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First Edition
FOOTBALL BETTING SCIENCE
The Professional Betting System

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Disclaimer

1. The product is designed as an information system for persons of


legal age.

2. No guarantees are made with regard to results or financial gain


from using this product. All forms of betting carry some risk; it is up to
the individual to make informed decisions on bets made with or
without assistance from this product.

3. T.Black Electronic Publications cannot be held responsible for any


losses or wins incurred as a result of using this product.

2
FOOTBALL BETTING SCIENCE
The Professional Betting System

Copyright

No part of this electronic document may be reproduced, edited or


republished in print or in electronic format.

This guide may not be duplicated in part or whole without the


written consent of T.Black Electronic Publications.

The Formula Assistant Workbooks are the property of T.Black


Electronic Publications and must not be modified, distributed or
sold.

All data and factual information is correct at the time of going to


publication. T.Black Electronic Publications cannot be held
responsible for information that may change over time.

All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners.

FIRSTEDITION
Published & Distributed by
T. Black Electronic Publications
© 2005

3
FOOTBALL BETTING SCIENCE
The Professional Betting System

Contents
Introduction
An introduction to the concept of Football Betting Science. 6

Important Features
Key factors you should know 8

How do you bet like a professional?


How to think like a professional 10

The Basics
A brief overview of the system 13

Bet Plans + Formulae for two events 15


Fixed Budget Formula (FB2) 16
Profit Target Formula (PT2) 19
Individual Profit Formula (IP2) 22

Bet Plans + Formulae for Three events 26

Fixed Budget Formula ((FB3)


27

Fixed Return Formula (FR3)


30

The Recovery Formula (RECOV) 33

Bet Plans + Formulae for Four events 37

Fixed Budget Formula (FB4)


38

4
Fixed Return Formula (FR4) 42

Maximizing profits 45

Using the formula workbooks 49

Creating Betting Plans 53

5
Introduction
Thank you for purchasing the Football Betting Science System. We
hope it assists you with your betting investments and helps to
maximize wins and minimize losses.

The systems in this manual consist of special math’s formulas which


can be utilised in conjunction with your selection techniques to
develop betting/staking plans for football betting using both online
and off-line betting services.

The adaptability of the Football Betting Science System is its


flexibility, especially when the mathematical formulas are applied to
several different football betting investments. Using staking tactics to
cover the potential outcomes of several events gives you an
extremely powerful betting strategy.
This feature of the system can be credited to the practices used by
bookmakers and betting professionals who make profits by carefully
investing in both short and long term projects ensuring that they are
always in profit.
It is now possible using the information contained within this manual
for you to also have the benefits and profits from strategic betting and
bet management tactics…the same as professionals are using on a
daily basis to profit regularly from betting on football matches.

6
The Football Betting Science system is not like any other
conventional betting systems and its potency is based on betting
odds and calculations and not on rating systems, team performance
or any other predictable betting analysis data.

The dynamic new approach provided by Football Betting Science will


hopefully ensure that you change your approach to bet making and
transform your view of betting to ensure long term profitability.

Do not be intimidated by the calculations and formulas, the more you


use and apply them the more you will be able to understand and use
them effectively. The formula workbooks will also provide you with
easy to use interactive tables where you simply input the relevant
data and the calculations are done for you.

7
Football Betting Science
Important Features
Selection

Whilst betting science will provide the figures and strategy for your
bets, you will be responsible for the selection process. The more
proficient you are at the selection process, the more profit you will
make by utilizing the math’s formulas we provide for you.

Price Attainment

A key factor affecting some formulas and profits are the prices (odds)
attained for selections. Bookmaker’s prices do vary so it is important
that you research the odds available for the particular football event
that you are betting on. You can mix prices from different bookmakers
to build a set of selections which offer the best value. (See
maximising profits)

Calculation

Once you have the selections and the odds they are applied to one of
the Football bet Science formulas that are appropriate for the bet you
wish to make. Football betting Science has developed useful
workbooks to aid with all formula calculations used by the system.

Important factors concerning this guide

The betting formulas and methods that make up the Football betting
Science System will allow you to make intelligent bets based on the

8
selections you choose. Good judgment and the application of the
System will give you an edge over others. You must plan your bets
carefully and take advantage of the methods and techniques
presented in this guide. Some examples are based on certain figures
to make learning easier and some formulas will not work if the prices
are too low. In some instances, figures may vary slightly due to the
rounding up or down of decimal places. Adjustments may have to be
made to some stakes to make them practical for placement. There
are many ways to make use of the Football Betting Science formulas
and some examples are demonstrated for you.
Some bookmakers may not want your business as a result of using
Bet Science methods and you may wish to use several bookmakers.
Round up / down your stakes to the nearest pound or £X.50 to
prevent raising a bookmakers suspicions about your betting strategy.

Betting Plans
Betting plans are demonstrated in this book using formulas and
effective match permutations and the formula workbook(s) provide
fully interactive worksheets for each of the betting plans. There is also
a single input workbook which utilizes the flexibility of the formulas to
enable you to devise and use betting plans of your own.

Betting Odds
The formula workbooks require decimal odds to function properly and
each page has a fractional / decimal odds conversion function.

9
FOOTBALL BETTING SCIENCE
The Professional Betting System

How do you bet like a professional?

Before you can expect success from football betting, you must learn
to think like a professional.

A professional wouldn't place a bet without having first researched


the background information of all the matches on offer. This may
sound obvious but the vast majority (97%) of football bets are losing
investments due to this basic requirement for successful betting.

A professional, by the very nature of the word, has to win. Not every
time - but he has to win to make a living.

Just image yourself in a situation where you have to win - perhaps


some of you have been in it. How would you act then? You would
certainly take much more care over your selections and have an
established betting bank, but is that enough?

Successful football betting may be down to luck for a very small


number of people for a very short period of time, however true
winners win consistently and do not rely on luck, chance, or good
fortune.

Many gamblers devote their entire lives to losing and become perfect
losers, blaming everything but themselves for their losses. The secret

10
to successful football betting is create bets which swing the balance
of betting power in your favour and the Football Betting Science
formulas will certainly assist you with this.

One basic principle which you should never forget:

No matter how bad your recent results have been, they do not, in
any way, affect the chances of your next bet. Everyone
encounters sequences - it's a part of life that things happen in
sequences.

But the study of sequences for betting purposes is irrelevant,


because each investment you make is a completely independent
entity, unaffected by anything that has happened before or after an
event.

Once you understand this, you will treat the inevitable losing runs with
a completely different attitude. You will begin to be unaffected by
them - not completely, but enough to ensure that they are not on your
mind as you make your next match selections. This is important - if
you are psychologically affected by being in the middle of a losing
sequence, your judgment will be affected as you make your next bet.
There is no doubt about it. Conversely, a 'good' sequence must never
lead to rashness or complacency.

If you ever make a bet purely because of the outcome of a previous


one, whether it is because you are so well in profit that you decide to

11
try to extend the winning streak, or whether it is because to want to
recover losses quickly, then you have not grasped the basic
psychology required for the discipline of successful betting.

12
FOOTBALL BETTING SCIENCE
The Professional Betting System

The Basics

At a basic level the Football Betting Science System can be thought

of as covering a range of betting outcomes to provide contingency

against losing bets whilst providing a reasonable profit for winning

bets - rather than making one bet you are covering a range of

possibilities that might win. Bookmakers use a similar process to

ensure coverage and profit despite having to pay out on winning bets.

The two variables of applying the formulas are determined by how

much you would like to stake on the overall bet or setting a specific

profit return. Important factors when applying the formulas are the

viability of the odds available and the type of formula you apply

theses odds to.

Making intelligent bets that generate profits by incorporating

supporting bets for protection is they key to long term betting

success and forms the central philosophy of the football betting

13
science systems. The following formulas and their applications

have been created to enable you to make such intelligent bets.

14
FOOTBALL BETTING SCIENCE
The Professional Betting System

Bet Plans + Formulae for two events

One of the easiest uses of the Football Betting Science formulas is to

create bets over two events and which endorses the philosophy of

proportional staking. Two event betting simply means placing two

separate bets which can have either one or two possible winning

outcomes. The following bet plans have been created using specific

match combinations in conjunction the betting formulas for two events

and the workbook assistant provides facilities for using these plans.

15
Fixed Budget Formula (FB2)
The ease of use of this formula will enable you to manage your bets
quickly and enable you to work within a specific budget. This formula
is aimed at proportioning staking levels over two football events to
give an equal return for each bet using a fixed budget.

The betting plan uses two match selections and the formula requires
that you input the odds for each of the two bets and the total budget
which you are going to use.

Working Example
The example below shows the arrangement of the plan using a total
budget of £10. The formula will calculate how to proportion the
budget between each bet to give the same winning return for each
one.

Selection 1 - Home win – Odds = 1.57


Selection 2 - Home win / Draw – Odds = 1.57 / 3.6
Total Betting budget - £10

1 = Home win X = Draw

Bet 1 Bet 2
Selection 1 1 1
Selection 2 1 X
Total Odds 2.46 5.65

16
The formula for calculating the stake for each bet is shown below -

THE FORMULA

Variable X = Odds for bet 1 minus 1


Variable Y = Odds for bet 2 minus 1
Betting Budget = £?

Working Formula
The stake formula for bet 1 is:-
(Y + 1) * £? divided by (X+Y+2)
The stake formula for bet 2 is:-
(X + 1) * £? divided by (X+Y+2)
• Where £? is the predetermined stake

Using the Formula


The first step is to acquire the working odds for the formula; this
simply means the odds that you will require for your calculations.
Single bet odds can be put straight into the formula but accumulator
odds have to be calculated in a separate process.

Table one shows the odds of each selection and the total odds for
each bet
Table 1
Bet 1 Bet 2
Selection 1 1.57 1.57
Selection 2 1.57 3.6
Total Odds 2.46 5.65

Once the total odds are know for each bet (the working odds) they
are then applied to the formula along with the betting budget of £10

17
THE FORMULA

Variable X = (2.46-1) = 1.46


Variable Y = (4.65 – 1) = 3.65
Betting budget = £10.00

The stake for bet 1 is:


3.65 + 1 * £10 (£46.50) divided by 1.46 + 3.65 + 2 (7.11)

= £36.50 divided by 7.11 which equals £6.54

The stake for bet 2 is:


1.46 + 1 * £10 (£24.60) divided by 1.46 + 3.65 + 2 (7.11)

i.e. £24.60 divided by 7.11 which equals £3.46

Total stake = £6.54 + £3.46 = £10

The calculations from the formula are then used to make your bets.
Table two shows how the budget has been distributed between the
two bets and amounts to £10. If either bet wins the profit remains the
same.
Table 2
1 = Home win X = Draw
Bet 1 Bet 2
Selection 1 1 1
Selection 2 1 X
Total Odds 2.46 5.65 Total stake = £10
Stake £6.96 £3.04
Return £17.16 £17.16
Profit £7.16 £7.16

Both bets return


the same profit

SEE PAGE FB(2) OF THE WORKBOOK ASSISTANT - THE FORMULA


WORKBOOK PROVIDES A WORKSHEET FOR TWO AND THREE MATCH
PLANS.

18
Profit Target Formula (PT2)
A variation on the fixed budget formula is the profit target formula. A
feature of making professional bets is the ability to specify profit
goals. The profit target formula is a powerful and flexible formula
which is central to this professional betting ethos.
The formula data requirements are the odds for each bet but instead
of a fixed budget input you will enter a profit target amount for each
bet.

Working Example
The example below shows the arrangement of the plan - The aim is
to show a profit of £20 from each bet and the formula will calculate
the staking levels required to achieve this.

It is important to note that the stakes for each bet will be determined
by the profit target and the odds for each bet.

Selection 1 - Home win – Odds = 1.57


Selection 2 - Home win – Odds = 1.57
Selection 3 - Home win / Draw – Odds = 1.57 / 3.6
Profit Target - £20

1 = Home win X = Draw

Bet 1 Bet 2
Selection 1 1 1
Selection 2 1 1
Selection 3 1 X
Total Odds 3.87 8.87

19
The formula for calculating the stake for each bet is shown below -

THE FORMULA

Variable X = Odds for bet 1 minus 1


Variable Y = Odds for bet 2 minus 1
Profit Target = £PX

Working Formula
The stake formula for bet 1 is:
(Y + 1) * £PX divided by (X * Y) – 1

The stake formula for bet 2 is:


(X + 1) * £PX divided by (X * Y) – 1

Using the Formula

Table one displays the individual odds of each selection, the


accumulative odds for each bet and the profit target.

Table 1
Bet 1 Bet 2
Selection 1 1.57 1.57
Selection 2 1.57 1.57
Selection 3 1.57 3.6
Total Odds 3.87 8.87
Profit Target £20.00 £20.00

Profit target

20
Using the total odds and profit target, the formula is applied

THE FORMULA

Variable X = (3.87-1) = 2.87


Variable Y = (8.87-1) = 7.87
Profit Target = £20.00 (PX = 20)

Working Formula
The stake for bet 1 is:
(7.87 + 1) * £20 (177.40) divided by (2.87 * 7.87)) – 1 (21.59)
= 177.40 divided by 21.59 which equals £8.22

The stake for bet 2 is:


(2.87 + 1) * £20 (£77.40) divided by (2.87 * 7.87)) – 1 (21.59)
= 77.40 divided by 21.59 which equals £3.58

• Rounding up / down has been used to adjust for decimal places.

Table two shows the results - profit target £20 (Total stake = £11.80)

Table 2
Bet 1 Bet 2
Selection 1 1 1
Selection 2 1 1
Selection 3 1 X
Total Odds 3.87 8.87 Total stake = £11.80
Stake £8.22 £3.59
Return £31.80 £31.80
Profit £20.00 £20.00
Both bets return
the same Profit

SEE PAGE PT(2) OF THE WORKBOOK ASSISTANT - THE FORMULA


WORKBOOK PROVIDES A WORKSHEET FOR TWO AND THREE MATCH
PLANS.

21
Individual Profit Formula (IP2)
Being able to identify profit targets is a powerful element of
professional betting and enables you to modify future bets to balance
any previous loses and future profit targets. Football Betting Science
has constructed a profit calculator and incorporated it into the two
outcome formula for the purpose of setting specific profit targets.
The plan uses two selections and although it may seem similar in
description to the previous profit target formula, it differs in that it
enables you to specify different profit targets for each of your two
bets.

Working Example
The example below shows the bet structure and the two different
profit targets which have been set at £15 and £5.

Selection 1 - Home win – Odds = 1.4


Selection 2 - Home win / Draw – Odds = 2.5 / 3.2
Profit Targets £15 and £5

1 = Home win X = Draw


Bet 1 Bet 2
Selection 1 1 1
Selection 2 1 X
Total Odds 3.5 4.48
Profit target £15.00 £5.00

Profit targets

22
The formula is shown below –

THE FORMULA

Variable X = Odds for bet 1 minus 1


Variable Y = Odds for bet 2 minus 1
Profit Target for bet 1 = P1
Profit Target for bet 2 = P2

Working Formula

The stake formula for bet 1 is:

([Y * P1] + P2) / ((X * Y) – 1)

The stake formula for bet 2 is:

([X * P2] + P1) / ((X * Y) – 1)

Using the Formula

Table one displays the individual odds of each selection, the


accumulative odds for each bet and the individual profit targets.

Table 1
Bet 1 Bet 2
Selection 1 1.4 1.4
Selection 2 2.5 3.2
Total Odds 3.5 4.48
Profit target £15.00 £5.00

23
Using the total odds and profit targets, the formula is applied

THE FORMULA

Variable X = (3.5-1) = 2.5


Variable Y = (4.48-1) = 3.48
Profit Target for bet 1 = £15.00 = P1
Profit Target for bet 2 = £5.00 = P2

Working Formula
The stake for bet 1 is:

(3.48 * 15) + 5 divided by (2.5 * 3.48) – 1)

= 57.2 divided by 7.7 which equals £7.43

The stake for bet 2 is:


(2.5 * 5) + £15 divided by (2.25 * 3.48) – 1)
= 27.5 divided by 7.7 which equals £3.57

Table two illustrates the distribution of the stakes required to acquire


such profits. Total stake is £11.00
Table 2
1 = Home win X = Draw

Bet 1 Bet 2
Selection 1 1 1
Selection 2 1 X
Total Odds 3.5 4.48 Total stake = £11
Stake £7.43 £3.57
Return £26 £16
Profit target £15.00 £5.00

Different profit
targets

24
NOTE -
It is also possible to use the second bet as a recoup bet which will
return the value of the total stake money if it is the winning line – to
do this simply add the value 0 (zero) as the profit target for the
second bet. This is very useful if you have a lot of confidence in your
first bet and want to win larger profits from it without having to also
name a profit target for your second bet.

SEE PAGE IP(2) OF THE WORKBOOK ASSISTANT - THE


FORMULA WORKBOOK PROVIDES A WORKSHEET FOR TWO AND THREE
MATCH PLANS.

25
FOOTBALL BETTING SCIENCE
The Professional Betting System

Bet Plans + Formulae for Three events

It has been demonstrated that placing bets with two possible

outcomes can give professionals a greater betting advantage.

Incorporating a third betting outcome provides superior contingency

opportunities. The following betting plans have been created using

match combinations in conjunction with the betting formulas for three

event betting to utilize this contingency feature. The workbook

assistant provides facilities for using these plans.

26
Fixed Budget Formula (FB3)
Adapted from the fixed budget formula for two betting outcomes, this
formula integrates a third option and provides greater flexibility.

To apply the formula you are required to input the three separate
betting odds and the total budget you will be using for these bets, it
will then calculate staking levels for you to place on each one and the
equal returns each one will provide.

Working Example
The arrangement of the plan is shown below. A total stake budget of
£20 will be divided between each bet to give the same winning return
for each one.

Selection 1 - Home win – Odds = 1.44


Selection 2 - Home win / Draw – Odds = 1.44 / 4
Selection 3 - Home win / Draw – Odds = 1.44 / 4
Total betting budget - £20

1 = Home win X = Draw

Bet 1 Bet 2 Bet 3


Selection 1 1 1 1
Selection 2 1 1 X
Selection 3 1 X 1
Total Odds 2.99 8.29 8.29

27
The formula is shown below

THE FORMULA

Variable X = Odds for bet 1 minus 1


Variable Y = Odds for bet 2 minus 1
Variable Z = Odds for bet 3 minus 1
Betting budget = £?

Formula
The stake formula for bet1 is:
S=Y+1*Z+1
The stake formula for bet 2 is:
S1 = X + 1 * Z + 1
The stake formula for bet 3 is:
S2 = X + 1 * Y + 1

We can say T = S + S1 + S2

S3 = S * £? divided by T
S4 = S1 * £? divided by T
S5 = S2 * £? divided by T

Using the Formula

Table one displays the individual odds of each selection, the


accumulative odds for each bet and the betting budget

Table 1
Bet 1 Bet 2 Bet 3
Selection 1 1.44 1.44 1.44
Selection 2 1.44 1.44 4
Selection 3 1.44 4 1.44
Total Odds 2.99 8.99 8.99
Budget £20

28
Using the total odds and the betting budget, the formula is applied

THE FORMULA

Variable X = (2.99-1) = 1.99 Betting budget = £20


Variable Y = (8.99-1) = 7.99
Variable Z = (8.99-1) = 7.99

Formula
The stake formula for bet1 is:
S = 7.99 + 1 * 7.99 + 1 equals (8.99 * 8.99) = 80.82
The stake formula for bet 2 is:
S1= 1.99 + 1 * 7.99 + 1 equals (2.99 * 8.99) = 26.88
The stake formula for bet 3 is:
S2 = 1.99 + 1 * 7.99 + 1 equals (2.99 * 8.99) = 26.88

We can say T = S + S1 + S2 equals (80.82 + 26.88 + 26.88) = 134.58

S3 = 80.82 * £20 divided by 134.58 equals 1616.4 / 134.58 =£12.01


S4 = 26.88 * £20 divided by 134.58 equals 537.60 / 134.58 = £3.99
S5 = 26.88 * £20 divided by 134.58 equals 537.60 / 134.58 = £3.99

Table two illustrates the final bet outline.


Table 2
1 = Home win X = Draw
Bet 1 Bet 2 Bet 3
Selection 1 1 1 1
Selection 2 1 1 X
Selection 3 1 X 1
Total Odds 2.99 8.29 8.29
Stake £12.01 £3.99 £3.99 Total stake = £20.00
Return £35.91 £35.91 £35.91
Profit £15.91 £15.91 £15.91 Each bet returns
the same Profit

SEE PAGE FB(3) OF THE WORKBOOK ASSISTANT - THE FORMULA


WORKBOOK PROVIDES A WORKSHEET FOR THIS PLAN

29
Fixed Return Formula (FR3)
The fixed return formula for three events is an enhancement of the
two bet models which can be used to aim for a precise betting yield.
By accommodating a third variable into the formula the capacity for
successful profit generation is increased.

The formula data requirements are three betting odds and a fixed
return amount for each bet.

Working Example
The example below shows a three line plan. A fixed return of £20 is
the target and the stake amount is determined by the odds and fixed
return figure

Selection 1 - Home win – Odds = 1.44


Selection 2 - Home win / Draw – Odds = 2.2 / 3.2
Selection 3 - Home win / Draw – Odds = 2.2 / 3.2
Fixed return target - £20

1 = Home win X = Draw

Bet 1 Bet 2 Bet 3


Selection 1 1 1 1
Selection 2 1 1 X
Selection 3 1 X 1
Total Odds 6.97 10.14 10.14

30
The formula is shown below

THE FORMULA

Variable X = Odds for bet 1 minus 1


Variable Y = Odds for bet 2 minus 1
Variable Z = Odds for bet 2 minus 1

Formula = £? / O+1
Where £? is the fixed return figure and O is the odds

The stake formula for bet1 is:


S = £?/ X + 1
The stake formula for bet 2 is:
S1 = £?/ Y + 1
The stake formula for bet 3 is:
S2 = £?/ Z + 1

Using the Formula

Table one displays the individual odds of each selection, the


accumulative odds for each bet and the desired return figure

Table 1
Bet 1 Bet 2 Bet 3
Selection 1 1.44 1.44 1.44
Selection 2 2.2 2.2 3.2
Selection 3 2.2 3.2 2.2
Total Odds 6.97 10.14 10.14
Fixed return £20.00 £20.00 £20.00

31
Using the total odds and fixed return target, the formula is applied
THE FORMULA

Variable X = (6.97-1) = 5.97


Variable Y = (10.14 -1) = 9.14
Variable Z = (10.14 -1) = 9.14
Fixed return figure = £20

Formula = £? / O+1
Where £? is the fixed return figure and O is the odds

The stake formula for bet1 is:


S = £20/ 5.97 + 1 = £2.87
The stake formula for bet 2 is:
S1 = £20/ 9.14 +1 = £1.97
The stake formula for bet 3 is:
S2 = £20/ 9.14 +1 = £1.97Variable X = Odds for bet 1 minus 1
Variable Y = Odds for bet 2 minus 1
Variable Z = Odds for bet 2 minus 1

Table two illustrates the structure of the bet.


Table 2
1 = Home win X = Draw

Bet 1 Bet 2 Bet 3


Selection 1 1 1 1
Selection 2 1 1 X
Selection 3 1 X 1
Total Odds 6.97 10.14 10.14
Stake £2.87 £1.97 £1.97 Total stake = £6.81
Return £20.00 £20.00 £20.00
Profit £13.19 £13.19 £13.19 Each bet returns £20

SEE PAGE FR(3) OF THE WORKBOOK ASSISTANT - THE FORMULA


WORKBOOK PROVIDES A WORKSHEET FOR THIS PLAN

32
The Recovery Formula (RECOV3)
This formula is useful when you are confident about a bet selection
but you would like to incorporate a safety feature that protects your
stake investment allowing you to break even if part of your bet fails.

This three bet system incorporates one profit making bet and two
recovery bets which will return the stake money.

The formula uses a point multiplier which produces staking amounts


for the bet.

Working Example
The plan below shows how a banker home selection is used to cover
every possible outcome of another match. Bet 1 is the profit making
bet and bets 2+3 are used to recoup the total stake money if they
win. The formula will calculate the stake division between the bets
using a point multiplier to adjust the total stake amount to be used.

Selection 1 - Home win – Odds = 1.57


Selection 2 - Home win / Draw / Away – Odds = 2.2 / 3.2 / 3.2
Point’s multiplier – 0.5

1 = Home win X = Draw 2 = Away win

Bet 1 Bet 2 Bet 3


Selection A 1 1 1
Selection B 1 X 2
Total odds 3.45 5.02 5.02

33
The formula for calculating the stake requirements is shown below

THE FORMULA

Variable X = Odds for bet 3 minus 1


Variable Y = Odds for bet 2 minus 1
Variable Z = Odds for bet 1 minus 1

Point Multiplier = (?)

Working Formula

The stake points formula for bet 3 is:


(Y + 1) * Point multiplier (?)
The stake points formula for bet 2 is:
(X + 1) * Point multiplier (?)
The stake points formula for bet 1 is:
((X * Y) - 1) * Point multiplier (?)

Using the Formula

Table one displays the individual odds of each selection and the
accumulative odds for each bet.

Table 1
Bet 1 Bet 2 Bet 3
Selection A 1.44 1.44 1.44
Selection B 2.2 3.2 3.2
Total odds 3.45 5.02 5.02

34
Points Multiplier

Once the odds are known, they are then applied to the formula and a
point multiplier is used within the formula calculations to produce the
staking amount which you are going to use for your bets.

THE FORMULA
Variable X = (5.02-1) = 4.02
Variable Y = (5.02-1) = 4.02
Variable Z = (3.45 -1) = 2.45

Point Multiplier = 1 – (The point’s multiplier can be varied until the total staking amount is
satisfactory for your betting budget)

Working Formula
The stake points formula for bet 3 is:
(4.02 + 1) = 5.02
The stake points formula for bet 2 is:
(4.02 + 1) = 5.02
The stake points formula for bet 1 is:
((4.02 * 4.02) - 1) = 15.16

Thus

The stake for bet 3 is:


5.02* 1 = £5.02
The stake for bet 2 is:
5.02* 1 = £5.02
The stake for bet 1 is:
15.16* 1 = £15.16

35
Table two illustrates the bet - You will see that bet 1 is the profit bet
and bets two and three will return the stake money if they are winning
bets.

Table 2
Bet 1 Bet 2 Bet 3
Selection A 1 1 1
Selection B 1 X 2
Total odds 3.45 5.02 5.02 Total stake=£12.60
Stake £7.58 £2.51 £2.51
Returns £26.15 £12.60 £12.60
Profit £13.55 Stake Stake Bets 2 + 3 return the stake money

The recovery formula offers a wide variety of betting strategies and


the profits gained are determined by the input data to the formula i.e.
the betting odds and points multiplier, the options are limitless and
you can create many different bet combinations.

One of the major strengths of the bet is its ability to allow you to
concentrate on selecting one match as a banker bet. If you can
confidently select only one winning match then you can use it to
cover the Home win / Draw / Away results of as many fixtures as you
like knowing that at worst you will get your stake money refunded.
This has particular profit potential as it allows the banker bet to be
used in conjunction with matches that may not normally be
considered for betting purposes, for example, you can use the banker
bet to cover “risky” matches with higher odds knowing that as long as
your banker bet wins the worst case scenario is the return of your
stake money.
SEE PAGE RECOV(3) OF THE WORKBOOK ASSISTANT - THE FORMULA
WORKBOOK PROVIDES A WORKSHEET FOR THIS PLAN

36
FOOTBALL BETTING SCIENCE
The Professional Betting System

Bet Plans + Formulae for Four events

The following formulae incorporate bets to provide superior betting


coverage over four events and the addition of a fourth variable gives
wider options for contingency planning.

The betting plans have been created by integrating the formula with a
powerful betting perm which uses four match selections. The
workbook assistant provides easy to use interactive worksheets for
using these plans.

37
Fixed Budget Formula (FB4)
The four bet formula is a dynamic and powerful betting model which
offers superior contingency cover for single and multiple events.
For this formula you are required to input the four separate betting
odds and the total budget you will be using for these bets. The
formula will then divide the betting budget to devise stakes for each of
the bets to ensure an equal return is calculated per bet.

Working Example
The plan below shows a four line perm using short priced selections.
A stake budget of £30 has to be allocated proportionally between
each bet to give the same return for each one.

Selection 1 - Home win – Odds = 1.44


Selection 2 - Home win / Draw – Odds = 1.44 / 4
Selection 3 - Home win / Draw – Odds = 1.44 / 4
Selection 4 - Home win / Draw – Odds = 1.44 / 4
Total betting budget - £30

1 = Home win X = Draw

Bet 1 Bet 2 Bet 3 Bet 4


Selection 1 1 1 1 1
Selection 2 1 1 1 1
Selection 3 1 1 X X
Selection 4 1 X 1 X
Total Odds 4.30 11.94 11.94 33.18

38
The formula for calculating the stake requirements is shown below -

THE FORMULA

Variable A = Odds for bet 1 minus 1


Variable B = Odds for bet 2 minus 1
Variable C = Odds for bet 3 minus 1
Variable D = Odds for bet 4 minus 1
Betting budget = £?

Working Formulae
The stake formula for bet 1 is:
S1= ([B + 1] * [C + 1] * [D + 1])

The stake formula for bet 2 is:


S2= ([A + 1] * [C + 1] * [D + 1])

The stake formula for bet 3 is:


S3= ([A + 1] * [B + 1] * [D + 1])

The stake formula for bet 4 is:


S4= ([A + 1] * [B + 1] * [C + 1])

In Combination
S5= (S1 + S2] + S3] + S4)

Thus
The stake for Outcome A is:
([S1] * [£P]) / (S5)
The stake for Outcome B is:
([S2] * [£P]) / (S5)
The stake for Outcome C is:
([S3] * [£P]) / (S5)
The stake for Outcome D is:
([S4] * [£P]) / (S5)

39
Using the Formula

Table one displays the individual odds of each selection, the


accumulative odds for each bet and the betting budget
Table 1

Bet 1 Bet 2 Bet 3 Bet 4


Selection 1 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4
Selection 2 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.44
Selection 3 1.44 1.44 4 4
Selection 4 1.44 4 1.44 4
Total Odds 4.30 11.94 11.94 33.18
Budget £30

Using the total odds and betting budget, the formula is applied
THE FORMULA

Variable A = (4.3 – 1) =3.3


Variable B = (11.94 – 1) =10.94
Variable C = (11.94 – 1) =10.94
Variable D = (33.18 – 1) = 32.18.
Betting budget = £?

Predetermined Stake = £P

Working Formulae
The stake formula for bet 1 is:
S1= (10.94 + 1] * (10.94 + 1) * (32.18 + 1) equals (11.94 * 11.94 * 33.18) = 4730.26

The stake formula for bet 2 is:


S2= (3.3 + 1) * (10.94 + 1) * (32.18 + 1) equals (4.3 * 11.94 * 33.18) = 1703.53

The stake formula for bet 3 is:


S3= (3.3 + 1) * (10.94 + 1) * (32.18 + 1) equals (4.3 * 11.94 * 33.18) =1703.53

The stake formula for bet 4 is:


S4= (3.3 + 1) * (10.94 + 1) * (10.94 + 1) equals (4.3 * 11.94 * 11.94) = 613.02

40
In Combination
S5= (4730 + 1730.53 + 1730.53 + 613.02) = 8750.34

Thus
The stake for Outcome A is:
4730.26 * £30 / 8750.34 = £16.22
The stake for Outcome B is:
(1730.53 * £30 / 8750.34 = £5.84
The stake for Outcome C is:
(1730.53 * £30 / 8750.34 = £5.84
The stake for Outcome D is:
613.02 * £30 / 8750.34 = £2.10

Table two illustrates the bet layout and the distribution of the budget -
total £30
Table 2

Bet 1 Bet 2 Bet 3 Bet 4


Selection 1 1 1 1 1
Selection 2 1 1 1 1
Selection 3 1 1 X X
Selection 4 1 X 1 X
Total Odds 4.30 11.94 11.94 33.18
Stake £16.22 £5.84 £5.84 £2.10 Total stake = £30.00
Return £69.73 £69.73 £69.73 £69.73
Profit £39.73 £39.73 £39.73 £39.73

Each bet returns the


same amount

SEE PAGE FB(4) OF THE WORKBOOK ASSISTANT - THE FORMULA


WORKBOOK PROVIDES A WORKSHEET FOR THIS PLAN

41
Fixed Return Formula (FR4)
The four bet formula is a dynamic and powerful betting model which
offers superior contingency cover for single and multiple events.
For this formula you are required to input the four separate betting
odds and the fixed return target figure.

Working Example
The plan below uses short priced selections. A fixed return target of
£20 is the objective and the formula will calculate the required staking
levels to achieve this. Staking levels are determined by the odds and
fixed return figure

Selection 1 - Home win – Odds = 1.44


Selection 2 - Home win / Draw – Odds = 1.44
Selection 3 - Home win / Draw – Odds = 1.57 / 3.5
Selection 3 - Home win / Draw – Odds = 1.57 / 3.5
Fixed return target - £20

1 = Home win X = Draw

Bet 1 Bet 2 Bet 3 Bet 4


Selection 1 1 1 1 1
Selection 2 1 1 1 1
Selection 3 1 1 X X
Selection 4 1 X 1 X
Total Odds 5.11 11.39 11.39 25.40

42
The formula for calculating the stake requirements is shown below -

THE FORMULA
Variable A = Odds for bet 1 minus 1
Variable B = Odds for bet 2 minus 1
Variable C = Odds for bet 3 minus 1
Variable D = Odds for bet 4 minus 1
Fixed Return Figure = £?

Formula = £? / O+1 - Where £? is the fixed return figure and O is the odds

The stake formula for bet1 is:


S = £?/ A + 1
The stake formula for bet 2 is:
S1 = £?/ B + 1
The stake formula for bet 3 is:
S2 = £?/ C + 1

The stake formula for bet 4 is:


S3 = £?/ D + 1

Using the Formula


Table one displays the individual odds of each selection, the
accumulative odds for each bet and the fixed return target

Table 1

1 = Home win X = Draw


Bet 1 Bet 2 Bet 3 Bet 4
Selection 1 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4
Selection 2 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.44
Selection 3 1.57 1.57 3.5 3.5
Selection 4 1.57 3.5 1.57 3.5
Total Odds 5.11 11.39 11.39 25.40
Return £20

43
Using the total odds and fixed return target, the formula is applied
THE FORMULA

Variable A = (5.11 – 1) =4.11


Variable B = (11.39 – 1) =10.39
Variable C = (11.39 – 1) =10.39
Variable D = (25.40 – 1) = 24.40.

Formula= £? / O+1 (Where £? is the fixed return figure and O is the odds)

The stake formula for bet1 is:


S = £20/ 4.11 + 1 = £3.91
The stake formula for bet 2 is:
S1 = £20/ 10.39 + 1 = £1.76
The stake formula for bet 3 is:
S2 = £20/ 10.39 + 1 = £1.76

The stake formula for bet 4 is:


S3 = £20/ 24.40 + 1 = £0.79

Table two illustrates the distribution of the stake - total £20


Table 2

1 = Home win X = Draw


Bet 1 Bet 2 Bet 3 Bet 4
Selection 1 1 1 1 1
Selection 2 1 1 1 1
Selection 3 1 1 X X
Selection 4 1 X 1 X
Total Odds 4.30 11.94 11.94 33.18 Total stake = £8.60
Stake £4.65 £1.68 £1.68 £0.60
Return £20.00 £20.00 £20.00 £20.00
Profit £11.40 £11.40 £11.40 £11.40 Each bet returns £20

SEE PAGE FR(4) OF THE WORKBOOK ASSISTANT - THE FORMULA


WORKBOOK PROVIDES A WORKSHEET FOR THIS PLAN

44
FOOTBALL BETTING SCIENCE
The Professional Betting System

Maximizing profits
The growing popularity of the Internet has changed many things, and
one area that this is particularly noticeable is betting. No longer are
people confined to betting with a small number of bookmakers. New
firms have become more and more commonplace and competition
has increased. This has provided great benefits to people with an
interest in football betting. Bookmakers are now offering better odds
to compete with one another and the creation of betting exchanges
has increased competition even further.

Large bookmaking companies set football odds independently of


each other and this is an often underused area of profit making for
football betting enthusiasts. This has even more significance with the
boom in internet betting companies.

When you place your bets with only one bookmaker you are in
serious danger of losing out on potential winnings. A little research
and work is required by you but the rewards can be well worth it and
is a pursuit well worth undertaking. We will demonstrate what we
mean in the following pages

The figures below highlight the differences in odds offered by


individual bookmaking firms. The figures used were actual odds from
three established bookmakers.

45
HOME DRAW AWAY
Bolton v Blackburn 2 3.2 3.75
Fulham v Birmingham 2.37 3.2 2.9

Bolton v Blackburn 1.9 3.2 3.5


Fulham v Birmingham 2.2 3.2 2.8

Bolton v Blackburn 1.8 3.2 4


Fulham v Birmingham 2.2 3.2 2.75

The price each bookmaker was offering for the home win, draw and
away win selections show differences but it is difficult at first glance to
see the effect they could have on any betting strategy.

Using the two matches we will now demonstrate how the odds

difference can affect potential profit margins using one of our betting

plans in a scenario.

Scenario – Recovery Formula Plan 4, Budget £20


Using the odds from each of the three bookmakers and working with
a betting budget of £20 the data was applied to the recovery formula
using the formula assistant. The points multiplier was adjusted until
the stake total came to £20, the results are shown below.

BOOKMAKER 1
Bet 1 Bet 2 Bet 3
Bolton 1 1 1
Fulham 1 X 2
Total odds 4.74 6.4 5.8
Stake £13.42 £3.12 £3.45 Total stake=£20
PROFIT = £43.63 Returns £63.64 £20 £20
Profit/loss £43.64 0 0

46
BOOKMAKER 2
Bet 1 Bet 2 Bet 3
Bolton 1 1 1
Fulham 1 X 2
Total odds 4.18 6.08 5.32
Stake £12.95 £3.29 £3.76 Total stake=£20
Returns £54.14 £20 £20
PROFIT = £34.14 Profit/loss £34.14 Stake Stake

BOOKMAKER 3
Bet 1 Bet 2 Bet 3
Bolton 1 1 1
Fulham 1 X 2
Total odds 4.05 5.76 4.95
Stake £12.41 £3.47 £4.12 Total stake=£20
PROFIT = £30.24 Returns £50.24 £20 £20
Profit/loss £30.24 Stake Stake

It is now evident from the results above just how significant the odds
difference is when they are applied to a betting plan. Bookmaker 1
has far greater profits than bookmakers 2 and 3 and demonstrates
how profits can be increased substantially simply by researching the
different prices on offer from different firms.

Our example only used three different bookmakers for comparison


purposes. Make use of the large number of bookmakers available
when making your odds analysis, you will discover that there are
many opportunities for you to exploit the difference in odds supplied
by a variety of bookmakers.

47
The scenario we used shows that one bookmaking firm has the best
prices for the entire bet and these are the ones you would use,
however it is more than likely you will find that you have to use a
different bookmaker for each part of your bet.

Investigate the odds from as many bookmakers as you can, this may
take a little time but once you have mastered the technique of
calculating the odds of your match selections you will soon become
more proficient and incorporate this odds evaluation into your regular
betting strategy.

48
FOOTBALL BETTING SCIENCE
The Professional Betting System
Using the formula workbooks

The football Betting Science system has developed special


spreadsheet workbooks to make calculation of bet formulas and
formulation of bet plans easier. To use this you will require some form
of compatible spreadsheet software. We recommend you use
Microsoft Excel, however if you don’t have any spreadsheet software
you can download a free compatible program. The link for the
software download is
http://www.software602.com/products/pcs/download.html
Once you have software you can start using the Formula Assistant
Workbooks to devise your bets plans.
When you first launch the Formula Assistant you are met with the
following screen:

49
This is the main page of the workbooks and you can link to the
formula pages by using the page links or page tabs.

You will then be able to use the worksheet for the application you
have selected

Each sheet has data input sections where you insert the team names,
betting odds and profit targets / budget amount.

50
Once you have inserted the input data, all the calculations relating to
the betting plan are automatically displayed in the output table.

You can then use the information in the table to place your bets.

The workbooks require decimal odds to function and each workbook


has an easy to use Fractional – Decimal odds converter.

Put in fractional odds here and use the decimal output reading only!

51
FOOTBALL BETTING SCIENCE
The Professional Betting System

Creating Betting Plans

The flexibility of the formulae used in this electronic book has shown
that they can be used in many different ways to give a wider choice of
betting strategies.

Each of the formulas is dependent on single input data - the working


odds and the stake or profit targets and this data was utilized in each
of our betting plans to give you a greater choice of betting options.
Football Betting Science has also provided a single input worksheet
for you to create your own betting plans for you to capitalize on this.

The single input workbook enables you to use the formulas with the
working odds from single events and/or a combination of single and
multiple events. To enable you to create different betting strategies
Football Betting Science also provides an accumulator worksheet to
calculate the working odds from 2, 3, 4 and 5 match selections.

This empowers you to create powerful bet combinations and offers a


virtually unlimited number of betting permutations and contingency
opportunities.

52
Example
A bet plan will be devised using the individual profit formula for two
outcomes (IP 2) and will be based on two separate accumulator bets.
Bet 1 is a treble consisting of three short priced home wins and Bet 2
is a double based on home wins of longer odds. The profit targets are
£10 and £5 respectively
Bet 1 Bet 2
Liverpool - 1.44 Dundee Utd – 2.2
Bury – 1.4 Motherwell – 2
Leyton O – 1.57
Profit target £10 Profit Target £5

The formula workbook also provides a worksheet to calculate


accumulator odds for 2, 3, 4 and 5 matches

The screenshot below demonstrates the input data process.

The accumulator odds are acquired using the worksheet (ACC).


Team names and individual odds are applied and the working odds
calculated for each bet

53
Then the working odds and profit targets are applied to the Individual
profit worksheet.
Bet 1 Bet 2
Liverpool 1 Dundee U 1
Bury 1 Motherwell 1
Leyton O 1 - -
Working (total) odds 3.16 Working (total) odds 4.4
Profit target £10 Profit target £5

The output data is given here. The full bet is displayed in the table
below
Bet 1 Bet 2
Liverpool 1 Dundee U 1
Bury 1 Motherwell 1
Leyton O 1 - -
Total odds 3.16 Total odds 4.4
Stake £6.15 £3.28 Total stake = £9.43
Return £19.43 14.43
Profit Target £10 £5 Different profit
targets

54
If any of the two bets win the profits are £10 and £5 for bets 1 and 2
respectively, however each bet is independent of each other and only
one bet needs to win for a profit to be made.
There are many different uses for the formulas for betting on both
single and multiple events.

Example
Using interrelated single events (1)
Using the fixed budget formula for four outcomes (FB 4) the bet will
be based on four of the most common Half Time / Full time results. A
match has been selected from the English Premiership - Everton v
Charlton and a budget of £10 will be used
Budget £10
Bet 1 Bet 2 Bet 3 Bet 4
Everton/Charlton Home/Home Away/Away Draw/Home Draw/Away
Total Odds 3.15 38 5.2 11

55
The screenshot above demonstrates the input data process for the
worksheet.

The screenshot below demonstrates the formula calculations from the


worksheet after the working odds and budget data have been
applied.

Bet 1 Bet 2 Bet 3 Bet 4


Everton/Charlton Home/Home Away/Away Draw/Home Draw/Away
Total Odds 3.15 38 5.2 11
Stake £5.06 £0.42 £3.07 £1.45 Total stake = £10.00
Return £15.95 £15.95 £15.95 £15.95
Profit £5.95 £5.95 £5.95 £5.95

The table above displays the layout of the final bet using the readout
from the formula calculations.

If any of the Half Time / Full Time results win then an overall profit of
£5.95 will be gained.

56
Another example of using bets which are associated with one single
football event is demonstrated on the following page.

Example
Using interrelated bets (2)
Using the recovery formula (RECOV) the bet will be based a single
home win selection which is the profit making bet and two correct
score draw forecasts from the same game which protect the stake
money.

Home win odds – 2.46 (1-1) Draw odds – 7.2 (2-2) Draw odds - 17

The screenshot above demonstrates the input data process.

The points Multiplier has been adjusted for a total stake budget of
£10 which has been distributed between the three bets. (NOTE – The
stake total shown in each column is the total stake for all bets i.e. in
this case the stake total is £10 not £30)

57
The table below displays the layout of the final bet using the readout
from the formula calculations.
The Bet
Bet 1 Bet 2 Bet 3
Selection Home win 1-1 Draw 2-2 Draw
Total odds 2.46 7.2 17
Stake £8.02 £1.39 £0.59 Total stake = £10.00
Returns £19.74 £10.00 £10.00
Profit £9.74 Stake Stake

The two correct score forecasts


Home win Profit = £9.74 return the stake money

The home win forecast is protected by the two correct score forecasts
which have been calculated by the formula to return the exact stake
money if they are the winning bets.

The previous examples are just a few of the different ways in which
the formulas can be adapted to create betting plans of your own. The
flexibility of the formulas will enable you to combine an almost
limitless combination of football betting events.

Formula Applications –

Perms,

Accumulators

Single events - i.e. a single win and covered by a draw, correct score

draw, half time forecast or any other interrelated bet.

Single event + accumulator - single bets and accumulators combined.

58
We hope you enjoy using Football Betting
Science and wish you great success with
your new betting system.

The Football Betting Science Team.

Football Betting Science - Produced, Published and Edited by


T.Black Electronic Media Publications
A member of the fixed odds Association
Scotland (U.K)
www.fixedodds.btinternet.co.uk
fbs_bettingsystem@btinternet.com

59

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