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Terms/Elements of Population
By: Imran Ahmad Sajid
Emergence of Demography
People are the material out of which nations and societies are made, and
concern over the number of people runs through history, 1from the ancient times
of Pharaoh, Greece, and Rome to the medieval and modern era. King William,
Duke of Normandy, ordered a census of England after its conquest in 1066 which
resulted in Doomsday Book. Pharaohs of Egypt began doing census as early as
2500 BC. The emperors of Rome also counted and assessed their subjects
frequently—Augustus ordered a count of the entire empire for three times during
his period. Why all this interest in counting people? To estimate tax revenue and
military manpower. 2
To know how much revenue a tax can produce, a government needs to know
how many people will be paying it. Moreover, only by knowing how many people
live in a particular district can the central government be sure that local officials
are not embezzling. For example, a local tax official might report to the imperial
government that there are 5,000 tax paying families in his district when there
are, in fact, 8,000, thus enabling him to pocket the taxes paid by 3,000 families.
By the same token, only by knowing the number of able-bodied males of military
age can a ruler estimate how large an army he can raise.
Thus, from ancient times, governments constituted census. However, there was
a problem with all these censuses, with the passage of time, they become out-
dated. The reason was obvious; populations often change rapidly. Therefore, it
may be necessary to redo a census frequently to have accurate information.
However, censuses are very expensive; therefore governments are often
reluctant to conduct them. But over time, ways have been found to gauge
population changes. It is because of the fact that populations often fluctuate in
size; governments encouraged inquiry into why this occurs. Thus was born the
science of demography.3
The word demography is formed from the Greek word demos, meaning ‘people’
and graphy meaning ‘description’. Doing demography means describing people.
1
Hustcinson. (1967). The Population Debate. Boston: Houghton Mifflin Company. P. 1.
2
Rodney Stark. (1989). Sociology. [3rd Ed.]. Belmont, California: Wadsworth Publishing
Company. P. 520.
3
Ibid. p. 522.
Whenever you here about population growth, death rate, birth rate, fertility rate
etc, you are hearing to the work done by the demographers.
• Fertility
o Fecundity
• Mortality
o Life expectancy
• Migration
o Immigration
o Emigration
• Population growth
Fertility is the actual number of births in a given population.5 On the other hand,
fertility rate is the annual number of births per 1,000 women of childbearing age,
usually between 15-44.
Fertility is of two types, natural fertility and controlled fertility. Natural fertility is
the fertility which exists in the absence of deliberate birth control. Controlled
fertility is the fertility which involves a deliberate use of birth control. 6
4
John J. Macionis. (1993). Sociology. [4th Ed.]. New Jersey: A Simon and Schuster
Company. P. 588.
5
Henry L. Tischler. (1998). Introduction to Sociology. [8th Ed.]. Balmont, California:
Wadsworth Publishing Company. P. 416.
6
Anwar Alam. (2008). Demography: Population Explosion and Control. Peshawar:
Department of Sociology, University of Peshawar. P. 105.
7
Ibid.
There were about 40,94000 live births in Pakistan during 2008 in a population of
163.76 million.8 By our formula we have
B- Mortality
Mortality is the percentage of deaths in a population. Death, as defined by the
UN, is the permanent disappearance of all evidence of life at any time after birth
has taken place.
8
Ministry of Finance. (2009). Economic Survey of Pakistan 2008-09. Islamabad: Ministry
of Finance, Government of Pakistan.
9
Henry L. Tischler. (1998). Op.Cit. p. 417.
10
Ministry of Finance. (2009). Economic Survey of Pakistan 2008-09. Islamabad: Ministry
of Finance, Government of Pakistan.
ii. Infant Mortality Rate
A third widely used demographic measure is the infant mortality rate (IMR). It is
the number of children who die within the first year of life per 1,000 live births.
Out of 1,000 babies born this year in Pakistan, more than 70 will die till next
year. It means that out of 4094000 live births in Pakistan during 2008, more than
287000 died before 2009.
IMR offers a good general measure of overall quality of life, level of health
services and physical development in a society.
C- Migration
Populations also change when people move into or outside a society. Migration is
the movement of people from one geographical area to another11.
i. Immigration
Immigration is the movement of people into a territory (let it be denoted by ‘I’).
In other words, it is the process of entering to another territory. For example,
migrants coming from Afghanistan into Pakistan are immigrants. They are
immigrating to Pakistan.
ii. Emigration
Emigration is the movement of people out of a territory (let it be denoted by ‘e’).
For example, Pakistanis going to Malaysia or Australia for permanent residence
are emigrating from Pakistan. So, it is the process of leaving a country
permanently.
Immigrants = 50
Emigrants = 65
Total population = 3000
D- Population Growth
Population growth is known as change in any population over time.13 The rate of
change in a population over a period of time is known as population growth rate
(let it be denoted by ‘r’). Population growth rate is calculated through the
following formula;
Birth rate = 50
Death rate = 25
13
Population Growth. (2010). Wikipedia. In the website Wikipedia the Free
Encyclopedia. Retrieved on December 04, 2010 from
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Population_growth
i. Positive Population Growth
Positive population growth is a situation in which the number of newborns and
the number of immigrants is greater than the number of dying and emigrating
people. Mathematically it can be expressed as
Japan, Germany, Italy (and most of other European countries), and Russia, are
experiencing a negative population growth rate.
Spain, Belgium, Austria, and Green land are experiencing almost zero population
growth rates.
Conclusion
Proper understanding of demographic concepts and terms/elements of
population change are necessary for demographers similar to the knowledge of
accounting terminologies for an accountant.