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7 The Evolution of the International


Monetary and Financial System
ERIC HELLEINER

Chapter Contents

● Introduction
● The Fate of a Previous Globally Integrated Financial and Monetary Order
● The Bretton Woods Order
● The Crisis of the Early 1970s
● From Floating Exchange Rates to Monetary Unions
● The Dollar’s Declining Global Role?
● The Globalization of Financial Markets
● Conclusion

Reader’s Guide

The international monetary and financial system plays a central role in the global
political economy. Since the late nineteenth century, the nature of this system has
undergone several transformations in response to changing political and economic
conditions at both domestic and international levels. The most dramatic change was the
collapse of the integrated pre-1914 international monetary and financial regime during
the inter-war years. The second transformation took place after the Second World War,
when the Bretton Woods order was put in place. Since the early 1970s, another period
of change has been under way as various features of the Bretton Woods order have
unravelled: the gold exchange standard, the adjustable peg exchange-rate regime, the US
dollar’s global role, and the commitment to capital controls. These various changes have
important political consequences for the key issue of who gets what, when, and how in
the global political economy.
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214

● Introduction
ERIC HELLEINER

It is often said that money makes the world go pursuit of power, ideas, and interests (Kirshner
around. In this age of globalization, the saying 2003).
appears more relevant than ever. International The interrelationship between politics and sys-
flows of money today dwarf the cross-border trade tems of money and finance is particularly apparent
of goods. And the influence of these flows seems at the international level, where no single political
only to be enhanced by their unique speed and authority exists. What money should be used to
global reach. facilitate international economic transactions and
If money is so influential, it is fitting that it how should it be managed? What should the nature
should have a prominent place in the study of of the relationship between national currencies be?
global political economy, and scholarly research on How should credit be created and allocated at
the political economy of international monetary the international level? The answers to these ques-
and financial issues has indeed grown very rapidly tions have profoundly important implications for
in recent years. While perspectives vary enormously politics, not just within countries but also between
within this literature, scholars working in this field them. It should not surprise us, then, that they pro-
share the belief that the study of money and finance voke domestic and international political struggles,
must adopt a wider lens than that adopted by most often of an intense kind.
economists. This chapter highlights this point by providing
Economists are trained to view money and fin- an overview of the evolution of the international
ance primarily as economic phenomena. From their monetary and financial system since the late nine-
standpoint, money serves as a medium of exchange, teenth century. The first section examines how
a unit of account, and a store of value, while financial changing political circumstances, both internation-
activity allocates credit within the economy. Both of ally and domestically, during the inter-war years
these functions are critical to large-scale economic undermined the stability of the globally integrated
life, since they facilitate commerce, savings, and financial and monetary order of the pre-1914 era.
investment. The next section describes how a new interna-
These descriptions of the economic role of money tional monetary and financial system—the Bretton
and finance are certainly accurate, but they are also Woods order—was created in 1944 for the post-
limiting. Money and finance, after all, serve many war period, with a number of distinct features.
political purposes as well (not to mention social The following four sections analyse the causes and
and cultural ones). In all modern societies, control consequences of the unravelling of various fea-
over the issuing and management of money and tures of that order since the early 1970s: the gold
credit has been a key source of power, and the exchange standard, the adjustable peg exchange-
subject of intense political struggles. The organiz- rate regime, the US dollar’s prominent global role,
ation and functioning of monetary and financial and the commitment to capital controls. In the next
systems are thus rarely determined by a narrow chapter, Louis Pauly addresses another feature of
economic logic of maximizing efficiency. They also the contemporary international financial order: its
reflect various political rationales relating to the vulnerability to crises.
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215

The Fate of a Previous Globally Integrated ●


Financial and Monetary Order

THE EVOLUTION OF THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY AND FINANCIAL SYSTEM


Debates about contemporary economic globaliza- These capital flows were facilitated by the emer-
tion often note that this trend had an important gence of an international monetary regime that
precedent in the late nineteenth and early twentieth was also highly integrated, indeed much more so
centuries. This is certainly true in the monetary and than in the current period. By 1914, the curren-
financial sector (see McGrew, Chapter 9, and Hay, cies of most independent countries and colonized
Chapter 10 in this volume). Cross-border flows of regions around the world were linked to the same
money increased dramatically in this earlier period gold standard (see Box 7.1). The result was a
and, according to some criteria, even surpassed fixed exchange-rate regime with an almost global
those in the current era in significance for national reach. Indeed, some European countries went even
economies. Some of these flows involved short-term further, to create regional ‘monetary unions’ in
capital movements that responded primarily to in- which the currencies of the member countries could
terest rate differentials between financial centres circulate in each others’ territory. Two such unions
around the world. Others involved long-term cap- were created: the Latin Monetary Union (LMU)
ital exports from the leading European powers to in 1865 (involving France, Switzerland, Belgium,
international locations. The United Kingdom, in and Italy) and the Scandinavian Monetary Union
particular, exported enormous amounts of long- (SMU) in 1873 (involving Sweden and Denmark,
term capital after 1870, sums that were much larger plus Norway after 1875). A high-level interna-
as a percentage of its national income than any cred- tional conference was held in 1867 to consider
itor country is exporting today (James 2001: 12). the possibility of a worldwide ‘monetary union’ of

BOX 7.1

The Theory of the Adjustment Process Under the International Gold Standard

In theory, the international gold standard was a context, the monetary authority that issued notes and
self-regulating international monetary order. External regulated the banking system had to stimulate the
imbalances would be corrected automatically by do- automatic adjustments of the gold standard by fol-
mestic wage and price adjustments, according to lowing proper ‘rules of the game’. In the event of
a process famously described by David Hume: the a trade deficit, it was expected to tighten monetary
‘price–specie flow mechanism’. If a country experi- conditions by curtailing the issue notes of and rais-
enced a balance of payments deficit, Hume noted, ing interest rates. The latter was designed not just to
gold exports should depress domestic wages and induce deflationary pressures (by increasing the cost
prices in such a way that the country’s interna- of borrowing) but also to attract short-term capital
tional competitive position—and thus its trade po- flows to help finance the payments imbalance while
sition—would be improved. Hume’s model assumed the underlying macroeconomic adjustment process
that most domestic money was gold coins, but the do- was taking place. In practice, however, historians of
mestic monetary system of most countries on the gold the pre-1914 gold standard note that governments
standard during the late nineteenth and early twen- did not follow these ‘rules of the game’ as closely
tieth centuries was dominated by fiduciary money in and consistently as the theory of the gold standard
the form of bank notes and bank deposits. In this anticipated (Eichengreen 1985).
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216 this kind. As the scramble for colonies intensified Within each bloc, currencies were usually fixed
after 1870, many imperial powers often encouraged vis-à-vis each other, and some international lend-

the circulation of their currencies in the newly ing resumed. But between the blocs, currencies
ERIC HELLEINER

acquired colonies during this period (Helleiner were often inconvertible and their value fluctuated
2003; chs 6, 8). These currency unions and imperial considerably for much of the decade. International
currency blocs were designed to make economic flows of capital between the blocs were also limited,
transactions within each union or bloc easier to and often regulated tightly by new capital control
conduct. regimes.

The end of globalization Hegemonic stability theory


What can we learn from this era in our efforts What explains this dramatic change in the nature of
to understand the political foundations of inter- the international monetary and financial regime? A
national money and finance? Perhaps the most prominent explanation within international polit-
interesting lesson is that this globally integrated ical economy (IPE) scholarship has been that the
financial and monetary order did not last. In the transformation was related to a change in the
contemporary period, globalization is sometimes distribution of power among states within the in-
said to be irreversible. A study of the fate of this ternational monetary and financial arena (see, for
earlier globalization trend, however, reminds us to example, Kindleberger 1973). According to this
be more cautious. In particular, it highlights the hegemonic stability theory, the pre-1914 interna-
importance of the political basis of international tional financial and monetary regime remained
money and finance. stable as long as it was sustained by British hege-
The first signs of disintegration came during monic leadership. Before the First World War, the
the First World War, when cross-border financial United Kingdom’s currency, sterling, was seen to be
flows diminished dramatically and many countries ‘as good as gold’ and it was used around the globe
abandoned the gold standard in favour of float- as a world currency. Britain was also the largest
ing currencies. After the war ended, there was a creditor to the world and London’s financial mar-
concerted effort—led by the United Kingdom and kets held a pre-eminent place in global finance. The
the United States—to restore the pre-1914 inter- United Kingdom’s capital exports helped to finance
national monetary and financial order, and this global payments imbalances and they were usefully
initiative was initially quite successful. Many coun- counter-cyclical; that is, foreign lending expanded
tries did restore the gold standard during the 1920s, when the UK entered a recession, thus compensat-
and international capital flows—both short-term ing foreign countries for the decline in sales to the
and long-term—also resumed on a very large scale UK. During international financial crises, the Bank
by the late 1920s (Pauly 1997; ch. 3). of England is also said to have played a leadership
But this success was short-lived. In the early role in stabilizing markets through lender-of-last-
1930s, a major international financial crisis resort activities.
triggered the collapse of both international lending However, after the First World War, the United
and the international gold standard. This devel- Kingdom lost its ability to perform its leadership
opment signalled what Harold James (2001) has role in stabilizing the global monetary and financial
called ‘the end of globalization’. The interna- order. The United States replaced it as the lead
tional monetary and financial system broke up creditor to the world economy, and the US dollar
into a series of relatively closed currency blocs. emerged as the strongest and most trustworthy
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world currency. New York also began to rival Lon- financial and monetary power in that era is said to 217
don’s position as the key international financial have been more pluralistic than hegemonic, with

centre. In these new circumstances, the United stability being maintained by co-operation between

THE EVOLUTION OF THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY AND FINANCIAL SYSTEM


States might have taken on the kind of leadership leading central banks rather than unilateral UK
role that the United Kingdom had played before leadership. Even more important is the argument
the war. But it proved unwilling to do so because that the transformation of the international finan-
of isolationist sentiments and domestic political cial and monetary system was generated more by
conflicts between internationally orientated and a change in the distribution of power within many
more domestically focused economic interests. The states than between them.
resulting leadership vacuum is blamed for the According to this latter perspective, the stability
instability and eventual breakdown of the gold of the pre-1914 international monetary and finan-
standard and integrated financial order during the cial order was dependent on a very specific domestic
inter-war period. political context. In that era, elite-dominated gov-
Hegemonic stability theorists criticize several as- ernments were strongly committed to the classical
pects of US behaviour during the 1920s and early liberal idea that domestic monetary and fiscal policy
1930s. Its capital exports during the 1920s were should be geared to the external goal of maintaining
pro-cyclical; they expanded rapidly when the US the convertibility of the national currency into gold.
economy was booming in the mid-to-late 1920s, When national currencies came under downward
but then came to a sudden stop in 1928, just as the pressure in response to capital outflows or trade
growth of the US economy was slowing down. The deficits, monetary and fiscal authorities usually re-
collapse of US lending generated balance of pay- sponded by tightening monetary conditions and
ments crises for many foreign countries that had cutting spending. These moves were designed partly
relied on US loans to cover their external payments to induce deflationary pressures, which improved
deficits. The United States then exacerbated these the country’s international competitive position,
countries’ difficulties by raising tariffs against im- and thus its trade balance. Equally important, they
ports with the passage of the 1930 Smoot–Hawley were aimed at restoring the confidence of financial
Act. As confidence in international financial mar- market actors and encouraging short-term capital
kets collapsed in the early 1930s, the USA also inflows (see Box 7.1). Indeed, the very fact that
refused to take on the role of international lender- governments were so committed to these policies,
of-last-resort, or even to cancel the war debts that and to the maintenance of their currency’s peg to
were compounding the crisis. gold, ensured that short-term capital movements
were highly ‘stabilizing’ and ‘equilibrating’ in this
period.
Changing domestic political The strength of governments’ commitments to
conditions these policies, however, rested on a particular do-
mestic political order. Deflationary pressures could
This interpretation of the evolution of the inter- be very painful for some domestic groups, particu-
national monetary and financial system from the larly the poor, whose wages were forced downwards
pre-1914 period and into the inter-war period is (or who experienced unemployment if wages did
not universally accepted (see, for example, Calleo not fall). The poor also often bore the brunt of the
1976; Eichengreen 1992; Simmons 1994). One line burden when government spending was cut. These
of criticism has been that it overstates the signific- policies were politically viable only because many
ance of UK leadership in sustaining the pre-1914 low-income citizens had little voice in the political
monetary and financial order. The distribution of arena. In most countries, the electoral franchise
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218 remained narrow before 1914. In many countries, downwards. A depreciation of the national cur-
central banks were not even public bodies in this rency provided a quicker, less painful, manner of

period, and in colonial or peripheral regions, mon- adjusting the country’s wages and prices vis-à-vis
ERIC HELLEINER

etary authorities were often controlled by foreign those in foreign countries in order to boost exports
interests. and curtail imports.
After the First World War, the domestic political A floating exchange rate also provided greater
order was transformed in many independent states. policy autonomy to pursue expansionary monet-
The electoral franchise was widened, the power of ary policies that could address pressing domestic
labour grew, and there was increasing support for economic needs. While on the gold standard, a
more interventionist economic policies. In this con- government wishing to bolster economic growth
text, it was hardly surprising to find new demands by lowering interest rates would experience cap-
for monetary and fiscal policies to respond to do- ital flight and an outflow gold of and would be
mestic needs rather than to the goal of maintaining forced to reverse the policy in order to restore
external convertibility of the currency into gold, and the stability of the currency. With a floating ex-
the confidence of foreign investors. Governments change rate, the government could simply let the
began to run fiscal deficits, and central banks came exchange rate depreciate. The exchange rate would
under new public pressure to gear interest rates to adjust to the changing level of domestic prices and
address domestic unemployment. wages instead of the other way around. This de-
It was these new domestic circumstances— preciation would also reinforce the expansionary
rather than declining UK power—that many be- intent of the initial policy, since exports would be
lieve played the key role in undermining the stability bolstered and imports discouraged. More generally,
of the integrated international and monetary sys- it is worth noting that a floating exchange rate was
tem during the inter-war period. As governments also attractive to many governments in the early
ceased to play by the ‘rules of the game’, the ‘self- 1930s because it could insulate the country from
regulating’ character of the gold standard began monetary instability abroad, particularly from the
to break down (see Box 7.1). Short-term interna- deflationary pressures emanating from the USA at
tional financial flows also became more volatile this time.
and speculative, as investors no longer had con- In addition to abandoning the gold standard,
fidence in governments’ commitment to maintain many governments during the 1930s turned to
fixed rates and balanced budgets. Faced with these capital controls to reinforce their national policy
new domestic pressures, central banks also found it autonomy. With this move, they insulated them-
more difficult to co-operate in ways that promoted selves from the disciplining power of speculative
international monetary and financial stability. cross-border financial movements. If, for example,
In the context of the international financial crisis a government wanted to bolster domestic economic
of 1931 and the Great Depression, many govern- growth by lowering interest rates or engaging in de-
ments then chose simply to abandon the gold ficit spending, it no longer had to worry about
standard in order to escape its discipline. At the capital flight. For this reason, it was natural to
time, the collapse of international lending and ex- find John Maynard Keynes, the leading advocate
port markets, as well as speculative capital flight, of such domestically-orientated, activist macroeco-
had left many countries with enormous balance nomic management, emerge as one of the strongest
of payments deficits. If they stayed on the gold supporters of capital controls in the early 1930s.
standard, these deficits would be addressed by defla- As Keynes put it, ‘let finance be primarily national’
tionary policies designed to press wages and prices (Keynes 1933: 758).
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219
KEY POINTS

● In the late nineteenth and early twentieth centuries, provision of stable international lending, the main-

THE EVOLUTION OF THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY AND FINANCIAL SYSTEM


a highly integrated global financial and monetary tenance of an open market for foreign goods, and
order existed. By the early 1930s, it had collapsed, the stabilization of financial markets during crises.
and was replaced by a fragmented order organ-
● Others argue that the pre-1914 order was brought
ized around closed economic blocs and floating
down more by a domestic political transformation
exchange rates.
across much of the world, associated with expan-
● Some believe the reason for the breakdown of the sion of the electoral franchise, the growing power
pre-1914 order was the absence of a state acting of labour, and the new prominence of supporters
as a hegemonic leader to perform such roles as the of interventionist economic policies.

The Bretton Woods Order


If an integrated international monetary and finan- This objective to create what Ruggie (1982) has
cial order was to be rebuilt, it would need to be called an ‘embedded liberal’ international economic
compatible with the new priority placed on do- order was shared by Keynes, who had emerged as
mestic policy autonomy. An opportunity to create the policy-maker in charge of UK planning for the
such an order finally arose in the early 1940s, when post-war world economy during the early 1940s. He
US and UK policy-makers began to plan the organ- worked with his American counterpart, Harry Dex-
ization of the post-war international monetary and ter White, to produce the blueprint for the post-war
financial system. international monetary and financial order that was
soon endorsed by forty-four countries at the 1944
Bretton Woods conference (Van Dormael 1978;
Embedded liberalism Gardner 1980).
At the time, it was clear that the United States would At first sight, the blueprint seemed to signal a re-
emerge from the war as the dominant economic turn to a pre-1930s world. Signatories to the Bretton
power, and US policy-makers were determined to Woods agreements agreed to declare a par value of
play a leadership role in building and sustaining their currency in relation to the gold content of the
a more liberal and multilateral international eco- US dollar in 1944. At the time, the US dollar was
nomic order than the one that had existed during the convertible into gold at a rate of $35 per ounce.
1930s. The closed economic blocs and economic in- By pegging their currencies in this way, countries
stability of the previous decade were thought to have appeared to be establishing an international gold
contributed to the great depression and the Second standard—or, to be more precise, a ‘gold exchange’
World War. But US policy-makers did not want standard or ‘gold-dollar’ standard. And at one level,
to see a return to the classical liberal international the objectives underlying the Bretton Woods agree-
economic order of the pre-1930s period. Instead, ments were indeed similar to those of the gold
they hoped to find a way to reconcile liberal mul- standard. The Bretton Woods architects sought to
tilateralism with the new domestically orientated re-establish a world of international currency sta-
priorities to combat unemployment and promote bility. Floating exchange rates were associated with
social welfare that had emerged with the New Deal. beggar-thy-neighbour competitive devaluations,
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220 speculative financial flows, and the general break- ‘In my view the whole management of the domestic
down of international economic integration. economy depends upon being free to have the ap-

propriate rate of interest without reference to rates
ERIC HELLEINER

prevailing elsewhere in the world. Capital control is


A different kind of gold standard a corollary to this.’
But several other features of the Bretton Woods The Bretton Woods architects also established
agreements made clear that this commitment did two public international financial institutions: the
not signal a return to the kind of gold standard of International Bank for Reconstruction and De-
the 1920s or the pre-1914 period. First, countries velopment (IBRD) (known as the World Bank)
were given the option of adjusting their countries’ and the IMF. At a broad level, these institu-
par value whenever their country was in ‘funda- tions—particularly the IMF—were given the task
mental disequilibrium’. This was to be, in other of promoting global monetary and financial co-
words, a kind of ‘adjustable peg’ system, in which operation. More specifically, they were to assume
countries could substitute exchange-rate devalu- some aspects of international lending that had
ations for harsh domestic deflations when they previously been left to private markets. The IBRD
experienced sustained balance of payments deficits. was designed to provide long-term loans for re-
Currency realignments of up to 10 per cent from construction and development after the war, a
the initial parity were to be approved automatically, task that the private markets were not trusted to
while larger ones required the permission of the perform well. The IMF was to provide short-term
newly created International Monetary Fund (IMF). loans to help countries finance their temporary
Even in the latter case, the priority given to domestic balance of payments deficits, a function that was
policy autonomy was made clear; the Articles of the designed explicitly to reinforce those countries’
Agreement of the IMF noted that the Fund ‘shall policy autonomy and challenge the kind of external
not object to a proposed change because of the discipline that private speculative financial flows
domestic social or political policies of the member and the gold standard had imposed before the 1930s
proposing the change’ (Article iv-5). (see Box 7.2).
Second, although countries agreed to make their For the first decade and a half after the Second
currencies convertible for current account transac- World War, the Bretton Woods system, it has been
tions (that is, trade payments), they were given the said, was in ‘virtual cold storage’ (Skidelsky 2003:
right to control all capital movements. This provi- 125). It is certainly true that the IMF and IBRD
sion was not intended to stop all private financial played very limited roles during this period, and
flows. Those that were ‘equilibrating’ and designed that European countries did not make their cur-
for productive investment were still welcomed. But rencies convertible until 1958 (the Bretton Woods
the Bretton Woods architects inserted this provi- agreements had allowed for a ‘transition’ period of
sion because they worried about how speculative no specified length, during which countries could
and disequilibrating flows could disrupt both stable keep currencies inconvertible). At the same time,
exchange rates and national political autonomy. however, most governments outside the Soviet or-
Regarding the latter, Keynes and White sought to bit were committed to the other principles outlined
protect governments from capital flight that was at Bretton Woods: namely, the maintenance of
initiated for ‘political reasons’ or with the goal of an adjustable-peg exchange-rate regime; the gold-
evading domestic taxes or the ‘burdens of social dollar standard; and the control of capital move-
legislation’ (quoted in Helleiner 1994: 34). Capital ments. Moreover, although the IMF and World
controls could also enable governments to pursue Bank were sidelined, other bodies—particularly
macroeconomic planning through an independent the US government, but also regional institutions
interest rate policy. As Keynes (1980: 149) put it, such as the European Payments Union—acted in
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BOX 7.2 221


How Does the IMF Work?

THE EVOLUTION OF THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY AND FINANCIAL SYSTEM


While the World Bank can borrow from the private per cent of the total votes in 1944 to roughly 17
markets to fund its lending, the IMF ’s capacity to lend per cent today, while the shares of countries such
comes primarily from the contributions of member as Japan, Germany, and Saudi Arabia have increased
governments. On joining the IMF, all member gov- considerably. The most recent adjustment of quotas
ernments pay a ‘quota’ to the institution that largely took place in September 2006, when an agreement
reflects their relative size within the world economy. was reached to provide four countries, whose existing
The amount of money they can borrow from the shares were particularly out of line with their growing
Fund is then determined by their quota size. Quotas economic significance, with quota increases: namely,
also play a very significant role in determining voting China, South Korea, Mexico, and Turkey.
shares within the Fund. All countries are allocated The IMF is governed by its Board of Governors,
250 ‘basic votes’, but the bulk of their voting share which meets annually. Day-to-day decision-making,
is determined by their quota size. At the time of the however, is delegated to the Executive Board, which
founding of the IMF, ‘basic votes’ made up 11 per meets several times a week. The Executive Board star-
cent of total votes, but this figure has fallen to approx- ted with only twelve executive directors, with the five
imately 2 per cent at the time of writing because of largest country contributors being assigned a single
the entrance of new members and quota increases. seat and other members being represented by ‘con-
Quotas are reviewed at least every five years, and stituency’ groups. Today, the number of executive dir-
the relative share of various countries has changed ectors has risen to twenty-four and, in addition to the
over time in response to these reviews. The US quota five largest contributors, single-country constituencies
share, for example, has fallen from more than 30 have been created for Saudi Arabia, China, and Russia.

the ways that Keynes and White had hoped the But governments remain committed to the other
Bretton Woods institutions would. Public interna- key features of the order. What, then, became of
tional lending was provided for temporary balance the Bretton Woods order? In some respects, it
of payments support, as well as for reconstruc- seems to be still alive. Currencies remain convert-
tion and development. United States policy-makers ible, and the IMF and IBRD still exist (although
also promoted ‘embedded liberal’ ideals when they their purpose has been altered, as described below).
were engaged in monetary and financing advis- In the following sections, however, I explore the
ory roles around the world (Helleiner 1994; ch. 3; causes and consequences of the unravelling of the
2003; ch. 9). other features of the Bretton Woods regime since
During the heyday of the Bretton Woods or- the early 1970s: the gold exchange standard; the
der, from the late 1950s until 1971, the IMF and adjustable-peg exchange-rate system, the US dol-
IBRD were assigned a more marginal role in the lar’s prominent global role, and the commitment
system than Keynes and White had hoped for. to capital controls.

KEY POINTS

● The Bretton Woods conference in 1944 created a payments; a gold-dollar standard; an adjustable-
new international monetary and financial order that peg exchange-rate regime, an acceptance of capital
was inspired by an ‘embedded liberal’ ideology and controls, and support for the IMF and World Bank.
backed by US leadership.
● Many of the features of the Bretton Woods order
● Governments joining this order committed them- were in place between 1945 and 1958, but this
selves to currency convertibility for current account order reached its heyday between 1958 and 1971.
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222

● The Crisis of the Early 1970s


ERIC HELLEINER

The breakdown of the gold significant quantities of SDR to enable this currency
exchange standard to play much of a role in the global monetary system.
During the 1960s, and in particular after the mid-
The Bretton Woods system is usually said to have 1960s, Triffin’s predictions were increasingly borne
begun to collapse during the early 1970s, when both out. US currency abroad did grow considerably lar-
the gold exchange standard and the adjustable-peg ger than the amount of gold the US government
exchange-rate system broke down. The former was held to back it up. In one sense, the situation was be-
brought to a swift end in August 1971, when the neficial to the United States: the country was able to
United States suddenly suspended the convertibility finance growing external deficits associated with the
of the US dollar into gold. Since other currencies Vietnam War and its domestic Great Society pro-
had been tied to gold only via the US dollar, this gramme (which produced rising imports) simply
move signalled the end of gold’s role as a standard by printing dollars. Indeed, the United States was
for other currencies as well. This breakdown had doing much more than providing the world with
in fact been predicted as far back as 1960, when extra international liquidity by the late 1960s; it was
Robert Triffin (1960) had highlighted the inherent actively exporting inflation by flooding the world
instability of the dollar-gold standard. In a system with dollars. In another sense, however, the country
where the dollar was the central reserve currency, was becoming increasingly vulnerable to a confid-
he argued that international liquidity could be ex- ence crisis. If all holders of dollars suddenly decided
panded only when the United States provided the to demand their convertibility into gold, the USA
world with more dollars by running a balance of would not be able to meet the demand. Another
payments deficit. But the more it did so, the more cost to the USA was the fact that the dollar’s fixed
it risked undermining confidence in the dollar’s value in gold was undermining the international
convertibility into gold. competitiveness of US-based firms. If other coun-
One potential solution to the Triffin paradox tries had been willing to revalue their currencies,
was to create a new international currency whose this competitiveness problem could have been ad-
supply would not be tied to the balance of pay- dressed, but foreign governments resisted adjusting
ments condition of any one country. Keynes had the value of their currencies in this way.
in fact proposed such a currency—which he called A crisis of confidence in the dollar’s convert-
‘bancor’—during the negotiations leading up to ibility into gold was initially postponed when
the Bretton Woods conference. In 1965, the United some key foreign allies—notably Germany and Ja-
States began to support the idea that the IMF could pan—agreed not to convert their reserves into gold
issue such a currency as a means of supplementing (sometimes as part of an explicit trade-off for US
the dollar’s role as a reserve currency, and Special security protection: Zimmerman 2002). But other
Drawing Rights (SDR) were finally created for this countries that were critical of US foreign policy
purpose in 1969. The SDR was not a currency that in this period—France in particular—refused to
individuals could use; it could be used only by na- adopt this practice, seeing it as a reinforcement
tional monetary authorities as a reserve asset for of American hegemony (Kirshner 1995: 192–203).
settling inter-country payments imbalances (and Private speculators also increasingly targeted the
subject to certain conditions). Despite its poten- US dollar, especially after sterling was devalued
tial, IMF members have never been willing to issue in 1967. When speculative pressures against the
John Ravenhill chap07.tex V1 - July 30, 2007 5:13 P.M. Page 223

dollar reached a peak in 1971, the United States was exchange rates, and to declare that each country 223
forced to make a decision: it could either cut back now had the responsibility for determining the par

the printing of dollars, or simply end the currency’s value of its currency.

THE EVOLUTION OF THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY AND FINANCIAL SYSTEM


convertibility into gold. The end of the adjustable-peg system was
The US decision to take the latter course reflec- triggered partly by the growing size of speculat-
ted its desire to free itself from the constraint on ive international financial flows—a phenomenon
its policies that gold convertibility imposed (Gowa explained in a later section—which complicated
1983). In the eyes of many observers, this decision governments’ efforts to defend their currency pegs.
also signalled an end to the kind of ‘benevolent’ Equally important, however, was the fact that in-
hegemonic leadership US policy-makers had prac- fluential policy-makers began to re-evaluate the
tised in the international monetary and financial merits of floating exchange rates. We have already
realm since the 1940s. Some attributed this change seen how the Bretton Woods architects took a very
in US policy to the fact that the United States negative view of the experience of floating exchange
was losing its hegemonic status in the interna- rates before the Second World War. Indeed, the
tional monetary and financial realm. From this drawbacks of floating exchange rates were deemed
perspective, the breakdown of the gold exchange to be so obvious that there had been very few serious
standard provided further evidence to support the defences of them at the time. By the early 1970s,
hegemonic stability theory that a stable integrated however, floating exchange rates had attracted a
international monetary and financial order requires number of prominent advocates, particularly in the
a hegemonic power. Others, however, suggested United States (Odell 1982).
that US hegemonic power remained substantial in These advocates argued that floating exchange
world money and finance, but what had changed rates could play a very useful role in facilitating
was the United States’ interest in leadership. Faced smooth adjustments to external imbalances in a
with new domestic and international priorities, US world where governments were no longer will-
policy-makers chose to exploit their position as the ing to accept the discipline of the gold standard.
dominant power in this realm of the global eco- Under the Bretton Woods system, the idea of us-
nomy to serve these ends. To support the thesis that ing exchange-rate changes for this purpose had, of
the United States remained an important global course, already been endorsed; governments could
monetary power, scholars pointed to the fact that adjust their currency’s peg when the country was in
the US dollar remained the unchallenged dominant ‘fundamental disequilibrium’. But, in practice, gov-
world currency after 1971 (for example, Strange ernments had been reluctant to make these changes
1986; Calleo 1976)—a point to which we shall because exchange-rate adjustments often generated
return below. political controversy, both at home and abroad.
Governments usually made these adjustments only
The collapse of the adjustable-peg when large-scale speculative financial movements
left them no option. The result had been a rather
exchange-rate regime rigid and crisis-prone exchange-rate system, in
The second feature of the Bretton Woods mon- which countries often resorted instead to inter-
etary order that broke down in the early 1970s national economic controls, particularly on capital
was the adjustable-peg system. This development flows, to address imbalances. A floating exchange-
took place in 1973, when governments allowed the rate system would allow external imbalances to be
world’s major currencies to float in value vis-à-vis addressed more smoothly and continuously, and
one other. The new floating exchange-rate system without so much resort to controls.
was formalized in 1976, when the IMF’s Articles It was also argued that floating exchange rates had
of Agreement were amended to legalize floating unfairly been given a bad name during the 1930s.
John Ravenhill chap07.tex V1 - July 30, 2007 5:13 P.M. Page 224

224 Advocates argued that floating exchange rates need questioned. Financial movements in that decade,
not necessarily be associated with either competit- it was argued, had been volatile, not because of

ive devaluations or with a retreat from international floating exchange rates but because they were re-
ERIC HELLEINER

economic integration, as they had been in the sponding properly to the highly unstable underlying
1930s. Their role in encouraging destabilizing spec- economic conditions of the time (for example,
ulative financial flows during the 1930s was also Friedman 1953).

KEY POINTS

● The initial signs of the unravelling of the Bretton ● The adjustable-peg exchange-rate regime of
Woods system are usually dated to the early Bretton Woods was replaced in 1973 by a system
1970s, when the gold exchange standard and the of floating exchange rates between the currencies
adjustable-peg exchange-rate system collapsed. of the leading economic powers. The change was
caused by heightened capital mobility and by a
● In 1971, the United States ended the gold convert-
reconsideration of the merits of floating exchange
ibility of its currency, and, by extension, that of all
rates among leading policy-makers, particularly in
other currencies. The US decision reflected its de-
the United States.
sire to free itself from the growing constraint on its
policies that gold convertibility was imposing.

From Floating Exchange Rates to Monetary Unions


Has the floating exchange-rate system performed further volatility and misalignments in currency
in the ways that its advocates had hoped? The values. One of the best-known advocates of this
proponents of floating exchange rates were cer- view is Susan Strange (1986), who suggests that
tainly correct that this exchange rate regime has floating exchange rates have encouraged a kind of
not discouraged the growth of international trade ‘casino capitalism’, in which speculators have come
and investment to any significant degree. Indeed, increasingly to dominate foreign exchange markets.
by enabling governments to avoid using trade re- From her standpoint, the consequences have been
strictions and capital controls, floating exchange devastating:
rates may have helped to accelerate international
economic integration. Floating exchange rates have
undoubtedly also often played an important part
in facilitating adjustments to international eco-
nomic imbalances. But critics have argued that
“ ‘ The great difference between an ordinary casino
which you can go into or stay away from, and the global
casino of high finance, is that in the latter all of us
are involuntarily engaged in the day’s play. A currency
change can halve the value of a farmer’s crop before
their useful role in this respect should not be over-
he harvests it, or drive an exporter out of business . . .
stated. From school-leavers to pensioners, what goes on in the
Some have echoed the argument made in the casino in the office blocks of the big financial centres
1930s, that floating exchange rates have encouraged is apt to have sudden, unpredictable and avoidable
destabilizing speculative financial flows because of consequences for individual lives. The financial casino
the uncertain international monetary environment has everyone playing the game of Snakes and Ladders’


they create. These flows, in turn, are said to generate (Strange, 1986: 2).
John Ravenhill chap07.tex V1 - July 30, 2007 5:13 P.M. Page 225

It is certainly true that currency trading has Accord, which established target ranges for the 225
grown very dramatically since the early 1970s; the major currencies to be reached through closer mac-

size of daily foreign exchange trading increased roeconomic policy co-ordination (Henning 1987;

THE EVOLUTION OF THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY AND FINANCIAL SYSTEM


from $15 billion in 1973 to almost $1,900 billion Funabashi 1988; Webb 1995).
by 2004 (Gilpin 2001: 261; BIS 2005). The latter This enthusiasm for a more managed exchange-
figure dwarfs the size of trading that would be ne- rate system between the world’s major currencies
cessary simply to service regular international trade proved to be short-lived. The three leading eco-
and investment flows. As cross-border financial nomic powers—the United States, Germany, and
flows have grown dramatically, it is also accurate Japan—were not prepared to accept the kinds of
that exchange rates have sometimes been subject to serious constraints on their macroeconomic policy
considerable short-term volatility and longer-term autonomy that were required to make such a sys-
misalignments. In these circumstances, a floating tem effective. Many policy-makers in Germany and
exchange rate has often been the source of, rather Japan also argued that the US interest in mac-
than the means of adjusting to, external economic roeconomic policy co-ordination seemed designed
imbalances. primarily to reduce its own external deficit by en-
couraging changes in macroeconomic policy abroad
rather than at home. This complaint had been
International exchange-rate heard once before, during the late 1970s, when
management: the Plaza to the the US policy-makers last pressed Germany and
Japan to co-ordinate macroeconomic policies. In
Louvre
both instances, US policy-makers sought to ad-
One of the more dramatic episodes of a long- dress their country’s external payments deficit by
term misalignment involved the appreciation of the pressing Germany and Japan to revalue their cur-
US dollar in the early-to-mid-1980s. This currency rencies and pursue more expansionary domestic
movement was not responding to a US current economic policies. These moves would enable the
account surplus; indeed, the country experienced United States to curtail its deficit without a domestic
a growing current account deficit at the time. In- contraction by boosting US exports.
stead, the dollar’s appreciation was caused by very United States’ pressure in these two cases was ap-
large inflows of foreign capital, attracted by the plied not just through formal negotiations but also
country’s high interest rates and rapid economic informally by ‘talking down the dollar’. The latter
expansion after 1982. The appreciation proved to encouraged financial traders to speculate against
be very disruptive; it exacerbated the US current the dollar, leaving the German and Japanese gov-
account deficit and generated widespread protec- ernments with two options. They could defend the
tionist sentiments within the USA by 1984–5. US currency through dollar purchases, thereby pre-
This episode led the USA and other major indus- serving the competitiveness of domestic industry
trial countries to consider briefly a move back to- vis-à-vis the important US market as well as the
wards more managed exchange rates. In September value of their dollar-denominated assets. In the end,
1985, the G5 (the United States, the United King- however, these purchases would probably produce
dom, the Federal Republic of Germany, France, and the other result that the USA wanted: an expanding
Japan) signed the Plaza Accord which committed domestic monetary supply in Japan and Germany
these countries to work together to encourage the caused by the increased purchase of dollars. Altern-
US dollar to depreciate against the currencies of its atively, if they accepted the dollar’s depreciation,
major trading partners. After the dollar had fallen al- pressure for domestic expansionary policies would
most 50 per cent vis-à-vis the yen and Deutschmark still come from another source—domestic industry
by February 1987, they then announced the Louvre and labour that was hurt by the country’s loss of
John Ravenhill chap07.tex V1 - July 30, 2007 5:13 P.M. Page 226

226 competitiveness vis-à-vis the United States. The ef- policies. It has also moved recently to boost its
fectiveness of this ‘dollar weapon’ rested on the US surveillance role beyond the bilateral context by

dollar’s key currency status and the fact that the creating ‘multilateral consultations’ in which sys-
ERIC HELLEINER

US market remained such an important one for tematically important countries can have a forum to
Japanese and German businesses in this period. It discuss and debate specific issues of global economic
was a strategy that met with some success for the significance.
USA in both instances, although it also left the USA The first such multilateral consultation—
vulnerable to a crisis of confidence in the dollar at involving China, the Euro area, Japan, the USA,
some key moments. and Saudi Arabia—was announced in 2006 with a
focus on global imbalances. Some have hoped that
this kind of initiative might allow the IMF to take
The IMF and exchange rate an active role in reinvigorating the kind of multilat-
management eral exchange rate management that characterized
the Plaza to Louvre period. With its near universal
Arguments for exchange rate management among membership, the IMF may be better suited than
the leading powers have emerged at other moments, other bodies, such as the G7 or OECD, to launch
most recently vis-à-vis China’s large trade surpluses. this kind of initiative.
In this most recent episode, US policy-makers, in But sceptics argue that the IMF’s ability to
particular, have pressed the IMF to take a more as- influence the decision-making of these powerful
sertive stance in pressing the Chinese government governments is likely to be very limited. Even in the
to allow its currency to appreciate. These demands bilateral context, the Fund’s advice has generally
have generated new interest in the IMF’s mandate had a significant impact only when backed up by
in this area. the promise of loans. None of these governments
When it was created in 1944, one of the central is a borrower from the Fund. Without the financial
purposes of the Fund was to oversee its adjustable- ‘carrots’ of its loans, the IMF’s power is limited and
peg exchange rate regime. When that regime broke each of these governments faces enormous incent-
down in the early 1970s, many questioned the IMF’s ives to maintain control over exchange rates, given
future. The outbreak of the international debt crisis their significance to national economic life.
in the early 1980s soon gave the Fund a new life
as an institution focused on crisis management
vis-à-vis poorer countries (see Pauly, Chapter 8 in The creation of the euro
this volume). But the Fund was also reborn for
a second time after the early 1970s. In an effort Although efforts to stabilize the relationship
to maintain some semblance of multilateral rules between the values of the world’s major curren-
over the new floating exchange rate system, the cies have been limited since the early 1970s, some
IMF was given a new mandate in 1976—under governments have moved to create stable monet-
Article iv in the Second Amendment to its Articles ary relations in smaller regional contexts. The most
of Agreement—to ‘exercise firm surveillance over elaborate initiative of this kind has taken place
the exchange rate policies of members’ (quoted in in Europe. At the time of the breakdown of the
Pauly 1997: 105). Bretton Woods exchange-rate system, a number of
The IMF’s ‘surveillance’ activities have since be- the countries of the European Community (EC)
come an important part of its overall operations. attempted to stabilize exchange rates among them-
With individual member governments, the Fund selves. These initial efforts were followed by the
engages in ‘Article iv consultations’ in which it of- creation of the European Monetary System in 1979,
fers advice about various aspects of their economic which established a kind of ‘mini-Bretton Woods’
John Ravenhill chap07.tex V1 - July 30, 2007 5:13 P.M. Page 227

adjustable-peg regime in which capital controls speculative financial flows, a fact demonstrated 227
were still widely used and financial support was vividly in the 1992–3 European currency crisis.

provided to protect each country’s currency peg At that moment, European governments faced an

THE EVOLUTION OF THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY AND FINANCIAL SYSTEM


vis-à-vis other European currencies. Then, with important choice. If they sought to preserve finan-
the Maastricht Treaty in 1991, most members of cial liberalization and exchange-rate stability, they
European Union went one step further to commit would have to give up their commitment to do-
to a full monetary union: this was created in 1999. mestic monetary policy autonomy. Open macroe-
The long-standing resistance of many European conomic theory teaches us that it is not possible to
governments to floating exchange rates within achieve all three of these objectives simultaneously
Europe has been driven partly by worries that (see Box 7.3). If they agreed to abandon monetary
exchange-rate volatility and misalignments would policy autonomy within this ‘impossible trinity’,
disrupt their efforts to build a closer economic com- a logical next step was simply to create a monet-
munity. Exchange-rate instability was deemed to be ary union that eliminated the possibility of future
disruptive not only to private commerce but also to intra-regional exchange-rate crises altogether.
the complicated system of regional public payments This choice was also made easier by the grow-
within the European’s Community Common Ag- ing prominence of neo-liberal thought within
ricultural Policy. But why go so far as to abandon European monetary policy-making circles (Mc-
national currencies altogether by 1999? Namara 1998). Neo-liberals were disillusioned with
One answer is that the adjustable peg system of the kinds of activist national monetary policies that
the EMS became unsustainable after European gov- became popular in the age of embedded liberalism.
ernments committed themselves to abolish capital This sentiment emerged partly out of experiences of
controls in 1988. The latter decision left European inflation, and partly from the rational expectations
currency pegs vulnerable to increasingly powerful revolution in the discipline of economics. The

BOX 7.3

The ‘Impossible Trinity’ of Open Macroeconomics

Economists have pointed out that national govern- capital controls or to embrace a floating exchange
ments face an inevitable trade-off between the three rate, thereby sacrificing one of the other goals within
policy goals of exchange-rate stability, national mon- the ‘impossible trinity’.
etary policy autonomy, and capital mobility. It is only Historically, during the era of the gold standard,
ever possible for governments to realize two of these governments embraced fixed exchange rates and
goals at the same time. If, for example, a national capital mobility, while abandoning national monet-
government wants to preserve capital mobility and a ary policy autonomy. During the Bretton Woods or-
fixed exchange rate, it must abandon an independ- der, national policy autonomy and fixed (although
ent monetary policy. The reason is straightforward. adjustable) exchange rates were prioritized, while
An independent expansionary monetary policy in an capital mobility was deemed to be less important.
environment of capital mobility will trigger capital Since the early 1970s, the leading powers have sac-
outflows—and downward pressure on the national rificed a global regime of fixed exchange rates in
currency—as domestic interest rates fall. In this con- order to prioritize capital mobility and preserve a
text, it will be possible to maintain the fixed exchange degree of monetary policy autonomy. Many govern-
rate only by pushing interest rates back up and ments within this system, however, have embraced
thereby abandoning the initial monetary policy goal. fixed rates at the regional or bilateral level by us-
If, however, the government chooses to maintain the ing capital controls or by abandoning national policy
expansionary policy, it will need either to introduce autonomy.
John Ravenhill chap07.tex V1 - July 30, 2007 5:13 P.M. Page 228

228 latter undermined a key idea that had sustained Because of this basis of support for EMU, many
support for activist monetary policies: the Keyne- on the political left have been wary of the project.

sian notion that there was a long-term trade-off They worry that it might produce domestic de-
ERIC HELLEINER

between inflation and unemployment. By high- regulation, cutbacks to the welfare state, and new
lighting how experiences of inflation over time constraints on states’ abilities to address unemploy-
may encourage people to adjust their expectations, ment and other social and economic problems. The
this new economic analysis suggested that activ- resultant costs, they suggest, will be borne dispro-
ist monetary management could simply produce portionately by vulnerable groups such as the poor
‘stagflation’—that is, a combination of high un- and women (Gill 1998; B. Young 2002). Interest-
employment and high inflation. The appearance of ingly, however, there have also been many social
stagflation during the 1970s seemed to vindicate democrats and unions across Europe—groups usu-
this view. If people began to anticipate higher and ally less friendly to neo-liberal thinking—who have
higher levels of inflation, this analysis suggested been supportive of the drive to monetary union
that they would adjust their wage demands and (Josselin 2001; Notermans 2001). Because it can
pricing decisions accordingly, creating an upward protect a country from speculative currency at-
inflationary spiral. To break these inflationary ex- tacks, some have seen EMU as creating a more
pectations, authorities would have to re-establish stable macroeconomic environment in which pro-
their credibility and reputation for producing stable gressive supply-side reforms could be undertaken to
money by a strong commitment to price stability. promote equity, growth, and employment. In some
The perceived need for this kind of credibility and countries, adopting the euro has also been seen as a
reputation has also been reinforced by the discip- way to lower domestic interest rates by reducing risk
lining power of international capital markets (see, premiums that the markets were imposing, a result
for example, Andrews and Willett 1997). that has actually improved governments’ budget-
Neo-liberal monetary thinking played an im- ary positions and prevented cuts to the welfare
portant role in generating support for European state. Some social democrats and unions have also
Monetary Union (EMU). By eliminating a key hoped that EMU might eventually help to dilute
macroeconomic rationale for wanting a national the monetary influence of the neo-liberal Bundes-
currency in the first place (that is, the commit- bank across Europe, and encourage co-ordinated
ment to activist national monetary management), EU-wide expansionary fiscal policies. In addition,
it made policy-makers less resistant to the idea some social democrats and unions have seen EMU
of abandoning these monetary structures. Indeed, as an opportunity to reinvigorate national cor-
many policy-makers saw the currency union as a poratist social pacts in which co-operative wage
better way to achieve price stability than by main- bargaining, employment friendly taxation schemes,
taining a national currency, because the union and other social protection measures can assume
appeared to allow them to ‘import’ the German a key role in the process of adjusting to external
central bank’s anti-inflationary monetary policy. economic shocks.
Like the German Bundesbank, the new European The EMU project also had a broader political
central bank was given a strict mandate to pursue meaning. In addition to challenging US power (see
price stability as its primary goal. In addition, some below), the creation of the euro has been seen as
neo-liberals have applauded the fact that EMU, by an important symbol of the process of fostering
eliminating the possibility of national devaluations, ever-closer European co-operation. Many analysts
might encourage greater price and wage flexibility also argue that the decision to create the euro
within national economies as workers and firms are was linked to a broader political deal between
forced to confront the impact of external economic Germany and other European countries at the
‘shocks’ in a more direct fashion. time of the Maastricht Treaty. Many European
John Ravenhill chap07.tex V1 - July 30, 2007 5:13 P.M. Page 229

countries—especially France—had become in- by certain political conditions. Particularly import- 229
creasingly frustrated by the domination of the ant in that case have been the power and political

European monetary system by the German Bundes- interests of France in the colonial and post-colonial

THE EVOLUTION OF THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY AND FINANCIAL SYSTEM


bank, and they pressed for EMU as a way to context (Stasavage 2003).
dilute its influence. Germany is said to have ac- Another region where interest in monetary union
cepted EMU when it came to be seen as a trade-off has grown is the Americas. Beginning in 1999, many
for European (and especially French) support for policy-makers in that region began to debate the
German reunification in 1989 (see, for example, idea of creating a currency union that would be
Kaltenthaler 1998). based on the US dollar. Two countries—Ecuador
and El Salvador—went beyond talk to action and
introduced the US dollar as their national currency,
Currency unions elsewhere? in 2000 and 2001, respectively. The new interest
The European experiment in creating a currency in dollarization across Latin America is partly a
union has triggered talk of a similar move in some product of the ascendancy of neo-liberal monetary
other regions. Is this likely to happen? Econom- ideas there. As in Europe, many neo-liberals in the
ists try to help address this question by analysing region see the abandonment of the national cur-
whether each region resembles an ‘optimum cur- rency as a way of importing price stability; in this
rency area’ (see Box 7.4). In practice, though, this case, from the US Federal Reserve. Advocates of
kind of economic analysis has had little predict- dollarization have also argued that it will help to
ive power in the European context, or elsewhere. insulate countries from speculative financial flows,
One of the longest-standing monetary unions in the and will attract stable long-term foreign investment.
world is the CFA franc zone involving many former The dollarization debate also emerges from a
French colonies in west and central Africa, and its context where many Latin-American countries have
member countries do not come close to resem- experienced a kind of informal, partial dollarization
bling an ‘optimum currency area’. Like EMU, that since the 1970s. Local residents have often turned to
monetary union was formed and has been sustained the US dollar as a store of value, a unit of account,

BOX 7.4

Monetary Unions and the Theory of Optimum Currency Areas

The theory of optimum currency areas was first de- criteria. If selected countries experience similar
veloped by the Nobel-prize-winning economist Robert external shocks, for example, the theory notes that
Mundell (1961) to evaluate the pros and cons of they are more likely to be good candidates for mon-
forming a monetary union among a selected group of etary union, since they will each have less of a need
countries. While assuming the union will produce mi- for an independent exchange rate. Even if they exper-
croeconomic benefits in the form of lower transaction ience asymmetric shocks, the macroeconomic costs
costs for cross-border commerce, the theory focuses of abandoning national exchange rates may still be
its analytical attention on the potential macroeco- low if wages and price are very flexible within each
nomic costs associated with abandoning the exchange country, if labour is highly mobile between coun-
rate as a tool of macroeconomic adjustment. If these tries, or if there are mechanisms for transferring
costs are low, the region is said to approximate more fiscal payments among the countries. Each of these
closely an ‘optimum currency area’ that should be conditions would enable adjustments to be made
encouraged to create a monetary union. to external shocks in the absence of an exchange
To evaluate how significant these costs are in each rate.
regional context, the theory examines a number of
John Ravenhill chap07.tex V1 - July 30, 2007 5:13 P.M. Page 230

230 and even a medium of exchange, as a way to insulate have some say, the adoption of the US dollar
themselves from domestic monetary and political would leave Latin-American countries as monetary

uncertainty. The option has been made easier by the dependencies. United States, policy-makers have
ERIC HELLEINER

broader liberalization and deregulation of Latin- begun to debate what kind of support they might
American financial systems in this period. Since provide to countries that adopt the US dollar, and
informal dollarization has already eroded national their answer to date has been ‘very little’. They
monetary sovereignty considerably, it has lessened have made it clear that dollarized countries would
resistance to the idea of formal dollarization. not be offered any role in the decision-making of
Formal dollarization also has many opponents in the US Federal Reserve, and that Fed officials have
Latin America. Critics highlight that countries that no intention of taking the concerns of dollarized
dollarize are giving up key tools—domestic mon- countries into account when they set US monetary
etary policy and the exchange rate—with which policy. United States, policy-makers are not even
their governments can manage their domestic eco- willing to consider providing lender-of-last-resort
nomies. The potential costs, they argue, have been support to institutions in dollarized countries. The
well highlighted in Argentina’s recent experience. only support they have discussed seriously is the
Between 1991 and 2001, Argentina managed its na- sharing of the seigniorage revenue that the United
tional currency on a ‘currency board’ basis, which States would earn from the dollar’s circulation in
tied the value of the currency tightly to the US dollar. Latin-American countries that formally dollarize
When the country began to experience growing cur- (see Box 7.5). Even this idea, however, was not able
rent account deficits after the mid-1990s, the only to pick up enough support to be endorsed by US
way it could correct the problem—while retaining Congress or US financial officials when it was de-
this monetary regime—was to undergo a costly bated in 1999–2000. As Cohen (2002) puts it, US
deflation. This deflation produced high unemploy- policy-makers seem to prefer a policy of ‘passive
ment and dramatic cuts to government spending, neutrality’ on the question of dollarization in Latin
and contributed to the country’s massive financial America. In his view, the only scenario in which US
crisis of 2001–2. policy-makers might become much more support-
Critics also point out that, while European coun- ive is if the euro began to pose a serious challenge
tries are joining a monetary union in which they to the dollar’s international position.

BOX 7.5

What is ‘Seigniorage’?

Seigniorage is usually defined as the difference the public, its effectiveness would be undermined,
between the nominal value of money and its cost as people would either not accept the coins or ac-
of production. This difference is a kind of ‘profit’ cept them only at a discount. In more modern times,
for the issuer of money. In medieval Europe, this metallic coins no longer dominate the monetary sys-
source of revenue was often very important for rul- tem, and governments now earn seigniorage also
ing authorities. They could earn it either openly by through the issuing of paper currency as well as
adding a ‘seigniorage’ charge (above the normal mint indirectly through their regulation of the creation of
charge that offset the cost of minting) when produ- bank deposit money. National monetary authorities
cing metallic coin, or more secretly by debasing their earn seigniorage not just from the use of the money
coin through a reduction of its weight or its ‘fineness’ they issue by citizens within their borders; the in-
(by increasing the proportion of non-precious alloy). ternational use of their currency will augment the
If the surreptitious strategy were to be detected by seigniorage revenue they earn even further.
John Ravenhill chap07.tex V1 - July 30, 2007 5:13 P.M. Page 231

231
KEY POINTS

● Floating exchange rates have performed an im- been more common, particularly in Europe, where

THE EVOLUTION OF THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY AND FINANCIAL SYSTEM


portant role in facilitating balance of payments a monetary union was introduced in 1999.
adjustments, but critics argue that they have also
● Some of the same factors that prompted the de-
been subject to short-term volatility and longer-
cision to create a European monetary union have
term misalignments.
triggered proposals for monetary unions elsewhere,
● Efforts to stabilize the relationship between the most notably in the Americas. But a dollar-based
values of the world’s major currencies have been monetary union in the Americas is not likely unless
limited since the early 1970s, but initiatives to cre- the United States becomes more supportive of the
ate more stable regional monetary relations have idea.

The Dollar’s Declining Global Role?


Cohen’s (2002) observation raises the question of countries and at the international level, even when
the US dollar’s future role as a world currency. those currencies demonstrate considerable instabil-
When US policy-makers ended the dollar’s con- ity (Cohen 1998). Some foreign governments have
vertibility into gold in 1971, some predicted that also continued to hold their reserves in US dollars
US currency’s role as the dominant world cur- and denominated their international trade in dol-
rency would be challenged, since the dollar was lars because of their broader political ties with
no longer ‘as good as gold’. In fact, the dollar’s the USA (see, for example, Gilpin 1987; Spiro
central global role has endured. It has continued 1999). Perhaps most important in explaining the
to be the currency of choice for denominating in- dollar’s enduring global role, however, has been
ternational trade across most of the world, and the fact that US financial markets, particularly
has remained the most common currency held by the short-term markets, have remained among
many governments in foreign exchange reserves. the most liquid, large and deep in the world.
In the private international financial markets that This has made the holding and use of US dol-
have grown dramatically in recent years (for reasons lars particularly attractive to private actors and
explained below), the US dollar has also been used foreign governments. The two other leading eco-
more than any other currency as a store of value nomies—Japan and West Germany—have not
and for denominating transactions since the early cultivated liquid deregulated short-term money
1970s (Cohen 1998; ch. 5). The US dollar has even markets that rivalled those of the USA, in which yen-
been used to an increasing degree by market actors denominated or Deutschmark-denominated assets
within many countries—not just in Latin America could be held.
but elsewhere too—as a unit of account, a store of
value, and even a medium of exchange since the Emerging challenges to the dollar’s
1980s (Cohen 1998).
dominant position
In some respects, the US dollar’s enduring cent-
ral global position is a product of inertia. There Only very recently has the dollar’s position as the
are many ‘network externalities’ that reinforce the dominant world currency begun to be challenged
continued use of existing currencies, both within seriously. One challenge has come from the creation
John Ravenhill chap07.tex V1 - July 30, 2007 5:13 P.M. Page 232

232 of the euro in Europe. Some European policy- More generally, it is also worth noting that the
makers have supported the euro’s creation for creation of a common European central bank might

this reason: they have seen it as a tool to bol- encourage Europe to present a more unified voice
ERIC HELLEINER

ster Europe’s power in the global political economy in international monetary politics. European Union
(Henning 1998: 563–565). In outlining the official countries could, for example, unify their voting
rationale for monetary union in its ‘One Market, stances in the IMF, where they already hold a larger
One Money’ report, the European Commission collective voting share than the United States.
(1990: 194, 191), for example, praised how the The other challenge to the dollar’s role comes
euro would bring greater ‘symmetry’ to the global from Japan, where policy-makers have recently
monetary order, and force the United States to be- become much more interested in promoting the
come ‘more conscious of the limits of independent international use of the yen, especially in the East
policy-making’. Asian region (Grimes 2003). Despite Japan’s emer-
What kind of a challenge will the euro pose to gence as the world’s leading creditor in the 1980s,
the US dollar? In 1990, the European Commission the yen was used very little at the international
(1990: 182) predicted that the euro would be a par- level throughout that decade. Even the Japanese
ticularly attractive international currency because themselves relied heavily on the US dollar in their
it would be backed by a conservative central bank international transactions in both trade and fin-
dedicated to price stability, and because it would ance. Indeed, the bulk of their assets held abroad
be able to be held in unified European money mar- remained in this foreign currency, a quite unpre-
kets that would be ‘the largest in the world’. At cedented and vulnerable situation for the world’s
the time of writing, however, the euro’s challenge largest creditor.
to the dollar has proved to be less significant than The East Asian financial crisis of 1997–8 en-
this prediction. One reason has been that European couraged many Japanese policy-makers to want
financial markets remain highly decentralized and, to promote the yen’s international role, especially
in the words of Fred Bergsten (1997: 88), there is in the East Asian region, where Japan’s trade and
‘no central government borrower like the US Treas- investment was growing rapidly. The crisis high-
ury to provide a fulcrum for the market’. Cohen lighted Japan’s limited financial power in the region,
(2003) also argues that the euro’s international use and East Asia’s reliance on the US dollar. To cul-
is held back by uncertainties regarding the gov- tivate the yen’s international role, the Japanese
ernance structure, and thus the broader political government has begun to pursue various initiat-
credibility of the whole initiative. ives such as fostering a more attractive short-term
The European Commission (1990: 183) noted money market in Japan and encouraging the growth
a second way in which the euro’s creation might of yen-denominated lending from Japan.
threaten the dollar. It observed that, with no more The internationalization of the yen, however, has
intra-EC foreign exchange intervention necessary, been held back by problems in the Japanese finan-
an estimated $230 billion of the total $400 billion cial system, and by resistance from countries such
of foreign exchange reserves of EC member states as China to the idea of Japanese regional monetary
would no longer be needed, the majority of which leadership (Katada 2002). In the face of this latter
was held in dollars. If these excess reserves were resistance, some officials in Japan and elsewhere in
suddenly sold, Pauly (1992: 108) has predicted, the the region have begun to suggest that East Asian
result would be ‘destabilizing in the extreme’ for monetary co-operation might be fostered more ef-
the dollar. Again, however, European governments fectively on the basis not of the yen but of an Asian
have so far shown little interest in provoking this Currency Unit (ACU). Modelled on the European
kind of monetary confrontation with the United Currency Unit (ECU) that was a precursor to the
States. euro, the ACU could reduce the influence of the
John Ravenhill chap07.tex V1 - July 30, 2007 5:13 P.M. Page 233

dollar by acting as a unit of exchange whose value more or less stable without a dominant monetary 233
was determined by the weighed average of a bas- power. Drawing on the inter-war experience, some

ket of the region’s currencies. Although the finance have predicted that increasing global monetary in-

THE EVOLUTION OF THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY AND FINANCIAL SYSTEM


ministers of ASEAN, China, South Korea, and Ja- stability lies ahead. But others have suggested the
pan agreed to research the idea at a May 2006 opposite. David Calleo (1987; ch. 8) has long argued
meeting, the prospect of this initiative leading to a that a world monetary order based on more ‘plural-
fully-fledged East Asian monetary union any time istic’ or ‘balance of power’ principles may be more
soon is considered remote by most observers. likely to produce stability over time than one based
on hegemony. A hegemonic power, in his view, is
inevitably tempted to exploit its dominant position
Consequences of the dollar’s over time to serve its own interests rather than the
declining role? interests of the stability of the system. Interestingly,
European Commission president, Jacques Delors,
If the dollar’s dominant global position is in fact advanced a similar argument in defending the EMU
challenged in the coming years, what will be the in 1993; in his words, the creation of the euro would
consequences? To begin with, the United States make the EU ‘strong enough to force the United
will lose some benefits it has derived from the States and Japan to play by rules which would en-
currency’s status. In addition to the international sure much greater monetary stability around the
prestige that comes from issuing a dominant world world’ (quoted in Henning 1998: 565).
currency, the US dollar’s use abroad has produced
extra ‘seigniorage’ revenue for the US government,
KEY POINTS
as noted above (see Box 7.5 on page 000). The pre-
eminence of the dollar as a world currency has also ● The US dollar continued to be a dominant global
enhanced the USA’s ability to finance its external currency after it ceased to be convertible into
deficits. In addition, we have seen already how it gold in 1971. This was in large part a result of
has helped to persuade foreign governments to help the unique attractiveness of US financial markets.
correct these US deficits by adjusting their macroe- ● Recently, the US dollar’s global role is begin-
conomic policies. The USA may thus feel its policy ning to be challenged by the euro and the yen,
autonomy more constrained as the dollar’s global although these challenges should not be over-
stated.
role diminishes.
The erosion of the dollar’s central global po- ● These challenges will impose new constraints on
sition will also have consequences for the world US policy-making, but their wider systemic im-
plications for global monetary stability are hard
as a whole. In particular, it raises the question of
to predict.
whether the international monetary system will be

The Globalization of Financial Markets


The final feature of the Bretton Woods regime that Recall that the Bretton Woods architects endorsed
has broken down since the early 1970s involves a an international financial order in which govern-
trend that has already been mentioned a number of ments could control cross-border private financial
times: the globalization of private financial markets. flows, and public international institutions would
John Ravenhill chap07.tex V1 - July 30, 2007 5:13 P.M. Page 234

234 be assigned a key role in allocating short-term and be conducted on an unregulated basis. After the
long-term credit at the international level. Today, mid-1970s, the globalization of finance was encour-

this world appears to be turned upside down. aged further when many governments dismantled
ERIC HELLEINER

Enormous sums of private capital flow around the their capital control regimes, which had been in
world quite freely on a twenty-four-hour basis. And place throughout the post-war period. The United
the size of these flows dwarfs the lending activities States and United Kingdom led the way, abolishing
of the IMF and World Bank (whose loans have their national capital controls in 1974 and 1979,
become focused exclusively on poor countries). respectively. They were soon followed by other ad-
vanced industrial countries. Indeed, by the 1990s, an
almost fully liberal pattern of financial relations had
Explaining financial globalization emerged among advanced industrial states, giving
market actors a degree of freedom in cross-border
How did we get from there to here? The growth of financial activity unparalleled since the 1920s.
the global telecommunication networks has enabled Poorer countries have generally been less will-
money to be moved around the world much more ing to abolish capital controls altogether. But an
easily than in the past. A number of market devel- increasing number have done so, and others have
opments have also been significant. The dramatic liberalized their existing controls in various ways in
expansion of international trade and multinational this period. Many small poorer states—particularly
corporate activity from the 1960s onwards, for in the Caribbean—have also played a central role
example, generated some of the growing demand in fostering financial globalization by offering their
for private international financial services. The 1973 territories as a regulation-free environment for in-
oil price rise also provided a big boost to the global- ternational financial activity. Places such as the
ization of finance, when private banks took on the Cayman Islands have emerged as very significant
role of recycling the new wealth of oil-producing international banking centres in the world (Palan
countries. Private actors were also encouraged to 2003).
diversify their assets internationally by the in- Why have states largely abandoned the restrict-
creasingly volatile currency environment after the ive Bretton Woods financial regime? The growing
breakdown of the Bretton Woods exchange-rate influence of neo-liberal ideology among financial
system in the early 1970s. The risks and costs of policy-makers played a part. As we saw in the last
international financial activity were also lowered section, neo-liberals were less sympathetic to the
throughout this period by various market innov- Bretton Woods idea that national policy autonomy
ations such as the creation of currency futures, needed to be protected. Where Keynes and White
options, and swaps. had endorsed the use of capital controls for this
In addition to these technological and market de- purpose, many neo-liberals have applauded the fact
velopments, the globalization of finance has been a that international financial markets might impose
product of political choices and state decisions (Hel- an external discipline on governments pursuing
leiner 1994). In particular, it has been encouraged policies that were not ‘sound’ from a neo-liberal
by the fact that states liberalized the tight capital standpoint. Neo-liberals have also criticized the
controls they employed in the early post-war years. role that capital controls might play in interfering
The first step in this direction took place when the with market freedoms and preventing the efficient
British government encouraged the growth of the allocation of capital internationally.
‘euro-market’ in London during the 1960s. In this The liberalization of capital controls has also
financial market, the British government allowed been seen by some policy-makers as a kind of com-
international financial activity in foreign curren- petitive strategy to attract mobile financial business
cies—primarily US dollars in the early years—to and capital to their national territory (Cerny 1994).
John Ravenhill chap07.tex V1 - July 30, 2007 5:13 P.M. Page 235

The British support for the euro markets and their This question has generated much debate in the 235
decision to abolish capital controls in 1979 were field of IPE. Some have argued that financial glob-

both designed to help rebuild London’s status as a alization has severely undermined the autonomy of

THE EVOLUTION OF THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY AND FINANCIAL SYSTEM


leading international financial centre in this way. national policy, since it gives investors a powerful
The US support for financial liberalization (both ‘exit’ option to exercise against governments that
at home and abroad) was also designed to bolster stray too far from their preferences. Like Keynes
New York’s international financial position as well and White, proponents of this view argue that this
as to attract foreign capital to the uniquely deep discipline is felt particularly strongly by govern-
and liquid US financial markets in ways that could ments that pursue policies disliked by wealthy asset
help finance US trade and budget deficits. The holders, such as large budget deficits, high tax-
smaller, offshore financial centres have also seen ation, expansionary macroeconomic policies that
the hosting of an international financial centre as risk inflation, or more generally policies that re-
a development strategy that could provide employ- flect left-of-centre political values (Gill and Law
ment and some limited government revenue (from 1989; McKenzie and Lee 1991; Kurzer 1993; Cerny
such things as licenses and fees). Once governments 1994; Sinclair 1994; Harmes 1998). These new con-
such as these had begun to liberalize and deregulate straints—what Thomas Friedman (2000) calls the
their financial systems, many other governments ‘Golden Straightjacket’—are said to help explain
also felt competitive pressure to emulate their de- why governments across the world have shifted
cisions in order to prevent mobile domestic capital away from these kinds of policies since the 1970s.
and financial business from migrating abroad. As Southern governments are seen to be especially
their country’s firms became increasingly transna- vulnerable to the discipline of global financial mar-
tional and had access to foreign financial markets, kets. This is partly because their financial systems
policy-makers also recognized that national cap- are so small relative to the enormous size of global
ital controls could only be enforced in very rigid financial flows. It is also because investors tend to
ways that would be costly to the national economy be more skittish about the security of their assets
(Goodman and Pauly 1993). in contexts where economic and political instabil-
ity is higher and there is a prospect of defaults.
The 1994 Mexican peso crisis and the 1997–8 East
Implications of financial Asian financial crisis are cited to show how entire
globalization for national policy countries’ economic prospects can be devastated
overnight by a sudden loss of confidence in interna-
autonomy
tional financial markets. More generally, Southern
What have been the implications of the globaliza- countries have also suffered from the fact that their
tion of finance? One set of implications is addressed wealthy citizens have taken advantage of the new
in the next chapter: the vulnerability of global global markets to park their assets in safer Northern
financial markets to financial crises. A second financial markets. During debt crises, the size of
set of implications relates to the concerns of the this ‘flight capital’ from many debtor countries has
Bretton Woods negotiators. As noted above, they often equalled or surpassed that of the country’s
worried that a liberal international financial order external debts. In other words, these countries were
would undermine their efforts to create a stable often creditors to the world economy at the very
exchange-rate system and to protect the autonomy moment that their governments were managing a
of national policy. We have already seen how finan- severe debt crisis; if this flight capital could be repat-
cial globalization has indeed complicated the task of riated, these countries would have experienced no
maintaining fixed exchange rates. But what about its debt crisis and associated loss of policy autonomy
implications for the autonomy of national policy? (Lissakers 1991).
John Ravenhill chap07.tex V1 - July 30, 2007 5:13 P.M. Page 236

236 Other scholars suggest that these arguments had the effect of increasing rather than decreasing
about the declining policy autonomy of national the ability of the state to control monetary policy.

governments are overstated. We have seen already It enabled the state to regain control over monetary
ERIC HELLEINER

how macroeconomic theory suggests that states can policy by eliminating the overdraft economy that
retain a high degree of monetary policy autonomy had been fostered by the old financial system.
in an atmosphere of capital mobility if they are The importance of exchange-rate policy in
willing to allow the exchange rate to fluctuate (see providing a degree of macroeconomic autonomy
Box 7.3 on page 000). Ton Notermans (2000), for has also been highlighted in the case of capital flight
example, has highlighted how European govern- from Latin-American countries. Jonathan Crystal
ments such as Sweden and Norway succeeded in (1994) argues that much of the capital flight experi-
pursuing expansionary monetary policies through- enced by Latin-American countries in the 1970s and
out the 1970s and 1980s by retaining a floating 1980s could have been avoided through the use of
exchange. Indeed, from Notermans’ perspective, different exchange-rate policies. He demonstrates
these governments eventually abandoned expan- that countries maintaining overvalued exchange
sionary macroeconomic policies not because of the rates have suffered much more serious capital flight
external constraint of financial globalization but than those that have not, and shows how govern-
because of a growing inability to contain infla- ment decisions to maintain overvalued exchange
tion domestically as tripartite collective bargaining rates reflected domestic political constraints rather
structures unravelled and domestic financial innov- than the influence of global financial markets.
ation undermined traditional monetary tools. Other authors suggest that the disciplining effect
Michael Loriaux (1991) puts forward a similar of global finance on governments with high levels
analysis of the well-known experience of Mitter- of government spending, high taxation, or a more
and’s socialist government in France in the early general left-of-centre political orientation has been
1980s. When this government abandoned its uni- exaggerated (see the discussion in Hay, Chapter 10
lateral Keynesian expansion in 1983, many scholars in this volume). Garrett (1995) has highlighted how
pointed to the experience as a confirmation of many OECD governments have been able to use
the new constraints imposed by financial global- borrowing in international capital markets in the
ization. But Loriaux suggests that the constraint last two decades to finance increased government
was a more domestic one. In the new atmosphere spending (see also Swank 2002). In the 1970s, and
of floating exchange rates after 1973, he shows again during much of the 1990s, countries in Latin
how the French government was increasingly un- America and East Asia also found that global fin-
able to pursue expansionary policies because the ancial markets offered funds that enhanced their
inflationary consequences of a devaluation could fiscal autonomy in the short term. That these bor-
not easily be contained. This inability to contain rowing experiences often ended up in debt crises
inflation stemmed from the existence of an ‘over- that undermined policy autonomy was a product
draft economy’, which resulted from the structure of a number of factors often unrelated to financial
of the French domestic financial system. From this globalization, such as unexpected sudden shocks to
perspective, the French state lost control over its the world economy and particular patterns in the
macroeconomic policy not because of financial use of the borrowed funds. More generally, in a
globalization but because its domestic financial detailed study of the preferences of international
system was ill-suited to the macroeconomic im- financial market actors, Mosley (2003) found that
peratives of the new world of floating exchange these actors were concerned primarily with overall
rates. Ironically, as Loriaux points out, the fin- national inflation rates and aggregate levels of fiscal
ancial deregulation and liberalization programme deficits; they did not worry about governments’
launched by the Mitterrand government after 1983 overall level of spending, taxation, or their political
John Ravenhill chap07.tex V1 - July 30, 2007 5:13 P.M. Page 237

orientation when considering investment decisions has gained ‘structural power’ through its new ability 237
(although this result was less true when they con- to exit—or simply to threaten to exit—domestic

sidered investments in Southern countries). political settings. This power has been used to

THE EVOLUTION OF THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY AND FINANCIAL SYSTEM


Many poor countries have also found their policy reinforce neo-liberal ideology and a kind of ‘in-
autonomy boosted by an aspect of the financial ternationalization of the state’ which serves the
globalization trend that has received less attention interests of this new class (Gill and Law 1989).
from IPE scholars: flows of remittances from rich Jeffrey Frieden (1991) has also highlighted new
to poor countries. These flows have been grow- political divisions that have emerged within the
ing rapidly in recent years, and they are generally business sector. While transnational corporations
much more stable than the lending of rich-country and owners of financial assets and services have
investors. Indeed, they are sometimes even counter- gained from financial globalization, businesses that
cyclical; that is, they increase when the recipient are more nationally based have often not. In a
country is undergoing difficult economic times (see, world of heightened capital mobility, he argues,
for example, Kapur and McHale 2003). these two groups are in fact increasingly at logger-
Finally, those who think that the power of global heads over policy choices within the ‘impossible
financial markets over nation states has been over- trinity’. The former generally prefer exchange-rate
stated often point to the fact that states retain stability because of their involvement in interna-
the ability to reimpose capital controls when their tional trade and finance, even if this involves a cost
policy autonomy is threatened. The decision of of abandoning monetary policy autonomy. Those
the Malaysian government to adopt this strategy in the non-tradable sector are inclined to defend
during the East Asian financial crisis provides one monetary policy autonomy even if this involves
such example (Beeson 2000). Another prominent accepting a floating exchange rate.
case has been Chile, which has used controls on Some scholars have also analysed the gendered
speculative capital inflows in order to manage its implications of financial globalization (Singh and
relationship with the global financial system more Zammit 2000; van Staveren 2002). To the extent
effectively (Soederberg 2002). These examples are that global financial integration has been associ-
cited to support the broader point that powerful ated with the retrenchment of the welfare state,
global financial markets ultimately rest on political the costs have often been borne more by women
foundations that are established by nation states than men. Cutbacks to government spending in
(Pauly 1997). areas such as health, education, public transporta-
tion, and other social services frequently have the
effect of increasing the role played in these areas
Distributive and environmental by the unpaid sector of the economy, a sector
implications of financial traditionally dominated by women. When coun-
tries experience international financial crises, other
globalization
aspects of the burden of adjustment can also be
Scholars of international political economy have strongly gendered. During the Asian financial crisis,
also been interested in some other implications incomes in the informal sectors—where women
of financial globalization that attracted less at- are heavily represented—fell particularly sharply,
tention at Bretton Woods, one of these being its and job cuts in the formal private sector often fell
distributive impact within countries. Neo-Marxist more heavily on women. Aslanbeigui and Sum-
scholars have argued that financial globalization merfield (2000: 87, 91) also note how ‘across the
has bolstered the power of an emerging, interna- region, migrant workers, the majority of whom
tionally mobile capitalist class, while eroding that were women, were expelled from host countries’
of labour. The emerging transnational capital class and they quote the World Bank’s observation that
John Ravenhill chap07.tex V1 - July 30, 2007 5:13 P.M. Page 238

238 ‘child labour, prostitution and domestic violence’ note, push firms to harvest an entire forest for a
increased during the crisis. Other analysts have short-term windfall profit rather than manage the

also highlighted how even global financial markets forest in a sustainable fashion over the long term.
ERIC HELLEINER

themselves are made up overwhelmingly of male They conclude: ‘sustainable development is con-
traders and they operate with a culture and dis- cerned with the importance of the future. Financial
course that is hyper-masculinized (McDowell 1997; markets discount the future routinely and heavily’
De Goede 2000). (ibid.: 8). On the other hand, the short-termism of
A final issue that received little attention at the global financial markets should not be overstated,
time of the Bretton Woods conference concerns because one powerful actor in global finance—the
the environmental implications of global financial global insurance sector—does have a longer-term
markets. Scholarship on this topic has been fairly perspective that has led it to play a key role in lobby-
limited within the field of IPE to date, but some ing for action on climate change in order to reduce
interesting themes have been put forward by those the risk of future claims in this area (Paterson 2001).
who have addressed it. In particular, a number of
analysts have suggested that speculative and volatile
international financial flows reward instant eco- KEY POINTS
nomic results and short-term thinking in ways that
● The globalization of financial markets has been
greatly complicate the kind of long-term planning driven not just by technological and market pres-
that is required for the promotion of environ- sures but also by the decisions of states to
mental values. During the East Asian financial crisis, liberalize capital controls that had been popular
for example, governments scrapped environmental in the early post-war years.
programmes and there was an intensification of de- ● A hotly contested subject among IPE scholars
forestation, mining, and other economic activities concerns the question of whether, and to what
that put pressure on natural ecosystems (Durbin extent, global financial markets have eroded the
policy autonomy of national governments.
and Welch 2002). Even two analysts working with
the World Business Council on Sustainable De- ● Financial globalization has also had important
velopment acknowledge that ‘it is clear that the distributive consequences along class, sectoral,
and gender lines. Its environmental implications
globalization of investment flows is speeding the
may also be significant, but they require more
destruction of natural forests’ (Schmidheiny and detailed study.
Zorraquin 1996: 10). International investors, they

Conclusion
The international monetary and financial system principles. Since the early 1970s, the third change
has undergone three important transformations has been under way as a number of the features of
since the late nineteenth century, in response to the Bretton Woods system have unravelled.
changing economic and political conditions. Dur- In some respects, the emerging international
ing the inter-war years, the global integrated mon- monetary and financial system is reminiscent of
etary and financial order of the pre-1914 period the pre-1914 world. The commitment to a liberal
broke down. At the Bretton Woods conference of and integrated global financial order is similar, as is
1944, a new order was built on ‘embedded liberal’ the interest in regional monetary unions (although
John Ravenhill chap07.tex V1 - July 30, 2007 5:13 P.M. Page 239

these unions today are a more ambitious kind than currency zones have also led some to draw parallels 239
the Latin Monetary Union and Scandinavian Mon- to the inter-war years.

etary Union). Like their counterparts in that earlier Each of these transformations in the nature of

THE EVOLUTION OF THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY AND FINANCIAL SYSTEM


era, many contemporary policy-makers are also the international monetary and financial system has
committed to the idea that the principal goal of had important consequences for the key question of
monetary policy should be to maintain price stabil- who gets what, when, and how in the global polit-
ity. At the same time, however, the absence of a gold ical economy. Monetary and financial systems—at
standard today, and the commitment of many gov- both the domestic and international levels—serve
ernments to floating exchange rates, mark a sharp not just economic functions. They also have im-
difference from the pre-1914 period. This contrast plications for various political projects relating to
reflects the enduring commitment of many gov- the pursuit of values such as power, ideas, and in-
ernments to the idea that first emerged during the terests. For this reason, the study of money and
inter-war period, that exchange-rate adjustments finance cannot be left only to economists, who have
can play a useful role in bolstering policy autonomy traditionally dominated scholarship in this area. It
and facilitating balance of payments adjustments. also needs the attention of students of international
The beginnings of a decline in the dollar’s dominant political economy who have an interest in these
position and the growing interest in large regional wider political issues.

QUESTIONS

1. Does historical experience suggest that a hegemonic leader is necessary for a stable interna-
tional monetary and financial system to exist?
2. For how much longer will the US dollar remain the world’s key currency?
3. Has the floating exchange-rate system created a kind of ‘casino capitalism’ which is creating an
increasingly unstable global political economy? Should the leading powers attempt to stabilize
the relationship between the values of the major currencies?
4. Has the creation of the euro been a positive move for Europeans? Should other regions emulate
the European example, and are they likely to do so?
5. To what extent has financial globalization undermined the power and policy autonomy of
national governments? Is financial globalization irreversible?
6. How important has financial globalization been in influencing class, sectoral, and gender
relations within countries? What are its environmental consequences?

FURTHER READING

■ Andrews, D. (ed.) (2006), International Monetary Power (Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press). A
collection of essays concerning the relationship between state power and international money.

■ Cohen, B. (1998), The Geography of Money (Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press). An analysis of
the ways in which national currencies are being challenged in the current age by one of the pioneers
of the field of the political economy of international money.
John Ravenhill chap07.tex V1 - July 30, 2007 5:13 P.M. Page 240

240 ■ Cohen, B. (2004), The Future of Money (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press). A kind of
sequel to his The Geography of Money, which addresses key policy questions relating to the changing

nature of money in the contemporary world.
ERIC HELLEINER

■ Eichengreen, B. (1992), Golden Fetters: The Gold Standard and the Great Depression: 1919–1939
(Oxford: Oxford University Press). An analysis of international monetary and financial relations
during the inter-war years.

■ Gallarotti, G. (1995), The Anatomy of an International Monetary Regime (New York: Oxford University
Press). A survey of the political economy of the international gold standard.

■ Germain, R. (1997), The International Organization of Credit (Cambridge: Cambridge University


Press). An analysis of the evolution of the international financial system since the early modern age.

■ Henning, C. R. (1994), Currencies and Politics in the United States, Germany and Japan (Washington,
DC: Institute for International Economics). An analysis of the politics of exchange-rate policy-making
in the three leading economic powers.

■ Kirshner, J. (1995), Currency and Coercion: The Political Economy of International Monetary Power
(Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press). An analysis of how monetary relations are used as an
instrument of state power.

■ (ed.) (2002), Monetary Orders (Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press). An edited collection that
highlights the political foundations of national and international monetary systems.

■ Pauly, L. (1997), Who Elected the Bankers? Surveillance and Control in the World Economy (Ithaca,
NY: Cornell University Press). A study of the evolution of global financial and monetary governance
throughout the twentieth century.

■ Porter, T. (2006) Globalization and Finance (Oxford: Polity Press). An overview of the politics and
governance of global financial markets.

■ Strange, S. (1998), Mad Money: When Markets Outgrow Government (Ann Arbor, Mich.: University
of Michigan Press). A survey and critique of the contemporary international monetary and financial
system.

WEB LINKS

● www.attac.org The website of a leading international lobby group pressing for global financial
reform.

● www.bis.org The website of the Bank for International Settlements. The Bank is the ‘central
bankers’ bank’ and it provides detailed analyses of international monetary and financial develop-
ments.

● www.eurodad.org The website of a leading non-governmental organization based in Europe that


addresses international financial issues relating to poorer countries.

● www.imf.org The website of the International Monetary Fund.

www.oxfordtextbooks.co.uk/orc/ravenhill2e/

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