lower decrease in their ETRs in the
same period.
Policymakers can build on this analysis whether their goal is to secure tax
revenue or to remove distortions that undermine the neutrality of the tax system and
emphasis should be put on firms that face lower ETRs on a regular basis; a broadening
of the tax base is of crucial importance especially during the recession period that
Greece is currently going through. Moreover, firms that face regularly higher ETRs
specific activities must be made explicit to policymakers. Given the conclusion reached
that the corporate income tax in Greece is not levied neutrally, it needs to be
promote specific activities) or if it has occurred over time and needs to be adjusted.
Moreover, the results of our analysis can help policymakers, both inside and outside
Greece, to assess the effectiveness of their interventions and estimate whether these
33
interventions are sufficient, towards the right direction or not enough. Finally, the
preceding analysis could also be useful from the firms’ point of view, as the factors that
determine the corporate ETRs such as the sector and location in which a firm operates
Several issues can be incorporated in future research. Firstly, this study could be
extended to general and limited partnerships that make up the majority of firms
operating in Greece. Given that these data are not publicly available as these firms are
not obliged to publish their financial statements, that kind of research requires data
Secretariat for Public Revenue). Secondly, given the fact that there are sectors of the
economy and regions of the country that appear to be more resilient or vulnerable to the
financial crisis (see, for example, Psycharis et al., 2014), an issue that can be further
explored is the way the ETRs and their determinants vary before and during the
financial crisis in these specific sectors and regions. Thirdly, apart from the independent
and control variables that we incorporated in our study, there may also exist other
factors that have an impact on corporate ETRs. For example, the effect of the firm’s
international operations, its involvement in research and development or its auditor and
tax advice expenses were not examined in this study due to data constraints. Future
REFERENCES
Adhikari, A., Derashid, C., and Zhang, H., 2006. “Public policy, political connections,
and effective tax rates: Longitudinal evidence from Malaysia.” Journal of
Accounting and Public Policy 25(5), 574-595.
34
Bank of Greece, 2014. “The chronicle of the great crisis 2008 - 2013” Available at:
http://www.bankofgreece.gr/BogEkdoseis/The%20Chronicle%20Of%20The%20Gre
at%20Crisis.pdf
Bernard, V., and Noel, J., 1991. “Do inventory disclosures predict sales and earnings?”
Journal of Accounting, Auditing, and Finance 6, 145-181.
Buijink, W., Janssen, B., and Schols, Y., 1999. “Corporate effective tax rates in the
European Union.” Maastricht, MARC research report. Available at
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.40.7361&rep=rep1&type=
pdf
Clotfelter, C.T., 1983. “Tax evasion and tax rates: An analysis of individual returns.”
The Review of Economics and Statistics 65(3), 363-373.
Cloyd, B., Pratt, J., and Stock, T., 1996. “The use of financial accounting choice to
support aggressive tax positions: Public and private firms.” Journal of Accounting
Research 34(1), 23-43.
Code for Books and Records of 1992. Pub. L. No. 186, A 84 Government Gazette.
1621-1641 (2012). Retrieved January 20, 2016, from
http://www.forin.gr/laws/law/6/kwdikas-bibliwn-kai-stoixeiwn
Code of Tax Reporting of Transactions of 2012. Pub. L. No. 4093, A 167 Government
Gazette. 5543-5559 (2014). Retrieved January 20, 2016, from
http://www.forin.gr/laws/law/16/kwdikas-forologia-eisodhmatos
Crabbe, K., 2010. “The impact of the auditor and tax advice on the effective tax rate.”
University of Leuven, Department of Accountancy, Finance and Insurance.
Available at https://lirias.kuleuven.be/bitstream/123456789/289353/1/AFI_1050.pdf
Derashid, C., and Zhang, H., 2003. “Effective tax rates and the industry policy
hypothesis: Evidence from Malaysia.” Journal of International Accounting, Auditing
and Taxation 12, 45-62.
Dyreng, S.D., Hanlon, M., and Maydew, E.L., 2010. “The Effects of Executives on
Corporate Tax Avoidance”. The Accounting Review 85(4), 1163-1189.
European Commission, DG Taxation & Customs Union (2016). Taxation Trends in the
European Union. Data for the EU Member States, Iceland and Norway: 2016
edition. Available at:
http://ec.europa.eu/taxation_customs/sites/taxation/files/resources/documents/taxatio
n/gen_info/economic_analysis/tax_structures/2016/econ_analysis_report_2016.pdf
Frank, M.M., Lynch, L.J., and Rego, S.O., 2009. “Tax reporting aggressiveness and its
relation to aggressive financial reporting.” The Accounting Review 84(2), 467-496.
35
General Secretariat for Public Revenue, 2015. Statistics of Tax Audits and Collections
by Departmental Unit. Retrieved December 21, 2015, from
http://www.publicrevenue.gr/kpi/public/report/2015/18/0000/
Graham, J.R., and Tucker, A.L., 2006. “Tax shelters and corporate debt policy.”
Journal of Financial Economics 81(3), 563-594.
Greek Accounting Standards of 2014. Pub. L. No. 4308, A 222 Government Gazette.
7651-7741 (2015). Retrieved January 20, 2016, from
http://www.forin.gr/laws/law/9/kwdikas-forologikhs-apeikonishs-sunallagwn
Greek tonnage tax regime of 1975. Pub. L. No. 27, A 77 Government Gazette. 399-405
(2015). Retrieved January 20, 2016, from http://www.forin.gr/laws/law/2442/peri-
forologias-ploiwn
Guenther, D.A., Matsunaga, S.R., and Williams, B.M., 2013. “Tax avoidance, tax
aggressiveness, tax risk and firm risk.” Working Paper. Available at:
https://business.illinois.edu/accountancy/wp-content/uploads/sites/12/2014/10/Tax-
2013-Guenther.pdf
Gupta, S., and Newberry, K., 1997. “Determinants of the variability in corporate
effective tax rates: Evidence from longitudinal data.” Journal of Accounting and
Public Policy 16, 1-34.
Harris, M.N., and Feeny, S., 2003. “Habit persistence in effective tax rates.” Applied
Economics 35(8), 951-958.
Hausman, J.A., and Taylor, W.E., 1981. “Panel data and unobservable individual
effects.” Econometrica 49, 1377-1398.
Heshmati, A., Johansson, D., and Bjuggren, C.M., 2010. “Effective corporate tax rates
and the size distribution of firms.” Journal of Industry, Competition and Trade 10(3-
4), 297-317.
Holland, K., 1998. “Accounting policy choice: The relationship between corporate tax
burdens and company size.” Journal of Business Finance & Accounting 25, 265-288.
Income Tax Code of 1994. Pub. L. No. 2238, A 151 Government Gazette. 1767-1898
(2013). Retrieved January 20, 2016, from http://www.forin.gr/laws/law/17/kurwsh-
tou-kwdika-forologias-eisodhmatos
Income Tax Code of 2013. Pub. L. No. 4172, A 167 Government Gazette. 2457-2516
(2015). Retrieved January 20, 2016, from http://www.forin.gr/laws/law/16/kwdikas-
forologia-eisodhmatos
36
International Accounting Standards Board, 2016a. International Accounting Standard
16. “Property, plant and equipment”. Retrieved January 20, 2016, from Eur-Lex
(http://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX:02008R1126-
20150112).
Investment Law of 2011. Pub. L. No. 3908, A 8 Government Gazette. 39-54 (2015).
Retrieved January 20, 2016, from http://www.forin.gr/laws/law/2450/law-3908-2011
Janssen, B., 2005. “Corporate effective tax rates in the Netherlands.” De Economist
153(1), 47-66.
Janssen, B., and Buijnk, W., 2000. “Determinants of the variability of corporate
effective tax rates: Evidence for the Netherlands.” MARC Working Paper, 2000-08.
Kern, B.B., and Morris, M.H., 1992. “Taxes and firm size: The effect of tax legislation
during the 1980s.” Journal of the American Taxation Association 14(1), 80-96.
Kim, A., and Limpaphayom, P., 1998. “Taxes and firm size in Pacific-Basin emerging
economies.” Journal of International Accounting, Auditing and Taxation 7(1), 47-68.
Kraus, A., and Litzenberger, R.H., 1973. “A state-preference model of optimal financial
leverage.” The Journal of Finance 28(4), 911-922.
Mills, L., and Newberry, K.J., 2001. “The influence of tax and nontax costs on book-tax
reporting differences: Public and private firms.” Journal of the American Taxation
Association 23, 1-19.
Nicodeme, G., 2001. “Computing effective corporate tax rates: Comparison and
results.” European Commission, Economic Papers 153.
Nicodeme, G., 2002. “Sector and size effects on effective corporate taxation.” European
Commission, Economic papers 175.
Nicodeme, G., 2007. “Do large companies have lower effective corporate tax rates? A
European survey.” CEB Working Paper, 07-001, Université Libre de Bruxelles,
Solvay Business School, Centre Emile Bernheim (CEB).
37
Psycharis, Y., Kallioras, D., and Pantazis, P., 2014. “Economic crisis and regional
resilience in Greece.” Regional Science Policy & Practice 6(2), 121-141.
Richardson, G., and Lanis, R., 2007. “Determinants of the variability in corporate
effective tax rates and tax reform: Evidence from Australia.” Journal of Accounting
and Public Policy 26, 689-704.
Siegfried, J.J., 1972. “The relationship between economic structure and the effect of
political influence: Empirical evidence from the corporation income tax program.”
PhD. Dissertation, University of Wisconsin.
Stickney, C.P., and McGee, V.E., 1982. “Effective corporate tax rates: The effect of
size, capital intensity, leverage, and other factors.” Journal of Accounting and Public
Policy 1(2), 125-152.
Vandenbussche, H., and Tan, C., 2005. “Taxation of multinationals: Firm level
evidence for Belgium.” LICOS Discussion Paper, No. 160.
Vandenbussche, H., Crabbe, K., and Janssen, B., 2005. “Is there regional tax
competition? Firm level evidence for Belgium.” De Economist 153(3), 257-276.
Watts, R.L., and Zimmerman, J.L., 1986. Positive Accounting Theory, Prentice-Hall,
London
Wilkie, P., 1988. “Corporate average effective tax rates and inferences about relative tax
preferences.” Journal of the American Taxation Association 10(1), 75-88.
Wilkie, P.J., and Limberg, S.T., 1990. “The relationship between firm size and effective
tax rates: A reconciliation of Zimmerman (1983) and Porcano (1986).” Journal of the
American Taxation Association 11(1), 76-91.
Zimmerman, J., 1983. “Taxes and firm size.” Journal of Accounting and Economics 5,
119-149.
38
TABLES
Table 1
Sample Construction
All firms in ICAP Databank 53,235
- Firms with missing data and/or no continuous activity in
43,362
the reference period
- Financial Firms, Insurance Companies 228
- Firms 4,709
o with negative ETRs
o with negative tax (tax refund) and negative
income (loss)
o with ETRs>1
Table 2
Descriptive Statistics
Two -
Two - sample
Standard sample t- Wilcoxon -
Mean Median Min Max
Deviation value test Mann -
(1)
Whitney test
(1)
39
(2): 62 out of 74,040 LEVERAGE observations (about 0.08% of the total number of observations) are
greater than 1, referring to firms with high accumulated losses in their balance sheets and thus, medium –
long term liabilities greater than their total assets.
40
Table 3
Pairwise Correlations among variables
ETR1 ETR2 ETR3 SIZE LEVERAGE CAPINT INVINT
ETR1 1.000
ETR2 0.910*** 1.000
ETR3 0.780*** 0.822*** 1.000
SIZE 0.141*** 0.137*** 0.065*** 1.000
LEVERAGE -0.097*** -0.099*** -0.125*** 0.136*** 1.000
CAPINT -0.344*** -0.337*** -0.360*** -0.045*** 0.135*** 1.000
INVINT 0.132*** 0.128*** 0.065*** 0.152*** -0.045*** -0.463*** 1.000
Notes: ***, ** and * indicate significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% level, respectively.
41
Table 4
Panel A: Hausman – Taylor Estimates of effective tax rates on various firm
characteristics over the period 2000 - 2014 (n = 4,936)
Equation (1)
Predicted
Sign ETR1 ETR2 ETR3
42
Sector 6
0.0780*** 0.0778*** 0.0493***
(Wholesale & Retail +/-
(7.86) (8.01) (7.59)
Trade)
Sector 3 0.0571*** 0.0611*** 0.0302***
+/-
(Manufacturing) (5.74) (6.26) (4.62)
Sector 14
(Public administration
and defence; +/- 0.0646** 0.0682** 0.0636**
(1.99) (2.01) (2.19)
compulsory social
security)
Region 4 0.0602*** 0.0558*** 0.0358***
+/-
(Continental Greece) (6.45) (5.75) (5.46)
Region 2 0.0467*** 0.0408*** 0.0197***
+/-
(Macedonia) (4.86) (4.09) (2.91)
0.0240*** 0.2283*** 0.0309***
LEGAL FORM +/-
(4.89) (4.71) (6.61)
-0.0026 -0.0051 -0.0080***
EXPORTS -
(-0.70) (-1.44) (-2.64)
Sargan-Hansen Test 1.011 3.055 0.658
[p-value] [0.3146] [0.0805] [0.4173]
R2 0.2218 0.2163 0.2265
No. of firms 4,928 4,928 4,927
No. of observations 62,800 62,796 53,176
Notes: Dependent variables: ETR1, ETR2, ETR3. ETR1 is defined as the ratio of worldwide income tax
payable to net income before taxes; ETR2, is defined as the ratio of worldwide income tax payable to
operating result; ETR3, is defined as the ratio of worldwide income tax payable to earnings before
43
interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA). ETRs cannot be defined when the
denominator (net income before taxes, operating result or EBITDA) is equal to zero. Independent and
control variables: SIZE, CAPINT, INVINT, CAPINT, STR, ROA. SIZE is measured as the natural
logarithm of total assets; LEVERAGE is measured as the ratio of medium-long-term liabilities to total
assets; CAPINT is measured as the ratio of net fixed assets to total assets; INVINT is measured as the
ratio of end-year’s inventory to total assets; STR represents the year’s statutory tax rate. ROA is
measured as the ratio of net income before taxes to total assets. Categorical variables: NLO, SECTOR,
REGION, LEGALFORM, EXPORTS, CRISIS. The variable NLO equals 1, if the firm reports net
financial losses in year t-1, 0 otherwise. The variable CRISIS equals 1, if year = 2008-2014, 0
otherwise. For an overview of the variables, see Tables A1 – A3 in the Appendix. The sectors
presented in this table are the ones with the highest gross value added in the economy. The regions
presented in this table are the most-populated regions of Greece. For a detailed sector – location
analysis, see tables A5 and A6 in the Appendix.
Interaction terms: CRISIS*SIZE, CRISIS*LEVERAGE, CRISIS*CAPINT, CRISIS*INVINT.
LEVERAGE, SIZE, CAPINT, INVINT, STR, NLO, ROA and the interaction terms are treated as
endogenous variables.
***, ** and * indicate significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% level, respectively. t-statistics are reported
in parentheses (robust standard errors were used so as to correct for the presence of heteroscedasticity
and autocorrelation within panels). Coefficients are rounded to the fourth decimal place.
Variables used as instruments: SECTOR, REGION, LEGALFORM, EXPORTS, CRISIS
The validity of our instruments is tested by Sargan-Hansen test. The null hypothesis indicates that the
over-identified restrictions are valid (a p-value greater than 0.01 signifies that the null is not rejected at
1% level of significance).
44
APPENDIX
Table A1
Variables
ETR1 Worldwide Income Tax Payable / Net Income Before Taxes
ETR2 Worldwide Income Tax Payable/ Operating Result
ETR3 Worldwide Income Tax Payable/ EBITDA
SIZE LN (Assets)
LEVERAGE Medium – Long term liabilities / Total Assets
CAPINT Net Fixed Assets / Total Assets
INVINT Inventory / Total Assets
ROA Net Income Before Taxes / Total Assets
STR Statutory Corporate Income Tax Rate
NLO 1, if firm reports financial losses in year t-1, 0 otherwise
SECTOR See Table A2
REGION See Table A3
CRISIS 1, if year = 2008 - 2014, 0 if year = 2000 - 2007
CRISIS * SIZE Interaction Term
CRISIS * LEVERAGE Interaction Term
CRISIS * CAPINT Interaction Term
CRISIS * INVINT Interaction Term
LEGALFORM 1 for Limited Liability Companies (EPE), 0 for Public Limited
Liability Companies (AE)
EXPORTS 1, if the firm is exporting, 0 otherwise
Table A2
Sectors
45
Regions
Region 1 Thrace
Region 2 Macedonia
Region 3 Epirus
Region 4 Continental Greece
Region 5 Peloponnese
Region 6 Aegean Islands
Region 7 Ionian Islands
Region 8 Crete
Region 9 Thessaly
Table A4
Statistics for Firms’ Sales Growth & Inventory Growth
Variable Obs Mean
Sales Growth 63,351 39.48%
Inventory Growth 48,885 88.15%
Notes: Sales Growth is calculated as the annual percentage change of firm’s turnover. Inventory Growth is
calculated as the annual percentage change of firm’s end-of-year’s inventory.
Table A5
Hausman – Taylor Estimates of effective tax rates on various sectors over the period
2000 - 2014 (n = 4,936)
Equation (1)
Sector ETR1 ETR2 ETR3
0,0276 0,0464*** 0,0177
2
(1,43) (2,57) (1,35)
0,0571*** 0,0611*** 0,0302***
3
(5,74) (6,26) (4,62)
0,0426 0,0685* 0,0433*
4
(1,33) (1,82) (1,84)
0,066*** 0,0814*** 0,0681***
5
(3,16) (3,42) (4,91)
0,078*** 0,0778*** 0,0493***
6
(7,86) (8,01) (7,59)
0,0484*** 0,0555*** 0,0445***
7
(3,96) (4,52) (4,83)
46
0,0445*** 0,0518*** 0,0410***
8
(4,40) (5,23) (6,13)
0,0572*** 0,0587*** 0,0308***
9
(4,68) (4,81) (3,62)
0,0881*** 0,0936*** 0,0923***
11
(7,07) (7,68) (9,78)
0,0647*** 0,0678*** 0,0530***
12
(5,50) (5,88) (6,32)
0,0367*** 0,0381*** 0,0307***
13
(3,33) (3,54) (4,00)
0,0646** 0,0682** 0,0636**
14
(1,99) (2,01) (2,19)
0,1105*** 0,1125*** 0,0845***
15
(7,65) (8,03) (7,72)
-0,0088 -0,0039 0,0009
16
(-0,37) (-0,18) (0,07)
0,0462** 0,0523** 0,0247*
17
(2,18) (2,38) (1,92)
0,0946*** 0,0854*** 0,0459***
18
(5,88) (5,48) (3,94)
0,0511*** 0,0541*** 0,0471***
19
(4,50) (4,88) (5,93)
Notes: Dependent variables: ETR1, ETR2, ETR3. ETR1 is defined as the ratio of worldwide income tax payable
to net income before taxes; ETR2, is defined as the ratio of worldwide income tax payable to operating result;
ETR3, is defined as the ratio of worldwide income tax payable to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation
and amortization (EBITDA). Sector 1 is the reference sector. For sectors’ definition, see Table A2.
***, ** and * indicate significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% level, respectively. t-statistics are reported in
parentheses (robust standard errors were used so as to correct for the presence of heteroscedasticity and
autocorrelation within panels). Coefficients are rounded to the fourth decimal place. For the rest Hausman –
Taylor estimates, see Table 4 and Table A6.
47
Table A6
Hausman – Taylor Estimates of effective tax rates on various regions over the period
2000 - 2014 (n = 4,936)
Equation (1)
Notes: Dependent variables: ETR1, ETR2, ETR3. ETR1 is defined as the ratio of worldwide income tax payable to
net income before taxes; ETR2, is defined as the ratio of worldwide income tax payable to operating result; ETR3,
is defined as the ratio of worldwide income tax payable to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and
amortization (EBITDA). Region 1 is the reference region. For regions’ definition, see Table A3.
***, ** and * indicate significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% level, respectively. t-statistics are reported in
parentheses (robust standard errors were used so as to correct for the presence of heteroscedasticity and
autocorrelation within panels). Coefficients are rounded to the fourth decimal place. For the rest Hausman – Taylor
estimates, see Table 4 and Table A5.
48
Table A7
The association between ETR and SIZE within different size-groups
ETR1
Very Small Small Medium/Large
Variable
Enterprises Enterprises Enterprises
0.0232*** 0.0239*** 0.0224***
SIZE
(6.14) (7.92) (6.25)
Notes: This table presents the association between ETR1 and SIZE within different size-groups. The size-groups
were determined based on the criteria specified in the Greek Accounting Standards (2014). Medium and large
enterprises were treated as one size group due to their relatively lower sample representation.
ETR1 is defined as the ratio of worldwide income tax payable to net income before taxes. SIZE is measured as the
natural logarithm of total assets. ***, ** and * indicate significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% level, respectively. t-
statistics are reported in parentheses (robust standard errors were used so as to correct for the presence of
heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation within panels).
Table A8
The association between ETR and LEVERAGE for under-leveraged and over-
leveraged firms
ETR1
Notes: This table presents the association between ETR1 and LEVERAGE for under-leveraged and over-
leveraged firms. The firms were classified into these two groups considering whether their average financial
leverage is above or below the total average in the reference period. ETR1 is defined as the ratio of worldwide
income tax payable to net income before taxes. LEVERAGE is measured as the ratio of medium–long–term
liabilities to total assets. ***, ** and * indicate significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% level, respectively. t-
statistics are reported in parentheses (robust standard errors were used so as to correct for the presence of
heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation within panels).
49
Table A9
The association between ETR and LEVERAGE for under-leveraged firms
controlling for firm’s tax risk
ETR1
Variable Under-leveraged firms
-0.1153***
LEVERAGE
(-3.64)
Notes: This table presents the association between ETR1 and LEVERAGE for under-leveraged firms after
controlling for firm’s tax risk. ETR1 is defined as the ratio of worldwide income tax payable to net income
before taxes. LEVERAGE is measured as the ratio of medium-long-term liabilities to total assets. Tax risk is
measured as the standard deviation of the firm’s ETR over the reference period. ***, ** and * indicate
significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% level, respectively. t-statistics are reported in parentheses (robust standard
errors were used so as to correct for the presence of heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation within panels).
Table A10
The effect of the financial crisis period on firms’ ETRs
ETR1
0,0275*
CRISIS_SUB_PERIOD_1 (2008 – 2009)
(1,76)
0,0300*
CRISIS_SUB_PERIOD_2 (2010 – 2014)
(1,93)
Notes: This table presents the association of ETR1 with two dummy variables that substituted the CRISIS dummy
variable in equation (1) and split the reference period into three sub-periods.
ETR1 is defined as the ratio of worldwide income tax payable to net income before taxes.
The variable CRISIS_SUB_PERIOD_1 equals 1 if year = 2008-2009, 0 otherwise; the variable
CRISIS_SUB_PERIOD_2 equals 1 if year = 2010-2014, 0 otherwise. ***, ** and * indicate significance at the 1%,
5% and 10% level, respectively. t-statistics are reported in parentheses (robust standard errors were used so as to
correct for the presence of heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation within panels).
50