Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Determinar ve
Ventas por D
Ventas por v
ventas por pr
ventas por forma de pago
Chart Title
$140,000
$120,000
$100,000
$80,000
$60,000
$40,000
$20,000
$-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
PRONO
2019
0 1
Número de unidades (galones) 210000
Precio de venta unitario $ 16,000
TOTAL $ 3,360,000,000
APORTES SOCIOS $ 800,000,000
CREDITOS BANCARIIOS $ 600,000,000
TOTAL INGRESOS $ 1,400,000,000 $ 3,360,000,000
COSTOS
MATERIA PRIMA $ 882,000,000
MANO DE OBRA DIRECTA $ 357,000,000
C.I.F. $ 79,800,000
NOMINA ADMINISTRATIVA $ 511,200,000
NOMINCA COMERCIAL $ 170,400,000
SERVICIOS OUTSOURSING $ 312,000,000
SREVICIOS PUBL $ 300,000,000
ARRIENDO $ 84,000,000
TELECOMUNICACION $ 15,600,000
PAG. WEB $ 24,000,000
COMISION VENTAS $ 67,200,000
PUBLICIDAD $ 67,200,000
RETE ICA $ 15,456,000
INVERSION INICIAL $ 1,000,000,000
IMPORENTA $ 156,467,520
TOTAL EGRESOS $ 1,000,000,000 $ 3,042,323,520
FLUJO DE CAJA LIBRE $ 400,000,000 $ 317,676,480
PRI DESCONTADO
INVERSION INICIAL $ 1,000,000,000 ELEVADO EL AÑO
FLUJO DE CAJA LIBRE AÑO1 $ 317,676,480 $ 269,217,356
FLUJO DE CAJA LIBRE AÑO2 $ 337,614,582 $ 242,469,536
FLUJO DE CAJA LIBRE AÑO3 $ 352,167,847 $ 214,340,224
FLUJO DE CAJA LIBRE AÑO4 $ 368,909,197 $ 190,279,260
FLUJO DE CAJA LIBRE AÑO5 $ 386,570,301 $ 168,973,441
PRONOSTICOS VENTAS
2020 2021 2022 2023
2 3 4 5
217140 223871 231259 239122
$ 16,544 $ 17,073 $ 17,603 $ 18,131
$ 3,592,364,160 $ 3,822,246,727 $ 4,070,780,676 $ 4,335,462,836
COSTOS
$ 942,995,592 $ 1,003,339,766 $ 1,068,579,928 $ 1,138,058,994
$ 389,071,452 $ 421,991,566 $ 458,149,069 $ 497,412,444
$ 86,968,913 $ 94,327,526 $ 102,409,792 $ 111,186,311
$ 538,804,800 $ 566,822,650 $ 595,730,605 $ 625,517,135
$ 179,601,600 $ 188,940,883 $ 198,576,868 $ 208,505,712
$ 328,848,000 $ 345,948,096 $ 363,591,449 $ 381,771,021
$ 334,200,000 $ 371,630,400 $ 412,881,374 $ 458,298,326
$ 88,536,000 $ 93,139,872 $ 97,890,005 $ 102,784,506
$ 14,400,000 $ 14,400,000 $ 14,400,000 $ 14,400,000
$ 24,816,000 $ 25,610,112 $ 26,404,025 $ 27,196,146
$ 71,847,283 $ 76,444,935 $ 81,415,614 $ 86,709,257
$ 71,847,283 $ 76,444,935 $ 81,415,614 $ 86,709,257
$ 16,524,875 $ 17,582,335 $ 18,725,591 $ 19,943,129
2019
0 1
Número de unidades (galones) 210000
Precio de venta unitario $ 16,000
VALOR DE SALVAMENTO
TOTAL $ 3,360,000,000
APORTES SOCIOS $ 800,000,000
CREDITOS BANCARIIOS $ 600,000,000
TOTAL INGRESOS $ 1,400,000,000 $ 3,360,000,000
COSTO
MATERIA PRIMA $ 1,014,300,000
MANO DE OBRA DIRECTA $ 357,000,000
C.I.F. $ 79,800,000
NOMINA ADMINISTRATIVA $ 511,200,000
NOMICA COMERCIAL $ 170,400,000
SERVICIOS OUTSOURSING $ 312,000,000
SREVICIOS PUBL $ 300,000,000
ARRIENDO $ 84,000,000
TELECOMUNICACION $ 15,600,000
PAG. WEB $ 24,000,000
COMISION VENTAS $ 67,200,000
PUBLICIDAD $ 67,200,000
RETE ICA $ 15,456,000
INVERSION INICIAL $ 1,000,000,000
IMPORENTA
TOTAL EGRESOS $ 1,000,000,000 $ 3,018,156,000
FLUJO DE CAJA LIBRE $ 400,000,000 $ 341,844,000
FLUJO DE LA DEUDA
AÑO 0 1
INGRESOS $ 600,000,000
ABONO INTERES $ 71,430,074
ABONO CAPITAL
TOTAL PAGO ANUAL $ 71,430,074
FLUJO DEL ACCIONISTA -$ 800,000,000 $ 270,413,926
TASA TIO 17%
VALOR PRESENTE NETO $ 183,944,269.85
TIR 25%
RELACION BENEFICIO COSTO 1.23
PRI
INVERSION INICIAL $ 800,000,000 ELEVADO EL AÑO
FLUJO DE CAJA AÑO 1 $ 341,844,000 $ 292,174,359
FLUJO DE CAJA AÑO 2 $ 361,253,023 $ 263,900,229
FLUJO DE CAJA AÑO 3 $ 373,922,688 $ 233,466,316
FLUJO DE CAJA AÑO 4 $ 389,123,753 $ 207,655,910
FLUJO DE CAJA AÑO 5 $ 1,105,061,749 $ 504,030,988
$ 648,518
ANALISIS DE SENSIBILIDAD
% Precio 100%
% Costo mp 115%
110%
100%
# precio de ventas unitaria 95%
90%
85%
90%
100%
COSTOS FIJOS 105%
110%
VPN
115%
VPN
90%
100%
COSTO MP 105%
110%
115%
90%
100%
COSTO FIJO 105%
110%
115%
110%
100%
# precio de ventas unitaria 95%
90%
85%
90%
100%
COSTOS FIJOS 105%
110%
TIR
115%
90%
100%
COSTO MP 105%
110%
115%
90%
COSTO FIJO
100%
COSTO FIJO 105%
110%
115%
BANCOLOMBIA PIB
2020 2021 2022 2023
3.2% 3.1% 3.0% 3.0%
$ 3,230 $ 3,290 $ 3,350 $ 3,400
3.4% 3.1% 3.3% 3.4%
PRONOSTICOS VENTAS
2020 2021 2022 2023
2 3 4 5
217140 223871 231259 239122
$ 16,544 $ 17,073 $ 17,603 $ 18,131
$ 700,000,000
$ 3,592,364,160 $ 3,822,246,727 $ 4,070,780,676 $ 4,335,462,836
COSTOS
$ 1,084,444,931 $ 1,153,840,731 $ 1,228,866,917 $ 1,308,767,844
$ 389,071,452 $ 421,991,566 $ 458,149,069 $ 497,412,444
$ 86,968,913 $ 94,327,526 $ 102,409,792 $ 111,186,311
$ 538,804,800 $ 566,822,650 $ 595,730,605 $ 625,517,135
$ 179,601,600 $ 188,940,883 $ 198,576,868 $ 208,505,712
$ 328,848,000 $ 345,948,096 $ 363,591,449 $ 381,771,021
$ 334,200,000 $ 371,630,400 $ 412,881,374 $ 458,298,326
$ 88,536,000 $ 93,139,872 $ 97,890,005 $ 102,784,506
$ 15,600,000 $ 15,600,000 $ 15,600,000 $ 15,600,000
$ 24,816,000 $ 25,610,112 $ 26,404,025 $ 27,196,146
$ 71,847,283 $ 76,444,935 $ 81,415,614 $ 86,709,257
$ 71,847,283 $ 76,444,935 $ 81,415,614 $ 86,709,257
$ 16,524,875 $ 17,582,335 $ 18,725,591 $ 19,943,129
2 3 4 5
DIFERENCIA
$ 507,825,641
$ 243,925,412
$ 10,459,096
-$ 197,196,814
VPN $ 494,879,514
TIR 52.1%
RBC 2.24
# Unidades
110% 100% 95% 90% 85%
$ 2,109,587,692 $ 1,582,523,868 $ 1,318,991,955 $ 1,055,460,043 $ 791,928,131
$ 1,262,351,316 $ 812,308,980 $ 587,287,813 $ 362,266,645 $ 137,245,477
$ 838,733,128 $ 427,201,537 $ 221,435,741 $ 15,669,946 -$ 190,095,850
$ 415,114,940 $ 42,094,093 -$ 144,416,330 -$ 330,926,754 -$ 517,437,177
-$ 8,503,248 -$ 343,013,351 -$ 510,268,402 -$ 677,523,453 -$ 844,778,504
COSTO MP
90% 100% 105% 110% 115%
$ 1,285,186,572 $ 1,073,566,928 $ 967,757,106 $ 861,947,284 $ 756,137,462
$ 1,023,928,624 $ 812,308,980 $ 706,499,158 $ 600,689,336 $ 494,879,514
$ 893,299,650 $ 681,680,006 $ 575,870,184 $ 470,060,362 $ 364,250,540
$ 762,670,676 $ 551,051,032 $ 445,241,210 $ 339,431,388 $ 233,621,566
$ 632,041,702 $ 420,422,058 $ 314,612,236 $ 208,802,414 $ 102,992,592
UNIDADES
110% 100% 95% 90% 85%
$ 1,495,132,924 $ 1,023,928,624 $ 788,326,474 $ 552,724,324 $ 317,122,174
$ 1,262,351,316 $ 812,308,980 $ 587,287,813 $ 362,266,645 $ 137,245,477
$ 1,145,960,512 $ 706,499,158 $ 486,768,482 $ 267,037,805 $ 47,307,128
$ 1,029,569,707 $ 600,689,336 $ 386,249,151 $ 171,808,965 -$ 42,631,220
$ 913,178,903 $ 494,879,514 $ 285,729,820 $ 76,580,125 -$ 132,569,569
UNIDADES
110% 100% 95% 90% 85%
$ 1,523,609,264 $ 1,073,566,928 $ 848,545,761 $ 623,524,593 $ 398,503,425
$ 1,262,351,316 $ 812,308,980 $ 587,287,813 $ 362,266,645 $ 137,245,477
$ 1,131,722,342 $ 681,680,006 $ 456,658,839 $ 231,637,671 $ 6,616,503
$ 1,001,093,368 $ 551,051,032 $ 326,029,864 $ 101,008,697 -$ 124,012,471
$ 870,464,394 $ 420,422,058 $ 195,400,890 -$ 29,620,277 -$ 254,641,445
# Unidades
110% 100% 95% 90% 85%
1.65269924636719 128.3% 0.913220092505601 3.63865010820181 0.728250562235
1.06054958806178 0.7441 0.585609050094204 0.426839821712619 0.267548207978
0.763660962696248 0.47324356718303 0.327518442186622 0.181178031888614 -0.324144412359
0.465338850511304 0.200085010772033 0.066451335107909 -0.068239128878352 -0.204363908848
0.163900244694294 -0.077755497046842 -0.200221046646327 -0.324144412359179 -0.45
COSTO MP
90% 100% 105% 110% 115%
1.07759116690771 0.929310836008474 0.855085387343794 0.780787280390587 0.70640145984
0.892367425809243 3.0308 0.669807334524023 0.595445109412568 52.1%
0.799884530602196 0.651567231692671 57.7% 0.502862297812993 0.428304868191
0.707495878177287 0.559144989389838 0.484808683447166 0.410329894297028 0.335674779102
0.615206310065481 0.466801490396855 0.392404469143153 0.317834077378219 0.243048604813
UNIDADES
110% 100% 95% 90% 85%
122.3% 0.892367425809243 0.726739281611116 0.56091589322003 0.394735273466
1.06054958806178 0.7441 0.585609050094204 0.426839821712619 0.267548207978
0.979066268732565 0.669807334524023 51.5% 0.359597652259853 0.203682015261
0.897524153525702 0.595445109412568 0.444043087776821 0.292182044127651 0.139588714129
0.815909317858309 0.520961125511961 0.373035212156224 0.224558584713598 0.08
UNIDADES
110% 100% 95% 90% 85%
1.24595732571487 0.929310836008474 0.770836444134822 0.612160292957815 0.453148203144
1.06054958806178 0.7441 0.585609050094204 0.426839821712619 0.267548207978
0.967963691354431 0.651567231692671 0.493092427433355 0.334228654442275 0.174704460275
0.875466177017858 0.559144989389838 0.400632445179195 0.241623491414354 0.081775341555
0.783064319385325 0.466801490396855 0.308215314046852 0.148990756897426 -0.01
MATERIA PRIMA POR UNIDAD $ 4,830 $ 4,994 $ 5,154
MANO DE OBRA DIRECTA UNIDAD $ 1,700 $ 1,792 $ 1,885
C.I.F. UNIDAD $ 380 $ 401 $ 421
110%
100%
# precio de ventas
unitaria 95%
90%
85%
90%
100%
COSTOS FIJOS 105%
110%
RBC
115%
RBC
90%
100%
COSTO MP 105%
110%
115%
90%
100%
COSTO FIJO 105%
110%
115%
$ 5,314 $ 5,473
$ 1,981 $ 2,080
$ 443 $ 465
# Unidades
110% 100% 95% 90% 85%
6.27 4.96 4.30 3.64 2.98
4.16 3.03 2.47 1.91 1.34
3.10 2.07 1.55 1.04 0.52
2.04 1.11 0.64 0.17 -0.29
0.98 0.14 -0.28 -0.69 -1.11
COSTO MP
90% 100% 105% 110% 115%
4.21296643 3.68391732 3.41939277 3.15486821 2.89034366
3.55982156 3.03 2.7662479 2.50172334 2.23719879
3.23324913 2.70420002 2.43967546 2.17515091 1.91062635
2.90667669 2.37762758 2.11310303 1.84857847 1.58405392
2.58010426 2.05105515 1.78653059 1.52200604 1.25748148
UNIDADES
110% 100% 95% 90% 85%
4.74 3.56 2.97 2.38 1.79
4.16 3.03 2.47 1.91 1.34
3.86 2.77 2.22 1.67 1.12
3.57 2.50 1.97 1.43 0.89
3.28 2.24 1.71 1.19 0.67
UNIDADES
110% 100% 95% 90% 85%
4.81 3.68 3.12 2.56 2.00
4.16 3.03 2.47 1.91 1.34
3.83 2.70 2.14 1.58 1.02
3.50 2.38 1.82 1.25 0.69
3.18 2.05 1.49 0.93 0.36
CREDITOS A EMPRESAS
ABALUO DEL PREDIO $ 150,000,000
VALOR DE CREDITO $ 600,000,000
PLAZO 16 TRIMESTRAL
TASA DE INTERES ANUAL 10.83% EFECTIVO ANUAL 4.560%
TASA DE INTERES TRIMESTRAL 2.605%
AMORTIZACIÓN FIJA CAPITAL $ 37,500,000
GASTOS DE CONSTITUCIÓN Y DESEMBOLSO 2.00% $ 12,000,000.00
PERIODO DE GRACIA 2 AÑOS
0 - $ 600,000,000
1 $ - $ 15,629,058 $ 15,629,058 $ 600,000,000
2 $ - $ 17,771,892 $ 17,771,892 $ 600,000,000
3 $ - $ 18,675,254 $ 18,675,254 $ 600,000,000
4 $ - $ 19,353,870 $ 19,353,870 $ 600,000,000
5 $ 37,500,000 $ 17,935,087 $ 55,435,087 $ 562,500,000
6 $ 37,500,000 $ 17,632,690 $ 55,132,690 $ 525,000,000
7 $ 37,500,000 $ 17,693,389 $ 55,193,389 $ 487,500,000
8 $ 37,500,000 $ 15,209,658 $ 52,709,658 $ 450,000,000
9 $ 37,500,000 $ 14,316,443 $ 51,816,443 $ 412,500,000
10 $ 37,500,000 $ 14,184,000 $ 51,684,000 $ 375,000,000
11 $ 37,500,000 $ 12,537,263 $ 50,037,263 $ 337,500,000
12 $ 37,500,000 $ 11,514,486 $ 49,014,486 $ 300,000,000
13 $ 37,500,000 $ 8,885,946 $ 46,385,946 $ 262,500,000
14 $ 37,500,000 $ 8,409,307 $ 45,909,307 $ 225,000,000
15 $ 37,500,000 $ 7,263,224 $ 44,763,224 $ 187,500,000
16 $ 37,500,000 $ 5,886,792 $ 43,386,792 $ 150,000,000
17 $ 37,500,000 $ 4,812,686 $ 42,312,686 $ 112,500,000
18 $ 37,500,000 $ 3,673,010 $ 41,173,010 $ 75,000,000
19 $ 37,500,000 $ 2,269,677 $ 39,769,677 $ 37,500,000
20 $ 37,500,000 $ 1,209,617 $ 38,709,617 $ -
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PLAZO 6 AÑOS CON PERIODO DE GRACIA 2 AÑOS, PAGADERO SEMESTRE VENCIDO
TOTAL CUTOAS 12
TOTAL CUOTAS SIN ABONO A CAPITAL(PERIODO DE GRACIAS) 4 CUOTAS
TOTAL CUOTAS SIN ABONO A CAPITAL 8 CUOTAS
DTF+6% EFECTIVO ANUAL
TASA DE
DTF INTERES
TRIMESTRAL
2.6048%
4.06% 2.9620%
4.67% 3.1125%
5.13% 3.2256%
4.17% 2.9892% $ 71,430,074 $ 150,000,000
4.76% 3.1347%
5.72% 3.3702%
4.70% 3.1199%
4.95% 3.1814% $ 68,470,823 $ 150,000,000
6.00% 3.4385%
5.61% 3.3433%
5.89% 3.4117%
4.06% 2.9620% $ 52,552,192 $ 150,000,000
5.04% 3.2035%
5.14% 3.2281%
4.78% 3.1396%
5.06% 3.2085% $ 30,445,269 $ 150,000,000
5.29% 3.2649%
4.32% 3.0262%
5.13% 3.2256%
5.79% 3.3873% $ 11,964,991
SEMESTRE VENCIDO