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The ValuEngine Weekly is an Investor Education newsletter focused on the quantitative approach to investing and the tools
available from ValuEngine. In today's fast-moving and globalized financial markets, it is easy to get overloaded with information.
The winners will adopt an objective, scientific, independent and unemotional approach to investing.
MARKET OVERVIEW
Index started week Thursday Close 3 day change 3 day change % ytd
DJIA 11083.75 11362.4 278.65 2.51% 8.72%
NASDAQ 2522.24 2579.35 57.11 2.26% 13.69%
RUSSELL 2000 732.71 751.2 18.49 2.52% 18.17%
S&P 500 1189.08 1221.53 32.45 2.73% 9.23%
SECTOR OVERVIEW
Last 12-M
Ticker Name Mkt Price Valuation(%)
Retn(%)
BKS BARNES & NOBLE 13.06 99.09 -40.61
BJRI BJ'S RESTAURANT 38.1 87.32 111.9
CHUX OCHARLEYS INC 7.06 86.65 3.07
NFLX NETFLIX INC 193.42 75.58 227.83
IACI IAC/INTERACTIV 29.35 75.36 52.71
Subscribers can check out the latest valuation, forecast, and ratings figures on
the Retail-Wholesale Sector from our Model HERE.
Suttmeier Says
--Commentary and Analysis from Chief Market Strategist
Richard Suttmeier
ValuEngine Chief Market Strategist Richard Suttmeier is a financial
analyst for media such as Fox News, CNBC,YahooFinance,the Wall
Street Journal, New York Times, CNNfn, and Bloomberg, Suttmeier
has long been one of ValuEngine's "power users," supporting his
own technically-focused analysis with VE's fundamentally-based
quant methods.
If you have any comments or questions, send them to
Rsuttmeier@Gmail.com
Treasury Yields
10-Year-- (3.000) My semiannual value level is 3.479 with my annual pivot at 2.999, and
daily, annual and weekly risky levels at 2.884, 2.813 and 2.816, and quarterly,
semiannual and monthly risky levels at 2.265, 2.249 and 1.949.A weekly close cheaper
than my annual value level at 2.999 for the 10-Year yield would be a blow for QE2, as
QE2 was intended to bring down US Treasury yields.
Commodities and Forex
Comex Gold-- ($1388.3) Quarterly, semiannual and annual value levels are $1306.4,
$1260.8, $1218.7 and $1115.2 with daily, weekly and monthly risky levels at $1399.3,
$1401.6 and $1443.5. Gold nearly tested my weekly risky level at $1401.6 again on
Thursday.
Nymex Crude-- ($87.96) Semiannual, annual and monthly value levels are $83.94,
$77.05 and $75.50 with a daily pivot at $87.49, and semiannual and annual risky levels
at $96.53 and $97.29.Crude oil above my semiannual pivot at $83.94 signals inflation
expectations and some say that’s a positive. Not me as higher gasoline prices spook
Main Street.
The Euro--(1.3221) Daily and monthly value levels are 1.2808 and 1.2500 with a
quarterly pivot at 1.3318, and weekly and semiannual risky levels at 1.3688 and
1.4733.The euro is trying to return to my quarterly pivot at 1.3318.
Major Indices
Stocks are getting more expensive as technical momentum takes over the
upside. Fourteen of sixteen sectors are overvalued led by Basic Industries and Oils-
Energy by 23.7% and 22.5% respectively. For the first time since late 2007, there are
more overvalued stocks than undervalued stocks-- with 55.8% overvalued versus
44.2% undervalued. Stocks undervalued by more than 20% now exceed stocks
overvalued by more than 20% with undervalued by 20% or more at 20.9% and those
overvalued by more than 20% at 24.8%.
The Dow--
Daily: (11,362) Daily, semiannual, annual, monthly and quarterly value levels are
11,137, 10,558, 10,379, 10,325 and 8,523 with annual and semiannual pivots at 11,235
and 11,296, and weekly risky level at 11,469. A close on the Dow Industrials above its
November 5th high at 11,444.08 generates another Dow Theory Buy Signal.
Want to learn more about my “Buy and Trade” strategy and apply it to your own
portfolio?
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