Beruflich Dokumente
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SAFETY ASSESSMENTS
FOR
OFFSHORE FACILITIES
OFFSHORE DEPARTMENT,
RISK AND RELIABILITY SERVICES
FEBRUARY 1998
Det Norske Veritas Statement of Capability
Offshore i February 1998
Table of Contents
Page
1 SAFETY ASSESSMENTS FOR OFFSHORE FACILITIES................................................................ 1
2 OFFSHORE SAFETY AT DNV ............................................................................................................ 2
3 RANGE OF SERVICES......................................................................................................................... 3
3.1 Concept Safety Evaluations......................................................................................................... 3
3.2 Quantified Risk Assessment (QRA) ............................................................................................ 3
3.3 Hazard and Operability Studies (HAZOP)................................................................................... 5
3.4 Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA) ...................................................................................................... 6
3.5 Evacuation Studies ..................................................................................................................... 6
3.6 Ship Collision Studies................................................................................................................. 6
3.7 Human Factors ........................................................................................................................... 7
3.8 Pipeline Studies .......................................................................................................................... 7
3.9 Simultaneous Drilling and Production ........................................................................................ 8
3.10 Subsea Systems........................................................................................................................... 8
3.11 Platform Modifications ............................................................................................................... 8
3.12 Reliability Studies....................................................................................................................... 8
3.13 Production Regularity/Availability Studies.................................................................................. 8
3.14 Studies by other DNV Departments ............................................................................................ 9
4 SOFTWARE......................................................................................................................................... 10
4.1 OHRAT.................................................................................................................................... 10
4.2 PHAST..................................................................................................................................... 10
4.3 DNV-Pro 97 ............................................................................................................................. 11
4.4 LEAK....................................................................................................................................... 11
4.5 CRASH .................................................................................................................................... 11
4.6 ESCAPE................................................................................................................................... 11
4.7 CARA ...................................................................................................................................... 12
4.8 TECSIM................................................................................................................................... 12
4.9 TECJET ................................................................................................................................... 12
4.10 RAMA...................................................................................................................................... 12
5 DNV - THE COMPANY AND ITS RESOURCES.............................................................................. 14
5.1 COMPANY BACKGROUND .................................................................................................. 14
5.2 COMPUTING AND INFORMATION SYSTEMS.................................................................... 15
5.3 QUALITY ASSURANCE......................................................................................................... 15
5.3.1 Independence and Objectivity ..................................................................................... 15
5.3.2 Technical and Scientific Quality ................................................................................. 16
5.3.3 Practical Benefit to Clients ......................................................................................... 16
6 EXPERIENCE IN OFFSHORE SAFETY STUDIES ......................................................................... 17
3 RANGE OF SERVICES
DNV aims to provide a full range of services to clients in the area of safety assessments of
offshore facilities. The main types of service are described briefly below under broad subject
headings.
terms of probability of a small, significant, large, very large hydrocarbon release to the sea.
A flow diagram for a typical QRA can be seen in Figure 1.
Figure 1: Flow Diagram For a QRA
SYSTEM DEFINITION
Define scope & objectives
Select methodology & criteria
Define installation & environment
HAZARD IDENTIFICATION
Hazard assessment
Failure case selection
RISK PRESENTATION
Summation of frequency/consequance results
The first stage of a QRA is the System Definition. The System Definition defines the
installation or the activity whose risks are to be analyzed. The scope of work for the QRA
should define the boundaries for the study to be analyzed, identifying which activities are
included and which are excluded.
The next stage is to carry out some form of Hazard Identification exercise. The Hazard
Identification consists of a qualitative review of possible accident scenarios that may occur
based upon previous accident experience or judgment where necessary. For the actual
QRA the hazard identification exercise provides a list of possible failure scenarios which
are suitable for modeling quantitatively.
Once the hazards have been identified, a Frequency Analysis estimates how likely it is for
the accidents to occur. The frequencies can be obtained from either analysis of previous
accident experience, or by some form of quantitative modeling.
In parallel with the Frequency Analysis, Consequence Modeling evaluates the resulting
effects if the accidents occur, and their impact on personnel, equipment, structures, and
the environment. Estimation of the consequences of each possible event often requires
some form of computer modeling, but may be based on accident experience or judgment if
appropriate.
When the frequency and consequences of each event have been estimated, they can be
combined to form measures of overall risk.
The QRA methodology can also be used to estimate the Temporary Refuge Impairment
Frequency (TRIF) and identify issues that could impact engineering and costs, or those
that need special attention during detailed engineering
the economic risk of failures. DNV has used simulation techniques successfully for such
studies, especially where there is a pipeline network.
4 SOFTWARE
The experience of highly qualified engineers, scientists, and human factors experts, backed-up
by an excellent portfolio of risk assessment software, provides a unique ability to supply safety
and risk assessment consultant services to industry.
4.1 OHRAT
OHRAT (Offshore Hazard and Risk Analysis Toolkit) is an advanced and powerful software
package for QRA studies of offshore installations. It includes a wide range of consequence
models and risk-impact models, presented in a structure that allows exceptional flexibility and
tractability. This means that it is ideally suited to reflecting the developments affecting the
installation as they occur over time, so that the risk analysis can easily be kept up-to-date,
following the advice of the Cullen Report on the inquiry into the loss of Piper Alpha, and as
required by Norwegian legislation.
OHRAT was developed by DNV under a system of sponsorship involving most of the major
oil companies operating in the North Sea. A major factor in this development was the desire for
a more uniform and standardized approach to offshore QRA and the tools used, and OHRAT
makes such an approach possible.
In 1992 DNV completed the development of OHRAT. OHRAT is a major development in the
application of software technology to offshore risk assessment, and is supported by leading
operators in the North Sea. OHRAT combines existing modeling with the latest graphics,
overlaying a relational database management system.
DNV is currently in the process of updating OHRAT and it will be available in a Windows
format in 1999.
4.2 PHAST
The PHAST Professional program is a complete package for consequence analysis and
risk analysis in onshore process engineering. PHAST Professional’s sophisticated
modeling calculates effect distances produced by hazardous events. With this information,
you can evaluate the need for mitigating measures such as changes in design, operation or
response. PHAST software can be used to model a proposed facility or operational
change to ease the selection of the most effective solutions. PHAST Professional is a
leader in its field, and is used at over 800 sites throughout the world.
With PHAST Professional, you can define special events, model a leak of a mixture of
materials, model the change in a leak over time, investigate the details of behavior with special
stand-alone models and much, much more.
4.3 DNV-Pro 97
DNV-Pro 97 is the result of a partnership between DNV and Dyadem International. DNV-Pro
97 is a system that allows customization of displays, templates and reporting functions. DNV-
Pro 97 is a guideword, knowledge-based hazard identification tool that supports:
• HAZOP
• Failure Modes Effects Analysis (FMEA)
• What/If checklist
• Preliminary Hazards Analysis
• Your own customized methodology.
DNV-Pro 97 replaces HAZSEC, DNV’s DOS based recording system.
4.4 LEAK
LEAK is a tool for calculating leak frequencies for process plants and installations. The core of
LEAK is a background database that contains leak and reliability data for a wide range of
equipment, collected from operators worldwide. To obtain the leak frequency for a particular
group of equipment on your installation, you specify the number and type of items in the group,
and LEAK cross-references with the database to calculate the total frequency.
4.5 CRASH
This is a tool for Risk Analysts dealing with offshore installations. It contains a database of
shipping routes and traffic for the UK sector of the Continental Shelf, and uses this to calculate
the risk of ship collision for a platform at any given location in this sector. CRASH was
developed by DNV Technica and SPD on behalf of the UK Department of Energy.
4.6 ESCAPE
ESCAPE simulates the launch of a lifeboat of specified design in specified weather
conditions, modeling the swinging descent of ht boat. It calculates the probability that the
boat is damaged by impact with the platform’s structure during the descent. The program
performs the calculations for a representative range of weather conditions, producing a
balanced picture of the risk of an unsuccessful launch.
The ESCAPE program consists of four separate sections:
• Mobile Rig Motion
• Survival Craft Descent to the Water
• Survival Craft Departure from the Platform
• Survival Craft Impact Resistance and Failure Probability
Two of these are numerical simulations of the process of lowering a lifeboat and of the
lifeboat moving away from the platform, and are used to find the probabilities of failure in
these two operations as functions of weather, boat position, etc. The third section
combines these probabilities with other user-specified probabilities to obtain the overall
probabilities of success for the various lifeboats as functions of weather, etc. The fourth
and last, section uses the probabilities to decide upon allocation of personnel to the
various lifeboats, and assesses the overall effectiveness of the set of lifeboats.
4.7 CARA
CARA (Computer Aided Reliability Analysis) is a suite of software programs designed for
Reliability Engineers. CARA consists of four modules, which you can either access through a
menu system, or run separately:
• CAFTAN: Now, re-written for Windows, A graphical Fault Tree package with
automatic generation of minimal cut sets.
• FMECA: For Failure Mode, Effect and Criticality Analysis.
• CCA: For Cause Consequence diagrams, and Event Tree analysis.
• ANEX: For failure rate estimation and confidence intervals.
4.8 TECSIM
TECSIM is an advanced tool for Reliability Engineers. It is a next-event simulation system that
uses discrete time-steps for modeling the availability of plant as a function of maintenance
regimes. It takes into account the system structure, component failure and repair, staff and
spares resourcing, maintenance schedules and component operation rules. TECSIM was
developed by DNV Technica SPD in association with Robert Gordon University, Aberdeen.
4.9 TECJET
The TECJET package contains a powerful model for continuous jet releases - the most
prevalent form of hazardous material release. The TECJET model deals smoothly with the full
range of variables that can occur in real jets: high or low initial velocity, dense or buoyant
material, any release angle (even into the wind), and liquid droplets in the jet. No comparable
model can match this capability.
4.10 RAMA
The RAMA (Reliability Availability Maintainability Analysis) software was developed by
DNV Technica to analyze reliability and availability problems using the Reliability Block
Diagram (RBD) method, RAMA includes the ability to handle flow calculations, and the
program calculates the results analytically. Thus RAMA is not another Monte Carlo
simulation program. RAMA replaces complex spreadsheet models, with improved
efficiency and better quality. Moreover, it is used as verification for more complex studies
such as Monte Carlo simulation (MIRIAM, SPRA, etc.)
RAMA calculates the system availability, together with the fraction of time the system and
blocks have at different capacities. In addition, RAMA outputs the results to t a standard
DOS text file or even as a Word document including drawing of diagrams and presenting
results in tables.
Carrying out availability studies can be done quite easily with RAMA. The calculation
times are eligible compared to Monte Carlo type simulation programs. In situations where
one i interested in carrying out a number of sensitivities RAMA will be found
exceptionally useful by copying blocks and diagrams, changing certain parameters, and
running the different system configurations and sets of parameters.