Submitted To:

Mam Hina Munir

Submitted By:
Malik Irfan Haider (150047)
Muhammad Osama (150042)

Class:
MBA 6 (3.5 years)
AUSOM
 Regression Analysis
Historic Sales and Unemployment Rate

Sales
Unemployment Units
Rate (%) (PVB)
3.9 27512
4.23 45798
4.4 76968
4.83 43858 Historic Sales and Unemployment Rate
5.53 30580 140000
5.7 53198
120000
5.83 88704
5.73 51590 100000
5.87 35372
5.83 57840 80000

6.13 93388 60000

6.13 58906
5.87 39282 40000

5.67 75219 20000

5.57 122868
5.43 54996 0
3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 6
5.43 48159

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.287396
R Square 0.082596
Adjusted R Square 0.021436
Standard Error 0.660635
Observations 17

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.589406 0.589406 1.35049 0.26335
Residual 15 6.546582 0.436439
Total 16 7.135988

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Intercept 4.965273 0.420021 11.82148 5.304E-09 4.070018 5.860527 4.070018
X Variable 1 7.638E-06 6.573E-06 1.162106 0.26335 -6.37E-06 2.165E-05 -6.37E-06
Unemployment Rate

5 5.5 6 6.5

Upper 95.0%
5.860527
2.165E-05
 Regression Analysis
Historic Sales and Bank Prime Loan Rate

Bank
Prime Sales
Loan Rate Units
(%) (PVB)
9.5 27512 Historic Sales and Bank Prime Loan Rate
8.62 45798
140000
7.34 76968
6.57 43858
120000
5.16 30580
4.75 53198
4.75 88704 100000

4.75 51590
4.45 35372 80000
4.25 57840
4.24 93388 60000
4 58906
4 39282 40000
4 75219
4 122868 20000
4.42 54996
4.92 48159
0
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.366176
R Square 0.134085
Adjusted R 0.076358
Standard E 24150.15
Observatio 17

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 1.35E+09 1.35E+09 2.32272 0.1483
Residual 15 8.75E+09 5.83E+08
Total 16 1.01E+10
 Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept 87718.59 19687.35 4.455581 0.000463 45756 129681.2 45756 129681.2
X Variable -5427.753 3561.408 -1.524047 0.1483 -13018.71 2163.208 -13018.71 2163.208
Loan Rate

8 9 10
Upper 95.0%
 Regression Analysis
Historic Sales and New Privately Owned Housing Units

Total
Housing Sales Units
Starts (PVB)
357 27512 Historic Sales and New Privately Owned
348 45798 140000
461 76968
429 43858 120000
366 30580
369 53198 100000
475 88704
459 51590 80000
403 35372
375 57840 60000
490 93388
511 58906 40000
472 39282
425 75219 20000

540 122868
0
532 54996 300 350 400 450 500
460 48159

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.6180492968
R Square 0.3819849332
Adjusted R 0.3407839288
Standard E 20402.427737
Observatio 17

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 3.86E+09 3.86E+09 9.271253 0.008189
Residual 15 6.24E+09 4.16E+08
Total 16 1.01E+10

CoefficientsStandard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%

Intercept -51244.21262 36566.78 -1.401387 0.181449 -129184 26696.03
X Variable 250.98897411 82.43002 3.044873 0.008189 75.29354 426.6844
nd New Privately Owned Housing Units

400 450 500 550 600

Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
-129184 26696.03
75.29354 426.6844