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PERSPECTIVES

and where various polysaccharides are de- biosynthesis may also require “ancillary fac- References
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improved raw materials for biofuels. tors are and determine their biochemical func- 3. R. A Burton et al., Science 311, 1940 (2006).
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al. is that CslF proteins are involved in β-glucan linkages of β-glucan? Or does CslF make one 495 (2000).
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polysaccharide could be detected only in known functions. Still, the roles of the many 10. A. J. Ragauskas et al., Science 311, 484 (2006).
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moter. Burton et al. speculate that β-glucan many? More food for thought. 10.1126/science.1125938

GEOPHYSICS
The occurrence of four fatal earthquakes within
Dangerous Tectonics, Fragile

Downloaded from www.sciencemag.org on May 18, 2008


and around the Indian plate in the last 5 years,
including two great ones, highlights the need
Buildings, and Tough Decisions for earthquake-resistant construction and
replacement throughout the region.
Roger Bilham

hen the going gets tough, it is merely going slip. Such barriers pin the ends of earth- trophe, produced no substantial tsunami—

W a matter of time before rupture on a


plate boundary gets going—again.
Stresses from Indonesia’s December 2004
quake ruptures, yet no one is certain how they do
it (3–5). Slip often nucleates from them and/or to
them, and occasionally straight through them, as
energy release was one-fifth, rupture length one-
quarter, and maximum uplift one-half that of the
December earthquake, and most of the uplift
moment magnitude (Mw) = 9.2 earthquake took was the case in contiguous great Japanese earth- occurred on land rather than beneath the sea.
92 days to reach across the island of Simeulue quakes that sometimes rupture individually and But the measurements also captured Simeulue
before they propelled a second great earth- at other times simultaneously (6). Dual behavior in the act of impeding, or seeding, rupture. The
quake, this time to the south. Deformation in is vexing because it implies that barriers cannot corals tell of a 20-cm uplift of the foundations to
this 28 March Mw = 8.7 Nias earthquake was always be relied on to arrest rupture, adding a their watery homes in 2003 during a Mw = 7.3
captured in unprecedented detail, as reported on chaotic element to forecasting the locations of earthquake. This modest ancestor to the two
page 1897 of this issue by Briggs and his col- likely future events. Barriers prevent small earth- great earthquakes separated their slip areas but
leagues (1). At that time, the authors were docu- quakes from becoming big earthquakes at all failed to trigger either event. Briggs and co-
menting the effects of its December predeces- scales, and many problems in seismology would authors speculate that most probably the barrier
sor, which, at Mw = 9.2, was the largest earth- benefit from a better understanding of their corresponds to a scissors-like tear in the de-
quake in 40 years. physics (7). Serendipitously, the Simeulue bar- scending plate. Certainly, elucidation of its struc-
Had the March Nias quake with its rupture rier afforded a veiled view of some of its secrets ture and rheological properties are now of great
length of 400 km occurred simultaneously with during the flurry of postseismic deformation importance to understanding how it permitted
that of the earlier 1600-km-long neighbor, the studies that followed December’s earthquake. earthquakes to nucleate to north and south, and
total energy release would have been equivalent to The time history of vertical deformation may provide important clues applicable to earth-
a Mw = 9.3 earthquake. But it didn’t, and the rea- there is recorded in the growth and kill fields of quakes elsewhere.
sons for its hesitation now pose interesting ques- a million tiny corals (8). In December the north- These clues are more than of esoteric interest
tions, the answers to which have important conse- ern end of the island rose 1.4 m. Near-shore because numerous segments of Southeast Asia’s
quences for nations in the path of plate collisions corals responded to the twisting and bending of plate boundaries are today sufficiently mature to
in Southeast Asia. Each end of this new 2000-km- their island, dying where exposed to the tropical slip in massive earthquakes. They include not
long rip along the northeast edge of the Indo- sun, but establishing new thriving colonies only segments of the Sunda arc east of the March
Australian plate now points suggestively at safely below the lowest tides. On 28 March earthquake that are clearly ripe for failure (2, 3),
adjoining segments of the plate boundary that are 1.6-m uplift of the southern end of the island but also the region of the Indo-Burman ranges
themselves considered overdue for rupture (2, 3). again checked their growth, establishing yet north of the December rupture, which has no
Why did the rupture stop where it did, and could lower, optimum growth levels from which recent history of significant slip, and where such
the plate boundary conceivably rip further? Briggs and co-workers have pieced together an slip must now be considered quite possible. They
Simeulue, an island similar in size and shape elegant four-dimensional time history of distor- also include parts of the Himalaya and India’s
to Long Island, New York, lies above a wrinkle in tion of the island’s shorelines. The complex western plate boundary.
the plate boundary—ground zero to both the deformation of Simeulue and its neighboring The Indian plate has been cornered by four
December and March earthquakes, and, appar- islands was confirmed by data from Global killer quakes in the past 5 years: the Mw = 7.6
ently, a barrier tough enough to prevent through- Positioning System receivers placed throughout Bhuj (≈18,500 dead), the Mw = 9.2 Sumatra-
the islands (and mainland) monitoring the after- Andaman rupture (≈300,000 dead), the 28
The author is in the Department of Geological Sciences,
math of the December event. March earthquake (>700 dead) and most
University of Colorado, Boulder, CO 80309, USA. E-mail: The measurements indicated clearly why the recently the Mw = 7.6 Kashmir earthquake
roger.bilham@colorado.edu March earthquake, unlike the December catas- (73,338 dead as of January 2006). This fatal

www.sciencemag.org SCIENCE VOL 311 31 MARCH 2006 1873


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