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INTRODUCTION
The credit crunch was defined by MLC market watch as follows “When
banks drastically reduce their lending to each other and others because they
are unsure about how much money they have and whether the borrower can
pay it back. This leads to more expensive loans and mortgages”. The credit
crunch has a long history dating back 1797 when Bank of England entered
the United States of America, back home Britain faced a daunting task as it
had war with the France which created the first known and documented
recession of the previous era (www.recession.org). The crunch lasted for a
period of three years at that time. Bernake and Lown (1991) define credit
crunch as a significant leftward shift in the supply curve for bank loans,
holding constant both the safe real interest rate and the quality of potential
borrowers.
During the above phases there have been recessions and corresponding
growth periods which can be seen from the below graph.
Source:http://www.finfacts.com/artman/uploads/3/UK-recession-
2010_jan142010.jpg
As can be seen from the above charts there has been some major
credit crunches the United Kingdom economy has undergone during this
periods. And the recovery has taken a lot of time at an average of over two
years for the recovery to take full effect. The major events during these
turbulent times have been due to varied factors starting with the great
depression and at this point of time recovering from the credit crunch caused
by the sub-prime mortgage crisis which originated in the United States of
America. Let us now understand the relevant factors which led to this crunch
and then follow up with the measures undertaken by the government to pull
out the economy from credit crunch the nation faced and their effectiveness.
The major factors which created this credit crunch are as follows:
Financial Services
The current recession is hitting the hardest and it has affected all the
sectors like car industry, retail sector; however the finance sector was the
hardest hit in the current recession. Financial sector is one of the Britain’s
most important and vital sectors in terms of generating foreign currency
earnings and national output. This sector is one of the key contributors
towards government revenue in terms of income tax and corporation
revenues (Pettinger, 2009). Hedge funds have been said to be at the centre of
this storm as funds were available at very low interest rates and were able to
takeover many firms and run the businesses due to this factor. An example for
the same would be the case of Cadbury’s Schweppes which has been hoping
to sell its drinks business, which included the 7Up and Snapple, to one of the
interested private-equity buyers, but due to the crisis none of them were able
to afford it. The banks on the other hand are offering support to the private
buyers, however, with revised terms which are not so lucrative. This changed
scenario has brought its own problems and the magnification of the same has
resulted in credit crunch in the market place (Foley, 2007).
Housing Market
Source: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/7073131.stm
Source: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/7073131.stm
One reason for the credit crunch becoming worse was the fact that
banks have lost the faith and have become reluctant to offer fresh credit in the
market place to either lenders or borrowers equally. The banks have been
forced to reject credit cards, and are insisting on bigger deposits for home
customers. The mortgage market has been particularly badly affected, with
individuals finding it very difficult to get non-traditional mortgages, both sub-
prime and “jumbo”.
At the other end the bankers would avoid credit to maintain their capital
asset ratio. To maintain the confidence on the face of investors the banks
would still continue to accept applications for lending and would avoid
processing the same or reject them on the statement stating that the lending
is considered to be risky. This puts the banks in a quandary as they at one
end would require maintaining the status as healthy even in the condition
where they do not have the necessary funds available with them. Otherwise
the investors would panic and ask for more returns and / or withdraw their
investments and still depleting the precious reserves of the bank (Robert &
Taula, 1993).
Regulatory burden
The government has taken a lot of measures to kick start the recovery
process. Let us have a look at these measures in brief:
Let us see how these measures have helped the economy to recover
from the credit crunch.
The banking sector was given a boost with the slew of support
measures which were announced ensured that the sector would be able to
limp back to normalcy as the government has provided it appropriate support
and funds to bail out this sector. The banks were given option of merger and
bankruptcy support which have enabled them to get over the crisis and be
able to substantially raise their disposable cash availability which was used to
build back the lost ground and create a healthy atmosphere again.
On the retail front the government has reduced the VAT to boost the
sales and revenue generation to grow as United Kingdom economy has a lot
of dependency on the retail sector the support has ensured that the sector
was able to reap the benefits of this and gain in confidence of the general
population. At the same it enabled the customers to buy more products with
the limited amount of savings they had and ensured that they were able to
spend the amount on quality and necessary products. Hence, the
government’s decision to reduce the VAT has been a positive sign and helped
the economy to limp back in certain ways. However, the recent measure to
hike the VAT again has been seen as a retrograde measure but it needs to be
seen that the government would require certain level of funds to ensure that
they are able to run the machinery and other mechanisms in the country for
which monetary resources are required.
Conclusion
It can be said that credit crunch is a period when the economy takes a
breather and allows an opportunity for everyone to grasp the growth which
has been taking place or it can be said a course correction exercise that is
taken by the economy to refocus on the current trends. And every economy
would have to go through this phases at different points of time as it is
necessary for the countries to realise the effects of uncontrolled economic
activity and the results of the same to be understood and analysed by the
economists or the political class who are the policy makers. The slow down or
credit crunch is the time when the cooling down happens in the economy and
creates a state of relevance to the activities being undertaken and ensure that
the negative effects or the slack that is created in the system which has been
built up over the years due to the fact of uncontrolled economic activity is
pruned down to manageable levels. This subjective way of looking at things
would provide us with an option of reinvigorating the positive methods and
learn from the negatives which would be used to ensure that the system
carries on with an effective positive and efficient system in place.
REFERENCES
Finfacts team, 2010, UK economy exited from its worst recession since 1945
in Q4 2009 according to economic think-tank; Full year slump worst since
1921
Available at: http://www.finfacts.com/artman/uploads/3/UK-recession-
2010_jan142010.jpg [Accessed on 05-04-10]
Daily Mail Reporter, Hedge fund boss: ‘Blaming us for credit crunch is like
blaming passengers in a bus crash’
Available at: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1129562/Hedge-fund-
boss-Blaming-credit-crunch-like-blaming-passengers-bus-crash.html
[Accessed on 07-04-10]
Robert, T. Clair, Paula, T., 1993, six causes of credit crunch, Economic
Review – Third Review. Available at:
http://www.dallasfed.org/research/er/1993/er9303a.pdf [Accessed on 06-04-
10]
Housing and the Credit Crunch, House of Commons, Communities and Local
Government Committee. Third report of Session 2008-09.
BBC News,
Available at: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/7521250.stm [Accessed on 08-04-10]