Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
13
TAIPEI,CHINA
Li-Yen Paul Hsueh
Executive Summary
and designated-time basis, the latter settled on a net basis at the end of
each business day. To reduce settlement risks and establish a system
which conforms to international standards, the CBC is restructuring the
CIFS to abolish designated-time settlement and make real-time gross
settlement (RTG) the only settlement mode.
Settlement of government bond transactions occurs within three days
(T+3) of the transaction date. Normally, the seller species the exact
date and place where the settlement and physical delivery of scripts are
to occur. Although funds for repo transactions are transferred through
electronic fund transfer, proceeds for outright transactions are normally
through bank-issued checks drawn on the Bank of Taiwan.
The Government provides a favorable regulatory framework for the
development of the domestic debt market. The main regulatory authori-
ties include the CBC, the Ministry of Finance (MOF), and the Securities
and Futures Commissions (SFC).
The Government has long recognized the importance of a well-
functioning bond market, and serious e¬orts have been made to improve
e¹ciency. The introduction of the book-entry system has proved an e¬ective
means of doing this. A bill has also been drafted to exempt the transac-
tion tax on corporate and nancial bonds, to smooth the issuance and
circulation of corporate bonds. However, many impediments still exist,
and require rapid attention.
Besides its low liquidity, another troublesome feature of the do-
mestic bond market is the lack of market depth. Since the main purpose
of government bond issuance is to bridge the gap in budgetary shortfall,
the amount of budget decit dictates the issuing volume. This lack of
issuance regularity increases market uncertainly and causes market par-
ticipants to focus unduly on new issues, heightening market yield sensitivity
to bond auction announcements.
Under current tax laws, the calculated taxable coupon income is
based on the coupon rate and face value of the bond, regardless of
whether the bond was purchased at a premium or discount. Consequently,
the taxable basis for discount bond investment will be lower, whereas the
basis for premium bonds is higher, resulting in yield distortion in the
market.
Computer-assisted trading systems for government bonds are avail-
able in both the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TSE) and over-the-counter
(OTC), but daily transactions are still done by telephone. With an increasing
number of bond dealers in the market, this puts a heavy burden on the
communication system and reduces e¹ciency.
Recommended directions for the establishment of a more e¹cient
domestic debt market could include (i) the introduction of a regular,
606 Government Bond Market Development in Asia
A. Government Revenue
TABLE 1
Share of Government Revenue by Source, 1987 and 1996
(percent)
B. Government Expenditure
TABLE 2
Share of Government Expenditure Structure by Sector, 1987 and 1996
(percent)
FIGURE 1
Governments Revenue and Expenditure
as a Percentage of GDP, 1999
18
17
16
15
Percent
14
13
12
11
10
91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99
Year
Revenue/GDP Expenditure/GDP
FIGURE 2
Government Borrowings as a Percentage of
Total Expenditure, 1999
35
30
25
Percent
20
15
10
0
91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99
Year
TABLE 3
External Public Debt and DebtService Ratio
(US$ million)
D. Special Issues
TABLE 4
Tax Relief as a Percentage of Tax Revenue
FIGURE 3
Annual Growth Rate of GDP and Consumer Prices
9
8
7
6
Percent
5
4
3
2
1
0
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98
Year
GDP Consumer Price
FIGURE 4
Annual Growth Rate of M2 and Key Interest Rates
18
16
14
12
Percent
10
0
93 94 95 96 97 98 99
Year
M2 Rediscount Prime Interbank
capital movements and the move toward more exible exchange rate
arrangements have increased the volatility of the exchange rate. Since
the NT$ exchange rate is mostly determined by balance of payments,
monetary policy has a relatively limited inuence here.
recent major earthquakes that hit the center and south of the island. As
a percentage of GDP, the amount of government bonds outstanding is
currently at 14 percent (Figure 7), compared to nearly 60 percent in the
US, 110 percent in Japan, 97 percent in Singapore, and 30 percent in
Hong Kong, China. This indicates that the government bond market in
Taipei,China still has plenty of room for further development. However,
current budgetary laws put a cap on the maximum size of government
borrowing and total amount of debt outstanding.
Meanwhile, CBC and MOF have introduced a series of fundamen-
tal reforms that have signicantly opened up the market and improved its
liquidity. For example, the government bond issuance procedure has been
changed from the previous xed-price allocation system to an auction-
based system. Up to November 1999, the new issue volume of government
bonds for scal year 2000 (July 1999December 2000) had reached more
than NT$140 billion.
Overall, government bonds dominate the domestic debt market with
more than 70 percent of the market share, while corporate bonds ac-
count for a quarter of the market, with foreign bonds and nancial
debentures making up the remainder.
However, the corporate bond market has gained rapid momentum
FIGURE 5
New Issue Volume of Domestic Market Debts
(NT$ billion)
300
250
200
NT$ billion
150
100
50
0
91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99
Year
FIGURE 6
Outstanding Volume of Government Bonds
(NT$ billion)
1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000
NT$ billion
800
600
400
200
0
88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00
Year
FIGURE 7
Government Bonds Outstanding as a Percentage of GDP
20
18
Percent
16
14
12
10
91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99
Year
over the past decade, becoming an important funding source for corporations.
While both government and corporations are seeking low cost funds
in the nancial market, the potential crowding-out e¬ect becomes trouble-
some. Furthermore, some regulations, such as the imposition of transaction
tax on corporate bonds, have put private debt issues at a disadvantage
when competing with government bonds. Although the size of the govern-
ment bond market in Taipei,China overshadows its corporate counterpart,
the balanced development of both deserves serious attention.
For the most part, public and private bond markets can function
complementarily. A well-functioning government bond market can be of
great value to the healthy development of the corporate bond market.
The creation of a risk-free benchmark yield curve, for example, should
facilitate the pricing and valuation of corporate bonds. Unfortunately,
such a benchmark yield curve is not yet well-established in the domes-
tic market.
Since 1998, all new issues of government bonds in Taipei,China
have been switched to the book-entry system, which greatly improves
the markets operational e¹ciency. Still, many obstacles, such as ine¹-
ciency in clearing and settlement, need to be overcome. Recent proposals
to alter the longstanding tax treatment on coupon income have raised
concerns and increased uncertainty in the market. The primary dealer
system, which is of critical importance to a well-functioning government
bond market, also deserves close scrutiny.
The rst issue of corporate bonds was in 1958, when TaTung Steel
Corp. oated a NT$15 million straight debt. Strict issuing requirements,
along with other impediments in the market, however, discouraged pri-
vate enterprises from tapping this funding source. Instead, they relied
more on bank loans as a source of funds. This situation started to change
in the early 1990s, following a series of e¬orts by the Government to
liberalize the nancial market. The rapid growth of the economy, a fa-
vorable interest rate environment, and strong investor demand, have resulted
in rms aggressively tapping the corporate bond market. Although small
when compared with its government counterpart, the corporate bond market
in Taipei,China has seen tremendous growth in recent years. The amount
of new issue corporate bonds took a major step forward in 1994, and
even surpassed the issue volume of government bonds in 1998, with the
outstanding volume more than NT$450 billion (US$15 billion) by the
end of 1999.
With an increasing number of borrowers and more complex bond
designs, an issuers credit risk becomes di¹cult to measure, however, seriously
a¬ecting the e¹ciency of both the primary and secondary bond markets.
A crucial requirement in the development of corporate bond mar-
ket in Taipei,China, therefore, is the establishment of credit rating system.
C. Types of Securities
TABLE 5
Breakdown by Tenor of New Issue Government Bonds
(NT$ billion)
Foreign Bonds and Financial Debentures. The market for foreign bonds
Taipei,China 621
FIGURE 8
Breakdown by Tenor of Outstanding Government Bonds, 1999
(percent of total volume outstanding)
10–15 years
< 1–3 years
22%
17%
3–5 years
7–10 years 12%
12%
5–7 years
19%
is just taking shape, its total volume reaching over NT$80 billion (US$2.5
billion) in 1999.
Several supranational borrowers have tapped the domestic bond
market in recent years and spearheaded the capitalization of funding
opportunities. ADB has been the leader in foreign bond issuance in
Taipei,China with a series of Dragon Bond (denominated in US$ and
Japanese yen) in the early 1990s. Since 1995, ADB and other supra-
nationals, including the Central American Bank for Economic Integration
(CABEI), EBRD, Nordic Investment Bank (NIB), Inter-American
Development Bank (IADB) and Council of Europe (COE), have all issued
NT$ bonds in the local market. New issue volume of these foreign bonds
has increased steadily since 1995 and surpassed NT$30 billion in 1998.
So far, there has been no issuance of NT$ bonds in the domestic market
by foreign corporations.
Financial debentures are issued by special-purpose banks to meet
short- to medium-term funding needs. With a limited number of eligible
issuers, these securities have never played any major role in the local
debt market. The nancial debenture has maintained a stable outstand-
ing amount below NT$100 billion over the years.
Figure 9 shows how the size of the government bond market has
expanded signicantly from 1992. The outstanding volume of government
bonds in 1987 was only NT$131, but had swollen almost 10 times to
NT$1.2 trillion (US$38 billion) by 1999. The outstanding volume of
622 Government Bond Market Development in Asia
FIGURE 9
Outstanding Volume of Domestic Market Debt
(NT$ billion)
1,600
1,400
1,200
NT$ billion
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00
Year
D. Investor Base
that are obviously out of line with the market, can have their dealer
status revoked by CBC. Since the inception of the government bond
dealers system in 1980, however, no dealership status has been revoked.
In fact, the number of dealers has increased from less than 20 to 71 in
1999, more than twice the number of PDs in the US, where the Treasury
market is of much greater size.
Individuals and other institutional investors who wish to par-
ticipate in the primary auction must do so through qualied dealers.
Each dealer can submit 10 competitive bids and one noncompetitive
bid. To ensure reasonable distribution of auctioned bonds in the market;
the total amount of new issue awarded to each government security
dealer cannot exceed a preset level, usually at 30 percent of the auction
amount.
maturity and size of each o¬er is usually determined and announced two
weeks prior to the auction.
This lack of issuance regularity increases market uncertainty and
causes market participants to pay undue attention to new issues, height-
ening market yield sensitivity to bond auction announcements.
D. When-Issued Trading
FIGURE 10
Annual Turnover of Government Bonds
(NT$ billion)
70,000
60,000
50,000
NT$ billion
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99
Year
F. Repo Market
G. Other Aspects
2. Tax Treatment
3. Credit Ranking
also obtain credit ratings before providing such a service. Bond funds
are required to invest in nancial institutions with a minimum level of
credit ratings.
V. Regulatory Structure
Bond Auction Technique. When the Government changed its bond is-
suance method from xed-price allocation to public auction in 1991,
the sealed-bid multiple-price system was adopted for all new issues of
government bonds. The single-price or Dutch auction system was used
only in the cases of two zero-coupon bonds issued in late 1984. Under
the single-price auction, all awards are at the highest yield of accepted
tenders, hence the single price. The use of the Dutch auction system in
those two situations was to ensure that only a single winning yield
existed for the bond issue, allowing calculation of coupon income for
the zero coupon bonds to be done without confusion.
Various studies have examined the merits of di¬erent auction systems,
and it is argued that a good bond auction system can achieve many
Taipei,China 633
Forward Trading and Bond Lending. To broaden the size and depth
of the government bond market, a proper hedging mechanism must be in
place, or traders will be forced to act more defensively and conserva-
tively, and market development will su¬er. Unfortunately, interest rate
forward and bond futures, used for hedging purposes, are not yet avail-
able in the domestic market, partly due to the lack of a benchmark yield
curve. More specically, traders can act on their bull market view by
margin trading, but cannot e¬ectively react when expecting a bear mar-
ket, because short-selling is prohibited. Consequently, bond dealers are
actually exposed to high interest rate risk with no e¬ective hedging
instruments.
As an alternative, a delayed-settlement trading system can be es-
tablished to provide the needed function before bond derivatives are
available. This o¬ers the risk-hedging function needed by market par-
ticipants, and allows traders to conduct futures-like transactions. This
would require only minimal changes in current rules and regulations.
Market makers need only provide quotations for various distant settle-
ment dates. Since this is only one step from cash market trading, some
additional risks arise. For example, the extended settlement period increases
the chance of default on both parties. This risk, however, can be minimized
by margin requirements. Another type of risk is the lack of availability
of bonds at times of settlement. This is where a bond lending mechanism
is needed. A well-functioning bond lending system can e¬ectively broaden
the scope of delayed-settlement trading as mentioned above, and thus
facilitate risk hedging. Bond lending a¬ords traders with no, or insu¹cient,
holdings to participate without fear of potential settlement di¹culties.
Since banks, postal services, and insurance companies own the majority
634 Government Bond Market Development in Asia
of government bonds in the market, they are natural candidates for the
role of bond lenders, allowing bond dealers to borrow bonds through
reverse repos.
In short, forward-trading can stimulate secondary market activities,
a¬ord bond dealers more exibility in hedging interest rate risks, and
reduce the chance of price distortion in the market. More importantly, it
can strengthen the market-making function of major bond dealers, al-
lowing them to provide more competitive bid-ask quotations, and thus
attracting more investors into the market and further facilitating the price
formation process.
Appendix 1
Guidelines for Formulation and Management of Fiscal Policies
1. To improve the income tax system by proposing a tax system that aims to
eliminate double taxation, and by combining the prot-seeking enterprise income
tax with the individual consolidated income tax; and
2. To continuously review tax laws and regulations so as to improve the equity
of the tax burden.
1. Review all insurance laws and regulations so that the functions of insurance
can be strengthened and market order maintained;
2. Oversee insurance companies in developing new insurance products;
3. Review insurance rates and insurance policy clauses to promote liberalization; and
4. Enforce the functions of insurance inspection and ensure the well-rounded
development of insurance enterprises for the protection of the insured public.
Appendix 2
Treasury Bond Auction Results (1995/71999/12)
(NT$ hundred million, percent per annum)
Weighted
Non- Coupon Average
Issue Issue Maturity Issue Competitive competitive Rate Yield
Code Date (year) Amount Amount Amount (percent) (percent)
Appendix 3
Treasury Bill Auction Results (1995/121999/12)
(NT$100 million, percent per annum)
Weighted
Issue Issue Maturity Issue Average
Code Date (Day) Amount Discount Rate
(percent)
T85201 1995.12.28 112 50 5.970
T85202 1996.01.13 91 100 5.370
T85203 1996.01.26 112 86.5 6.863
T85204 1996.03.14 182 100 7.033
T85205 1996.06.13 56 100 4.940
Subtotal 436.5
T86201 1996.07.13 91 150 5.070
T86202 1996.07.17 91 150 5.087
T86203 1996.08.07 112 150 5.200
T86204 1996.10.16 182 150 5.122
T86205 1997.06.18 91 150 5.845
T86206 1997.06.25 112 0
Subtotal 750
T87201 1997.07.10 91 0
T87202 1997.07.16 91 118.5 6.882
T87203 1997.07.23 126 104.7 7.152
T87204 1997.12.12 140 200 7.676
Subtotal 423.2
T88201 1998.12.18 91 300 4.741
T88202 1998.12.28 112 250 5.145
T88203 1999.01.15 112 200 4.719
T88204 1999.01.29 126 200 4.970
T88205 1999.03.15 119 250 4.632
T88206 1999.03.29 140 100 4.811
T88207 1999.04.15 154 300 4.945
T88208 1999.06.21 147 250 4.944
T88209 1999.06.28 182 150 4.947
Subtotal 2,000
T89201 1999.07.09 182 300 5.044
T89202 1999.07.14 91 200 4.830
T89203 1999.09.15 182 300 5.120
T89204 1999.11.11 182 300 4.931
T89205 1999.12.13 182 300 4.910
T89206 1999.12.24 210 300 4.935
Subtotal 1,700
Taipei,China 641
Appendix 4
Required Reserve Ratios of Deposits and Trust Funds, 19911999
(percent of deposits)