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MANAJEMEN KEUANGAN
Cash Flow Risk
CHAPTER 1 The role of the financial manager is to deal with the
uncertainty associated with investment decisions.Assessing
WHAT IS CORPORATE FINANCE ? the risk associated with the size and timing of expected
future cash flows is critical to investment decisions.
What is Corporate Finance? Which is the better project?
Corporate finance attempts to find the answers to the
following questions:
–What investments should the business take on?
THE INVESTMENT DECISION
–How can finance be obtained to pay for the required
investments?
THE FINANCE DECISION
–Should dividends be paid? If so, how much?
THE DIVIDEND DECISION
The Financial Manager
Financial managers try to answer some or all of these Capital Structure
questions. The top financial manager within a firm is A firm’s capital structure is the specific mix of debt and
usually the General Manager–Finance. equity used to finance the firm’s operations.Decisions need
–Corporate Treasurer or Financial Manager,oversees cash to be made on both the financing mix and how and where
management, credit management, capital expenditures and to raise the money.
financial planning.
–Accountant,oversees taxes, cost accounting, financial Working Capital Management
accounting and data processing. How much cash and inventory should be kept on hand?
Should credit terms be extended? If so, what are the
The Investment Decision conditions?
Capital budgetingis the planning and control of cash How is short-term financing acquired?
outflows in the expectation of deriving future cash inflows
from investments in non-current assets. Dividend Decision
Involves the decision of whether to pay a dividend to
Involvesevaluatingthe: shareholders or maintain the funds within the firm for
–sizeoffuturecashflows internal growth.Factors important to this decision include
–timingoffuturecashflows growth opportunities, taxation and shareholders’
–riskoffuturecashflows. preferences.
Cash Flow Size Corporate Forms of Business Organisation
Accounting income does not mean cash flow.For example, a The three different legal forms of business
sale is recorded at the time of sale and a cost is recorded organisation are:
when it is incurred, not when the cash is exchanged.
sole proprietorship
Cash Flow Timing partnership
A dollar today is worth more than a dollar at some future company.
date.There is a trade-off between the size of an
investment’s cash flow and when the cash flow is received. Sole Proprietorship
Which is the better project? The business is owned by one person.
The least regulated form of organisation.
Owner keeps all the profits but assumes unlimited liability
for the business’s debts.
Life of the business is limited to the owner’s life span.
Amount of equity raised is limited to owner’s personal
wealth.
Partnership
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Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012)
M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m
Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) 1960
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Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012)
Representation of Opportunities
Opportunities facing firms in a two-period world include:
–investment/production
–payment of dividends. Fisher’s Separation Theorem
In a perfect capital market, it is possible to separate the
The production possibility frontier represents attainable firm’s investment decisions from the owners’ consumption
combinations of period 1 (pay dividend now) and period 2 decisions.
(invest now, pay dividend later) dollars from a given
endowment of resources. The Investment Decision
The point of wealth and utility maximisation for all
Production possibility frontier shareholders can be reached through one of two rules:
–Net present value rule: invest so as to maximise the net
present value of the investment.
–Internal rate of return rule: Invest up to the point at which
the marginal return on the investment is equal to the
expected rate of return on equivalent investments in the
capital market.
Implications of Fisher’s Analysis
It is only the investment decision that affects firm value.
Firm value is not affected by how investments are financed
or how the distribution (dividends) are made to the owners.
CHAPTER 2
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Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) 1962
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M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m
Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) 1963
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CHAPTER 3
Cash
Cash is generated by selling a product or service, asset or
security.Cash is spent by paying for materials and labour to
produce a product or service and by purchasing assets.
Statement of Cash Flows
Recall: A statement that summarises the sources and uses of cash.
Cash flow from assets = Cash flow to debtholders + Cash Changes are divided into three main categories:
flow to shareholders –Operating activities—includes net profit and changes in
most current accounts
Cash Flow –Investment activities—includes changes in fixed assets
Sources of cashare those activities that bring in cash.Uses of –Financing activities—includes changes in notes payable,
cashare those activities that involve spending cash.The long-term debt and equity accounts as well as dividends.
firm’s statement of cash flowsis the firm’s financial
statement that summarises its sources and uses of cash Operating activities
over a specified period. + Net profit
+ Depreciation
Statement of Financial Position ('000s) + Any decrease in current assets (except cash)
+ Increase in accounts payable
–Any increase in current assets (except cash)
–Decrease in accounts payable
Investment activities
+ Ending fixed assets
–Beginning fixed assets
+ Depreciation
Financing activities
–Decrease in notes payable
+ Increase in notes payable
–Decrease in long-term debt
+ Increase in long-term debt
+ Increase in ordinary shares
–Dividends paid
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Turnover Ratios
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CHAPTER 4
Example—Steps
Use the original financial position statement to create a pro-
forma; some items will vary directly with sales.
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Example—Results of Model
The good news is that sales are projected to increase by 25
per cent.The bad news is that $535 of new financing is
required.This can be achieved via short-term borrowing,
long-term borrowing and new equity issues.The planning
process points out problems and potential conflicts.
Assume that $225 is borrowed via notes payable and $310
is borrowed via long-term debt.
‘Plug’ figure now distributed and recorded within the
financial position statement.
A new (complete) pro-forma financial position statement
can be derived.
Example—Pro-Forma Financial Position Statement
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Example—Statement of Financial Performance If the required increase in assets exceeds the internal
funding available (that is, the increase in retained earnings),
then the difference is the external financing needed(EFN).
Where The firm can increase sales and assets at a rate of 4.82 per
S= previous period’s sales cent per year without selling any additional equity and
g= projected increase in sales without changing its debt ratio or payout ratio.
p= profit margin
R= retention ratio Growth rate depends on four factors:
External Financing Needed –profitability (profit margin)
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CHAPTER 5 Interpretation
The difference in values is due to the larger number of
periods in which interest can compound.Future values also
FIRST PRINCIPLES OF VALUATION : THE TIME VALUE depend critically on the assumed interest rate—the higher
OF MONEY the interest rate, the greater the future value.
Future Values at Different Interest Rates
Time Value Terminology
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Present value calculated by discounting each cash flow Future Value of an Annuity
separately
Comparing Rates
Annuities The nominal interest rate(NIR) is the interest rate expressed
An ordinary annuityis a series of equal cash flows that occur in terms of the interest payment made each period.The
at the end of each period for some fixed number of effective annual interest rate(EAR) is the interest rate
periods.Examples include consumer loans and home expressed as if it was compounded once per year.When
mortgages.A perpetuityis an annuity in which the cash flows interest is compounded more frequently than annually, the
continue forever. EAR will be greater than the NIR.
Present Value of an Annuity Calculation of EAR
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Which is the best rate? For a saver, Bank B offers the best
(highest) interest rate. For a borrower, Bank C offers the
best (lowest) interest rate.The highest NIR is not necessarily
the best.Compounding during the year can lead to a
significant difference between the NIR and the EAR.
Types of Loans
A pure discount loanis a loan where the borrower receives
money today and repays a single lump sum in the future.An
interest-only loan requires the borrower to only pay interest
each period and to repay the entire principal at some point Bond Value
in the future.An amortised loanrequires the borrower to
repay parts of both the principal and interest over time.
Amortisation of a Loan
Debt Securities
Debt securities are issued when an organisation wishes to
borrow money from the public on a long-term basis.Bonds
are issued by the government.Debentures are secured and
issued by a corporation.Notes are unsecured debt securities
issued by a corporation.More recently, these are all known
as bonds. Interest Rate Risk
Interestrateriskistheriskthatarisesforbondholdersfromchang
Bond Features esininterestrates.All other things being equal, the longer the
Coupon paymentsare the stated interest payments. time to maturity, the greater the interest rate risk.All other
Payment is constant and payable every year or half- things being equal, the lower the coupon rate, the greater
year.Face value(par value) is the principal amount repayable the interest rate risk.
at the end of the term.Coupon rateis the annual coupon
divided by the face value.Maturityis the specified date at
which the principal amount is payable.
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M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m
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Share Price Sensitivity to Dividend Growth, g Net present value is a measure of how much value is
created by undertaking an investment.Estimation of the
future cash flows and the discount rate are important in the
calculation of the NPV.
Steps in calculating NPV:
The first step is to estimate the expected future cash flows.
The second step is to estimate the required return for
projects of this risk level.
The third step is to find the present value of the cash flows
and subtract the initial investment.
NPV Illustrated
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Discounted Payback Period A project is accepted if ARR > target average accounting
The length of time required for an investment’s discounted return.
cash flows to equal its initial cost.Takes into account the
time value of money.More difficult to calculate.An Example—ARR
investment is acceptable if its discounted payback is less
than some prescribed number of years.
Example—Discounted Payback
Disadvantages of ARR
The measure is not a ‘true’ reflection of return.
Time value is ignored.
Arbitrary determination of target average return.
Uses profit and book value instead of cash flow and market
value.
Ordinary payback? Advantages of ARR
Discounted payback? Easy to calculate and understand.
Accounting information almost always available.
Advantages and Disadvantages of Discounted Payback
Advantages Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
-Includes time value of money The discount rate that equates the present value of the
-Easy to understand future cash flows with the initial cost.Generally found by
-Does not accept negative estimated NPV investments trial and error.A project is accepted if its IRR is > the
-Biased towards liquidity required rate of return.The IRR on an investment is the
required return that results in a zero NPV when it is used as
Disadvantages the discount rate.
-May reject positive NPV investments
-Arbitrary determination of acceptable payback period Example—IRR
-Ignores cash flows beyond the cutoff date
-Biased against long-term and new products
Accounting Rate of Return (ARR)
Measure of an investment’s profitability.
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at 33.33%:NPV =0
at 42.86%:NPV =0
at 66.67%:NPV =0
Two questions:
1.What’s going on here?
2.How many IRRs can there be?
Multiple Rates of Return
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M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m
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Interest
As the project’s NPV is positive, the cash flows from the
investment will cover interest costs (as long as the interest Solution—NPV and Decision
cost is less than the required rate of return).Interest costs
should not therefore be included as an explicit cash
flow.Interest costs are included in the required rate of
return (discount rate) used to evaluate the project
Depreciation
The depreciation expense used for capital budgeting should Decision: NPV < 0, therefore REJECT.
be the depreciation schedule required for tax
purposes.Depreciation itself is a non-cash expense; Setting the Bid Price
consequently, it is only relevant because it affects How to set the lowest price that can be profitably
taxes.Prime cost vs diminishing value methods charged.Cash outflows are given.Determine cash inflows
Depreciation tax shield = DT that result in zero NPV at the required rate of return.From
-D = depreciation expense cash inflows, calculate sales revenue and price per unit.
-T = marginal tax rate
Setting the Option Value
Disposal of Assets Option value =Asset value ×Probability of the Value–Present
If the salvage value > book value, a profit/gain is value of the exercise price ×Probability the exercise price
made on disposal. This profit/gain is subject to tax will be paid.
(excess depreciation in previous periods).
If the salvage value < book value, the ensuing loss Annual Equivalent Cost (AEC)
on disposal is a tax deduction (insufficient When comparing two mutually-exclusive projects with
depreciation in previous periods). different lives, it is necessary to make comparisons over the
same time period.AEC is the present value of each project’s
Capital Gains costs to infinity calculated on an annual basis.Select the
Capital gains made on the sale of assets such as rental project with the lowest AEC.
property are subject to taxation.Capital losses are not a tax
deduction but can be offset against future capital gains Example—AEC
Project A costs $3000 and then $1000 per annum for the
Example—Incremental Cash Flows next four years.Project B costs $6000 and then $1200 for
A firm is currently considering replacing a machine the next eight years.Required rate of return for both
purchased two years ago with an original estimated useful projects is 10 per cent.Which is the better project?
life of five years. The replacement machine has an economic
life of three years. Other relevant data is summarised Solution—Project A
below:
Solution—Taxable Income
Solution—Project B
Solution—Cash Flows
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CHAPTER 9 Worst case: Rentals are 18 000 buckets p.a., variable costs
are 12 per cent of rental income, fixed costs are
PROJECT ANALYSIS AND EVALUATION $40 000, depreciation is $4000 p.a.
Break-even Analysis
Useful for analysing the relationship between sales volume
and profitability.Break-even point is the sales volume at
Estimated annual cash flow: which the present value of the project’s cash inflows and
$10 000 + $4000 – $3000 = $11 000 outflows are equal NPV = 0.
At 15%, the 5-year annuity factor is 3.3522.
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Important distinction between variable costs and fixed Solve algebraically for break-even quantity (Q):
costs.Accounting break-even is the sales volume that results
in a zero net profit.
Fixed and Variable Costs
There are two types of costs that are important in break-
even analysis: variable and fixed.
-Variable costs change when the quantity of output changes
-Total variable costs= quantity ×cost per unit If sales do not reach 16 296 buckets, Fairways willincur
-Fixed costs are constant, regardless of output, over some losses in both the accounting sense and thefinancial sense.
time period
-Total Costs = fixed + variable = FC + Vq Accounting of Break-even Point
Example: Generalexpression
Your firm pays $3000 per month in fixed costs. You also pay Q= (FC + D)/(P–v)
where:
$15per unit to produce your product. Q=totalunitssold
(Total cost if you produce 1000 units = 3000 + 15(1000) = 18 FC=totalfixedcosts
000) D=depreciation
(Total cost if you produce 5000 units = 3000 + 15(5000) = 78 P=priceperunit
000) V=variablecostperunit
Average versus Marginal Cost Using Accounting Break-even
Average Cost Accounting break-even is often used as an early-stage
-TC/number of units screening number.If a project cannot break even on an
-Will decrease as number of units increases accounting basis, then it is not going to be a worthwhile
Marginal Cost project.Accounting break-even gives managers an indication
-The cost to produce one more unit of how a project will impact accounting profit.
-Same as variable cost per unit
Example: What is the average cost and marginal cost under Summary of Break-even Measures
each situation in the previous example?
-Produce 1000 units: Average = 18 000/1000 = $18
-Produce 5000 units: Average = 78 000/5000 = $15.60
Fairways Example—Accounting Break-even Analysis
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Operating Leverage
The degree to which a firm is committed to its fixed costs.
The higher the degree of operating leverage, the greater the
danger from forecasting risk.The lower the degree of
operating leverage, the lower the break-even point.DOL
depends on the current sales level.
Percentage Return Example
Fairways Example—DOL
Let Q = 20 000 buckets and, ignoring taxes, OCF = $14 000
and FC = $40 000. Per dollar invested we get 5 cents in dividends and 9
cents in capital gains—a total of 14 cents or a return of
14 per cent.
A 10 per cent increase (decrease) in quantity sold will result Percentage Returns
in a 38.57 per cent increase (decrease) in OCF.
Note: Higher DOL equals greater volatility (risk) in OCF and
leverage is a two-edged sword—sales decreases will be
magnified as much as increases.
Managerial Options and Capital Budgeting
A static DCF analysis ignores management’s ability to
modify the project as events occur.
Contingency planning
The option to expand.
The option to abandon.
The option to wait.
Strategic options
1. ‘Toe hold’ investments.
2. Research and development.
Capital Rationing
A condition which prevents management from undertaking
all acceptable projects because of a shortage of funds.
1. Soft rationing occurs when management limits the
amount that can be invested in new projects during Inflation and Returns
some specified time period. Real return is the return after taking out the effects
2. Hard rationing occurs when the firm is unable to ofinflation. Real return shows the percentage change in
raise the financing for a project. buying power. Nominal return is the return before taking
out the effects ofinflation. The Fisher effect explores the
CHAPTER 10 relationship between real
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Variance
Measure of variability.
The mean of the squared deviations from the
average return. Variability: The Second Lesson
The greater the risk, the greater the potential reward.This
lesson holds over the long term but may not be valid for the
short term.
Capital Market Efficiency
Example—Variance The efficient market hypothesis (EMH) asserts that the price
ABC Co. have experienced the following returns in the last of a security accurately reflects all available
five years: information.Implies that all investments have a zero
NPV.Implies also that all securities are fairly priced.If this is
true then investors cannot earn ‘abnormal’ or ‘excess’
returns.
Price Behaviour in Efficient andInefficient Markets
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CHAPTER 11
Portfolios
Expected Return and Variance A portfolio is a collection of assets.An asset’s risk and return
1. Expected return—the weighted average of the is important in how it affects the risk and return of the
distribution of possible returns in the future. portfolio.The risk–return trade-off for a portfolio is
2. Variance of returns—a measure of the dispersion of measured by the portfolio’s expected return and standard
the distribution of possible returns. deviation, just as with individual assets.
3. Rational investors like return and dislike risk.
Portfolio Expected Returns
Example—Calculating Expected Return The expected return of a portfolio is the weighted average
of the expected returns for each asset in the portfolio.
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Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012)
Diversification
The process of spreading investments across different
assets, industries and countries to reduce risk.
The Effect of Diversification onPortfolio Variance
Total risk = systematic risk + non-systematic risk
Non-systematic risk can be eliminated by diversification;
systematic risk affects all assets and cannot be diversified
away.
The Principle of Diversification
Diversification can substantially reduce the variability of
returns without an equivalent reduction in expected
returns.This reduction in risk arises because worse than
expected returns from one asset are offset by better than
expected returns from another.However, there is a
minimum level of risk that cannot be diversified away and
that is the systematic portion.
Portfolio Diversification
Announcements, Surprises and Expected Returns
Key Issues
What are the components of the total return?
What are the different types of risk?
Expected and Unexpected Returns
Total return (R) = expected return (E(R))+ unexpected return
(U)
Announcements and News
Announcement = expected part + surprise
It is the surprise component that affects a stock’s price and,
therefore, its return.
Risk
Systematic risk: that component of total risk which is due to
economy-wide factors.
Non-systematic risk: that component of total risk which is
unique to an asset or firm.
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M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m
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Example—Operating Cycle
The following information has been provided for Overcredit
Co.:
Sales for the year were $510 000 (assume all credit) and
the cost of goods sold was $350 000.Calculate the operating
Problems with CAPM cycle and cash cycle.
Difficulties in estimating beta
-thin trading
-non-constant beta
Using CAPM
-adding explanatory variables
-measure of market return
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Example—cash cycle
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Where
TC = total cost
X = order size
EOQ = economic order qty
A = acquisition costs
Y = total demand
C = carrying costs
P = price per unit
Cash Budget
Example—EOQ Forecast of cash receipts and disbursements over the next
Smile Camera Shop sells 10 000 rolls of film per year, each short-term planning period.Primary tool in short-term
with a wholesale price of $3.20. The cost of processing each financial planning. ItsHelps determine when the firm should
order placed is $10.00 and carrying costs are 20 cents per experience cash surpluses and when it will need to borrow
roll per year. Calculate the EOQ. to cover working-capital costs.Allows a company to plan
ahead and begin the search for financing before the money
is actually needed.
Example—Cash Budget
Projected sales for the first six months of 2004:
Jan. $130 000 Apr. $140 000
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Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012)
CHAPTER 13
Cash Disbursements
Reasons for Holding Cash
Speculative motive—the need to hold cash to take
advantage of additional investment opportunities, such as
bargain purchases.
Precautionary motive—the need to hold cash as a safety
margin to act as a financial reserve.
Transaction motive—the need to hold cash to satisfy normal
disbursement and collection activities associated with a
Cash Budget firm’s ongoing operations.
Compensating balance requirements—cash balances kept at
commercial banks to compensate for banking services the
firm receives.
Target Cash Balance
Key Issues:
What is the trade-off between carrying a large cash balance
versus a small cash balance? That is, carrying costs versus
shortage costs.
What is the proper management of the cash balance? BAT
Short-term Financial Planning model versus Miller–Orr model
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Example—Miller–Orr Model
Assume L = $0, F = $10, i = 0.5 per cent per month andthe
standard deviation of monthly cash flows is $2000.
Assumptions
-Cash is spent at the same rate every day
-Cash expenditures are known with certainty
Optimal cash balance is where opportunity cost of holding Miller–Orr Model Implications
cash ([C/2]*R) = trading cost ([T/C]*F): Considers the effect of uncertainty (through 2 in net cash
flows). The higher the 2, the greater the difference
between C* and L.The higher the 2, the higher is the upper
F = fixed cost of making a securities trade to replenish cash limit and the average cash balance.
T = total amount of new cash needed for transactions All things being equal:
purposes over the relevant planning period 1. the greater the interest rate, the lower is the C*
R = the opportunity cost of holding cash (the interest rate 2. the greater the order costs, the higher is the C*.
on marketable securities)
Miller–Orr Model Miller–Orr Model With Overdraft
Assumes that, if left unmanaged, a company’s cash balance Yield on short-term investments < cost of bank overdraft <
yield on long-term investments.A dollar invested in short-
would follow a random walk with zero drift.Cash balance is term assets earns less than the costs saved by applying that
allowed to wander freely between an upper limit (U*) and a dollar to reduce overdraft usage.The company invests
lower limit (L).If cash holdings reach U*, management nothing in short-term assets and as much as possible in
intervenes by withdrawing U* – C* dollars to return the long-term assets, while meeting its liquidity needs through
cash balance to the target level C*.If cash balance reaches using the overdraft facility.
L,management intervenes by injecting C* – L dollars to
return the cash balance to the target level C*.
Understanding Float
What is float?
The difference between book cash and bank cash,
representing the net effect of cheques in the process of
being cleared.
Types of float:
U* is the upper control limit. L is the lower control limit. The Disbursement float—the result of cheques written;
targetcash balance is C*. As long as cash is between L and decreases book balance but does not immediately change
U*, notransaction is made. available balance.
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Terminology to know:
Cost of the Credit
2/10, net 30 = buyer pays in 10 days to get a 2 per cent
discount, or within 30 days for no discount.Buyer has an
order for $1500 and ignores the credit period gives up
$30 discount.
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Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) 1992
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Credit Analysis
Break-even Point Process of deciding which customers receive credit.
One-time sale—risk is variable cost only.
Repeat customers—benefit is gained from one-time sale in
perpetuity.
Grant credit to almost all customers onceas long as variable
cost is low relative to price (high markup).
The Five Cs of Credit
The switch is a good idea as long as thecompany can sell an Character : Customer’s willingness to pay.
additional 7.87 units. Capacity : Customer’s ability to pay.
Capital : Financial reserves/borrowing capacity.
Discounts and Default Risk Collateral : Pledged assets.
ABC Co. currently has a cash price of $55 per unit. If the Conditions : Relevant economic conditions.
company extends the 30 day credit policy, the price will
increase to $56 per unit on credit sales. ABC Co. expects 0.5 Collection Policy
per cent of credit to go uncollected (). All other Monitoring receivables:
information remains unchanged. Should the company - Keep an eye on average collection period relative to your
switch to the credit policy? credit terms.
Ageing schedule—compilation of accounts receivable by the
age of each account; used to determine the percentage of
payments that are being made late.
Collection procedures include:
Discounts and Default Risk delinquency letters
NPV of changing credit terms: telephone calls
employment of collection agency
legal action.
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Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012)
CHAPTER 15
SHORT-TERM FINANCING
Banks
Trading banks includes activities such as deposits, loans,
insurance, superannuation and stockbroking, usually
through subsidiaries and affiliated companies.
Unit Trusts
Pool funds of small investors with the aim of earning a
greater return collectively than that achieved
individually.Cash management trusts, equity trusts,
property trusts, mortgage trusts
Other Intermediaries
Authorised foreign exchange dealers perform a full range
of foreign exchange transactions.
Australian Stock Exchange (ASX) and share brokers
provide the medium for buying and selling shares and other
listed securities.
Friendly societies non-profit, state-controlled
intermediaries for small groups to pool funds to be used for
funerals, sickness or, simply, savings.
Financing Policy for an ‘Ideal’ Economy
CompromiseFinancing Policy
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M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m
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M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m
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CHAPTER 18
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Rearranging: Advantages
Adjusts for risk.
Accounts for companies that don’t have a constant
dividend.
Disadvantages
Example—Cost of Equity Capital: Dividend Approach 1. Requires two factors to be estimated: the market
Reno Co. recently paid a dividend of 15 cents per share. risk premium and the beta co-efficient.
This dividend is expected to grow at a rate of 3 per cent per 2. Uses the past to predict the future, which may not
year into perpetuity. The current market price of Reno’s be appropriate.
shares is $3.20 per share. Determine the cost of equity
capital for Reno Co The Cost of Debt
The cost of debt, RD, is the interest rate on new borrowing.
RD is observable:
yields on currently outstanding debt
yields on newly-issued similarly-rated bonds.
Estimating g The historic cost of debt is irrelevant
One method for estimating the growth rate is to use the
historicalaverage. Example—Cost of Debt
Ishta Co. sold a 20-year, 12 per cent bond 10 yearsago at
par. The bond is currently priced at $86.What is our cost of
debt?
The Dividend Growth Model Approach The yield to maturity is 14.4 per cent, so this is used
Advantages as the cost of debt, not 12 per cent.
1. Easy to use and understand.
Disadvantages The Cost of Preference Shares
Only applicable to companies paying dividends. Preference shares pay a constant dividend every period.
Assumes dividend growth is constant. Preference shares are a perpetuity, so the cost is:
Cost of equity is very sensitive to growth estimate.
Ignores risk.
The SML Approach Notice that the cost is simply the dividend yield.
Required return on a risky investment is dependent on
three factors: Example—Cost of Preference Shares
o the risk-free rate, Rf An $8 preference share issue was sold 10 years ago. It sells
o the market risk premium, E(RM) – Rf for $120 per share today.
o the systematic risk of the asset relative to
the average, The dividend yield today is $8.00/$120 = 6.67 per cent, so
this is the cost of the preference share issue.
The Weighted Average Cost of Capital
Interest payments on debt are tax deductible, so the after- WACC is the return that the firm must earn on its
tax cost of debt is: existing assets to maintain the value of its shares.
WACC is the appropriate discount rate to use for
Dividends on preference shares and ordinary shares are cash flows that are similar in risk to the firm.
nottax-deductible so tax does not affect their costs.
The weighted average cost of capital is therefore: Divisional and Project Costs of Capital
When is the WACC the appropriate discount rate?
When the project’s risk is about the same as the firm’s risk.
Other approaches to estimating a discount rate:
Example—Weighted Average Cost of Capital divisional cost of capital—used if a company has
Zeus Ltd has 78.26 million ordinary shares on issue with a more than one division with different levels of risk
book value of $22.40 per share and a current market price pure play approach—a WACC that is unique to a
of $58 per share. The market value of equity is therefore particular project is used
$4.54 billion. Zeus has an estimated beta of 0.90. Treasury
bills currently yield 4.5 per cent and the market risk subjective approach—projects are allocated to
premium is assumed to be 7.94 per cent. Company tax is 30 specific risk classes which, in turn, have specified
per cent. WACCs.
The firm has four debt issues outstanding: The SML and the WACC
Example—Cost of Debt
If a firm uses its WACC to make accept/reject decisions for
all types of projects, it will have atendency towards
incorrectly accepting risky projects and incorrectly rejecting
less riskyprojects.
Example—Using WACC for all Projects
What would happen if we use the WACC for all projects
The weighted average cost of debt is 7.15 per cent. regardless of risk?
WACC
The WACC for a firm reflects the risk and the target
capital structure to finance the firm’s existing assets
as a whole.
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Types of Dividends
Example—Project Cost includingFlotation Costs A dividend is a payment made out of a firm’s earnings to its
Saddle Co. Ltd has a target capital structure of 70per cent owners (shareholders).Dividends are usually paid in the
equity and 30 per cent debt. Theflotation costs for equity form of cash.
issues are 15 per cent ofthe amount raised and the flotation
costs for debtissues are 7 per cent. If Saddle Co. Ltd Types of cash dividends include:
needs$30 million for a new project, what is the ‘true 1. regular cash dividends
cost’ of this project? 2. extra dividends
3. special dividends
4. liquidating dividends.
The weighted average flotation cost is 12.6 percent. Share dividends are also paid, and share repurchases are a
dividend alternative.
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4. Payment date: the dividend cheques are mailed to Flotation costs: Higher dividend payouts may
shareholders of record. require a new share issue, which could be expensive
and decrease the value of the firm.
The Ex-date Price DropEx date Dividend restrictions: Debt contracts might limit the
percentage of income that can be paid out as
dividends.
A high payout is better if one considers:
Desire for current income instead of capital gain.
Uncertainty resolution: ‘bird-in-hand’ story.
Tax benefits: There are some investors who do
The share price will fall by the amount of the dividend on receive favourable tax treatment from holding high
the exdate (Time 0). If the dividend is $1 per share, the price dividends (e.g. corporate investors).
will beequal to $10 –1 = $9 on the ex date. Legal benefits.
Before ex date (Time –1)Dividend = $0Price = $10
On ex date (Time 0)Dividend = $1Price = $9 Examples of Imputed Tax Credits
Do Dividends Matter?
Yes: the value of a share is based on the present value of
expected future dividends.
No: the value of a share is not affected by a switch in
dividend policy.
Does Dividend Policy Matter?
Dividend policy versus cash dividends
An illustration of dividend irrelevance : Original dividends
To Date …
Based on the home-made dividend argument, dividend
policy is irrelevant.Because of high taxation of some
individual investors, a high-dividend policy may be
Assume an additional $200 of dividends is offered, financed best.Because of new issue costs, a low-dividend policy is
by an issue of debt or shares. New dividend plan: best.
Dividends and Signals
Changes in dividends convey information
Dividend increases:
Management believes it can be sustained.
Expectation of higher future dividends, increasing
P0= $1200/1.2 + $760/1.22= $1 527.78 present value.
Signal of a healthy, growing firm.
Dividend Policy Irrelevance
Any increase in dividends at one point is offset exactly by a
decrease somewhere else.An alternative explanation is Dividend decreases:
home-made dividends. Individual investors can undo Management believes it can no longer sustain the
corporate dividend policy by reinvesting dividends or selling current level of dividends.
shares.Companies may help with creating home-made Expectation of lower dividends indefinitely;
dividends by offering shareholders automatic dividend decreasing present value.
reinvestment plans (DRIPs). Signal of a firm that is having financial difficulties.
The information content makes it difficult to interpret the
Dividends and the Real World effect of the dividend policy of the firm.
A low payout is better if one considers:
Clientele Effect
Taxes: Optimal dividend policy is determined by Shares attract particular groups based on dividend yield and
various shareholder situations. Some shareholders the resulting tax effects.Some investors prefer low dividend
prefer high franked dividends, others prefer the payouts and will buy shares in those companies that offer
company to pay no dividend and retain the funds low dividend payouts.Some investors prefer high dividend
for reinvestment (tax on dividend income vs capital payouts and will buy shares in those companies that offer
gains tax). high dividend payouts.
Residual Dividend Policy
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Share Repurchases
Company buys back its own shares.Similar to a cash
dividend in that it returns cash from the firm to the
shareholders.This is another argument for dividend policy
irrelevance in the absence of taxes or other imperfections.
Equal access purchase: Offer made by company to all
shareholders to purchase shares in the same proportion as
their holdings.
On-market purchase: Purchase by a company of its own
shares on the open market.
Employee share purchase: Repurchase shares from
employees that were issued under employee incentive
scheme.
Key Concepts in Dividend Policy Selective purchase: Repurchase of shares from specific
Dividend stability—dividends are only increased if the shareholders.
increase is sustainable.
Odd-lot purchase: Repurchase of small parcels of
Dividend streaming—shareholders can choose different shares.
dividend schemes to suit their tax position (franked vs
unfranked dividends) Cash Dividend versus ShareRepurchase
Assume no taxes, commissions or other market
Special dividends—‘one-off’’ extra dividends. imperfections.Consider a firm with 50 000 shares
outstanding, netprofit of $100 000 and the following
Dividend reinvestment schemes—company reinvests balance sheet.
individuals’ dividends into fully paid shares of the company.
Avoids transactions costs and need for prospectus, and
shares are usually offered at a discount.
Australian Equity Raisings 2001
Price per share is $20 ($1 000 000/50 000).
EPS = $2.00 ($100 000/50 000).
PE ratio = 10.
The firm is considering either:
Paying a $1 per share cash dividend.
OR
Repurchasing 2500 shares at $20 a share.
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Conclusions
The WACC decreases as more debt financing is used.
Optimal capital structure is all debt. The Optimal Capital Structure and theCost of Capital
Bankruptcy Costs
Borrowing money is a good news/bad news proposition.
–The good news:interest payments are deductible and
create a debt tax shield (TCD).
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The Capital Structure Question With corporate and personal tax, and dividend imputation,
shareholders are again indifferent between corporate and
personal borrowing.
Dynamic Capital Structure Theories
Pecking order theory : Investment is financed first
with internal funds, then debt, and finally with
equity.
Information asymmetry cost : Management has
superior information on the prospects of the firm.
Agency costs of debt : These occur when equity
holders act in their own best interests rather than
the interests of the firm
CHAPTER 21
Managerial Recommendations
The tax benefit is only important if the firm has a large tax Option Terminology
liability. 1. Call option : Right to buy a specified asset at a
specified price on or before a specified date.
Risk of financial distress: 2. Put option : Right to sell a specified asset at a
–The greater the risk of financial distress, the less debt will specified price on or before a specified date.
be optimal for the firm. 3. European option : An option that can only be
–The cost of financial distress varies across firms and exercised on a particular date (on expiry).
industries. 4. American option : An option that can be exercised
at any time up to its expiry date.
The Extended Pie Model 5. Striking price : The contracted price at which the
underlying asset can be bought (call) or sold (put).
6. Expiration date : The date at which an option
expires.
7. Option premium : The price paid by the buyer for
the right to buy or sell an asset.
8. Exercising the option : The act of buying or selling
the underlying asset via the option contract.
Option Contract Characteristics
Expirationmonth
Optiontype
Contractsize
Expiry
Exerciseprice
Option Valuation
S1 = share price at expiration S0 = share price today
The Value of the Firm C1 = value of call option on expiration
Value of the firm = marketed claims + non-marketed claims: C0 = value of call option today
–Marketed claims are the claims of shareholders and E = exercise price on the option
bondholders.
–Non-marketed claims are the claims of the government Value of Call Option at Expiration
and other potential stakeholders.
The overall value of the firm is unaffected by changes in the
capital structure.The division of value between marketed
claims and non-marketed claims may be impacted by capital
structure decisions.
Corporate Borrowing and Personal Borrowing
Without tax, corporate and personal borrowing are
interchangeable.
With corporate and personal tax, there is an advantage to
corporate borrowing because of the interest tax shield.
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than the debt, the shareholders will let the option expire
and the assets will belong to the bondholders.
Equity Option Contracts
Types of equity option contracts offered in Australia:
–Exchange traded put and call options on company shares
–Exchange traded long dated contracts issued by a financial
institution that can then trade them (warrants)
–Over-the-counter options on company shares
–Convertible notes issued by companies, comprising both a
debt and an equity component.
Warrants
A long-lived option that gives the holder the right to buy
shares in a company at a specified price.
Types of warrants available:
equity warrants low exercise price warrants
fractional warrants endowment warrants Futures Contracts
basket warrants currency warrants An agreement between two parties to exchange a specified
fully covered warrants asset at a specified price at a specified time in the future.
index warrants Do not need to own an asset to sell a future contract.
instalment warrants Either buy before delivery or close out position with an
opposite market position.
Company Options
A holder is given the right to purchase shares in a company Futures Markets
at a specified price over a given period of time.Usually Enable buyers and sellers to avoid risk in commodities (and
offered as a ‘sweetener’ to a debt issue.These options are other) markets with high price variability → hedging.
often detached and sold separately. Involves standardised contracts.
Deposit required by all traders to guarantee performance.
Company Options versus Exchange-traded Options Adverse price movements must be covered daily by further
Company options have longer maturity periods and are deposits called margins (‘marked to market’).
often European-type options.Company options are issued Futures also available for short-term interest rates, to
as part of a capital-raising program and are therefore protect against interest rate movements.
limited in number.The clearing house has no role in the
trading of company options.Company options are issued by Futures Quotes
firms. Commodity, exchange, size, quote units : The contract size
is important when determining the daily gains and losses for
Earnings Dilution marking-to-market.
Put and call options have no effect on the value of the Delivery month : Open price, daily high, daily low,
firm.Company options do affect the value of the settlement price, change from previous settlement price,
firm.Company options cause the number of shares on issue contract lifetime high and low prices, open interest
to increase when: –The change in settlement price multiplied by the contract
–the options are exercised size determines the gain or loss for the day:
–the debts are converted. Long—an increase in the settlement price leads to a
gain
This increase does not lower the price per share but EPS will Short—an increase in the settlement price leads to
fall. a loss
Because they are negotiated contracts and there is no Factors Determining the Term Structure
exchange of cash initially, they are usually limited to large, Risk preferences : borrowers prefer long-term credit
creditworthy corporations. whereas lenders prefer short-term loans (explains upward-
sloping yield curve only).
Supply : demand conditions—segmented capital markets
can cause supply-demand imbalances (explains all yield
curve shapes).
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Expectations about future interest rates (most favoured Market bid : An announcement by a stockbroker
explanation) that a broking firm will stand in the market to
purchase the target company’s shares for a
specified price for a specified period.
CHAPTER 22
The Legal Framework
MERGERS, ACQUISITIONS AND TAKEOVERS
The NPV of the merger is: These defensive tactics take several forms:
NPV = VB * – Cost to Firm A of the acquisition –Friendly shareholders offer the best defence.
–Poison pills—designed to ‘repel’ takeover attempts.
The cost of the acquisition to Firm A depends on the –Share rights plans—allow existing shareholders to
Medium of exchange used to acquire Firm B—cash or purchase shares at some fixed price in the event of a
shares. Whether cash or shares are used to finance the takeover bid.
acquisition depends on the following factors: –Going private and leveraged buyouts—the publicly owned
Sharing gains: If cash is used, the selling firm’s shares in a firm are replaced with complete equity
shareholders will not participate in the potential ownership by a private group (often financed by debt).
gains (or losses) from the merger. Terminology of Defensive Tactics
Control: Control of the acquiring firm is unaffected 1. Golden parachutes—compensation to top-level
in a cash acquisition. Acquisition with voting shares management.
may have implications for control of the merged 2. Poison puts—purchase securities back at a set price.
firm. 3. Crown jewels—selling off of major assets.
4. White knights—acquisition by a ‘friendly’ firm.
Example—Cash or Shares? 5. Lockups—option for a ‘friendly’ firm to purchase
Pre-merger information for Firm A and Firm B: shares or assets at a fixed price.
6. Shark repellant—designed to discourage unwanted
mergers.
.
Evidence on Acquisitions
Shareholders of target companies involved in successful
Both firms are 100 per cent equity financed. takeovers gainsubstantially.Abnormal gains of around 25
The estimated incremental value of the acquisition is per cent reflect merger premium.
Firm B has agreed to a sale price of $675, payable in cash or
shares. The value of Firm B to Firm A is:
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Types of Transactions
Spot deal an agreement to trade currencies based on the
exchange rate today for settlement within two business
days.
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Translation Exposure
Uncertainty arising from the need to translate the results
from foreign operations (in foreign currency) to home
Combines IRP and UFR. currency for accounting purposes.
International Fisher Effect (IFE) Political Risk
Real interest rates are equal across countries. Changes in value due to political actions in the foreign
country.Investment in countries that have unstable
governments should require higher returns.The extent of
Combines PPP and UFR. political risk depends on the nature of the business:
Ignores risk and barriers to capital movements. –The more dependent the business is on other operations
within the firm, the less valuable it is to others.
Example—International Capital Budgeting –Natural resource development can be very valuable to
Pizza Shack is considering opening a store in Mexico. The others, especially if much of the ground work in developing
store would cost $A500 000 or 3 million pesos (at an the resource has already been done.
exchange rate of $A1/6.000 pesos). They hope to operate -- Local financing can often reduce political risk.
the store for two years and then sell it to a local franchisee.
Assume that the expected cash flows are 250 000 pesos in Types of Political Risk
the first year and 5 million pesos in year 2 (including the
selling price of the store and fixtures). The Australian risk-
free rate is 7 per cent and the Mexican risk-free rate is 10
per cent. The required return in Australia is 12 per cent.
Ignore taxes.
Method 1: Home Currency
Using the interest rate parity relationship:
CHAPTER 24
Example—Method 2: Foreign Currency Approach
Using a 3 per cent inflation premium: (1.12 ×1.03) –1 = LEASING
15.36%
Leasing versus Buying
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Leasing
What is a lease?
–A lessee (user) enters an agreement in which they make
lease payments to the lessor (owner) in return for the use of
the leased property/asset.
Who are the major providers of lease finance in Australia?
–Finance companies and banks.
What assets are leased?
–Any asset including photocopiers, cars, construction
equipment, computers, shop/office fittings and equipment.
24-709
Criteria for a Financial Lease
Types of Leases AAS17 ‘Accounting for Leases’ states that a financial lease
Operating lease occurs where substantially all risks and benefits pass to the
Financial lease lessee.A financial lease must be disclosed on the Statement
–Sale and leaseback agreement of Financial Position if at least oneof the following criteria is
–Leveraged lease met:
–the lease term is 75 per cent or more of the estimated
Operating Leases economic life of the asset
Short-term lease. –the present value of the lease payments is at least 90 per
Cancellable prior to the expiry date at little or no cost. cent of the fair market value of the asset at the start of the
Lessor is responsible for maintenance and upkeep of asset. lease.
The sum of the lease payments does not provide for full
recovery of the asset’s costs. Leasing and Taxation
Includes telephones, televisions, computers, photocopiers, Lease premiums paid under a lease contract are tax
cars. deductible.Any payment relating to the ultimate purchase
of the asset is not deductible.The residual payment does
Financial Leases not qualify as a tax deduction.Any profit made on the asset
Long-term lease. previously leased is subject to capital gains tax.
Non-cancellable (without penalty) prior to expiry date.
Lessee is responsible for the maintenance and upkeep of Example—Lease versus Buy
the asset. Macca Co. has to decide whether to borrow the $15 000
Lease period approximates asset’s economic life. needed to purchase a new gadget machine (with a
The sum of the lease payments exceeds the asset’s borrowing cost of 10 per cent) or to lease the machine for
purchase price. $4000 per annum. If purchased, the asset could be
Includes specialist equipment, heavy industrial equipment. depreciated using the straight-line method over the three-
year life. The company tax rate is 30 per cent.Under the
Residual Value Clause lease agreement, Macca Co. would be responsible for
Lease continues for its full term maintaining the machine?
Lessee can purchase the asset for its residual value, return
the asset to the lessor (paying any shortfall from residual Example—Lease versus Buy: Repayment Schedule
value) or renew the lease.
Lease is cancelled during its initial term
Lessee must pay outstanding premiums (less interest
component) plus residual value of asset.
Sale and leaseback agreements
Companies sell an asset to another firm and immediately
lease it back. Enables the company to receive cash and yet
maintain use of the asset.
Leveraged leases
The lessor arranges for funds to be contributed by one or Example—Lease versus Buy:Tax Subsidises Borrowing
more parties—form of risk-sharing and transferring tax
benefits. Often used to finance large-scale projects.
Leasing and the Statement of Financial Position
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Example—Lease Premiums
KAZ Co. has started a four-year lease of a photocopier which
has a $70 000 purchase price. Had the company purchased
the copier, the interest rate quoted on borrowings was 1.5
per cent per month. KAZ has agreed with the lessor to a
residual value of $10 000 at the end of four years.What will
The advantage is greater than zero so Macca Co. be the amount of the lease premiums?
should lease.
Solution—Lease Premiums
Residual Value
The residual valueis the amount for which the asset may be
purchased by the lessee from the lessor at the end of the
lease term.
The salvage valueis the amount the asset can be sold for in
the market place by the lessee (once they have acquired the
asset).
In the previous example, assume a residual value of $2000
and a salvage value of $1500.
Advantages of Financial Leases
Example—Lease the Asset with Residual Value No restrictions on future borrowing.
Can be tailored to suit firm’s needs.
Eliminates the need to raise extra capital.
No unnecessary financial outlay.
May be excluded from the Statement of Financial Position.
Facilitates financing capital additions on a piecemeal basis.
Is an allowable cost under government contracting.
Offers tax advantages.
Advantages of Operating Leases
Example—Borrow to Purchase the Asset with Residual Frees up capital for alternative uses.
Value Increases the company’s working capital.
Provides greater control due to greater certainty in future
outlays.
Assures more competent upkeep of asset.
Avoids the risk of obsolescence.
Avoids the equipment disposal problem.
Future outlays cost less in real terms due to inflation.
Disadvantages of Leasing
Interest cost often higher.
May not offer the right to the residual value of the asset.
Allows the acquisition of assets without submitting formal
capital expenditure procedures.
May cause distortions in the evaluation of interfirm and
interdivision performance.
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MANAJEMEN KEUANGAN
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JAWABAN
1.) a
AR Turnover = Sales /
AR 11.24 kali
Average Collection
Period = 365 / (AR
Turnover) 32.49 hari
Inventory Turnover =
COGS / Inventory 16.09 kali
Fixed Asset Turnover =
Sales / Net Fixed Asset 4.60 kali
Total Asset Turnover =
Sales / Total Asset 2.78 kali
b
Comparing: with peers
& with prior
performance
Efisiensi Penggunaan
aset: AR turnover,
inventory turnover,
fixed asset turnover,
TAT
C.
Du Pont Analysis:
ROE = Net income / Equity = Net Income / Sales x Sales /
Equity = Net Income / Sales x Sales / Asset x Asset / Equity
ROE = Profit Margin x Total
Asset Turnover x Equity
Multiplier
RoE = Profitability,
Operating
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efficiency, Leverage Find YTM of 002 --> Find YTM 001 -->
Find Price 001
Logic: YTM of 002, lower or higher
2013 2012
than its coupon?
Lower
Discount --> YTM
0.98 1.15 Profita
is higher than
Profit Margin % % bility
Answer: coupon
TAT 2.78 2.78 Stable
Higher
Use Trial and error --> Do this last.
Levera
Equity Multiplier 2.22 1.63 ge
6.02 5.21
RoE % %
Just to
prove
higher
leverag
Debt Ratio 55% 50% e Trial and Error 926,399,129.49
YTM 6% x 2 = 12%
d.
2013 2012 Price of 001 5,288,934,649.68
Current Ratio =
Current Asset / b.
Curr. Liab. 0.91 1.2 Year Dividend
Acid test Ratio =
(curr. Asset - 1 750.00
inventory) / Curr.
Liab 0.63 0.89 2 750.00
Debt Ratio 55% 50%
2.) 3 900.00 Up 20%
a
4 1,080.00 Up 20%
JWS001
5% constant
growth
162,500,
Req. Rate of
Par 5,000,000,000.00 000.00
Return 13%
every 3
c 13% months
Market Price 10,000.00
Same YTM as 10
Rekomendasi:
JWS002 years
overvalued or
Price? undervalued?
JWS002
Terminal Value D5/R-g3 14,175.00
Price 926,400,000.00
P0 11,231.00
Par 1,000,000,000.00
Market Price 10,000.00
every 6 50,000,0
So, stock is undervalued, Buy !
c 10% months 00.00
5 years 3. ) a.
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Income Statement % %
Sales 1500 Total
Cost 800 0.5333333 40.00 Current
Inv 750 % Liability 475
Taxable Income 700
Total
Tax 238
Current 80.00
Net Income 462 Asset 1500 % LTD 800 n/a
Dividend 154
Add to R/E 308 Fixed
Asset CS & PIS 800 n/a
Sales up 25% Pro Forma 120.0 1385.000
Sales 1875 Net PPE 2250 0% RE 193 n/a
Cost 1000 2185.000
Taxable Total 193
Income 875
Tax (34%) 297.5
Net Income 577.5 200.0 3460.000
Dividend 192.4998075 Total 3750 0% Total 193
Add to R/E 385.0001925
EFN 290.00
Balance % of % of
Sheet Sales Sales b
Curr. Curr. Maximum Growth
Asset Liab. without External
10.67 Financing
Cash 160 % AP 300 0.2 Internal Growth
29.33 Rate =
AR 440 % NP 100 n/a 11
40.00 Total RoA X b 462/3000 x (1-0.33) 0.1 %
Inv 600 % Curr Liab 400 1 - 462/3000 x (1-
Tot Curr 80.00 1 - RoA x b 0.33) 0.9
Asset 1200 % LTD 800 n/a So, the maximum growth without external financing is
11%
Fixed
Asset CS & PIS 800 n/a Pro Forma
120.0
Net PPE 1800 0% RE 1000 n/a Sales 1,665.00
Total 1800
Cost 888.00
BS s s
Current Current 990,000,000,000 52,900,000,000 544,500,000,00
Asset Liability 3 .00 .00 0.00
10.6 20.0
Cash 177.60 7% AP 333.00 0% Initial Outlay:
29.3 Izin 200,000,000.00
AR 488.40 3% NP 100 n/a Financing Cost 5,000,000,000.00 irrelevant
Total Sunk Cost 50,000,000,000.00 irrelevant
40.0 Current Net working capital 30,000,000,000.00
Inv 666.00 0% Liability 433 3yrs econ.
Total Life, can
Current 80.0 be sold at
Asset 1,332.00 0% LTD 800 n/a Net capital spending 500,000,000,000.00 100Bio.
530,200,000,000.00
Fixed
Asset CS & PIS 800 n/a
Depreciation - mesin 166,666,666,666.67 per year
120. 1,341.8 Year 1 Year 2
Net PPE 1,998.00 00% RE 8 n/a
2141.88 800,000,000,0 943,000,000,
Total 0171 Sales 00.00 Sales 000.00
40,000,000,00 46,000,000,0
200. 3374.88 FC 0.00 FC 00.00
Total 3330 00% Total 0171
440,000,000,0 518,650,000,
Because total Liabilities and Eq. is bigger than Assets, so no VC 00.00 VC 000.00
EFN is needed
Plug Ex: Pay 44.8 in dividends so the B/S is Depreciatio 166,666,666,6 Depreciatio 166,666,666,
Variable? balanced n 66.67 n 666.67
4.) a
Year Unit Price Unit Sales 153,333,333,3 211,683,333,
EBIT 33.33 EBIT 333.33
1 1,000,000,000.00 800
53,666,666,66 74,089,166,6
2 1,150,000,000.00 820 Tax (35%) 6.67 Tax (35%) 66.67
Add: Add:
3 1,200,000,000.00 825 Depreciatio 166,666,666,6 Depreciatio 166,666,666,
n 66.67 n 666.67
VC 55% of Sales
Operating 266,333,333,3 Operating 304,260,833,
FC 40,000,000,000.00 Cash Flow 33.33 Cash Flow 333.33
Up by 15% every year
Ye 0 1 2 3
ar Sales FC VC
Operatin 304,260, 313,523,
800,000,000,000 40,000,000,000 440,000,000,00 g Cash 266,333,33 833,333. 333,333.
1 .00 .00 0.00 Flow 3,333.33 33 33
Changes
943,000,000,000 46,000,000,000 518,650,000,00 in NWC (30,000,0 30,000,0
2 .00 .00 0.00
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Soal 1 (20%)
Anda adalah manajer investasi dari perusahaan sekuritas.
Gunakan informasi di bawah ini untuk:
a. Menghitung expected return tiap saham.
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5.) a.1
$
Avg Inventory 12,750.00
$
Avg A/R 8,375.00
$
Avg A/P 10,680.00
Inventory
Period 54.59 days
A/R Period 26.47 days
A/P Period 45.73 days
Inventory $
Turnover 6.69
$
A/R Turnover 13.79
$
A/P Turnover 7.98
a.2
1. Meningkatkan efisiensi penggunaan Inventory dan pengumpulan A/R
2. Memperlama durasi
pembayaran A/P
b.
Cash flow with current policy 121000
Cash flow with new policy 134400
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