Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
STOCKS
keC iNterNatioNal NaviN FluoriNe iNterNatioNal talwalkars Better value FitNess CesC
Advertisement.indd 2 14-04-2018 18:58:18
Th
i sp
ag
e
in
th
e
pr
in
te
di
tio
n
ha
sa
n
ad
/a
nn
ou
nc
em
en
t
ISSUE CONTENTS
27 Apr-10 May 2018
32 Cover Story
LIC making the correction.
Buyers between the age of 50 and 60
years were lured with the marketing pitch
that Jeevan Saral was going to give returns
of 10%pa. Raj Pradhan found that those Will LIC Be Made To Pay for the Horrible
who purchased policy at age 55+ will lose Mis-selling of Jeevan Saral?
50% to 70% of their investment (premiums Jeevan Saral policy is an extraordinary case of mis-selling and,
paid). The entry age for Jeevan Saral should yet, 50 million policies were sold. Raj Pradhan finds scores of
senior citizens who have lost massive amounts and LIC is fighting
have been restricted to 50 years instead of 60
them at different forums. If you have Jeevan Saral, find out how to
years. make LIC pay for its mistakes
Sucheta’s Different Strokes column is
about the recent decision of the Security and
Exchange Board of India (SEBI) to introduce
physical settlements in the derivatives trading
11 Your Money
– NCDRC Directs Air France To Pay Compensation of
segment in a phased manner. An anonymous Rs12 Lakh
whistleblower, claiming to be a member – Food Items and Bottled Water Should Be Sold at
of SEBI’s Secondary Market Advisory Regular Prices inside Multiplexes
Committee, says that the move is contrary – CGHS Cover Applies Even to Hospitals Not on
to the Committee’s advice and 95% of the Government List
– Stockbroker F6 Finserve Defaults and Promoters Are
public feedback. Her Crosshairs column is on Absconding
the harassment caused due to cash shortage – EPS Pensioners Can Submit Life Certificate without
caused by ill-conceived decisions and Fingerprint Authentication, Says EPFO
mismanagement by the government. – Air Travellers May Be Entitled to Heftier
SD Israni has some interesting advice for Compensation
– Bank Customers Are Being Charged for SMS Alerts
people on how false claims and delays could
lead to claims being rejected. We also have
13
some important learnings from a talk by DG MONEYLIFE
QUIZ
Kale, who retired as chief general manager at
the Reserve Bank of India’s customer services
division. Abhay Datar, activist and counsellor
14 Public Interest
at Moneylife Foundation, shares important
tips on how to close your mortgage safely.
Whether India goes digital or not, Moneylife – Before You Close Your Loan Account
is—from next month! Don’t miss the
announcement on page on the next page.
Disclaimer: Moneylife has a policy of not allowing its editorial staff to
Debashis Basu buy and sell stocks that are written about in the magazine. All personal
transactions in individual stocks are subjected to internal disclosure rules.
MONEYLIFE | 27 Apr-10 May 2018 | 4
As we enter the 13th year of our operations, we are making a fundamental change in direction. After
running a successful print magazine for more than 12 years, we plan to stop the print publication
after the next issue and spend our resources in creating more compelling digital content. The
transition has many advantages. It will enable to us to:
1. Instantly reduce the time to reach you, our readers, with high-quality reports and analysis.
2. Allow us to react to news and other developments quickly to create content that is relevant
and topical.
3. Eliminate the complex issues, time-consuming and expensive processes related to production
and distribution of print copies through institutional, retail, courier and own staff.
6. Eliminate the unremunerative collection mechanism. Recovering money from even well-known
institutional distributors has become impossible, as their business is on a decline and we have
not been receiving payments for 12-18 months. The costs for ensuring direct delivery have
gone up significantly after implementation of GST.
7. Monetise our magazine archives which we are not able to today.
8. Come out with an app that will make it easy for you to download and read our magazine
content.
Debashis Basu
Editor & Publisher
FUND FACTS
Be an Excuse To Reject Claim
Car Insurance
– Mandatory 3-year and 5-year
60 IPLAction,2018:NoLiveAds
Third-party Cover for Cars and
2018
MONEY MANTRA
STOCKS
42 SIP: Systematic but Not
Safe Investment Plan
– Google Opinion:
Share Opinion, Get
Play Credit
– Microsoft Launcher:
22 Smart Money Personalise Your
Android Device
Stock Analysis: Focus on Debt
and Cash Flows, Not Just Profits
TECHNOLOGY
45 Stock Watch
KEC International: Towering
LEGALLY SPEAKING
61 Cyber Insurance,
Anyone?
54 Fraud or Negligence
Growth
Debashis Basu
Editor & Publisher
editor@moneylife.in
Sucheta Dalal
Managing Editor
sucheta@moneylife.in
Editorial Consultant
Dr Nita Mukherjee
nitamuk@gmail.com
things never remain private. This is the basic principle carry post-free RTI applications addressed to Central
of Internet. The Supreme Court must strike down public-authorities.
Aadhaar in toto. The department of posts should also accept repeated
M Kumar, by email recommendations of the Central Information
Commission (CIC) both, through verdicts and
ACCEPT POST-FREE RTI- administrative mechanisms, to introduce
APPLICATIONS? special RTI stamps in denominations
The Central government and some state- of Rs2, Rs10 and Rs50, like they were
governments have started accepting online issued earlier, to collect licence fees for
RTI (Right to Information) applications. radio and TV sets. It is now especially
But most of the population, especially less required because of non-availability of
educated ones, and that too from rural any mode of payment of copying charges
areas, are not Internet-users. For the benefit like Rs2, Rs4, Rs6 or Rs8 because of
of that majority section of public, post- postal-orders in denominations less than
free RTI applications addressed to Central Rs10 being discontinued. Otherwise
public authorities should be accepted (in also, handling of a postal-order of Rs10
all the about 160,000 post-offices in the costs more than Rs40 to the postal
country rather than in just 4,500 post-offices, department alone. Attractively designed
presently). Even the smallest post-office sends RTI stamps can further be used to popularise the
post-bags to the head post-office daily with registered transparency Act and to propagate important messages
post articles, cash and other revenue-items like unsold of public interest.
postage-stamps and postal-orders. This post-bag can Madhu Agrawal, by email
replace the dollar as the globally accepted currency. start-up called OneGram is offering gold-backed
China is, in effect, re-introducing the gold standard. crypto-currencies as a solution to this issue of
This could create an unprecedented demand for gold, religious permissibility. The company offers to store
leading to a huge increase in its prices. The investors at least a gram of gold for each unit of OneGram
are calling it the ‘petro-gold rush’ inspired from crypto-currency. Backing crypto-currency by a
Venezuelan gold-backed crypto-currency called petro- physical asset, such as gold, limits the speculation on
gold, which was introduced in 2017 while fighting an its price, and keeps the minimum value of the crypto-
economic war against the United States. currency at least equal to the price of the gold. The
When Sean Walsh, founder of crypto-asset investment limitation on speculation deems the investment
firm Redwood City Ventures, was asked about Shariah-compliant. The demand for gold-backed
physical-asset backed crypto-currency, he replied crypto-currency is increasing amongst the Islamic
“Rather than buying a crypto-currency backed by investors in the Gulf and South-East Asia. In January
gold, I’d just go and buy gold. Gold is a physical 2018, United Kingdom’s Royal Mint also launched
thing that you want to be able to hold in your hands, gold-backed crypto-currencies.
because that’s the point.” The fact that the first Increasing popularity of crypto-currency-backed by
gold-backed crypto-currency was launched in 1995 gold only means that soon there is going to be a
but failed to catch on until 2017, when suddenly massive worldwide demand for physical gold. Such
there was a huge hype for Bitcoin and its prices shot excess demand will, consequently, drive up the price
through the roof, tells us that Sean Walsh is probably of gold.
right about the utility and fate of gold-backed crypto- The gold market has been forecasted to grow steadily
currencies. over the next decade. However, this sudden increase
Despite this, gold-backed crypto-currency is of in the demand of gold-backed crypto-currencies and
special interest to Islamic investors. Till date, the petro-gold rush will act as strong catalysts in this
Islamic investors are barred from investing in growth. It is the right time to make investments in
crypto-currencies, as they are not Shariah-compliant gold as the global markets prepare themselves for a
investments. This is because financial speculation long-term gold bull market.
is against the Islamic principles. However, a Dubai Rohit Dhalaria, by email
PUSHING THINGS UNDER THE CARPET without the involvement of government and
This is with regard to “Bhushan Family’s Involvement bureaucracy? SEBI (Securities and Exchange Board
in Tax Evasion through LTCG Buried?” by Sucheta of India) is clearly toothless; just take the case of
Dalal (Moneylife, 13-26 April 2018). Let us face it. We, Sahara that is dragging on for years. Our regulatory
as a country, are corrupt. The quid pro quo starts right bodies, if at all they decide to take up a case just to
with our daily prayer to God... Grant me this and I prove and justify their existence, appear to be able to
will give you that... Many Indians always assume that only destroy the underlying businesses and there is
businessmen, bureaucrats and politicians are corrupt, loss of employment of those who work there. But the
and worse still, take it as a norm. regulatory bodies are never able to punish the guilty.
Under the circumstances, what is all the fuss about? Things tend to get pushed under the carpet!
Could the Nirav Modis and, Mallyas have happened Mani Sriram, online comment
HOW TO REACH US
Letters: Mumbai 400 028 or faxed to 022- complaints about current 400 028 or call 022-49205000 or
Letters to the Editor can be 49205022. Letters must include subscription and books, write to fax to 022-49205022.
emailed to editor@moneylife. the writer’s full name, address us at subscribe@moneylife.in
in or can be posted to: The Editor, and telephone number and may or to Subscription Manager, Unit Advertising: For information and
Moneylife Magazine, Unit No. 316, be edited. No. 316, 3rd Floor, Hind Service rates, email us at
3rd Floor, Hind Service Industries, Subscription Service: Industries, Off Veer Savarkar sales@moneylife.in or call
Off Veer Savarkar Marg, Dadar(W), For new subscription requests, Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai 91-022-49205000.
Food Items and Bottled Water Should Be Sold (multiplexes) should sell it at the regular
price.” The Court said that if multiplexes
at Regular Prices inside Multiplexes were prohibiting people from bringing
outside food, there should be a total
Moneylife
MONEYLIFE
Quiz no
283
QUIZ Answer
Correctly! Win
Another quiz to tease your brain. The answers are in a personalised
sed
this very issue. The winner will be chosen by a lucky clock with an Surya Dev
investmentnt
draw from correct entries and answers published in Mutual Fund
investments are quote!
the issue dated 7 June 2018. Send in your answers to subject to market risks,
read all scheme related
quiz@moneylife.in with the Quiz no., name, address & documents carefully.
telephone number before 16 May 2018.
1. In which year did the risk of investing a lump-sum in an 5. Which of the following is covered for deduction under
equity-linked savings scheme (ELSS) at the end of the Section 80C of the Income-Tax Act?
financial year double, due to high price-to-earnings ratio? a. Paying premium on life insurance policy
a. 2000 b. 2014 b. Selling equity shares after holding for 20 years
c. 2015 d. 2017 c. Buying equity shares for the first time
d. Selling a house for long-term capital gains
2. Who is the chairman of Secondary Market Advisory
Committee of the Securities and Exchange Board of India? 6. What has been labelled as the ‘eighth wonder of the world’?
a. Prof JR Varma b. Uday Kotak a. Taj Mahal b. Power of compounding
c. Ajay Tyagi d. UK Sinha c. Pyramid d. Value Averaging
3. What has been the five-year return of the top performing 7. On which date did the first television news report of an
ELSSs? acute shortage of cash in Indian cities appear?
a. 15.75% b. 23.27% a. 31 March 2018 b. 5 April 2018
c. 20.61% d. -12.50% c. 17 April 2018 d. 20 April 2018
4. What should be the normal blood pressure (BP) for 8. Who is the author of the book, Reforming the Indian Public
adults, according to the guidelines of the JNC -VIII on BP? Sector Banks: The Lessons and the Challenges?
a. 200 systolic, 150 diastolic b. 159 systolic, 99 diastolic a. Dr KC Chakrabarty b. Shikha Sharma
c. 150 systolic, 200 diastolic d. 99 systolic, 159 diastolic c. TR Bhat d. DN Ghosh
In all, 9 readers got all the answers right last time. The answers to Moneylife Quiz-281 are: • 1-d. 3 to 3.5 years
The winner of Quiz-281 is Surya Dev from Bhubaneswar. • 2-d. 20% • 3-b. AA • 4-c. Cardiologist • 5-d. Senior Citizens
Congrats! You win a personalised clock with an • 6-c. Bombay High Court • 7-b. Horse-breeder • 8-a. Renaissance
investment quote! Technologies
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
PHONE: (Office):_______________________Phone (Res): _________________________E-mail address: ______________________________________
DATE OF BIRTH: _______________________(MM) (DD) (YY)
PROFESSION:_________________________DESIGNATION: ________________________
( ) Please find enclosed ( ) Cash ( ) Cheque / ( ) Demand draft number ____________ Dated: _____________ for Rs1,170 Favouring Moneywise Media Pvt Ltd
PAYMENT
DETAILS
Please fill in this order form and mail it with your remittance to Moneywise Media Pvt Ltd, 316, 3rd Floor, Hind Service Industries Premises, Off Veer Savarkar Marg, Shivaji Park, Dadar (W),
Mumbai 400 028. #All disputes shall be subject to Mumbai jurisdiction only.
W
eeks before the famous midnight drama of information or the manner in which the data will
in parliament to roll out the Goods and be used and verified. When the formal legislation
Services Tax (GST) on 30 June 2017, a was finally passed to give UIDAI’s actions some legal
video recording of a Supreme Court advocate was sanctity, it was pushed through parliament as a money
going viral; it warned about the many dangers of a bill.
hasty rollout. The prime minister’s office called him The Supreme Court is, at last, hearing a few
for suggestions. His response was simple: “Don’t go dozen petitions against Aadhaar. But, even here, the
for a nationwide rollout. Start with a pilot project and government shamelessly uses its extensive financial
a small list of items under GST; iron out the glitches, muscle and influence to ensure that every newspaper,
stabilise the software and gradually expand the list.” website and television channel is bombarded with
What could be more obvious and full-page advertisements or
ful
sensible? He was told that the interviews and signed articles
int
launch date and the nationwide of UIDAI’s founder or CEO,
rollout were non-negotiable; any especially when the Supreme
es
other advice was welcome. Court hearings are on. Such a
C
The government claims brazen attempt to influence the
br
GST is a great success, though public and the judiciary has
pu
confusion over many issues been done only by the notorious
be
continues; the invoice matching Sahara group (ultimately, with
Sa
has been suspended; several disastrous results).
d
aspects of filing have been
postponed and it remains a huge Cash Crunch
C
work-in-progress. Nobody knows N
Now let’s look at the many
why a wonderful new initiative facets
f of the cash crunch, which
was forced on people without caused
c tremors of panic on
adequate preparation. As we have 1 th April. Moneylife has been
17
written elsewhere in this issue, rreporting how ATMs have been
MCA21, the mandatory online rregularly running dry ever since
corporate filing database, remains eearly 2017. Our sources at the
another source of continued RReserve Bank of India (RBI)
harassment with regular users clearly told us that RBI was
resorting to multiple strategies to refusing to pump more cash
get work done. into the system. They believed
The grandest of them all, the that this was being done as
Aadhaar programme of the UIDAI part of the government agenda
(Unique Identity Development to nudge, or force, people into
Authority of India), is the worst digital transactions.
of the lot, because it affects our No amount of writing
everyday life and our savings. to RBI
R or social media posts
UIDAI has expanded far beyond its original remit and about closed ATMs made any difference, until
is fast looking like a tool of control and surveillance. television channels appeared to be whipping up an
The government and UIDAI have refused to engage unstoppable panic that could have caused a run on
with citizens on issues of violation of privacy or misuse the banks. It is only then that the government went
O
n 28th March, the Securities & Exchange Board of in the derivatives section, in order to ‘facilitate greater
India (SEBI) made headlines for partly accepting alignment of the cash and derivative market’.
the Kotak committee’s recommendations on It changed the criteria for selecting stocks for the
corporate governance. However, its decision on “measures derivatives segment; revised the market-wide position
to strengthen the algorithmic trading framework” limit from Rs300 crore to Rs500 crore and the median
has apparently stirred up a hornets’ nest in its newly quarter-sigma order size from Rs10 lakh to Rs25 lakh.
reconstituted Secondary Market Advisory Committee Eligible stocks must also have an average daily deliverable
(SMAC). According to an anonymous letter, claimed to value in the cash market of Rs10 crore; this criterion needs
have been written by an SMAC member, the decisions on to be met continuously for six months. Stocks that are
algorithmic (algo) trading, announced by SEBI after its board currently in the derivatives segment but fail to meet such
meeting, are completely contrary to the recommendations enhanced criteria would be physically settled.
of the SMAC as well 95% of Any stock that fails to meet
the comments received by the the enhanced criteria within
regulator to the discussion one year or fails to meet any
paper published 18 months of the current existing criteria
ago. continuously for three months,
Algorithmic trading would exit the derivatives
(algo trades) is a high-speed segment. Stocks that are
automated trading that currently in derivatives and
generates large volumes and meet the enhanced criteria
uses complex mathematical would continue to be cash-
algorithms. The manipulation settled, as now. But, if any
of algo trading at the National stock fails to meet any one
Stock Exchange (NSE), of the enhanced criteria for
which was revealed to me in a continuous, three-month
another anonymous letter by a period, it will be moved from
whistleblower, had eventually It is ironic that the SMAC member cash settlement to physical
led to a detailed investigation should choose to copy his letter to settlement. If it still fails to
and forced a clean-up of the me and it is rather ridiculous that meet the existing criteria
NSE’s top management and the regulator, once again, chose to for three months, it would
marked the genesis of this remain silent exit from derivatives. After
discussion. a period of one year, only
Hence, it is ironic that the those stocks which meet the
SMAC member should choose to copy his letter to me enhanced criteria would remain in the derivatives segment.
and it is rather ridiculous that the regulator, once again, SEBI wants to limit trading in derivatives to individuals
chose to remain silent, despite repeated our efforts to get on the basis of a sum computed on their disclosed income-
its view. SEBI’s actions raise questions about how the tax returns. Intermediaries will be made to “undertake
regulator chooses to operate. rigorous due diligence and take appropriate documentation
Let’s start with SEBI’s announcements after its from the investor.” An anonymous whistleblower, claiming
board meeting on 28th March, on this issue. There were to be an SMAC member, says that SEBI’s decisions are
several excellent decisions taken that day to increase completely against the recommendations of SMAC, where
transparency in algo trading, including the testing of algos most members, including the chairman, were of the view
and publication of data. The contentious issue is physical that the measures announced by SEBI would, in fact, ‘kill
settlements for derivatives. SEBI announced a phased and the derivatives market’ and, at the same time, not help
calibrated switch to a physical settlement for all stocks improve the cash segment.
He says that Prof JR Varma, who chairs the committee, Will it drive away large, institutional algo traders, who
was not only against compulsory physical settlements, contribute to the bulk of frothy volumes generated by
but “scathing of the proposed income-based exposure in machines, to other geographies? What will be the impact
the derivatives trading by the retail traders.” He further on India’s standing among world markets? Is there any
says, the SMAC was told that ‘over 95% of the public plan to encourage margin funding or stock lending and
comments’ on the discussion paper were against the borrowing mechanisms? How exactly will SEBI’s actions
proposed measures. He points out that if SEBI ignores improve investor safety? We have no answers.
SMAC as well as public comments, why have the farce SEBI is certainly not bound to accept the
of conducting such an exercise at all? recommendations of the SMAC. However, it would have
According to the whistleblower, the move will result in been prudent for a regulator to have placed on record its
reducing the trading volumes at the Exchanges and impact reasons for rejecting the SMAC’s advice and to indicate
tax collection and fee income of the government, bourse and that it has taken into account the possible negative fallout
regulator (turnover fee, etc). He claims that Prof Varma was of its actions. One also has issues with SEBI’s attempt to
also against the ‘risk management framework proposed by dictate investor behaviour by attempting to restrict trading
SEBI’, on the grounds that ‘it would significantly increase to a formula based on tax payments.
cost for the small and large investors alike and would not Worse, its attempt to dump the task of monitoring
curb but increase fraud’. investor actions on brokers is not only unfair, but
Interestingly, the regulator’s press release on 28th March ludicrously impractical; it will increase costs and create
only said that the SEBI Board further barriers to investing
“took note of discussion in the capital market. Surely,
papers titled “Growth and SEBI’s job is not to restrict
Development of Equity and limit investment in the
Derivatives Market in India” capital market so that its job
and “Physical settlement in of regulation and supervision
stock derivatives”, public is made easier. It is high time
comments received thereon the SEBI chairman’s job
and also recommendations defined key result areas, with
of the SMAC. There was expanding and deepening
no comment on whether or capital markets right at the
not it has accepted SMAC’s top with investor protection.
recommendations or taken The manner in which
into account views in the SEBI’s meetings are conducted
public comments. is also open to question.
I wrote to the SEBI SEBI’s attempt to dump the task The Kotak committee on
chairman and all official of monitoring investor actions corporate governance drew
members on the SMAC to on brokers is not only unfair, but dissent notes from key
get details. SEBI, as usual, did ludicrously impractical members, after the report
not bother to reply. I emailed was ready for submission.
Prof JR Varma, who is on a This time, there are allegations
holiday and not accessing his email regularly. However, that the SMAC’s recommendations were ignored; the
discussions with people connected with the issue indicate whistleblower’s letter also has a long rant imputing
that the SMAC chairman and some members were, indeed, motives to a SEBI official; this raises questions about
against the proposals and blunt in their views. Nobody the kind of people who find representation on SEBI’s
would confirm whether SMAC has formally recorded its committees. In the past few years, SEBI chairmen have
objections. It is also a fact that SEBI’s action on the demand quietly dispensed with the token representation to investors
for physical settlement in derivatives is a long-pending (who are the largest stakeholders), on most committees.
one; but other issues are more complex. All this does little to inspire confidence about regulatory
SEBI’s decisions, while making the derivatives segment accountability.
fairer for smaller retail investors, could lead to a drop
in derivatives’ turnover, especially on the NSE, which is Sucheta Dalal is the managing editor of Moneylife. She was
currently a near-monopoly. There may be a commensurate awarded the Padma Shri in 2006 for her outstanding contribution
reduction in tax collection too. How steep will the fall be? to journalism. She can be reached at sucheta@moneylife.in
W
hen you see a recommendation for a stock, most
of the commentary will refer to ratios like EPS While Profit Looks Good...
(earnings per share), P/E (price-to-earnings), Year 1 (Rs Cr) Year 2 (Rs Cr)
earnings growth, price-to-book value, etc. Some will touch
Sales 1,567 2,709
on the RoCE (return on capital employed)/ RoE (return on
EBITDA 177 426
equity) but rarely use it in valuation. I do not see too much
emphasis being given to the indebtedness of a company Interest 46 62
or a serious analysis of cash flows. Cash Generated 131 364
I have come across scores of companies that were very Depreciation 12 20
attractive on the basis of conventional ‘ratios’ but were, PBT 119 344
ultimately, done in by the problems relating to high debt
Dividend 40 44
and low cash flows. Debt can be very debilitating. You
Equity 200 222
are seeing the banks under severe stress because of having
to write off amounts given to companies indiscriminately. EPS (Rs) 0.62 1.13
And shareholders and creditors are suffering losses as they
are forced to forgo or write off their claims. Both could profits have more than doubled; the equity has gone up
have avoided major pain, if they had bothered to look at marginally; but the EPS has grown. And look at the way
cash flows and the indebtedness of a company. the ‘cash’ generated is shown. It appears that the company’s
The main problem with ‘ratio’ analyses is that they business is booming. Most investment recommendations
are dependent, in some form or the other, on ‘accounting’ you see will, probably, go into many details of the costs and
practices followed by a company and the numbers which, future growth in the top-line, and every analyst believes that
in turn, are dependent on estimations, to some extent or the the profit margins (profits divided by sales) will increase
other. Most numbers we see in the profit & loss account are from the next quarter and keep getting better and better.
derived numbers. Depending on the industry and the nature So, there is a buy recommendation, with a lot of other
of business, even the sales number can be just an estimation. charts and graphs put together.
There are many accounting principles. Many of them are Now, let us also see the balance sheet of the company.
based on ‘estimations’, ‘certifications’, ‘opinions’, and We call it the balance sheet because there is perfect
something catch-all called ‘generally accepted accounting numerical balance between what the company owns and
principles’, etc. what the company owes. The company owns assets that
However, by no means can these be done away with. I are funded by a combination of own money and borrowed
am just saying that those by themselves are not sufficient to money. So, let me give you the summary.
take a long-term view on a company. When I am looking Now, we get a bit more information. Let us understand
for a long-term investment, I look beyond the profit & the basics of a ‘cash flow’. Every year, the company reports
loss account. I would like to look at the balance sheet a number that is called as ‘Profit after Tax’ (PAT). So, if we
for a few years together and make some notes. So let us take the ‘owned funds’ or ‘net worth’, it keeps changing
look at the cash flow. It is best if we construct the cash year after year. To the number at the beginning of the year,
flow ourselves and not use the one that is presented in we add the PAT. We have to do a small tweak here. We
the annual report. also have to deduct the dividend that is paid. Thus, the
I will not go into complicated mathematics or formulae. ‘net worth’ changes by that much. However, it does not tell
I will try and simplify the analysis as much as possible. us what all happened to the cash & bank balances. Now,
The main effort you will have to make is to carefully read let us take the various pieces to fit this jigsaw together.
an annual report and just put the numbers in some sort You take the balance sheet and make it into convenient
of an order that makes sense to you. Let us take a typical groupings. Here, I have just shown you ‘current’ assets.
profit & loss summary that you will see. It would have inventory, debtors, trade advances, etc. In
Does this not look like a good set of numbers? The addition, there could be amounts under ‘investments’ etc.
So, list whatever details you think are important and put it sales realisations are stuck in debtors/inventories, etc, and
side by side. A minimum of two-year numbers are needed are not getting converted to cash. I will deduct this from
to get a single year’s cash flow. the reported PAT minus the dividend number. So, keep
In the above-mentioned example, you can see that doing this and, suddenly, we will find that the actual cash
the ‘current’ assets have grown exponentially, putting flows may not be as rosy as the research report or the
pressure on the cash that is available. This company has earnings report you will read.
also shown an increase in reserves that is far more than Every business has a different ‘cash’ cycle. An
engineering firm may have a long one; a construction
company may have a longer one; a food company would
... Money Is Stuck in Current Assets have a very short cash cycle; etc. Think about how long
Year 1 (Rs Cr) Year 2 (Rs Cr) it would take to convert the raw material to final cash.
Assets And the nature of competition and the market position
Net Fixed Assets 197 250 of a company will influence the ability to collect cash in
Advances etc 108 135 time. For instance, in the good old days, two-wheeler
Current Assets 1,201 2,226 companies would collect advances from customers and
there would be no credit. Then, competition changed the
Misc Assets 0 606
situation. A new entrant in a mature industry will have
Total Assets 1,506 3,217
nothing to offer, it so will be converting sales into cash
Capital 200 222 slowly. Some businesses are such that, to grow, they need
Reserves 228 1,170 more and more of cash.
Net Owned Funds 428 1,392 Companies in the infrastructure sector were done in
Borrowings 557 854 by poor cash flow. You keep on doing work, spending on
Current Liab 472 873
men and materials. And, when the government department
that placed the order does not pay you progressively, you
Other Liabilities 49 98
are in trouble. Infrastructure companies, by the nature of
Total 1,506 3,217 business, need more and more equipment if they have to
execute more and more orders in the same time-frame.
the profits of the first year. If you notice, the company’s And it may take five years or more to recover the costs of
share capital has gone up. Which means that there has the equipment. So, the cash flow needs could be several
been an issuance of fresh shares during the year and the times profits that are made! And, if the order flows dry
reserves have grown by the share premium collected. up, the companies would be left with issues of servicing
These details can be found, once you spot that the change debt. This is a common phenomenon and one of the
in ‘shareholders’ funds’ is not in line with the number of reasons why public sector banks, that have lent money
PAT minus dividends. to infrastructure companies, are in trouble. This is just an
Now, you will notice the change in each line of asset introduction to make you think beyond the profit & loss
and liability of the balance sheet. It is logical to presume account. Earnings are only one component of investment
that the change in debtors, inventory, etc, should not be analysis.
more than the growth in sales. If it is not so, it means that The author can be reached at balakrishnanr@gmail.com
ELSS, and you’ve done tax-saving correctly. All these over a minimum of five years, as it irons out short-term
expenses and investments are usually of fixed nature fluctuations and provides for correct comparison with
and can be forecast at the start of the FY. It takes lessbenchmarks and other schemes. Our aim is to find out
than an hour to approximate the Section 80C available how effective ELSSs are in comparison to fixed-income
after paying for these contributions. Doing so avoids tax-savers and whether there is any pay-off in taking
any unnecessary investments in tax-saving products and the efforts of tax-planning at the beginning of the FY.
this sum can be utilised toward other non-tax-saving If you had invested in any ELSS through monthly SIPs
investments. from April-March vs invested at year-end in March in a
fixed-income tax-saving product that yields 8% (such as
Why It Makes Sense to Start ELSS SIP Now NSCs or tax-saver FDs), the bar chart below shows how
There are several tax-saving products which aren’t most of the ELSSs have performed against fixed-income
market-linked and, thus, attract the most attention tax-savers.
(and money). We are, of course, talking about fixed- Until 2018, the investments made five years earlier
income products like public saw most ELSSs outperforming
provident fund (PPF), National NSCs or tax-saver FDs easily.
Savings Certificates (NSCs) and Even in a down phase, Moreover, returns above 15%pa
tax-saver fixed deposits. But when where exiting equities were quite common across many
you compare the post-tax returns schemes; except in the five years
generated from these products, would be the worst ending March 2016 which,
ELSS stands above all. Products decision, you’d still be incidentally, was a point when the
such as the 5-year tax-saver fixed sitting on gains higher broad-market index was down
deposit (FD) and NSCs are popular 20% since its last peak and had
because of the relatively shorter than what NSCs/FDs just begun to recover. Yet, even
maturity than other tax-saving would’ve delivered in this down phase, where exiting
products and, more importantly, equities would be the worst
the fixed-interest rate they offer. decision, you’d still be sitting on
This makes it a go-to product for last-minute tax-saving gains higher than what NSCs/FDs would’ve delivered.
decisions. But the post-tax return from both, especially That’s why, it is worth the effort to start tax-
for the higher tax bracket, is below 5.50%pa (per planning in April and not delay it until year-end.
annum) which is quite low. You end up with a low rate Moreover, the number of schemes that generated returns
only because of not spending an hour in April towards higher than 15%pa also shows the power of equities
correct tax-planning. as an asset class in generating wealth. Here are some of
Take the case of ELSS. Being a market-linked the best performing ELSSs in the past five years ending
product, its performance in the past decade has been 31 March 2018; we have only considered schemes with
nothing less than remarkable. At Moneylife, we consider asset size above Rs1,000 crore for performance review.
gauging the performance of any equity-oriented scheme Interestingly, the total assets managed by the top-5
performing schemes are equal to the assets of the 37
ELSS vs Tax-saver FDs & NSCs other ELSSs in operation.
Majority of ELSSs Outperformed NSCs/FDs over 5 Years
B
ank fixed deposit (FD) rates three-year FDs from banks can get a Muthoot Finance’s secured NCDs
are slowly inching up. For a rate of 6% to 7%. for 400-days to five-year tenure,
three-year FD, State Bank of If you want a better with rating of AA (Stable) by ICRA
India (SBI) has increased the rate rate, you will need to and CRISIL, was offering 8% to
from 6.5% to 6.7%. Yes Bank explore small finance 9%.
offers a rate of 7%; Axis is offering banks (SFBs) like Corporate FD is yet another
6.9%; ICICI has a rate of 6.5%; Suryoday, option. Mahindra Finance is
while HDFC Bank’s rate is the Utkarsh, offering 40-months online FD for
lowest among its peers at 6%. Some Equitas, 8.30%. Don’t rush in to book
private banks are offering rates Ujjivan, corporate FDs, as their risk level is
lower than the largest public sector AU, higher than that of bank FDs. There
bank—SBI. It is a sign of changing have been cases of corporates being
times. In the past, private banks unable or unwilling to service their
used to offer equal to, or higher deposits by way of return of the
than, SBI’s FD rates. Currently, principal and/or interest.
G-Sec Yields Up
T
Issuer Maturity Next Last Yield ISIN Rating
he 10-year benchmark G-Sec Date Coupon (%)
yield, which sets the tone of the
fixed-income market, has made a jump ICICI Bank 8.55% Perp 20 Sep-22 20 Sep-18 8.95 INE090A08TZ5 Care AA+
(unsecured,
in the last fortnight by 21 basis points subordinated)
(bps) to end at 7.49% on 16th April.
Nabard 8.20% 09 Mar-28 09 Sep-18 8.13 INE261F08AD8 CRISIL AA
15 February 2027 7.72 ECAP Equities Ltd 24 Mar-20 24 Mar-19 9.08 INE572O07BB4 ICRA AA
G-Sec yields on 16 April 2018 BSE data as of last trade date of 13 April 2018
Which insurance product then is right for you? As a member of Moneylife Advisory, you
get advice on selected term insurance products, identified after deep, unbiased research.
Most importantly, you will get special support during your claims, as long as you make the
right declarations.
This is all you need on the insurance front. Be an MAS member today and stay safe.
MAS is a no-bias, no-conflict platform. We are not in the business of selling any
financial product and so can advise you ethically.
About MAS
MAS is a SEBI-registered investment adviser and part of Moneylife, India’s most unbiased and
pro-investor research and information group. We run India’s best personal finance magazine,
Moneylife. We are not afraid to call a spade a spade. We are India’s only media company to have
set up a non-profit trust, Moneylife Foundation, which is now the largest savers’ and investors’
association with more than 35,000 members. MAS was set up to help investors and savers make
the right financial decisions and handhold them through the entire process.
MONEYLIFE
ADVISORY
FIX YOUR FINANCES, FOREVER
advisor.moneylife.in
the insurance company’s rejection. perforation, to back its arguments. near future and, so, don’t want to
In one case, the consumer got The State Forum set aside the be stuck with multi-year policies.
a New India Assurance (NIA) District Forum’s order and directed The SC’s committee has made it
mediclaim policy after medical NIA to pay the claim within the clear that just offering three-year
examination. He was suffering from 60 days. It relied on a previous insurance plans for two-wheelers
high blood pressure and diabetes case decision which concluded that is not enough. It must be made
at the time of policy inception. linking cirrhosis of the liver claim mandatory to increase compliance.
The policy issued in 2008 was to be only due to alcoholism is not Buying multi-year TP policy
renewed without any break. The always true. is better than not buying it at
policyholder was hospitalised for all. It is estimated that only
duodenal perforation in the third C ar Insurance 65-70 million vehicles have TP
cover against approximately 180
Mandatory 3-year million registered vehicles. A large
percentage of vehicles without
and 5-year Third- TP cover was two-wheelers. Even
party Cover for though TP cover for two-wheelers
T
his year onwards, a large chunk of Jeevan Why do customers buy traditional life insurance
Saral policies, sold by the Life Insurance products other than term plans? They want to get some
Corporation of India (LIC), will mature and returns on their investment; i.e., the premiums they pay.
policyholders in the higher age group who They want the peace of mind of having a life cover; also,
bought these will get a rude shock. They they do not want to lose the premiums if there is no death
will find that they have been duped into getting half, or claim. Getting positive returns, even if meagre, satisfies
less, of what they paid by way of premiums over 10 or policy-buyers. Why do they prefer traditional products
more years. At that juncture, they may decide to take (endowment, money-back and whole life)? Unlike unit-
legal action. LIC, on the other hand, anticipates these linked insurance plans (ULIPs), customers of traditional
legal fi ghts and seems to be determined to save its skin policies do not want to end up with losses on the
by doggedly fighting on and taking the cases to higher invested amount due to equity market risks. Traditional
courts, to avoid having to compensate the policyholders. products are supposed to give you back your premiums
The government-backed insurance behemoth is not paid (investment) along with some returns. The returns
interested in being fair to millions of Indians who have, may be low; but investors in traditional products expect
over generations, wholeheartedly trusted the brand. safety of their principal amount (investment).
When LIC launches a traditional product, the entire Rs5,500 for the same cover. This happens due to higher
force of its agents is pumped up to push the product. mortality charges for higher age. Jeevan Saral has a
And customers invest blindly due to their faith in LIC. twist. Its premium is the same for all ages for a given
The LIC brand invokes such loyalty that customers don’t death SA and policy term; this means that the maturity
expect LIC to fool them. It gives LIC tremendous power amounts are different. The higher the age, the lower will
which can be misused to actually deliver a lemon to be maturity amount, to compensate for higher morality
customers while being a great revenue-earner for LIC. charges. Jeevan Saral is supposed to give better surrender
Taking advantage of gullible Indians blindly buying and/or paid-up value. It was considered a good plan with
LIC’s products, the behemoth sold a toxic product, with a lot of flexibility for young people. The main issue with
the misnomer Jeevan Saral (meaning ‘life simple’), which the product is for those in the higher age group.
became a hot-selling insurance product for agents, until Moneylife has received several complaints from
it was withdrawn in December 2013. The product gave Jeevan Saral policyholders. The situation will get worse,
higher insurance cover which helped as a sales pitch. with policies completing 10-year term in the near future.
People of age 50+ were attracted. But their expectations It may inflict a loss of 50%-60% of investment. The
are that the policy will give positive returns. They want pathetic maturity amount will jolt the policyholders who
to get back their trusted LIC to give
investment (premium decent returns. The
paid) plus any returns shock of the loss will
offered by LIC. The leave a bad taste for
product ran for nine older customers. Will
years selling almost Jeevan Saral dent the
50 million policies. public’s trust in LIC?
LIC’s army of agents A 58-year-old
has an easy motivation person (Mr Patil
to sell policies to earn —name changed),
commissions. They had paid a total of
are always gung-ho Rs97,824 as half-
about LIC products. yearly premium of
Did the agents really Rs4,076 for 12 years.
know what they were The maturity SA,
selling or was it just which was paid to him
herd mentality of after 12 years, was a
selling policies thinking mere Rs24,575 plus
that every LIC product bonus, amounting
has to be good for to Rs34,405. Even
customers? Read on, to though the maturity
know that even agents amount was mentioned in the
did not know that Jeevan Saral could cause losses for policy document, it was missing in the proposal, which
policyholders. only specified the ‘sum assured’ of Rs1.25 lakh. So, the
LIC has been the country’s most attractive brand in buyer would think that he will get at least Rs1.25 lakh
the financial services segment for several years. Its Jeevan on maturity; but it is only paid on death. How can the
Saral product seems to have taken advantage of this fact, proposal have only one ‘sum assured’ field when the
selling 50 million policies. People of age 50+ who bought product has two ‘sum assured’ (death and maturity). As
Jeevan Saral will end up with losses even though it was the proposal did not mention the pathetic maturity sum
not a ULIP. It also shows that even traditional products, assured, it tantamounts to gross mis-selling by LIC. The
not just ULIPs, can give negative returns. Jeevan Saral policy was sold with inaccurate, faulty and misleading
was marketed as ‘With Profit’ policy and, yet, caused proposal form!
losses. While the death cover of 15 times the premium is
Traditional products have different premiums (based good, it leads to hefty negative returns due to higher
on age) for the same sum assured (SA). For example, mortality charges for those in the higher age group.
endowment plans can have a premium of Rs4,800 for Some policies even have 20 times the premium as cover
Rs1 lakh SA. If the age is higher, the premium can be for these people which would mean even lower returns.
advisor.moneylife.in
MAS is a SEBI-registered investment adviser and part of Moneylife,
India’s most unbiased and pro-investor research and information group.
Investools with
equity funds & stocks
• Monthly Investing
• Investment Restructuring
• Lump-sum Investing
• Investing for Specific Goals
Stocks
• Long-term Stock picks
• SIP Tool for Stocks
Even a younger person may barely get the premiums when it is different from the death SA.
back at maturity or get minimal returns; hence, Jeevan Flawed Proposal Form: Jeevan Saral was sold to a couple
Saral was a terrible investment product. without informing them that the maturity amount will
be far lower than the total of the premiums they paid. It
How Jeevan Saral Tricked Customers is unfair disclosure, as the customer is usually not aware
Maturity Sum Assured versus Death Sum Assured: of the maturity SA being at variance from the death SA.
Jeevan Saral has two different figures for SA: death sum The couple filled the proposal form which only had one
assured and maturity sum assured. A layman would not SA field. The maturity SA was not mentioned in the
know the difference and would assume that he/she will proposal. This is not just misleading; it is a fraud. Many
get the SA (death) plus bonus, on policy maturity. An policies sold between 2003 and 2006 did not print the
insurance product usually has only one SA and, hence, maturity SA; they only showed death SA.
the concept of two different SA (death and maturity) is It is a blunder on the part of LIC. Anyone having
an unknown concept to even LIC’s loyal customer base. Jeevan Saral policy bond without maturity SA or incorrect
Even a financially literate person may miss it, as the LIC maturity SA can sue LIC before the insurance ombudsman
proposal form only has ONE field for ‘sum assured’ or the consumer court. You will get justice when you
(paid only on death). So, paying close attention to the demand death SA be paid even if you don’t die. People have
policy document specifying the maturity SA is important got justice as the policy bond is a contract! If the maturity
SA was correctly specified in the policy document, LIC Conceptualised by the Genius GN Agarwal?
will put up a fight. Most policyholders do not look at GN (Gorakhnath) Agarwal was head of the actuarial
the policy bond details which can be an expensive department of LIC when Jeevan Saral was launched.
mistake. Mr Agarwal had addressed LIC’s divisional officers and
HRDesai
HRDesai
agents gatherings held in Mumbai, Vadodara and other hefty losses for those in the higher age group. A certain
places in India to pitch Jeevan Saral to the sales force. trainer Mr Patel is credited with creating pamphlets
How is it possible that even the sales force did not smell a claiming that Jeevan Saral can give 10%pa returns.
rat with the goodies offered by LIC? Moneylife
has recordings of these LIC meetings. The main
points of his speech were as follows:
1. Surrender after three years without any
loss;
2. Policy is ‘saral’ as its name suggests;
3. Good returns, high returns, better returns,
better intention, better than private
investment;
4. Can earn interest/yield @9%;
5. No mention about loss any time during his
speech.
The proof of Mr Agarwal’s wrongdoing
is a letter from MP (member of Parliament)
Dr Kirit Somaiya to IRDAI chairman in
2014. He says, “It was for the first time in the
history of LIC that the Actuary of LIC (Shri
GN Agarwal), who launched this plan, directlyy
addressed the field force in big gatherings att
various places all across India at the time off
the launch of the plan to inform them that thiss
is a ‘With Profit’ Plan and, in fact, the maturity y
under this plan is going to be more than the otherr
traditional plan such as endowment and money--
back plans.”
A veteran ex-LIC agent, says, “Jeevan Saral al
was mis-sold with false promises of gettingg
10%pa (per annum) returns. Forget about 10%paa
returns for a non-ULIP product, you may not get et
any returns or even get losses. The product caused d
The blatantly false pamphlets may have triggered mass Hyderabad and Kochi Ombudsman’s Favourable
mis-selling.” Decision: The Hyderabad insurance ombudsman’s office
Currently, Mr Agarwal is the chief actuary with has given justice to a policyholder. The Deccan Herald
Future Generali Life Insurance. Actuaries are extremely newspaper, on 20 January 2016, had a news report of a
well-paid. Being a chief actuary decision given by the ombudsman
of a life insurance company can in the policyholder’s favour. The
mean earnings in crores of rupees. A veteran ex-LIC agent, policyholder had argued that
It is an irony that actuaries enjoy says, “Jeevan Saral was LIC had advertised Jeevan Saral
a fat package when customers can mis-sold with false in newspapers in 2002. The
even lose their lifetime’s savings in advertisement had claimed that
a toxic life insurance product. promises of getting the scheme offered higher returns
10%pa (per annum) to the insured. He paid Rs48,040
Grievance Redressal Options returns. Forget about as premium, while the maturity
Mumbai Ombudsman Rejection: amount was Rs34,894. He was
Mr Patil did not get justice at the 10%pa returns for a non- told that the SA was Rs1 lakh
Mumbai ombudsman, despite ULIP product, you may and, hence, was expecting that
getting a paltry one-third of not get any returns or amount. What worked in the
the premium at maturity. The favour of policyholder was that in
ombudsman’s decision states: “If even get losses the LIC policy bond the column of
the insurance company has paid maturity SA was ‘blank’.
the amount as per policy conditions, it is not possible The copy of the Hyderabad ombudsman’s order,
for us to entertain your complaint. However, you may procured under the Right to Information (RTI) Act
approach any other Forum/Court for the redressal of reveals that during the hearing, the LIC representative
your complaint.” stated that not specifying of the correct maturity benefit
was a typographical mistake that occurred during the insured, the LIC divisional manager filed a writ petition
printing of the policy document. Does it also mean that in the HC. The Dharwad Bench of the Karnataka HC
not specifying the maturity amount in the proposal form imposed a fine of Rs10,000 on LIC for filing a writ
is also a mistake from LIC, as the proposal form does petition against an order of the ombudsman. The Bench’s
not have separate fields for maturity and death SA? The order, procured under RTI, states that the insured is at
ombudsman ordered LIC to pay Rs1 lakh to the insured. liberty to levy execution and attach the property of the
In a similar case, 54 year old person who purchased petitioner LIC, if LIC failed to pay the sum.
Jeevan Saral policy for 11 years So, there is hope for Jeevan
term was paid maturity amount Saral policyholders. IRDAI should
plus bonus of Rs39,894. The IRDAI should intervene intervene and help policyholders.
person was expecting to be paid SA After all, IRDAI is also to blame
of one lakh. The ombudsman order and help policyholders. for approving a toxic product,
states following—“If the insurer After all, IRDAI is knowing that senior citizens will
has made any error in printing the also to blame for end up losing their hard-earned
policy, it had eleven long years to money. Where does the buck stop?
rectify the same, which was not approving a toxic Will justice ever be served? Or
done. The policy document is the product, knowing that should senior citizens just give up,
basis of the contract and the insurer senior citizens will end thinking that their loss is due to
cannot at this point state that the indirect tax from the government
maturity sum assured will be much up losing their hard- levied via LIC?
lower.... The issue of policy cannot earned money Consumer Court: According to Mr
be treated as another routine Patil, “I have met the Ombudsman
matter. Obviously, some printing office staff. They agreed with me
error has been made in the policy document which the that LIC should have mentioned two sum assured, one
insurer has not till maturity informed the policyholder.... saying at the time of maturity and second at the time
In the result, an award is passed directing the respondent death during policy period, in the proposal form which
insurer to honour the contract and pay the maturity sum we signed at the time taking policy.There are so many
assured of Rs1 lakh as printed on the policy. No costs.” policyholders, mainly senior citizens, who are duped.
High Court (HC) Decision: After the Hyderabad Wrong information was given by LIC itself and their
ombudsman’s decision asking LIC to pay Rs1 lakh to the representatives all over India. LIC has lost the case in
consumer court in Kolhapur (Maharashtra). A senior even civil courts. The intention of LIC is clear. It does
citizen (Mr Runwal) took LIC to Kolhapur consumer not want to pay a single rupee and, hence, is taking
court. All three judges have given their decision against the cases to higher court even when the decision goes
LIC. One of LIC’s pamphlets was admitted by LIC against it in the lower court. But, ombudsman decision
as part of the marketing material. LIC deposited the is binding on them and hence LIC is trying to find a way
money in court and has taken the complainant to the out of its troubles. LIC knows it has lost such cases and
state commission. It may end up in will again lose in future. To pre-
Supreme Court (SC). My question empt it, LIC has issued periodic
is: To get our money from LIC, What LIC is trying circulars to its staff to intimate
should everyone approach the policyholders regarding correction
SC?” to do is sheepishly of discrepancies in policy bond.
hide its blunder of (Read the latest circular dated
If Maturity Amount Blank/ not specifying the 26 March 2018 on page 37).
Incorrect in Policy, You May WIN What LIC is trying to do is
against LIC maturity SA or having sheepishly hide its blunder of
The Jeevan Saral discrepancy in incorrect maturity SA not specifying the maturity SA
the policy bond showing blank in the policy bond... so or having incorrect maturity SA
maturity SA or incorrect SA is a in the policy bond. LIC wants to
reality. If you have Jeevan Saral that the policyholder update these policy bonds so that
with blank or incorrect maturity cannot cry foul the policyholder cannot cry foul
SA, you are lucky, as you may win of having policy bond discrepancy
if you take up the fight before the and, hence, demanding death SA
ombudsman, or a consumer or civil court. Many policies to be paid on policy maturity. If you are lucky to have
issued during the years 2003-04, 2004-05 and 2005- Jeevan Saral with blank or incorrect maturity SA, do not
06 did not show the maturity SA. The amount may be let LIC do the correction. Instead, immediately haul LIC
blank for policy bonds issued from 2006-07 onwards to ombudsman office to demand death SA to be paid
also. on policy maturity. Do not let LIC cover up its blunder.
LIC is fi ghting with agitated senior citizens who are Take the opportunity and demand justice for being sold
fi ling cases in ombudsman offices, consumer courts and a lemon by the behemoth.
keep averaging upwards month after month through the average cost.
SIP route. On the other hand, if you know that the Nifty But does this mean that SIP works under all market
is likely to go down to 9,000 in the next one year, then conditions? Certainly not. So, let us now examine the
forget SIP or lump-sum, you would be richer not investing market conditions under which SIP would not work.
in equities. Therefore, SIP is not some magic that it will
outperform the lump-sum investing method or always give When SIP Does Not Work
positive returns, even over the long term. So, what are the Bear or Falling Market: SIP would not work and, in fact,
conditions under which SIP works? yield negative returns in a bear, or falling, market as every
new purchase, although made at
When SIP Works a lower cost, would eventually
Bull or Rising Market: SIP would SIP should perform well in be valued at an even lower price.
yield positive results in a bull, a volatile but, ultimately, In such a market scenario, SIP
or rising, market as every new might outperform lump-sum
purchase, although made at a rising, or bull, market. investments as the investor will
higher cost, is valued at an even This would be the market get the benefit of averaging
higher price, finally. However, in which the ‘rupee cost downwards but the investor
as seen earlier, in such a case, it will still lose money. I believe,
would be wiser to buy the entire averaging’ would work it should be the endeavour of
investment in one go rather than most favourably for the every investor to make money
keep ‘averaging upwards’ through investor, as volatility would by investing and not simply ‘lose
the SIP route. less’.
Volatile but Rising Market: SIP lead to the best possible Sideways Market: SIP would not
should perform well in a volatile average price work in a sideways market, as
but, ultimately, rising, or bull, you will not get the benefit of
market. This would be the market rupee cost averaging and the final
in which the ‘rupee cost averaging’ would work most value would be closer to the average cost. In a sideways
favourably for the investor, as volatility would lead to the market, the difference between the performance of SIP
best possible average price. The final rising or subsequent and lump-sum might not be significant.
bull market would ensure that the end price is higher than Market Moves Upwards and Then Moves Down: This would
the average price. be one more case in which SIP would not perform because
Market Corrects Downwards and Then Moves Up: This the investor will actually be hurt by the SIP as he would
would be another case in which SIP would perform well be ‘averaging northwards’ while the final value would
and, in all likelihood, be better than initial lump-sum be much lower due to the subsequent market correction.
investment. This is because the investor will get the In fact, in this scenario, lump-sum would perform much
advantage of the intermediate correction to lower his better than SIP, as it would not be subjected to the negative
effects of higher rupee cost averaging. averaging actually works against the investor and vice versa.
Therefore, SIP might not always be the best investment SIP works on the principle of regular investments and
route. So, now let us examine when it would be ideal to brings the power of compounding. It removes emotions
invest through SIP or when as a lump-sum. and uncertainty from your investment plan by making it a
mechanical, boring process. It inculcates the habit of regular
Common Misconceptions about SIPs savings and does not encourage timing and speculation in
Misconception: SIPs generate higher return than lump- the markets. All these are correct and accepted facts. But,
sum investment. don’t forget that SIP is just another method of investing; it
Truth: As explained earlier, this is just a misconception is a vehicle not the final destination. It may pass through
disseminated by vested interests like MFs and their straight or bumpy roads; it may lead you to your destination
distributors. SIP can be in a lesser or higher time-
as good, or as bad, as frame; sometimes, it
lump-sum. It depends on may not even lead you
which market condition to your destination by
you are in. derailing your plan. SIP
Misconception: SIPs is just a method of getting
always generate positive on to the investment
return over the long term. vehicle to reach your
Truth: There can be destination. If the vehicle
nothing farther from the you choose is incorrect,
truth. This statement there is less likelihood
is made under the of you reaching your
assumption that equity destination. Therefore,
markets always go up the next time a mutual
over the long term. If, for fund or distributor or
whatever reasons, equity financial planner advises
markets don’t go up over the long term, there is no way you that SIPs are the safest route to invest in equities,
in which SIP would be able to generate positive return. remember that they are not lying. It is safest route—but
And if equity markets, indeed, always go up over the long not for you the investor; it is for their own selves.
term, whether SIP or lump-sum, the investor will always
get positive return.
Misconception: SIP would always give positive return Mehrab Irani is the author of acclaimed
because of ’rupee cost averaging’. 10 Commandments for Financial
Truth: Rupee cost averaging can work in investor’s favour Freedom and best-seller Mad Money
or against, depending on the market condition prevailing Journey, India’s first finance thriller
at the time of investment. If it’s a bull market, rupee cost
Just retired?
Don’t let your wealth retire too
For subscription offers that
Ways to keep your money at work are a steal, look for a form
elsewhere in this issue or our
Once every fortnight website at www.moneylife.in
K
EC International (KEC) is an EPC (engineering, business which is growing rapidly; railway business
procurement & construction) company almost doubled y-o-y during the quarter. On the back
focused on power transmission & distribution of strong order inflow, the management expects this
(T&D). But the company has also gone into other segment to generate a revenue in range of Rs1,500
business verticals, such as manufacturing of cables, crore to Rs1,600 crore during FY18-19. The total
civil construction and railway business and renewable order-book now stands at Rs17,148 crore. Again, the
energy (solar power projects). For the quarter ending railway segment has given a boost to the order-book
December 2017, the company reported excellent which now aggregatesRs3,600 crore. In the T&D
financial performance with revenue growing at 25.8% segment, the company is witnessing good traction
year-on-year (y-o-y) across geographies. In a
while operating profit media interview in March,
shot up 34.3% and Vimal Kejriwal, managing
net profit rocketed up director & chief executive
78.6% y-o-y. officer (MD&CEO)
Power T&D is the of KEC, said that the
largest segment of the company has received new
company in which it has orders worth Rs2,419
experience of project crore. This takes the total
implementation of of new orders received
several decades. It claims during FY17-18 to over
to be a global leader in Rs15,000 crore—20%
the power transmission more than in the previous
EPC and a fast growing financial year. The
company in substations, with operations spread over company will clock a growth rate of 10%-15% during
many countries and regions, viz., India, SAARC (South FY17-18 and the MD&CEO also gave guidance for a
Asia Association of Regional Cooperation) countries, growth rate of 15%-20% during FY18-19.
and countries of MENA (Middle East and North Historically, KEC’s sales had grown at a healthy
Africa), south-east Asia, Central Asia, North America rate, clocking a compounded annual growth rate
and Latin America. It manufactures low tension (LT) (CAGR) of 14.3% for the past 10 years. But growth
cables, high tension (HT) cables and extra high voltage has slowed down in recent years with sales CAGR
(EHV) cables, power cables, telecom cables, etc. The falling to 2.8% for the past three years. However, the
railways business division of the company undertakes company has reported exceptional performance during
railway EPC projects like railway electrification, track nine months FY17-18 (results for the quarter, and year,
laying, building railway station, etc. ending March 2018 have not yet been announced) and
Disclaimer: None of the stock information presented constitutes a recommendation or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any securities. Information presented is general in nature that does not take into
account your individual circumstances, financial situation or needs Although information has been obtained from and is based on sources we believe to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy and the
information may be incomplete or condensed. All opinions and estimates constitute our judgement as on the date of the report and are subject to change without notice. Past performance is no indication of future
results. Investors must do their own research before acting on them. Data Source: Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy’s Prowess database.
Those who have subscribed to the stockletters should only follow the stocks recommended there.
N av i n F l u orine Int ernat ional hydrofluoric acid, among other inorganic fluorides.
These products are used in industries such as stainless
Power Chemistry steel, glass, oil & gas, abrasives, etc. These are usually
used in high volume in standardised processes. Under
20% 18%
160 33%
19%
inorganic fluorides segments. The contribution of 21%. This is high, keeping in mind the business and
CRAMS to revenue, compared on a y-o-y basis for different segments of the company. The management
Q3FY17-18, has increased from 19% to 33%; while has a good past track-record of execution and it may
the contribution of inorganic fluorides has increased be fair to assume that management’s decision to invest
from 17.6% to 20.4%. Though the performance seems in CRAMS business will grow the business, in the long
impressive on a y-o-y basis, it has not been great on term. NFI, at present, is a debt-free company. The
a quarter-on-quarter (q-o-q) basis. In the refrigerant company has generated a return on capital employed
segment, the company directly competes with Chinese (net profit/capital employed) of 30.5% and return on
manufacturers; due to severe pollution problems in fixed assets of 32.6%.
China, Indian manufacturers have benefited; this The current market-capitalisation of the company
explains the growth. But the question whether this is Rs3,800 crore while the stock is trading a price-to-
growth can be sustained remains. There is a possibility earnings (P/E) multiple of 22.7x. Given the flat q-o-q
that Chinese manufacturers will come back with performance, the high y-o-y growth rate will go south
predatory pricing. and, hence, the stock price may also not perform well
The specialty chemicals business does not seem over the medium term. But the prospects look good for
to be picking up at all, due to global slowdown the long term.
in agrochemicals and a product-specific issues in
pharmaceuticals. NFI is transferring this business to a
new joint venture established with Piramal Enterprise. Talwalkars Better Value Fitness
This may be a positive sign for reviving this segment.
Since CRAMS is the fastest growing segment, the
company has planned to invest Rs115 crore in these
Strength-training
manufacturing facilities. The expansion will be funded Needed, Not Cosmetic
by internal accruals as well as debt. The capex is set to
be completed by June 2019. Changes
NFI’s decision to foray into more value creating
businesses has shown good results. The company
has moved up from manufacturing of commodity-
like chemicals to specialty chemicals and CRAMS.
T alwalkars Better Value Fitness (Talwalkars) is
a well-known fitness brand in India but the
company was mismanaged. Now, the structure of
Sales have grown at a compounded annual growth its demerger also raises questions on the company’s
rate (CAGR) of16%. Meanwhile, operating as well corporate governance practices. The company classifies
net margins have also improved continuously. The its business into two segments, namely, gym and
company has generated highest margins in recent lifestyle. It plans to demerge the two segments in
quarters with operating profit margin in range of different entities. So, the current name of the company
24% to 26% and net profit margin of approximately is Talwalkars Better Value Fitness and the new
*Annualised. Since 25 April 2014 *Annualised. Since January 2012 * Annualised. Since January 2012
For small-cap/ low-price stocks with Long-term value stocks. More of mid- Long-term value stocks. Usually large
big growth potential cap stocks to be held for 1 year or more companies are selected
• A shortlist of stocks to invest in • Weekly market view • Weekly market view
• Fundamental data we rely on • A shortlist of stocks to invest in • A shortlist of stocks to invest in
• Brief description of the companies • Fundamental data we rely on • Fundamental data we rely on
• Weekly updates on all stocks • Weekly updates on all stocks • Weekly updates on all stocks
Caution: The returns shown here are much higher than average.
Average annual rise in the Nifty/Sensex is likely to be 12%-14%
per annum over 10 years and more. Well-chosen stocks may
rise by 20%-22% per annum over five year and more.
Disclaimer: The Stockletters are part of multiple services offered by Moneylife Advisory
Services which is a SEBI registered investor advisor (Registration No: INA000003429).
The stockletters are for information purposes only and none of the stock information,
data and company information presented constitutes a legally binding recommendation
or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any securities. Although information has been Log on to advisor.moneylife.in with
obtained from and is based upon sources we believe to be reliable, we do not guarantee
its accuracy and the information may be incomplete or condensed. All opinions and
your email id and password and
estimates constitute our judgment as of the date of the report and are subject to change check the dropdown menu under
without notice. Information presented is general information that does not take into Investool to find Stock SIP
account your individual circumstances, financial situation, or needs, nor does it present a
personalised recommendation to you. Individual stocks presented may not be suitable for
you. Please read the terms and conditions before subscribing.
Cancel within two issues: You can cancel your subscription within two issues. We will
If you don’t have a login id and password
return your money after deducting Rs150 for payment gateway and handling charges. email us at support@moneylife.in
You can cancel by email or phone.
NAME: ____________________________________________________________________________________________
ADDRESS: __________________________________________________________________________________________
PHONE (Office): ____________ Phone (Res): ____________ E-mail address: _____________________________________________
Date of Birth: ____________________ (MM) (DD) (YY)
Profession: _____________________ Designation: ____________________________________________________________
( ) Please find enclosed ( ) Cheque / ( ) Demand draft number _________________ dated __________________ Rs
favouring Moneylife Advisory Services Pvt. Ltd.
DATE: ______________________ SIGNATURE: ______________________
Please fill in this order form and mail it with your remittance to Moneylife Advisory Services Pvt. Ltd., 317, 3rd Floor, Hind Service Industries Premises, Off Veer Savarkar Marg,
Shivaji Park, Dadar (W), Mumbai 400 028. # Rates and offers are valid only in India. This offer is valid for a limited period. # All disputes shall be subject to Mumbai jurisdiction only.
Privacy Policy: We do not give away your e-mail or address, telephone number, or any other information that you provide to us. We use this information solely to service your account
2 Business Segments
Gym Lifestyle
(To be (To be
Spun Off retained
to new by current
entity) entity)
been very volatile, as can be seen in the chart. There power generation business.
is no clear trend. Net profit margins range from 3. Spencer’s Retail: It will have the retail and apparel
10% to 37% which is strange for a consumer-facing brand business of the company.
business. The return ratios of the new entity may look 4. CESC Ventures: All other businesses, such as
higher, as the asset base and equity is lower, but is BPO, shopping mall, real estate and FMCG (fast
it really worthwhile to go through all the hassles of moving consumer goods) will be transferred to this
demerger when the revenue and profitability are highly company.
volatile? Distribution business generates more than 20%
return on equity which is among the highest in the
sector. It will be the only company to be a pure-
CESC play distribution company. CESC has a total power
generation capacity of 2,530MW (megawatts)
A Special Situations comprising mainly thermal power plants plus wind
and solar generation. The power distribution business
Play has more than 3 million customers in Kolkata and
Howrah covering approximately 570sq km (square
MARKET TREND
About MAS
MAS is a SEBI-registered investment adviser and part of Moneylife, India’s most unbiased and
pro-investor research and information group. We run India’s best personal finance magazine,
Moneylife. We are not afraid to call a spade a spade. We are India’s only media company to have
set up a non-profit trust, Moneylife Foundation, which is now the largest savers’ and investors’
association with more than 35,000 members. MAS was set up to help investors and savers make
the right financial decisions and handhold them through the entire process.
MONEYLIFE
ADVISORY
FIX YOUR FINANCES, FOREVER
advisor.moneylife.in
earlier. His chartered accountant certified the closing stock examining the evidence placed before it, NCDRC concluded
of the godown at Rs6.74 crore. that the cash payments claimed to have been made by the
The insurance company rejected his claim through complainant to seven suppliers were not actually made and
a letter dated 23 May 2011. He then filed a complaint his claims were substantially false. NCDRC, in its order,
before NCDRC claiming Rs8.57 crore including interest. further held that “even if part of the claim submitted by
The insurance company alleged that the complainant had the complainant to the insurer was false, the insurer was
attached forged and fraudulent justified in repudiating the entire
documents to back his complaint. claim. The complainant therefore,
It further alleged that the The above cases should is not entitled to recover any
majority of the transactions amount from the opposite party.”
claimed by the complainant could
serve as eye-openers for The above cases should serve
not be verified since they were consumers who intend to as eye-openers for consumers who
stated to be cash transactions. depend on insurance as a intend to depend on insurance
The insurer further told the apex as a safety net—procrastination
consumer court that, despite
safety net—procrastination while lodging a claim, or trying to
repeated follow-up, no supplier while lodging a claim, cheat the insurer by filing a false
or third party had verified or or trying to cheat the or exaggerated claim, could lead
confirmed the transactions to the entire claim being rejected
claimed by the complainant. And,
insurer by filing a false or outright. NCDRC has stated that
finally, the insurance company exaggerated claim, could where forged or bogus documents
also pointed out that the quantity lead to the entire claim are submitted to hike the value
of damaged goods did not match of goods in an attempt to claim
with the claim made by the
being rejected outright a higher amount, the claimant
complainant. would be denied even a partial
NCDRC, on studying the documents placed before it, claim.
was shocked to find that, contrary to the income-tax rules, Consumers would do well to remember that insurance
the complainant claimed to have purchased crores of rupees is a contract based on good faith and any compromise
worth of goods from various suppliers but none of them on this score will defeat the very purpose of obtaining
would verify the genuineness of any of these transactions. insurance cover.
The insurer further provided evidence to show that its
local manager had not visited the company or certified
the goods, as was wrongly claimed by the complainant.
In fact, the so-called ‘manager’s report’ also turned out SD Israni is a corporate lawyer & Fellow
to be a forged document. The complainant was unable of ICSI. Email: sdisrani@gmail.com
to rebut or disprove the insurance company’s allegations.
After hearing the counsel for both the parties and
investment that is
not subject to market risks
Fixed Large Discounts Round
the Year.. For subscription offers
that are a steal, look for a form
elsewhere in this issue or our
website at www.moneylife.in
A
nybody who has followed the frequent changes in the society and not drug-induced blood pressure levels.
in these guidelines in the recent few months is So, this data does not give credence to the claims that we
bound to get confused. The 2013 guidelines of the should lower the blood pressure to 130/80 to get better
joint national committee-VIII (JNC-VIII) on prevention, results than keeping them at 140/90. Now, it is clear, in
detection, evaluation and treatment of high blood pressure retrospect, that all these guidelines which keep changing
(BP)comes from some of the best brains on the committee frequently, are based on individual opinions which have
which declared, after due consideration, that the normal no documented scientific basis.
pressure levels should be at least 159 systolic and 99 Meanwhile, more and more drug companies have come
diastolic for adults and 140/90 for a diabetic. This looks out with expensive new BP-lowering drugs without any
very reasonable scientifically. For reasons best known long-term experiential wisdom. Obviously, the various
to them, they withheld this revelation for a good four changes in BP guidelines would have come because of drug
years and released them for public consumption only in company pressures; it is now known that many ‘experts’
2017. Immediately after this came a rebuttal from a group are under the influence of drug companies. As a researcher
of super-intelligent American hypertensionologists who in the area, for the past half a century, I fail to understand
argued that it would any scientific basis
be prudent to lower otherwise. May God
the blood pressure to help our hapless
130/80 for all. patients who swallow
Way back in these drugs faithfully!
2005, when JNC-V An anecdotal
had suggested simple story will illustrate
diuretics as the first the situation. Two
line of treatment for close friends who
hypertension, there were classmates
was a huge hue from school became
and cry saying that doctors. One settled in
diuretics are not America as a professor
the ideal drugs and and the other in
the better drugs are India as professor in
alpha blockers and medical college. At the
ACE (angiotensin of 50 years, both had
converting enzyme) inhibitors, by a group of self-declared what is called elevated BP which some guideline thought
super specialists, although the JNC-V was headed by an warranted drug therapy. While the Indian friend opted for
eminent specialist who is one of the best in the world. What lifestyle change and yoga, the American friend opted for
on earth is the scientific basis for this recent guideline of drugs, as he believed in the American system. He was put on
130/80 as an ideal blood pressure? In the US, guidelines powerful ACE inhibitors and ARBs (angiotensin receptor
are mandatory as the so-called modern medicine has got blockers). Today, after nearly 30 years, the American friend
legal monopoly on sickness-care. is on daily dialysis as he developed chronic kidney disease,
There are no studies to support these varying claims at while his counterpart is still not on anti-hypertensive drugs.
different times. The recommendation is subjective personal Though this anecdote does not support any one view, it
opinion, based on some statistical data which do not apply gives us a better insight into how unreliable these linear
to individual patients. Multiple Risk Factor Intervention statistical data are, in real-life situations.
Trial (MRFIT) study did throw some indirect light on
the subject by showing that the lower the blood pressure
reading, the better are the mortality and morbidity rates. Professor Dr BM Hegde, a Padma
But without any cut-off level, this statistic is not reliable. Bhushan awardee in 2010, is an MD,
Moreover, there is no evidence in the MRFIT data to show PhD, FRCP (London, Edinburgh,
Glasgow & Dublin), FACC and FAMS.
the drug-induced lowering of blood pressure is good for He can be reached at hegdebm@gmail.com
health. The data shows the normal blood pressure levels
Drug Abuse: Campaign blockers have resulted in 800,000 excess patient deaths
in Europe over the past eight years.
against Unnecessary
Medication Junk Food Advertising and
Children’s Health
D octors and academics are increasingly speaking
up against patients being given unnecessary
medication—such as statins, blood pressure pills and C hildren are exposed to twice as much discretionary
(unhealthy) food advertising as healthy food
glucose-lowering drugs for type-2 diabetics which have advertising, according to Lisa Smithers, associate
no effect and burn holes in the pockets of the people. professor at the University of Adelaide. A new funded
They leave many people suffering further, due to side- research, led by Heart Foundation, shows that junk
effects, or cause excess deaths. A Cambridge University food ads are shown more frequently on TV when
study found half of over-65s take at least five drugs a children are watching. The frequency and duration of
day. Taking up to five drugs a day increased the dangers junk food advertisements is 2.3 times higher each hour
of premature death by an estimated 47%, researchers than for healthy foods. The research, published in the
warned. Over-prescribing
Over-prescrib medications is now Journal of Paediatrics and Child Health, also found that
the third most common cause of death, children view more than 800 junk food ads each year, if
heart disease and cancer.
after hear they watch 80 minutes of television per day.
The European Parliament,
Th
Brussels, heard experts talk
in Bru
about such cases of over-
prescriptions. Heading the
presc
panel was award-winning
celebrity British cardiologist
celebrit
accompanying him were:
Dr Assem Malhotra; accompa
Dr Richard Thompson, personal physician to Britain’s
Queen Elizabeth from 1984 to 2005 and past president
of the Royal College of Physicians; endocrinologist
Dr Carl Heneghan, Oxford University professor of
evidence-based medicine; and Dutch diabetes professor
at Leiden University Dr Hanno Pijl.
The panellists called for an urgent Europe-wide Prof Smither’s team built a TV monitoring system
campaign to reduce the amounts of drugs people which was believed to be the first of its kind in the
are taking. They discussed the need for an inquiry world. The team was able to capture an entire year’s
into biased information being issued by Big Pharma worth of television and ads from one free-to-air
on medicines that is harming millions of patients. commercial TV network in South Australia. It is the
Between 2009 and 2014, GlaxoSmithKline was charged largest dataset ever used by health researchers for
$13 billion in fines for criminal behaviour which examining food advertising in Australia and, probably,
included hiding data on the side-effects of the drugs the world. Most research in this area is based on only a
and manipulating results. According to Dr Malhotra, few days of data, says Prof Smithers.
poor quality research, influenced by vested interests, Some countries, like Canada and Norway, have
has resulted in an epidemic of misinformed doctors banned junk food ads on children’s channels. In
and misinformed patients leading to poor clinical France, advertisers are required to publish healthy
outcome. Dr Malhotra further blames an ‘epidemic of eating messages when unhealthy foods are advertised.
misinformation’ over dietary advice which he believes In Australia, all advertising during children’s TV
has driven the consumption of refined carbohydrates programmes is covered by the Children’s Television
and added sugars. Standards but there is also no routine, independent
Sir Richard Thompson has argued against the use monitoring of children’s exposure to food advertising.
of statins, the cholesterol-lowering drug, which are According to the World Health Organization (WHO),
only effective in people who already have heart disease; food marketing influences the types of foods that
yet, millions of people who are not at risk take them. children prefer to eat, ask their parents for and,
According to a 2014 study of Imperial College, beta- ultimately, consume.
new recruits have joined PSBs. This has affected banking entry in the airport lounge. Now, at this point the consumer
services. “People would go to banks and say that the quality should really consider, how many times are they actually
of customer service has gone down,” said Mr Kale. His going to fly? Mr Kale said that “even if you fly 3-4 times
explanation to this problem has been in the substantial and pay for the lounge service, it will still be cheaper than
increase in the number account-holders in India—roughly Rs2,500 and a person who can otherwise afford those
2 billion deposit accounts and 400 million loan accounts. fees, need not worry about access to the airport lounge.”
To further add to this problem, a wide number of Mr Kale made the attendees understand that the average
products are available from any bank. He said that “today consumer usually gets carried away by these added ‘frills’
a bank may have around 85-90 deposit products alone.” which they never use. He wanted the customers to be “very
How does one find out what is the most suitable banking clear on what frills we really require and are they really
product for oneself? Mr Kale suggested that “most people frills or can you manage without the frills.” His main
are guided very blindly by the difference in the interest rates focus was on encouraging consumers to be financially
at the highest level of the interest group.” He also added aware, being responsible for deciding on what financial
that the second qualifying factor for a consumer might products they require and not be fooled by a bank/banker’s
be the physical location of a bank from one’s residence marketing ploys.
or place of work. “Once the customer has decided on During the Q&A session, members brought up
the service/product that he/she requires, does the banker several important questions regarding the process of
actually provide what is required or does he push something grievance redress. Mr Kale advised that consumers to
else?” asked Mr Kale. He claimed that this is the starting really understand the proper process of addressing their
point of grievances—the grievances. If they don’t, they
point when there is mis- will end up being dissatisfied.
information and mis- DG Kale speaking His suggestion was that
at the seminar
selling. to address any particular
On the topic of credit grievance one should strictly
cards, Mr Kale pointed follow the process established
out that, in India, credit by RBI. Start with a written
cards have been issued complaint to your bank’s
at an average interest nodal officer and if no
rate of 2.5% on a 45- resolution has been offered
day cycle. He also adds or on being dissatisfied
that the usage of such with the resolution, you can
cards and the complaints escalate it to the bank’s higher
received for these cards authorities (the various levels
have steadily declined in and contact details are
India. What is the reason for this decline? Mr Kale offers available on the bank’s website). After this, they should
an answer: “Banks have a very smart way of foxing you. approach the bank’s internal ombudsman (CCSO—chief
All of them have replaced it with personal unsecured customer services officer). He also stated that the number
loans at 19% or 20%.” If the customer had done his of banks that have a banking ombudsman were very few
research, instead of blindly agreeing to a personal loan at the moment.
at a much higher rate, he/she would have been much When asked whether a bank is obliged to publish the
happier financially. Mr Kale further emphasises his point contact details of a CCSO for the benefit of the consumer,
by saying that this is why so many people fall prey to Mr Kale was not able to confirm such an obligation.
such SMSs—‘Your pre-approved loan is sanctioned and Instead, he insisted that the banking ombudsman would,
ready for approval’. if necessary, contact the bank or consumer regarding
Continuing with credit cards, he said that 90% of the the complaint and provide any recommendation for a
usage in India was either at petrol pumps, Indian Railways, resolution. He also explained that within 30 days of
Airlines or eateries. Due to the large number of credit cards receiving an answer to a grievance, the consumer has the
that are available, it is, once again, the consumer’s duty right to appeal to the nodal officer or to RBI ombudsman.
to decide on the type of card they require to make their Finally, he added ombudsman is only available for
particular life simpler. Elaborating on this point with a scheduled banks. A consumer with a grievance against a
simple example, he added that a bank may offer a card cooperative bank should go through the department of
with a fee of Rs2,500. Among the features could be free cooperative bank supervision (DCBS). — Akshay Naik
IPL 2018: Live Action, No Ads basic questions about yourself. You will then get surveys
approximately once a week, although it may be more
N
ew cybercrimes are taking place at a rapid pace may be purchased depending upon the risk profile and
and causing heavy losses. Where there is risk, needs of the customer,” he says.
insurers can’t be far behind. However, before What is important in cyber insurance is that there
taking the cover of cyber insurance, we, as average cannot be a product that fits all. Every product needs
users of Internet, need to understand whether this to be designed, or customised, to suit the requirement
would really help in reducing the loss. Cyber-attacks are of each customer. Add to this, the ever-evolving nature
becoming more sophisticated, from distributed denial of of cyber risk which poses an even bigger challenge for
service (DDoS) attacks to ‘man-in-the-middle’ attacks. insurers, as they need to work towards providing a
In addition, the popularity of virtual currencies and wholesome risk mitigation product to customers every
its characteristics offer protection from backtracking time. Insurers have been trying to do so since the past
or tracing to hackers or attackers. This will only fuel almost 20 years.
further ransomware attacks in the future. Remember, Noted security expert Bruce Schneier, who is also
in several recent ransomware attacks, the victims were chief technology officer at IBM Resilient, has explained
asked to make payment in virtual currencies like Bitcoin. the issues faced by cyber insurers in his upcoming
According to a book, Click Here to
recent report from Kill Everybody: Peril
McAfee, the total cost and Promise on a
of cybercrime globally Hyperconnected Planet.
is about $600 billion, He says, “Internet plus
or 0.8% of global insurance is complicated
gross domestic product because it follows
(GDP). No wonder, neither of the basic
insurers are eyeing this models (fire and flood)
lucrative business. They but instead has aspects
feel that the increasing of both: individuals are
frequency of breaches hacked at a steady (albeit
and the associated costs increasing) rate, while
highlights the need for class breaks and massive
cyber insurance. data breaches affect lots
According to Sanjay of people at once. Also,
Datta, chief for underwriting, claims and re-insurance the constantly changing technology landscape makes
at ICICI Lombard General Insurance, cyber insurance it difficult to gather and analyse the historical data
will not help a company or entity to prevent a cyber necessary to calculate premiums.”
breach, but it could help them survive one. “A typical This brings us to the most important question:
breach would require the company to hire forensic Should an individual buy a cyber insurance policy?
experts to investigate into the breach and recover its In my opinion, individuals need not buy an expensive
lost data, appoint lawyers to communicate the breach to cyber insurance policy, if they follow certain basic
the regulators, customers and other stakeholders as per rules. Use only authentic software; update it regularly;
regulations. Service of a public relations expert may also do not leak personal information in public domain;
be required to handle the press and other media. All of share information only on a ‘need to know’ basis with
these expenses can make a huge dent in the company’s anyone—be it the government or any private entity. In
bottom-line, especially small and medium enterprises. addition, follow simple rules like not engaging with
A standard cyber insurance policy would provide cover strangers and not being enticed by ‘attractive’ offers.
for all these costs, and further covers, such as cover If you follow these, you will not need cyber insurance
for business interruption and fraudulent fund transfer; and if you don’t, even the insurance policy may not save
payment card industry data security standard (PCI DSS) you.
I
t has been raining memoirs by governors of the Reserve of bank nationalisation without commenting on how it
Bank of India (RBI) in the past year or two. Three has eventually turned out.
immediate predecessors of RBI governor Urjit Patel Bhat’s is a dispassionate, insider’s assessment of
have published books in quick succession, each skirting how government policies affected PSBs ignoring their
the big elephant in the room—the gigantic bad debts of failures and shortcomings, including worryingly high
public sector banks (PSBs), estimated at anywhere between incidents of fraud and corruption at PSBs. Bhat has led
Rs8 lakh crore (officially) and Rs20 lakh crore (according the Corporation Bank Officers’ Organisation (CBOO)
to a former RBI deputy governor Dr KC Chakrabarty).
The spate of banking scams, including Nirav Modi-
Gitanjali Gems, Rotomac
Interestingly, the
and others, have exposed book contains a
the ease with which the sharp rebuttal to
PSBs were swindled; these
had also turned the spotlight
governor Urjit Patel’s
on the need for change, claim that RBI has
with a chorus of voices in no powers over
government insisting that
privatisation is the answer.
PSBs, although it was
Simultaneously, the Urjit Patel, RBI Governor
already in print when
government is forcing a Dr Patel made his
sale of companies whose
promoters are the biggest
startling claims at a speech in March 2018
wilful defaulters—each
in excess of a stupendous with distinction and has served as an officer director on
Rs25,000 crore. its board. More importantly, he pioneered whistle-blowing
REFORMING THE INDIAN
Then there is the by the Corporation Bank’s Union to safeguard the Bank
PUBLIC SECTOR BANKS
controversy over ICICI from rapacious chairmen colluding with industrialists to
TR BHAT
Bank’s CEO, Chanda dole out loans to already defaulting companies.
Gyan Books
Kochhar, and Axis Bank’s As an investigative journalist, I have personal knowledge
Pages: 346; Rs1,150
Shikha Sharma, where RBI of how the Union has worked to protect the Bank’s interests.
has turned down the Bank’s The present state of the Bank’s finances only reflects how
proposal to appoint her for another term. the system eventually defeated their efforts.
All this has brought back into focus some core issues The book is a must-read for members of this government
like whether bank nationalisation has served any purpose; and its advisors whose public statements display a worrying
the impact of economic reforms on banks; the role of the intention to ram through global cookie-cutter solutions
central bank and the finance ministry; and the contribution without investing the time and effort to find specific
of the political class in bringing PSBs to such a sorry mess. remedies to a uniquely Indian economic environment and
Reforming the Indian Public Sector Banks: The Lessons savings culture.
and the Challenges, which was released on 9th April in The attempt to pass the Financial Resolution
Delhi, is an extremely important book that throws light and Deposit Insurance Bill and the demand for bank
on all these issues with a unique perspective. privatisation (which has been slightly muted since the
The author, TR Bhat’s, is a refreshingly different surfacing of issues at Axis Bank and ICICI Bank) are just
voice from the usual policy wonks, bureaucrats and two examples.
academics who have usually had a hard stand in support Bhat covers four issues: a) nationalised banks have acted
of nationalisation or for privatisation, depending on their as shock-absorbers for the economy, by taking over failed
ideological perspective. private banks after every major scam; b) nationalised banks
Even DN Ghosh’s memoir gave us only a ringside view have been exploited by every government for its political
agenda, while never putting in place proper human resource defaulters by wiping the slate clean. Bhat writes that
policies and investing in training and skill development; after the loans were written off, the same industrialists
c) every crisis led to the formation of a committee which would be granted fresh loans in other names. Such
painstakingly identified issues and offered solutions which write-offs increased even as ‘loan overdues were
were ignored (of special significance is the report of the surging’, he says. Interestingly, this government has
independent commission headed by SP Shukla and backed falsely defended in Parliament the Rs2.4 lakh crore
by bank unions); d) failure of supervision by RBI was loan write-off between April 2014 and September
responsible for most of the scams as well as protecting 2017, claiming that it was a tax-saving device to
large defaulters by refusing to name and shame them clean up bank balance sheets and did not let off the
almost until the bankruptcy proceedings began. borrowers. Dr Chakrabarty, has called such write-offs
Bhat also analyses the problem of the government as the biggest scandal of the century. It is important for us
the owner of PSBs on five fronts—appointment of top to remember that we, the people, have paid for these
executives, the appointment of directors to their boards, write-offs though regular bailouts and re-capitalisation
the working of the board, the internal working of the of PSBs by the exchequer.
banks and failure to fix accountability. • There is a lack of accountability of the PSB chiefs
Interestingly, the book contains a sharp rebuttal to and the absence of any yardstick to evaluate their
governor Urjit Patel’s claim that RBI has no powers over performance. The worst that has happened to PSB
PSBs, although it was already in print when Dr Patel chairmen is that they have been asked to leave. Many
made his startling claims at a speech in March 2018. It such appointments have been political. There has been
a failure of internal and external audits, lack of action
on RBI’s own inspection reports.
The forced-mergers • The forced-mergers of failed private banks with PSBs
of failed private have allowed RBI to avoid accountability for its failed
supervision over the decades. Most of us recall the
banks with PSBs merger of Global Trust Bank with Oriental Bank of
have allowed RBI to Commerce (which hurt the latter’s performance for
avoid accountability two to three years), but forget other mergers of that
time such as Nedungadi Bank with Punjab National
for its failed Bank and Benares State Bank with Bank of Baroda.
supervision over the • How a taskforce of the Confederation of Indian Industry
Dr YV Reddy, Former RBI decades. Most of us (CII) had suggested the closure of three banks that had
Governor turned sick—Indian Bank, United Commercial Bank
recall the merger of and United Bank of India. It led to a sharp reaction
Global Trust Bank with Oriental from trade unions that exposed how the banks’ losses
Bank of Commerce (which hurt the were almost entirely due to defaults by CII members.
The move was abandoned and the banks even turned
latter’s performance for two to three around for a while. Indian Bank is by far the best PSB
years), but forget other mergers of that now.
time such as Nedungadi Bank with Punjab The book stops just short of the current turmoil in
banks as they struggle to deal with new provisioning
National Bank and Benares State Bank norms and bankruptcy proceedings as well as frequent
with Bank of Baroda government diktats that force banks off track (as in the
pressure of demonetisation, opening Jan Dhan accounts,
outlines four ways in which RBI engages with banks. Some taking responsibility of Aadhaar enrolment, etc) from their
interesting nuggets that provide a timely recollection in core banking functions.
today’s turmoil are: However, the sweep of issues covered right from
• Bad debts have been papered over, for decades, by nationalisation to the present day allows us to understand
RBI and the government and economic liberalisation exactly why the present debate on bank privatisation or
provided only a temporary palliative by allowing what to do with PSBs, will not resolve the problem. At
banks to increase capital by going public and make the very least, 3/4th of the newly constituted Bank Board
them profitable for a short interval. Bureau will have a lot to learn from the 300-odd pages
• The scandal of loan write-offs ends up protecting wilful of this important book. — Sucheta Dalal
130
-290
-1,310
9 Apr-18 18 Apr-18
100
Indians: Domestic institutional investors were net
buyers of equities (Rs2,379.60 crore). They bought
shares worth Rs26,843.33 crore.
85 875
Oct-17 Jan-18 Apr-18
-25
Index 06 Apr 18 Apr +/-
ML Small-cap Index 99.40 102.41 3% -325
Sensex 33,626.97 34,331.68 2%
-625
Nifty 10,331.60 10,526.20 2% 9 Apr-18 18 Apr-18
ML Mid-cap Index 107.64 109.23 1%
ML Mega-cap Index 111.26 112.85 1% GLOBAL MARKET TRENDS
7,570
ML Large-cap Index 109.51 110.30 1%
NASDAQ Composite
ML Micro-cap Index 97.73 97.40 0% 7,340
Reliance Communications 24.35 21.05 -14% NASDAQ Composite, S&P 50 and Nikkei advanced
5%, 4% and 3%, respectively. Korean Composite
Mid-cap Gainers/Losers 06 Apr 18 Apr Change
and the FTSE rose 2% each.
Responsive Industries 49.8 72.8 46%
Index 06 Apr 18 Apr + / (-)
Jaypee Infratech 9.25 7.05 -24% NASDAQ Composite 6,915 7,295 5%
Small-cap Gainers/Losers 06 Apr 18 Apr Change S&P 500 2,604 2,709 4%
Nikkei 21,568 22,158 3%
Syncom Formulations (India) 0.93 1.33 43%
Korean Composite 2,430 2,480 2%
Talwalkars Better Value Fitness 140.55 79.45 -43%
FTSE 7,184 7,317 2%
Micro-cap Gainers/Losers 06 Apr 18 Apr Change Hang Seng 29,845 30,284 1%
Hotel companies were in demand during the fortnight. Taj GVK Hotels,
Asian Hotels (East), EIH Associated Hotels, Royal Orchid Hotels and Oriental
Shares of hotels companies, non-
ferrous metals companies and retail
companies advanced 14%, 6% and
Hotels soared 33%, 31%, 27%, 26% and 22%, respectively. 5%, respectively. Stocks of trading
companies and sugar companies
Companies 06 Apr 18 Apr +/- declined 6% and 4%, respectively.
ML Hotel Index Stocks of printing & publishing
Taj GVK Hotels 175.65 233.10 33%
companies and office equipment
Asian Hotels (East) 277.20 363.30 31%
130 companies fell 3% each.
EIH Associated Hotels 501.65 637.05 27%