Beruflich Dokumente
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Marketability of Common Stocks in Canada and the U.S.A.: A Comparison of Agent Versus
Dealer Dominated Markets
Author(s): Seha M. Tinic and Richard R. West
Source: The Journal of Finance, Vol. 29, No. 3 (Jun., 1974), pp. 729-746
Published by: Wiley for the American Finance Association
Stable URL: https://www.jstor.org/stable/2978589
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The Journal of FINANCE
VOL. XXIX JUNE 1974 No. 3
I. INTRODUCTION
729
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730 The Journal of Finance
this paper would appear to represent a stem in the direction of redressing this
deficiency. Moreover, when it involves stock markets in more than one nation,
such analysis would also seem to be relevant to the recently stimulated dis-
cussion of the benefits of international diversification of portfolios.2 Thus far,
this discussion has taken place within a zero transactions cost context. In
point of fact, however, transactions costs are positive in any stock market.
Furthermore, they often differ from market to market and country to country.
If we are to go beyond the point of simply applying standard portfolio theory
to the analysis of investment possibilities from several nations, the nature of
these differences must be understood.
From a slightly narrower perspective, the comparative analysis of the TSE,
NYSE, and OTC seems particularly relevant at this time. In Canada there
is a growing concern over the degree of foreign investment in the economy
and the extent to which Canadians invest in securities outside the country.3
In discussions of these two issues one of the most widely cited reasons for
Canadian purchases of U.S. securities is the superior marketability of stocks
traded in the New York market.4 To some extent, of course, this argument boils
down to little more than an assertion that it is easier to take or change posi-
tions in securities which are traded in a larger marketplace. The question
remains, however, whether given its relative size, the Canadian market, as
reflected in the TSE, provides marketability services on terms as efficient
as those provided in the United States.
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Agent Versus Dealer Dominated Markets 731
are designated "registered traders" are explicitly prohibited from trading for
their own accounts except through the channels provided for non-members,
i.e., except by entering orders in the same way as members of the trading
public. Registered traders (RTs), in contrast, have the privilege of trading
on the floor for firm accounts in which they participate in the profits. More-
over, according to some interpretations, RTs have an obligation to "make a
market" in the stocks in which they are registered. The by-laws on trading
note, for example, that "the RT category was established in order to restrict
active trading for non-client accounts by members or persons employed on
the floor to a limited number of supervised, experienced and well financed
persons who in return would accept certain responsibilities which would in-
crease liquidity, add stability and generally improve the market for listed stocks
in Toronto."5 The Canadian Securities Course is even more explicit concern-
ing the nature of the RT's "responsibilities." It states unequivocally that "if
there is a lack of either bids or offers for board (round) lots by the public,
he is expected to provide a bid or an offer, whichever is needed, at a price
reasonably related to the last trade."' The TSE's floor trader's manual, on the
other hand, states only that "in order to have a reasonable board lot market
quoted in each security, the Floor Procedure Committee may from time to
time prescribe obligations in that regard of each RT."7 Recent communications
with the TSE concerning the precise meaning of this statement have revealed
that the Floor Procedure Committee's activities deal primarily with establish-
ing rules for the responsibilities of RTs at the opening of each day's trading
session. Beyond this, the RT's only major, well defined responsibility appears
to be that of providing odd-lot bids and offers at premiums or discounts no
greater than those outlined by the Board of Governors and the Floor Procedure
Committee. In short, the TSE's method of market making focuses primarily
on the development of an agency marketplace in which, for the most part,
public buyers and sellers trade with each other and RTs act as odd-lot dealers.
In contrast to the RTs, the dealers on the NYSE, commonly referred to as
specialists, are expressly charged with performing a continuing market-making
function for round lot trades.8 In return for a virtual monopoly in the trading
done on the exchange in a given stock, the specialists are expected to play a
fairly active role in the trading process. It is their function to keep trading
orderly and to prevent "undue" fluctuations in price, i.e., to maintain price
continuity. The notion of an agency market, in which ultimate buyers and
sellers trade primarily with each other and the intermediary acts largely in
the role of a central broker, is contrary to the organizational design of the
NYSE. To be sure, the specialist does act as a central broker; but his more
important function is that of acting as a dealer.
Recently, there has been a good deal of attention devoted to the question
of whether NYSE specialists do an adequate job of meeting their responsi-
5. TSE (1972), p. 9.
6. The Canadian Securities Course (1969), pp. 242-3.
7. TSE (1972), p. 10.
8. For a more full blown discussion of the specialist's function see SEC (1962), Part 2, especially
Chapters 5 and 6.
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732 The Journal of Finance
bilities.Y In addition, there has been some talk about whether they should
even be expected to meet these responsibilities as the market becomes more
oriented to the trading done by institutional investors."0 The fact remains,
however, that the NYSE's basic approach to market making has been and
continues to be more "activist" and dealer oriented than the TSE's.
Whereas in the TSE many members are prohibited from taking an active
part in the market making process and in the NYSE certain members are
required to take an active part, the degree of dealer participation in the OTC
market is determined largely on the basis of individual choice." It is not
necessary for those who desire to perform the dealership function in the OTC
market to purchase a seat or in some analogous way obtain formal entry to
the trading process.'2
Because of the comparative absence of formal constraints, the strength of
the market in a particular stock is subject to considerable variation over time.
If a large number of firms are actively making a two-way market in a stock,
i.e., are providing firm bid and ask quotations for "reasonable" sized orders,
buyers and sellers have little difficulty in taking or disposing of their positions.
On the other hand, if firms are backing away from the market, either by widen-
ing their bid and ask spreads or reducing their willingness to take positions,
or both, investors find it difficult to do business on reasonable terms. Indeed,
when firms back completely away, as is sometimes the case if the market
is characterized by extreme uncertainty, investors are faced with a situation
in which orders either are refused outright or are accepted only on the basis
that they will be transacted if and when offsetting orders appear.
The freedom to enter the market and compete does, however, encourage
firms to "stand on their markets" and to provide a reasonable amount of
dealer services. Dealers that habitually back away from the market or take
a haphazard approach to making markets discover that they cannot receive
the flow of inquiries necessary to sustain a profitable OTC business.
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Agent Versus Dealer Dominated Markets 733
function in the TSE, however, bid and ask prices are not necessarily those
quoted by a dealer: the reported prices in the TSE simply represent the highest
bid and the lowest ask prices that are available at any point in time; it is quite
possible that at any given moment, neither will have originated from the floor
of the Exchange. Frequently, perhaps even typically, these quotations represent
the best outstanding limit buy and sell tenders submitted by non-member
traders. Hence, unlike the bid-ask spreads that are quoted in the NYSE or
OTC, spreads in TSE need not measure the gross margin earned by market-
makers. Nevertheless, they do provide an estimate of the value of "immediacy"
to traders who want to execute transactions without delay, and therefore, con-
stitute a measure of the marketability of various TSE listed stocks.
In his seminal article on the determinants of the price of marketability,
Demsetz argued that the time rate of transactions is the most important factor
influencing the width of the bid-ask spread. According to Demsetz, the level of
the limit orders submitted by traders reflects their anticipations concerning the
expected waiting time associated with having an order executed. But waiting
time is itself a function of the time rate of transactions: as the time rate of
transactions increases, waiting time decreases. Thus, as Demsetz stated, "the
greater the frequency of transacting, the lower will be the cost of waiting in
a trading queue of specified length and therefore the lower will be the spreads
that traders are willing to submit to pre-empt positions in the trading queue."14
The level of trading activity in a stock can be measured in a variety of
ways. We believe, however, that it is necessary to develop measures which
take account of both the average volume of transactions over some relevant
trading interval and the continuity of trading from interval to interval. Mea-
sures of the average volume serve as an excellent surrogate for the speed with
which an intra-interval trading queue of a given length can be serviced;
measures of continuity provide an estimate of the frequency with which these
queues are organized. Particularly in the case of "speculative" issues which,
on the average, experience active markets, a measure of trading continuity
can help explain the effects of relatively clustered trading patterns on the
bid-ask spread. Moreover, for traders who may submit limit orders on both
sides of the market and act as dealers, the effect of trading continuity on bid-
ask spreads reflects the costs of carrying positions for prolonged periods of
time.
Next to the time rate of transactions, the single most important factor in-
fluencing the width of bid-ask spreads is the price level of the stock in question.
Spreads tend to increase with the level of stock prices so that the cost of trans-
acting, per dollar exchanged, is equalized. If this were not the case, those who
submit limit orders would find it "profitable to narrow spreads on those secur
ties for which spread per dollar exchanged is larger.""5
the actual price of immediacy would have to be estimated on the basis of a record of price changes
between consecutive transactions. This issue is especially relevant for the bid-ask spreads that are
quoted in the over-the-counter market which are referred to later in this paper. Unfortunately,
however, transaction-to-transaction price series are not available in the TSE and the OTC.
14.:Demsetz (1968), p. 40.
15. Ibid., p. 45.
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734 The Journal of Finance
In recent years, a good bit of empirical support for the relationship between
spreads and the level of stock prices has been assembled. In contrast, the
empirical evidence on the relationship between spreads and the volatility of
stock prices is somewhat ambiguous and, yet, there is some reason to expect
that such a relationship might exist. Particularly without a dealer, it seems
reasonable to hypothesize that the probability of large deviations between the
highest bid and the lowest ask prices might increase as the dispersion of the
distribution of stock prices becomes more diffuse.
Thus far, we have focused entirely on variables which reflect the trading
conditions in an individual stock. It must be recognized, however, that the
multiple listing of a security might also have an effect on the width of the
bid-ask spread in a particular marketplace. This point seems especially im-
portant in the context of the analysis of the TSE. As of November, 1971,
there were 1166 issues listed on TSE, 112 of which were also listed on either
or both NYSE/ASE and Montreal/Canadian Stock Exchange (s) .16 Under-
standably, one might expect the marketability of these issues to be affected
by the bid and ask quotations of the specialists on the NYSE and ASE. In
particular, to the extent dealers are able to narrow bid-ask spreads due to
economies of specialization in the market-making function, we would expect
multiple-listed TSE stocks to experience narrow spreads. Multiple listing also
enables traders to select the exchange on which their transactions are con-
summated. Even if rank and file traders are not in a position to select an
exchange independently, dealers who may have acquired positions on one
exchange may be able to offset them by transactions on another exchange(s).
Finally, multiple listing is likely to be a proxy for the total volume of
trading in a particular security and the bid-ask spread in any market may be
a function not only of the volume of transactions in that security in that
market, but also of the volume of trading in that security in all markets
combined.
The hypotheses outlined in the preceding section may be stated more for-
mally in the following linear multiple regression equation:
16. Toronto Stock Exchange Review (Nov., 1971), pp. 60-61. The TSE sample contains 28 of
these multiple-listings.
17. The average bid-ask spread, S, is calculated by using the closing bid-ask spread for each day
and averaging over nine trading days. Price volatility, AP is the difference between the high and
low price over the nine day period for which data were collected, and is expressed as a per cent
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Agent Versus Dealer Dominated Markets 735
as
AS i> 0,
as
ac- 4 < 0, and
as
- =35 < 0
aN
To estimate the coefficients of this model for the TSE, 200 common stocks
were selected at random. Because data on trading volume and/or bid-ask
spreads were not available for 23 of these issues, however, we were forced to
reduce our sample to 177 stocks. Daily trading volume, bid-ask spreads and
prices were gathered for these issues and averaged over the nine trading days
December 1-13, 1971.18
The estimated coefficients of equation (1) are presented in Table 1. All of
the coefficients carry the hypothesized signs and, with the exception of trading
continuity, C, and the number of listing, N, they are statistically significant.
The model itself is statistically significant at a= 0.0005 level. The results
imply that marketability of TSE-listed common stocks improves with increased
trading volume but deteriorates with greater price volatility.
TABLE 1
ESTIMATED COEFFICIENTS OF EQUATION (1)
of the average price during the period. This volatility measure may be expected to be sensitive
to the length of the time period over which volatility is measured. Indeed, one would expect it to be
larger for longer intervals. Any bias that may result from differences in the length of the time
periods in the NYSE, TSE and the OTC samples, however, does not appear to be significant. The
nine day period for the TSE sample is longer than that of the OTC sample (5 days) but shorter
than the NYSE sample (19 days).
18. TSE, Daily Record (December 1-13, 1971).
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736 The Journal of Finance
TABLE 2
COEFFICIENTS OF EQUATION (1) AFTER OMITTING TRADING CONTINUITY, C,
AND NUMBER OF LISTINGS, N
1; the remaining variables are the same as in equation (1). The estimate
coefficients of this equation (Table 3) all carry the anticipated signs and,
with the exception of the number of listing, N, are statistically significant. In
contrast to equation (1), trading continuity, C, exhibits a systematic influence
on the spreads per dollar of stocks being traded. Given the relatively good "fit"
of the model (R 2- 0.8035) and X2(6) -- 107.467, we are reasonably assured
of the efficiency of the estimated coefficients, and of the partitioning of the
explanatory power of trading volume, V, and the continuity index, C, on the
bid-ask spreads. In this form, the model implies that the bid-ask spread per
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Agent Versus Dealer Dominated Markets 73 7
dollar of stocks exchanged decreases with larger trading volume and more con-
tinuous trading pattern. It also reflects the fact that, ceteris paribus, traders
dealing in issues having relatively high price volatility incur higher costs for
"immediacy" per dollar of securities traded.
TABLE 3
ESTIMATED COEFFICIENTS OF EQUATION (2)
Generally speaking, the results in Tables 2 and 3 are quite similar in their
implications. Both indicate that the marketability of the TSE-listed stocks is
primarily influenced by the level of trading activity and the variability of the
stock prices. In addition, both indicate a statistically insignificant relationship
between the bid-ask spreads and the number of markets in which a stock is
traded, leading us to the tentative conclusion that, other things being the same,
the marketability of TSE issues is not materially influenced by the bid-ask
quotations of specialists in the NYSE or the ASE. This finding, incidentally,
could have very important implications about the costs of arbitraging and the
efficiency of the registered arbitrage traders in TSE, especially if these jointly-
listed issues experience narrower spreads on the NYSE or ASE.
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738 The Journal of Finance
of these results with Table 2 reveals that the overall explanatory power of
the OTC-equation is roughly comparable to that of the TSE model, while
the NYSE equation accounts for a substantially larger portion of the variation
in the bid-ask spreads (R2 -0.7278). All three equations indicate, as expected,
that bid-ask spreads vary inversely with trading activity and directly with
price. Only the TSE equation, however, establishes a statistically significant,
positive relationship between spreads and short run price volatility. We will
have more to say about this finding below.
TABLE 4
ESTIMATED COEFFICIENTS OF THE NYSE-EQUATION
S = PO + (31P + (2 in V + ,jAP + w
Regressors Coefficients Spi t-ratio r2
&0 0.77261 0.06493 11.9000*
P 0.00431 0.00043 10.1340* 0.5747
In V -0.06863 0.00699 -9.8211* 0.5593
AP 0.13579 0.15869 0.8557 0.0095
R2 = 0.7381 R2(adjusted) = 0.7278 F(3, 76) = 71.40*
* Significant beyond a-0.0005 level.
TABLE 5
ESTIMATED COEFFICIENTS OF THE OTC-EQUATION
S = PO + 01P + (2 in V + (3AP + u
Regressors Coefficients Spi t-ratio r2
30 1.39717 0.12800 10.9150*
P 0.01340 0.00087 15.3860* 0.4444
in V -0.13346 0.01608 -8.2994* 0.18877
AP 0.00686 0.01234 0.5559 0.00104
R2 = 0.4767 R2(adjusted) = 0.4713 F(3,296) = 89.880*
* Significant beyond a =0.0005 level.
For now, however, let us turn to the question of whether or not the average
levels of spreads in the three markets differ, after taking account of the effects
of price level, trading volume and price variability. If we could be certain that
the coefficients of the variables included in the three equations were not sig-
nificantly different, this question could be answered simply by adding a dummy
variable to a pooled regression to take account of any significant variations
in intercept terms. Lacking such assurance, however, we must begin by test-
ing the null hypothesis that (li 3 P2i (3i; where, the first subscript refers
to the TSE, NYSE and the OTC equations respectively, and i -0, 1, 2, 3
designates the intercept and the three slope coefficients in the model. Fisher
has suggested a test based on the calculation of the following statistic :23
OTC data on these variables were not available at the time of this study, the re-estimated NYSE
equation did not include these variables.
23. Fisher (1959), p. 232.
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Agent Versus Dealer Dominated Markets 739
ZPji/Sji2
>ii 1/S1
E /Sj j2
TABLE 6
THE RESULTS OF THE X2-TEST ON THE REGRESSION COEFFICIENTS OF THE
TSE, NYSE AND OTC EQUATIONS
Based on the results of the "Fisher test," in Table 6, we must not only add
an intercept shifter variable to a pooled regression equation, but slope shifter
variables as well. That is, we must estimate
AP price volatility,
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740 The Journal of Finance
D -1% 0 otherwise,
{ 1 if the stock is traded in OTC
D2 = o0 otherwise,
xP1 D1P; xP2 D2P,
u -random error.
If the coefficients of this model are directly estimated by the method of ordi-
nary least squares, however, the standard errors of the coefficients are quite
large because of serious heteroscedasticity in the error distributions: although
the distributions of the random errors are reasonably well behaved in each
equation, pooling the three samples with diverse regression variances violates
the condition of constant error variance. For the NYSE, TSE, and OTC obser-
vations in the sample, the respective error variances can be expressed by the
following proportional relationships:
E(e2NY SE ) = au2
To improve the efficiency of the estimates, the observations in the TSE and the
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Agent Versus Dealer Dominated Markets 741
share, the bid-ask spreads of the higher priced TSE stock would incorporate
this differential cost.24
TABLE 7
ESTIMATED COEFFICIENTS OF POOLED-VARIANCE REGRESSION EQUATION (4) 25
As far as the OTC equation is concerned, the coefficient of the price variab
is slightly larger than the NYSE, but considerably smaller than the TSE esti-
mate. The difference between the OTC and the NYSE values for (3 implies
that the bid-ask spreads in OTC increase by about one cent more than they
would in the NYSE per dollar increase in the equilibrium level of a stock.
This difference may be interpreted as one per cent higher borrowing cost for
the dealers in the over-the-counter markets. The coefficients of the remaining
slope and intercept shifters for the OTC stocks, 4v2, bA2, and D2, are not statis-
tically significant, implying that the coefficients of trading volume and price
24. The Toronto Stock Exchange discourages members other than registered traders from sub-
mitting two-sided tenders for non-client accounts. See, TSE, Floor Trader's Manual, pp. 9 and
30-3 1.
25. The mean and standard deviation of the variables, S, P, V, AP, C and N are presented below:
TSE NYSE OTC
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742 The Journal of Finance
volatility for the OTC issues are not significantly different from their counter-
parts in the NYSE model.
The difference in the coefficients of trading volume in the NYSE and the
TSE equations, on the other hand, almost certainly reflects the differences
in the listing requirements of the two stock exchanges. A large number of the
TSE-listed stocks would be considered extremely "inactive" by NYSE stan-
dards. Moreover, the TSE sample does not include any issues which have trad-
ing volumes as large as those of the more active NYSE stocks.
Practically speaking, nevertheless, the difference in the effect of changes in
trading volume on the bid-ask spreads in the two markets are negligible for
stocks experiencing reasonably active trading. For a given level and volatility
of price per share, the rate of change in the bid-ask spreads with respect to
as =_ (2 an d2S -,P2
trading volume is a function of V, i.e., ---and As such, even
dv V OV2 V2
for moderately active issues, the difference in the estimated values of P2 is
dominated by the trading volume, V, and differences in the effect of marginal
volume changes on the bid-ask spreads in the two markets are negligible.2"
In the pooled-variance regression equations the coefficients of the slope
shifters for price volatility, b8t and Act, are not significantly different from
zero, which implies that the effects of price volatility in the TSE, NYSE and
OTC are roughly comparable. This result, which contradicts the earlier find-
ings obtained by the Fisher's X2-test, no doubt reflects the fact that the use
several dummy variables as slope and intercept shifters in equation 4 intro-
duces serious multicollinearity and makes the partitioning of explanatory power
of individual regressors rather difficult. Indeed, as evidenced by relatively low
t-ratios, the efficiency of the estimated coefficients in the pooled-variance regres-
sion equation is substantially reduced. It should be recalled, however, that
the coefficient of the price volatility variable is not statistically different from
zero in the NYSE or OTC models, while in the TSE model it exhibits a statis-
tically significant positive relationship with the bid-ask spreads. This being
the case, we are inclined to place our confidence in the results of the X2-test
for this regressor.
Finally, when we examine the coefficients of the intercept shifters, D1 and
D2,we observe that only P, is significantly different from zero. This, of course
implies a significant difference between the intercept estimates of the TSE
and the NYSE regressions. In other words, a significant part of the variance
in the bid-ask spreads in the pooled-variance regression model is accounted
for by the difference between the average level of spreads in the TSE and the
NYSE samples. We regard this result as extremely important, since it implies
that the average bid-ask spread in the TSE is larger than its counterpart in
the NYSE, even after adjustments are made for the differential effects of
price per share, trading activity and price volatility. Put somewhat differently,
this result indicates that the marketability of a TSE security, having the same
26. Although the TSE equation (2) has a much better fit, equation (1) is used for purposes of
comparative analysis because the model in (2) possesses very little explanatory power when it is
estimated with the NYSE and especially the OTC data.
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Agent Versus Dealer Dominated Markets 743
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744 The Journal of Finance
30. See supra note 25 for a comparison of the mean values of the price volatility variable in the
TSE, NYSE and OTC.
31. To the extent price volatility is hypothesized to be a cause of wide spreads and a result of
ineffective dealer activity, the single equation model used in this study may contain a specification
error and possibly yield a biased estimate of the coefficient of this variable. The causal importance
of the price volatility variable, however, is not sufficiently large to justify a simultaneous equation
model.
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Agent Versus Dealer Dominated Markets 745
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