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management to the forefront of social and economic change. An important part of this change – the need
for increased and sustainable long-term investment returns – has propelled the alternative asset classes
to centre stage. To help alternative asset managers plan for the future, we have considered the likely
changes in the alternative asset management industry landscape over the coming years and identified
six key business imperatives for alternative asset managers. We have then examined how managers can
implement and prosper from each of these six imperatives.
Alternative asset
management 2020
Fast forward to centre stage
Report
www.pwc.com/alts2020
2 PwC Alternative Asset Management 2020
3 PwC Alternative Asset Management 2020
Contents
Introduction 4
Executive summary 6
Here’s how 12
Conclusion 34
Contacts 35
4 PwC Alternative Asset Management 2020
Introduction
Over the past several years, rapid developments in the global economic environment have pushed asset
management to the forefront of social and economic change. The need for increased and sustainable
long-term investment returns are an important part of this change and has propelled alternative asset
management to centre stage.
Alternative firms, with their emphasis on investment outcomes rather than products, and
specialisation rather than commoditisation, will increasingly attract investors seeking customisation,
diversification and genuine long-term alpha. At the same time, alternatives will increasingly occupy
a prominent allocation in the world’s economies, both established and emerging. Fast-forwarding to
2020, alternatives will have a centre stage role to play in the investment universe and in the global
economy.
Between now and 2020, alternative assets are expected to grow to $13.6tn in our base case
scenario and to $15.3tn in our high case scenario. High performance of capital markets driven by
accommodative monetary policies and stable GDP growth would push alternatives towards the high
case scenario. However, the possible rise of interest rates in the US and Europe, coupled with a normal
correction in the capital markets, would support the base case.
4 2.0 1.4
37.9% 6.3% 8.8% 7.4
2.5 6.5
0.8
2 1.0 3.6
0.5 2.5
0 1.0
2004 2007 2013 2020 2020
(Base case) (High case)
n Private Equity n Real Assets n Hedge Funds & FoHF
Source: PwC Market Research Centre analysis based on Prequin, HFR and Lipper data.
5 PwC Alternative Asset Management 2020
Executive
summary
The alternative
asset management
landscape in 2020
The asset management landscape is undergoing radical
change. This change was set out in a paper PwC published in
early 2014 – Asset Management 2020: A Brave New World.1
The paper captures the global trends impacting the industry
in the coming years and identifies the consequences of these
trends. The key predictions it makes are outlined below and
supplemented with a brief analysis of the potential impact on
the alternative asset management sector:
• A
sset management moves centre-stage. Changing demographics and
markets will thrust asset management to centre-stage. First, regulation
will continue to hinder banks: for alternatives this furthers significant
opportunities such as catalyst hires from banks and the opportunity to
further step into the funding gap. Second, as the world ages, retirement
Public pension fund turns to
and healthcare will become critical issues that asset management can alternatives
solve: capital preservation and alpha generation will be key. Third, By 2020, there will be a fundamental shift
asset managers will dominate the capital raising required to support towards alternatives by many sovereign
and public pension funds. This is the
growing urbanisation and cross-border trade: growing asset classes
continuation of a trend that first gained
in infrastructure and real estate play into alternatives firms’ areas of
traction in the US and then globally. In
expertise. Fourth, asset managers will be at the centre of efforts by April 2015, for instance, the world’s largest
sovereign investors to invest and diversify their huge pools of assets: pension fund, the $1.1tn Government
alternative firms are ideally positioned to partner with them. Pension Investment Fund (GPIF) of Japan
announced a new strategic asset mix in a
•
Huge rise in assets and shift in investor base. Alternative assets are bid to achieve higher returns and address
expected to grow between now and 2020 to reach more than $13.6tn the needs of an ageing population.
in our base-case scenario and $15.3tn in our high-case scenario. Assets Significantly, GPIF’s new mandate allows
under management in the SAAAME (South America, Asia, Africa and for a 5% allocation to alternatives,
the Middle East) economies are set to grow faster than in the developed representing a significant opportunity for
world as these economies mature. This growth will be evidenced by the alternative firms. And it will not end there.
Three smaller funds managing about
projected emergence of 21 new sovereign investors, the vast majority of
$250bn – the Promotion and Mutual Aid
which will originate from SAAAME.
Corporation for Private Schools of Japan,
the Pension Fund Association for Local
•
Growth in assets will be driven principally by three key trends: a
Government Officials, and the Federation
government-incentivised shift to individual retirement plans; the increase of National Public Service Personnel
of high-net-worth-individuals from emerging populations; and the Mutual Aid Associations – plan to adopt a
growth of sovereign investors. This creates the need for more tailored, mix similar to GPIF.
outcome-based alternative products that provide capital preservation, By 2020, it is expected that global pension
but provide upside opportunities. fund assets will have reached $56.6tn,
with alternative assets expected to play
a considerably larger role in their asset
allocation mix.
Source: Adoption of New Policy Mix (GPIF)
October 31, 2014 gpif.go.jpou
1 www.pwc.com/AM2020
11 PwC Alternative Asset Management 2020
50 •
New breed of global managers.
4.0%
40
Traditional managers leverage
11.3%
their existing platforms,
30 distribution capabilities and
56.6
20 37.1
brands to develop full-service,
29.4 multi-asset class alternative
10 21.3
businesses. A few of today’s largest
0 diversified alternative firms will
2004 2007 2013 2020
become mega-managers in their
Sources: PwC Market Research Centre = CAGR own right, establishing a presence
analysis based on City UK and Towers Watson
in all the key geographies and
investor segments. The largest
•
Pressures on the asset alternative firms will continue
management industry. their growth trajectory and
Alongside rising assets, there diversification through product,
will continue to be increased asset class and distribution
regulatory requirements, rising expansion, fuelled by build, buy
costs and pressure to reduce fees. and borrow strategies. Specialist
Alternative firms do not escape firms will seek ‘best-of-breed’
this pressure and will seek to status by producing sustained
respond proactively. performance, while certain
emerging firms will fight for shelf
•
Distribution is redrawn – space.
regional and global platforms
dominate. New markets and •
Asset management enters the
untapped investor types will twenty-first century. By 2020,
open up if alternative firms can technology and data-informed
develop the products and access decision-making will become
the distribution channels to tap mission critical to drive investor
them. By the early 2020s, four engagement, data analytics,
distinct regional fund distribution operational and cost efficiency,
blocks will have been formed and regulatory and tax reporting.
allowing products to be sold pan- Data management and investment
regionally. These are: north Asia, in technology have not always
south Asia, Latin America and been a top priority for alternative
Europe. However, these blocks firms – this will change.
benefit traditional firms more than
12 PwC Alternative Asset Management 2020
Here’s how
The rest of this section looks at each of these key imperatives in turn
and examines how managers of alternative strategies can implement
and prosper from them.
13 PwC Alternative Asset Management 2020
Here’s how:
Sovereign investors By 2020, there will be more
require a direct sovereign investor participation
and individualistic in alternatives with the largest
approach to earn increases in allocations likely to
their business. be private equity, real estate and
infrastructure. Sovereign investors
pay a great deal of attention to past
performance, regardless of the size
Figure 4: Sovereign investors’ assets in USD tn of the asset management firm, so
distribution to sovereign investors is
not limited to mega-alternative asset
18 6.2% 15.3 firms. If long-term performance is
16 outstanding, firms of any size can
14 9.8% 11.3 secure mandates.
12 6.4
Sovereign investors require a direct
10 and individualistic approach to
8
5.5 4.2 4.3
4.6
earn their business. Alternative
3.5
6 2.8 3.0
3.3 asset firms need to thoroughly
2.7
4 2.2 8.9 understand these non-homogeneous
6.1 6.7
4.1 4.8 5.2 6.3 institutions, their individual needs
2 3.3 4.0 4.4
and objectives, and develop long-
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2020
term relationships with them.
n SWF n PPRF
Source: SWF Institute & PwC Market Research Centre
The builders will look inwardly for Figure 8: US alternative asset management deal volume by subsector
growth, leveraging their existing
capabilities and investment talent to
45
create repeatable models, in the belief
40
that their current platform is flexible 8
35 13
enough to accommodate change 6
and growth. They become adept at 30
14
identifying, recruiting and developing 25 14
talent and make doing so a strategic 20 10 11
8 12
focus and competency. They also 34
15 30 30
create talent mobility programmes,
10 21
as practised by many successful 17
19 18 16
15
traditional investment firms. 5
0
The buyers will primarily comprise 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
managers who are looking to n Hedge fund and CLOs n Private equity and venture capital
expand their alternative capabilities Source: Thomson Reuters, SNL and PwC analysis
across asset classes and strategies
by acquiring talent, track record
and scale overnight. As discussed Figure 9: Acquisitions of US alternative asset managers by foreign buyers
in PwC’s Asset Management M&A
17
trends paper,6 alternative asset
management deals will dominate the 10
M&A market. And this deal flow will 2
not be solely US domestic activity, as 8
Number of deals
alternative asset management Source: Thomson Reuters, SNL and PwC analysis
Partnership models evolve Figure 10: As per the Financial Stability Board (FSB), shadow banking assets
accounted for 25% of the global financial assets in 2013*. By 2020 do you think
The shift from standardised that shadow banking assets will be:
products to customised solutions
drives more interaction between
asset managers and their clients. 0% 0% 16% 66% 18%
Asset managers effectively partner
with institutional investors to
address bespoke needs. These new
relationships will bring with them
even greater alignment of interest in
terms of economics, transparency,
service and risk management.
55% or more of 45% to less than 35% to less than 25% to less than less than 25% of
In the case of the largest and most global financial 55% of global 45% of global 35% of global global financial
sophisticated institutional investors, assets financial assets financial assets financial assets assets
the discussion of co-investing and
fees will by 2020 have evolved into Source: PwC Capital Markets 2020. Base: 261 Capital Markets Surveyed firms
a discussion of economic sharing to *At approximately USD 70 trillion up from USD 26 trillion a decade earlier.
Reporting Agility
Operational
due
Scale
diligence
Risk Security
Institutional Industrial
Quality strength
Talent Efficiency
Regulation Automation
Measurement
Operations
Source: PwC
•
Reassessing the organisational
design across key areas to Getting to grips with complexity and capabilities
ensure there is the right balance A day in the life of a functional manager in 2020 will be very different from today.
of vertical (fund/entity) Dashboard reporting allows them to monitor, measure and manage operations in a
vs. horizontal (functional) proactive manner. Predictive models allow them to better understand how changes in
orientation. operational demand drivers relating to new products, new strategies, new distribution
channels and volume of transactions will impact their complexity profile and inform
•
Bifurcating roles where
strategic planning. A more data-informed understanding of operational demands
operational demands and unique and operational costs allows managers to better understand the marginal costs of
skill sets highlight the need to do launching and managing different products. As a result, senior management will better
so. Examples include separating understand the capability profile of their support functions and functional managers
the reporting function from the are better able to quantify the return on investments needed to create operating
accounting group and separating leverage, efficiency and scalability.
investor servicing from investor
relations.
•
Enhancing management insight Figure 12: From institutional quality to industrial strength
into the costs, profitability and
capital required to operate, or Current state Future state
invest in new business segments,
Limited ability to quantify operational
geographies or products. Data-driven decision-making tools
investment needs
•
Using data analytics tools
No standard operating metrics More standard operating metrics
to identify and understand
operational, tax or compliance Proactive responses to business
Reactive to business mix changes
anomalies and make decisions mix changes
based on them. Inconsistent performance and More standard measures of performance
profitability metrics and profitability
Controlling operational risk Process automation and elimination of
High degree of manual processing
low value add on work
Alternative firms in the 2020s
have undertaken systematic Suboptimal use of sourcing and Better use of sourcing and
staffing strategies staffing strategies
reassessments to identify, prioritise
and manage their key business and “We understand why we’re different and
“We’re different”
can manage it”
operational risks, and to enhance
the effectiveness of their operations. Source: PwC
The results of these risk assessments
will provide a clearer picture
of operational risks and allow
management to focus on issues that Alternative firms to build dynamic compliance functions
really matter. The main ways alternative firms will build more dynamic compliance activities are:
• Building and enhancing controls and processes around their regulatory reporting
as they do for other critical business activities. This requires greater collaboration
Here’s how:
between those with the subject matter expertise (compliance and legal) and those
Improvement initiatives are with reporting and analytical skills and control mindset (fund accounting).
targeted first at functions under • Investing in broader compliance resources with interdisciplinary skills extending
high operational pressure and beyond legal and compliance into analytics, reporting and technology.
consuming a high percentage of fee • Pushing certain routine compliance activities into business units.
income. Targeted initiatives allow
• Rationalising and reconciling the myriad reporting requirements.
firms to identify stress points in
their operations, such as immature • Developing a flexible data strategy to allow for centralised data capture either in-
house or via outsourced solutions.
IT applications, key person
dependency, and ad hoc processes • Creating more systematic compliance programmes and checklists including
automated record retention and filing, reminders and summary of information for
supporting the end-to-end lifecycle.
proper review.
There will be a reduced reliance on
• Shifting from a ‘rules-based’ approach to compliance to a ‘principles-based’
spreadsheets, manual processes and
approach for more consistent controls on a global basis.
individuals with a high degree of
• Investing in local expertise and creating local processes as alternative firms target
institutional knowledge.
investors from less saturated markets and adapt to new regulatory requirements.
28 PwC Alternative Asset Management 2020
Here’s how:
The right resources,
The key organisational design
in the right places elements that will be adopted
Organisational redesign and by alternative firms in 2020 and
sourcing decisions are often beyond include:
approached merely as exercises to • Transaction centres. Some large
reduce costs. In fact, they are much firms will shift middle and back
more than that. These decisions offices to offshore transaction
will increasingly reflect an analysis centres that support ‘business-
of the resources needed to remain agnostic’ activities. The activities
competitive and drive both quality best served by these centres are
and profitability for the longer term. routine, repeatable transactions
Put simply, it is about planning to (e.g. cash reconciliations, loan
make sure an organisation has the administration, asset custody and
right resources, in the right places, security master maintenance).
at the right time. These centres function as high-
There is no universal blueprint volume processing centres,
for organisational design. Each driving scale by reducing costs
alternative firm has its own DNA per unit, facilitating capacity
and must develop its own approach, increases. Other firms may
although common concepts and decide to operate near-shore
design elements permeate many operational hubs to support some
organisations. or all of the above organisational
components.
Key variables alternative firms
will address by 2020 to inform •
Centres of excellence. By
organisational design include the contrast, centres of excellence
volume and type of transactions, focus on higher value activities
the complexity of the asset classes than would be supported by a
and investment strategies, the transaction centre. For example,
predictability of the activity and the a transaction centre may perform
nature of the distribution channels. cash reconciliations while the
Other considerations include the centre of excellence is responsible
regulatory and tax environments for processing, account set-up
in which the firm is operating, and maintenance. The ethos of
the availability of talent and the these centres is ‘practise makes
proximity needed to the investment perfect’. They ensure that firms
process. avoid multiple handoffs, are
better able to handle peak/valley
As a result of the measurement problems, and can build deep
and analysis of these and other expertise to use across the firm.
variables, by 2020 we see a range of These centres can be organised by
organisational changes across the function (horizontal orientation)
alternatives spectrum. or business/segment (vertical
orientation). For example, a
Each alternative functional model may process all
firm has its the capital activity for a private
own DNA and equity, real estate and a hedge
must develop its fund while a business/segment
own approach, model would handle the end-to-
end servicing for each fund type.
although common
concepts and
design elements
permeate many
organisations.
29 PwC Alternative Asset Management 2020
•
Hybrid models. Some firms purely at reducing costs. This leads
will opt for a combination of to underinvestment in operations, The emergence of financial
functional and business-aligned resulting in infrastructure that is market utilities
models. This may lead to the inflexible and unable to scale for In response to new regulation, by 2020,
creation of business segments by complexity, regulatory requirements incumbent and emergent financial market
strategy or fund type, overseen and growth. utilities (FMUs) will have expanded across
by the fund CFO/controller. And, the capital markets value chain and will play
these may be functional teams, an increasing role with alternative firms.
Here’s how: These FMUs will expand from those that
which support multiple business
Alternative firms by 2020 will are mandated in the capital markets (e.g.
segments, strategies or funds. trading, clearing and settlement activities)
make more effective use of right-
sourcing strategies, using third- to those that facilitate and lower the cost
•
Dedicated teams. Firms and operational burden of processes such
increasingly build stand-alone party administrators, other business
as investor onboarding and other investor
teams to support underserved process outsourcing firms, and data and documentation challenges. Many,
areas such as new fund launches other vendors to create variable if not most, of these emerging utilities will be
and client onboarding, driving costing models and buy in key skills. owned by different consortiums of financial
process and technology best Right-sourcing is the process by institutions, existing FMUs and financial
which an asset management firm technology players. The FMUs and the entities
practices and integrating between
determines how to most efficiently that own them will themselves pursue growth
multiple stakeholders. through build or buy strategies to complement
and effectively provide back- and
core offerings and create new service models
• Substance. The ongoing impact middle-office services. for alternative firms.
of regulation and tax will also
Source: PwC Capital Markets 2020, will it change for good?
drive organisational change. By 2020, a number of new
Maintaining an adequate level solutions will take hold to increase
of local activity and genuine standardisation, enhance control
substance in key jurisdictions is and promote transparency for
a growing focus of managers in alternative firms and the broader
addressing tax and regulatory capital markets. These include
developments. AIFMD, for financial market utilities (FMUs),
instance, may lead non-EU emerging and nascent technologies,
alternative firms, particularly and utility-like platforms in areas
those based in the US, to create such as Know Your Customer,
new AIFM entities in Europe anti-money laundering, and other
or to transform an existing risk and regulatory requirements.
marketing and research unit into By 2020, we will also see a
an AIFM. These new entities must number of specialised operations
have substance for operations, and technology carve-outs run
regulatory and risk management as separate companies, and in
matters. combination with one another,
to provide specialised services
Holistic view of sourcing to multiple players across the
alternatives industry.
Sourcing has long been a key driver
of profitability in other industries, In a growth environment, recruiting
and a way to improve operating and retaining talent is a key issue.
leverage and access specific skills Anticipating talent shortages in
and information. Hedge fund growing areas like operations, tax
firms, in particular, have embraced and compliance, alternative firms
the outsourcing of non-core will make right-sourcing in these key
activities. But some firms leading areas a strategic focus.
up to the 2020s will recognise the
Most hedge fund and hybrid fund
importance of a broader sourcing
asset management firms outsource
strategy for their operations. The
at least one back-office function to a
challenge for alternative firms
third-party service provider in 2015.
when assessing their operations
is to avoid implementing one-
dimensional initiatives aimed
30 PwC Alternative Asset Management 2020
By 2020,
technology will
have streamlined
the operational
due diligence
process. Many
manual processes
are bypassed by
a more bilateral
technology-enabled
process which
avoids the need
to rekey data
and facilitates
comparisons
across alternative
asset management
firms.
34 PwC Alternative Asset Management 2020
Conclusion
Greater homogeneity will not mean that alternative firms will lose their
edge. On the contrary, increasing standardisation and repeatability of
key operational processes will confer durability and should lead to higher
profitability in the years ahead.
Contacts
Editorial Board Contacts for business From institutional
Mike Greenstein imperatives quality to industrial
Partner, US & Global Alternatives Leader Choose your channels strength
PwC (US) Mike VanDemark
Sovereign Investors
+1 646 471 3070 Partner, US Asset Management Technology
Oscar Teunissen
michael.s.greenstein@us.pwc.com Leader
Partner, Global Sovereign Investors
Olwyn Alexander Tax Leader PwC (US)
Partner, EMEA Alternatives Leader PwC (US) +1 646 471 8859
PwC (Ireland) +1 646 471 3223 michael.vandemark@us.pwc.com
+353 (0) 1 7928719 oscar.teunissen@us.pwc.com
olwyn.m.alexander@ie.pwc.com Retail
The right resources in
Carlyon Knight-Evans David Brown the right places
Partner, Asia-Pacific Alternatives Leader Partner, Asset Management Tim Mueller
PwC (Hong Kong) PwC (UK) Partner, US Alternatives Advisory Leader
+852 2289 2711 david.brown@uk.pwc.com PwC (US)
carlyon.knight-evans@hk.pwc.com +44 (0) 7725 704549 +1 646 471 5516
Rob Mellor Peter Finnerty timothy.mueller@us.pwc.com
Partner, Global Asset Management Partner, US Mutual Funds Leader Tim Wright
2020 Leader PwC (US) Partner, Asset Management
PwC (UK)
+1 617 530 4566 PwC (UK)
peter.finnerty@us.pwc.com +44 (0) 20 7212 4427
+44 (0) 20 7804 1385
robert.mellor@uk.pwc.com Jose-Benjamin Longree tim.wright@uk.pwc.com
Partner, Global Fund Distribution Leader
John Siciliano
Managing Director & Asset Management
PwC (Luxembourg) It’s not only about
Global Strategy Lead
+352 49 48 48 2033 the data
jose-benjamin.longree@lu.pwc.com
PwC (US) Technology
Emerging Markets
+1 646 471 5170 Julien Courbe
Justin Ong
john.c.siciliano@us.pwc.com Partner, US Asset Management Advisory
Partner, Asia Asset Management Leader
Michael Spellacy Leader
PwC (Singapore)
Partner, Wealth Management PwC (US)
+65 62363708
PwC (US) +1 646 471 4771
justin.ong@sg.pwc.com
+1 646 471 2076 julien.courbe@us.pwc.com
Joao Santos
michael.spellacy@us.pwc.com Partner, Brazil Asset Management Leader Tax
Andrew Thorne PwC (Brazil) Rob Mellor
Partner, Asset Management +55 11 3674 2224 Partner, Global Asset Management 2020
PwC (US) joao.santos@br.pwc.com Leader
+1 617 530 7606 PwC (UK)
andrew.thorne@us.pwc.com Build, buy or borrow +44 (0) 20 780 41385
Sam Yildirim robert.mellor@uk.pwc.com
Dariush Yazdani
Partner, Asset Management Partner, Asset Management Deals Leader Will Taggart
PwC (Luxembourg) PwC (US) Partner, Global Asset Management Tax
+352 49 48 48 2191 +1 646 471 2169 Leader
samiye.yildirim@us.pwc.com PwC (US)
dariush.yazdani@lu.pwc.com
+1 646 471 2780
More standardisation, william.taggart@us.pwc.com
more customisation Florence Yip
John Siciliano Partner, Asia Asset Management Tax
Managing Director & Asset Management Leader
Global Strategy Lead PwC (Hong Kong)
PwC (US) +852 2289 1833
+1 646 471 5170 florence.kf.yip@hk.pwc.com
john.c.siciliano@us.pwc.com
www.pwc.com/assetmanagement
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